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Tesla (TSLA)
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Tesla (TSLA) AI Stock Analysis

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TSLA

Tesla

(NASDAQ:TSLA)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$483.00
▲(4.87% Upside)
Tesla's strong financial performance and technical indicators are the primary drivers of its stock score. The company's robust earnings call further supports its growth potential, despite valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio. The absence of a dividend yield also impacts the valuation score.
Positive Factors
Record Deliveries and Financial Performance
Record deliveries and financial performance indicate strong market demand and operational efficiency, supporting Tesla's growth trajectory.
Advancements in Full Self-Driving (FSD) and Robotaxi Expansion
Advancements in FSD and robotaxi expansion highlight Tesla's leadership in autonomous driving technology, potentially opening new revenue streams.
Energy Sector Growth and Megapack Developments
Growth in energy storage with new products strengthens Tesla's position in the renewable energy market, diversifying its revenue base.
Negative Factors
FSD Adoption Challenges
Limited FSD adoption could slow revenue growth from software services, impacting Tesla's ability to capitalize on its autonomous technology.
Tariff Impacts on Energy Business
Tariff impacts on the energy business could pressure margins and profitability, challenging Tesla's expansion in the energy sector.
Challenges in Scaling Optimus Production
Challenges in scaling Optimus production could delay market entry and revenue realization from this innovative product line.

Tesla (TSLA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tesla Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage. The Automotive segment offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty after-sales vehicle, used vehicles, retail merchandise, and vehicle insurance services. This segment also provides sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct and used vehicle sales, a network of Tesla Superchargers, and in-app upgrades; purchase financing and leasing services; services for electric vehicles through its company-owned service locations and Tesla mobile service technicians; and vehicle limited warranties and extended service plans. The Energy Generation and Storage segment engages in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products, and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and utilities through its website, stores, and galleries, as well as through a network of channel partners; and provision of service and repairs to its energy product customers, including under warranty, as well as various financing options to its solar customers. The company was formerly known as Tesla Motors, Inc. and changed its name to Tesla, Inc. in February 2017. Tesla, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyTesla generates revenue through several key streams. The majority of its income comes from the sale of electric vehicles, which includes both retail sales and leasing of its cars. Additionally, Tesla earns revenue from energy generation and storage solutions, which encompasses the sale of solar panels, solar roofs, and energy storage products. The company also generates income through regulatory credits, which it sells to other automakers who need to comply with environmental regulations. Moreover, Tesla has established partnerships for battery technology and charging infrastructure, which can contribute to its revenue through collaborative projects and shared technology initiatives. Lastly, Tesla's growing subscription and software services, including its Full Self-Driving (FSD) software, represent an emerging revenue stream as the company expands its offerings.

Tesla Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Tesla is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsTesla's U.S. revenue shows volatility with recent declines, but a rebound is expected as the robotaxi service expands. Despite challenges from the repeal of the IRA EV credit and increased tariffs, Tesla's strategic focus on autonomy and energy storage is promising. The Model Y's success in Europe and the potential of the robotaxi service could offset regulatory hurdles in China and Europe. The company's commitment to AI and robotics, alongside record powerwall deployments, suggests a resilient growth trajectory despite near-term financial impacts.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Tesla Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with strong performance in deliveries, financial metrics, and advancements in AI and energy storage. However, challenges remain in FSD adoption, tariff impacts, legal costs, and scaling Optimus production.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Deliveries and Financial Performance
Q3 2025 saw Tesla set new records for deliveries and financial metrics, including total revenues, energy gross profit, energy margins, and free cash flow. Deliveries increased significantly across all regions, with Greater China and APAC up 33%, North America up 28%, and EMEA up 25%.
Advancements in Full Self-Driving (FSD) and Robotaxi Expansion
Tesla is set to eliminate safety drivers in Austin by the end of the year and expand robotaxi operations to 8-10 metro areas, including Nevada, Florida, and Arizona. FSD has accumulated over 6 billion supervised miles, and version 14 of the software is seeing positive reactions.
Energy Sector Growth and Megapack Developments
Strong demand for Megapack and Powerwall continues, with new products like Megablock and Megapack 4 enhancing Tesla's energy storage capabilities. The Megapack product has seen a surge in demand for AI and data center applications.
Introduction of AI and Optimus Developments
Tesla's AI initiatives and Optimus robot are progressing, with Optimus expected to be a significant product. The Optimus hand and forearm have been highlighted as a complex engineering challenge, but progress is being made.
Financial Strength and Future Growth Plans
Tesla's free cash flow for Q3 was approximately $4 billion, a new record. The company plans to increase CapEx significantly in 2026 to support growth in AI initiatives, including Optimus.
Negative Updates
FSD Adoption Challenges
Despite progress, the total paid FSD customer base remains small, around 12% of the current fleet. Regulatory challenges in regions like China and EMEA are delaying broader deployment.
Tariff Impacts on Energy Business
Tesla faced headwinds in the energy storage business due to increased competition and tariffs, with tariff impacts for Q3 exceeding $400 million.
Legal and Restructuring Costs
Operating expenses increased due to legal expenses related to proceedings and restructuring efforts aimed at reducing costs and improving efficiency.
Challenges in Scaling Optimus Production
Bringing Optimus to market is described as an incredibly difficult task, with significant challenges in hand dexterity and supply chain development.
Company Guidance
In Tesla's third quarter 2025 earnings call, significant metrics were highlighted, illustrating the company's robust performance and strategic advancements. The company set new records in deliveries and deployments, along with financial metrics such as total revenues, energy gross profit, energy margins, and free cash flow, which reached approximately $4 billion. Tesla reported a 29% increase in automotive revenues, while automotive margins, excluding credits, rose marginally from 15% to 15.4%. Geographically, deliveries showed strong performance, with Greater China and APAC up 33%, North America up 28%, and EMEA up 25%. Tesla's energy storage business also achieved record deployments and margins despite tariff impacts exceeding $400 million. The company emphasized its focus on AI, with developments in full self-driving technology, robotaxi deployment, and the upcoming Optimus robot, reflecting Tesla's commitment to sustainable abundance and innovation in real-world AI applications.

Tesla Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tesla demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage, and cash flow generation is solid. While there are some fluctuations in margins and free cash flow, the company maintains a stable financial trajectory, positioning it well for future growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Tesla's income statement shows a solid performance with a consistent revenue growth trend, albeit at a slower pace recently. The gross profit margin has decreased over time, indicating potential cost pressures. However, the net profit margin remains positive, reflecting effective cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown some volatility but remain healthy, supporting overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Tesla's balance sheet is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio indicating prudent financial leverage. The return on equity has decreased from its peak but remains robust, showcasing efficient use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a stable financial position with a good proportion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Tesla's cash flow statement highlights a positive trend in operating cash flow, which supports ongoing operations. Free cash flow has shown significant growth recently, although it has been volatile in the past. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is stable, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue95.63B97.69B96.77B81.46B53.82B31.54B
Gross Profit16.26B17.45B17.66B20.85B13.61B6.63B
EBITDA13.21B14.71B14.80B17.66B9.63B4.22B
Net Income5.31B7.13B15.00B12.58B5.52B721.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets133.74B122.07B106.62B82.34B62.13B52.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments42.23B36.56B29.09B22.18B17.71B19.38B
Total Debt13.79B13.62B9.57B5.75B8.87B13.28B
Total Liabilities53.02B48.39B43.01B36.44B30.55B28.47B
Stockholders Equity79.97B72.91B62.63B44.70B30.19B22.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.83B3.58B4.36B7.55B3.48B2.70B
Operating Cash Flow15.75B14.92B13.26B14.72B11.50B5.94B
Investing Cash Flow-16.55B-18.79B-15.58B-11.97B-7.87B-3.13B
Financing Cash Flow1.41B3.85B2.59B-3.53B-5.20B9.97B

Tesla Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price460.55
Price Trends
50DMA
402.94
Positive
100DMA
361.64
Positive
200DMA
336.40
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
11.48
Positive
RSI
60.63
Neutral
STOCH
74.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSLA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 460.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 439.62, above the 50-day MA of 402.94, and above the 200-day MA of 336.40, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 11.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSLA.

Tesla Risk Analysis

Tesla disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tesla reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Demand for our products and services and our financial results may be impacted by the status of government and economic incentives supporting the development and adoption of such products. Q2, 2025

Tesla Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$1.44T302.307.03%-1.56%-59.09%
$42.94B11.215.17%4.35%1.68%-39.28%
$267.48B9.4712.05%2.88%4.14%-12.12%
$22.12B20.4711.91%7.49%-21.06%
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
$17.26B-329.46%9.60%-5.91%
$5.68B-54.39%39.01%7.12%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSLA
Tesla
460.55
201.03
77.46%
HMC
Honda Motor Company
31.93
2.11
7.08%
TM
Toyota Motor
211.24
35.21
20.00%
NIO
Nio
7.09
1.49
26.61%
LI
Li Auto
21.33
-7.09
-24.95%
LCID
Lucid Group
18.11
-6.29
-25.78%

Tesla Corporate Events

Tesla Reports Growth in Revenue Amidst Challenges
Oct 24, 2025

Tesla, Inc. is a leading electric vehicle and clean energy company based in Austin, Texas, known for its innovative approach in the automotive and energy sectors.

Tesla’s Q3 2025 Earnings Call: Key Insights
Oct 24, 2025

Tesla’s recent earnings call showcased a balanced sentiment, highlighting strong performance in deliveries and financial metrics, alongside advancements in AI and energy storage. However, the company faces challenges with FSD adoption, tariff impacts, legal costs, and scaling Optimus production.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Tesla Approves New Indemnification Agreement for Executives
Neutral
Sep 5, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Tesla‘s Board of Directors approved a new Indemnification Agreement for its directors and executive officers, ensuring legal protection and expense coverage under Texas law. This move aims to enhance the company’s governance framework and provide security to its leadership, potentially impacting its operational stability and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSLA) stock is a Buy with a $500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tesla stock, see the TSLA Stock Forecast page.

Duquesne Family Office LLC Reduces Tesla Holdings
Aug 17, 2025

Viking Global Investors LP Boosts Stake in Tesla
Aug 16, 2025

Soros Fund Management LLC Boosts Stake in Tesla
Aug 16, 2025

Clough Capital Partners Boosts Stake in Tesla Motors
Aug 16, 2025

Coatue Management Boosts Stake in Tesla Motors
Aug 16, 2025

Graham Capital Management Reduces Stake in Tesla Motors
Aug 16, 2025

Atreides Management, LP Boosts Stake in Tesla Motors
Aug 16, 2025

Woodline Partners LP Boosts Stake in Tesla Motors
Aug 16, 2025

Gilder Gagnon Howe Reduces Stake in Tesla Motors
Aug 16, 2025

Moore Capital Management LP Boosts Stake in Tesla
Aug 16, 2025

Manning & Napier Advisors LLC Reduces Tesla Holdings
Aug 15, 2025

Gamco Investors Boosts Stake in Tesla Motors
Aug 15, 2025

Fisher Asset Management LLC Boosts Stake in Tesla
Aug 15, 2025

SCS Capital Management LLC Boosts Stake in Tesla
Aug 15, 2025

Bridgewater Associates Reduces Stake in Tesla Motors
Aug 15, 2025

PRIMECAP Management Co Reduces Stake in Tesla Motors
Aug 13, 2025

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Tesla Approves Special Compensation Package for Elon Musk
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

On August 3, 2025, Tesla‘s Board of Directors approved a special compensation package for CEO Elon Musk, granting him 96 million shares of restricted stock under the 2019 Equity Incentive Plan. This award, recommended by a Special Committee, is part of Tesla’s efforts to retain Musk’s leadership as the company navigates a critical inflection point, transitioning into AI and robotics. The award is structured with a two-year vesting period and a five-year holding requirement, with provisions to prevent ‘double dipping’ if Musk’s 2018 CEO Performance Award is reinstated by the courts. The decision reflects Tesla’s commitment to honoring past agreements and incentivizing Musk to continue driving shareholder value amid ongoing legal challenges and competitive pressures in the AI talent market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSLA) stock is a Buy with a $380.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tesla stock, see the TSLA Stock Forecast page.

ARK Investment Management LLC Reduces Stake in Tesla
Aug 1, 2025

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025