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Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB)
:ABNB

Airbnb (ABNB) AI Stock Analysis

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ABNB

Airbnb

(NASDAQ:ABNB)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$133.00
▲(3.91% Upside)
Airbnb's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, which are partially offset by bearish technical indicators and a high valuation. The company's strategic initiatives and international expansion are promising, but technical analysis suggests caution due to current market momentum.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term expansion and profitability.
International Expansion
Successful international expansion enhances market diversification and reduces dependency on core markets, contributing to sustained growth.
AI Integration
AI integration improves operational efficiency and customer experience, potentially lowering costs and increasing user satisfaction long-term.
Negative Factors
Net Profit Margin Pressure
Decreasing net profit margins could indicate rising costs or pricing pressures, potentially affecting long-term profitability if not addressed.
Increased Debt
Rising debt levels can strain financial flexibility and increase risk, impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Cancellation Concerns
High cancellation rates may affect revenue predictability and customer trust, posing a challenge to maintaining stable booking volumes.

Airbnb (ABNB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Airbnb Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAirbnb, Inc. is a global online marketplace that connects travelers with hosts offering unique accommodations ranging from private homes to boutique hotels. Founded in 2008, the company operates primarily in the travel and hospitality sectors, providing a platform for short-term rental services. Airbnb's core products include its website and mobile application, which allow users to search for, book, and manage lodging experiences while also offering options for unique activities and experiences in various destinations worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyAirbnb generates revenue primarily through service fees charged to both guests and hosts. For guests, a service fee is typically applied to each booking, which can range from 5% to 15% of the booking subtotal. Hosts are also charged a percentage of the booking amount, usually around 3%, for the use of the platform and its services. Additionally, Airbnb has introduced other revenue streams, such as Airbnb Experiences, which allow hosts to offer activities and tours, and Airbnb Plus, a selection of verified listings that offer higher quality and assurance. Strategic partnerships with local tourism boards and businesses further enhance Airbnb's offerings and can drive additional bookings, contributing to its overall earnings.

Airbnb Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Booking Value
Gross Booking Value
Reflects the total dollar amount of all bookings on the platform, indicating the overall demand and popularity of Airbnb's offerings and its ability to capture market share in the travel industry.
Chart InsightsAirbnb's Gross Booking Value has shown a robust recovery post-pandemic, with consistent growth since 2023. The upward trajectory, especially evident in 2024 and 2025, suggests strong demand and effective strategic initiatives. Despite seasonal fluctuations, the sustained increase highlights Airbnb's resilience and adaptability in the travel industry. This momentum indicates potential for continued revenue growth, making it an attractive prospect for investors seeking exposure to the travel sector's rebound.
Data provided by:The Fly

Airbnb Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Airbnb reported a strong Q3 performance with record revenue growth, high adjusted EBITDA, and significant international market expansion. Key initiatives such as AI integration and the launch of service experiences and hotels show promise. However, there are concerns about increased cancellations from the 'Reserve Now, Pay Later' program, and a significant tax-related impact on net income.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Q3 Revenue Growth
Airbnb's revenue increased 10% year-over-year, reaching $4.1 billion, which was at the high end of their guidance.
Highest Adjusted EBITDA in a Quarter
Adjusted EBITDA exceeded $2 billion, representing a 50% EBITDA margin, the highest in any quarter for Airbnb.
Gross Booking Value Surge
Gross booking value grew 14% year-over-year to $22.9 billion, driven by strong growth in both bookings and price.
Expansion in International Markets
Average nights booked in expansion markets grew at double the rate of core markets, with first-time bookers up over 20% in Japan and nearly 50% in India.
AI Integration Across the Platform
Airbnb integrated AI extensively across the app, including smarter AI customer support and AI-powered search, reducing the need for human agent contact by 15% in the U.S.
Launch of Service Experiences and Hotels
Expanded beyond stays to include services and experiences, receiving high ratings. Hotels pilot launched in L.A., New York City, and Madrid.
Negative Updates
Impact of One Big Beautiful Bill Act
Net income was impacted by a onetime $213 million valuation allowance related to corporate alternative minimum tax credits.
Cancellation Concerns with 'Reserve Now, Pay Later'
While popular, this feature led to increased cancellations, raising concerns about its net impact despite testing.
Company Guidance
During Airbnb's third-quarter earnings call for 2025, the company reported a strong performance, with revenue increasing by 10% year-over-year to $4.1 billion, reaching the high end of their guidance. Adjusted EBITDA exceeded $2 billion, marking the highest in any quarter for the company, with a 50% EBITDA margin. Gross booking value rose by 14% year-over-year to $22.9 billion, driven by a 9% increase in nights and seats booked. The company also highlighted its strategic focus on four key growth areas: enhancing service quality, expanding globally, diversifying offerings, and integrating AI across the platform. Notably, Airbnb introduced the "Reserve Now, Pay Later" option, which significantly contributed to bookings in the U.S., and is expected to be rolled out more broadly. They also discussed their international expansion, with first-time bookers increasing by over 20% in Japan and nearly 50% in India. For Q4, Airbnb anticipates revenue growth of 7% to 10% year-over-year, with an expected GMV growth in the low double digits. They aim to maintain strong margins while continuing to invest in growth initiatives, projecting a full-year adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 35%.

Airbnb Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Airbnb demonstrates strong financial health with high profitability margins, efficient cash flow management, and a stable balance sheet. The company maintains a low leverage profile and solid revenue growth, positioning it well for future growth. However, a slight decrease in net profit margin and an increase in total debt warrant monitoring.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Airbnb's income statement shows strong profitability with a gross profit margin consistently above 80% and a net profit margin of 22% for TTM. Revenue growth has been steady, with a 3.1% increase in the latest TTM period. The company has maintained healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating efficient operations. However, the net profit margin has decreased from previous highs, suggesting some pressure on net income.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23, indicating prudent leverage. Return on equity is strong at 32.1%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a stable asset base. However, the slight increase in total debt over the years warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Airbnb's cash flow statement is robust, with a consistent free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.0, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, reflecting good cash conversion. Free cash flow growth is positive at 6.5% for TTM, supporting future investments and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.94B11.10B9.92B8.40B5.99B3.38B
Gross Profit9.92B9.22B8.21B6.90B4.84B2.50B
EBITDA2.96B2.62B1.56B1.97B276.00M-4.38B
Net Income2.63B2.65B4.79B1.89B-352.00M-4.58B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets23.06B20.96B20.64B16.04B13.71B10.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.68B10.61B10.07B9.62B8.32B6.39B
Total Debt2.28B2.29B2.30B2.34B2.42B2.33B
Total Liabilities14.45B12.55B12.48B10.48B8.93B7.59B
Stockholders Equity8.61B8.41B8.16B5.56B4.78B2.90B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.56B4.52B3.88B3.40B2.31B-667.10M
Operating Cash Flow4.59B4.52B3.88B3.43B2.31B-629.73M
Investing Cash Flow-668.00M-616.00M-1.04B-28.00M-1.35B79.59M
Financing Cash Flow-3.71B-3.57B-2.43B-689.00M1.31B2.94B

Airbnb Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price128.00
Price Trends
50DMA
121.93
Positive
100DMA
124.40
Positive
200DMA
126.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.17
Negative
RSI
64.58
Neutral
STOCH
91.59
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ABNB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 128 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 119.44, above the 50-day MA of 121.93, and above the 200-day MA of 126.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.59 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ABNB.

Airbnb Risk Analysis

Airbnb disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Airbnb reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Airbnb Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$32.01B25.00104.40%0.57%7.29%36.51%
71
Outperform
$77.18B30.1830.78%10.56%47.16%
71
Outperform
$45.72B11.1819.96%0.40%18.27%93.17%
67
Neutral
$1.78B24.689.57%4.24%159.81%
65
Neutral
$7.24B118.0616.66%14.55%-68.46%
63
Neutral
$170.10B34.300.73%12.96%3.66%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ABNB
Airbnb
128.00
-2.95
-2.25%
TCOM
Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR
70.13
-2.09
-2.89%
EXPE
Expedia
281.15
99.62
54.88%
MMYT
Makemytrip
78.51
-38.66
-32.99%
BKNG
Booking Holdings
5,279.68
90.63
1.75%
TRIP
TripAdvisor
15.39
1.62
11.76%

Airbnb Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Airbnb CTO Aristotle Balogh to Depart in December
Neutral
Nov 21, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Airbnb announced that its Chief Technology Officer, Aristotle Balogh, will leave his role in December 2025. Balogh will continue in an advisory role until at least February 2026 to ensure a smooth transition, marking the end of his seven-year tenure with the company.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025