tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Garrett Motion, Inc. (GTX)
:GTX
US Market
Advertisement

Garrett Motion (GTX) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
326 Followers

Top Page

GTX

Garrett Motion

(NASDAQ:GTX)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$13.00
▲(3.92% Upside)
Garrett Motion's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and undervaluation, offset by financial instability and bearish technical indicators. The company's advancements in zero-emission technologies and strategic focus on growth areas provide optimism, but financial leverage and market momentum remain concerns.
Positive Factors
Advancements in Zero Emission Technologies
Garrett's focus on zero-emission technologies positions it well for future growth, aligning with global trends towards sustainable transportation.
Strong Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash flow generation provides financial flexibility, enabling Garrett to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt effectively.
Gasoline Sales Growth
Growth in gasoline sales indicates strong demand for Garrett's products, supporting revenue stability and market competitiveness.
Negative Factors
Financial Instability
Significant financial leverage and negative equity pose risks to Garrett's financial health, potentially impacting its ability to secure financing.
Inconsistent Revenue Growth
Fluctuating revenue growth can undermine investor confidence and affect long-term strategic planning and investment.
Aftermarket Weakness
Weak aftermarket sales impact overall revenue and highlight challenges in diversifying income streams beyond OEM partnerships.

Garrett Motion (GTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Garrett Motion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGarrett Motion Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells turbocharger and electric-boosting technologies for light and commercial vehicle original equipment manufacturers worldwide. The company offers light vehicle gasoline and diesel, and commercial vehicle turbochargers; and provides automotive software solutions. It offers its products in the aftermarket through distributors. Garrett Motion Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Rolle, Switzerland.
How the Company Makes MoneyGarrett Motion generates revenue primarily through the sale of its turbocharging and electric boosting technologies to automotive manufacturers and aftermarket suppliers. The company operates under a business model that includes direct sales to OEMs, where it provides custom solutions tailored to specific vehicle models, as well as aftermarket sales of products designed for vehicle performance upgrades and replacements. Key revenue streams include the sale of turbochargers, electric boosting systems, and associated software solutions. Additionally, Garrett has established significant partnerships with major automotive manufacturers, leveraging these relationships to secure long-term contracts and enhance its market presence. The increasing demand for fuel-efficient and low-emission vehicles further supports its revenue growth, as automakers seek advanced technologies to meet stringent regulatory standards.

Garrett Motion Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Garrett's strong financial performance, growth in gasoline sales, and advancements in zero emission technologies. However, challenges were noted in the aftermarket and commercial vehicle segments, with an unfavorable product mix impacting margins. Despite these challenges, the company showed positive momentum in strategic areas and committed to returning capital to shareholders.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Net sales for the third quarter were $902 million, up 6% at constant currency. Adjusted EBIT was $133 million with a margin of 14.7%. Adjusted free cash flow was $107 million.
Gasoline Sales Growth
Gasoline sales grew by 10% in the quarter, driven by share of demand gains.
Share Repurchases and Dividend Increase
Garrett accelerated its share repurchase activity, buying back $84 million of common stock and increased the quarterly dividend by 33% to $0.08 per share.
Advancements in Zero Emission Technologies
Secured additional proof of concepts for high-speed 3-in-1 E-Powertrain with two OEMs in Japan and China, and made progress with oil-free centrifugal high-speed compressor technology.
Improved Liquidity and Credit Ratings
Ended the quarter with a liquidity position of $862 million. Both Fitch and S&P upgraded Garrett's ratings by one notch.
Negative Updates
Aftermarket Weakness
Continued weakness in aftermarket sales, primarily in North America, affecting the overall mix.
Unfavorable Product Mix Impact
Unfavorable product mix driven by strength in light vehicle gasoline applications and weakness in commercial vehicle and aftermarket segments.
Commercial Vehicle Segment Challenges
Continued weakness in commercial vehicle sales with some regions showing signs of stabilization but overall still soft.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Garrett Motion delivered robust financial results, driven by a 6% rise in net sales to $902 million at constant currency, outperforming the industry with a notable 10% growth in gasoline turbo sales. The company achieved an adjusted EBIT of $133 million with a 14.7% margin, despite a 20 basis point dilution due to tariff recoveries. Adjusted free cash flow was strong at $107 million, enabling Garrett to raise its 2025 outlook midpoint. The company repurchased $84 million in common stock and increased its quarterly dividend by 33% to $0.08 per share. Additionally, Garrett secured over $40 million in awards for industrial turbochargers and anticipates sales from these products to exceed $100 million in 2025, highlighting significant growth opportunities. The company continues to advance its zero-emission technologies with new proof-of-concept awards and expects substantial efficiency gains from its E-Compressor technology.

Garrett Motion Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Garrett Motion exhibits moderate operational efficiency with stable profitability margins, but faces significant financial instability due to negative equity and high leverage. The company's cash flow generation remains robust, providing a cushion against financial challenges. However, the overall financial health is marred by inconsistent revenue growth and reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Income Statement
The company's gross profit and net income have shown fluctuations over the years, with a decline in total revenue in the TTM period compared to the previous annual report. The TTM gross profit margin is approximately 26.0%, and net profit margin is around 10.1%, indicating moderate profitability. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, as seen in the recent decrease. Despite these challenges, the company maintains positive EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicative of underlying operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage with a negative stockholders' equity of $700 million in the TTM period. The debt-to-equity ratio is not computable due to negative equity, which is a critical risk. However, the company has been reducing its total debt over time, which is a positive sign. The equity ratio is negative, reflecting the company's reliance on debt financing. These factors highlight considerable financial instability.
Cash Flow
Free cash flow in the TTM period has remained strong at $321 million, with a positive free cash flow to net income ratio, demonstrating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates solid cash flow generation from operations, although not significantly improving year-over-year. Despite healthy cash flow metrics, the company has faced fluctuating cash flow from financing activities, reflecting ongoing debt management efforts.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.55B3.48B3.89B3.60B3.63B3.03B
Gross Profit708.00M705.00M756.00M683.00M707.00M556.00M
EBITDA124.00M590.00M597.00M588.00M596.00M279.00M
Net Income301.00M282.00M261.00M390.00M495.00M80.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.40B2.28B2.53B2.64B2.71B3.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments232.00M125.00M259.00M246.00M423.00M592.00M
Total Debt7.00M1.52B1.69B1.16B1.19B1.67B
Total Liabilities3.21B2.95B3.26B2.75B3.17B5.33B
Stockholders Equity-812.00M-673.00M-735.00M-116.00M-468.00M-2.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow186.00M317.00M382.00M284.00M-382.00M-55.00M
Operating Cash Flow254.00M408.00M465.00M375.00M-310.00M25.00M
Investing Cash Flow-54.00M-14.00M-55.00M-91.00M-71.00M-80.00M
Financing Cash Flow-167.00M-520.00M-403.00M-482.00M139.00M530.00M

Garrett Motion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.51
Price Trends
50DMA
13.14
Negative
100DMA
12.19
Positive
200DMA
10.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.19
Positive
RSI
38.47
Neutral
STOCH
23.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GTX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.09, below the 50-day MA of 13.14, and above the 200-day MA of 10.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GTX.

Garrett Motion Risk Analysis

Garrett Motion disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Garrett Motion reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Garrett Motion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$3.19B11.1422.96%0.24%-3.26%-45.84%
73
Outperform
$5.37B11.799.51%3.08%-3.12%-8.23%
68
Neutral
$6.90B9.3647.08%1.29%2.70%15.17%
67
Neutral
$2.07B20.506.40%1.94%-4.30%39.80%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$2.54B-5.00%2.03%-14.46%-2170.83%
59
Neutral
$2.52B8.751.44%-6.71%43.34%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GTX
Garrett Motion
12.51
5.24
72.08%
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings
82.29
-16.07
-16.34%
DAN
Dana Incorporated
19.67
9.68
96.90%
LEA
Lear
100.11
4.99
5.25%
VC
Visteon
115.36
23.10
25.04%
PHIN
PHINIA Inc.
54.50
10.66
24.32%

Garrett Motion Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Garrett Motion’s General Counsel Announces Retirement
Neutral
Sep 26, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Jerome Maironi, Senior Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary of Garrett Motion Inc., announced his intention to retire effective March 31, 2026. He will step down from his current roles on October 1, 2025, and will assist in the transition of his duties until his retirement.

The most recent analyst rating on (GTX) stock is a Buy with a $17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Garrett Motion stock, see the GTX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Garrett Motion Board Member Kevin Mahony Resigns
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

On August 27, 2025, Kevin Mahony resigned from the Board of Directors of Garrett Motion Inc., a move not due to any dispute with the company. His departure follows Centerbridge Partners’ significant reduction in its ownership stake in Garrett, now below 5%. Mahony, who joined the board in January 2023, was a key figure in Garrett’s strategic planning, contributing to its success. The company expressed gratitude for his service, while Mahony expressed confidence in Garrett’s future, citing a strong team and strategic framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (GTX) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Garrett Motion stock, see the GTX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Garrett Motion Successfully Reprices $690 Million Loan
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Garrett Motion Inc. announced the successful repricing of its $690 million term loan due in 2032, reducing the interest rate by 25 basis points. This financial maneuver is expected to decrease interest expenses and enhance liquidity, supporting the company’s investment in innovation and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (GTX) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Garrett Motion stock, see the GTX Stock Forecast page.

Garrett Motion Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Jul 25, 2025

Garrett Motion, Inc. is a leading automotive technology provider specializing in turbocharging and zero-emission vehicle technologies, with a global presence in over 20 countries.

Garrett Motion’s Earnings Call Highlights Strong Performance
Jul 25, 2025

The recent earnings call for Garrett Motion, Inc. reflected a strong overall performance, highlighting significant business wins and advances in zero-emission technologies. Despite facing challenges such as an unfavorable sales mix and tariff impacts, the company maintains a positive outlook and is well-positioned for future growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025