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Honda Motor Company (HMC)
NYSE:HMC
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Honda Motor Company (HMC) AI Stock Analysis

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HMC

Honda Motor Company

(NYSE:HMC)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$37.00
▲(13.15% Upside)
Honda's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and a solid valuation, reflecting positive market momentum and reasonable pricing. However, financial performance is mixed, with robust income growth but challenges in cash flow management. The recent earnings call presented a cautious outlook due to operating profit declines and regional challenges, particularly in the automobile segment.

Honda Motor Company (HMC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Honda Motor Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHonda Motor Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and distributes motorcycles, automobiles, power products, and other products in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Motorcycle Business, Automobile Business, Financial Services Business, and Life Creation and Other Businesses. The Motorcycle Business segment produces motorcycles, including sports, business, and commuter models; and various off-road vehicles, such as all-terrain vehicles and side-by-sides. The Automobile Business segment offers passenger cars, light trucks, and mini vehicles. The Financial Services Business segment provides various financial services, including retail lending and leasing services to customers, as well as wholesale financing services to dealers. The Life Creation and Other Businesses segment manufactures and sells power products, such as general purpose engines, generators, water pumps, lawn mowers, riding mowers, robotic mowers, brush cutters, tillers, snow blowers, outboard marine engines, walking assist devices, and portable battery inverter power sources. This segment also offers HondaJet aircraft. The company also sells spare parts; and provides after-sale services through retail dealers directly, as well as through independent distributors and licensees. Honda Motor Co., Ltd. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyHonda generates revenue primarily through the sale of its automotive and motorcycle products. The company's automotive division contributes a significant portion of its earnings, offering a wide range of vehicles from compact cars to SUVs and luxury models under the Acura brand. Additionally, Honda's motorcycle division is a leading player in the global market, providing a variety of motorcycles for different segments, including sport bikes and scooters. Other key revenue streams include sales of power equipment, such as generators and lawn mowers, as well as revenue from financing and leasing services offered through Honda Financial Services. Strategic partnerships with technology firms and investments in research and development further enhance Honda's competitive edge, allowing the company to innovate and diversify its offerings, which in turn drives sales and profitability.

Honda Motor Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows revenue contributions from each business area, indicating which segments are growing, stable, or declining, and providing insight into the company's strategic focus and market positioning.
Chart InsightsHonda's motorcycle segment is experiencing robust growth, achieving record highs in unit sales and operating profit margins, driven by strong demand and strategic positioning. In contrast, the automobile segment faces challenges, particularly in China and ASEAN, with declining unit sales and tariff impacts. However, hybrid EV sales are expanding, suggesting a strategic pivot towards electrification. Financial services and power products show steady performance, but the overall outlook is cautious due to tariff policies and electrification strategy challenges, impacting profitability and necessitating strategic adjustments.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Honda Motor Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: 3.42%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in the motorcycle segment and revised profit forecasts, but these positives were overshadowed by significant declines in operating profit, tariff impacts, and losses in the automobile segment. The challenges in China and other regions further contributed to a negative outlook.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Operating Profit in Motorcycle Segment
Motorcycle operations saw sales expansion in Brazil and Vietnam, attaining a record high operating profit for the quarter, with operating profit at JPY 189 billion, up by JPY 11.3 billion year-on-year.
Revised Full Year Profit Forecast
The full-year forecast for operating profit has been revised up to JPY 700 billion, a JPY 200 billion increase versus the previous forecast, partially due to changes in exchange rate assumptions.
Equity Method Earnings Increase
Equity method earnings were JPY 4.2 billion, higher by JPY 2.7 billion compared to the same period last year.
Strong North America Sales
Positive sales impact in North America contributed JPY 109.1 billion due to unit sales increases.
Negative Updates
Significant Operating Profit Decline
Operating profit for the first fiscal quarter was JPY 244.1 billion, down by JPY 240.5 billion compared to the same period last year.
Tariff and EV-related Expenses Impact
EV-related nonrecurring expenses led to a negative impact of JPY 113.4 billion, and tariffs led to a decline of JPY 124.6 billion in profit.
Automobile Segment Operating Loss
The automobile operations faced an operating loss of JPY 29.6 billion.
Challenges in China and Other Regions
Automobile unit sales declined in China and other Asian regions, with the overall sales at 839,000 units.
Company Guidance
During Honda Motor Company Limited's financial results briefing for the fiscal first quarter ended June 30, 2025, CFO Eiji Fujimura provided an overview of the company's performance and updated forecasts. The operating profit for the quarter was JPY 244.1 billion, which was a decrease of JPY 240.5 billion from the previous year. The forecast for the fiscal year ending March 2026 was revised, with an anticipated operating profit of JPY 700 billion and a net profit of JPY 420 billion, reflecting a JPY 200 billion increase due to tariff reviews and exchange rate changes, with the dollar assumption adjusted from JPY 135 to JPY 140. Despite challenges from tariffs and nonrecurring electric vehicle (EV) expenses, Honda's motorcycle operations achieved record-high operating profits, driven by sales growth in Brazil and Vietnam. The company's share buyback program, initiated in December 2024, had acquired shares worth JPY 936.5 billion by July 31, 2025. The fiscal year's full-year dividend forecast remained at JPY 70 per share. Additionally, Honda's automotive operations faced operating losses, with significant impacts from tariffs and currency fluctuations, while financial services saw operating profits of JPY 85 billion.

Honda Motor Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Honda Motor Company exhibits strong financial health with consistent income growth and solid balance sheet metrics. While profitability remains high, and leverage is managed well, cash flow volatility and rising liabilities present areas for improvement. The company is well-positioned in the auto manufacturing industry, but it must address cash flow management to sustain long-term growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Honda Motor Company has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from 2021 to 2025. The gross profit margin and net profit margin remained stable, showcasing efficient cost management. Despite a slight decline in EBIT margin in 2025, the EBITDA margin indicates strong operational performance. Overall, the company demonstrates robust income-generating capability with healthy profitability.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Honda's balance sheet reflects a strong equity position, with the equity ratio showing a solid percentage of total assets funded by shareholders' equity. The debt-to-equity ratio has decreased over time, indicating improved leverage management. Return on equity is steady, reflecting efficient utilization of shareholder funds. However, there is a potential risk from total liabilities, which have increased alongside assets, suggesting a need for cautious financial management.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow analysis shows volatility in free cash flow, with a significant decline in 2025 due to increased capital expenditures. Operating cash flow remains positive but has decreased compared to previous years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates effective cash generation relative to net income, though the decreasing trend suggests potential cash flow challenges. Overall, Honda's cash flow management is satisfactory but requires attention to maintain stability.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.69T20.43T16.91T14.55T13.17T
Gross Profit4.66T4.26T3.33T2.98T2.73T
EBITDA2.12T3.17T2.40T2.36T2.08T
Net Income835.84B1.11T651.42B707.07B657.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets30.78T29.77T24.67T23.97T21.92T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.74T5.18T4.07T3.89T3.05T
Total Debt4.42T10.08T7.67T8.05T7.72T
Total Liabilities18.15T16.77T13.12T13.20T12.55T
Stockholders Equity12.33T12.70T11.23T10.47T9.08T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-555.28B138.61B1.50T1.23T521.24B
Operating Cash Flow292.15B747.28B2.13T1.68T1.07T
Investing Cash Flow-941.97B-867.27B-678.06B-376.06B-796.88B
Financing Cash Flow280.48B918.65B-1.47T-615.72B-283.98B

Honda Motor Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price32.70
Price Trends
50DMA
30.46
Positive
100DMA
29.74
Positive
200DMA
28.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.52
Positive
RSI
58.18
Neutral
STOCH
60.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HMC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.82, above the 50-day MA of 30.46, and above the 200-day MA of 28.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HMC.

Honda Motor Company Risk Analysis

Honda Motor Company disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Honda Motor Company reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
3. Laws and Regulations Concerning Human Rights Q1, 2023
2.
1. Economic Security Q1, 2023
3.
Geopolitical Risk Q1, 2023

Honda Motor Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$245.19B8.7012.05%2.86%4.14%-12.12%
75
Outperform
$52.49B11.435.17%4.18%1.68%-39.28%
72
Outperform
$50.96B8.497.07%0.94%5.34%-28.29%
71
Outperform
$45.05B14.447.11%6.65%2.72%-17.58%
68
Neutral
$24.64B23.4812.22%10.28%-29.75%
61
Neutral
C$4.60B8.2113.40%3.76%3.56%-0.43%
53
Neutral
$19.25B-15.52%50.45%49.81%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HMC
Honda Motor Company
32.70
4.55
16.16%
F
Ford Motor
11.14
1.98
21.62%
GM
General Motors
54.01
11.47
26.96%
TM
Toyota Motor
189.13
21.16
12.60%
LI
Li Auto
24.07
4.56
23.37%
XPEV
XPeng, Inc. ADR
21.38
14.75
222.47%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2025