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Dana Incorporated (DAN)
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Dana Incorporated (DAN) AI Stock Analysis

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DAN

Dana Incorporated

(NYSE:DAN)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$22.00
▲(2.61% Upside)
Dana Incorporated's overall stock score is influenced primarily by its financial performance challenges, including declining revenues and cash flow issues. Technical analysis shows positive trends but warns of potential overbought conditions. Valuation concerns due to a negative P/E ratio further weigh down the score. The earnings call provides a more optimistic outlook with improvements in EBITDA and free cash flow, but market challenges remain.
Positive Factors
Cost Savings Achievements
Significant cost savings enhance operational efficiency and profitability, providing a durable competitive advantage and improving financial health.
Improved EBITDA and Margin Expansion
EBITDA growth and margin expansion indicate effective cost management and operational efficiency, supporting long-term profitability.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Improved free cash flow enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and debt reduction, strengthening long-term stability.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Declining revenue reflects market challenges and competitive pressures, potentially impacting long-term growth and market position.
Cash Flow Challenges
Weak cash flow generation limits the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt, affecting financial resilience.
Softness in Commercial Vehicle Market
Market softness in key regions can hinder revenue growth and profitability, posing a risk to long-term market share and financial performance.

Dana Incorporated (DAN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dana Incorporated Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDana Incorporated (DAN) is a global leader in the design and manufacture of highly engineered driveline, sealing, and thermal management technologies that support mobility and industrial applications. The company operates in various sectors, including light and commercial vehicles, off-highway vehicles, and industrial equipment. Dana's core products encompass axles, driveshafts, thermal management systems, and sealing solutions, which are integral to enhancing vehicle performance and efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyDana Incorporated generates revenue primarily through the sales of its advanced driveline and sealing products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and the aftermarket sector. Key revenue streams include the supply of components for passenger cars, commercial trucks, and off-highway vehicles, as well as thermal and sealing solutions for various industrial applications. The company also benefits from long-term partnerships with major automotive manufacturers, which provide a stable customer base and recurring revenue opportunities. Additionally, Dana's focus on innovation and sustainability enables it to adapt to market trends, such as the increasing demand for electric and hybrid vehicles, further contributing to its earnings.

Dana Incorporated Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong financial performance with significant improvements in EBITDA and free cash flow, supported by effective cost-saving initiatives. However, challenges in the Commercial Vehicle market and EV program cancellations posed notable headwinds. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic with a solid outlook for the upcoming quarters.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved EBITDA and Margin Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA increased by $51 million year-over-year to $162 million, with margin expanding by 260 basis points to 8.5%, driven by cost-saving actions and operational efficiencies.
Successful Share Repurchase
Dana repurchased 9.5 million shares, representing 7% of shares outstanding, and plans to complete the buyback program soon, totaling over 20% of shares.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Adjusted free cash flow improved by $109 million year-over-year, reaching $101 million, driven by higher profitability and lower working capital requirements.
Cost Savings Achievements
Dana is on track to deliver $310 million in cost savings for the year, with $73 million realized in the quarter.
Positive Outlook on Off-Highway Divestiture
The Off-Highway divestiture remains on track for closure in the fourth quarter, with almost all regulatory approvals received.
Negative Updates
Softness in Commercial Vehicle Market
Volume softness was noted in the Commercial Vehicle sector, particularly in North America and Brazil, affecting performance.
Impact of EV Program Cancellations
Dana faced charges related to some EV program cancellations, impacting quarterly results, though recovery is expected in the next quarter.
Higher Net Interest Expense
Net interest expense increased by $11 million to $44 million due to higher borrowings and modestly higher rates.
Company Guidance
During Dana Incorporated's Third Quarter 2025 earnings call, several key metrics and guidance points were highlighted. The company reported sales of $1.917 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA of $162 million, marking a 260 basis point increase to 8.5% in margin, driven by cost-saving actions and operational efficiencies. Despite a year-over-year sales volume decline of $66 million, pricing actions and currency benefits offset demand impacts. Dana is on track to deliver $310 million in cost savings, contributing to a full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance increase of $15 million to $590 million. Free cash flow for the year is anticipated at $275 million, with continued improvement expected as restructuring initiatives convert headwinds into tailwinds. Dana also highlighted strong stock repurchase activity, having bought back nearly 30 million shares, equating to over 20% of shares outstanding, and plans to continue this initiative. Looking forward, Dana aims to achieve a 10% to 10.5% margin in 2026, supported by ongoing cost optimization and strategic capital redeployment, particularly in automation, as well as a robust backlog of future business.

Dana Incorporated Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dana Incorporated faces challenges with declining revenues and profitability pressures. While the balance sheet shows some improvement in leverage, cash flow issues persist, impacting overall financial health. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and enhance cash generation to improve its financial standing.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Dana Incorporated's income statement shows declining revenue with a negative growth rate of -12.42% in the TTM period. The gross profit margin has decreased to 6.95% from previous levels, indicating pressure on profitability. The net profit margin is positive at 0.69%, a recovery from previous losses, but still low. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.88 in the TTM, showing improvement from previous years. However, the return on equity is low at 4.39%, indicating limited profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights a significant decline in free cash flow, with a growth rate of -317.24% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.08, indicating weak cash generation relative to net income. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio suggests cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.54B10.28B10.55B10.16B8.95B7.11B
Gross Profit660.00M876.00M900.00M763.00M837.00M621.00M
EBITDA535.00M743.00M741.00M635.00M742.00M542.00M
Net Income55.00M-57.00M38.00M-242.00M197.00M-31.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.11B7.49B7.96B7.45B7.63B7.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments414.00M494.00M529.00M425.00M285.00M580.00M
Total Debt967.00M2.91B2.98B2.72B2.67B2.65B
Total Liabilities6.77B5.88B6.14B5.65B5.46B5.36B
Stockholders Equity1.09B1.33B1.57B1.55B1.92B1.76B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-63.00M70.00M-25.00M209.00M-211.00M60.00M
Operating Cash Flow243.00M450.00M476.00M649.00M158.00M386.00M
Investing Cash Flow-277.00M-352.00M-528.00M-426.00M-293.00M-327.00M
Financing Cash Flow-145.00M-90.00M160.00M-42.00M-127.00M-12.00M

Dana Incorporated Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.44
Price Trends
50DMA
20.03
Positive
100DMA
18.70
Positive
200DMA
16.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.45
Negative
RSI
64.21
Neutral
STOCH
64.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DAN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.85, above the 50-day MA of 20.03, and above the 200-day MA of 16.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DAN.

Dana Incorporated Risk Analysis

Dana Incorporated disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dana Incorporated reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dana Incorporated Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$5.66B13.368.96%2.84%-1.90%-13.86%
71
Outperform
$2.88B9.4723.16%0.25%-4.03%-39.51%
71
Outperform
$3.34B10.901.21%-1.09%56.16%
68
Neutral
$6.61B9.7240.38%1.31%-4.21%-0.45%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$2.51B48.64-4.82%1.87%-18.23%
53
Neutral
$1.62B-14.41%-1.04%-1510.41%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DAN
Dana Incorporated
21.44
13.10
157.07%
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings
81.47
-36.25
-30.79%
LEA
Lear
108.41
15.09
16.17%
VC
Visteon
104.07
12.19
13.27%
ADNT
Adient
18.98
-1.34
-6.59%
GTX
Garrett Motion
17.30
9.72
128.23%

Dana Incorporated Corporate Events

Dana Holding Corp Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 30, 2025

Dana Incorporated is a global leader in the design and manufacture of propulsion and energy-management solutions for vehicles and machines, operating across various mobility markets. In its latest earnings report, Dana announced solid financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with a notable increase in net income and a raised full-year profit guidance. Key highlights include sales of $1.9 billion, a net income of $13 million, and an adjusted EBITDA of $162 million, reflecting a significant improvement in margins. The company also reported substantial cost savings and continued progress on its Off-Highway business sale, expected to close in late Q4 2025. Looking ahead, Dana’s management remains optimistic, anticipating continued cost savings and operational improvements to drive profitability, with expectations for a strong adjusted EBITDA margin in the upcoming quarters.

Dana Holding Corp’s Optimistic Earnings Call Highlights
Oct 30, 2025

The recent earnings call of Dana Holding Corp showcased a cautiously optimistic sentiment, underscored by strong financial performance and strategic initiatives. The company reported significant improvements in EBITDA and free cash flow, driven by effective cost-saving measures. However, challenges such as the softness in the Commercial Vehicle market and EV program cancellations posed notable headwinds. Despite these challenges, the outlook for the upcoming quarters remains solid.

Executive/Board Changes
Dana Incorporated Appoints Hanna Nelligan to Board
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

On October 22, 2025, Dana Incorporated appointed Hanna Olivia Nelligan to its Board of Directors. Ms. Nelligan, who serves as the executive vice president, chief financial officer, and chief strategy officer of CHS Inc., brings extensive experience in global finance and strategic planning. Her appointment is expected to enhance Dana’s strategic priorities and long-term value creation. The company announced this appointment on October 23, 2025, highlighting Ms. Nelligan’s wealth of expertise as a valuable addition to their board.

The most recent analyst rating on (DAN) stock is a Buy with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dana Incorporated stock, see the DAN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Dana Incorporated Extends CEO McDonald’s Tenure
Neutral
Sep 30, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Dana Incorporated announced the extension of R. Bruce McDonald’s tenure as Chairman and CEO as the company advances key initiatives, including cost savings and the divestiture of its Off Highway business. The Board plans to accelerate the search for a successor in early 2026, with McDonald transitioning to Non-Executive Chairman once a new CEO is appointed. His amended employment agreement includes a base salary of $1,300,000 and potential RSUs valued at $9,900,000, contingent on his continued service and performance related to the CEO transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (DAN) stock is a Hold with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dana Incorporated stock, see the DAN Stock Forecast page.

Dana Inc. Faces Uncertainty with Off-Highway Business Sale to Allison: Potential Risks and Impacts
Aug 12, 2025

Dana Incorporated faces significant business risk due to the pending sale of its Off-Highway business to Allison, as the transaction is subject to numerous conditions, including regulatory approvals. Any failure to meet these conditions or unexpected developments could delay or derail the sale, potentially leading to less favorable terms or a complete collapse of the deal. The process demands considerable management focus, possibly detracting from other business operations, and may incur substantial expenses. Such uncertainties could adversely impact Dana’s financial health, operational results, and stock price, especially if the sale is not completed in a timely manner.

Dana Incorporated Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 6, 2025

Dana Incorporated is a global leader in the design and manufacture of propulsion and energy-management solutions, primarily serving the automotive sector with a focus on sustainable and efficient technologies. The company, headquartered in Maumee, Ohio, has a rich history dating back to 1904 and is recognized for its ethical business practices and responsible operations.

Dana Holding Corp’s Strategic Moves Highlighted in Earnings Call
Aug 6, 2025

Dana Holding Corp’s recent earnings call exuded a generally positive sentiment, underscoring strong financial performance and strategic decisions that are expected to bolster the company’s future. Despite some challenges, the overall tone was optimistic, with significant achievements in cost reductions, improved profit guidance, and strategic moves like the sale of the Off-Highway business taking center stage.

M&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Dana Incorporated Announces New $250 Million Credit Facility
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Dana Incorporated announced the execution of Amendment No. 7 to its Credit and Guaranty Agreement, introducing a new $250 million term A facility. This facility is set to mature either five business days after the divestiture of Dana’s off-highway business or 364 days post-amendment effectiveness. The facility, secured by first-priority liens on Dana’s assets, requires quarterly amortization payments starting December 31, 2025, and is guaranteed by Dana’s wholly owned domestic subsidiaries.

The most recent analyst rating on (DAN) stock is a Sell with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dana Incorporated stock, see the DAN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025