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Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD)
NYSE:MOD
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Modine (MOD) AI Stock Analysis

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MOD

Modine

(NYSE:MOD)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$151.00
▲(8.85% Upside)
Modine's overall stock score reflects a strong financial performance and positive earnings outlook, supported by strategic acquisitions. However, high valuation and potential overbought technical indicators present risks.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
MOD reported F1Q26 sales, adj. op. profit/EBITDA/EPS all nicely above the model.
Revenue Growth
Modine shares appreciated 18% after management laid out a realistic path to the data center business generating about $2 billion in revenue in fiscal 2028.
Technological Advantage
MOD has a technological moat and is broadly capturing market share.
Negative Factors
European Market Weakness
Weakness in European Data Center Market Offset by North American Strength.
Performance Technologies
A decline in performance technologies businesses and about $10 million to $15 million that came out of genset revenue expectations.
Segment Forecast
The engine segment forecast is unchanged.

Modine (MOD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Modine Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionModine Manufacturing Company provides engineered heat transfer systems and heat transfer components for use in on- and off-highway original equipment manufacturer (OEM) vehicular applications. It operates through Climate Solutions and Performance Technologies segments. The company offers gas-fired, hydronic, electric, and oil-fired unit heaters; indoor and outdoor duct furnaces; infrared units; perimeter heating products, such as commercial fin-tube radiation, cabinet unit heaters, and convectors; roof-mounted direct- and indirect-fired makeup air units; unit ventilators; single packaged vertical units; precision air conditioning units for data center applications; air handler units; fan walls; chillers; ceiling cassettes; hybrid fan coils; and condensers and condensing units. It also provides microchannel, heat recovery, round tube plate fin, and motor and generator cooling coils; evaporator unit, fluid, transformer oil, gas, air blast, and dry and brine coolers, as well as remote condensers; and coatings to protect against corrosion. In addition, the company offers powertrain cooling products, including engine cooling modules, radiators, charge air coolers, condensers, oil coolers, fan shrouds, and surge tanks; on-engine cooling products comprising exhaust gas recirculation, engine oil, fuel, charge air, and intake air coolers; auxiliary cooling products, such as transmission and retarder oil coolers, and power steering coolers; and complete battery thermal management systems and electronics cooling packages. It serves heating, ventilation, and cooling OEMs; construction architects and contractors; wholesalers of heating equipment; automobile, truck, bus, and specialty vehicle OEMs; agricultural, industrial, and construction equipment OEMs; and commercial and industrial equipment OEMs. The company has operations in North America, South America, Europe, and Asia. Modine Manufacturing Company was incorporated in 1916 and is headquartered in Racine, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyModine generates revenue primarily through the sale of its thermal management products and systems across various industries. The company has a diversified revenue model that includes direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), aftermarket sales, and service contracts. Key revenue streams are derived from the automotive sector, where Modine supplies heat exchangers and cooling systems, as well as from industrial applications, where it provides customized heat management solutions. Additionally, Modine benefits from strategic partnerships with major manufacturers and suppliers, enhancing its market presence and driving sales. The company also invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, which can lead to increased market share and revenue growth.

Modine Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: 22.09%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in the Climate Solutions segment and significant investments and strategic acquisitions in the data center market, leading to an increased fiscal outlook. However, challenges in Performance Technologies and lower free cash flow were noted as areas of concern.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance in Climate Solutions
The Climate Solutions segment reported an 11% increase in revenue and a 10% improvement in adjusted EBITDA, with a margin of 20%. Recent acquisitions contributed significantly to this growth.
Significant Investment in Data Centers
Modine announced a $100 million investment to expand manufacturing capacity across four U.S. sites to meet the growing demand in the data center market, with an expectation to reach $2 billion in data center revenues by fiscal '28.
Increased Fiscal 2026 Outlook
The company raised its revenue and earnings outlook for fiscal '26, expecting total sales to grow between 10% and 15%, up from the previous range of 2% to 10%.
Successful Strategic Acquisitions
Acquisitions of AbsolutAire, L.B. White, and Climate by Design International integrated well into the company's HVAC Technologies Group, contributing to revenue and market expansion.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Performance Technologies
The Performance Technologies segment faced an 8% decline in revenues and reduced adjusted EBITDA, with market conditions expected to remain tough due to ongoing trade conflicts and lower demand.
Lower Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was only $200,000 for the quarter, impacted by higher inventory levels in Climate Solutions and restructuring and acquisition-related costs.
Continued Weakness in Vehicular Markets
The downturn in vehicular markets is expected to persist for several more quarters, impacting Performance Technologies.
Company Guidance
During Modine's first quarter fiscal 2026 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance, raising both revenue and earnings outlook for the fiscal year. Modine reported an 11% increase in revenue and a 10% improvement in adjusted EBITDA for its Climate Solutions segment, which was buoyed by recent acquisitions of AbsolutAire and L.B. White. The company also announced an ambitious $100 million investment to expand manufacturing capacity across four U.S. sites to support its growing data center business, aiming to reach $2 billion in data center revenues by fiscal 2028. Despite a downturn in vehicular markets leading to an 8% decline in Performance Technologies revenue, Modine is optimistic about future growth, with a projected total sales increase of 10% to 15% for fiscal 2026 and an adjusted EBITDA target of $440 million to $470 million.

Modine Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Modine demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, improved margins, and effective cash flow management. However, significant debt levels require ongoing attention.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Modine has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a 7.3% increase from 2024 to 2025. The gross profit margin improved to 24.9%, and the net profit margin rose to 7.1%, indicating enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also showed positive trends. Overall, the income statement reflects strong growth and profitability, enhancing Modine's financial position.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio improved, reflecting better leverage management, with a decrease from 0.68 in 2024 to 0.39 in 2025. The return on equity improved to 20.2%, showing efficient utilization of equity. The equity ratio increased to 47.5%, indicating a stronger equity base. However, the company still carries significant debt, which poses potential risks.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Modine's free cash flow grew by 2.5% from 2024 to 2025, demonstrating effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.16, reflecting strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy at 0.70, indicating efficient conversion of income to cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.60B2.58B2.41B2.30B2.05B1.81B
Gross Profit646.60M643.80M525.60M389.40M309.30M293.40M
EBITDA340.60M358.10M294.80M208.00M171.90M-31.30M
Net Income187.90M184.00M161.50M153.10M85.20M-209.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.23B1.92B1.85B1.57B1.43B1.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments124.50M71.60M60.10M70.60M48.90M37.80M
Total Debt527.10M350.80M509.00M413.40M431.70M390.50M
Total Liabilities1.21B999.40M1.10B966.30M968.90M920.60M
Stockholders Equity1.02B910.20M747.60M599.60M458.10M348.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow143.30M129.30M126.10M56.80M-28.80M117.10M
Operating Cash Flow200.50M213.30M214.60M107.50M11.50M149.80M
Investing Cash Flow-204.10M-86.60M-283.40M-50.40M-51.00M-31.30M
Financing Cash Flow53.30M-113.60M62.70M-33.30M39.20M-145.10M

Modine Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price138.72
Price Trends
50DMA
106.31
Positive
100DMA
96.28
Positive
200DMA
104.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
11.24
Negative
RSI
71.83
Negative
STOCH
75.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MOD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 138.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 121.47, above the 50-day MA of 106.31, and above the 200-day MA of 104.50, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 11.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.83 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MOD.

Modine Risk Analysis

Modine disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Modine reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Modine Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$3.32B11.5922.96%-3.26%-45.84%
76
Outperform
$5.50B12.079.51%2.98%-3.12%-8.23%
75
Outperform
$7.32B39.9820.88%6.45%14.21%
72
Outperform
$8.97B44.263.66%1.06%-2.12%-69.42%
68
Neutral
$2.60B9.01-41.90%0.93%-6.71%43.34%
59
Neutral
€9.01B10.49-13.89%4.55%0.76%-39.51%
56
Neutral
$2.36B6.058.37%-4.52%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MOD
Modine
138.72
28.50
25.86%
BWA
BorgWarner
41.42
8.78
26.90%
GT
GoodYear Tire
8.49
-0.45
-5.03%
LEA
Lear
102.42
-8.80
-7.91%
VC
Visteon
121.01
22.63
23.00%
GTX
Garrett Motion
12.85
4.82
60.02%

Modine Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Modine Appoints Alan S. Lowe to Board
Positive
Jul 21, 2025

On July 18, 2025, Modine Manufacturing Company appointed Alan S. Lowe to its Board of Directors, effective immediately, with a term ending in 2026. Lowe, who has extensive executive experience in technology and manufacturing sectors, is expected to contribute significantly to Modine’s ongoing transformation efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (MOD) stock is a Buy with a $125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Modine stock, see the MOD Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Modine Secures New Credit Agreement for Financial Flexibility
Positive
Jul 16, 2025

On July 10, 2025, Modine Manufacturing Company entered into a Sixth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, which extends its existing credit facilities and introduces a $400 million revolving credit facility and a $200 million term loan facility, both maturing on July 10, 2030. This agreement includes revised covenants and restructuring provisions, reflecting Modine’s strategic focus on financial flexibility and operational restructuring, particularly concerning its Performance Technologies segment’s automotive business exit.

The most recent analyst rating on (MOD) stock is a Buy with a $125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Modine stock, see the MOD Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Modine Acquires Climate by Design International
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

Modine Manufacturing Company recently acquired Climate by Design International (CDI), a leading designer and manufacturer of desiccant-based dehumidification equipment. This acquisition, completed on July 1, 2025, is part of Modine’s strategic initiative to enhance its product offerings and market reach. The acquisition is expected to be accretive to earnings per share and aligns with Modine’s goal to expand its comprehensive commercial indoor air quality portfolio. The company has also restructured its product groups within its Performance Technologies and Climate Solutions segments, although this will not affect financial reporting.

The most recent analyst rating on (MOD) stock is a Buy with a $125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Modine stock, see the MOD Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Modine Announces Merger with LBW Holding Corp.
Positive
May 30, 2025

On May 29, 2025, Modine Manufacturing Company announced a merger agreement with LBW Holding Corp., under which LBW Holding will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Modine. The transaction, valued at approximately $112 million, is expected to close by May 31, 2025, and aims to enhance Modine’s market position in climate solutions. The acquisition is anticipated to be accretive to earnings per share and will be funded through cash on hand and existing credit facilities, with no financing conditions or regulatory reviews required for closing.

The most recent analyst rating on (MOD) stock is a Buy with a $120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Modine stock, see the MOD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025