tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Trip.com Group Ltd. Sponsored ADR (TCOM)
NASDAQ:TCOM

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR (TCOM) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,442 Followers

Top Page

TC

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR

(NASDAQ:TCOM)

69Neutral
Trip.com Group Ltd. exhibits strong financial performance with impressive revenue and profit growth, though there are concerns about cash flow sustainability. The technical indicators suggest some resistance, and the valuation is fair with a moderate dividend yield. These factors contribute to a balanced outlook for the stock.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The company delivered another clean quarter with revenue beating expectations driven by strength across the board.
Market Expansion
Trip.com is focusing on international market share gain, which could sustain its momentum and enhance growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Margin Pressure
More aggressive expansion into new regions may introduce some uncertainty toward margin, indicating potential risks in profitability.
Pricing Challenges
Weak ADR could drag hotel performance, indicating potential challenges in achieving expected revenue from hotel bookings.

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR (TCOM) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrip.com Group Ltd. is a leading online travel agency that provides comprehensive travel services for customers around the globe. Headquartered in Shanghai, China, the company operates in the travel and tourism sector, offering a wide array of products and services such as hotel and accommodation booking, transportation ticketing including flights and trains, package tours, and corporate travel management. Through its platform, Trip.com Group connects travelers with travel suppliers, facilitating seamless travel experiences.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrip.com Group Ltd. generates revenue primarily through commissions and service fees collected from various travel service providers for bookings made via its platform. The company's key revenue streams include hotel reservation services, where it earns commissions on each booking, and transportation ticketing, which includes air and train ticket sales with associated service fees. Additionally, Trip.com Group offers packaged tours and corporate travel management services, contributing further to its revenue. The company leverages technology and data analytics to enhance user experience and optimize its offerings. Significant partnerships with airlines, hotels, and local travel service providers also play a crucial role in expanding its service portfolio and enhancing its revenue generation capabilities.

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trip.com Group Ltd. demonstrates strong financial health with significant revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and a robust balance sheet. However, the recent decline in cash flow metrics highlights potential challenges in cash management or reinvestment strategies.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Trip.com Group Ltd. shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, seeing a notable increase in Total Revenue from 20,039 million in 2022 to 53,294 million in 2024. The Gross Profit Margin improved from 77.5% in 2023 to 81.2% in 2024, indicating efficient cost management. Net Profit Margin stood at a healthy 32% in 2024, demonstrating robust profitability. The EBIT Margin increased to 26.6% in 2024, reflecting improved operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Trip.com Group Ltd. is stable with a healthy Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.28 as of 2024, showing conservative leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) is impressive at 11.97% in 2024, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. The company maintains a strong Equity Ratio of 58.8%, providing a solid financial foundation. There is a significant increase in Stockholders' Equity from 112,283 million in 2022 to 142,550 million in 2024, reflecting retained earnings and growth.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
While the operating cash flow was notably strong at 22,004 million in 2023, it dropped to zero in 2024, suggesting potential cash management issues or significant reinvestment. The Free Cash Flow in 2023 was substantial at 21,398 million but also fell to zero in 2024. The lack of Free Cash Flow growth raises concerns about cash generation sustainability, offsetting previous strong cash flow performance.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
53.29B44.51B20.04B20.02B18.32B
Gross Profit
43.30B36.39B15.53B15.43B14.29B
EBIT
14.18B11.32B2.86B-319.00M-1.07B
EBITDA
14.99B12.14B88.00M1.09B491.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
17.07B9.92B1.95B-741.00M-1.58B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
79.57B59.34B44.03B50.76B44.23B
Total Assets
242.58B219.14B191.69B191.86B187.25B
Total Debt
40.13B45.57B46.38B51.36B57.00B
Net Debt
-10.96B3.98B27.90B30.16B37.59B
Total Liabilities
99.10B96.13B78.67B81.40B85.68B
Stockholders Equity
142.55B122.18B112.28B109.68B100.35B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
19.03B21.40B2.14B1.90B-4.36B
Operating Cash Flow
19.63B22.00B2.64B2.48B-3.82B
Investing Cash Flow
-6.05B5.92B1.14B-4.15B-3.82B
Financing Cash Flow
-6.71B-2.55B-6.72B3.92B6.03B

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price59.38
Price Trends
50DMA
60.18
Negative
100DMA
64.60
Negative
200DMA
59.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.55
Negative
RSI
52.63
Neutral
STOCH
88.19
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TCOM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 59.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 56.60, below the 50-day MA of 60.18, and above the 200-day MA of 59.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.19 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TCOM.

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR Risk Analysis

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR disclosed 78 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$165.93B29.53-146.32%0.70%11.11%47.03%
75
Outperform
$10.75B45.9723.09%28.51%367.34%
74
Outperform
$76.89B29.4931.95%11.95%-44.02%
71
Outperform
$20.02B17.5479.84%0.25%6.64%69.85%
69
Neutral
$39.29B17.1312.91%0.47%18.12%69.44%
60
Neutral
$6.58B11.553.14%4.05%2.58%-21.37%
60
Neutral
$1.78B769.090.55%2.63%-58.77%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TCOM
Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR
59.38
8.67
17.10%
EXPE
Expedia
157.96
22.16
16.32%
MMYT
Makemytrip
107.54
37.07
52.60%
BKNG
Booking Holdings
5,101.43
1,657.29
48.12%
TRIP
TripAdvisor
12.69
-13.86
-52.20%
ABNB
Airbnb
124.01
-34.32
-21.68%

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -7.75%|
Next Earnings Date:May 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a generally positive sentiment with strong revenue growth, successful international expansion, and strategic capital return initiatives. However, there are concerns regarding quarter-over-quarter revenue decline and increased operational expenses.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record GMV Achievement
Trip.com Group's core OTA businesses achieved a GMV of over RMB 1.2 trillion or USD 169 billion in 2024.
AI Innovation and User Engagement
Traffic for TripGenie surged by 200%, with browsing time increasing by nearly 100% and the total number of conversations rising by 200% in 2024.
International Business Growth
International business represented 14% of group revenue in Q4 2024. Air ticket and hotel bookings on the international platform grew by over 70% year-over-year.
Strong Financial Performance
Net revenue for Q4 2024 grew by 23% year-over-year, and total net revenue for 2024 saw a year-over-year growth of 20%.
Robust Inbound and Outbound Travel
Inbound travel bookings increased by over 100% year-over-year, and outbound hotel and air ticket bookings recovered to more than 120% compared to 2019.
Strategic Capital Return Initiatives
The Board authorized a share repurchase program of up to USD 400 million and a cash dividend totaling approximately USD 200 million for 2025.
Sustainability and Employee Initiatives
Commitment to rural revitalization and employee support initiatives, such as allowing call center staff to work from home during Chinese New Year.
Negative Updates
Quarter-over-Quarter Revenue Decline
Net revenue decreased by 20% from the previous quarter. Accommodation reservation revenue decreased by 24% quarter-over-quarter, and transportation ticketing revenue decreased by 15% quarter-over-quarter.
Increased Expenses
Adjusted G&A expenses for Q4 2024 increased by 24% year-over-year, primarily due to personnel-related expenses.
Challenges in Major Destinations
Despite headwinds in certain major destinations, outbound bookings grew by only 20% to 30% during the Chinese New Year holiday.
Company Guidance
During the Trip.com Group's 2024 Q4 earnings call, the company reported a strong financial performance, with a net revenue of RMB 12.7 billion, reflecting a 23% year-over-year increase. For the full year, net revenue reached RMB 53.3 billion, marking a 20% rise compared to 2023. The company highlighted the robust growth across various segments, with accommodation reservation revenue increasing by 33% year-over-year in Q4, and transportation ticketing revenue up by 16%. Notably, the international business represented 14% of the group revenue in Q4. Trip.com's AI tools, such as TripGenie, saw significant traffic growth, with user interactions increasing by 200% in 2024. The company also announced a capital return program for 2025, including a USD 400 million share repurchase and a USD 200 million cash dividend, demonstrating their commitment to delivering value to shareholders.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.