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VCR - AI Analysis
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Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR)
Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
$434.00
Positive Factors
Strong Top Holdings
Several key holdings, such as Tesla, TJX Companies, and DoorDash, have shown strong year-to-date performance, supporting the ETF's overall returns.
Low Expense Ratio
The ETF has a very low expense ratio, making it cost-effective compared to many other funds.
Focused Sector Exposure
With heavy exposure to consumer cyclical stocks, the ETF is well-positioned to benefit from growth in discretionary spending.
Negative Factors
High Concentration in Top Holdings
Amazon and Tesla together make up nearly 40% of the portfolio, increasing the risk if these companies underperform.
Limited Geographic Diversification
The ETF is overwhelmingly focused on U.S. companies, leaving it vulnerable to domestic economic downturns.
Mixed Performance of Holdings
Some top holdings, such as Home Depot, Lowe's, and Starbucks, have shown weak or negative year-to-date performance, which could drag on overall returns.
VCR vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
AUM6.23B
RegionNorth America
Expense Ratio0.09%
Beta1.15
IssuerVanguard
Inception DateJan 26, 2004
Dividend Yield0.71%
Asset ClassEquity
Index TrackedMSCI US IMI 25/50 Consumer Discretionary
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares OutstandingN/A
10 Day Avg. Volume31,436
30 Day Avg. Volume36,120
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)N/A
Price to Sales (P/S)N/A
P/FCF RatioN/A
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
447.98Price Target Upside― Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering293
VCR Summary
The Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR) is an investment fund that focuses on companies in the consumer discretionary sector, which includes businesses that sell non-essential goods and services like entertainment, retail, and leisure. Some of its top holdings are well-known companies like Amazon and Tesla. This ETF follows the MSCI US IMI 25/50 Consumer Discretionary Index and is designed for investors who want to benefit from potential growth in consumer spending, especially during strong economic periods. However, it’s important to note that this ETF is heavily influenced by the performance of consumer-focused industries, which can be sensitive to economic downturns.
How much will it cost me?The Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR) has an expense ratio of 0.09%, which means you’ll pay $0.90 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than average because it’s a passively managed fund that tracks an index, keeping costs low for investors.
What would affect this ETF?The Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR) could benefit from economic growth and rising consumer spending, as people tend to spend more on non-essential goods and services during prosperous times. However, it may face challenges during economic slowdowns or periods of high inflation, which can reduce discretionary income and spending. Additionally, changes in interest rates or regulations affecting top holdings like Amazon and Tesla could impact the ETF's performance.
VCR Top 10 Holdings
The Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF leans heavily on U.S. consumer cyclical giants, with Amazon and Tesla driving nearly 40% of its portfolio. Tesla has been a bright spot, accelerating with strong momentum thanks to optimism around its energy and autonomy growth. Amazon, however, has been losing steam, weighed down by mixed technical indicators and challenges in its cloud business. Home Depot and Lowe’s have shown steady performance, though bearish signals suggest caution. Meanwhile, Mercadolibre’s recent struggles and Starbucks’ lagging U.S. sales are holding the fund back. Overall, the ETF is concentrated in discretionary spending, making it sensitive to economic cycles.
Name | Company Name | Weight % | Market Value | Market Cap | Yearly Gain | Overall Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon | 21.54% | $1.54B | $2.60T | 23.39% | 76 Outperform | |
| Tesla | 18.18% | $1.30B | $1.52T | 83.37% | 73 Outperform | |
| Home Depot | 5.47% | $391.42M | $377.84B | -3.31% | 75 Outperform | |
| McDonald's | 3.18% | $227.43M | $212.96B | 1.09% | 70 Outperform | |
| Booking Holdings | 2.60% | $186.24M | $163.67B | 6.92% | 63 Neutral | |
| TJX Companies | 2.39% | $170.75M | $155.97B | 24.69% | 79 Outperform | |
| Lowe's | 1.95% | $139.24M | $133.55B | -9.09% | 60 Neutral | |
| Mercadolibre | 1.58% | $113.04M | $117.99B | 13.25% | 78 Outperform | |
| DoorDash | 1.44% | $102.82M | $108.67B | 63.41% | 72 Outperform | |
| Starbucks | 1.42% | $101.79M | $91.92B | -18.20% | 61 Neutral |
VCR Technical Analysis
Positive
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Price Trends
392.07
Positive
379.54
Positive
362.73
Positive
Market Momentum
0.75
Negative
53.38
Neutral
42.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VCR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 390.39, equal to the 50-day MA of 392.07, and equal to the 200-day MA of 362.73, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VCR.
VCR Peer Comparison
Comparison Results
Performance Comparison
VCR
Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF
395.36
60.12
17.93%
VPU
Vanguard Utilities ETF
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XLRE
Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund
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VDC
Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF
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FDIS
Fidelity MSCI Consumer Discretionary Index ETF
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IYC
iShares U.S. Consumer Discretionary ETF
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Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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