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Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT)
NASDAQ:GT

GoodYear Tire (GT) AI Stock Analysis

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GT

GoodYear Tire

(NASDAQ:GT)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(8.08%Upside)
Goodyear Tire's stock score reflects a balanced outlook. The company shows strengths in technical trends and strategic initiatives, while financial challenges such as high leverage and declining revenues temper the overall positive aspects. The strategic asset sales and credit facility enhancements support financial flexibility.
Positive Factors
Cost Savings
Conversations with the company have given further confidence that it has the necessary traction to achieve its targeted $1.5bn in cost savings and margin improvement by the end of 2026.
Manufacturing and Tariffs
Goodyear's domestic U.S. manufacturing footprint places it in a strong position to gain from recently imposed tariffs.
Operational Strategy
The company's strategy to dispose of non-core assets is significantly catalyzing debt deleverage.
Negative Factors
Revenue and Margins
Margins take a step back with Goodyear reporting revenues down 6% year-over-year and SOI down 21% year-over-year.
Sales and Market Conditions
Goodyear's volume growth expectation for both consumer and commercial has been adjusted to a range of -2% to 2%, a decrease from previous expectations for commercial.
Volume and Price Challenges
Volume and price mix remained headwinds, with further challenges caused by higher raw material costs.

GoodYear Tire (GT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GoodYear Tire Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company, commonly known as Goodyear, is a leading global manufacturer of tires and rubber-related products. Founded in 1898 and headquartered in Akron, Ohio, Goodyear operates in the automotive, commercial truck, aviation, and industrial sectors. The company designs, manufactures, and sells tires for automobiles, commercial trucks, motorcycles, airplanes, and heavy machinery. Goodyear also runs a network of retail stores and service centers offering tire-related services and maintenance.
How the Company Makes MoneyGoodyear makes money primarily through the manufacturing and sales of tires and related products. Its revenue model is based on both original equipment (OE) sales and replacement tire sales. Original equipment sales involve supplying tires directly to automobile manufacturers, which are then installed on new vehicles. Replacement tire sales are made to consumers through various channels, including Goodyear's network of retail outlets, independent dealers, and online platforms. Additionally, the company generates income from providing tire-related services such as installation, maintenance, and repair at its service centers. Strategic partnerships with automotive manufacturers and retailers, as well as a strong brand reputation, significantly contribute to Goodyear's earnings.

GoodYear Tire Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.36%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call illustrated a mix of strong strategic execution and ongoing challenges. While Goodyear is making significant progress in asset sales, market share growth, and product innovation, it faces hurdles with declining volumes, inflation, and costs. The company's favorable tariff position and the success of the Goodyear Forward program provide a competitive advantage, yet market volatility and external cost pressures temper this optimism.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Goodyear Forward Program Success
Goodyear Forward work streams delivered $200 million of benefit, the single highest amount realized in any quarter since the program launched.
Strategic Asset Sales
Significant progress on deleveraging goals with the sale of the OTR business and Dunlop to SRI, expecting to generate gross proceeds of at least $2 billion from asset sales.
Market Share Growth in Key Segments
Continued growth in the OE market share in the U.S. and EMEA, particularly in the profitable 18-inch and greater rim size segment.
High Performance Product Launches
Launch of the Goodyear Eagle F1 Asymmetric 6 tire with nearly 250 SKUs, the largest ultra-high-performance summer tire offering in Goodyear's history.
Favorable Tariff Position
Goodyear's U.S. tariff exposure is about one quarter of the industry average, providing a significant competitive advantage.
Negative Updates
Decline in Unit Volume
First quarter sales were down 6% from last year due to lower volume and unfavorable foreign currency translation, with unit volume 5% lower.
Challenges in Asia-Pacific
Replacement volume in Asia-Pacific declined due to strategic decisions to exit less profitable, low-margin replacement business outside of China.
Inflation and Raw Material Costs
Higher raw material costs of $181 million and inflation and other costs of $55 million impacted the segment operating income.
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin declined by 70 basis points year-over-year.
Company Guidance
During Goodyear's Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance highlighting several key metrics and strategic initiatives. For the full year, Goodyear aims to achieve a 10% segment operating income (SOI) margin and net leverage of under 2.5 times by Q4. The Goodyear Forward program contributed $200 million in savings during Q1, the highest quarterly benefit since the program's inception. Despite facing inflationary pressures, particularly in raw materials, Goodyear expects a price/mix benefit of about $150 million in both Q3 and Q4. The company anticipates a $300 million annualized cost impact due to tariffs but believes its strong U.S. manufacturing footprint provides a competitive advantage. Q2 volume is projected to decline 2%, with improvements expected in the second half. For Q2, Goodyear forecasts a $135 million price/mix benefit, raw material costs to rise by $180 million, and continued inflationary pressures totaling $120 million. Free cash flow generation is targeted to remain positive for the year, despite adjustments due to tariffs impacting working capital.

GoodYear Tire Financial Statement Overview

Summary
GoodYear Tire is facing significant financial challenges with revenue and profit volatility. Despite improvements in operational efficiency, profitability and cash management remain major concerns. The company needs to stabilize its financial position to achieve consistent growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
GoodYear Tire has faced challenges in maintaining consistent revenue growth, with a significant decline from 2020 to 2023. While revenue decreased by 5.9% from 2023 to 2024, the gross profit margin improved dramatically in 2024 due to cost management efforts. However, the net profit margin remained low, indicating persistent profitability challenges. The EBIT margin improved in 2024, suggesting better operational efficiency, but the absence of positive EBITDA in 2024 is concerning.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company has a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting a balanced capital structure. However, the equity ratio has shown some volatility, indicating fluctuating financial stability. Return on equity has been inconsistent, with a positive turn in 2024, but overall performance has been unstable.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow management is a concern, with negative free cash flow in recent years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio in 2024 was positive, showing some operational cash generation capacity. Still, the free cash flow to net income ratio highlights cash flow constraints and the need for better capital expenditure management.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
18.88B20.07B20.80B17.48B12.32B
Gross Profit
18.88B3.51B3.85B3.79B1.98B
EBIT
16.10B73.00M883.00M993.00M-327.00M
EBITDA
1.73B856.00M1.85B1.82B69.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
60.00M-689.00M202.00M764.00M-1.25B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
810.00M902.00M1.23B1.09B1.54B
Total Assets
20.96B21.58B22.43B21.40B16.51B
Total Debt
8.79B8.65B8.91B8.42B6.87B
Net Debt
7.98B7.75B7.68B7.33B5.33B
Total Liabilities
16.06B16.75B16.96B16.22B13.25B
Stockholders Equity
4.91B4.67B5.30B5.00B3.08B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-490.00M-18.00M-540.00M81.00M468.00M
Operating Cash Flow
698.00M1.03B521.00M1.06B1.11B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.00B-1.03B-914.00M-2.79B-667.00M
Financing Cash Flow
225.00M-333.00M575.00M1.31B203.00M

GoodYear Tire Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price10.64
Price Trends
50DMA
10.44
Positive
100DMA
9.82
Positive
200DMA
9.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Positive
RSI
45.50
Neutral
STOCH
19.94
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 10.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.05, above the 50-day MA of 10.44, and above the 200-day MA of 9.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.94 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GT.

GoodYear Tire Risk Analysis

GoodYear Tire disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GoodYear Tire reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
The consummation of the sale of the Dunlop brand to Sumitomo Rubber Industries, Ltd. is subject to closing conditions, some or all of which may not be satisfied, or completed on a timely basis, if at all. Failure to complete the sale in a timely manner or at all could have adverse effects on us. Q4, 2024
2.
The sales of our OTR tire business and the Dunlop brand may disrupt our current and future plans or operations. Q4, 2024

GoodYear Tire Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$8.64B11.8750.15%1.00%3.86%16.02%
BWBWA
76
Outperform
$7.07B25.865.38%1.36%-8.22%-52.61%
74
Outperform
$3.86B18.2017.09%6.03%40.36%
LELEA
73
Outperform
$4.67B10.2410.00%3.48%-3.15%-6.70%
GTGT
68
Neutral
$3.07B12.695.06%-5.43%
62
Neutral
$6.88B11.322.95%3.87%2.70%-24.57%
DADAN
61
Neutral
$2.40B-2.40%2.43%-7.00%-366.59%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GT
GoodYear Tire
10.64
-1.29
-10.81%
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings
103.56
30.48
41.71%
BWA
BorgWarner
32.30
-1.56
-4.61%
DAN
Dana Incorporated
17.26
4.38
34.01%
DORM
Dorman Products
126.67
36.86
41.04%
LEA
Lear
88.47
-30.52
-25.65%

GoodYear Tire Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Goodyear Announces Closure of South Africa Facility
Negative
Jun 5, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company announced a plan to close its manufacturing facility in Kariega, South Africa, affecting approximately 900 jobs. This decision, part of the EMEA business unit, is expected to incur charges between $100 million and $110 million, with anticipated improvements in operating income by $10 million annually from 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (GT) stock is a Hold with a $10.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GoodYear Tire stock, see the GT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Goodyear Tire Announces $500 Million Senior Notes Pricing
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

On May 29, 2025, Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company announced the pricing of its $500 million senior notes, which are due in 2030 and bear an interest rate of 6.625%. The proceeds from this offering, along with existing cash reserves, will be used to redeem the company’s remaining $500 million 5% Senior Notes due 2026, with the redemption set for July 3, 2025. This financial maneuver is part of Goodyear’s strategic efforts to manage its debt obligations effectively, potentially impacting its financial stability and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GT) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GoodYear Tire stock, see the GT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Goodyear Announces Redemption of $400M Senior Notes
Neutral
May 29, 2025

On May 29, 2025, Goodyear announced the redemption of $400 million of its 5% Senior Notes due 2026, set for June 30, 2025. This financial move is part of Goodyear’s broader strategy following the sale of its off-the-road (OTR) tire business to The Yokohama Rubber Company for approximately $905 million, completed on February 3, 2025. The divestiture, which included entities in Japan and Australia, allows Goodyear to focus on its core operations while maintaining a product supply agreement with Yokohama for certain OTR tires. This strategic shift is expected to impact Goodyear’s financial operations, as reflected in the pro forma financial statements, although these are not indicative of future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GT) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GoodYear Tire stock, see the GT Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Goodyear Tire Sells Polymer Chemicals Business
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company announced the sale of its polymer chemicals business to G-3 Chickadee Purchaser, LLC for approximately $650 million. This transaction, part of Goodyear’s strategic Goodyear Forward transformation plan, involves the transfer of chemical plants in Texas and a research facility in Ohio, with the aim of optimizing the company’s portfolio and reducing leverage. The sale is subject to regulatory approval and customary closing conditions, and it is expected to close by late 2025. Goodyear will retain certain chemical facilities and rights in New York and Texas.

The most recent analyst rating on (GT) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GoodYear Tire stock, see the GT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Goodyear Tire Extends Credit Facility Maturity to 2030
Positive
May 19, 2025

On May 19, 2025, Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company amended and restated its U.S. first lien revolving credit facility, extending its maturity from 2026 to 2030 while maintaining the interest rate at SOFR plus 125 basis points. This facility, which can be utilized for loans or letters of credit, allows for up to $800 million in letters of credit and $50 million in swingline loans, with the potential to increase by $250 million upon lender consent. The facility is secured by various assets, including U.S. and Canadian accounts receivable, inventory, and certain manufacturing facilities. The amendments aim to provide financial flexibility and stability, with covenants largely unchanged from the previous agreement, ensuring Goodyear’s continued operational capacity and market competitiveness.

The most recent analyst rating on (GT) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GoodYear Tire stock, see the GT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Goodyear Tire Elects Jason Winkler to Board
Positive
May 16, 2025

On May 12, 2025, Jason J. Winkler was elected to the Board of Directors of The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company, with his term starting on May 15, 2025, and expiring at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders. Winkler, who is the executive vice president and chief financial officer of Motorola Solutions, will serve on the Audit Committee and the Committee on Corporate Responsibility and Compliance. His extensive experience in global finance is expected to be a significant asset to Goodyear as it continues its transformation plan aimed at expanding margins, optimizing its portfolio, and reducing leverage, thus enhancing shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GT) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GoodYear Tire stock, see the GT Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Goodyear Sells Dunlop Rights to Sumitomo for $735M
Positive
May 7, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Goodyear completed the sale of its rights to the Dunlop brand in Europe, North America, and Oceania to Sumitomo Rubber Industries for $735 million. This transaction is part of Goodyear’s broader strategy to optimize its portfolio and reduce leverage as part of the Goodyear Forward transformation plan. The company reported first quarter 2025 results with net sales of $4.3 billion and a net income of $115 million, reflecting improvements from the previous year. Despite challenges like higher raw material costs and inflation, Goodyear remains committed to its targets, including a segment operating margin of 10% by the end of 2025.

Executive/Board Changes
Goodyear Tire Executive Departure on April 14, 2025
Neutral
Apr 17, 2025

Christopher R. Delaney, a named executive officer, left Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company on April 14, 2025, without severance benefits, and his departure was unrelated to the company’s financial or operational performance. Christina L. Zamarro, the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, will temporarily oversee the EMEA business unit, in addition to her current responsibilities.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Goodyear Shareholders Approve Amendment to Performance Plan
Neutral
Apr 16, 2025

On April 14, 2025, Goodyear shareholders approved an amendment to the 2022 Performance Plan, authorizing an additional 12.4 million common shares for issuance. During the same meeting, all twelve nominated directors were elected, and several resolutions were voted on, including the approval of executive compensation and the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for 2025. A shareholder proposal regarding tire and road wear particle goals was not adopted.

Executive/Board Changes
Goodyear Tire’s EMEA President Takes Leave of Absence
Neutral
Apr 7, 2025

On April 4, 2025, Christopher R. Delaney, President of the EMEA region for Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company, took a leave of absence. During his absence, Christina L. Zamarro, the company’s Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, will temporarily oversee the EMEA business unit in addition to her current responsibilities.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.