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Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD)
NYSE:MOD

Modine (MOD) AI Stock Analysis

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MO

Modine

(NYSE:MOD)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$113.00
▲(14.72%Upside)
Modine's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes, offset by a high valuation and technical indicators suggesting caution. The merger with LBW Holding Corp. adds strategic value, enhancing growth prospects.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Modine generated $647 million of revenue, exceeding the consensus of $631 million, and adjusted EPS of $1.12, beating the consensus of $0.96.
Market Engagement
Modine Manufacturing's leadership team was featured at a prominent growth stock conference, indicating interest and confidence from the financial community.
Negative Factors
Market Downturn
The downturn in the trucking cycle is more severe than when Modine Manufacturing last provided guidance.
Sector Challenges
The Performance Tech segment has a weak outlook, with commercial and off-highway sectors struggling.

Modine (MOD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Modine Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionModine Manufacturing Company (MOD) is a global leader in thermal management solutions, serving a diverse range of industries including automotive, HVAC, commercial vehicle, and industrial markets. Founded in 1916 and headquartered in Racine, Wisconsin, Modine specializes in the design, manufacturing, and testing of heat transfer products. Its core offerings include radiators, oil coolers, charge air coolers, and HVAC systems that are integral to the operation and efficiency of vehicles and industrial equipment.
How the Company Makes MoneyModine makes money primarily through the sale of its thermal management products and systems to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and the aftermarket. Its revenue streams are diversified across its key business segments: Automotive, Commercial and Industrial Solutions, Building HVAC Systems, and Performance Technologies. Modine's earnings are bolstered by its strong relationships with automotive and industrial OEMs, as well as its investments in research and development to innovate and enhance its product offerings. The company also benefits from its global manufacturing footprint, which allows it to serve customers in various regions efficiently. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions further support Modine's growth and expansion in emerging markets and technologies.

Modine Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 20, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -6.70%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Modine's earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with record sales and profitability, driven by growth in the Climate Solutions and Data Center segments. However, the company faces challenges in the Performance Technologies segment and uncertainties related to global trade and tariffs. Despite these challenges, Modine's strategic transformation and cost optimization efforts have resulted in significant margin improvements.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Sales and Profitability
Modine achieved the highest reported sales and profitability in its history for the third consecutive year. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 25% on a 7% sales increase.
Climate Solutions Segment Growth
Climate Solutions reported a 30% increase in revenues and a 45% increase in adjusted EBITDA, resulting in a 220 basis point improvement in adjusted EBITDA margins to 21%.
Data Center Segment Surge
Data center sales increased by 119% to $644 million, with North American sales as a major driver. The Scott Springfield acquisition contributed $197 million.
Strong Cash Flow and Share Repurchase
Modine generated $129 million of free cash flow for the year, reduced net debt by $92 million, and initiated an $18 million share repurchase as part of a $100 million stock buyback program.
Successful Strategic Transformation
This quarter marked the 13th consecutive quarter of year-over-year margin improvement, with a 300 basis point improvement in adjusted EBITDA margin from the prior year.
Negative Updates
Performance Technologies Market Challenges
The Performance Technologies segment faced challenging market conditions with a projected extended downturn in vehicular markets and delays in electric vehicle program launches.
Uncertainty in Global Trade and Tariffs
Modine is navigating global trade uncertainties and tariffs, which could impact material costs and product demand, particularly in the Performance Technologies segment.
Slowdown in European Data Center Market
Tentativeness in the European data center market is attributed to changing hyperscaler plans, impacting the growth outlook in that region.
Delays in EV System Sales
Advanced Solutions sales were down by 12% due to delays in the launch and ramp-up of electric vehicle programs, leading to lowered expectations for near-term growth.
Company Guidance
During Modine's fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025 earnings call, the company provided robust guidance for the upcoming fiscal year 2026. The Climate Solutions segment, which reported a remarkable 30% increase in revenues and a 45% rise in adjusted EBITDA, is expected to continue its growth trajectory with anticipated sales growth between 12% and 20%. This growth is largely driven by the data center and commercial indoor air quality (IAQ) sectors, with data center revenue projected to climb by over 30%. Meanwhile, the Performance Technologies segment faces challenges due to market downturns, with sales expected to decline by 2% to 12%, yet it aims for improved margins through cost-saving initiatives. Overall, Modine forecasts total company sales to increase by 2% to 10%, alongside an adjusted EBITDA range of $420 million to $450 million for fiscal 2026, reflecting an 11% increase at the midpoint. The company is also focused on executing its strategic plans, including expanding production capacities and pursuing strategic acquisitions and divestitures.

Modine Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Modine exhibits solid financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, improved margins, and effective cash flow management. The balance sheet shows better leverage control, although debt levels require ongoing attention. Overall, Modine's financial statements reflect a well-managed company with a positive growth trajectory in the auto parts industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Modine has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a 7.3% increase from 2024 to 2025. The gross profit margin improved to 24.9%, and the net profit margin rose to 7.1%, indicating enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also showed positive trends. Overall, the income statement reflects strong growth and profitability, enhancing Modine's financial position.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio improved, reflecting better leverage management, with a decrease from 0.68 in 2024 to 0.39 in 2025. The return on equity improved to 20.2%, showing efficient utilization of equity. The equity ratio increased to 47.5%, indicating a stronger equity base. However, the company still carries significant debt, which poses potential risks.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Modine's free cash flow grew by 2.5% from 2024 to 2025, demonstrating effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.16, reflecting strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy at 0.70, indicating efficient conversion of income to cash flow.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.58B2.41B2.30B2.05B1.81B
Gross Profit643.80M525.60M389.40M309.30M293.40M
EBITDA358.10M294.80M208.00M171.90M-31.30M
Net Income184.00M161.50M153.10M85.20M-209.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.92B1.85B1.57B1.43B1.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments71.60M60.10M70.60M48.90M37.80M
Total Debt350.80M509.00M413.40M431.70M390.50M
Total Liabilities999.40M1.10B966.30M968.90M920.60M
Stockholders Equity910.20M747.60M599.60M458.10M348.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow129.30M126.10M56.80M-28.80M117.10M
Operating Cash Flow213.30M214.60M107.50M11.50M149.80M
Investing Cash Flow-86.60M-283.40M-50.40M-51.00M-31.30M
Financing Cash Flow-113.60M62.70M-33.30M39.20M-145.10M

Modine Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price98.50
Price Trends
50DMA
92.26
Positive
100DMA
88.39
Positive
200DMA
107.00
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.25
Negative
RSI
55.35
Neutral
STOCH
71.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MOD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 98.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 95.52, above the 50-day MA of 92.26, and below the 200-day MA of 107.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MOD.

Modine Risk Analysis

Modine disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Modine reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Modine Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
VCVC
83
Outperform
$2.57B8.7425.15%-1.35%-39.06%
MOMOD
77
Outperform
$5.31B28.8522.20%7.30%13.50%
BWBWA
76
Outperform
$7.38B27.025.38%1.31%-8.23%-52.61%
LELEA
75
Outperform
$5.04B11.0610.00%3.26%-3.15%-6.70%
66
Neutral
£1.85B11.466.20%3.04%0.61%-17.57%
GTGTX
61
Neutral
$2.13B8.13-41.90%2.29%-10.26%
GTGT
59
Neutral
$3.06B12.375.06%-5.43%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MOD
Modine
98.50
-6.87
-6.52%
BWA
BorgWarner
33.48
2.15
6.86%
GT
GoodYear Tire
10.37
-0.77
-6.91%
LEA
Lear
94.98
-16.10
-14.49%
VC
Visteon
93.30
-14.25
-13.25%
GTX
Garrett Motion
10.51
1.93
22.49%

Modine Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Modine Announces Merger with LBW Holding Corp.
Positive
May 30, 2025

On May 29, 2025, Modine Manufacturing Company announced a merger agreement with LBW Holding Corp., under which LBW Holding will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Modine. The transaction, valued at approximately $112 million, is expected to close by May 31, 2025, and aims to enhance Modine’s market position in climate solutions. The acquisition is anticipated to be accretive to earnings per share and will be funded through cash on hand and existing credit facilities, with no financing conditions or regulatory reviews required for closing.

The most recent analyst rating on (MOD) stock is a Buy with a $120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Modine stock, see the MOD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2025