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Dorman Products (DORM)
NASDAQ:DORM
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Dorman Products (DORM) AI Stock Analysis

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DORM

Dorman Products

(NASDAQ:DORM)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$184.00
▲(10.62% Upside)
Dorman Products receives a strong overall score due to its robust financial performance and positive earnings call, which highlighted significant revenue growth and improved guidance. However, technical indicators suggest the stock may be overbought, and valuation metrics indicate moderate pricing. The absence of a dividend yield and cash flow challenges are areas to watch.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
DORM's shares are considered a compelling entry point, trading below its five-year average and offering a wider premium due to outsized sales and EBIT growth.
Innovation Strategy
DORM's innovation strategy provides unique competitive advantages, allowing its light duty business to grow significantly faster than the industry.
Market Share Gains
Net sales growth of 8.3% was greater than the low- to mid-single digit market growth, indicating market share gains.
Negative Factors
Market Conditions
The current market conditions are not ideal for heavy duty/specialty vehicles, and challenges may persist in the near term.
Sales Decline
Sales in both Heavy Duty and Specialty Vehicle segments experienced declines, leading to decreased operating profits.
Trucking Market
The Heavy Duty segment will continue to be negatively impacted by a weak Class 8 trucking market.

Dorman Products (DORM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dorman Products Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDorman Products, Inc. supplies replacement parts and fasteners for passenger cars, light trucks, and medium- and heavy-duty trucks in the automotive aftermarket industry worldwide. It offers original equipment dealer products, such as intake and exhaust manifolds, window regulators, radiator fan assemblies, tire pressure monitor sensors, exhaust gas recirculation coolers, and complex electronics modules; fluid reservoirs, variable valve timing components, complex electronics, and integrated door lock actuators; and oil drain plugs, and wheel bolts and lug nuts. The company also provides automotive replacement parts, including door handles, keyless remotes and cases, and door hinge repairs; and heavy duty aftermarket parts for class 4-8 vehicles, such as lighting, cooling, engine management, wheel hardware, air tanks, and cab products. It offers powertrain products comprising cooling products, harmonic balancers, fluid lines and reservoirs, connectors, 4-wheel drive components, other engine, and transmission and axle components; and chassis products, such as control arms, ball joints, tie-rod ends, brake hardware and hydraulics, axle hardware, suspension arms, knuckles, links, bushings, leaf springs, other suspension, steering, and brake components. The company also provides automotive body products, including window lift motors, switches and handles, wiper, and other interior and exterior automotive body components; and hardware products comprising threaded bolts; automotive and home electrical wiring components; and other hardware assortments and merchandise. It offers its products under the OE Solutions, HELP!, OE FIX, Conduct-Tite, and HD Solutions brands through automotive aftermarket retailers, such as on-line platforms; national, regional, and local warehouse distributors; and specialty markets; salvage yards; local independent parts wholesalers; and mass merchants. The company was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Colmar, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyDorman Products generates revenue primarily through the sale of its extensive catalog of automotive parts and accessories, which are sold to both professional and DIY (do-it-yourself) customers. The company's revenue model is built on a combination of direct sales to automotive distributors, retailers, and online platforms, as well as through partnerships with major automotive chains and repair shops. Key revenue streams include sales of unique and proprietary parts that address specific vehicle needs, which often cannot be found from original equipment manufacturers (OEM). Additionally, Dorman benefits from ongoing demand in the automotive aftermarket industry due to vehicle aging, which drives the need for replacement parts. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with automotive industry players to expand its product offerings and enhance market reach, contributing significantly to its overall earnings.

Dorman Products Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong overall performance with notable revenue growth, margin expansion, and increased EPS, leading to an upward revision of guidance. However, challenges such as weak consumer sentiment in the specialty vehicle segment, tariff impacts on cash flow, and pressures in the heavy-duty segment were also noted.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Consolidated net sales for the second quarter grew 8% year-over-year to $541 million, driven by strong volume growth from increased customer demand, particularly within the light-duty segment.
Impressive Margin Expansion
Adjusted operating margin for Q2 2025 was 16.3%, a 70 basis point increase over last year's second quarter, primarily driven by the light-duty business.
Significant EPS Increase
The company achieved a 23% year-over-year increase in adjusted diluted EPS, reaching $2.06 for the quarter.
Positive Outlook and Guidance Increase
Based on strong performance, Dorman increased its net sales growth guidance for 2025 to 7% to 9% over 2024, up from the previous guidance of 3% to 5%. EPS guidance was also raised to $8.60 to $8.90 from $7.55 to $7.85.
Negative Updates
Weak Consumer Sentiment in Specialty Vehicle Segment
Reluctant consumer spending continued to impact the specialty vehicle segment, resulting in a 3% year-over-year decline in net sales for Q2 2025.
Tariff Impact on Cash Flow
Operating cash flow in Q2 was $9 million, significantly impacted by higher tariff costs and additional investments in inventory.
Challenges in Heavy-Duty Segment
The heavy-duty segment faced market pressures due to economic uncertainty and tariffs, resulting in only 1% growth and a slight operating margin of 80 basis points.
Company Guidance
During the Dorman Products' Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance for the fiscal year. They anticipate net sales growth of 7% to 9% over 2024, an increase from previous guidance of 3% to 5%. This revised outlook is driven by strong performance in the first half of the year, positive market conditions in the light-duty segment, and strategic pricing actions to offset tariff impacts. Adjusted diluted EPS is expected to be between $8.60 and $8.90, up from prior guidance of $7.55 to $7.85. The guidance reflects the company's effective mitigation strategies against tariffs, such as supplier diversification, productivity initiatives, and price adjustments. While tariffs have introduced some uncertainty, Dorman remains confident in its diversified supply chain and strategic investments to drive growth and margin expansion across its segments.

Dorman Products Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dorman Products demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by efficient cost management and a solid balance sheet. The company has improved its leverage position, enhancing financial stability. However, the decline in free cash flow growth and lower cash conversion ratios highlight areas for improvement in cash flow management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Dorman Products shows strong revenue growth with a consistent increase over the years, highlighted by a 1.86% growth in the TTM period. The gross profit margin has improved to 40.88% in the TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the EBIT margin has slightly decreased compared to the previous year, suggesting potential operational cost pressures. Overall, the company maintains a healthy net profit margin of 10.83% in the TTM, reflecting solid profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.40 in the TTM, indicating a reduction in leverage and a stronger equity position. Return on equity is robust at 17.17%, demonstrating effective utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at a healthy level, showing a stable financial structure. However, the company should continue to monitor its debt levels to maintain financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Dorman Products experienced a decline in free cash flow growth by 26.92% in the TTM, which could impact future investment capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low at 0.34, suggesting potential challenges in converting earnings into cash. Despite this, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 79.39%, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.09B2.01B1.93B1.73B1.35B1.09B
Gross Profit852.73M806.36M685.42M564.45M462.92M383.12M
EBITDA390.71M352.68M271.29M275.66M221.81M133.37M
Net Income225.98M190.00M129.26M121.55M131.53M106.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.47B2.42B2.29B2.34B1.67B1.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments56.84M57.14M36.81M46.03M58.78M155.58M
Total Debt559.31M572.78M683.80M832.55M291.80M37.08M
Total Liabilities1.07B1.13B1.12B1.30B740.38M367.10M
Stockholders Equity1.40B1.29B1.17B1.04B932.74M853.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow139.34M191.63M164.79M3.81M80.50M136.52M
Operating Cash Flow175.50M231.05M208.76M41.69M100.34M151.97M
Investing Cash Flow-36.07M-39.32M-43.90M-526.84M-365.32M-30.26M
Financing Cash Flow-129.90M-170.98M-174.11M472.50M168.24M-34.48M

Dorman Products Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price166.34
Price Trends
50DMA
138.13
Positive
100DMA
130.36
Positive
200DMA
129.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.66
Positive
RSI
73.28
Negative
STOCH
84.98
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DORM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 166.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 158.00, above the 50-day MA of 138.13, and above the 200-day MA of 129.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.66 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 73.28 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.98 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DORM.

Dorman Products Risk Analysis

Dorman Products disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dorman Products reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dorman Products Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$3.41B11.9322.96%0.22%-3.26%-45.84%
76
Outperform
$5.91B12.979.51%2.77%-3.12%-8.23%
76
Outperform
$5.00B22.2717.38%6.76%34.97%
69
Neutral
$8.33B11.9011.20%3.71%-3.02%-1.02%
66
Neutral
$6.25B16.1416.38%1.69%2.43%-1.25%
61
Neutral
$17.92B12.81-2.97%2.98%1.30%-14.28%
61
Neutral
$2.70B-5.00%1.93%-14.46%-2170.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DORM
Dorman Products
166.34
57.64
53.03%
DAN
Dana Incorporated
20.76
11.02
113.14%
GNTX
Gentex
28.71
-0.54
-1.85%
LEA
Lear
112.75
6.00
5.62%
LKQ
LKQ
32.61
-6.13
-15.82%
VC
Visteon
128.76
32.96
34.41%

Dorman Products Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Dorman Products Announces CFO Retirement and Transition
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Dorman Products announced the upcoming retirement of its Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, David M. Hession, who has played a crucial role in the company’s financial success since 2019. The company has initiated a search for his successor and plans a smooth transition with Hession remaining in an advisory role post-retirement, reflecting Dorman’s commitment to maintaining its strong financial performance and strategic growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 23, 2025