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Autoliv (ALV)
NYSE:ALV
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Autoliv (ALV) AI Stock Analysis

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ALV

Autoliv

(NYSE:ALV)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$130.00
▲(9.93% Upside)
Autoliv's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including record sales and strategic investments. However, bearish technical indicators and challenges such as unfavorable customer mix and tariff impacts weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Autoliv's consistent revenue growth highlights its strong market position and ability to capitalize on vehicle production trends, ensuring long-term stability and expansion opportunities.
Strategic Investments
These strategic investments enhance Autoliv's innovation capacity and market penetration in key regions, positioning the company for sustained growth and competitive advantage.
Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash flow generation underscores Autoliv's strong financial health, providing flexibility for future investments and resilience against economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Unfavorable Customer Mix
An unfavorable customer mix can limit revenue potential and affect profitability, requiring strategic adjustments to align with market demands and optimize sales channels.
Tariff and Inflation Impacts
Persistent tariff and inflation pressures can erode margins, necessitating cost management strategies to maintain profitability and competitive pricing.
Challenges in Europe and Japan
Declining vehicle production in key regions may hinder revenue growth, requiring strategic focus on emerging markets to offset regional downturns.

Autoliv (ALV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Autoliv Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAutoliv, Inc., through its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and supplies passive safety systems to the automotive industry in Europe, the Americas, China, Japan, and rest of Asia. It offers passive safety systems, including modules and components for frontal-impact airbag protection systems, side-impact airbag protection systems, seatbelts, steering wheels, inflator technologies, and battery cut-off switches, as well as anti-whiplash systems and pedestrian protection systems, and connected safety services and solutions for riders of powered two wheelers. The company primarily serves car manufacturers. Autoliv, Inc. was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyAutoliv generates revenue primarily through the sale of automotive safety products to vehicle manufacturers. The company's revenue model is based on long-term contracts with major automotive OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers), where they supply safety systems that are essential for vehicle compliance with safety regulations. Key revenue streams include the sales of airbags, seatbelt systems, and electronic safety systems, which are integral to modern vehicles. Autoliv also invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, including collaborations with technology companies to enhance safety features in autonomous vehicles. Significant partnerships with leading automotive brands help secure ongoing revenue and facilitate the introduction of new safety technologies into the market.

Autoliv Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 17, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong sales and earnings growth, particularly in China and India, improved operating margins, and strategic investments in R&D and joint ventures in China. However, challenges such as unfavorable customer mix, delays in China, and negative impacts from tariffs and inflation were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Sales and Earnings
Autoliv achieved record-breaking third quarter sales and earnings, driven by strong market position and customer relationships. Sales increased by 6% year-over-year, reaching approximately $2.7 billion.
Strong Performance in China and India
Sales growth with Chinese OEMs returned to outperformance due to recent product launches, with China accounting for 90% of group sales. India contributed to 1/3 of global organic growth, with content per vehicle increasing from $120 in 2024 to $140 in 2025.
Improved Operating Margin and Earnings Per Share
Adjusted operating income for Q3 increased by 14% to USD 271 million, with an adjusted operating margin of 10.3%, up 70 basis points. Record earnings per share for Q3 were noted, with a 26% increase year-over-year.
Strategic Investments in China
Autoliv is investing in a second R&D center in China and announced a joint venture with HSAE to develop advanced safety electronics, aiming to capture more value and enhance market entry.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Europe and Japan
Light vehicle production in Western Europe and Japan declined by approximately 2% to 3%, impacting the overall regional light vehicle production mix unfavorably.
Unfavorable Customer Mix and Delays
Autoliv experienced a negative customer mix in North America and Europe, and delays in new launches in China, impacting expected sales growth.
Negative Impact from Tariffs and Inflation
Unrecovered tariffs and the dilutive effects of recovered portions resulted in a negative impact of approximately 20 basis points on operating margin. No out-of-period inflation compensation is expected in Q4.
Company Guidance
During the Autoliv, Inc. third-quarter 2025 financial results conference call, several key metrics were highlighted, underscoring a record-breaking quarter for the company. Sales grew by 6% year-over-year, driven by outperformance in light vehicle production in Asia and South America, along with favorable currency effects and tariff-related compensations. This growth was offset by an unfavorable regional and customer mix. The adjusted operating income increased by 14% to USD 271 million from USD 237 million a year ago, with an adjusted operating margin of 10%, marking a 70 basis point improvement. Operating cash flow was USD 258 million, a significant 46% increase compared to USD 177 million the previous year. Earnings per share reached a record high for the quarter, more than tripling over five years, mainly due to strong net profit growth and reduced share count. The company also announced a quarterly dividend increase to $0.85 per share, reflecting confidence in financial strength and long-term value creation. Key strategic investments were made, including a second R&D center in China and a joint venture with HSAE to advance safety electronics development, positioning the company for continued growth and innovation.

Autoliv Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Autoliv's financial performance is strong, with solid revenue growth and improved profitability. The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with prudent debt management. Cash flow generation is robust, although there is potential to enhance free cash flow conversion.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Autoliv has demonstrated solid revenue growth with a TTM revenue increase of 1.44% compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin has improved to 19.32% in the TTM, indicating efficient cost management. Net profit margin has also increased to 7.08%, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT margin has slightly decreased, suggesting potential pressure on operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.84 in the TTM, indicating a more balanced capital structure. Return on equity is strong at 31.19%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio remains moderate, suggesting a balanced but cautious approach to leveraging assets.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Autoliv's free cash flow growth rate is impressive at 26.89% in the TTM, highlighting robust cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating strong cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests room for improvement in translating profits into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.61B10.39B10.47B8.84B8.23B7.45B
Gross Profit2.05B1.93B1.82B1.40B1.51B1.25B
EBITDA1.45B1.37B1.08B1.03B1.07B735.00M
Net Income752.00M646.00M488.00M423.00M435.00M187.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.46B7.80B8.33B7.72B7.54B8.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments225.00M330.00M498.00M594.00M969.00M1.18B
Total Debt2.15B2.07B2.04B1.92B2.14B2.55B
Total Liabilities5.90B5.52B5.76B5.09B4.89B5.73B
Stockholders Equity2.55B2.28B2.56B2.61B2.63B2.41B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow571.00M480.00M409.00M128.00M296.00M509.30M
Operating Cash Flow1.03B1.06B982.00M713.00M754.00M848.90M
Investing Cash Flow-445.00M-563.00M-569.00M-485.00M-454.00M-339.60M
Financing Cash Flow-737.00M-680.00M-490.00M-531.00M-469.00M160.10M

Autoliv Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price118.26
Price Trends
50DMA
119.54
Negative
100DMA
118.49
Negative
200DMA
107.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.70
Positive
RSI
50.57
Neutral
STOCH
40.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 118.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 118.25, below the 50-day MA of 119.54, and above the 200-day MA of 107.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.70 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALV.

Autoliv Risk Analysis

Autoliv disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Autoliv reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Autoliv Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$5.59B13.198.96%2.96%-1.90%-13.86%
74
Outperform
$8.98B12.2231.09%2.64%0.84%26.17%
72
Outperform
$9.19B68.842.24%1.10%0.08%-83.69%
71
Outperform
$2.81B9.2623.16%0.53%-4.03%-39.51%
70
Outperform
$4.98B13.4515.23%2.11%2.99%-9.80%
64
Neutral
$16.60B61.013.25%2.16%-85.91%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALV
Autoliv
118.26
22.62
23.65%
BWA
BorgWarner
42.96
9.12
26.95%
APTV
Aptiv
76.83
21.30
38.36%
GNTX
Gentex
22.73
-7.23
-24.13%
LEA
Lear
107.77
12.97
13.68%
VC
Visteon
103.10
10.20
10.98%

Autoliv Corporate Events

Dividends
Autoliv Increases Quarterly Dividend by 2.4%
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Autoliv announced an increase in its quarterly dividend by 2.4% to $0.87 per share for the fourth quarter of 2025. The dividend will be distributed to common stockholders on December 10, 2025, and to Swedish Depository Receipt holders on December 11, 2025. This decision reflects Autoliv’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders, with an annualized total dividend of approximately $260 million, indicating strong financial health and confidence in future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALV) stock is a Buy with a $130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Autoliv stock, see the ALV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Autoliv Issues EUR 300 Million Notes for Sustainability
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Autoliv, Inc. issued EUR 300 million in notes due in 2030 with a 3.000% coupon rate, aimed at funding projects in clean transportation, renewable energy, energy efficiency, and de-carbonization. The notes are listed on Euronext Dublin and are not registered under the U.S. Securities Act, reflecting Autoliv’s strategic focus on sustainable initiatives and its positioning in the global financial markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALV) stock is a Buy with a $130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Autoliv stock, see the ALV Stock Forecast page.

Autoliv Reports Record Q3 2025 Earnings and Sales
Oct 18, 2025

Autoliv, a leader in automotive safety systems, specializes in the development and production of airbags, seatbelts, and steering wheels, serving a global market with a strong presence in Asia and the Americas. In its latest earnings report for the third quarter of 2025, Autoliv announced record-breaking sales and earnings per share, driven by robust performance in the Americas and Asia, despite challenges in Europe and China. The company reported a 5.9% increase in net sales to $2,706 million and a significant 31% rise in diluted earnings per share to $2.28. Operating income also saw an 18% increase, reaching $267 million, with an operating margin of 9.9%. Autoliv’s strategic focus on cost reductions and tariff compensations contributed to these positive results. The company also highlighted a substantial 46% increase in operating cash flow, alongside a reduction in capital expenditures, which bolstered free operating cash flow. Looking ahead, Autoliv remains optimistic about achieving its full-year guidance with an adjusted operating margin target of 10-10.5%, supported by ongoing efficiency improvements and strategic partnerships in China.

Autoliv Reports Record Sales and Strategic Growth
Oct 18, 2025

Autoliv’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust growth and strategic advancements, tempered by certain challenges. The overall sentiment was positive, with strong sales and earnings growth, particularly in China and India, alongside improved operating margins. However, the company acknowledged hurdles such as unfavorable customer mix, delays in China, and the adverse effects of tariffs and inflation.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Autoliv Achieves Record Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 17, 2025

Autoliv reported record-breaking financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with net sales reaching $2,706 million, a 5.9% increase from the previous year. The company achieved a 3.9% organic sales growth and a 9.9% operating margin, driven by cost reductions and tariff compensations. Despite challenges in China and Europe, Autoliv outperformed in Asia ex. China and the Americas. The company’s profitability improved significantly, with a 31% increase in diluted EPS and a 46% rise in operating cash flow. Autoliv’s strategic initiatives, including a joint venture in China and a new R&D center, are expected to bolster future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALV) stock is a Buy with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Autoliv stock, see the ALV Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Autoliv Approves Retention Award for Magnus Jarlegren
Neutral
Sep 11, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Autoliv‘s Leadership Development and Compensation Committee approved a retention equity award for Magnus Jarlegren to enhance retention and leadership stability. The award, valued at $900,000 in time-vested restricted stock units, will be granted on November 17, 2025, and will vest after three years, contingent on Mr. Jarlegren’s continued employment.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALV) stock is a Hold with a $126.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Autoliv stock, see the ALV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025