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Dorman Products (DORM)
NASDAQ:DORM
US Market

Dorman Products (DORM) AI Stock Analysis

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Dorman Products

(NASDAQ:DORM)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$147.00
▲(14.63%Upside)
Dorman Products holds a solid overall stock score, driven by robust financial performance marked by revenue and margin growth. The positive sentiment from the earnings call, with emphasis on light duty segment success and effective debt management, further boosts confidence. However, technical indicators point to potential overbought conditions, and the valuation suggests limited upside. The absence of dividends may deter income-seeking investors. Challenges in heavy duty and specialty vehicle segments due to tariffs and economic uncertainties are notable risks.
Positive Factors
Earnings
DORM's Q1/25 results were better than expectations and consensus estimates, driven by the Light-Duty segment.
Market Share
Net sales growth of 8.3% was greater than the low- to mid-single digit market growth, indicating market share gains.
Negative Factors
Market Challenges
The Heavy Duty segment will continue to be negatively impacted by a weak Class 8 trucking market.
Segment Performance
Sales in both Heavy Duty and Specialty Vehicle segments experienced declines, leading to decreased operating profits.

Dorman Products (DORM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dorman Products Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDorman Products, Inc. supplies replacement parts and fasteners for passenger cars, light trucks, and medium- and heavy-duty trucks in the automotive aftermarket industry worldwide. It offers original equipment dealer products, such as intake and exhaust manifolds, window regulators, radiator fan assemblies, tire pressure monitor sensors, exhaust gas recirculation coolers, and complex electronics modules; fluid reservoirs, variable valve timing components, complex electronics, and integrated door lock actuators; and oil drain plugs, and wheel bolts and lug nuts. The company also provides automotive replacement parts, including door handles, keyless remotes and cases, and door hinge repairs; and heavy duty aftermarket parts for class 4-8 vehicles, such as lighting, cooling, engine management, wheel hardware, air tanks, and cab products. It offers powertrain products comprising cooling products, harmonic balancers, fluid lines and reservoirs, connectors, 4-wheel drive components, other engine, and transmission and axle components; and chassis products, such as control arms, ball joints, tie-rod ends, brake hardware and hydraulics, axle hardware, suspension arms, knuckles, links, bushings, leaf springs, other suspension, steering, and brake components. The company also provides automotive body products, including window lift motors, switches and handles, wiper, and other interior and exterior automotive body components; and hardware products comprising threaded bolts; automotive and home electrical wiring components; and other hardware assortments and merchandise. It offers its products under the OE Solutions, HELP!, OE FIX, Conduct-Tite, and HD Solutions brands through automotive aftermarket retailers, such as on-line platforms; national, regional, and local warehouse distributors; and specialty markets; salvage yards; local independent parts wholesalers; and mass merchants. The company was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Colmar, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyDorman Products generates revenue primarily through the sale of automotive parts and accessories to the aftermarket industry. The company's business model revolves around identifying common automotive failures and developing proprietary solutions to address these issues, which are then sold to retailers, warehouse distributors, and specialty markets. Key revenue streams include sales of replacement parts and components, which are designed to be cost-effective alternatives to original equipment parts. Partnerships with major automotive retailers and distribution networks also play a crucial role in facilitating product reach and availability, thereby contributing significantly to Dorman's earnings.

Dorman Products Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 11.56%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a generally positive outlook with strong revenue and margin growth, particularly in the light duty segment, driven by new product development and effective cost management. However, challenges remain in the heavy duty and specialty vehicle segments, exacerbated by recent tariff impositions and economic uncertainties.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Margin Growth
Consolidated net sales for the quarter grew 8% year-over-year to $508 million. Adjusted operating margin for Q1 2025 was 17%, expanding by 310 basis points compared to the same period last year. Adjusted diluted EPS increased by 54% to $2.02.
Light Duty Segment Success
Light duty segment's net sales increased by 14% year-over-year, with operating margin increasing to 19.9%, a 380 basis point increase compared to the same period last year.
Effective Debt Management
The company repaid $20 million of debt, and net leverage ratio was reduced to 1.01x adjusted EBITDA. Total liquidity increased to $660 million.
Product Development Driving Growth
New product development contributed significantly to growth, driving high single-digit POS growth in light duty.
Negative Updates
Heavy Duty Segment Challenges
Net sales in the heavy duty segment were down 11% year-over-year, with segment operating margin turning slightly negative due to market pressures and a larger fixed cost manufacturing footprint.
Specialty Vehicle Segment Decline
Net sales in the Specialty Vehicle segment declined 9% year-over-year due to softened consumer spending and economic uncertainty, with operating margin declining to 10.2%.
Uncertainty from Tariffs
The recent imposition of tariffs creates uncertainty, particularly affecting the heavy duty and specialty vehicle segments, with potential impact on costs and demand.
Company Guidance
During the Dorman Products First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reaffirmed its guidance for the fiscal year 2025, projecting net sales growth of 3% to 5% and adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $7.55 to $7.85. The first quarter of 2025 saw consolidated net sales increase by 8% year-over-year to $508 million, driven by strong customer demand and successful new product developments. The company reported an adjusted operating margin of 17%, which expanded by 310 basis points compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Adjusted diluted EPS rose by 54% to $2.02. Dorman also generated $40 million in free cash flow, using it to repay $20 million of debt and repurchase $12 million of common stock. The company remains focused on mitigating potential impacts from new tariffs through supply chain diversification and strategic pricing adjustments.

Dorman Products Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dorman Products demonstrates strong financial health with significant revenue and profit growth, efficient cash flow management, and improved profitability margins. Despite increased leverage, the company maintains a sound balance sheet with effective debt management. Future focus should include improving EBIT margin and maintaining free cash flow stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Dorman Products shows a strong income statement with notable revenue growth, increasing from $1,092.7M in 2020 to $2,048.2M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025, indicating robust business expansion. The gross profit margin improved from 35.1% in 2020 to 40.7% in TTM 2025, showcasing better operational efficiency. Net profit margin has also strengthened from 9.8% in 2020 to 10.5% in TTM 2025. However, EBIT margin remains moderate and could be improved.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a decreasing debt-to-equity ratio from 0.43 in 2020 to 0.42 in TTM 2025, suggesting effective debt management. Return on Equity (ROE) improved from 12.5% in 2020 to 16.1% in TTM 2025, indicating enhanced shareholder returns. However, the equity ratio has decreased slightly from 69.9% in 2020 to 55.1% in TTM 2025, suggesting increased leverage.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a positive trend with free cash flow increasing from $136.5M in 2020 to $190.7M in TTM 2025. Operating cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy, indicating efficient cash generation relative to profits. However, potential risks include fluctuating capital expenditures impacting free cash flow stability.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.05B2.01B1.93B1.73B1.35B1.09B
Gross Profit
832.62M806.36M685.42M564.45M462.92M383.12M
EBIT
324.47M292.91M214.76M127.11M171.55M101.07M
EBITDA
392.19M352.68M271.29M275.66M221.81M133.37M
Net Income Common Stockholders
214.68M190.00M129.26M121.55M131.53M106.87M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
60.61M57.14M36.81M46.03M58.78M155.58M
Total Assets
2.43B2.42B2.29B2.34B1.67B1.22B
Total Debt
562.94M572.78M683.80M832.55M291.80M37.08M
Net Debt
502.33M515.64M646.99M786.51M233.02M-118.49M
Total Liabilities
1.09B1.13B1.12B1.30B740.38M367.10M
Stockholders Equity
1.34B1.29B1.17B1.04B932.74M853.56M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
190.65M191.63M164.79M3.81M80.50M136.52M
Operating Cash Flow
230.30M231.05M208.76M41.69M100.34M151.97M
Investing Cash Flow
-39.55M-39.32M-43.90M-526.84M-365.32M-30.26M
Financing Cash Flow
-164.22M-170.98M-174.11M472.50M168.24M-34.48M

Dorman Products Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price128.24
Price Trends
50DMA
121.19
Positive
100DMA
124.40
Positive
200DMA
124.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.34
Positive
RSI
56.78
Neutral
STOCH
54.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DORM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 128.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 127.95, above the 50-day MA of 121.19, and above the 200-day MA of 124.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DORM.

Dorman Products Risk Analysis

Dorman Products disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dorman Products reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dorman Products Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
BWBWA
76
Outperform
$7.40B27.085.38%1.32%-8.22%-52.61%
LELEA
75
Outperform
$5.03B11.0210.00%3.29%-3.15%-6.70%
74
Outperform
$3.88B18.4217.09%6.03%40.36%
MOMOD
73
Outperform
$4.93B28.4422.20%4.87%-29.43%
LKLKQ
70
Outperform
$10.17B14.7211.37%3.07%-0.74%-13.75%
66
Neutral
$4.96B12.9215.90%2.18%-1.66%-9.20%
63
Neutral
$6.94B11.342.80%4.26%2.68%-24.70%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DORM
Dorman Products
124.55
33.69
37.08%
BWA
BorgWarner
33.07
1.14
3.57%
GNTX
Gentex
21.72
-11.66
-34.93%
LEA
Lear
90.52
-21.60
-19.27%
LKQ
LKQ
38.12
-0.99
-2.53%
MOD
Modine
93.72
1.08
1.17%

Dorman Products Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Dorman Products Announces CFO Retirement and Transition
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Dorman Products announced the upcoming retirement of its Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, David M. Hession, who has played a crucial role in the company’s financial success since 2019. The company has initiated a search for his successor and plans a smooth transition with Hession remaining in an advisory role post-retirement, reflecting Dorman’s commitment to maintaining its strong financial performance and strategic growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (DORM) stock is a Buy with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dorman Products stock, see the DORM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Dorman Products Appoints New Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
May 20, 2025

On May 19, 2025, Dorman Products appointed Gregory Bowen as Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer, and principal accounting officer, marking a significant leadership change. The 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, held on May 16, 2025, resulted in the election of eight directors, approval of executive compensation, and ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent auditor, reflecting shareholder support for the company’s governance and financial strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (DORM) stock is a Buy with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dorman Products stock, see the DORM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.