Want to see DAN full AI Analyst Report?
Top Page
Dana Incorporated
(NYSE:DAN)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$29.00
▲(7.13% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/07/26
The score is anchored by uneven financial performance—volatile earnings with thin margins and leverage risk—partly offset by comparatively resilient cash generation. The latest earnings call is a key positive due to raised sales/EBITDA/FCF guidance and improved operating execution, while technical signals remain mixed with negative MACD and price below key longer-term moving averages. Valuation is only modestly supportive because the negative P/E limits multiple-based confidence despite a small dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Cash generation resilience
Dana's operating cash flow has been consistently positive and free cash flow positive in most periods. That durable cash generation supports working capital, capex for launches, debt servicing and buybacks, providing financial flexibility despite cyclical earnings volatility.
Negative Factors
Elevated historical leverage
Dana's historically high leverage increases refinancing and covenant risk, constraining strategic flexibility. Elevated debt amplifies cyclicality effects, limits room for additional investment or M&A without deleveraging, and raises susceptibility to interest rate or demand shocks over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation resilience
Dana's operating cash flow has been consistently positive and free cash flow positive in most periods. That durable cash generation supports working capital, capex for launches, debt servicing and buybacks, providing financial flexibility despite cyclical earnings volatility.
Read all positive factors
Dana Incorporated Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Geography
Shows sales by region, revealing how much Dana depends on specific markets and where growth is concentrated. Useful for spotting exposure to regional economic cycles, currency and trade risks, and opportunities from faster-growing markets.
Shows sales by region, revealing how much Dana depends on specific markets and where growth is concentrated. Useful for spotting exposure to regional economic cycles, currency and trade risks, and opportunities from faster-growing markets.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyDana Incorporated (DAN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$2.90B
Dividend Yield1.63%
Average Volume (3M)1.88M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.29
Revenue Growth-23.37%
EPS Growth-131.29%
CountryUS
Employees26,900
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Parts
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-1.60
Shares Outstanding107,574,700
10 Day Avg. Volume1,198,125
30 Day Avg. Volume1,875,893
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.14
Price to Book (P/B)3.84
Price to Sales (P/S)0.44
P/FCF Ratio11.10
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue>-0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$35.83Price Target Upside32.37% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering6
EPS Forecast (FY)2.45
Revenue Forecast (FY)$7.66B
Dana Incorporated Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Dana Incorporated is a global provider of power transmission and energy management systems for vehicles and industrial machinery, operating across North America, Europe, South America, and Asia Pacific. The company organizes its business into four...
How the Company Makes Money
Dana primarily makes money by selling engineered components and complete drivetrain/motion systems to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and, to a lesser extent, through its aftermarket business. Its core revenue stream is product sales tied ...
Dana Incorporated Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlights strong operational execution: revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth in Q2, a sizable margin expansion (+270 bps), meaningful cost savings delivery, stronger free cash flow conversion, active share repurchases and clear strategic rationale and synergy targets for the Eaton Mobility transaction. Near-term negatives include a lowered full-year EPS outlook due to higher D&A, higher near-term interest and weaker China JV earnings, a one-time $20M union signing bonus, commodity timing headwinds, and elevated capex and remaining stranded costs. On balance, the operational and strategic positives (revenue/EBITDA growth, cash flow improvement, clear synergy targets, and resumed buybacks) outweigh the near-term earnings and timing headwinds.Positive Updates
Quarterly Revenue and Profit Strength
Q2 sales of $2.01 billion (up ~$75 million or ~3.9% YoY from $1.94B) and adjusted EBITDA of $207 million (up ~$60M or ~40.8% YoY), delivering a 10.3% adjusted EBITDA margin, an expansion of 270 basis points versus Q2 2025.
Negative Updates
Full-Year EPS Guidance Cut
Diluted adjusted EPS guidance was revised lower to approximately $2 per share (midpoint), driven by higher depreciation & amortization (accelerated in‑service assets), higher net interest (transaction-related refinancing and near-term cash use), and lower equity earnings from China joint ventures.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Quarterly Revenue and Profit Strength
Q2 sales of $2.01 billion (up ~$75 million or ~3.9% YoY from $1.94B) and adjusted EBITDA of $207 million (up ~$60M or ~40.8% YoY), delivering a 10.3% adjusted EBITDA margin, an expansion of 270 basis points versus Q2 2025.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Dana raised its 2026 outlook, now targeting approximately $7.75 billion of sales at the midpoint (up about $225 million from the prior outlook and roughly $250 million year‑over‑year), adjusted EBITDA of about $825 million (midpoint) with an EBITDA margin near 10.6%, diluted adjusted EPS of roughly $2.00, and adjusted free cash flow of about $325 million (midpoint, +$25 million versus prior guidance). Management expects drivers to include roughly $45 million of volume/mix, ~$125 million of performance (including ~$40 million of stranded‑cost elimination), $65 million of cost savings, offset in part by a one‑time ~$20 million U.S. union signing bonus (Q3) and about $10 million of commodity timing headwinds; they also expect ~ $5 million each from tariffs and foreign‑currency on EBITDA, ~$30 million of one‑time costs, ~ $325 million of net capital spending, and an expected ~ $80 million year‑over‑year improvement in net interest.Dana Incorporated Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | -409.00M | 7.50B | 10.28B | 10.55B | 10.16B | 8.95B |
| Gross Profit | 7.00M | 602.00M | 876.00M | 900.00M | 763.00M | 837.00M |
| EBITDA | 488.00M | 538.00M | 743.00M | 741.00M | 635.00M | 742.00M |
| Net Income | -194.00M | 85.00M | -57.00M | 38.00M | -242.00M | 197.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 6.11B | 7.81B | 7.49B | 7.96B | 7.45B | 7.63B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 331.00M | 476.00M | 494.00M | 529.00M | 425.00M | 285.00M |
| Total Debt | 1.50B | 3.52B | 2.91B | 2.98B | 2.72B | 2.67B |
| Total Liabilities | 4.13B | 6.89B | 5.90B | 6.14B | 5.65B | 5.46B |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.92B | 861.00M | 1.33B | 1.57B | 1.55B | 1.92B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 132.00M | 298.00M | 138.00M | -25.00M | 209.00M | -211.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 446.00M | 512.00M | 450.00M | 476.00M | 649.00M | 158.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 2.16B | -222.00M | -352.00M | -528.00M | -426.00M | -293.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -2.78B | -371.00M | -90.00M | 160.00M | -42.00M | -127.00M |
Dana Incorporated Technical Analysis
Positive
27.07
Price Trends
29.14
Negative
31.85
Negative
28.95
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.21
Negative
54.89
Neutral
49.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DAN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.19, below the 50-day MA of 29.14, and below the 200-day MA of 28.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DAN.
Dana Incorporated Risk Analysis
Dana Incorporated disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dana Incorporated reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Dana Incorporated Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
67 Neutral | $6.54B | 12.13 | 10.90% | 2.14% | 3.55% | 25.67% | |
66 Neutral | $9.50B | 17.73 | 27.88% | 0.92% | 13.99% | -25.70% | |
63 Neutral | $2.79B | 18.67 | 9.71% | 1.23% | -1.13% | -47.30% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
61 Neutral | $5.81B | 16.66 | -46.50% | 0.95% | 8.47% | 29.11% | |
58 Neutral | $1.65B | 29.63 | 2.77% | ― | 3.85% | ― | |
55 Neutral | $2.90B | -19.80 | -13.31% | 1.63% | -23.37% | -131.29% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
DAN
Dana Incorporated
28.44
10.90
62.17%
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings
118.88
31.63
36.25%
LEA
Lear
122.84
29.61
31.76%
VC
Visteon
104.13
-7.92
-7.07%
ADNT
Adient
19.42
-2.45
-11.20%
GTX
Garrett Motion
29.85
17.58
143.22%
Dana Incorporated Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Dana Announces New $500 Million Term Loan Facility
Positive
Jul 10, 2026
On July 10, 2026, Dana Incorporated amended its existing Credit and Guaranty Agreement to add a new senior secured delayed draw term loan A facility of $500 million, available in a single draw before August 1, 2026 and maturing 364 days after borr...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Dana, Eaton Form SpinCo in Reverse Morris Trust
Positive
Jun 11, 2026
On June 10, 2026, Dana Incorporated and Eaton Corporation entered into definitive agreements for a Reverse Morris Trust transaction that will combine Dana with Eaton’s Vehicle and eMobility business, to be transferred into a new Eaton subsid...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Dana to Combine with Eaton Mobility in $10B Deal
Positive
Jun 11, 2026
On June 11, 2026, Dana Incorporated announced a definitive agreement to combine with Eaton Corporation’s Vehicle and eMobility segments in a Reverse Morris Trust transaction valuing Eaton Mobility at about $5.1 billion and the combined compa...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.