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BorgWarner (BWA)
NYSE:BWA
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BorgWarner (BWA) AI Stock Analysis

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BWA

BorgWarner

(NYSE:BWA)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$76.00
▲(19.35% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/11/26
BWA scores as moderately attractive primarily on improving financial trajectory and strong cash generation, reinforced by a constructive earnings call (raised EPS guidance, robust free cash flow, and sizable buybacks). Technicals also support the view with an uptrend versus major moving averages. The main constraint on the score is valuation (high P/E with a low dividend yield) alongside ongoing organic sales and BES-related headwinds.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow strength
Sustained free cash flow growth and strong operating cash generation provide durable financial flexibility to fund capex, R&D, debt paydown and buybacks. This improves resilience through auto cycles and underpins shareholder returns while supporting strategic electrification investments.
Negative Factors
BES headwind & losses
Battery Energy Systems remains a drag with modest profitability and market incentive sensitivity. Persistent weakness or slow scale-up in BES can continue to erode reported sales and margins, requiring sustained investment and time to reach break-even or meaningful contribution to earnings.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free cash flow strength
Sustained free cash flow growth and strong operating cash generation provide durable financial flexibility to fund capex, R&D, debt paydown and buybacks. This improves resilience through auto cycles and underpins shareholder returns while supporting strategic electrification investments.
Read all positive factors

BorgWarner Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsEurope and Asia remain BorgWarner’s largest revenue engines and have largely recovered from the 2023 trough, while North America’s volatility has eased into a steadier recovery through 2025. Management’s guidance, however, warns a meaningful battery-systems decline and China softness that could erode regional momentum despite FX tailwinds and new product awards. In short, geographic revenue is resilient today but exposed to near-term battery/China headwinds; meaningful diversification upside (turbine generator, e‑product wins) is real but won’t fully offset weakness until multi-year ramps begin.
Data provided by:The Fly

BorgWarner (BWA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BorgWarner Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
BorgWarner Inc. (BWA) is a prominent global supplier of advanced propulsion technologies, catering to a wide spectrum of vehicles including those powered by internal combustion engines, hybrids, and fully electric drivetrains. The company's operat...
How the Company Makes Money
BorgWarner primarily makes money by supplying engineered components and systems to automotive OEM customers under production supply contracts and platform awards tied to specific vehicle programs. Revenue is largely generated from (1) high-volume ...

BorgWarner Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong operational execution: flat reported sales with modest organic growth excluding BES, 100 basis points of adjusted margin expansion, 17% adjusted EPS growth, robust free cash flow and an enlarged share buyback authorization. Management reinforced progress on strategic industrial initiatives (turbine generator, BESS, inverters) with several product milestones and seven new awards, and raised R&D to accelerate these opportunities. Offsetting this optimism are near-term headwinds from the Battery Energy Systems segment, an expected organic sales decline for the year (-3.5% to -1.5%), decremental conversion risk on lower volumes, and timing/scale risks for industrial market ramps. Overall, the positive financial execution, cash return actions and tangible industrial progress materially outweigh the headwinds.
Positive Updates
Solid top-line and organic performance
Q2 sales of over $3.6 billion; organic net sales excluding the Battery Energy Systems (BES) decline were up modestly year-over-year (organic increase of $18 million, ~0.5%), modestly outperforming the decline in light-vehicle market production.
Negative Updates
Battery Energy Systems (BES) headwind
BES drove a year-over-year Q2 sales decrease of ~$62 million and is expected to cause roughly a 170 basis point headwind to full-year sales due to weak North American incentives and weaker European demand. BES only modestly profitable to-date (H1 losses reported ~ $4M before other offsets) despite restructuring actions.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Solid top-line and organic performance
Q2 sales of over $3.6 billion; organic net sales excluding the Battery Energy Systems (BES) decline were up modestly year-over-year (organic increase of $18 million, ~0.5%), modestly outperforming the decline in light-vehicle market production.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
BorgWarner maintained 2026 guidance for sales of $14.0–$14.3 billion (vs $14.3B in 2025) while forecasting full‑year adjusted operating margin of 10.7%–10.9% (2025: 10.7%) and raising adjusted EPS to $5.05–$5.30 per diluted share (up from $5.00–$5.20), with the midpoint EPS implying ~5% growth versus 2025; full‑year free cash flow is guided to $900 million–$1.1 billion (midpoint ~$1.0B). The company expects an FX tailwind of about $175 million, weighted end markets to be flat to down 3%, organic sales to be down 3.5% to down 1.5% (with the battery business ~170 bps headwind and light‑vehicle sales ~80% of total), and noted the exit of the charging business adds ~10 bps to margin; management also plans an incremental $10–$15 million of industrial R&D in H2 while continuing significant share repurchases (≈$650M repurchased over the past four quarters, Q2 repurchases ≈$100M, and Board authorization increased by $1.0B to $1.35B, ≈10% of market cap).

BorgWarner Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Results are improving but still mixed: TTM revenue is up 7% (~$14.34B) and EBIT margin has recovered to ~5.0%, yet profitability remains thin (TTM net margin ~2.5%) and historically volatile. Balance sheet leverage appears manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.74) but ROE is only ~6.3%. Cash flow is the standout strength with TTM operating cash flow of ~$1.73B and free cash flow of ~$1.45B (+~18.5% growth).
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.34B14.32B14.08B14.20B12.63B14.84B
Gross Profit2.79B2.67B2.61B2.57B2.37B2.86B
EBITDA1.32B1.34B1.32B1.67B1.56B1.69B
Net Income415.00M277.00M338.00M625.00M944.00M537.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.93B13.77B13.99B14.45B16.99B16.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.45B2.31B2.09B1.53B1.08B1.84B
Total Debt4.07B4.18B4.34B3.93B4.31B4.52B
Total Liabilities8.14B8.15B8.29B8.39B9.49B9.31B
Stockholders Equity5.62B5.44B5.53B5.83B7.22B6.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.21B1.18B681.00M477.00M948.00M638.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.73B1.65B1.35B1.31B1.57B1.31B
Investing Cash Flow-435.00M-368.00M-603.00M-694.00M-1.48B-1.43B
Financing Cash Flow-878.00M-1.12B-167.00M-419.00M-511.00M319.00M

BorgWarner Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price63.68
Price Trends
50DMA
67.29
Positive
100DMA
63.23
Positive
200DMA
55.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.90
Negative
RSI
58.70
Neutral
STOCH
75.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BWA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 63.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 65.36, below the 50-day MA of 67.29, and above the 200-day MA of 55.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BWA.

BorgWarner Risk Analysis

BorgWarner disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BorgWarner reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BorgWarner Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$8.94B14.3225.10%2.94%5.89%-7.00%
68
Neutral
$13.98B34.337.37%1.06%2.17%111.19%
67
Neutral
$6.16B11.6010.90%2.14%3.55%25.67%
66
Neutral
$10.39B19.8527.88%0.92%37.56%-28.71%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
55
Neutral
$3.26B-18.97-13.31%1.63%-15.78%-384.04%
53
Neutral
$10.29B47.202.41%5.20%-71.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BWA
BorgWarner
68.66
27.51
66.85%
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings
125.87
38.47
44.02%
ALV
Autoliv
122.11
6.69
5.79%
DAN
Dana Incorporated
30.35
12.12
66.52%
APTV
Aptiv
49.56
-14.57
-22.72%
LEA
Lear
124.95
25.02
25.04%

BorgWarner Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
BorgWarner Announces Debt Tender Offers and Redemption Plan
Positive
Aug 10, 2026
On August 10, 2026, BorgWarner Inc. launched cash tender offers for any and all of its 7.125% Senior Notes due 2029, along with up to $720 million of several other series of senior notes maturing between 2027 and 2045. The offers use a waterfall s...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDividends
BorgWarner Adds Independent Director, Maintains Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Jul 31, 2026
On July 30, 2026, BorgWarner’s board expanded from eight to nine members and appointed former Deere Company executive Rajesh Kalathur as an independent director, with his compensation set under the company’s standard non‑employe...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
BorgWarner Names Stefan Demmerle to Key Technology Role
Positive
May 28, 2026
On May 26, 2026, BorgWarner Inc. announced the appointment of Stefan Demmerle as Vice President of BorgWarner Inc., President and General Manager of Battery Energy Systems, and Chief Technology Officer, effective July 1, 2026. Demmerle has led Bor...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2026