tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Booking Holdings (BKNG)
NASDAQ:BKNG

Booking Holdings (BKNG) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
4,739 Followers

Top Page

BK

Booking Holdings

(NASDAQ:BKNG)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$6,345.00
▲(11.28%Upside)
Booking Holdings receives a strong score driven by robust financial and operational performance, particularly highlighted in its earnings call with record-breaking metrics. Technical analysis supports a positive outlook, though valuation signals caution with high P/E ratios. The company's financial health is solid, but attention to debt levels and equity position is crucial.
Positive Factors
AI and Technology
Generative AI investments are modernizing technology and improving efficiencies, potentially enhancing Booking's competitive edge.
Market Leadership
Booking Holdings is recognized as the market leader in the fast-growing online travel industry.
Reservation Volume Growth
Strong tracking of reservation volume growth is expected to exceed guidance, supporting a Buy rating for BKNG.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
Intensifying competition as players like Google expand into the travel booking space adds competitive pressure to the industry.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Macroeconomic slowdown and uncertainty may impact discretionary spending on travel, negatively affecting travel service providers.

Booking Holdings (BKNG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Booking Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBooking Holdings Inc. provides travel and restaurant online reservation and related services worldwide. The company operates Booking.com, which offers online accommodation reservations; Rentalcars.com that provides online rental car reservation services; Priceline, which offer online travel reservation services, and consumers hotel, flight, and rental car reservation services, as well as vacation packages, cruises, and hotel distribution services. It also operates Agoda that provides online accommodation reservation services, as well as flight, ground transportation and activities reservation services. In addition, the company operates KAYAK, an online price comparison service that allows consumers to search and compare travel itineraries and prices, comprising airline ticket, accommodation reservation, and rental car reservation information; and OpenTable for booking online restaurant reservations. Further, it offers travel-related insurance products, and restaurant management services to consumers, travel service providers, and restaurants. The company was formerly known as The Priceline Group Inc. and changed its name to Booking Holdings Inc. in February 2018. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Norwalk, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyBooking Holdings generates revenue primarily through its online travel agency (OTA) model, where it earns commissions and transaction fees from travel service providers such as hotels, airlines, and car rental companies. A significant portion of its revenue comes from the accommodation reservation segment, where Booking.com serves as a major driver. The company also earns money through advertising revenue on its platforms, especially from its metasearch brand, Kayak. Additionally, Booking Holdings leverages its OpenTable brand to earn revenue from restaurant reservation and management services. Strategic partnerships with travel service providers and continuous investment in technology and customer service enhance its ability to attract and retain customers, thereby contributing to its earnings.

Booking Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Travel Bookings
Travel Bookings
Tracks the total number of travel reservations made, indicating consumer demand and market share within the travel industry.
Chart InsightsBooking Holdings' Merchant segment is experiencing robust growth, significantly outpacing the Agency segment. The latest earnings call highlights a record-breaking quarter for room nights and a strong performance in alternative accommodations and air ticket sales. Despite geopolitical and macroeconomic concerns, the company's strategic focus on global diversification and innovative offerings like the Connected Trip are driving momentum. However, the US market shows signs of weakness, which could pose challenges if not addressed.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Booking Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 16.34%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial results with record room nights and significant growth in various segments such as alternative accommodations and air tickets. However, concerns about geopolitical and macroeconomic conditions and specific market weaknesses, particularly in the US, were acknowledged. Overall, the positive achievements and growth metrics outweigh the challenges, pointing to a solid performance and promising strategy for future growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Room Nights and Revenue Growth
Booking Holdings reported a record 319 million room nights, marking the first time exceeding 300 million in a single quarter. First quarter revenue grew by 8% year-over-year to $4.8 billion.
Strong Adjusted EBITDA and Earnings Growth
Adjusted EBITDA rose by 21% year-over-year to approximately $1.1 billion, and adjusted earnings per share increased by 22% year-over-year.
Alternative Accommodations and Genius Program Expansion
Alternative accommodations room nights grew 12% in Q1, and Genius loyalty program reached over 30% of active travelers in higher tiers.
Air Ticket and Attractions Growth
Booking Holdings saw a 45% year-over-year increase in air ticket bookings and a 92% increase in attractions ticket sales.
AI and Connected Trip Vision Advancements
Continued integration and testing of AI technologies across platforms with a 35% year-over-year growth in Connected Trip transactions.
Negative Updates
Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Concerns
Acknowledgement of rising geopolitical and macroeconomic concerns impacting global leisure travel demand.
US Market Weakness
Noted moderation in trends for inbound travel to the US and a decrease in length of stay within the US.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Booking Holdings reported impressive financial performance, with room nights reaching 319 million, the highest ever for a single quarter, representing a year-over-year growth of over 7%. The company's revenue climbed to $4.8 billion, marking an 8% increase year-over-year, while adjusted EBITDA rose by 21% to approximately $1.1 billion. Adjusted earnings per share saw a 22% increase. The company also highlighted robust growth in its alternative accommodations segment, with listings increasing by 9% to about 8.1 million and room night growth of 12%. Furthermore, the Connected Trip transactions grew by 35%, and air ticket sales soared by 45%, demonstrating strong performance across various verticals. Despite geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainties, Booking Holdings remains confident in its long-term strategy, leveraging its global diversification and strong cash flow to navigate potential challenges.

Booking Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Booking Holdings shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency with high margins and cash flows, but the high debt levels and negative equity position pose a risk to financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Booking Holdings demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability metrics. The company has shown a consistent increase in total revenue, with a notable growth rate from 2022 to 2025. The TTM gross profit margin remains high, indicating efficient cost management. However, the decline in net income from 2024 to TTM suggests a need to monitor profitability amidst growing revenues.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high level of debt, with a negative stockholders' equity indicating potential financial risk. The debt-to-equity ratio is concerning, but the company maintains a significant cash reserve, which could help mitigate leverage risks. The equity ratio is negative, highlighting the need for improved equity position to enhance financial stability.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
A strong operating cash flow indicates the company’s ability to generate cash from operations, supporting its liquidity position. The free cash flow shows healthy growth, ensuring the company can fund its operations and investments. However, high financing cash outflows require attention to ensure sustainable cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.09B23.74B21.36B17.09B10.96B6.80B
Gross Profit23.57B22.99B21.36B16.48B10.36B6.15B
EBITDA8.88B9.34B7.04B4.92B2.40B1.56B
Net Income5.44B5.88B4.29B3.06B1.17B59.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.19B27.71B24.34B25.36B23.64B21.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.58B16.16B12.68B12.40B11.15B11.06B
Total Debt16.50B17.08B15.00B13.04B11.28B12.38B
Total Liabilities33.30B31.73B27.09B22.58B17.46B16.98B
Stockholders Equity-6.11B-4.02B-2.74B2.78B6.18B4.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.48B7.89B7.00B6.19B2.52B-201.00M
Operating Cash Flow8.90B8.32B7.34B6.55B2.82B85.00M
Investing Cash Flow-58.00M129.00M1.49B-518.00M-998.00M2.64B
Financing Cash Flow-8.96B-4.20B-8.91B-4.90B-1.24B1.53B

Booking Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5701.76
Price Trends
50DMA
5312.27
Positive
100DMA
5002.11
Positive
200DMA
4847.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
105.97
Negative
RSI
65.00
Neutral
STOCH
89.63
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BKNG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5701.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5502.46, above the 50-day MA of 5312.27, and above the 200-day MA of 4847.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 105.97 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.63 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BKNG.

Booking Holdings Risk Analysis

Booking Holdings disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Booking Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Booking Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$186.48B35.66-146.32%0.67%9.47%20.70%
75
Outperform
$22.12B20.50119.16%0.92%5.57%61.19%
75
Outperform
$84.82B34.0732.06%9.68%-47.83%
71
Outperform
$38.56B17.1512.49%0.48%16.23%56.05%
68
Neutral
$12.29B112.248.45%25.02%-56.66%
67
Neutral
$1.82B41.115.91%1.43%121.44%
66
Neutral
£1.86B11.406.20%3.05%0.61%-17.57%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BKNG
Booking Holdings
5,701.76
1,815.08
46.70%
TCOM
Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR
59.12
9.68
19.58%
EXPE
Expedia
171.01
47.32
38.26%
MMYT
Makemytrip
94.12
5.34
6.01%
TRIP
TripAdvisor
14.99
-2.59
-14.73%
ABNB
Airbnb
135.39
-17.34
-11.35%

Booking Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Booking Holdings Confirms Board Members at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Booking Holdings held its virtual Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where several key proposals were voted on. The election of board members was confirmed, with individuals such as Glenn D. Fogel and Mirian M. Graddick-Weir being elected. Additionally, the advisory vote on 2024 executive compensation and the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the company’s accounting firm for fiscal year 2025 were approved. However, a stockholder proposal to modify the company’s special meeting threshold was not approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKNG) stock is a Hold with a $3750.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Booking Holdings stock, see the BKNG Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Booking Holdings Issues €1.75 Billion in Senior Notes
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Booking Holdings Inc. executed an underwriting agreement with several major financial institutions to issue and sell €1,750,000,000 in Senior Notes as part of a registered public offering. This transaction, conducted under the company’s Registration Statement, included the issuance of three types of Senior Notes with varying maturity dates and interest rates. The issuance of these Senior Notes is a strategic financial move, potentially impacting the company’s capital structure and market positioning by providing additional liquidity and financial flexibility. The notes are unsecured obligations, and the company has appointed U.S. Bank Europe DAC, UK Branch, as the paying agent and U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association as the transfer agent.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Wei Hopeman Announces Retirement from Booking Holdings
Neutral
Apr 22, 2025

Wei Hopeman has announced her retirement from Booking Holdings Inc.’s Board of Directors, effective at the company’s Annual Meeting in June 2025. The company and its Board have expressed their gratitude for her dedicated service.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 07, 2025