VCR - ETF AI Analysis
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Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:―
Positive Factors
Strong Recent One-Month Performance
The ETF has shown strong gains over the past month, indicating positive short-term momentum in its holdings.
Leading Consumer Brands in Top Holdings
The fund’s largest positions include well-known consumer companies, several of which have delivered solid year-to-date performance that supports the ETF’s returns.
Low Expense Ratio
The ETF charges a relatively low fee, which helps investors keep more of their returns over time.
Negative Factors
High Concentration in a Few Stocks
A large portion of the fund is invested in just a handful of companies, especially its top two holdings, which increases the impact of any weakness in those stocks.
Mixed Performance Among Top Holdings
Several major positions have shown weak or negative year-to-date performance, which can drag on the fund’s overall results.
Narrow Sector and U.S.-Only Focus
The ETF is heavily tilted toward the consumer cyclical sector and almost entirely invested in U.S. companies, making it more sensitive to downturns in that industry and the U.S. economy.
VCR vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
AUM6.12B
RegionNorth America
Expense Ratio0.09%
Beta1.14
IssuerVanguard
Inception DateJan 26, 2004
Dividend Yield0.73%
Asset ClassEquity
Index TrackedMSCI US IMI 25/50 Consumer Discretionary
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares OutstandingN/A
10 Day Avg. Volume51,552
30 Day Avg. Volume61,306
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)N/A
Price to Sales (P/S)N/A
P/FCF RatioN/A
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
462.45Price Target Upside― Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering286
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
VCR Summary
Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR) tracks the MSCI US IMI 25/50 Consumer Discretionary Index, focusing on U.S. companies that sell non‑essential goods and services people tend to buy when they feel financially comfortable. This includes areas like online shopping, cars, home improvement, restaurants, and travel. Well-known holdings include Amazon and Tesla. Someone might invest in VCR to seek long-term growth and to get broad exposure to many consumer-focused companies in a single fund. A key risk is that it can be quite sensitive to the economy and can go up or down sharply when consumer spending changes.
How much will it cost me?The Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR) has an expense ratio of 0.09%, which means you’ll pay $0.90 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than average because it’s a passively managed fund that tracks an index, keeping costs low for investors.
What would affect this ETF?The Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR) could benefit from economic growth and rising consumer spending, as people tend to spend more on non-essential goods and services during prosperous times. However, it may face challenges during economic slowdowns or periods of high inflation, which can reduce discretionary income and spending. Additionally, changes in interest rates or regulations affecting top holdings like Amazon and Tesla could impact the ETF's performance.
VCR Top 10 Holdings
VCR is heavily hitched to U.S. consumer spending, with Amazon doing much of the heavy lifting as its rising share price and dominance in e-commerce and cloud set the tone. Tesla is a big swing factor: its recent slump has been a noticeable drag, especially given its outsized weight. Home Depot and Lowe’s have been more mixed, reflecting a cooler home-improvement backdrop, while TJX and Starbucks are quietly pulling their weight with steadier gains. Overall, this is a U.S.-centric bet on discretionary spending, not a broadly diversified market play.
Name | Company Name | Weight % | Market Value | Market Cap | Yearly Gain | Overall Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon | 24.77% | $1.53B | $2.84T | 39.12% | 71 Outperform | |
| Tesla | 16.35% | $1.01B | $1.41T | 32.46% | 73 Outperform | |
| Home Depot | 4.89% | $302.34M | $334.56B | -6.90% | 66 Neutral | |
| McDonald's | 3.58% | $221.30M | $212.79B | -8.40% | 65 Neutral | |
| TJX Companies | 2.88% | $178.03M | $173.80B | 23.87% | 79 Outperform | |
| Booking Holdings | 2.21% | $136.85M | $140.27B | -9.24% | 63 Neutral | |
| Lowe's | 2.15% | $133.10M | $136.91B | 9.68% | 69 Neutral | |
| Starbucks | 1.66% | $102.57M | $112.41B | 16.67% | 56 Neutral | |
| O'Reilly Auto | 1.29% | $79.97M | $77.92B | 0.68% | 66 Neutral | |
| Mercadolibre | 1.29% | $79.59M | $93.04B | -16.71% | 77 Outperform |
VCR Technical Analysis
Positive
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Price Trends
375.77
Positive
386.75
Positive
385.47
Positive
Market Momentum
6.03
Negative
61.33
Neutral
38.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VCR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 385.08, equal to the 50-day MA of 375.77, and equal to the 200-day MA of 385.47, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VCR.
VCR Peer Comparison
Comparison Results
Performance Comparison
VCR
Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF
394.27
67.27
20.57%
VDE
Vanguard Energy ETF
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AIRR
First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF
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VPU
Vanguard Utilities ETF
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FDIS
Fidelity MSCI Consumer Discretionary Index ETF
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IYC
iShares U.S. Consumer Discretionary ETF
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Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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