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Autoliv (ALV)
NYSE:ALV
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Autoliv (ALV) AI Stock Analysis

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ALV

Autoliv

(NYSE:ALV)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$130.00
▲(6.77% Upside)
Autoliv's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including record sales and strategic investments. However, bearish technical indicators and challenges such as unfavorable customer mix and tariff impacts weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Autoliv's consistent revenue growth highlights its strong market position and ability to capitalize on vehicle production trends, ensuring long-term stability and expansion opportunities.
Strategic Investments
These strategic investments enhance Autoliv's innovation capacity and market penetration in key regions, positioning the company for sustained growth and competitive advantage.
Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash flow generation underscores Autoliv's strong financial health, providing flexibility for future investments and resilience against economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Unfavorable Customer Mix
An unfavorable customer mix can limit revenue potential and affect profitability, requiring strategic adjustments to align with market demands and optimize sales channels.
Tariff and Inflation Impacts
Persistent tariff and inflation pressures can erode margins, necessitating cost management strategies to maintain profitability and competitive pricing.
Challenges in Europe and Japan
Declining vehicle production in key regions may hinder revenue growth, requiring strategic focus on emerging markets to offset regional downturns.

Autoliv (ALV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Autoliv Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAutoliv, Inc. is a global leader in automotive safety systems, headquartered in Sweden. The company specializes in the design, development, and manufacture of safety products including airbags, seatbelts, steering wheels, and other critical safety components. Autoliv operates across several sectors, primarily serving the automotive industry, and focuses on enhancing vehicle safety and reducing traffic-related fatalities through innovative technology and engineering solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyAutoliv generates revenue primarily through the sale of automotive safety products to vehicle manufacturers worldwide. The company operates through two main business segments: Airbag Systems and Seatbelt Systems. Key revenue streams include direct sales of airbags and seatbelt assemblies, as well as related safety electronics and sensors. Autoliv also engages in long-term contracts with major automotive OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers), which provide a stable income source. Additionally, the company invests in research and development to innovate and improve its product offerings, ensuring competitiveness in the market. Strategic partnerships with automotive manufacturers and participation in safety regulatory initiatives further enhance Autoliv's market presence and contribute to its earnings.

Autoliv Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 17, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong sales and earnings growth, particularly in China and India, improved operating margins, and strategic investments in R&D and joint ventures in China. However, challenges such as unfavorable customer mix, delays in China, and negative impacts from tariffs and inflation were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Sales and Earnings
Autoliv achieved record-breaking third quarter sales and earnings, driven by strong market position and customer relationships. Sales increased by 6% year-over-year, reaching approximately $2.7 billion.
Strong Performance in China and India
Sales growth with Chinese OEMs returned to outperformance due to recent product launches, with China accounting for 90% of group sales. India contributed to 1/3 of global organic growth, with content per vehicle increasing from $120 in 2024 to $140 in 2025.
Improved Operating Margin and Earnings Per Share
Adjusted operating income for Q3 increased by 14% to USD 271 million, with an adjusted operating margin of 10.3%, up 70 basis points. Record earnings per share for Q3 were noted, with a 26% increase year-over-year.
Strategic Investments in China
Autoliv is investing in a second R&D center in China and announced a joint venture with HSAE to develop advanced safety electronics, aiming to capture more value and enhance market entry.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Europe and Japan
Light vehicle production in Western Europe and Japan declined by approximately 2% to 3%, impacting the overall regional light vehicle production mix unfavorably.
Unfavorable Customer Mix and Delays
Autoliv experienced a negative customer mix in North America and Europe, and delays in new launches in China, impacting expected sales growth.
Negative Impact from Tariffs and Inflation
Unrecovered tariffs and the dilutive effects of recovered portions resulted in a negative impact of approximately 20 basis points on operating margin. No out-of-period inflation compensation is expected in Q4.
Company Guidance
During the Autoliv, Inc. third-quarter 2025 financial results conference call, several key metrics were highlighted, underscoring a record-breaking quarter for the company. Sales grew by 6% year-over-year, driven by outperformance in light vehicle production in Asia and South America, along with favorable currency effects and tariff-related compensations. This growth was offset by an unfavorable regional and customer mix. The adjusted operating income increased by 14% to USD 271 million from USD 237 million a year ago, with an adjusted operating margin of 10%, marking a 70 basis point improvement. Operating cash flow was USD 258 million, a significant 46% increase compared to USD 177 million the previous year. Earnings per share reached a record high for the quarter, more than tripling over five years, mainly due to strong net profit growth and reduced share count. The company also announced a quarterly dividend increase to $0.85 per share, reflecting confidence in financial strength and long-term value creation. Key strategic investments were made, including a second R&D center in China and a joint venture with HSAE to advance safety electronics development, positioning the company for continued growth and innovation.

Autoliv Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Autoliv demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is stable, but attention to debt management is advisable. Cash flow performance is adequate, though improvements in free cash flow are necessary to sustain long-term growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Autoliv's income statement shows strong performance with consistent revenue growth, evidenced by a 5.3% increase in TTM. The company maintains healthy profitability margins, with a gross profit margin of 19% and a net profit margin of 6.8% in TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved, indicating efficient operations. However, the slight decline in revenue growth in 2024 suggests potential market challenges.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.90 in TTM, showing a slight improvement from previous years. Return on equity is robust at 30.5%, indicating effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure. However, the company should monitor its debt levels to maintain financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a mixed picture. While operating cash flow remains strong, the free cash flow has seen a decline of 4.7% in TTM, which could impact future investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, but the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates room for improvement. The company should focus on enhancing free cash flow generation to support growth initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.61B10.39B10.47B8.84B8.23B7.45B
Gross Profit2.05B1.93B1.82B1.40B1.51B1.25B
EBITDA1.45B1.37B1.08B1.03B1.07B735.00M
Net Income752.00M646.00M488.00M423.00M435.00M187.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.46B7.80B8.33B7.72B7.54B8.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments225.00M330.00M498.00M594.00M969.00M1.18B
Total Debt2.15B2.07B2.04B1.92B2.14B2.55B
Total Liabilities5.90B5.52B5.76B5.09B4.89B5.73B
Stockholders Equity2.55B2.28B2.56B2.61B2.63B2.41B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow571.00M480.00M409.00M128.00M296.00M509.30M
Operating Cash Flow1.03B1.06B982.00M713.00M754.00M848.90M
Investing Cash Flow-445.00M-563.00M-569.00M-485.00M-454.00M-339.60M
Financing Cash Flow-737.00M-680.00M-490.00M-531.00M-469.00M160.10M

Autoliv Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price121.76
Price Trends
50DMA
122.06
Negative
100DMA
118.54
Positive
200DMA
106.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.35
Negative
RSI
56.57
Neutral
STOCH
86.17
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 121.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 118.17, below the 50-day MA of 122.06, and above the 200-day MA of 106.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.17 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALV.

Autoliv Risk Analysis

Autoliv disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Autoliv reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Autoliv Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$5.62B13.278.96%2.80%-1.90%-13.86%
74
Outperform
$9.22B12.5431.09%2.42%0.84%26.17%
73
Outperform
$17.74B66.433.25%2.16%-85.91%
72
Outperform
$9.60B71.912.24%1.11%0.08%-83.69%
71
Outperform
$2.90B9.5523.16%0.25%-4.03%-39.51%
66
Neutral
$5.06B13.6515.29%2.04%2.99%-9.82%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALV
Autoliv
121.76
25.64
26.67%
BWA
BorgWarner
44.93
11.49
34.36%
APTV
Aptiv
83.66
27.41
48.73%
GNTX
Gentex
23.48
-6.10
-20.62%
LEA
Lear
110.13
16.81
18.01%
VC
Visteon
106.67
14.79
16.10%

Autoliv Corporate Events

Autoliv Reports Record Q3 2025 Earnings and Sales
Oct 18, 2025

Autoliv, a leader in automotive safety systems, specializes in the development and production of airbags, seatbelts, and steering wheels, serving a global market with a strong presence in Asia and the Americas. In its latest earnings report for the third quarter of 2025, Autoliv announced record-breaking sales and earnings per share, driven by robust performance in the Americas and Asia, despite challenges in Europe and China. The company reported a 5.9% increase in net sales to $2,706 million and a significant 31% rise in diluted earnings per share to $2.28. Operating income also saw an 18% increase, reaching $267 million, with an operating margin of 9.9%. Autoliv’s strategic focus on cost reductions and tariff compensations contributed to these positive results. The company also highlighted a substantial 46% increase in operating cash flow, alongside a reduction in capital expenditures, which bolstered free operating cash flow. Looking ahead, Autoliv remains optimistic about achieving its full-year guidance with an adjusted operating margin target of 10-10.5%, supported by ongoing efficiency improvements and strategic partnerships in China.

Autoliv Reports Record Sales and Strategic Growth
Oct 18, 2025

Autoliv’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust growth and strategic advancements, tempered by certain challenges. The overall sentiment was positive, with strong sales and earnings growth, particularly in China and India, alongside improved operating margins. However, the company acknowledged hurdles such as unfavorable customer mix, delays in China, and the adverse effects of tariffs and inflation.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Autoliv Achieves Record Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 17, 2025

Autoliv reported record-breaking financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with net sales reaching $2,706 million, a 5.9% increase from the previous year. The company achieved a 3.9% organic sales growth and a 9.9% operating margin, driven by cost reductions and tariff compensations. Despite challenges in China and Europe, Autoliv outperformed in Asia ex. China and the Americas. The company’s profitability improved significantly, with a 31% increase in diluted EPS and a 46% rise in operating cash flow. Autoliv’s strategic initiatives, including a joint venture in China and a new R&D center, are expected to bolster future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALV) stock is a Buy with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Autoliv stock, see the ALV Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Autoliv Approves Retention Award for Magnus Jarlegren
Neutral
Sep 11, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Autoliv‘s Leadership Development and Compensation Committee approved a retention equity award for Magnus Jarlegren to enhance retention and leadership stability. The award, valued at $900,000 in time-vested restricted stock units, will be granted on November 17, 2025, and will vest after three years, contingent on Mr. Jarlegren’s continued employment.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALV) stock is a Hold with a $126.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Autoliv stock, see the ALV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025