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Garrett Motion, Inc. (GTX)
NASDAQ:GTX
US Market
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Garrett Motion (GTX) AI Stock Analysis

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GTX

Garrett Motion

(NASDAQ:GTX)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$32.00
▲(60.72% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/01/26
The score is driven most by mixed fundamentals: strong cash generation and solid profitability are offset by persistent negative equity and a sharp TTM revenue decline. Technicals are supportive (strong uptrend) but appear overextended, while valuation is reasonable and the latest earnings call was constructive with raised 2026 guidance tempered by macro uncertainty.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow generation
Consistent, sizeable free cash flow and near‑20% FCF growth provide durable financial flexibility. Over a multi‑quarter horizon this supports capex, R&D, dividends and buybacks, and gives the company room to delever or fund new product ramps despite cyclical revenue swings.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative shareholders' equity
Long‑standing negative equity is a structural balance‑sheet weakness that limits financial flexibility and investor optionality. It creates unfavorable leverage optics, can restrict access to capital markets, and raises refinancing and covenant sensitivity if cash flows weaken.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free cash flow generation
Consistent, sizeable free cash flow and near‑20% FCF growth provide durable financial flexibility. Over a multi‑quarter horizon this supports capex, R&D, dividends and buybacks, and gives the company room to delever or fund new product ramps despite cyclical revenue swings.
Read all positive factors

Garrett Motion (GTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Garrett Motion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Garrett Motion Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells turbocharger and electric-boosting technologies for light and commercial vehicle original equipment manufacturers worldwide. The company offers light vehicle gas...
How the Company Makes Money
Garrett primarily makes money by selling turbochargers and related components/systems to vehicle and engine manufacturers (OEMs) for installation on new vehicles and engines. This OEM business typically generates revenue based on production volume...

Garrett Motion Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Sales by Geography
Net Sales by Geography
Breaks down revenue by region (e.g., North America, Europe, Asia), showing where Garrett earns most of its sales. Highlights exposure to key auto markets, regional economic and demand cycles, currency effects, and geopolitical or supply-chain risks that could affect future growth.
Chart InsightsEurope re-emerged as the primary growth engine in 2025, consistent with Garrett’s diesel and commercial-vehicle awards, helping offset Asia’s softer gasoline volumes and North America’s aftermarket weakness. Asia remains choppy and below prior peaks, creating downside sensitivity if mix or EV adoption shifts unfavorably. The mid‑2025 bump in “Other” is notable: it likely reflects early traction in industrial cooling and non‑auto wins (E‑Cooling, HVAC), which—if scaled as guided—could materially diversify revenue and reduce cyclicality over the next few years.
Data provided by:The Fly

Garrett Motion Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a broadly positive operational and financial performance: solid Q1 revenue growth (12% reported, 6% constant currency), improved adjusted EBIT and margin (15.3%), positive adjusted free cash flow ($49M), multiple strategic technology wins (E-Powertrain and industrial cooling compressors) and active capital returns. Management increased the midpoint/high end of the 2026 outlook while retaining the low end due to macro and geopolitical uncertainty. Near-term headwinds include muted industry light-vehicle production, temporary working capital use, tariff pass-throughs and early-stage timing impacts from productivity actions, but liquidity and leverage remain healthy and management expects operating performance to improve through the year.
Positive Updates
Top-line Growth
Net sales of $985 million in Q1, up $107 million year-over-year (12% reported, 6% at constant currency), driven by double-digit growth in commercial vehicle, industrial and aftermarket, plus gasoline share gains.
Negative Updates
Muted Industry and Production Headwinds
Light vehicle production was down in Q1 and the broader industry remains muted, prompting management to keep the low end of the 2026 outlook unchanged despite raising mid/high points.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Top-line Growth
Net sales of $985 million in Q1, up $107 million year-over-year (12% reported, 6% at constant currency), driven by double-digit growth in commercial vehicle, industrial and aftermarket, plus gasoline share gains.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Garrett raised the midpoint and high end of its 2026 outlook while keeping the low end unchanged, now implying midpoints of $3.75 billion in net sales (≈2% constant‑currency growth), $560 million of adjusted EBIT (14.9% margin) and $415 million of adjusted free cash flow; this upgrade was supported by a strong Q1 (net sales $985 million, +6% cc / $107 million, +12% reported YoY; adjusted EBIT $151 million, 15.3% margin; adjusted free cash flow $49 million). Management expects demand to remain strong through H1 driven by light‑vehicle share gains, commercial‑vehicle recovery and industrial growth (notably stationary power generation), but is maintaining the low end of the range given macro and geopolitical uncertainty. Liquidity stood at $772 million ( $630 million undrawn revolver + $142 million unrestricted cash) with net leverage ~1.92x; capital returned in Q1 included $87 million of share repurchases (under a $250 million program) and $16 million of dividends (Q2 dividend declared at $0.08 per share), and the company continues to target returning ~75% of adjusted FCF to shareholders over time.

Garrett Motion Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating profitability and recent cash generation are solid (TTM gross margin ~24.5%, net margin ~8.6%, and TTM free cash flow ~$409M with ~19.9% growth), but the profile is materially held back by a structurally weak balance sheet (persistent negative equity) and a sharp TTM revenue decline (~24.5%), which raises risk around demand volatility and financial flexibility.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.69B3.58B3.48B3.89B3.60B3.63B
Gross Profit895.00M878.00M889.00M908.00M840.00M859.00M
EBITDA626.00M592.00M590.00M597.00M664.00M724.00M
Net Income343.00M310.00M282.00M261.00M390.00M495.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.37B2.37B2.28B2.53B2.64B2.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments142.00M179.00M126.00M260.00M248.00M464.00M
Total Debt1.47B1.51B1.52B1.69B1.20B1.63B
Total Liabilities3.15B3.17B2.95B3.26B2.75B3.17B
Stockholders Equity-781.00M-802.00M-673.00M-735.00M-116.00M-468.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow380.00M341.00M317.00M382.00M284.00M-382.00M
Operating Cash Flow455.00M413.00M408.00M465.00M375.00M-310.00M
Investing Cash Flow-45.00M-41.00M-14.00M-55.00M-91.00M-71.00M
Financing Cash Flow-400.00M-326.00M-520.00M-403.00M-482.00M139.00M

Garrett Motion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.91
Price Trends
50DMA
18.89
Positive
100DMA
18.18
Positive
200DMA
15.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.29
Negative
RSI
63.44
Neutral
STOCH
77.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GTX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.57, above the 50-day MA of 18.89, and above the 200-day MA of 15.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GTX.

Garrett Motion Risk Analysis

Garrett Motion disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Garrett Motion reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Garrett Motion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.05B19.9111.08%0.57%-2.04%-43.19%
71
Outperform
$7.00B8.7810.41%2.63%2.86%17.30%
68
Neutral
$5.43B9.05-42.77%1.49%7.36%34.94%
68
Neutral
$2.96B17.908.88%1.77%6.86%104.75%
64
Neutral
$10.30B21.9634.97%1.07%13.99%-25.70%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
56
Neutral
$3.80B-4.92-2.91%1.70%-21.52%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GTX
Garrett Motion
29.00
17.23
146.33%
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings
124.18
22.07
21.61%
DAN
Dana Incorporated
34.70
18.64
116.08%
LEA
Lear
139.69
47.59
51.68%
VC
Visteon
114.35
26.80
30.61%
PHIN
PHINIA Inc.
79.87
37.33
87.75%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 01, 2026