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BorgWarner (BWA)
NYSE:BWA

BorgWarner (BWA) AI Stock Analysis

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BWA

BorgWarner

(NYSE:BWA)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$52.00
▲(7.71% Upside)
BorgWarner's overall stock score reflects a stable financial position with strong cash flow generation and increased financial guidance. However, the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, and technical indicators point to potential bearish momentum. The company's strategic focus on new business awards and shareholder returns is a positive, but challenges in profitability and operational efficiency remain.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Consistent and growing free cash flow provides durable flexibility to fund R&D, capital investments for electrification, and shareholder returns without over-reliance on external financing. This strengthens the company’s ability to execute strategy through automotive cycles.
New business awards and product breadth
Winning multiple OEM awards across foundational and e-products diversifies revenue streams and cements relationships with automakers. This expands content per vehicle across combustion, hybrid and EV platforms, improving revenue visibility and long-term market positioning.
Manageable leverage and solid capital structure
Moderate leverage and a healthy equity ratio support capital allocation flexibility for product development and M&A while limiting refinancing risk. A solid capital structure increases resilience to demand shocks and underpins sustained strategic investments.
Negative Factors
Weak net profitability
Sub‑1% net margin and declining profitability metrics reduce internal funding capacity and return on capital. Sustained low margins constrain reinvestment in technology, compress shareholder returns, and make the company more vulnerable if revenue growth stalls.
Decline in battery and charging sales
Weakness in the battery/charging segment undermines participation in EV growth, a structural market opportunity. If this persists it could slow the company’s transition toward higher-growth e-products and limit long-term upside from electrification trends.
Operational and supply-chain disruption risk
Recurring operational incidents and semiconductor constraints create persistent delivery and margin risks. Continued disruptions erode OEM trust, delay program ramps, and can force costly remediation or inventory buffers, limiting operational efficiency over months.

BorgWarner (BWA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BorgWarner Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBorgWarner Inc. provides solutions for combustion, hybrid, and electric vehicles worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Air Management, E-Propulsion & Drivetrain, Fuel Injection, and Aftermarket. The Air Management segment offers turbochargers, eBoosters, eTurbos, timing systems, emissions systems, thermal systems, gasoline ignition technology, smart remote actuators, powertrain sensors, canisters, cabin heaters, battery modules and systems, battery packs, battery heaters, and battery charging. The E-Propulsion & Drivetrain segment provides rotating electrical components, power electronics, control modules, software, friction, and mechanical products for automatic transmissions and torque-management products. The Fuel Injection segment develops and manufactures gasoline and diesel fuel injection components and systems. The Aftermarket segment sells products and services to independent aftermarket customers and original equipment service customers. This segment provides a range of solutions, including fuel injection, electronics and engine management, maintenance, and test equipment and vehicle diagnostics. The company sells its products to original equipment manufacturers of light vehicles, which comprise passenger cars, sport-utility vehicles, vans, and light trucks; commercial vehicles, including medium-duty and heavy-duty trucks, and buses; and off-highway vehicles, such as agricultural and construction machinery, and marine applications, as well as to tier one vehicle systems suppliers and the aftermarket for light, commercial, and off-highway vehicles. The company was formerly known as Borg-Warner Automotive, Inc. BorgWarner Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Auburn Hills, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyBorgWarner generates revenue primarily through the sale of its automotive components and systems. Key revenue streams include the supply of turbochargers, electric and hybrid vehicle technologies, and transmission systems to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in the automotive industry. The company also earns revenue from aftermarket products and services, which provide maintenance and replacement parts for vehicles. Significant partnerships with major automakers and ongoing investments in research and development for innovative propulsion solutions further enhance its market position and contribute to its earnings. Additionally, the transition towards electrification and sustainability in the automotive sector presents growth opportunities for BorgWarner, allowing it to capitalize on emerging trends and technologies.

BorgWarner Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsBorgWarner's revenue in North America and Asia shows fluctuations, with recent declines in North America contrasting with a more stable trend in Asia. Europe, however, is experiencing a resurgence, aligning with BorgWarner's improved financial guidance and strong eProduct sales growth. Despite challenges in the CV battery and charging systems segment, the company's strategic focus on eProducts and shareholder returns is evident. The earnings call highlights a robust performance in new business awards and financial metrics, suggesting confidence in overcoming tariff headwinds and foundational segment weaknesses.
Data provided by:The Fly

BorgWarner Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
BorgWarner reported a strong quarter with significant achievements in organic sales growth, new business awards, and improved financial metrics. Despite challenges such as a decline in battery and charging sales, a cyber-related shutdown, and semiconductor supply concerns, the company increased its financial guidance and returned substantial value to shareholders.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Organic Sales Growth
BorgWarner achieved organic sales growth of just over 2% in the third quarter, despite challenges such as downtime at a European customer due to a cyber-related shutdown. Excluding the decline in the CV battery and Charging Systems segment, organic sales were up approximately 4% year-over-year.
New Business Awards
BorgWarner secured 8 new business awards across foundational products and e-products, demonstrating the strength of their portfolio and demand for efficient powertrain technology globally.
Improved Adjusted Operating Margin
The adjusted operating margin for the third quarter was 10.7%, a 60 basis point increase year-over-year despite a 60 basis point net tariff headwind.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow for the third quarter was $266 million, a 32% increase from the previous year.
Increased Financial Guidance
BorgWarner increased its full-year guidance for adjusted margin, adjusted EPS, and free cash flow.
Significant Shareholder Returns
BorgWarner returned approximately $136 million, or over 50% of its third-quarter free cash flow, to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends.
Negative Updates
Battery and Charging Sales Decline
There was a decline in battery and charging sales, which was a 100 basis point headwind to overall outgrowth in 2025.
Cyber-Related Shutdown Impact
A cyber-related shutdown at a European customer negatively impacted sales growth.
North American Program Fire Impact
A fire issue at a North American customer affected their operations, impacting sales in the fourth quarter.
Continued Semiconductor Supply Concerns
Ongoing global semiconductor supply concerns are expected to be a 60 basis point headwind to year-over-year sales growth.
Company Guidance
During the BorgWarner 2025 Third Quarter Results Conference Call, the company reported a robust performance despite certain challenges. They achieved an organic sales growth of just over 2% for the quarter, with a notable increase of 4% in organic sales, excluding the decline in their CV battery and Charging Systems segment. Their adjusted operating margin improved by 60 basis points year-over-year to 10.7%, despite facing a 60 basis point net tariff headwind. The company generated strong free cash flow of $266 million, a 32% increase from the previous year, and returned approximately $136 million to shareholders, equating to over 50% of their third-quarter free cash flow. Looking forward, BorgWarner has increased its guidance for adjusted margin, adjusted EPS, and free cash flow for the full year. They anticipate full-year sales in the range of $14.1 billion to $14.3 billion, with an adjusted operating margin between 10.3% and 10.5%, and free cash flow of $850 million to $950 million. The company secured multiple new business awards across their portfolio, including contracts with Chery and Stellantis, and continued to focus on capitalizing on new business opportunities and efficiently deploying capital to drive shareholder value.

BorgWarner Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BorgWarner demonstrates stable financial performance with moderate revenue growth and strong cash flow generation. However, profitability metrics have weakened, and operational efficiency needs improvement. The balance sheet remains solid with manageable leverage, supporting long-term stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
BorgWarner's income statement shows a modest revenue growth of 1.1% in the TTM period, recovering from a slight decline in the previous year. The gross profit margin remains stable at around 18.5%, but the net profit margin has decreased to 0.94%, indicating pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, suggesting challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity has decreased to 2.31% in the TTM period, showing reduced profitability. However, the equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a strong free cash flow growth of 11.92% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.50, reflecting efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.92, highlighting strong cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.18B14.08B14.20B12.63B14.84B10.16B
Gross Profit2.62B2.61B2.57B2.37B2.86B1.91B
EBITDA1.30B1.32B1.67B1.56B1.69B1.58B
Net Income134.00M338.00M625.00M944.00M537.00M500.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.50B13.99B14.45B16.99B16.57B16.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.17B2.09B1.53B1.08B1.84B1.65B
Total Debt4.06B4.34B3.93B4.31B4.52B4.01B
Total Liabilities8.35B8.29B8.39B9.49B9.31B9.30B
Stockholders Equity5.99B5.53B5.83B7.22B6.95B6.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.44B681.00M477.00M948.00M638.00M723.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.71B1.35B1.31B1.57B1.31B1.22B
Investing Cash Flow-389.00M-603.00M-694.00M-1.48B-1.43B-906.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.17B-167.00M-419.00M-511.00M319.00M437.00M

BorgWarner Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price48.28
Price Trends
50DMA
45.31
Positive
100DMA
44.43
Positive
200DMA
39.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.76
Positive
RSI
59.87
Neutral
STOCH
70.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BWA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 48.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 47.55, above the 50-day MA of 45.31, and above the 200-day MA of 39.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.76 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BWA.

BorgWarner Risk Analysis

BorgWarner disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BorgWarner reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BorgWarner Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$9.59B13.0431.09%2.60%0.84%26.17%
75
Outperform
$6.19B14.618.96%2.63%-1.90%-13.86%
72
Outperform
$9.20B13.5440.38%1.07%-4.21%-0.45%
70
Outperform
$16.81B62.593.25%2.16%-85.91%
65
Neutral
$10.33B77.362.24%1.24%0.08%-83.69%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
53
Neutral
$3.41B65.98-4.82%1.70%-18.23%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BWA
BorgWarner
48.93
16.57
51.21%
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings
111.56
-5.78
-4.93%
ALV
Autoliv
126.43
27.97
28.41%
DAN
Dana Incorporated
29.00
12.81
79.12%
APTV
Aptiv
78.83
15.92
25.31%
LEA
Lear
120.58
26.70
28.44%

BorgWarner Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
BorgWarner Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

On November 12, 2025, BorgWarner‘s Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.17 per share, payable on December 15, 2025, to stockholders of record as of December 1, 2025. This announcement reflects BorgWarner’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders, reinforcing its stable financial position and strategic focus in the mobility industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (BWA) stock is a Buy with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BorgWarner stock, see the BWA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025