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XAR - ETF AI Analysis

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XAR

SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
The SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) has a solid overall rating, reflecting strong contributions from holdings like Woodward (WWD) and Curtiss-Wright (CW), which benefit from robust financial performance and positive earnings guidance. However, weaker holdings such as AeroVironment (AVAV), which faces profitability challenges and bearish technical indicators, slightly weigh on the fund's rating. A key risk factor for this ETF is the high valuation metrics across several holdings, which could limit future upside potential.
Positive Factors
Strong Top Holdings
Several top holdings, such as Rocket Lab USA and Kratos Defense, have delivered strong year-to-date performance, supporting the ETF's overall returns.
Focused Sector Exposure
The ETF's concentration in the aerospace and defense industry allows investors to target a specialized and growing market segment.
Reasonable Expense Ratio
The ETF charges a relatively low expense ratio, making it cost-effective compared to many actively managed funds.
Negative Factors
High Sector Concentration
The ETF is almost entirely invested in the industrials sector, which increases vulnerability to industry-specific risks.
Limited Geographic Diversification
With nearly all holdings based in the U.S., the fund lacks exposure to international markets, reducing global diversification.
Mixed Performance Among Holdings
Some holdings, such as Archer Aviation and Lockheed Martin, have shown weaker year-to-date performance, potentially dragging on overall returns.

XAR vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

XAR Summary

The SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) focuses on companies in the aerospace and defense industries, following the S&P Aerospace & Defense Select Industry Index. It includes well-known names like Lockheed Martin and GE Aerospace, along with smaller innovators in aircraft manufacturing and defense technology. Investors might consider XAR for diversification and exposure to a sector tied to global security and transportation advancements. However, new investors should be aware that the ETF’s performance can be influenced by changes in government defense budgets and economic cycles.
How much will it cost me?The SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) has an expense ratio of 0.35%, meaning you’ll pay $3.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than average for ETFs because it is a sector-focused fund, which often requires more active management compared to broad-market index ETFs.
What would affect this ETF?The SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) could benefit from increased government defense spending, advancements in aerospace technology, and growing interest in space exploration, which align with its focus on U.S.-based industrial companies like Lockheed Martin and Rocket Lab USA. However, it may face challenges from potential defense budget cuts, regulatory changes, or economic slowdowns that could impact demand for commercial aviation and defense projects. The ETF's reliance on the U.S. market also makes it sensitive to domestic economic and political conditions.

XAR Top 10 Holdings

The SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) is firmly rooted in the industrials sector, with a clear focus on U.S.-based aerospace and defense companies. Rising stars like Carpenter Technology and ATI are fueling the fund’s momentum, thanks to strong earnings and robust demand in their markets. However, AeroVironment is dragging performance with profitability challenges and bearish technical signals. Meanwhile, RTX and BWX Technologies are showing mixed results, balancing solid financials with valuation concerns. Overall, the fund’s concentrated exposure to defense and aerospace innovation offers potential upside but comes with sector-specific risks.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
ATI4.35%$192.13M$13.70B67.52%
74
Outperform
Carpenter Technology4.27%$188.88M$15.87B64.16%
74
Outperform
Woodward4.13%$182.72M$17.96B66.39%
76
Outperform
Huntington Ingalls3.83%$169.13M$12.31B58.46%
74
Outperform
Kratos Defense3.82%$168.86M$12.85B180.92%
61
Neutral
Curtiss-Wright3.76%$166.26M$20.81B51.03%
78
Outperform
AeroVironment3.74%$165.36M$13.95B43.68%
58
Neutral
RTX3.70%$163.50M$234.51B43.57%
75
Outperform
Howmet Aerospace3.69%$162.91M$82.26B72.82%
77
Outperform
Hexcel3.59%$158.48M$6.07B20.26%
66
Neutral

XAR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
236.58
Negative
100DMA
226.90
Positive
200DMA
201.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.52
Positive
RSI
48.01
Neutral
STOCH
84.28
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XAR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 231.45, equal to the 50-day MA of 236.58, and equal to the 200-day MA of 201.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.28 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XAR.

XAR Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$4.42B0.35%
$6.47B0.58%
$6.23B0.09%
$6.01B0.70%
$1.74B0.61%
$1.64B0.38%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XAR
SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF
230.29
58.49
34.05%
PPA
Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF
VIS
Vanguard Industrials ETF
AIRR
First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF
FXR
First Trust Industrials/Producer Durables AlphaDEX Fund
IYJ
iShares U.S. Industrials ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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