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Trip.com Group Ltd. Sponsored ADR (TCOM)
NASDAQ:TCOM
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Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR (TCOM) AI Stock Analysis

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TCOM

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR

(NASDAQ:TCOM)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$84.00
▲(15.08% Upside)
Trip.com Group Ltd. receives a strong overall score due to its robust earnings call performance and solid financial health, despite challenges in cash flow management. The technical analysis supports a bullish outlook, although the stock is currently overbought. Valuation metrics are reasonable, supporting the company's growth strategy.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
Better-than-expected operating leverage resulted in earnings surpassing expectations, driven by optimized operating expenses and improved sales and marketing efficiency.
International Expansion
The overseas expansion of Trip.com is progressing well, contributing to a balanced investment and revenue growth trajectory, which is expected to bring long-term value.
Revenue Growth
Expectations for resilient revenue growth are sustained, with domestic business showing booking volume growth and outbound travel consistently outperforming the market.
Negative Factors
Investment Intensity
The high investment intensity for Trip.com is expected to normalize, which would result in sustained high growth of 50%.
Operating Margin
The bigger mix for Trip.com could be a negative contributor to next year's operating profit margin.
Pricing Pressure
Pricing pressure is expected to persist, with continued year-over-year declines in pricing for domestic hotel ADRs and domestic and outbound air ticket prices.

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR (TCOM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrip.com Group Sponsored ADR (TCOM) is a leading online travel services provider based in China, specializing in offering a comprehensive range of travel-related services to consumers and businesses. The company operates through various segments, including accommodation reservations, transportation ticketing, packaged tours, and corporate travel management. Its core products and services encompass hotel bookings, flight reservations, vacation packages, and car rentals, catering to a global customer base through its user-friendly platforms.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrip.com Group generates revenue primarily through a commission-based model on bookings made through its platform. The company earns a percentage of the total transaction value from hotel reservations and flight ticket sales. Additionally, it benefits from service fees charged for various travel-related services, such as car rentals and travel insurance. Key revenue streams include direct bookings from consumers, corporate travel management services, and partnerships with airlines, hotels, and other travel service providers. Significant partnerships with major airlines and hotel chains enhance its offerings and increase customer reach, contributing to its overall earnings.

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in inbound travel and international bookings, significant net revenue and EBITDA growth, and strategic investments in technology and AI solutions. Despite facing some pricing pressures and macroeconomic uncertainties, the overall business performance remains robust with a focus on sustainability and strategic growth initiatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Inbound Travel Growth
Trip.com Group's inbound travel bookings increased by over 100% year-over-year in Q2 2025, driven mainly by demand from Korea and Southeast Asia.
Net Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Net revenue in Q2 increased by 16% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA was up 10% year-over-year.
Expansion of International Bookings
International bookings on the platform increased by over 60% year-over-year with strong contributions from the APAC region.
Rising Engagement in Silver Generation
The number of users in the Old Friends Club and their total GMV grew by over 100% since year-end 2024.
Significant Share Repurchase Program
The company completed share repurchases totaling approximately USD 400 million and announced a new USD 5 billion share repurchase program.
Negative Updates
Pricing Pressure on Domestic Hotels and Air Tickets
Both domestic hotel and air ticket prices faced pricing pressure despite healthy volume growth.
Macro Economic Uncertainties
Ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties were noted, although the market showed resilience in terms of volume growth.
Company Guidance
During the Trip.com Group's Q2 2025 earnings call, the company provided optimistic guidance for the upcoming quarters, highlighting strong momentum in various travel segments. In Q2, net revenue increased by 16% year-over-year, reaching RMB 14.8 billion, while adjusted EBITDA rose by 10%, reflecting robust demand across markets. Inbound travel bookings surged over 100% year-over-year, particularly from Korea and Southeast Asia. The company noted that mobile bookings now account for 70% of total bookings, and international bookings grew by over 60%. The outbound travel sector showed resilience, with cross-border flight capacity at 84% of pre-pandemic levels, and outbound hotel and air bookings exceeding 120% of 2019 volumes. Trip.com also emphasized its strategic focus on AI integration and innovations like the upgraded Trip.Planner for personalized travel experiences. Additionally, Trip.com announced a new USD 5 billion share repurchase program, underscoring its confidence in long-term growth and commitment to enhancing shareholder returns.

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trip.com Group Ltd. demonstrates strong financial health with significant revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and a robust balance sheet. However, the recent decline in cash flow metrics highlights potential challenges in cash management or reinvestment strategies. Despite this, the company's solid profitability and stable leverage ratios position it well for future growth.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Trip.com Group Ltd. shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, seeing a notable increase in Total Revenue from 20,039 million in 2022 to 53,294 million in 2024. The Gross Profit Margin improved from 77.5% in 2023 to 81.2% in 2024, indicating efficient cost management. Net Profit Margin stood at a healthy 32% in 2024, demonstrating robust profitability. The EBIT Margin increased to 26.6% in 2024, reflecting improved operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Trip.com Group Ltd. is stable with a healthy Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.28 as of 2024, showing conservative leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) is impressive at 11.97% in 2024, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. The company maintains a strong Equity Ratio of 58.8%, providing a solid financial foundation. There is a significant increase in Stockholders' Equity from 112,283 million in 2022 to 142,550 million in 2024, reflecting retained earnings and growth.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
While the operating cash flow was notably strong at 22,004 million in 2023, it dropped to zero in 2024, suggesting potential cash management issues or significant reinvestment. The Free Cash Flow in 2023 was substantial at 21,398 million but also fell to zero in 2024. The lack of Free Cash Flow growth raises concerns about cash generation sustainability, offsetting previous strong cash flow performance.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue55.22B53.29B44.51B20.04B20.02B18.32B
Gross Profit44.76B43.30B36.39B15.53B15.43B14.29B
EBITDA17.67B15.03B12.14B88.00M1.09B491.00M
Net Income17.03B17.07B9.92B1.95B-741.00M-1.58B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets247.76B242.58B219.14B191.69B191.86B187.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments78.10B79.57B59.34B44.03B50.76B44.23B
Total Debt42.76B40.32B45.57B46.38B51.36B57.00B
Total Liabilities100.78B99.10B96.13B78.67B81.40B85.68B
Stockholders Equity145.99B142.55B122.18B112.28B109.68B100.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0019.03B21.40B2.14B1.90B-4.36B
Operating Cash Flow0.0019.63B22.00B2.64B2.48B-3.82B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-6.05B5.92B1.14B-4.15B-3.82B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-6.71B-2.55B-6.72B3.92B6.03B

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price72.99
Price Trends
50DMA
63.08
Positive
100DMA
61.86
Positive
200DMA
63.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.79
Negative
RSI
66.95
Neutral
STOCH
70.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TCOM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 72.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 65.23, above the 50-day MA of 63.08, and above the 200-day MA of 63.67, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TCOM.

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR Risk Analysis

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR disclosed 78 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
We have limited business insurance coverage. Q4, 2023

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$79.29B30.1333.26%10.23%-44.56%
73
Outperform
$48.61B19.8012.94%0.38%17.73%27.95%
72
Outperform
$26.24B25.96129.04%0.56%5.69%47.33%
69
Neutral
$178.43B38.29-146.32%0.67%11.72%0.51%
66
Neutral
$9.10B113.4822.38%18.13%-55.21%
66
Neutral
$1.94B36.118.76%3.03%187.03%
61
Neutral
$17.96B13.14-5.36%3.00%1.25%-13.95%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TCOM
Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR
72.99
25.49
53.66%
EXPE
Expedia
216.52
82.19
61.19%
MMYT
Makemytrip
100.09
6.33
6.75%
BKNG
Booking Holdings
5,585.86
1,833.15
48.85%
TRIP
TripAdvisor
17.96
4.03
28.93%
ABNB
Airbnb
125.37
9.21
7.93%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025