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Dorman Products (DORM)
NASDAQ:DORM
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Dorman Products (DORM) AI Stock Analysis

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DORM

Dorman Products

(NASDAQ:DORM)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$158.00
▲(3.62% Upside)
Dorman Products' strong financial performance and positive earnings call guidance are the primary drivers of its stock score. The company shows robust revenue growth and profitability, with effective cost management and a solid balance sheet. Technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, though caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. The valuation is reasonable, but the lack of a dividend yield may deter income investors. Despite some challenges from tariffs and specific segment underperformance, the overall outlook remains positive.
Positive Factors
Earnings
DORM's top and bottom-line results exceeded management's expectations as increased customer demand in the Light Duty segment drove top-line growth.
Market Share
Net sales growth of 8.3% was greater than the low- to mid-single digit market growth, indicating market share gains.
Product Innovation
DORM saw robust performance from new products recently launched that address flaws in OEM replacement parts.
Negative Factors
Consumer Sentiment
Weak consumer sentiment persisted impacting the Specialty Vehicle segment.
Heavy Duty Segment
The Heavy Duty segment will continue to be negatively impacted by a weak Class 8 trucking market.
Specialty Vehicle Segment
The Specialty Vehicle segment's end markets will continue to face challenges due to the economy.

Dorman Products (DORM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dorman Products Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDorman Products, Inc. supplies replacement parts and fasteners for passenger cars, light trucks, and medium- and heavy-duty trucks in the automotive aftermarket industry worldwide. It offers original equipment dealer products, such as intake and exhaust manifolds, window regulators, radiator fan assemblies, tire pressure monitor sensors, exhaust gas recirculation coolers, and complex electronics modules; fluid reservoirs, variable valve timing components, complex electronics, and integrated door lock actuators; and oil drain plugs, and wheel bolts and lug nuts. The company also provides automotive replacement parts, including door handles, keyless remotes and cases, and door hinge repairs; and heavy duty aftermarket parts for class 4-8 vehicles, such as lighting, cooling, engine management, wheel hardware, air tanks, and cab products. It offers powertrain products comprising cooling products, harmonic balancers, fluid lines and reservoirs, connectors, 4-wheel drive components, other engine, and transmission and axle components; and chassis products, such as control arms, ball joints, tie-rod ends, brake hardware and hydraulics, axle hardware, suspension arms, knuckles, links, bushings, leaf springs, other suspension, steering, and brake components. The company also provides automotive body products, including window lift motors, switches and handles, wiper, and other interior and exterior automotive body components; and hardware products comprising threaded bolts; automotive and home electrical wiring components; and other hardware assortments and merchandise. It offers its products under the OE Solutions, HELP!, OE FIX, Conduct-Tite, and HD Solutions brands through automotive aftermarket retailers, such as on-line platforms; national, regional, and local warehouse distributors; and specialty markets; salvage yards; local independent parts wholesalers; and mass merchants. The company was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Colmar, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyDorman Products generates revenue primarily through the sale of its extensive catalog of automotive parts and accessories, which are sold to both professional and DIY (do-it-yourself) customers. The company's revenue model is built on a combination of direct sales to automotive distributors, retailers, and online platforms, as well as through partnerships with major automotive chains and repair shops. Key revenue streams include sales of unique and proprietary parts that address specific vehicle needs, which often cannot be found from original equipment manufacturers (OEM). Additionally, Dorman benefits from ongoing demand in the automotive aftermarket industry due to vehicle aging, which drives the need for replacement parts. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with automotive industry players to expand its product offerings and enhance market reach, contributing significantly to its overall earnings.

Dorman Products Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 22.32%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong overall business performance, particularly in the light-duty segment, with substantial revenue growth and margin expansion leading to an increase in EPS and positive guidance for the full year. However, challenges remain in terms of tariff impacts and underperformance in the specialty vehicle and heavy-duty segments.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Consolidated net sales for the second quarter grew 8% year-over-year to $541 million, driven by strong volume growth from increased customer demand, especially within the light-duty business.
Margin Expansion
Adjusted operating margin for Q2 2025 was 16.3%, a 70 basis point increase over last year's second quarter, with light-duty business as the primary driver.
EPS Increase
The net sales growth and margin expansion resulted in a 23% year-over-year increase in adjusted diluted EPS, which was $2.06 for the quarter.
Positive Guidance Update
Net sales growth for 2025 is now expected to be in the range of 7% to 9%, an increase from the previous guidance of 3% to 5%.
Light Duty Business Performance
Net sales in the Light Duty business increased 10% year-over-year in Q2, driven by strong customer demand and new product launches.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs
Operating cash flow was impacted by higher tariff costs and additional investments in inventory, resulting in only $9 million compared to $63 million in Q2 2024.
Specialty Vehicle Business Decline
Net sales in the Specialty Vehicle segment declined 3% compared to last year's second quarter due to weakened consumer sentiment and economic uncertainty.
Heavy Duty Segment Challenges
Operating margin in the Heavy Duty segment was slightly positive at 80 basis points, down year-over-year due to lower volume from the trucking and freight recession.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Dorman Products provided updated guidance highlighting several key metrics. The company reported an 8% year-over-year increase in consolidated net sales, reaching $541 million, largely driven by strong demand in the light-duty segment. Adjusted operating margin improved to 16.3%, with a 70 basis point increase over the previous year, and adjusted diluted EPS grew by 23% to $2.06. Dorman also updated its full-year 2025 guidance, raising expected net sales growth to 7-9% from the previous 3-5% estimate, and adjusted diluted EPS to $8.60-$8.90, up from $7.55-$7.85. The company anticipates a positive impact from pricing adjustments due to tariffs, with notable effects beginning in Q3 2025. Despite challenges from tariffs and market pressures, particularly in the heavy-duty and specialty vehicle segments, Dorman remains focused on supply chain diversification, productivity initiatives, and new product launches to support continued growth and margin expansion.

Dorman Products Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dorman Products demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by efficient cost management and a solid balance sheet. The company has improved its leverage position, enhancing financial stability. However, the decline in free cash flow growth and lower cash conversion ratios highlight areas for improvement in cash flow management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Dorman Products shows strong revenue growth with a consistent increase over the years, highlighted by a 1.86% growth in the TTM period. The gross profit margin has improved to 40.88% in the TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the EBIT margin has slightly decreased compared to the previous year, suggesting potential operational cost pressures. Overall, the company maintains a healthy net profit margin of 10.83% in the TTM, reflecting solid profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.40 in the TTM, indicating a reduction in leverage and a stronger equity position. Return on equity is robust at 17.17%, demonstrating effective utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at a healthy level, showing a stable financial structure. However, the company should continue to monitor its debt levels to maintain financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Dorman Products experienced a decline in free cash flow growth by 26.92% in the TTM, which could impact future investment capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low at 0.34, suggesting potential challenges in converting earnings into cash. Despite this, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 79.39%, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.09B2.01B1.93B1.73B1.35B1.09B
Gross Profit852.73M806.36M685.42M564.45M462.92M383.12M
EBITDA390.71M352.68M271.29M275.66M221.81M133.37M
Net Income225.98M190.00M129.26M121.55M131.53M106.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.47B2.42B2.29B2.34B1.67B1.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments56.84M57.14M36.81M46.03M58.78M155.58M
Total Debt559.31M572.78M683.80M832.55M291.80M37.08M
Total Liabilities1.07B1.13B1.12B1.30B740.38M367.10M
Stockholders Equity1.40B1.29B1.17B1.04B932.74M853.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow139.34M191.63M164.79M3.81M80.50M136.52M
Operating Cash Flow175.50M231.05M208.76M41.69M100.34M151.97M
Investing Cash Flow-36.07M-39.32M-43.90M-526.84M-365.32M-30.26M
Financing Cash Flow-129.90M-170.98M-174.11M472.50M168.24M-34.48M

Dorman Products Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price152.48
Price Trends
50DMA
127.56
Positive
100DMA
124.14
Positive
200DMA
127.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.75
Negative
RSI
72.21
Negative
STOCH
92.75
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DORM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 152.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 132.25, above the 50-day MA of 127.56, and above the 200-day MA of 127.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.21 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.75 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DORM.

Dorman Products Risk Analysis

Dorman Products disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dorman Products reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dorman Products Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$4.66B20.7517.38%6.76%34.97%
76
Outperform
$5.45B11.969.51%3.01%-3.12%-8.23%
75
Outperform
$7.28B39.7520.88%6.45%14.21%
72
Outperform
$8.96B44.223.66%1.06%-2.12%-69.42%
66
Neutral
$6.00B15.4916.38%1.76%2.43%-1.25%
64
Neutral
$7.97B11.3811.20%3.87%-3.02%-1.02%
63
Neutral
€18.11B13.4715.56%3.60%-0.67%-125.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DORM
Dorman Products
152.48
45.43
42.44%
BWA
BorgWarner
41.42
8.78
26.90%
GNTX
Gentex
27.33
-2.25
-7.61%
LEA
Lear
102.42
-8.80
-7.91%
LKQ
LKQ
30.97
-8.87
-22.26%
MOD
Modine
138.72
28.50
25.86%

Dorman Products Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Dorman Products Announces CFO Retirement and Transition
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Dorman Products announced the upcoming retirement of its Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, David M. Hession, who has played a crucial role in the company’s financial success since 2019. The company has initiated a search for his successor and plans a smooth transition with Hession remaining in an advisory role post-retirement, reflecting Dorman’s commitment to maintaining its strong financial performance and strategic growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (DORM) stock is a Buy with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dorman Products stock, see the DORM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Dorman Products Appoints New Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
May 20, 2025

On May 19, 2025, Dorman Products appointed Gregory Bowen as Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer, and principal accounting officer, marking a significant leadership change. The 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, held on May 16, 2025, resulted in the election of eight directors, approval of executive compensation, and ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent auditor, reflecting shareholder support for the company’s governance and financial strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (DORM) stock is a Buy with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dorman Products stock, see the DORM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2025