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VCR - ETF AI Analysis
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Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:―
Positive Factors
Low Expense Ratio
The fund charges a relatively low fee, which helps investors keep more of their returns over time.
Large, Established Asset Base
The ETF manages a sizable pool of assets, suggesting it is widely used and offers good trading liquidity for investors.
Several Strong Top Holdings
Some of the larger positions, such as home improvement and coffee chain stocks, have shown strong year-to-date performance, supporting the fund’s overall results.
Negative Factors
Heavy Concentration in a Few Stocks
A large share of the portfolio is tied up in just two companies, which increases the impact if either of them performs poorly.
Mixed Performance Among Top Holdings
Several major positions, including an electric vehicle maker, a travel company, and a food delivery platform, have shown weak year-to-date performance, which can drag on the ETF’s returns.
Narrow Sector and Geographic Focus
The fund is heavily tilted toward U.S. consumer cyclical companies, offering limited diversification across sectors and regions and making it more sensitive to changes in consumer spending in the U.S.
VCR vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
AUM6.07B
RegionNorth America
Expense Ratio0.09%
Beta1.14
IssuerVanguard
Inception DateJan 26, 2004
Dividend Yield0.75%
Asset ClassEquity
Index TrackedMSCI US IMI 25/50 Consumer Discretionary
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares OutstandingN/A
10 Day Avg. Volume45,078
30 Day Avg. Volume44,124
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)N/A
Price to Sales (P/S)N/A
P/FCF RatioN/A
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
456.27Price Target Upside― Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering284
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
VCR Summary
Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR) tracks the MSCI US IMI 25/50 Consumer Discretionary Index, focusing on companies that sell non‑essential goods and services people tend to buy when they feel financially comfortable. This includes areas like online shopping, home improvement, restaurants, travel, and entertainment. Well-known holdings include Amazon and Tesla. Investors might consider VCR for growth potential when the economy is strong and consumer spending is healthy, while also getting diversification across many brands. A key risk is that it is heavily tied to consumer spending, so it can rise or fall sharply with changes in the economy and market sentiment.
How much will it cost me?The Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR) has an expense ratio of 0.09%, which means you’ll pay $0.90 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than average because it’s a passively managed fund that tracks an index, keeping costs low for investors.
What would affect this ETF?The Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR) could benefit from economic growth and rising consumer spending, as people tend to spend more on non-essential goods and services during prosperous times. However, it may face challenges during economic slowdowns or periods of high inflation, which can reduce discretionary income and spending. Additionally, changes in interest rates or regulations affecting top holdings like Amazon and Tesla could impact the ETF's performance.
VCR Top 10 Holdings
VCR is essentially riding on the shoulders of two giants: Amazon and Tesla, which together dominate the fund and set much of its day-to-day mood. Amazon has been steadily rising, helping to prop up returns, while Tesla has been losing steam and acting as a noticeable drag. Home Depot, Lowe’s, and Starbucks add a more traditional retail flavor, with generally rising or mixed performance that helps balance Tesla’s slump. The fund is heavily tilted toward U.S. consumer cyclicals, with only a small splash of international exposure via Mercadolibre.
Name | Company Name | Weight % | Market Value | Market Cap | Yearly Gain | Overall Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon | 23.02% | $1.61B | $2.16T | -9.64% | 71 Outperform | |
| Tesla | 17.06% | $1.20B | $1.54T | 14.08% | 73 Outperform | |
| Home Depot | 5.02% | $351.98M | $381.32B | -3.01% | 66 Neutral | |
| McDonald's | 3.27% | $229.27M | $233.32B | 8.59% | 65 Neutral | |
| TJX Companies | 2.43% | $170.72M | $174.31B | 27.39% | 79 Outperform | |
| Booking Holdings | 2.37% | $166.18M | $133.45B | -16.45% | 63 Neutral | |
| Lowe's | 2.04% | $142.83M | $157.72B | 14.37% | 69 Neutral | |
| Starbucks | 1.53% | $107.59M | $108.68B | -14.87% | 56 Neutral | |
| Mercadolibre | 1.44% | $101.04M | $100.15B | -3.22% | 77 Outperform | |
| O'Reilly Auto | 1.24% | $87.28M | $78.16B | 7.37% | 66 Neutral |
VCR Technical Analysis
Negative
―
Price Trends
398.70
Negative
393.48
Negative
380.50
Positive
Market Momentum
-4.30
Positive
40.25
Neutral
28.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VCR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 395.63, equal to the 50-day MA of 398.70, and equal to the 200-day MA of 380.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VCR.
VCR Peer Comparison
Comparison Results
Performance Comparison
VCR
Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF
387.26
13.92
3.73%
VDE
Vanguard Energy ETF
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AIRR
First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF
―
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VPU
Vanguard Utilities ETF
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FDIS
Fidelity MSCI Consumer Discretionary Index ETF
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―
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IYC
iShares U.S. Consumer Discretionary ETF
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Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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