LKQ Corp (LKQ)
NASDAQ:LKQ
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LKQ (LKQ) AI Stock Analysis

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LKQ

LKQ

(NASDAQ:LKQ)

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Neutral 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
$34.00
▲(9.54% Upside)
LKQ's overall stock score reflects a stable financial position with some challenges. The most significant factor is the company's financial performance, which shows declining margins and negative revenue growth. Technical analysis indicates a mixed outlook, with short-term bullish momentum but longer-term challenges. Valuation is attractive, offering a reasonable P/E ratio and a solid dividend yield. The earnings call provided some positive updates, but ongoing challenges in key markets remain a concern.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Management
Strong cash flow management ensures LKQ can finance operations and invest in growth, supporting long-term business stability.
Cost-Cutting Initiatives
Effective cost-cutting enhances margin performance and operational efficiency, positioning LKQ for improved profitability.
Portfolio Simplification
Simplifying the portfolio allows LKQ to focus on core operations, streamline costs, and strengthen its balance sheet through debt repayment.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenues and earnings pressure indicate challenges in maintaining growth, potentially impacting long-term market position.
European Market Challenges
Economic and competitive pressures in Europe pose risks to LKQ's market share and profitability in a key region.
Rising Debt Levels
Increasing debt can strain financial flexibility and cash flow, potentially limiting LKQ's ability to invest in future growth.

LKQ (LKQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

LKQ Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLKQ Corporation distributes replacement parts, components, and systems used in the repair and maintenance of vehicles. It operates through three segments: North America, Europe, and Specialty. The company distributes bumper covers, automotive body panels, and lights, as well as automotive glass products, such as windshields; salvage products, including mechanical and collision parts comprising engines; transmissions; door assemblies; sheet metal products, such as trunk lids, fenders, and hoods; lights and bumper assemblies; scrap metal and other materials to metals recyclers; and brake pads, discs and sensors, clutches, steering and suspension products, filters, and oil and automotive fluids, as well as electrical products, including spark plugs and batteries. In addition, the company distributes recreational vehicle appliances and air conditioners, towing hitches, truck bed covers, vehicle protection products, cargo management products, wheels, tires, and suspension products. It serves collision and mechanical repair shops, and new and used car dealerships, as well as retail customers. The company operates in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Germany, Belgium, the Netherlands, Luxembourg, Italy, the Czech Republic, Austria, Poland, Slovakia, Taiwan, and other European countries. LKQ Corporation was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyLKQ generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by selling alternative automotive parts and services. The company's main revenue sources include the sale of used and refurbished parts, aftermarket components, and recycled materials. Additionally, LKQ earns income from its logistics and distribution services, which allow it to efficiently manage inventory and deliver products to customers. Significant partnerships with automotive repair shops, insurers, and auto manufacturers also enhance its market presence and contribute to revenue growth. The increasing demand for cost-effective and sustainable automotive parts further supports LKQ's business model.

LKQ Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
EBITDA by Geography
EBITDA by Geography
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

LKQ Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted successful divestment and cost savings, along with increased guidance and Specialty segment growth. However, challenges persist with declining repairable claims and revenue in Europe, and margin pressures in North America.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Divestment of Self Service Segment
LKQ completed the sale of its Self Service segment to Pacific Avenue Capital Partners for $410 million, which strengthened the balance sheet and allowed debt reduction.
Cost Savings Achievements
Achieved $35 million in cost savings as part of a $75 million target for 2025, primarily through European business transformation efforts.
Specialty Segment Growth
Specialty segment delivered a 9.4% increase in organic revenue, marking the first positive organic growth in 14 quarters.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Generated strong free cash flow of $387 million for the quarter and $573 million year-to-date.
Increase in Adjusted EPS Guidance
Raised the midpoint of full-year adjusted earnings per share guidance to $3.00-$3.15, reflecting a $0.07 increase on a like-for-like basis.
Negative Updates
Decline in North America Repairable Claims
North America repairable claims continued to experience downward pressure, with a decline of approximately 6%.
European Revenue Decline
Organic revenue in Europe declined by 4.7% on a per day basis due to political uncertainty and weaker consumer confidence.
Pressure on Margins
Wholesale North America experienced a 180 basis point decrease in EBITDA margin due to higher input costs and overhead expenses.
Company Guidance
During the LKQ Corporation's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance reflecting a strong operational performance despite challenging market conditions. LKQ revised its full-year 2025 adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance to a range of $3.00 to $3.15, raising the midpoint by $0.07 on a like-for-like basis after accounting for the divestiture of its Self Service segment. Organic parts and service revenue is expected to decline by 200 to 300 basis points. The company reported Q3 total revenues of $3.5 billion, a 1.3% increase year-over-year, and an adjusted diluted EPS of $0.84, slightly down from $0.86 in the previous year. Free cash flow for the quarter was $387 million, contributing to a year-to-date total of $573 million. The sale of the Self Service segment for $410 million was noted as a strategic move to simplify the business and reduce debt, positively impacting the balance sheet and leverage ratios.

LKQ Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LKQ's financial performance is stable but shows areas of concern. The income statement reflects declining margins and negative revenue growth, which could impact future profitability. The balance sheet is solid with manageable leverage, but the return on equity has decreased. Cash flow generation is robust, although there are signs of pressure in converting earnings to cash.
Income Statement
65
Positive
LKQ's income statement shows a mixed performance. The gross profit margin is strong at around 39%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has declined to approximately 5% in the TTM, suggesting pressure on net earnings. Revenue growth has been negative recently, which is a concern for future top-line expansion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, reflecting potential operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of LKQ is relatively stable. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved slightly to 0.84 in the TTM, indicating a manageable level of leverage. Return on equity has decreased to 11%, which is lower than previous years but still reasonable. The equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
LKQ's cash flow statement shows some positive signs with a 6.8% growth in free cash flow in the TTM. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, indicating potential challenges in converting earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 74.6%, highlighting good cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.96B14.36B13.87B12.79B13.09B11.63B
Gross Profit5.46B5.61B5.58B5.22B5.32B4.59B
EBITDA1.58B1.63B1.77B1.86B1.75B1.31B
Net Income697.00M690.00M936.00M1.15B1.09B638.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.60B14.96B15.08B12.04B12.61B12.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments289.00M234.00M299.00M278.00M274.00M312.15M
Total Debt5.50B5.61B5.64B3.94B4.22B4.29B
Total Liabilities9.05B8.92B8.90B6.55B6.79B6.67B
Stockholders Equity6.55B6.02B6.17B5.45B5.77B5.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow722.00M810.00M998.00M1.03B1.07B1.27B
Operating Cash Flow968.00M1.12B1.36B1.25B1.37B1.44B
Investing Cash Flow-250.00M-406.00M-2.44B172.00M-418.76M-165.89M
Financing Cash Flow-792.00M-746.00M1.10B-1.39B-985.13M-1.51B

LKQ Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price31.04
Price Trends
50DMA
30.80
Positive
100DMA
32.26
Negative
200DMA
35.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
53.12
Neutral
STOCH
37.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LKQ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 31.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.58, above the 50-day MA of 30.80, and below the 200-day MA of 35.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LKQ.

LKQ Risk Analysis

LKQ disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LKQ reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

LKQ Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$4.10B16.5818.19%7.94%34.84%
75
Outperform
$5.61B13.238.96%2.85%-1.90%-13.86%
74
Outperform
$9.25B12.5831.09%2.40%0.84%26.17%
73
Outperform
$17.84B64.793.25%2.16%-85.91%
72
Outperform
$9.67B72.462.24%1.09%0.08%-83.69%
70
Neutral
$7.92B11.4910.87%3.85%-3.71%-0.27%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LKQ
LKQ
31.04
-6.48
-17.27%
ALV
Autoliv
123.14
24.64
25.02%
BWA
BorgWarner
45.77
11.45
33.36%
APTV
Aptiv
81.60
25.46
45.35%
DORM
Dorman Products
133.21
-4.64
-3.37%
LEA
Lear
109.43
13.91
14.56%

LKQ Corporate Events

LKQ Corporation Reports Q3 2025 Earnings and Strategic Updates
Oct 31, 2025

LKQ Corporation is a prominent provider of alternative and specialty parts for vehicle repair and customization, operating across North America, Europe, and Taiwan. The company offers a wide range of OEM recycled and aftermarket parts, replacement systems, and services for automobiles, trucks, and recreational vehicles.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
LKQ Completes Sale of Self Service Segment
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

On October 1, 2025, LKQ Corporation announced the completion of its sale of the Self Service segment, known as ‘Pick Your Part,’ to an affiliate of Pacific Avenue Capital Partners, LLC for $410 million. This strategic move aims to simplify LKQ’s business portfolio, reduce costs, and strengthen its balance sheet through debt repayment. The company will report the Self Service segment as discontinued operations in its financial statements starting from the third quarter of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (LKQ) stock is a Buy with a $42.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LKQ stock, see the LKQ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
LKQ Announces Sale of ‘Pick Your Part’ Segment
Positive
Aug 26, 2025

On August 25, 2025, LKQ Corporation announced a definitive agreement to sell its Self Service segment, known as ‘Pick Your Part,’ to an affiliate of Pacific Avenue Capital Partners, LLC for $410 million. This transaction is part of LKQ’s strategic plan to simplify its corporate structure and focus on core segments, aiming to enhance its market positioning and shareholder value. The sale, expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, will allow LKQ to strengthen its balance sheet through debt repayment.

The most recent analyst rating on (LKQ) stock is a Hold with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LKQ stock, see the LKQ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
LKQ Announces New Chairman Amid Leadership Transition
Positive
Aug 21, 2025

On August 20, 2025, LKQ Corporation announced that Guhan Subramanian would step down as Chairman of the Board, with John Mendel appointed as his successor effective immediately. Subramanian will retire from the board on January 1, 2026. This leadership change is part of LKQ’s efforts to enhance corporate governance and strategic priorities, with Mendel bringing extensive experience from the automotive industry. The transition is expected to support LKQ’s focus on simplifying its business portfolio, implementing a leaner operating model, and investing in growth opportunities, aiming to capture greater market share and enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (LKQ) stock is a Hold with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LKQ stock, see the LKQ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025