Credit RiskAffirm faces heightened risk of users failing to make payments on time, as BNPL users are on average more likely to have higher levels of credit card debt and lower credit score in the subprime range, according to the US Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB).
Regulatory RiskThe CFPB’s intention to subject BNPL firms to the same supervisory examination as banks and credit unions poses a potential threat, increasing regulatory scrutiny and potentially hindering Affirm’s growth.
ValuationTrading at 81x our FY26 GAAP EPS estimate (untaxed) and 32x our FY27 GAAP EPS estimate (untaxed), AFRM is considered substantially overvalued.