Douglas Dynamics (PLOW)
:PLOW
Advertisement

Douglas Dynamics (PLOW) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
175 Followers

Top Page

PLOW

Douglas Dynamics

(NYSE:PLOW)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$32.00
▲(7.93% Upside)
Douglas Dynamics' overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and positive financial guidance, which are significant strengths. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and operational efficiency and cash flow management remain areas for improvement. The valuation is reasonable, with a good dividend yield, but not significantly compelling.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Improved Leverage
Improved leverage enhances financial stability, reducing risk and increasing capacity for future investments and growth opportunities.
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition expands product offerings and market reach, potentially increasing revenue streams and strengthening competitive position.
Negative Factors
Operational Efficiency Challenges
Declining operational efficiency may impact profitability, requiring strategic adjustments to maintain margins and competitive advantage.
Interest Rate Challenges
Rising interest rates can dampen demand, especially among price-sensitive customers, potentially affecting sales and revenue growth.
Softening Commercial Demand
Softening demand in the commercial segment may lead to reduced sales, impacting overall revenue and necessitating strategic adjustments.

Douglas Dynamics (PLOW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Douglas Dynamics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDouglas Dynamics, Inc. (PLOW) is a leading manufacturer and supplier of snow and ice control equipment and accessories for commercial, municipal, and residential applications. The company operates primarily in the equipment sector, focusing on snow plows, spreaders, and related products under well-known brands such as Western, Fisher, and Blizzard. Douglas Dynamics serves a diverse customer base, including contractors, municipalities, and homeowners, providing innovative solutions designed to improve snow and ice management efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyDouglas Dynamics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its snow and ice control products, which include various types of snow plows and spreaders. The company operates on a direct sales model, distributing its products through a network of dealers and distributors across North America. Key revenue streams include the sale of equipment, parts, and accessories, as well as aftermarket services and support. Additionally, Douglas Dynamics benefits from seasonal demand, with a significant portion of its sales occurring in the fall and winter months when snow and ice management is critical. The company also engages in strategic partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers to enhance its product offerings and expand market reach, further contributing to its revenue generation.

Douglas Dynamics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment with strong performance in key segments, successful acquisition efforts, and improved financial guidance. However, ongoing economic concerns and debt management issues were acknowledged.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Acquisition of Venco Venturo
Douglas Dynamics completed the acquisition of Venco Venturo, marking their first acquisition in over nine years. This acquisition is expected to diversify and balance the portfolio, with Venco Venturo generating estimated sales in the $30 million to $40 million range.
Work Truck Solutions Segment Performance
The Work Truck Solutions segment delivered record third-quarter results with net sales and adjusted EBITDA both up over 30%, driven by strong demand and improved efficiencies.
Improved Financial Guidance
Douglas Dynamics raised its financial guidance for 2025. They now expect net sales to range from $635 million to $660 million, adjusted EBITDA to range from $87 million to $102 million, and adjusted earnings per share to be between $1.85 and $2.25.
Reduction in Inventory
The Attachments team significantly decreased its inventory by $11 million year-over-year, leading to healthier dealer inventories below the 5-year average.
Negative Updates
Economic and Tariff Concerns
Despite a stronger-than-expected performance, there were mentions of ongoing economic and tariff concerns that may affect dealer markets and smaller customer purchasing decisions.
Interest Expense and Debt Management
Interest expense decreased by 16% but was partially offset by floor plan interest on higher chassis inventory. The leverage ratio stands at 1.9x, with expectations to remain close to 2x by year-end.
Company Guidance
During the Douglas Dynamics Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided optimistic guidance for the upcoming periods. They revised their full-year 2025 net sales forecast to range from $635 million to $660 million, up from a previous range of $630 million to $660 million. Adjusted EBITDA guidance was increased to between $87 million and $102 million from the earlier $82 million to $97 million. Additionally, adjusted earnings per share are now projected to be between $1.85 and $2.25, compared to the prior expectation of $1.65 to $2.15. The company's performance was driven by strong demand, particularly in their Work Truck Solutions segment, which saw net sales and adjusted EBITDA grow by over 30%, and preseason shipments for Attachments in line with expectations. The guidance assumes stable economic and supply chain conditions, with average snowfall anticipated in their core markets.

Douglas Dynamics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Douglas Dynamics demonstrates solid revenue growth and improved leverage, contributing to a strong financial position. However, operational efficiency and cash flow management present areas for improvement. The company is well-positioned in the auto parts industry, but maintaining operational margins and enhancing cash flow efficiency will be key to sustaining growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Douglas Dynamics shows a solid revenue growth rate of 5.62% TTM, indicating positive momentum. The gross profit margin is stable at 26.38%, while the net profit margin is at 6.82%, reflecting decent profitability. However, the EBIT margin has decreased from 15.68% in 2024 to 8.74% TTM, suggesting some operational challenges. Overall, the income statement reflects a healthy revenue trajectory but with some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.50 TTM from 0.84 in 2024, indicating better leverage management. Return on equity is at 15.66% TTM, showing strong shareholder returns. The equity ratio stands at 39.61%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. While the balance sheet shows improved leverage, maintaining this trend will be crucial to mitigate financial risks.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Free cash flow growth is positive at 10.57% TTM, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 78.57%, indicating good cash conversion. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low at 27.36%, suggesting potential cash flow management challenges. Overall, cash flow generation is strong, but operational cash flow efficiency needs attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue615.06M568.50M568.18M616.07M541.45M480.15M
Gross Profit162.28M146.84M134.27M151.46M141.87M128.28M
EBITDA82.61M107.04M66.57M79.55M66.74M-58.85M
Net Income41.97M56.15M23.72M38.61M30.69M-86.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets694.94M589.98M593.42M596.89M572.48M579.20M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.52M5.12M24.16M20.67M36.96M41.03M
Total Debt296.01M221.47M256.70M226.53M239.88M267.99M
Total Liabilities419.61M325.77M361.85M359.79M357.87M379.00M
Stockholders Equity275.33M264.21M231.56M237.10M214.61M200.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow41.28M33.32M1.95M27.98M49.33M38.88M
Operating Cash Flow53.17M41.13M12.47M40.03M60.53M53.37M
Investing Cash Flow-11.80M56.79M-10.52M-12.05M-11.21M-14.49M
Financing Cash Flow-39.14M-116.96M1.54M-44.28M-53.39M-33.51M

Douglas Dynamics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price29.65
Price Trends
50DMA
31.34
Negative
100DMA
30.91
Positive
200DMA
28.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
51.16
Neutral
STOCH
80.42
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PLOW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 29.65 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.01, below the 50-day MA of 31.34, and above the 200-day MA of 28.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.42 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PLOW.

Douglas Dynamics Risk Analysis

Douglas Dynamics disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Douglas Dynamics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Douglas Dynamics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$722.33M17.8815.29%3.79%9.99%-23.93%
66
Neutral
$770.34M18.506.01%-6.02%42.35%
65
Neutral
$856.65M12.6710.49%3.25%23.96%11.01%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
57
Neutral
$544.26M-3.04%6.53%-2.58%-179.55%
56
Neutral
$555.21M17.33-0.53%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PLOW
Douglas Dynamics
31.15
7.39
31.10%
AXL
American Axle
6.23
-0.08
-1.27%
MNRO
Monro Muffler
17.16
-10.25
-37.40%
SMP
Standard Motor Products
38.20
5.96
18.49%
CPS
Cooper-Standard Holdings
29.87
15.24
104.17%
AIIO
Roboai
0.56
-0.67
-54.47%

Douglas Dynamics Corporate Events

Douglas Dynamics Reports Strong Q3 2025 Growth
Nov 5, 2025

Douglas Dynamics, Inc., a leading manufacturer and upfitter of work truck attachments and equipment in North America, has reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showcasing significant growth in net sales and strategic advancements.

Douglas Dynamics Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 6, 2025

Douglas Dynamics, Inc. is a leading manufacturer and upfitter of commercial work truck attachments and equipment in North America, known for its innovation and commitment to enhancing operational efficiency and profitability for businesses. The company operates through two main segments: Work Truck Attachments and Work Truck Solutions.

Douglas Dynamics’ Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Aug 6, 2025

Douglas Dynamics’ recent earnings call painted a generally positive picture, highlighting strong performance in its Work Truck Solutions segment and an improved financial position. Despite facing challenges such as a decline in consolidated net sales and pressures in the commercial business, the company remains optimistic with increased guidance and innovative product launches.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025