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Borgwarner Inc (BWA)
NYSE:BWA
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BorgWarner (BWA) AI Stock Analysis

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BWA

BorgWarner

(NYSE:BWA)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$78.00
▲(40.14% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/29/26
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals and strong free-cash-flow momentum, supported by clear technical uptrend signals. These positives are tempered by weak net profitability/ROE and earnings-call risks tied to battery demand headwinds and cautious macro outlook, while valuation is reasonable but the dividend is modest.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow
Sustained TTM FCF ($1.45B) and robust operating cash flow provide durable internal funding for R&D, capex, buybacks and debt reduction. Reliable cash conversion improves financial flexibility through vehicle-cycle volatility and supports strategic investment in electrification.
Negative Factors
Weak net margin and ROE
Low net margin (~2.5%) and compressed ROE (~6%) indicate weak bottom‑line conversion despite improved operating results. Persistently low returns on capital limit reinvestment and shareholder returns and require sustained margin recovery to restore long‑term profitability metrics.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong free cash flow
Sustained TTM FCF ($1.45B) and robust operating cash flow provide durable internal funding for R&D, capex, buybacks and debt reduction. Reliable cash conversion improves financial flexibility through vehicle-cycle volatility and supports strategic investment in electrification.
Read all positive factors

BorgWarner Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsBorgWarner's revenue in North America and Europe has faced recent challenges, including a fire issue and a cyber-related shutdown, impacting sales. Despite these setbacks, the company achieved organic sales growth and improved margins, as highlighted in their latest earnings call. Asia remains a stable contributor, while the 'Other' category shows gradual recovery. BorgWarner's strategic focus on new business awards and increased financial guidance suggests resilience and potential for future growth, even amidst ongoing semiconductor supply concerns.
Data provided by:The Fly

BorgWarner (BWA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BorgWarner Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
BorgWarner Inc. provides solutions for combustion, hybrid, and electric vehicles worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Air Management, E-Propulsion & Drivetrain, Fuel Injection, and Aftermarket. The Air Management segment offers t...
How the Company Makes Money
BorgWarner makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling propulsion and drivetrain components and systems to automotive original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and, to a lesser extent, through the aftermarket. Its revenue model is largely vol...

BorgWarner Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a broadly positive operational and financial picture: Q1 results showed margin expansion (50 bps), adjusted EPS growth (+12%), continued strong award activity (12 wins) and tangible progress on new industrial initiatives (turbine generator B‑samples, BESS and inverter B‑samples). Management left full‑year guidance unchanged, signaling confidence in execution though noting macro and battery demand headwinds. Key challenges include a decline in the battery segment (noted as a ~150 bps sales headwind), modest Q1 free cash flow in absolute terms, and early‑stage uncertainty around scaling the new data‑center/industrial businesses and potential supply constraints. On balance, the highlights (profitability, EPS growth, awards, clear product commercialization milestones and disciplined capital returns) outweigh the lowlights, but management retains caution given market uncertainty.
Positive Updates
Quarterly Sales
Reported Q1 2026 sales of $3.5 billion; reported sales roughly flat year‑over‑year with FX tailwind of +$167 million, a battery segment headwind of -$54 million, and the remaining organic sales decline of $95 million (≈ -2.7%) in line with market production.
Negative Updates
Battery Energy Systems Decline
Battery Energy Systems segment weakness: YoY sales decline driven by reduced demand (lack of North American incentives and weaker European demand). Management expects battery decline to represent roughly a 150 basis point headwind to full‑year sales.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Quarterly Sales
Reported Q1 2026 sales of $3.5 billion; reported sales roughly flat year‑over‑year with FX tailwind of +$167 million, a battery segment headwind of -$54 million, and the remaining organic sales decline of $95 million (≈ -2.7%) in line with market production.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
BorgWarner reaffirmed full‑year 2026 guidance calling for total sales of $14.0–$14.3 billion (with an assumed ~$200 million FX tailwind from a stronger euro/RMB), a 2026 organic sales decline of roughly 3.5% to 1.5% year‑over‑year (battery sales expected to be a ~150‑bp headwind) and weighted end markets flat to down ~3% (light‑vehicle >80% of sales); full‑year adjusted operating margin is forecast at 10.7%–10.9% (2025: 10.7%)—including ~10 bps benefit from the exit of the charging business—and contemplates decremental conversion ranging from low‑double‑digits at the low end to mid‑teens depending on cost actions; adjusted EPS is guided to $5.00–$5.20 per diluted share (midpoint ≈ +4% vs. 2025 adjusted EPS) and free cash flow to $900 million–$1.1 billion.

BorgWarner Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue has re-accelerated (TTM +12.6%) and operating profitability improved, while cash flow is a clear strength with sharply higher TTM free cash flow ($1.45B). The main drag is weak net margin (~2.5%) and lower ROE (~6%), indicating limited bottom-line conversion despite manageable leverage.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.33B14.32B14.08B14.20B12.63B14.84B
Gross Profit2.71B2.67B2.61B2.57B2.37B2.86B
EBITDA2.04B1.34B1.32B1.67B1.56B1.69B
Net Income362.00M277.00M338.00M625.00M944.00M537.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.65B13.77B13.99B14.45B16.99B16.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.11B2.31B2.09B1.53B1.08B1.84B
Total Debt4.07B4.18B4.34B3.93B4.31B4.52B
Total Liabilities8.01B8.15B8.29B8.39B9.49B9.31B
Stockholders Equity5.48B5.44B5.53B5.83B7.22B6.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.45B1.18B681.00M477.00M948.00M638.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.72B1.65B1.35B1.31B1.57B1.31B
Investing Cash Flow-404.00M-368.00M-603.00M-694.00M-1.48B-1.43B
Financing Cash Flow-937.00M-1.12B-167.00M-419.00M-511.00M319.00M

BorgWarner Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price55.66
Price Trends
50DMA
58.05
Positive
100DMA
55.32
Positive
200DMA
49.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.59
Negative
RSI
74.12
Negative
STOCH
89.42
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BWA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 55.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 63.55, below the 50-day MA of 58.05, and above the 200-day MA of 49.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.12 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.42 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BWA.

BorgWarner Risk Analysis

BorgWarner disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BorgWarner reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BorgWarner Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$7.36B13.8310.41%2.63%2.86%17.30%
72
Outperform
$9.65B13.3927.78%2.60%6.14%7.30%
71
Outperform
$14.63B40.736.34%1.24%2.36%34.03%
64
Neutral
$9.41B17.5729.49%1.07%13.99%-25.70%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$13.47B39.803.90%5.20%-71.83%
53
Neutral
$3.91B-24.02-12.67%1.70%-23.37%-131.29%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BWA
BorgWarner
71.82
39.75
123.96%
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings
113.53
12.67
12.57%
ALV
Autoliv
127.12
28.79
29.28%
DAN
Dana Incorporated
35.41
19.18
118.23%
APTV
Aptiv
67.94
12.62
22.82%
LEA
Lear
143.12
58.18
68.49%

BorgWarner Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
BorgWarner Names Stefan Demmerle to Key Technology Role
Positive
May 28, 2026
On May 26, 2026, BorgWarner Inc. announced the appointment of Stefan Demmerle as Vice President of BorgWarner Inc., President and General Manager of Battery Energy Systems, and Chief Technology Officer, effective July 1, 2026. Demmerle has led Bor...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDividendsShareholder Meetings
BorgWarner Shareholders Approve Amended Stock Incentive Plan
Positive
Apr 30, 2026
At its April 29, 2026 annual meeting, BorgWarner shareholders approved an amended and restated 2023 Stock Incentive Plan, adding 8.3 million shares of common stock available for equity awards. Investors also elected eight directors, backed executi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 29, 2026