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BorgWarner (BWA)
NYSE:BWA

BorgWarner (BWA) AI Stock Analysis

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BorgWarner

(NYSE:BWA)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$37.00
▲(4.11%Upside)
BorgWarner's stock score is driven by strong technical momentum and a stable financial foundation, particularly in cash flow management and balance sheet stability. The high P/E ratio suggests a need for future earnings growth to justify the current valuation. Positive sentiment from the latest earnings call highlights strong eProduct sales and operational improvements, though challenges remain in managing tariffs and business restructuring. Overall, BorgWarner presents a robust investment opportunity, provided it can sustain its growth trajectory and manage external headwinds.
Positive Factors
Growth and Market Position
BWA is highlighted as one of the best auto suppliers based on growth, margins, balance sheet, and valuation.
Strategy and Innovation
BWA's strategy includes a strong ICE portfolio and a significant content opportunity on BEV, with inverter and eHeater products leading the market.
Negative Factors
Capital Allocation
Investors criticize BWA for being a poor capital allocator, citing overpayments for technology acquisitions.
Financial Outlook
Soft 2025 outlook slightly below 2024 and consensus.

BorgWarner (BWA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BorgWarner Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBorgWarner Inc. is a global leader in providing innovative and sustainable mobility solutions for the automotive industry. The company is primarily involved in the design, manufacture, and sale of technologies for combustion, hybrid, and electric vehicles. BorgWarner operates in key sectors such as propulsion, drivetrain, and thermal management systems, serving both original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and the aftermarket segment. With a strong focus on advancing electric and hybrid vehicle technology, BorgWarner is at the forefront of driving the transition towards cleaner and more efficient transportation solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyBorgWarner generates revenue through the sale of its diverse range of automotive components and systems. The company's key revenue streams include the production and supply of propulsion systems, including turbochargers, emissions systems, and electric propulsion components such as eMotors and power electronics. BorgWarner also earns from drivetrain products, including transmission and all-wheel drive systems, as well as from thermal management solutions that enhance vehicle efficiency and performance. Additionally, BorgWarner capitalizes on a robust aftermarket business, supplying replacement parts and services. Significant partnerships with automotive OEMs and a strategic focus on electric vehicle technologies further bolster the company's revenue by aligning with the industry's shift towards sustainable mobility.

BorgWarner Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 22.98%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
BorgWarner demonstrated strong performance in eProducts and secured significant new business awards, which support future growth. The company also achieved notable improvements in operating margin and free cash flow. However, challenges such as exiting the charging business, consolidating battery systems in North America, and managing tariff impacts present headwinds. The overall sentiment is positive due to the substantial highlights outweighing the lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong eProduct Sales Growth
Light vehicle eProduct sales increased by 47%, outperforming the 25% increase in global hybrid and BEV production, showcasing BorgWarner's product leadership and technology demand.
New Business Awards
BorgWarner secured multiple new product awards, including a Hybrid eMotor Award and a High-Voltage Coolant Heater Award, indicating strong future growth potential.
Improved Operating Margin
Adjusted operating margin performance was strong at 10%, reflecting effective cost controls and eProduct growth.
Free Cash Flow Improvement
Free cash flow improved by over $270 million or 89% year-over-year, demonstrating strong financial management.
Negative Updates
Exit from Charging Business
BorgWarner decided to exit its charging business due to lack of scale and market growth, resulting in the shutdown or sale of five locations.
North American Battery Systems Consolidation
Lower than expected demand led to capacity consolidation actions in North America, resulting in a $10 million cash cost and expected annual cost savings of $20 million by 2026.
Tariff Impact Concerns
The company faces a significant impact from tariffs, estimated at over $200 million, with ongoing efforts to mitigate and negotiate recoveries with customers.
Company Guidance
During the BorgWarner 2025 First Quarter Results Conference Call, several key metrics and guidance points were shared. The company reported organic sales of over $3.5 billion, remaining relatively flat despite a decline in market production. Sales outperformed the market by 3.7%, driven by a 47% increase in light vehicle eProduct sales. The adjusted operating margin was strong at 10%, and the free cash flow improved by over $270 million, or 89% year-over-year. The company decided to exit its charging business, which is expected to eliminate $30 million of annual operating losses, and consolidated battery production in North America, aiming for annual cost savings of approximately $20 million by 2026. Full-year 2025 sales guidance was updated to $13.6 billion to $14.2 billion, with an expected full-year sales outgrowth of 200 to 400 basis points. The adjusted EPS guidance remained at $4 to $4.45 per share, and free cash flow was projected to be between $650 million and $750 million. The company emphasized its ongoing focus on operational performance, cost control, and shareholder value creation.

BorgWarner Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BorgWarner exhibits a solid financial foundation with strengths in cash flow management and a stable balance sheet. However, the company faces challenges in revenue growth and profitability, as reflected in its income statement. Maintaining operational efficiency while focusing on strategic growth opportunities will be key for BorgWarner to enhance its financial performance in the competitive Auto - Parts industry.
Income Statement
66
Positive
The income statement shows a moderate performance for BorgWarner in the Auto - Parts industry. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at 18.87%, indicating decent efficiency in controlling production costs. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 2.06%, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. Revenue has seen a decline when compared to previous years, with a TTM revenue of $14.01 billion, down from $14.19 billion the previous year, indicating a need for growth stimulation. Despite this, the EBIT and EBITDA margins of 3.82% and 9.16%, respectively, suggest stable operational efficiency. Overall, while operational efficiency is maintained, revenue growth and profitability need improvement.
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
BorgWarner's balance sheet demonstrates a stable financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.71, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging debt while maintaining solvency. The company's equity ratio is 41.35%, showing strong equity financing relative to total assets. The return on equity (ROE) is 5.05%, which is moderate but could be improved to enhance shareholder value. The overall balance sheet strength is solid, though there is room for increasing profitability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The cash flow statement reflects a strong cash generation capability, with a TTM free cash flow of $992 million, marking substantial growth from the previous period's $729 million. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 5.45, indicating efficient conversion of net income into cash. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 3.43 further highlights the company's ability to generate cash beyond its net earnings, providing financial flexibility. Overall, BorgWarner's cash flow management is commendable, supporting its operational and strategic initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.01B14.09B14.20B15.80B14.84B10.16B
Gross Profit2.64B2.65B2.57B3.10B2.85B1.91B
EBITDA1.28B1.32B1.67B1.64B1.69B1.58B
Net Income289.00M338.00M625.00M944.00M537.00M500.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.83B13.99B14.45B16.99B16.57B16.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.71B2.09B1.53B1.34B1.84B1.65B
Total Debt4.04B4.34B3.93B4.23B4.33B3.79B
Total Liabilities7.94B8.29B8.39B9.49B9.31B9.28B
Stockholders Equity5.72B5.53B5.83B7.22B6.95B6.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow992.00M729.00M565.00M846.00M638.00M723.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.57B1.38B1.40B1.57B1.31B1.22B
Investing Cash Flow-522.00M-603.00M-593.00M-1.42B-1.40B-906.00M
Financing Cash Flow-381.00M-167.00M-521.00M-567.00M286.00M437.00M

BorgWarner Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.54
Price Trends
50DMA
31.94
Positive
100DMA
30.16
Positive
200DMA
31.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.66
Negative
RSI
70.26
Negative
STOCH
88.21
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BWA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.29, above the 50-day MA of 31.94, and above the 200-day MA of 31.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.66 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.26 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.21 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BWA.

BorgWarner Risk Analysis

BorgWarner disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BorgWarner reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BorgWarner Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$8.25B11.3350.15%1.10%3.86%16.02%
79
Outperform
$15.80B12.0215.52%-2.47%-43.12%
BWBWA
76
Outperform
$7.81B28.585.38%1.24%-8.23%-52.61%
LELEA
75
Outperform
$5.52B12.1010.00%2.98%-3.15%-6.70%
ALALV
75
Outperform
$9.15B13.6328.71%2.37%-2.29%35.00%
66
Neutral
$5.20B13.5615.90%2.07%-1.66%-9.20%
62
Neutral
$16.85B11.50-7.38%2.96%1.59%-23.36%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BWA
BorgWarner
35.32
4.42
14.30%
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings
97.93
24.48
33.33%
ALV
Autoliv
117.74
13.97
13.46%
APTV
Aptiv
72.56
2.38
3.39%
GNTX
Gentex
23.13
-9.84
-29.85%
LEA
Lear
103.58
-6.28
-5.72%

BorgWarner Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsDividends
BorgWarner Elects Directors and Approves Compensation
Neutral
May 1, 2025

At the Annual Meeting on April 30, 2025, BorgWarner‘s stockholders elected eight directors to the Board and approved executive compensation and the selection of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for 2025. A proposal to remove the one-year holding requirement for calling special meetings was rejected. Additionally, the Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.11 per share, payable on June 16, 2025, to stockholders of record on June 2, 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 14, 2025