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Trip.com Group Ltd. Sponsored ADR (TCOM)
NASDAQ:TCOM
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Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR (TCOM) AI Stock Analysis

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TCOM

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR

(NASDAQ:TCOM)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$78.00
▲(11.88% Upside)
Trip.com Group Ltd. shows strong financial performance and a positive outlook from its recent earnings call, which are the most significant factors driving the score. Technical indicators present a mixed picture, while valuation suggests moderate pricing. The absence of significant corporate events keeps the focus on financial and operational strengths.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial stability.
AI Tool Adoption
Increased AI tool adoption enhances operational efficiency and customer experience, providing a competitive edge in the travel industry.
International Expansion
Strong international expansion diversifies revenue streams and reduces reliance on domestic markets, supporting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Decline
A decline in cash flow raises concerns about cash management and sustainability, potentially impacting future investments and operations.
Domestic Hotel Price Pressure
Price pressure in domestic hotels may reduce margins and profitability, affecting the company's competitive position in the domestic market.
Geopolitical Tensions
Geopolitical tensions could disrupt travel demand and consumer confidence, posing risks to revenue from affected regions.

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR (TCOM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrip.com Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a travel service provider for accommodation reservation, transportation ticketing, packaged tours and in-destination, corporate travel management, and other travel-related services in China and internationally. The company acts as an agent for hotel-related transactions and selling air tickets, as well as provides train, long-distance bus, and ferry tickets; travel insurance products, such as flight delay, air accident, and baggage loss coverage; and air-ticket delivery, online check-in and seat selection, express security screening, real-time flight status tracker, and airport VIP lounge services. It also provides independent leisure travelers bundled packaged-tour products comprising group, semi-group, and customized and packaged tours with various transportation arrangements, including air, cruise, bus, and car rental services. In addition, the company offers integrated transportation and accommodation services; destination transportation and ticket, activity, insurance, visa, and tour guide services; user support, supplier management, and customer relationship management services; and in-destination products and services. Further, It provides its corporate clients with business visit, incentive trip, meeting and conference, travel data collection and analysis, and industry benchmarking solutions; and Corporate Travel Management System, an online platform that integrates information management, online booking and authorization, online inquiry, and travel reporting systems. Additionally, the company offers online advertising and financial services, such as marketing planning and travel media services. It operates under the Ctrip, Qunar, Trip.com, and Skyscanner brands. The company was formerly known as Ctrip.com International, Ltd. and changed its name to Trip.com Group Limited in October 2019. Trip.com Group Limited was founded in 1999 and is based in Singapore.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrip.com Group generates revenue primarily through commissions and fees associated with its online travel services. The company earns a significant portion of its income from hotel bookings, where it takes a commission from hotels for each reservation made through its platform. Additionally, it generates revenue from airline ticket sales by charging airlines a commission for each ticket sold. The company also offers ancillary services such as car rentals and travel insurance, contributing to its overall revenue. Partnerships with airlines, hotels, and travel service providers enhance its offerings and customer reach, while advertising and promotional activities on its platform further supplement its earnings.

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 17, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call showcased a strong quarter for Trip.com with significant growth in both outbound and international travel bookings, supported by robust AI tool adoption and increased revenue. While slight concerns exist regarding domestic hotel price pressures and geopolitical tensions, these are outweighed by the positive developments and strategic expansions, resulting in a generally optimistic outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Growth in Outbound Travel
Outbound hotel and air bookings grew by close to 20% from last year and reached about 140% of 2019 volume, with Europe emerging as a key growth region.
Significant Increase in International Bookings
International bookings on the Trip.com platform grew by around 60% year-over-year, with the Asia Pacific region growing over 50% in Q3.
Strong Inbound Travel Momentum
Inbound travel bookings on the platform grew by over 100%, reflecting robust international demand.
Expansion of AI Tools and Features
AI-powered tools like Trip.Planner saw a 180% year-over-year surge in unique visits, enhancing user experience and operational efficiency.
Growth in Revenue and Earnings
Net revenue in Q3 increased by 16% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA at RMB 6.3 billion compared to RMB 5.7 billion in the same period last year.
Negative Updates
Pressure on Domestic Hotel Prices
Domestic hotel capacity continues to expand at a mid- to high single-digit pace year-over-year, which is likely to keep some pressure on room prices going forward.
Potential Impact of Geopolitical Tensions
Geopolitical tensions between Japan and China may impact consumer travel behavior, though no major impact has been observed so far.
Company Guidance
During Trip.com Group's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a significant 16% increase in net revenue year-over-year, reaching RMB 18.3 billion, driven by robust travel demand. Accommodation reservation revenue saw an 18% rise, and transportation ticketing revenue grew by 12%. The outbound hotel and air bookings increased by close to 20% from the previous year, surpassing 2019 volumes by approximately 140%, with Europe emerging as a key growth region. Inbound travel bookings on the platform surged by over 100%, reflecting strong international demand. The company leveraged AI advancements, such as Trip.Planner, which experienced a 180% year-over-year increase in unique visits. Trip.com also expanded its international presence, with international bookings rising around 60% year-over-year, highlighting the Asia Pacific region as a major contributor, growing over 50% in the third quarter. The company maintained a disciplined approach to investment, focusing on sustainable growth and long-term value creation, with adjusted EBITDA reaching RMB 6.3 billion.

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trip.com Group Ltd. demonstrates strong financial health with significant revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and a robust balance sheet. However, the recent decline in cash flow metrics highlights potential challenges in cash management or reinvestment strategies. Despite this, the company's solid profitability and stable leverage ratios position it well for future growth.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Trip.com Group Ltd. shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, seeing a notable increase in Total Revenue from 20,039 million in 2022 to 53,294 million in 2024. The Gross Profit Margin improved from 77.5% in 2023 to 81.2% in 2024, indicating efficient cost management. Net Profit Margin stood at a healthy 32% in 2024, demonstrating robust profitability. The EBIT Margin increased to 26.6% in 2024, reflecting improved operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Trip.com Group Ltd. is stable with a healthy Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.28 as of 2024, showing conservative leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) is impressive at 11.97% in 2024, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. The company maintains a strong Equity Ratio of 58.8%, providing a solid financial foundation. There is a significant increase in Stockholders' Equity from 112,283 million in 2022 to 142,550 million in 2024, reflecting retained earnings and growth.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
While the operating cash flow was notably strong at 22,004 million in 2023, it dropped to zero in 2024, suggesting potential cash management issues or significant reinvestment. The Free Cash Flow in 2023 was substantial at 21,398 million but also fell to zero in 2024. The lack of Free Cash Flow growth raises concerns about cash generation sustainability, offsetting previous strong cash flow performance.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue59.76B53.29B44.51B20.04B20.02B18.32B
Gross Profit48.23B43.30B36.39B15.53B15.43B14.29B
EBITDA33.97B15.03B12.14B960.00M-393.00M-209.00M
Net Income31.17B17.07B9.92B1.40B-550.00M-3.25B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets270.58B242.58B219.14B191.69B191.86B187.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments80.45B79.57B59.34B42.55B49.38B42.92B
Total Debt31.93B40.32B45.57B46.66B51.72B57.41B
Total Liabilities100.60B99.10B96.13B78.67B81.40B85.68B
Stockholders Equity168.23B142.55B122.18B112.28B109.68B100.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0019.03B21.40B2.14B1.90B-4.36B
Operating Cash Flow0.0019.63B22.00B2.64B2.48B-3.82B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-6.05B5.92B1.14B-4.15B-3.82B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-6.71B-2.55B-6.72B3.92B6.03B

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price69.72
Price Trends
50DMA
72.49
Negative
100DMA
69.11
Positive
200DMA
65.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.43
Positive
RSI
42.29
Neutral
STOCH
22.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TCOM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 69.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.39, below the 50-day MA of 72.49, and above the 200-day MA of 65.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TCOM.

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR Risk Analysis

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR disclosed 78 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
We have limited business insurance coverage. Q4, 2023

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$31.57B24.65104.40%0.62%7.29%36.51%
71
Outperform
$71.86B27.6230.78%10.56%47.16%
71
Outperform
$45.61B11.1920.09%0.40%18.10%92.84%
67
Neutral
$1.73B23.429.57%4.24%159.81%
65
Neutral
$6.69B105.7316.66%14.55%-68.46%
63
Neutral
$158.33B31.930.74%12.96%3.66%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TCOM
Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR
69.72
5.36
8.33%
EXPE
Expedia
257.62
74.48
40.67%
MMYT
Makemytrip
70.31
-44.43
-38.72%
BKNG
Booking Holdings
4,911.85
-253.08
-4.90%
TRIP
TripAdvisor
14.84
0.51
3.56%
ABNB
Airbnb
116.74
-19.37
-14.23%

Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR Corporate Events

Trip.com Group Reports Strong Q2 2025 Growth and New Share Repurchase Program
Aug 28, 2025

Trip.com Group Limited announced its unaudited financial results for the second quarter and first half of 2025, showing strong growth in its international businesses. The company reported a 16% increase in net revenue from the same period in 2024, driven by a surge in travel demand. Key highlights include a 60% year-over-year increase in international reservations and outbound bookings surpassing pre-COVID levels. The company also announced a new share repurchase program, authorizing up to US$5 billion in repurchases, reflecting its commitment to delivering value to shareholders.

Trip.com Group Releases 2025 Interim Financial Results
Aug 28, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Trip.com Group Limited released its unaudited financial results for the second quarter and first half of 2025. The interim report, published under the Hong Kong Listing Rules, includes a reconciliation of material differences between the company’s financial statements prepared under U.S. GAAP and IFRS. This disclosure aims to provide transparency and align with international reporting standards, potentially impacting the company’s financial reporting and investor relations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025