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Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD)
NYSE:MOD
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Modine (MOD) AI Stock Analysis

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MOD

Modine

(NYSE:MOD)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$153.00
▲(13.17% Upside)
Modine's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, supported by strategic growth initiatives. Technical indicators are favorable, though valuation suggests a premium pricing. The company's strategic focus on expanding its Climate Solutions and Data Center segments positions it well for future growth, despite challenges in the Performance Technologies segment.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
MOD reported F1Q26 sales, adj. op. profit/EBITDA/EPS all nicely above the analyst's model.
Revenue Growth
Modine shares appreciated after management laid out a realistic path to the data center business generating about $2 billion in revenue in fiscal 2028.
Negative Factors
European Market
Weakness in the European Data Center Market is offset by North American strength.
Market Outlook
Shares declined on Fiscal 2026 Outlook.
Performance Technologies
A decline in performance technologies businesses and about $10 million to $15 million came out of genset revenue expectations.

Modine (MOD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Modine Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionModine Manufacturing Company (MOD) is a global leader in thermal management technology, specializing in the design and manufacturing of heating and cooling solutions for various sectors including automotive, industrial, commercial, and energy. The company offers a broad range of products such as radiators, heat exchangers, and HVAC systems that enhance efficiency and reduce emissions. Modine operates through multiple segments, focusing on providing innovative solutions that meet the needs of its diverse customer base worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyModine generates revenue primarily through the sale of its thermal management products and systems across various industries. The company has a diversified revenue model that includes direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), aftermarket sales, and service contracts. Key revenue streams are derived from the automotive sector, where Modine supplies heat exchangers and cooling systems, as well as from industrial applications, where it provides customized heat management solutions. Additionally, Modine benefits from strategic partnerships with major manufacturers and suppliers, enhancing its market presence and driving sales. The company also invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, which can lead to increased market share and revenue growth.

Modine Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with strong growth in Climate Solutions and Data Center segments, supported by strategic acquisitions. However, challenges remain in the Performance Technologies segment, affecting overall profitability.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to Fiscal Year
Modine delivered a solid start to the year, leading to an increase in revenue and earnings outlook for fiscal '26.
Strategic Acquisitions
Completed three strategic acquisitions: AbsolutAire, L.B. White, and Climate by Design International, contributing to revenue growth and expanded product offerings.
Climate Solutions Performance
Climate Solutions segment posted an 11% increase in revenue and a 10% improvement in adjusted EBITDA.
Data Center Business Expansion
Announced a $100 million investment to expand manufacturing capacity across four U.S. sites, anticipating $2 billion of data center revenues by fiscal '28.
Increased Fiscal 2026 Outlook
Raised revenue growth outlook to 10%-15% and data center revenue growth to 45% for fiscal '26.
Negative Updates
Performance Technologies Challenges
Revenues in the Performance Technologies segment were down 8% with corresponding declines in adjusted EBITDA due to tough market conditions.
Free Cash Flow Constraints
Free cash flow generation was lower due to higher inventory levels in Climate Solutions and acquisition-related costs.
Company Guidance
During Modine's First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance driven by strong performance and strategic investments. The Climate Solutions segment reported an 11% increase in revenue and a 10% improvement in adjusted EBITDA, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 20%. Modine announced a $100 million investment to expand manufacturing capacity for its North America data center business, with expectations to approach $2 billion in data center revenues by fiscal 2028. For fiscal 2026, the company raised its total sales growth outlook to 10% to 15%, with Climate Solutions expected to grow by 25% to 35% and data center sales by over 45%. Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be in the range of $440 million to $470 million, reflecting a $20 million increase from previous expectations. The Performance Technologies segment, however, faced challenges with an 8% revenue decline and corresponding declines in adjusted EBITDA due to market conditions. Modine continues to focus on organic growth, strategic acquisitions, and optimizing its portfolio to support long-term growth objectives.

Modine Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Modine's financial performance is strong, with robust revenue growth and profitability. The income statement shows a healthy gross profit margin of 24.83% and a net profit margin of 7.21%. The balance sheet is solid with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.52, and cash flow metrics indicate effective cash management. Overall, Modine demonstrates a well-managed financial position with potential for future growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Modine has shown strong revenue growth with a consistent positive trend over the past years, increasing from $2.05 billion in 2022 to $2.6 billion TTM. The gross profit margin is healthy at 24.83% TTM, reflecting efficient production cost management. The net profit margin is also robust at 7.21% TTM, indicating solid profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 10.93% and 13.07% TTM, respectively, showing the company's operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement reflects a well-managed and growing company in the Auto - Parts industry.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.52 TTM, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio stands at 45.71% TTM, signifying a stable capital structure. Return on equity (ROE) is impressive at 18.44% TTM, showcasing efficient use of shareholders' equity to generate profit. Despite the positive metrics, the company should monitor its total debt levels to maintain financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Modine demonstrates strong cash flow positions, with a free cash flow growth rate of 10.83% TTM, indicating effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.07 TTM, reflecting a healthy conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is at 0.76 TTM, showing good cash generation after capital expenditures. These metrics highlight the company's ability to generate cash and support growth initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.60B2.58B2.41B2.30B2.05B1.81B
Gross Profit646.60M643.80M525.60M389.40M309.30M293.40M
EBITDA340.60M358.10M294.80M208.00M171.90M-31.30M
Net Income187.90M184.00M161.50M153.10M85.20M-209.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.23B1.92B1.85B1.57B1.43B1.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments124.50M71.60M60.10M70.60M48.90M37.80M
Total Debt527.10M350.80M509.00M413.40M431.70M390.50M
Total Liabilities1.21B999.40M1.10B966.30M968.90M920.60M
Stockholders Equity1.02B910.20M747.60M599.60M458.10M348.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow143.30M129.30M126.10M56.80M-28.80M117.10M
Operating Cash Flow200.50M213.30M214.60M107.50M11.50M149.80M
Investing Cash Flow-204.10M-86.60M-283.40M-50.40M-51.00M-31.30M
Financing Cash Flow53.30M-113.60M62.70M-33.30M39.20M-145.10M

Modine Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price135.19
Price Trends
50DMA
119.03
Positive
100DMA
104.92
Positive
200DMA
105.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.20
Positive
RSI
55.15
Neutral
STOCH
34.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MOD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 135.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 137.83, above the 50-day MA of 119.03, and above the 200-day MA of 105.58, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MOD.

Modine Risk Analysis

Modine disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Modine reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Modine Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$17.52B13.3315.52%-2.47%-43.12%
77
Outperform
$7.14B38.9720.88%6.45%14.21%
76
Outperform
$5.87B12.899.51%2.84%-3.12%-8.23%
76
Outperform
$4.96B22.1217.38%6.76%34.97%
74
Outperform
$7.46B10.1347.08%1.19%2.70%15.17%
67
Neutral
$9.49B46.823.66%1.14%-2.12%-69.42%
61
Neutral
$17.97B12.87-5.30%2.97%1.26%-14.45%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MOD
Modine
135.19
36.78
37.37%
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings
90.02
4.01
4.66%
BWA
BorgWarner
44.03
11.61
35.81%
APTV
Aptiv
80.44
11.36
16.44%
DORM
Dorman Products
163.67
54.97
50.57%
LEA
Lear
111.05
4.30
4.03%

Modine Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Modine Elects New Directors and Approves Key Votes
Neutral
Aug 22, 2025

On August 21, 2025, Modine Manufacturing Company held a shareholder vote to elect Neil D. Brinker, Katherine C. Harper, David J. Wilson, and Mark Bendza as directors until the 2028 Annual Meeting. The shareholders also approved the advisory vote on executive officer compensation and ratified the appointment of KPMG as the independent registered public accounting firm.

Executive/Board Changes
Modine Appoints Alan S. Lowe to Board
Positive
Jul 21, 2025

On July 18, 2025, Modine Manufacturing Company appointed Alan S. Lowe to its Board of Directors, effective immediately, with a term ending in 2026. Lowe, who has extensive executive experience in technology and manufacturing sectors, is expected to contribute significantly to Modine’s ongoing transformation efforts.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Modine Secures New Credit Agreement for Financial Flexibility
Positive
Jul 16, 2025

On July 10, 2025, Modine Manufacturing Company entered into a Sixth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, which extends its existing credit facilities and introduces a $400 million revolving credit facility and a $200 million term loan facility, both maturing on July 10, 2030. This agreement includes revised covenants and restructuring provisions, reflecting Modine’s strategic focus on financial flexibility and operational restructuring, particularly concerning its Performance Technologies segment’s automotive business exit.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Modine Acquires Climate by Design International
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

Modine Manufacturing Company recently acquired Climate by Design International (CDI), a leading designer and manufacturer of desiccant-based dehumidification equipment. This acquisition, completed on July 1, 2025, is part of Modine’s strategic initiative to enhance its product offerings and market reach. The acquisition is expected to be accretive to earnings per share and aligns with Modine’s goal to expand its comprehensive commercial indoor air quality portfolio. The company has also restructured its product groups within its Performance Technologies and Climate Solutions segments, although this will not affect financial reporting.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025