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Lear Corp (LEA)
NYSE:LEA
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Lear (LEA) AI Stock Analysis

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LEA

Lear

(NYSE:LEA)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$113.00
▲(9.37% Upside)
Lear Corporation's stock score reflects strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and cash flow management. The valuation is attractive with a reasonable P/E ratio and a solid dividend yield. While technical indicators show mixed signals, the company's strategic initiatives and financial flexibility are positive factors. Challenges such as flat sales and tariff risks are notable but balanced by operational efficiencies and strategic wins.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Lear reported solid 2Q results with revenue, operating margin, and EPS above the Street.
Growth Opportunities
Lear's E-Systems business is expected to see above-average growth due to increased connectivity and electrification in vehicles.
Market Position
Lear is viewed as a leader in the seating market.
Negative Factors
Export Challenges
Lear expects its OEM customers to undergrow the market in part due to tariff impacts on exports to the US.
Guidance Challenges
The 2H25 EBIT guidance is below consensus, and revenue growth remains more challenged.
Uncertainty
Lear's management decided to withdraw full-year guidance due to elevated macro, regulatory, and industry uncertainty.

Lear (LEA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lear Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLear Corporation (LEA) is a global leader in automotive seating and electrical systems, providing innovative products and solutions for the automotive industry. With a diverse portfolio, Lear operates through two primary segments: Seating and E-Systems. The Seating segment designs and manufactures automotive seating systems, including seat structures and mechanisms, while the E-Systems segment focuses on advanced electrical distribution systems and electronic components that enhance vehicle connectivity and safety.
How the Company Makes MoneyLear generates revenue through the sale of its seating and electrical systems to major automotive manufacturers worldwide. The company's revenue model is primarily based on long-term contracts with original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), which involves supplying components and systems as part of the vehicle production process. Key revenue streams include the sale of seating systems, electrical distribution systems, and related components. Partnerships with major automotive brands and a focus on innovation in areas such as electric vehicles and smart technology further contribute to Lear's earnings, allowing the company to capture a share of the growing market for advanced automotive features.

Lear Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 25, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.46%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with significant achievements in operational efficiency, strategic market wins, and a positive financial outlook, but also highlighted challenges with flat sales, volume declines, and tariff risks.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Earnings Performance
Lear delivered $6 billion of revenue in Q2 2025, with core operating earnings of $292 million and an operating margin of 4.8%. Adjusted earnings per share stood at $3.47.
Strategic Wins and Market Expansion
Lear won key new business, including a conquest program in Asia with BMW and seat components for Ford F-150 and F-250 trucks. In E-Systems, they secured key wire awards with a major global EV automaker.
Operational Efficiency and Savings
Efficiency improvements and restructuring investments generated $30 million in savings in H1 2025, with an additional $90 million expected in H2.
Positive Financial Outlook
Lear increased its full-year net performance outlook by approximately $25 million to over $150 million, reinstated its share repurchase plan, and completed refinancing of its $2 billion revolver.
Negative Updates
Volume and Sales Decline
Sales were flat year-over-year at $6 billion, with a 1% decline excluding certain impacts, reflecting lower volumes on Lear platforms and discontinued product lines.
Challenges in Key Markets
Production volumes declined by 3% in North America and 2% in Europe, with lower year-over-year production on key platforms like Jeep Wagoneer and Audi Q5.
Tariff and Trade Policy Risks
Lear faced $210 million in gross direct tariff exposure for 2025, with a $30 million impact from tariff recovery timing lag expected into 2026.
Company Guidance
During the Lear Corporation Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance and key financial metrics. Lear reported $6 billion in revenue for the second quarter, with core operating earnings of $292 million and an operating margin of 4.8%. Adjusted earnings per share were $3.47, and operating cash flow was $296 million. Lear's full-year guidance was restored, with an expected net performance increase of approximately $25 million to over $150 million. The company also reinstated its share repurchase plan, buying back $25 million in shares during the quarter. Lear successfully refinanced a $2 billion revolver, extending its maturity to July 2030, and plans to repurchase $250 million worth of stock for the year. The company highlighted strategic wins, including a key conquest program with BMW in Asia and several ComfortFlex and ComfortMax Seat awards, contributing to an expected average annual revenue of over $150 million. Investments in automation and restructuring generated $60 million in savings in the first half, with an additional $90 million expected in the second half.

Lear Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lear demonstrates strong revenue growth and maintains robust cash flow operations, yet faces some profitability challenges. The balance sheet remains stable with a balanced leverage approach. Overall, the financial health is solid with potential areas for improvement in profitability and free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The company's revenue has shown a steady growth trend, with a notable increase from previous years. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a strong gross profit margin of 6.88% and a solid EBIT margin of 3.76%. However, there is a slight decline in net income compared to the previous annual report, reflecting a net profit margin of 2.09% which suggests some pressure on profitability.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Lear exhibits a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.59, indicating a balanced use of debt and equity. The equity ratio stands at 31.85%, showcasing a stable financial structure. The return on equity (ROE) is 10.25%, reflecting positive returns but with room for improvement. Overall, the balance sheet maintains a healthy leverage and equity position.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Free cash flow has decreased in the TTM, with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.00, indicating efficient cash conversion. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.15, which is strong and suggests good cash flow management. Although there is a decrease in free cash flow growth, the company maintains healthy cash flow operations.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.31B23.47B20.89B19.26B17.05B
Gross Profit1.64B1.84B1.41B1.39B1.11B
EBITDA1.46B1.66B1.18B1.25B1.13B
Net Income506.60M572.50M327.70M373.90M158.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.03B14.70B13.76B13.35B13.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.05B1.20B1.11B1.32B1.31B
Total Debt2.91B2.92B2.61B2.60B2.31B
Total Liabilities9.43B9.63B8.93B8.54B8.58B
Stockholders Equity4.45B4.92B4.83B4.81B4.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow561.40M622.80M383.20M85.00M210.80M
Operating Cash Flow1.12B1.25B1.02B670.10M663.10M
Investing Cash Flow-543.00M-761.50M-830.30M-646.70M-468.80M
Financing Cash Flow-693.90M-419.50M-387.30M-13.60M-411.70M

Lear Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price103.32
Price Trends
50DMA
98.01
Positive
100DMA
92.16
Positive
200DMA
93.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
61.06
Neutral
STOCH
98.45
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LEA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 103.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 99.29, above the 50-day MA of 98.01, and above the 200-day MA of 93.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 98.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LEA.

Lear Risk Analysis

Lear disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lear reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lear Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$3.24B11.7722.96%-3.26%-45.84%
76
Outperform
$5.32B11.689.51%2.98%-3.12%-8.23%
75
Outperform
$8.91B12.6929.99%2.34%-0.98%21.64%
72
Outperform
$8.69B42.863.66%1.06%-2.12%-69.42%
71
Outperform
$15.61B12.3815.52%-2.47%-43.12%
66
Neutral
$6.08B15.6916.38%1.73%2.43%-1.25%
61
Neutral
C$4.66B8.5313.40%3.62%3.21%-2.41%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LEA
Lear
103.32
-4.83
-4.47%
ALV
Autoliv
118.94
22.04
22.75%
BWA
BorgWarner
41.45
9.35
29.13%
APTV
Aptiv
74.29
5.60
8.15%
GNTX
Gentex
27.69
-1.26
-4.35%
VC
Visteon
121.61
24.37
25.06%

Lear Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lear Extends $2 Billion Credit Facility to 2030
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Lear Corporation entered into a second amended and restated credit agreement, extending the maturity of its $2.0 billion unsecured revolving credit facility to July 24, 2030. The agreement includes various interest rate options and covenants, with Lear in compliance as of the agreement date, potentially enhancing its financial flexibility and stability in the automotive industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (LEA) stock is a Buy with a $170.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lear stock, see the LEA Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Lear Corporation Holds 2025 Annual Shareholders Meeting
Positive
May 19, 2025

On May 16, 2025, Lear Corporation held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where various proposals were voted on, including the election of directors and the ratification of the appointment of an independent registered public accounting firm. The results of the voting indicate strong support for the current board members and executive compensation, which could imply continued confidence in the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (LEA) stock is a Buy with a $180.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lear stock, see the LEA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 13, 2025