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Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD)
NYSE:MOD

Modine (MOD) AI Stock Analysis

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MOD

Modine

(NYSE:MOD)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$152.00
▲(10.43% Upside)
Modine's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, tempered by technical indicators suggesting bearish momentum and valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio. The decline in free cash flow and temporary margin erosion are risks that need monitoring.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth outlook indicates robust demand and effective strategic positioning, enhancing long-term market competitiveness.
Strategic Expansion
The new facility expands data center cooling capacity, supporting digital infrastructure growth and creating jobs, strengthening Modine's market position.
Climate Solutions Growth
Significant growth in Climate Solutions reflects successful strategic investments and increasing demand for energy-efficient technologies.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Decline
Negative free cash flow due to inventory builds and capital expenditures may strain financial flexibility and limit investment capacity.
Temporary Margin Erosion
Temporary margin erosion from expansion costs could pressure profitability, requiring careful cost management to maintain margins.
Performance Technologies Challenges
Revenue decline in Performance Technologies indicates market challenges, potentially affecting overall growth and segment profitability.

Modine (MOD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Modine Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionModine Manufacturing Company provides engineered heat transfer systems and heat transfer components for use in on- and off-highway original equipment manufacturer (OEM) vehicular applications. It operates through Climate Solutions and Performance Technologies segments. The company offers gas-fired, hydronic, electric, and oil-fired unit heaters; indoor and outdoor duct furnaces; infrared units; perimeter heating products, such as commercial fin-tube radiation, cabinet unit heaters, and convectors; roof-mounted direct- and indirect-fired makeup air units; unit ventilators; single packaged vertical units; precision air conditioning units for data center applications; air handler units; fan walls; chillers; ceiling cassettes; hybrid fan coils; and condensers and condensing units. It also provides microchannel, heat recovery, round tube plate fin, and motor and generator cooling coils; evaporator unit, fluid, transformer oil, gas, air blast, and dry and brine coolers, as well as remote condensers; and coatings to protect against corrosion. In addition, the company offers powertrain cooling products, including engine cooling modules, radiators, charge air coolers, condensers, oil coolers, fan shrouds, and surge tanks; on-engine cooling products comprising exhaust gas recirculation, engine oil, fuel, charge air, and intake air coolers; auxiliary cooling products, such as transmission and retarder oil coolers, and power steering coolers; and complete battery thermal management systems and electronics cooling packages. It serves heating, ventilation, and cooling OEMs; construction architects and contractors; wholesalers of heating equipment; automobile, truck, bus, and specialty vehicle OEMs; agricultural, industrial, and construction equipment OEMs; and commercial and industrial equipment OEMs. The company has operations in North America, South America, Europe, and Asia. Modine Manufacturing Company was incorporated in 1916 and is headquartered in Racine, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyModine generates revenue primarily through the sale of its thermal management products and systems across various sectors. Key revenue streams include the sale of heat exchangers and cooling systems for the automotive industry, which is a significant contributor to its earnings. Additionally, Modine earns revenue from its HVAC and industrial segment, providing solutions for commercial buildings and manufacturing processes. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with major automotive manufacturers and other industrial players, which enhance its market reach and product development capabilities. Factors such as increasing demand for energy-efficient solutions and regulatory support for sustainable technologies further contribute to Modine's earnings.

Modine Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call detailed significant revenue growth and expansion in the Climate Solutions segment, particularly in data center products, alongside strategic investments and global expansion plans. However, these positives were balanced by temporary margin erosion due to high costs associated with hiring and training, ongoing challenges in the Performance Technologies segment, and negative cash flow in the quarter.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Climate Solutions Segment Revenue Growth
The Climate Solutions segment posted a 24% increase in revenue, with data center sales increasing by 42% and HVAC Technologies by 25%, driven by recent acquisitions.
Data Center Capacity Expansion
Significant progress in expanding U.S. manufacturing capacity for data center products, including the launch of chiller production in Grenada, Mississippi, and plans for further expansion in Texas, Wisconsin, and Missouri.
Increased Revenue Outlook
Total company sales expected to grow 15% to 20% for fiscal 2026, with data center sales anticipated to grow over 60%.
Performance Technologies Segment Margin Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA margins for Performance Technologies increased by 90 basis points due to cost control measures, despite a 4% decline in revenues.
Successful Integration and Expansion Globally
Successful launch of data center products in Chennai, India, and plans to expand chiller capacity in the U.K. to support European demand.
Negative Updates
Temporary Margin Erosion in Climate Solutions
Additional costs from hiring and training 1,200 employees for data center expansion led to temporary margin erosion in Climate Solutions.
Challenges in Performance Technologies Revenue
Performance Technologies segment experienced a 4% revenue decline, with heavy-duty equipment and on-highway applications facing challenging market conditions.
Free Cash Flow Negativity
The company reported negative free cash flow of $30 million in the second quarter, primarily due to higher inventory builds and capital expenditures in Climate Solutions.
Lower Margin in HVAC Technologies
A negative mix impact and early integration steps for recent acquisitions led to lower margins in HVAC Technologies.
Company Guidance
During the Modine Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 earnings call, several key metrics and guidance were provided. The Climate Solutions segment reported a 24% increase in revenue, driven by a 42% rise in data center sales and the integration of three acquisitions—AbsolutAire, L.B. White, and Climate by Design International. Despite these gains, temporary margin erosion was noted due to significant investments in data center capacity expansion and associated costs, with 1,200 new employees hired to support this growth. Modine anticipates a substantial revenue increase between Q3 and Q4, with new production lines coming online, and expects data center sales to grow by over 60% this fiscal year. For fiscal 2026, the company raised its total revenue growth outlook to 15%-20%, while maintaining the adjusted EBITDA range of $440 million to $470 million. Additionally, free cash flow is projected to be 2.5%-3% of sales, with capacity investments and working capital needs highlighted as key financial drivers.

Modine Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Modine shows strong revenue growth and profitability with stable margins and effective equity utilization. The balance sheet is sound with manageable leverage. However, a significant decline in free cash flow growth poses a potential risk.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Modine has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 3.1% increase in the TTM period. The company maintains healthy margins, with a gross profit margin of 24.1% and a net profit margin of 6.9%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid at 10.7% and 12.5%, respectively, indicating efficient operations and profitability. The consistent revenue growth and improving margins reflect a positive trajectory in the income statement.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.55, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is robust at 19.4%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 44.1%, suggesting a stable financial structure. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial stability with a prudent level of leverage.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 40.2% in the TTM period, which is a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.28, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.40, indicating reasonable cash generation relative to net income. Despite the drop in free cash flow, the company maintains adequate cash flow coverage, but the decline warrants attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.69B2.58B2.41B2.30B2.05B1.81B
Gross Profit647.50M645.40M527.20M389.40M309.30M293.40M
EBITDA353.30M358.10M294.80M208.00M171.90M-31.30M
Net Income186.20M184.00M161.50M153.10M85.20M-210.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.39B1.92B1.85B1.57B1.43B1.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments83.80M71.60M60.10M67.10M45.20M37.80M
Total Debt582.10M449.40M431.60M352.70M377.80M334.50M
Total Liabilities1.32B999.40M1.10B966.30M968.90M920.60M
Stockholders Equity1.05B910.20M747.60M592.80M450.70M348.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow69.20M129.30M126.10M56.80M-28.80M117.10M
Operating Cash Flow172.30M213.30M214.60M107.50M11.50M149.80M
Investing Cash Flow-281.70M-86.60M-283.40M-50.40M-51.00M-31.30M
Financing Cash Flow142.60M-113.60M62.70M-33.30M39.20M-145.10M

Modine Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price137.64
Price Trends
50DMA
150.15
Negative
100DMA
146.54
Negative
200DMA
119.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.04
Positive
RSI
43.42
Neutral
STOCH
28.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MOD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 137.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 150.24, below the 50-day MA of 150.15, and above the 200-day MA of 119.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MOD.

Modine Risk Analysis

Modine disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Modine reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Modine Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$3.84B15.6318.19%7.94%34.84%
75
Outperform
$6.07B14.338.96%2.63%-1.90%-13.86%
71
Outperform
$8.36B12.3040.38%1.07%-4.21%-0.45%
70
Outperform
$16.50B60.633.25%2.16%-85.91%
68
Neutral
$7.25B39.7819.47%8.10%13.52%
65
Neutral
$9.66B72.382.24%1.24%0.08%-83.69%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MOD
Modine
137.64
17.14
14.22%
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings
100.48
-8.26
-7.60%
BWA
BorgWarner
45.17
13.39
42.13%
APTV
Aptiv
76.36
16.29
27.12%
DORM
Dorman Products
125.57
-7.49
-5.63%
LEA
Lear
117.06
24.98
27.13%

Modine Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Modine Announces Retirement of Climate Solutions President
Neutral
Dec 9, 2025

On December 4, 2025, Modine Manufacturing Company announced the planned retirement of Eric S. McGinnis, President of Climate Solutions, effective June 30, 2026. During the transition period, McGinnis will continue in his role to ensure a smooth transition and will receive his regular compensation and benefits. The agreement includes provisions for the vesting of equity awards and pro rata payouts of performance stock awards, contingent on McGinnis’s continued employment and fulfillment of certain conditions.

Executive/Board Changes
Modine Board Member Christopher Patterson to Retire
Neutral
Nov 14, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Christopher W. Patterson, a member of Modine Manufacturing Company’s Board of Directors, announced his intention to retire from the board effective November 17, 2025, citing personal reasons. His departure will result in the reduction of the board’s size from eleven to ten members, and he did not express any disagreements with the company’s operations, policies, or practices.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 13, 2025