Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD)
NYSE:MOD
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Modine (MOD) AI Stock Analysis

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MOD

Modine

(NYSE:MOD)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$174.00
▲(18.05% Upside)
Modine's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, particularly in revenue growth and strategic investments. However, valuation concerns and temporary margin erosion weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Modine's projected 15%-20% revenue growth for FY26, driven by strong demand in Climate Solutions, indicates robust market positioning and strategic execution.
Strategic Expansions
Expanding manufacturing capacity in the U.S. for data center products positions Modine to meet growing demand, supporting long-term revenue and market share growth.
Strong Financial Performance
Modine's strong financial metrics, including revenue growth and cash flow generation, highlight its operational efficiency and ability to invest in future growth.
Negative Factors
Temporary Margin Erosion
The temporary margin erosion due to high costs for expansion could impact short-term profitability, although it's a strategic investment for future growth.
Free Cash Flow Negativity
Negative free cash flow, driven by inventory builds and capital expenditures, may strain liquidity and limit financial flexibility in the near term.
Challenges in Performance Technologies
The revenue decline in Performance Technologies suggests market challenges that could affect segment profitability and require strategic adjustments.

Modine (MOD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Modine Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionModine Manufacturing Company (MOD) is a global leader in thermal management technology, specializing in the design and manufacturing of heating and cooling solutions for various sectors including automotive, industrial, commercial, and energy. The company offers a broad range of products such as radiators, heat exchangers, and HVAC systems that enhance efficiency and reduce emissions. Modine operates through multiple segments, focusing on providing innovative solutions that meet the needs of its diverse customer base worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyModine generates revenue primarily through the sale of its thermal management products and systems across various industries. The company has a diversified revenue model that includes direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), aftermarket sales, and service contracts. Key revenue streams are derived from the automotive sector, where Modine supplies heat exchangers and cooling systems, as well as from industrial applications, where it provides customized heat management solutions. Additionally, Modine benefits from strategic partnerships with major manufacturers and suppliers, enhancing its market presence and driving sales. The company also invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, which can lead to increased market share and revenue growth.

Modine Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call detailed significant revenue growth and expansion in the Climate Solutions segment, particularly in data center products, alongside strategic investments and global expansion plans. However, these positives were balanced by temporary margin erosion due to high costs associated with hiring and training, ongoing challenges in the Performance Technologies segment, and negative cash flow in the quarter.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Climate Solutions Segment Revenue Growth
The Climate Solutions segment posted a 24% increase in revenue, with data center sales increasing by 42% and HVAC Technologies by 25%, driven by recent acquisitions.
Data Center Capacity Expansion
Significant progress in expanding U.S. manufacturing capacity for data center products, including the launch of chiller production in Grenada, Mississippi, and plans for further expansion in Texas, Wisconsin, and Missouri.
Increased Revenue Outlook
Total company sales expected to grow 15% to 20% for fiscal 2026, with data center sales anticipated to grow over 60%.
Performance Technologies Segment Margin Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA margins for Performance Technologies increased by 90 basis points due to cost control measures, despite a 4% decline in revenues.
Successful Integration and Expansion Globally
Successful launch of data center products in Chennai, India, and plans to expand chiller capacity in the U.K. to support European demand.
Negative Updates
Temporary Margin Erosion in Climate Solutions
Additional costs from hiring and training 1,200 employees for data center expansion led to temporary margin erosion in Climate Solutions.
Challenges in Performance Technologies Revenue
Performance Technologies segment experienced a 4% revenue decline, with heavy-duty equipment and on-highway applications facing challenging market conditions.
Free Cash Flow Negativity
The company reported negative free cash flow of $30 million in the second quarter, primarily due to higher inventory builds and capital expenditures in Climate Solutions.
Lower Margin in HVAC Technologies
A negative mix impact and early integration steps for recent acquisitions led to lower margins in HVAC Technologies.
Company Guidance
During the Modine Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 earnings call, several key metrics and guidance were provided. The Climate Solutions segment reported a 24% increase in revenue, driven by a 42% rise in data center sales and the integration of three acquisitions—AbsolutAire, L.B. White, and Climate by Design International. Despite these gains, temporary margin erosion was noted due to significant investments in data center capacity expansion and associated costs, with 1,200 new employees hired to support this growth. Modine anticipates a substantial revenue increase between Q3 and Q4, with new production lines coming online, and expects data center sales to grow by over 60% this fiscal year. For fiscal 2026, the company raised its total revenue growth outlook to 15%-20%, while maintaining the adjusted EBITDA range of $440 million to $470 million. Additionally, free cash flow is projected to be 2.5%-3% of sales, with capacity investments and working capital needs highlighted as key financial drivers.

Modine Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Modine shows strong revenue growth and profitability with stable margins and effective equity utilization. The balance sheet is sound with manageable leverage. However, a significant decline in free cash flow growth poses a potential risk.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Modine has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 3.1% increase in the TTM period. The company maintains healthy margins, with a gross profit margin of 24.1% and a net profit margin of 6.9%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid at 10.7% and 12.5%, respectively, indicating efficient operations and profitability. The consistent revenue growth and improving margins reflect a positive trajectory in the income statement.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.55, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is robust at 19.4%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 44.1%, suggesting a stable financial structure. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial stability with a prudent level of leverage.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 40.2% in the TTM period, which is a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.28, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.40, indicating reasonable cash generation relative to net income. Despite the drop in free cash flow, the company maintains adequate cash flow coverage, but the decline warrants attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.69B2.58B2.41B2.30B2.05B1.81B
Gross Profit647.50M645.40M527.20M389.40M309.30M293.40M
EBITDA353.30M358.10M294.80M208.00M171.90M-31.30M
Net Income186.20M184.00M161.50M153.10M85.20M-210.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.39B1.92B1.85B1.57B1.43B1.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments83.80M71.60M60.10M67.10M45.20M37.80M
Total Debt582.10M449.40M431.60M352.70M377.80M334.50M
Total Liabilities1.32B999.40M1.10B966.30M968.90M920.60M
Stockholders Equity1.05B910.20M747.60M592.80M450.70M348.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow69.20M129.30M126.10M56.80M-28.80M117.10M
Operating Cash Flow172.30M213.30M214.60M107.50M11.50M149.80M
Investing Cash Flow-281.70M-86.60M-283.40M-50.40M-51.00M-31.30M
Financing Cash Flow142.60M-113.60M62.70M-33.30M39.20M-145.10M

Modine Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price147.40
Price Trends
50DMA
150.36
Negative
100DMA
134.00
Positive
200DMA
111.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.44
Positive
RSI
45.55
Neutral
STOCH
47.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MOD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 147.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 154.60, below the 50-day MA of 150.36, and above the 200-day MA of 111.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MOD.

Modine Risk Analysis

Modine disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Modine reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Modine Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$4.10B16.5818.19%7.94%34.84%
75
Outperform
$8.41B43.8519.47%8.10%13.52%
75
Outperform
$5.68B13.418.96%2.81%-1.90%-13.86%
73
Outperform
$17.88B65.703.25%2.16%-85.91%
72
Outperform
$9.67B72.462.24%1.09%0.08%-83.69%
68
Neutral
$6.89B10.1440.38%1.29%-4.21%-0.45%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MOD
Modine
147.40
27.23
22.66%
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings
82.05
-34.40
-29.54%
BWA
BorgWarner
46.01
12.07
35.56%
APTV
Aptiv
82.74
28.71
53.14%
DORM
Dorman Products
138.13
2.17
1.60%
LEA
Lear
109.57
16.49
17.72%

Modine Corporate Events

Modine Manufacturing Reports Strong Q2 Revenue Growth
Oct 30, 2025

Modine Manufacturing, a global leader in thermal management technology, operates in the Climate Solutions and Performance Technologies sectors, focusing on heating, cooling, and ventilation solutions to improve air quality and reduce energy consumption.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Modine Elects New Directors and Approves Key Votes
Neutral
Aug 22, 2025

On August 21, 2025, Modine Manufacturing Company held a shareholder vote to elect Neil D. Brinker, Katherine C. Harper, David J. Wilson, and Mark Bendza as directors until the 2028 Annual Meeting. The shareholders also approved the advisory vote on executive officer compensation and ratified the appointment of KPMG as the independent registered public accounting firm.

The most recent analyst rating on (MOD) stock is a Buy with a $159.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Modine stock, see the MOD Stock Forecast page.

Modine Manufacturing’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Aug 2, 2025

Modine Manufacturing’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust growth and strategic foresight, particularly in the Climate Solutions segment. The company reported strong gains in this area, alongside significant investments in the data center market, which have bolstered its fiscal outlook. However, challenges remain in the Performance Technologies segment, and lower free cash flow has been flagged as a concern.

Modine Manufacturing Reports Strong Q1 2026 Results
Aug 1, 2025

Modine Manufacturing Company, a global leader in thermal management technology, specializes in providing heating, cooling, and ventilation solutions across various industries, with operations spanning North America, South America, Europe, and Asia.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025