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Garrett Motion (GTX)
NASDAQ:GTX
US Market
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Garrett Motion (GTX) AI Stock Analysis

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GTX

Garrett Motion

(NASDAQ:GTX)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(5.06% Upside)
Garrett Motion's stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and a positive earnings call, highlighting significant business wins and advances in zero-emission technologies. However, financial instability due to negative equity and high leverage poses risks. The stock's favorable valuation and recent corporate event enhancing liquidity further support the score.
Positive Factors
Currency Impact
The increase in the Euro versus the US Dollar could result in GTX’s sales rising by as much as $100 million compared to if the Euro was at $1.05.
Financial Performance
Garrett Motion (GTX) generated greater free cash flow as the Company benefited from stability in demand.
Sales Growth
GTX has won several new designs and projects with existing and new customers that are expected to contribute to sales growth.
Negative Factors
Market Conditions
The second quarter has evolved with fears over tariffs shifting to consumer demand for automobiles.
Sales Performance
The stronger Euro helped offset weaker diesel and aftermarket sales.

Garrett Motion (GTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Garrett Motion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGarrett Motion Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells turbocharger and electric-boosting technologies for light and commercial vehicle original equipment manufacturers worldwide. The company offers light vehicle gasoline and diesel, and commercial vehicle turbochargers; and provides automotive software solutions. It offers its products in the aftermarket through distributors. Garrett Motion Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Rolle, Switzerland.
How the Company Makes MoneyGarrett Motion generates revenue primarily through the sale of its turbocharging and electric boosting technologies to automotive manufacturers and aftermarket suppliers. The company operates under a business model that includes direct sales to OEMs, where it provides custom solutions tailored to specific vehicle models, as well as aftermarket sales of products designed for vehicle performance upgrades and replacements. Key revenue streams include the sale of turbochargers, electric boosting systems, and associated software solutions. Additionally, Garrett has established significant partnerships with major automotive manufacturers, leveraging these relationships to secure long-term contracts and enhance its market presence. The increasing demand for fuel-efficient and low-emission vehicles further supports its revenue growth, as automakers seek advanced technologies to meet stringent regulatory standards.

Garrett Motion Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 8.99%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong overall performance with significant business wins, advances in zero-emission technologies, and robust shareholder returns. However, challenges such as an unfavorable sales mix and tariff impacts were noted. Despite these challenges, the company has a positive outlook and is well-positioned for future growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Financial Performance
Garrett delivered net sales of $913 million, adjusted EBIT of $124 million, and a strong adjusted free cash flow of $121 million for the quarter. Gasoline turbo sales grew by 4%, outperforming the industry.
Significant Business Wins
Garrett was awarded over $1 billion in light vehicle program extensions, ensuring visibility on future turbo sales.
Progress in Zero-Emission Technologies
Secured significant awards and proof-of-concept partnerships in E-Powertrain and Fuel Cell Compressors, and inaugurated a new R&D center in Wuhan, China.
Shareholder Returns
Paid a $12 million quarterly dividend and repurchased $22 million of common stock, with a total of $52 million in share repurchases in the first half.
Negative Updates
Unfavorable Sales Mix
Continued weakness in diesel and aftermarket sales, particularly in North America, leading to an unfavorable product mix.
Impact of Tariffs
30 basis points of margin rate dilution from newly implemented tariffs, although recovery is underway.
Company Guidance
During the Garrett Motion Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance that included several key metrics. Garrett reported net sales of $913 million for the quarter, with gasoline turbo sales growing by 4%, outperforming the industry. The adjusted EBIT was $124 million, with a margin of 13.6%, including a 30 basis point margin rate dilution from tariffs. Adjusted free cash flow for the quarter was $121 million, leading to a first-half 2025 conversion rate of 62% of adjusted EBIT. The company raised its 2025 outlook due to the euro-dollar exchange rate impact, projecting a midpoint net sales of $3.5 billion and adjusted EBIT of $500 million. Furthermore, Garrett repurchased $22 million of common stock and paid a $12 million quarterly dividend in Q2. The company also announced significant business wins, including over $1 billion in light vehicle program extensions and continued growth in zero-emission technologies.

Garrett Motion Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Garrett Motion exhibits moderate operational efficiency with stable profitability margins, but faces significant financial instability due to negative equity and high leverage. The company's cash flow generation remains robust, providing a cushion against financial challenges. However, the overall financial health is marred by inconsistent revenue growth and reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The company's gross profit and net income have shown fluctuations over the years, with a decline in total revenue in the TTM period compared to the previous annual report. The TTM gross profit margin is approximately 26.0%, and net profit margin is around 10.1%, indicating moderate profitability. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, as seen in the recent decrease. Despite these challenges, the company maintains positive EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicative of underlying operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage with a negative stockholders' equity of $700 million in the TTM period. The debt-to-equity ratio is not computable due to negative equity, which is a critical risk. However, the company has been reducing its total debt over time, which is a positive sign. The equity ratio is negative, reflecting the company's reliance on debt financing. These factors highlight considerable financial instability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Free cash flow in the TTM period has remained strong at $321 million, with a positive free cash flow to net income ratio, demonstrating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates solid cash flow generation from operations, although not significantly improving year-over-year. Despite healthy cash flow metrics, the company has faced fluctuating cash flow from financing activities, reflecting ongoing debt management efforts.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.55B3.48B3.89B3.60B3.63B3.03B
Gross Profit708.00M705.00M756.00M683.00M707.00M556.00M
EBITDA124.00M590.00M597.00M588.00M596.00M279.00M
Net Income301.00M282.00M261.00M390.00M495.00M80.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.40B2.28B2.53B2.64B2.71B3.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments232.00M125.00M259.00M246.00M423.00M592.00M
Total Debt7.00M1.52B1.69B1.16B1.19B1.67B
Total Liabilities3.21B2.95B3.26B2.75B3.17B5.33B
Stockholders Equity-812.00M-673.00M-735.00M-116.00M-468.00M-2.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow186.00M317.00M382.00M284.00M-382.00M-55.00M
Operating Cash Flow254.00M408.00M465.00M375.00M-310.00M25.00M
Investing Cash Flow-54.00M-14.00M-55.00M-91.00M-71.00M-80.00M
Financing Cash Flow-167.00M-520.00M-403.00M-482.00M139.00M530.00M

Garrett Motion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.85
Price Trends
50DMA
11.45
Positive
100DMA
10.63
Positive
200DMA
9.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.35
Positive
RSI
65.15
Neutral
STOCH
61.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GTX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.61, above the 50-day MA of 11.45, and above the 200-day MA of 9.74, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 65.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GTX.

Garrett Motion Risk Analysis

Garrett Motion disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Garrett Motion reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Garrett Motion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$3.32B11.5422.96%-3.26%-45.84%
75
Outperform
$736.85M11.5825.41%3.70%1.47%131.61%
74
Outperform
$2.17B21.586.40%1.88%-4.30%39.80%
68
Neutral
$2.60B9.01-41.90%0.93%-6.71%43.34%
67
Neutral
¥277.48B14.886.81%2.50%5.07%-22.68%
53
Neutral
$3.16B2.45%36.76%
48
Neutral
$2.46B-5.00%2.16%-14.46%-2170.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GTX
Garrett Motion
12.85
4.82
60.02%
DAN
Dana Incorporated
18.51
7.90
74.46%
PLOW
Douglas Dynamics
31.90
5.51
20.88%
VC
Visteon
121.01
22.63
23.00%
HSAI
Hesai Group Sponsored ADR
25.59
21.06
464.90%
PHIN
PHINIA Inc.
55.28
9.80
21.55%

Garrett Motion Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Garrett Motion Successfully Reprices $690 Million Loan
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Garrett Motion Inc. announced the successful repricing of its $690 million term loan due in 2032, reducing the interest rate by 25 basis points. This financial maneuver is expected to decrease interest expenses and enhance liquidity, supporting the company’s investment in innovation and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (GTX) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Garrett Motion stock, see the GTX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Garrett Motion Confirms Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 29, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Garrett Motion Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where the election of nine directors was confirmed, and Deloitte SA was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. Additionally, shareholders approved the executive compensation plan and agreed to hold annual advisory votes on executive compensation, reflecting strong shareholder engagement and alignment with the company’s governance practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (GTX) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Garrett Motion stock, see the GTX Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingStock Buyback
Garrett Motion Announces Secondary Stock Offering
Neutral
May 20, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Garrett Motion Inc. announced a secondary public offering of 17 million shares of its common stock held by entities affiliated with Oaktree Capital Management, Centerbridge Partners, and Cyrus Capital Partners. The company also plans to repurchase approximately 2 million shares as part of its existing $250 million share repurchase program. The offering and repurchase are expected to impact Garrett’s financial operations by potentially altering its share structure and providing liquidity to the selling stockholders, while the company itself will not receive any proceeds from the offering.

The most recent analyst rating on (GTX) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Garrett Motion stock, see the GTX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025