VCR - ETF AI Analysis
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Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:―
Positive Factors
Low Expense Ratio
The ETF has a relatively low ongoing fee, which helps investors keep more of their returns over time.
Strong Performance from Key Holdings
Several major positions, including Amazon and other well-known consumer brands, have shown strong or steady gains, supporting the fund’s overall results.
Focused Exposure to Consumer Discretionary Sector
The fund offers targeted access to consumer cyclical companies, which can benefit when consumer spending is healthy.
Negative Factors
High Concentration in a Few Stocks
A large share of the portfolio is tied up in just a handful of companies, which increases the impact if any one of them performs poorly.
Mixed Recent Performance
The ETF’s recent returns have been slightly negative year-to-date and over the last few months, reflecting some weakness in the sector.
Heavy U.S. and Consumer Cyclical Exposure
With almost all assets in U.S. consumer cyclical stocks, the fund is sensitive to downturns in the U.S. economy and changes in consumer spending.
VCR vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
AUM5.94B
RegionNorth America
Expense Ratio0.09%
Beta1.15
IssuerVanguard
Inception DateJan 26, 2004
Dividend Yield0.77%
Asset ClassEquity
Index TrackedMSCI US IMI 25/50 Consumer Discretionary
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares OutstandingN/A
10 Day Avg. Volume70,086
30 Day Avg. Volume63,475
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)N/A
Price to Sales (P/S)N/A
P/FCF RatioN/A
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
453.43Price Target Upside― Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering283
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
VCR Summary
Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR) tracks the MSCI US IMI 25/50 Consumer Discretionary Index, focusing on U.S. companies that sell non‑essential goods and services, like retail, travel, cars, and leisure. Its top holdings include well-known names such as Amazon and Tesla, along with brands like Home Depot and McDonald’s. Investors might choose this ETF for growth potential when the economy is strong and people spend more on extras, while also getting diversification across many consumer-focused companies. A key risk is that it can be very sensitive to the economy and consumer spending, so its price can rise and fall sharply.
How much will it cost me?The Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR) has an expense ratio of 0.09%, which means you’ll pay $0.90 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than average because it’s a passively managed fund that tracks an index, keeping costs low for investors.
What would affect this ETF?The Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR) could benefit from economic growth and rising consumer spending, as people tend to spend more on non-essential goods and services during prosperous times. However, it may face challenges during economic slowdowns or periods of high inflation, which can reduce discretionary income and spending. Additionally, changes in interest rates or regulations affecting top holdings like Amazon and Tesla could impact the ETF's performance.
VCR Top 10 Holdings
VCR is heavily driven by two giants, Amazon and Tesla, which together steer much of the fund’s day-to-day moves. Amazon has been choppy lately, offering some support over the past few months but losing a bit of steam in the very short term, while Tesla has been more of a drag this year despite occasional rebounds. On the steadier side, TJX and Starbucks have been rising, quietly propping up returns, and Marriott’s strong run adds a travel kicker. Overall, this is a U.S.-centric consumer play, concentrated in cyclical spending and a few big names.
Name | Company Name | Weight % | Market Value | Market Cap | Yearly Gain | Overall Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon | 19.71% | $1.35B | $2.63T | 0.62% | 71 Outperform | |
| Tesla | 17.24% | $1.18B | $1.40T | 4.71% | 73 Outperform | |
| Home Depot | 5.13% | $352.06M | $330.49B | -12.97% | 66 Neutral | |
| McDonald's | 2.83% | $194.30M | $187.27B | -10.76% | 65 Neutral | |
| TJX Companies | 2.48% | $170.48M | $171.68B | 21.56% | 79 Outperform | |
| Booking Holdings | 2.13% | $146.19M | $137.82B | -23.53% | 63 Neutral | |
| Lowe's | 1.83% | $125.86M | $114.58B | -10.48% | 69 Neutral | |
| Starbucks | 1.73% | $119.01M | $118.51B | 10.15% | 56 Neutral | |
| Marriott International | 1.27% | $87.50M | $97.51B | 33.56% | 62 Neutral | |
| Royal Caribbean | 1.25% | $85.65M | $76.66B | -18.88% | 67 Neutral |
VCR Technical Analysis
Negative
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Price Trends
390.99
Negative
383.71
Negative
387.47
Negative
Market Momentum
-2.00
Positive
32.29
Neutral
8.24
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VCR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 391.74, equal to the 50-day MA of 390.99, and equal to the 200-day MA of 387.47, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.24 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VCR.
VCR Peer Comparison
Comparison Results
Performance Comparison
VCR
Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF
370.03
-4.21
-1.12%
VDE
Vanguard Energy ETF
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VPU
Vanguard Utilities ETF
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XLRE
Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund
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FDIS
Fidelity MSCI Consumer Discretionary Index ETF
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IYC
iShares U.S. Consumer Discretionary ETF
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Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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