Dorman Products (DORM)
NASDAQ:DORM
US Market
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Dorman Products (DORM) AI Stock Analysis

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DORM

Dorman Products

(NASDAQ:DORM)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$156.00
▲(17.11% Upside)
Dorman Products demonstrates solid financial performance and positive earnings call insights, with strong revenue and margin growth. However, technical indicators suggest potential bearish momentum, and the decline in free cash flow growth is a concern. The stock is reasonably valued, but the absence of a dividend yield may deter income-focused investors.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion and stability.
Margin Expansion
Robust margin expansion reflects efficient cost management and pricing strategies, enhancing profitability and competitive positioning.
Supplier Diversification
Supplier diversification reduces dependency on a single region, mitigating risks and improving supply chain resilience, which is crucial for long-term stability.
Negative Factors
Tariff-Related Challenges
Tariff impacts on cash flow can strain financial resources, affecting the company's ability to reinvest and sustain growth.
Heavy Duty Segment Challenges
Ongoing challenges in the Heavy Duty segment could limit growth opportunities and profitability in this key market area.
Decline in Free Cash Flow
A decline in free cash flow limits the company's ability to fund operations and invest in growth, potentially impacting long-term financial health.

Dorman Products (DORM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dorman Products Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDorman Products, Inc. supplies replacement parts and fasteners for passenger cars, light trucks, and medium- and heavy-duty trucks in the automotive aftermarket industry worldwide. It offers original equipment dealer products, such as intake and exhaust manifolds, window regulators, radiator fan assemblies, tire pressure monitor sensors, exhaust gas recirculation coolers, and complex electronics modules; fluid reservoirs, variable valve timing components, complex electronics, and integrated door lock actuators; and oil drain plugs, and wheel bolts and lug nuts. The company also provides automotive replacement parts, including door handles, keyless remotes and cases, and door hinge repairs; and heavy duty aftermarket parts for class 4-8 vehicles, such as lighting, cooling, engine management, wheel hardware, air tanks, and cab products. It offers powertrain products comprising cooling products, harmonic balancers, fluid lines and reservoirs, connectors, 4-wheel drive components, other engine, and transmission and axle components; and chassis products, such as control arms, ball joints, tie-rod ends, brake hardware and hydraulics, axle hardware, suspension arms, knuckles, links, bushings, leaf springs, other suspension, steering, and brake components. The company also provides automotive body products, including window lift motors, switches and handles, wiper, and other interior and exterior automotive body components; and hardware products comprising threaded bolts; automotive and home electrical wiring components; and other hardware assortments and merchandise. It offers its products under the OE Solutions, HELP!, OE FIX, Conduct-Tite, and HD Solutions brands through automotive aftermarket retailers, such as on-line platforms; national, regional, and local warehouse distributors; and specialty markets; salvage yards; local independent parts wholesalers; and mass merchants. The company was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Colmar, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyDorman Products generates revenue primarily through the sale of its extensive catalog of automotive parts and accessories, which are sold to both professional and DIY (do-it-yourself) customers. The company's revenue model is built on a combination of direct sales to automotive distributors, retailers, and online platforms, as well as through partnerships with major automotive chains and repair shops. Key revenue streams include sales of unique and proprietary parts that address specific vehicle needs, which often cannot be found from original equipment manufacturers (OEM). Additionally, Dorman benefits from ongoing demand in the automotive aftermarket industry due to vehicle aging, which drives the need for replacement parts. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with automotive industry players to expand its product offerings and enhance market reach, contributing significantly to its overall earnings.

Dorman Products Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Segment
Revenue By Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Dorman Products Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented strong revenue and margin growth driven by effective pricing strategies and supplier diversification, contributing to a significant increase in EPS. However, challenges remain due to tariff-related impacts on cash flow and specific segment struggles, especially in the Heavy Duty and Specialty Vehicle segments.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Consolidated net sales were $544 million for Q3, up 7.9% year-over-year. Light Duty net sales increased 9% year-over-year.
Robust Margin Expansion
Adjusted operating margin for Q3 2025 was 20.5%, a 340 basis point increase over last year's third quarter. Adjusted gross margin for the quarter was 44.4%, a 390 basis point increase compared to last year's third quarter.
EPS Growth
Adjusted diluted EPS grew 34% year-over-year to $2.62, driven by growth, margin expansion, and timing dynamics of pricing and costs related to tariffs.
Supplier Diversification Initiatives
Efforts to reduce overall supply from China to 30% to 40% by exiting 2025 contributed to margin improvement.
Negative Updates
Tariff-Related Challenges
Tariff-related pricing actions impacted cash flow, resulting in operating cash flow of $12 million and free cash flow of $2 million in the quarter. Tariffs are expected to impact gross margin in Q4.
Heavy Duty Segment Challenges
Net sales grew 6% year-over-year, but market conditions continue to pressure the segment, leading to flat year-over-year margins due to lower manufacturing productivity.
Specialty Vehicle Segment Struggles
Top line growth was relatively flat year-over-year with continued market pressures, including weak consumer sentiment from tariffs and high interest rates. Operating margin was impacted by lower manufacturing productivity.
Company Guidance
During the Dorman Products Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance reflecting strong performance in the first nine months of the year. Dorman reaffirmed its net sales growth forecast of 7% to 9% for 2025, with adjusted diluted EPS expected to range from $8.60 to $8.90, representing an increase of 21% to 25% compared to the previous year. The company highlighted that this guidance is based on current tariffs, with potential updates if significant trade disruptions occur. Dorman anticipates a reduced gross margin in the fourth quarter due to tariff impacts on cost of goods sold and expects the full-year tax rate to be around 23.5%. The guidance reflects Dorman's confidence in continuing to deliver strong year-over-year growth despite uncertainties related to tariffs and trade dynamics.

Dorman Products Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dorman Products shows strong financial performance with robust revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and operational effectiveness. The balance sheet is solid with controlled leverage and strong equity positioning. However, the decline in free cash flow growth is a concern, necessitating attention to cash flow management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Dorman Products has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) increase of 1.92% and consistent improvement in profitability metrics. The gross profit margin has improved to 40.88% in the TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has also increased to 10.83%, reflecting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown positive trends, reaching 16.03% and 18.73% respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement reflects robust growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Dorman Products is stable with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44 in the TTM, indicating prudent leverage. The return on equity has improved to 16.98%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 53.36%, reflecting a strong equity base relative to total assets. While the debt levels have decreased over time, maintaining this trajectory will be crucial to ensure financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement presents mixed results. Although the operating cash flow to net income ratio is at 0.31, indicating moderate cash generation from operations, the free cash flow has declined by 24.34% in the TTM, raising concerns about cash availability for reinvestment. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.79, suggesting that a significant portion of earnings is converted into free cash flow. Continued focus on improving cash flow generation will be essential.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2019Dec 2018
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.13B2.01B1.93B1.73B991.33M973.71M
Gross Profit890.36M806.36M685.42M564.45M339.82M373.28M
EBITDA416.19M352.68M271.29M216.46M105.83M198.53M
Net Income247.15M190.00M129.26M121.55M83.76M133.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.42B2.42B2.29B2.34B1.04B889.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments57.14M57.14M36.81M46.03M68.35M43.46M
Total Debt572.78M572.78M683.80M848.46M29.73M0.00
Total Liabilities1.13B1.13B1.12B1.30B267.49M161.73M
Stockholders Equity1.29B1.29B1.17B1.04B773.58M727.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow105.42M191.63M164.79M3.81M65.75M52.01M
Operating Cash Flow143.41M231.05M208.76M41.69M95.31M78.11M
Investing Cash Flow-37.89M-39.32M-43.90M-526.84M-29.56M-59.15M
Financing Cash Flow-94.92M-170.98M-174.11M472.50M-40.85M-46.94M

Dorman Products Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price133.21
Price Trends
50DMA
148.91
Negative
100DMA
141.95
Negative
200DMA
132.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.64
Positive
RSI
38.70
Neutral
STOCH
45.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DORM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 133.21 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 140.39, below the 50-day MA of 148.91, and above the 200-day MA of 132.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.64 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DORM.

Dorman Products Risk Analysis

Dorman Products disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dorman Products reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dorman Products Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$4.10B16.5818.19%7.94%34.84%
75
Outperform
$5.61B13.238.96%2.81%-1.90%-13.86%
71
Outperform
$2.93B9.6323.16%0.25%-4.03%-39.51%
70
Neutral
$7.92B11.4910.87%3.85%-3.71%-0.27%
66
Neutral
$5.10B13.7915.23%2.06%2.99%-9.80%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$2.50B48.42-4.82%1.84%-18.23%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DORM
Dorman Products
133.21
-4.64
-3.37%
DAN
Dana Incorporated
21.74
13.39
160.36%
GNTX
Gentex
23.32
-6.72
-22.37%
LEA
Lear
109.43
13.91
14.56%
LKQ
LKQ
31.04
-6.48
-17.27%
VC
Visteon
108.21
14.59
15.58%

Dorman Products Corporate Events

Dorman Products Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance
Oct 29, 2025

Dorman Products, Inc., a prominent player in the motor vehicle aftermarket industry, is known for its innovative aftermarket replacement products that enhance vehicle maintenance and repair. The company has a rich history of over 100 years, providing solutions that save time and money for vehicle professionals and enthusiasts.

Dorman Products’ Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Tariff Challenges
Oct 29, 2025

Dorman Products’ recent earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, highlighting strong revenue and margin growth. The company has effectively implemented pricing strategies and diversified its supplier base, which has significantly boosted its earnings per share (EPS). However, challenges persist, particularly due to tariff-related impacts on cash flow and struggles within specific segments like Heavy Duty and Specialty Vehicles.

Dorman Products Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 6, 2025

Dorman Products, Inc. is a prominent supplier in the motor vehicle aftermarket industry, known for offering a wide range of replacement parts and innovative solutions for cars, trucks, and specialty vehicles. Founded over a century ago, the company continues to expand its global presence with a focus on convenience and reliability.

Dorman Products Reports Strong Q2 Earnings and Positive Outlook
Aug 6, 2025

The latest earnings call from Dorman Products painted a picture of robust business performance, particularly in the light-duty segment. The company reported substantial revenue growth and margin expansion, leading to a significant increase in earnings per share (EPS) and positive guidance for the full year. However, challenges such as tariff impacts and underperformance in the specialty vehicle and heavy-duty segments were also acknowledged.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025