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LKQ Corp (LKQ)
NASDAQ:LKQ

LKQ (LKQ) AI Stock Analysis

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LKQ

LKQ

(NASDAQ:LKQ)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$32.00
▲(6.70% Upside)
LKQ's overall stock score reflects a stable financial position with attractive valuation metrics. The company's strategic moves, such as divestments and credit facility extensions, are positive. However, declining margins and revenue growth, along with mixed technical indicators, present challenges that need to be addressed for improved future performance.
Positive Factors
Strategic Divestment
The divestment simplifies LKQ's business, reduces debt, and strengthens the balance sheet, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Liquidity Improvement
Extending credit facilities enhances LKQ's liquidity profile, providing financial flexibility for future strategic initiatives.
Specialty Segment Growth
Growth in the Specialty segment indicates strong demand and effective market positioning, contributing to long-term revenue potential.
Negative Factors
Declining Margins
Declining margins indicate cost pressures and may impact profitability, requiring strategic adjustments to sustain earnings.
European Revenue Decline
Revenue decline in Europe due to political uncertainty and weak consumer confidence poses a challenge to LKQ's growth in the region.
Pressure on Margins
Margin pressure from higher input costs and overhead expenses could affect LKQ's profitability and competitive positioning.

LKQ (LKQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

LKQ Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLKQ Corporation is a leading provider of alternative and specialty parts to repair and accessorize automobiles and other vehicles. Operating primarily in the automotive aftermarket, LKQ offers a wide range of products including recycled original equipment manufacturer (OEM) parts, aftermarket parts, and remanufactured parts. The company serves various sectors, including collision repair, mechanical repair, and automotive recycling, with a focus on sustainability through the use of recycled materials.
How the Company Makes MoneyLKQ generates revenue through multiple streams primarily centered around the sale of automotive parts. The company earns money by selling recycled and aftermarket parts to collision repair shops, mechanical repair businesses, and retail customers. Key revenue streams include the sale of used parts sourced from vehicle recycling operations, aftermarket parts produced by third-party manufacturers, and remanufactured components. Additionally, LKQ benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers that enable it to expand its product offerings and enhance its market reach. The company's extensive distribution network and e-commerce platforms also contribute to efficient sales and customer service, further boosting its earnings potential.

LKQ Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where LKQ is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsLKQ's revenue in North America shows a recent uptick, reflecting strategic market share gains despite a 2.2% organic revenue decline. Europe faces significant challenges, with a 4.9% revenue drop due to economic pressures and competition. The company is focusing on cost-cutting and asset sales, particularly in Europe, to improve margins. Specialty segment performance is stabilizing, showing the best year-over-year results since 2021. However, ongoing tariff impacts and revised guidance indicate persistent challenges, with strategic initiatives aimed at long-term margin enhancement and operational efficiency.
Data provided by:The Fly

LKQ Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted successful divestment and cost savings, along with increased guidance and Specialty segment growth. However, challenges persist with declining repairable claims and revenue in Europe, and margin pressures in North America.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Divestment of Self Service Segment
LKQ completed the sale of its Self Service segment to Pacific Avenue Capital Partners for $410 million, which strengthened the balance sheet and allowed debt reduction.
Cost Savings Achievements
Achieved $35 million in cost savings as part of a $75 million target for 2025, primarily through European business transformation efforts.
Specialty Segment Growth
Specialty segment delivered a 9.4% increase in organic revenue, marking the first positive organic growth in 14 quarters.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Generated strong free cash flow of $387 million for the quarter and $573 million year-to-date.
Increase in Adjusted EPS Guidance
Raised the midpoint of full-year adjusted earnings per share guidance to $3.00-$3.15, reflecting a $0.07 increase on a like-for-like basis.
Negative Updates
Decline in North America Repairable Claims
North America repairable claims continued to experience downward pressure, with a decline of approximately 6%.
European Revenue Decline
Organic revenue in Europe declined by 4.7% on a per day basis due to political uncertainty and weaker consumer confidence.
Pressure on Margins
Wholesale North America experienced a 180 basis point decrease in EBITDA margin due to higher input costs and overhead expenses.
Company Guidance
During the LKQ Corporation's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance reflecting a strong operational performance despite challenging market conditions. LKQ revised its full-year 2025 adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance to a range of $3.00 to $3.15, raising the midpoint by $0.07 on a like-for-like basis after accounting for the divestiture of its Self Service segment. Organic parts and service revenue is expected to decline by 200 to 300 basis points. The company reported Q3 total revenues of $3.5 billion, a 1.3% increase year-over-year, and an adjusted diluted EPS of $0.84, slightly down from $0.86 in the previous year. Free cash flow for the quarter was $387 million, contributing to a year-to-date total of $573 million. The sale of the Self Service segment for $410 million was noted as a strategic move to simplify the business and reduce debt, positively impacting the balance sheet and leverage ratios.

LKQ Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LKQ's financial performance is stable but shows areas of concern. The income statement reflects declining margins and negative revenue growth, which could impact future profitability. The balance sheet is solid with manageable leverage, but the return on equity has decreased. Cash flow generation is robust, although there are signs of pressure in converting earnings to cash.
Income Statement
65
Positive
LKQ's income statement shows a mixed performance. The gross profit margin is strong at around 39%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has declined to approximately 5% in the TTM, suggesting pressure on net earnings. Revenue growth has been negative recently, which is a concern for future top-line expansion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, reflecting potential operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of LKQ is relatively stable. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved slightly to 0.84 in the TTM, indicating a manageable level of leverage. Return on equity has decreased to 11%, which is lower than previous years but still reasonable. The equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
LKQ's cash flow statement shows some positive signs with a 6.8% growth in free cash flow in the TTM. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, indicating potential challenges in converting earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 74.6%, highlighting good cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.96B14.36B13.87B12.79B13.09B11.63B
Gross Profit5.46B5.61B5.58B5.22B5.32B4.59B
EBITDA1.58B1.63B1.77B1.86B1.75B1.31B
Net Income697.00M690.00M936.00M1.15B1.09B638.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.60B14.96B15.08B12.04B12.61B12.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments289.00M234.00M299.00M278.00M274.00M312.15M
Total Debt5.50B5.61B5.64B3.94B4.22B4.29B
Total Liabilities9.05B8.92B8.90B6.55B6.79B6.67B
Stockholders Equity6.55B6.02B6.17B5.45B5.77B5.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow722.00M810.00M998.00M1.03B1.07B1.27B
Operating Cash Flow968.00M1.12B1.36B1.25B1.37B1.44B
Investing Cash Flow-250.00M-406.00M-2.44B172.00M-418.76M-165.89M
Financing Cash Flow-792.00M-746.00M1.10B-1.39B-985.13M-1.51B

LKQ Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price29.99
Price Trends
50DMA
29.96
Positive
100DMA
30.28
Negative
200DMA
34.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
50.83
Neutral
STOCH
44.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LKQ, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 29.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.74, above the 50-day MA of 29.96, and below the 200-day MA of 34.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LKQ.

LKQ Risk Analysis

LKQ disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LKQ reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

LKQ Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$9.15B12.4131.09%2.59%0.84%26.17%
75
Outperform
$3.82B15.6318.19%7.94%34.84%
75
Outperform
$6.12B14.338.96%2.61%-1.90%-13.86%
70
Outperform
$16.68B60.633.25%2.16%-85.91%
68
Neutral
$7.74B11.1310.87%4.00%-3.71%-0.27%
65
Neutral
$9.72B72.382.24%1.24%0.08%-83.69%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LKQ
LKQ
29.99
-5.49
-15.47%
ALV
Autoliv
120.14
29.10
31.96%
BWA
BorgWarner
45.17
13.47
42.49%
APTV
Aptiv
76.36
16.41
27.37%
DORM
Dorman Products
125.57
-6.91
-5.22%
LEA
Lear
117.06
24.81
26.89%

LKQ Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
LKQ extends key credit facilities, strengthens liquidity profile
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

On December 17, 2025, LKQ Corporation amended its main revolving credit facility and a related term loan, extending the revolving credit maturity date to December 17, 2030 while leaving the term loan maturity at January 5, 2027, and separately pushing the maturity of its CAD-denominated term loan to March 17, 2029 with certain conforming changes; other material terms of both agreements remain unchanged, effectively lengthening the company’s debt maturities and reinforcing its liquidity profile. Earlier, on November 26, 2025, LKQ had executed non‑material amendments to the same credit agreements to update the definition of a UK joint venture and align the CAD term loan with those changes, and chose to disclose these adjustments now to give investors a fuller picture of its amended credit and term loan arrangements.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
LKQ Explores Sale of Specialty Segment
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

On December 4, 2025, LKQ Corporation announced it has begun exploring the potential sale of its Specialty segment, a leading distributor of automotive, RV, and marine parts in North America. This move is part of LKQ’s ongoing strategy to simplify its portfolio and focus on core segments, following the successful sale of its Self-Service segment. The company aims to maximize the value of the Specialty segment in favorable market conditions and intends to allocate any proceeds in line with its capital allocation framework, including share repurchases. LKQ has engaged Bank of America and Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz to assist with the process, though no definitive timetable for the sale has been set.

Executive/Board Changes
LKQ Board Member Jody G. Miller Resigns
Neutral
Nov 4, 2025

On November 2, 2025, Jody G. Miller, a member of the Board of Directors of LKQ Corporation, announced her decision to resign from the board, effective January 1, 2026. This departure may impact the company’s governance and strategic direction as it adjusts to the change in its leadership team.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
LKQ Completes Sale of Self Service Segment
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

On October 1, 2025, LKQ Corporation announced the completion of its sale of the Self Service segment, known as ‘Pick Your Part,’ to an affiliate of Pacific Avenue Capital Partners, LLC for $410 million. This strategic move aims to simplify LKQ’s business portfolio, reduce costs, and strengthen its balance sheet through debt repayment. The company will report the Self Service segment as discontinued operations in its financial statements starting from the third quarter of 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025