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Garrett Motion (GTX)
NASDAQ:GTX
US Market
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Garrett Motion (GTX) AI Stock Analysis

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GTX

Garrett Motion

(NASDAQ:GTX)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▲(7.03% Upside)
Garrett Motion's stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and positive technical indicators. However, financial instability due to negative equity and high leverage, along with moderate valuation metrics, temper the overall score. The recent corporate event of loan repricing adds a positive note by enhancing liquidity.
Positive Factors
Currency Impact
The US Dollar has weakened versus the Euro, which should result in Garrett Motion (GTX) reporting results ahead of estimates.
Financial Performance
GTX generated greater free cash flow as the Company benefited from stability in demand.
Sales Forecast
GTX reported sales that were in line with forecasts and put the Company on path to reaching greater sales than had been projected.
Negative Factors
Market Concerns
Fears over tariffs have shifted to consumer demand for automobiles, affecting GTX's market outlook.
Sales Composition
The stronger Euro helped offset weaker diesel and aftermarket sales for GTX.

Garrett Motion (GTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Garrett Motion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGarrett Motion Inc. is a leading global technology company specializing in advanced turbocharging, electric boosting, and vehicle software solutions, primarily for the automotive industry. Founded in 2018 and headquartered in Rolle, Switzerland, Garrett operates in the automotive sector, providing innovative products aimed at enhancing vehicle performance, fuel efficiency, and emissions reduction. Its core offerings include a wide range of turbochargers, electric boost technologies, and related software systems that cater to both original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and the aftermarket.
How the Company Makes MoneyGarrett Motion generates revenue primarily through the sale of its turbocharging and electric boosting technologies to automotive manufacturers and aftermarket suppliers. The company operates under a business model that includes direct sales to OEMs, where it provides custom solutions tailored to specific vehicle models, as well as aftermarket sales of products designed for vehicle performance upgrades and replacements. Key revenue streams include the sale of turbochargers, electric boosting systems, and associated software solutions. Additionally, Garrett has established significant partnerships with major automotive manufacturers, leveraging these relationships to secure long-term contracts and enhance its market presence. The increasing demand for fuel-efficient and low-emission vehicles further supports its revenue growth, as automakers seek advanced technologies to meet stringent regulatory standards.

Garrett Motion Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance in net sales, adjusted EBIT, and cash flow, with significant progress in innovation and shareholder returns. However, challenges such as unfavorable sales mix and tariff impacts were noted. Overall, the positive aspects of performance and strategic wins outweighed the negative points.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Sales Performance
Net sales for the second quarter were $913 million, outperforming the industry in light vehicle turbo sales for both gasoline and diesel applications. Gasoline turbo sales grew by 4% in the quarter.
Adjusted EBIT and Cash Flow
Adjusted EBIT was $124 million with a margin of 13.6%, and the adjusted free cash flow was $121 million, representing a conversion of 62% of adjusted EBIT for the first half of 2025.
Capital Return to Shareholders
Repurchased $22 million of common stock and paid a $12 million quarterly dividend. The Board declared a third quarter dividend, and share count has been reduced by 39% since Q1 2023.
Business Wins and Program Extensions
Awarded over $1 billion of light vehicle program extensions, with some lasting until 2034. Secured significant wins in turbochargers for range-extended electric vehicles and E-Turbo programs.
Zero-Emission Technologies
Secured a proof-of-concept award for an E-Powertrain with a major European OEM and achieved a significant fuel cell compressor award from a leading Asian OEM.
Negative Updates
Unfavorable Sales Mix
Continued softness in diesel and aftermarket applications, particularly in North America, due to inventory issues and slower demand recovery.
Tariff Impacts
30 basis points of margin rate dilution from tariffs, although full recovery of tariff costs is expected.
Company Guidance
During the Garrett Motion Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance updates. Net sales for the quarter were reported at $913 million, with adjusted EBIT at $124 million, resulting in a 13.6% adjusted EBIT margin. Adjusted free cash flow was robust at $121 million, equating to a 62% conversion rate for the first half of 2025. Garrett Motion raised its 2025 outlook, reflecting a stronger euro-dollar exchange rate, with projected net sales of $3.5 billion and adjusted EBIT of $500 million. The company also highlighted significant achievements, such as $1 billion in light vehicle program extensions and advancements in zero-emission technologies. Additionally, Garrett returned capital to shareholders through a $22 million stock repurchase and a $12 million quarterly dividend, underscoring its commitment to distributing at least 75% of adjusted free cash flow to shareholders over time.

Garrett Motion Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Garrett Motion exhibits moderate operational efficiency with stable profitability margins, but faces significant financial instability due to negative equity and high leverage. The company's cash flow generation remains robust, providing a cushion against financial challenges. However, the overall financial health is marred by inconsistent revenue growth and reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The company's gross profit and net income have shown fluctuations over the years, with a decline in total revenue in the TTM period compared to the previous annual report. The TTM gross profit margin is approximately 26.0%, and net profit margin is around 10.1%, indicating moderate profitability. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, as seen in the recent decrease. Despite these challenges, the company maintains positive EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicative of underlying operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage with a negative stockholders' equity of $700 million in the TTM period. The debt-to-equity ratio is not computable due to negative equity, which is a critical risk. However, the company has been reducing its total debt over time, which is a positive sign. The equity ratio is negative, reflecting the company's reliance on debt financing. These factors highlight considerable financial instability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Free cash flow in the TTM period has remained strong at $321 million, with a positive free cash flow to net income ratio, demonstrating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates solid cash flow generation from operations, although not significantly improving year-over-year. Despite healthy cash flow metrics, the company has faced fluctuating cash flow from financing activities, reflecting ongoing debt management efforts.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.55B3.48B3.89B3.60B3.63B3.03B
Gross Profit708.00M705.00M756.00M683.00M707.00M556.00M
EBITDA124.00M590.00M597.00M588.00M596.00M279.00M
Net Income301.00M282.00M261.00M390.00M495.00M80.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.40B2.28B2.53B2.64B2.71B3.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments232.00M125.00M259.00M246.00M423.00M592.00M
Total Debt7.00M1.52B1.69B1.16B1.19B1.67B
Total Liabilities3.21B2.95B3.26B2.75B3.17B5.33B
Stockholders Equity-812.00M-673.00M-735.00M-116.00M-468.00M-2.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow186.00M317.00M382.00M284.00M-382.00M-55.00M
Operating Cash Flow254.00M408.00M465.00M375.00M-310.00M25.00M
Investing Cash Flow-54.00M-14.00M-55.00M-91.00M-71.00M-80.00M
Financing Cash Flow-167.00M-520.00M-403.00M-482.00M139.00M530.00M

Garrett Motion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.08
Price Trends
50DMA
12.22
Positive
100DMA
11.26
Positive
200DMA
10.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Positive
RSI
58.85
Neutral
STOCH
42.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GTX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.94, above the 50-day MA of 12.22, and above the 200-day MA of 10.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GTX.

Garrett Motion Risk Analysis

Garrett Motion disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Garrett Motion reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Garrett Motion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$3.41B11.9322.96%0.22%-3.26%-45.84%
81
Outperform
$770.72M12.1125.41%3.53%1.47%131.61%
74
Outperform
$2.28B22.636.40%1.81%-4.30%39.80%
67
Neutral
$2.64B9.15-41.90%1.38%-6.71%43.34%
61
Neutral
$17.95B12.83-3.20%2.97%1.18%-14.28%
61
Neutral
$2.70B-5.00%1.94%-14.46%-2170.83%
53
Neutral
$3.59B238.222.45%36.76%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GTX
Garrett Motion
13.08
5.46
71.65%
DAN
Dana Incorporated
20.61
10.87
111.60%
PLOW
Douglas Dynamics
33.45
8.00
31.43%
VC
Visteon
125.13
29.33
30.62%
HSAI
Hesai Group Sponsored ADR
26.49
22.75
608.29%
PHIN
PHINIA Inc.
58.60
13.31
29.39%

Garrett Motion Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Garrett Motion Board Member Kevin Mahony Resigns
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

On August 27, 2025, Kevin Mahony resigned from the Board of Directors of Garrett Motion Inc., a move not due to any dispute with the company. His departure follows Centerbridge Partners’ significant reduction in its ownership stake in Garrett, now below 5%. Mahony, who joined the board in January 2023, was a key figure in Garrett’s strategic planning, contributing to its success. The company expressed gratitude for his service, while Mahony expressed confidence in Garrett’s future, citing a strong team and strategic framework.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Garrett Motion Successfully Reprices $690 Million Loan
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Garrett Motion Inc. announced the successful repricing of its $690 million term loan due in 2032, reducing the interest rate by 25 basis points. This financial maneuver is expected to decrease interest expenses and enhance liquidity, supporting the company’s investment in innovation and shareholder returns.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Garrett Motion Confirms Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 29, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Garrett Motion Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where the election of nine directors was confirmed, and Deloitte SA was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. Additionally, shareholders approved the executive compensation plan and agreed to hold annual advisory votes on executive compensation, reflecting strong shareholder engagement and alignment with the company’s governance practices.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025