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Honda Motor Company (HMC) AI Stock Analysis

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HMC

Honda Motor Company

(NYSE:HMC)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(15.51% Upside)
Honda Motor Company's overall stock score reflects a strong financial foundation and attractive valuation, which are offset by technical indicators suggesting potential short-term challenges. The upward revision of profit forecasts and a solid dividend yield are positive, but ongoing issues in the automobile segment and external challenges like tariffs and currency effects weigh on the outlook.
Positive Factors
Motorcycle Segment Profitability
Honda's motorcycle segment shows strong profitability, driven by sales expansion in key markets like Brazil and Vietnam, indicating robust demand and operational efficiency.
Revised Profit Forecast
An upward revision in profit forecasts suggests confidence in future performance, supported by strategic initiatives and market conditions.
Tariff Easing
Easing tariffs will reduce costs for Honda, improving margins and competitiveness in the U.S. market, a key region for automotive sales.
Negative Factors
Automobile Segment Losses
Losses in the automobile segment, especially in China, highlight challenges in adapting to market demands and competitive pressures in key regions.
Cash Flow Volatility
Volatile cash flow due to increased capital expenditures could strain financial flexibility, affecting Honda's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Rare Earth Supply Risks
Dependence on rare earths, controlled largely by China, poses a supply chain risk that could impact production and increase costs for Honda.

Honda Motor Company (HMC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Honda Motor Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHonda Motor Company (HMC) is a multinational corporation headquartered in Japan, primarily engaged in the manufacturing of automobiles, motorcycles, and power equipment. Founded in 1948, Honda is renowned for its innovative engineering and commitment to quality, producing a diverse range of products that include cars, motorcycles, all-terrain vehicles, and generators. The company operates across multiple sectors, including mobility, power products, and robotics, and has a strong global presence with manufacturing plants and research facilities around the world.
How the Company Makes MoneyHonda generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income is the sale of automobiles and motorcycles, which includes a wide range of models from economy cars to luxury vehicles and high-performance motorcycles. Additionally, Honda earns revenue from the production and sale of power equipment, such as lawnmowers and generators. The company also engages in financial services, providing financing solutions to customers and dealerships, thus generating interest income. Significant partnerships, such as collaborations with technology firms in electric vehicle development and autonomous driving, contribute to Honda's innovation and market competitiveness. Furthermore, Honda's focus on sustainability and investment in alternative energy solutions, like hydrogen fuel cells, are expected to enhance its earnings in the future.

Honda Motor Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows revenue contributions from each business area, indicating which segments are growing, stable, or declining, and providing insight into the company's strategic focus and market positioning.
Chart InsightsHonda's motorcycle segment is experiencing robust growth, achieving record-high profits driven by strong sales in Brazil and Vietnam. However, the automobile segment is facing challenges, with operating losses exacerbated by tariffs and currency fluctuations. Despite these setbacks, Honda has revised its full-year profit forecast upwards, reflecting strategic adjustments to exchange rate assumptions. Financial services continue to contribute positively, although the overall outlook is tempered by the significant decline in operating profits and challenges in key markets like China.
Data provided by:The Fly

Honda Motor Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call reflected a mix of positive achievements such as the record operating profit in the Motorcycle segment and revised profit forecasts. However, these were overshadowed by significant challenges including a sharp decline in overall operating profit, losses in the Automobile segment, and ongoing tariff and currency issues.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Operating Profit in Motorcycle Segment
The Motorcycle operations achieved a record high operating profit for a quarter period, driven by sales expansion in Brazil and Vietnam. The operating profit for motorcycles was JPY 189 billion, up by JPY 11.3 billion year-on-year.
Revised Forecast for Fiscal Year
Honda Motor Company revised its forecast for the full fiscal year ending March 2026, projecting an increase in operating profit to JPY 700 billion, up by JPY 200 billion from the previous forecast. The net profit for the year is expected to be JPY 420 billion, reflecting a JPY 170 billion increase.
Successful Share Buyback
Honda successfully acquired shares worth JPY 936.5 billion as part of its JPY 1.1 trillion share buyback program announced in December 2024.
Negative Updates
Significant Decline in Operating Profit
Honda's operating profit for the first quarter was JPY 244.1 billion, a decrease of JPY 240.5 billion compared to the same period last year.
Automobile Segment Losses
The Automobile operations reported an operating loss of JPY 29.6 billion, with sales declines primarily in China and other Asian regions.
Challenges with Tariffs and Currency Effects
Tariffs led to a decline in profit by JPY 124.6 billion, while currency effects resulted in a negative impact of JPY 86.1 billion.
Underperformance in China Market
Sales in China have been declining for 17 consecutive months, with challenges in meeting market expectations for EVs.
Company Guidance
In the recent financial results call, Honda Motor Company provided guidance for the fiscal year ending March 2026. The company revised its full-year forecast upwards, projecting an operating profit of JPY 700 billion, an increase of JPY 200 billion from the previous forecast, and a net profit of JPY 420 billion, up by JPY 170 billion. The forecast assumes an exchange rate of JPY 140 against the U.S. dollar. Honda's first-quarter operating profit stood at JPY 244.1 billion, though this was JPY 240.5 billion lower than the same period last year. Key factors influencing the operating profit included a positive impact of JPY 109.1 billion from increased unit sales in North America, a JPY 68.5 billion positive impact from pricing revisions, and negative impacts from expenses, tariffs, and currency effects totaling JPY 293.6 billion. The company also highlighted its substantial share buyback program, which, as of July 31, amounted to JPY 936.5 billion out of the resolved JPY 1.1 trillion. Honda's guidance reflects adjustments to tariff impacts and exchange rate assumptions, with continued challenges anticipated from policy changes and nonrecurring expenses related to electric vehicles (EVs).

Honda Motor Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Honda Motor Company exhibits strong financial health with consistent income growth and solid balance sheet metrics. While profitability remains high, and leverage is managed well, cash flow volatility and rising liabilities present areas for improvement. The company is well-positioned in the auto manufacturing industry, but it must address cash flow management to sustain long-term growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Honda Motor Company has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from 2021 to 2025. The gross profit margin and net profit margin remained stable, showcasing efficient cost management. Despite a slight decline in EBIT margin in 2025, the EBITDA margin indicates strong operational performance. Overall, the company demonstrates robust income-generating capability with healthy profitability.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Honda's balance sheet reflects a strong equity position, with the equity ratio showing a solid percentage of total assets funded by shareholders' equity. The debt-to-equity ratio has decreased over time, indicating improved leverage management. Return on equity is steady, reflecting efficient utilization of shareholder funds. However, there is a potential risk from total liabilities, which have increased alongside assets, suggesting a need for cautious financial management.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow analysis shows volatility in free cash flow, with a significant decline in 2025 due to increased capital expenditures. Operating cash flow remains positive but has decreased compared to previous years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates effective cash generation relative to net income, though the decreasing trend suggests potential cash flow challenges. Overall, Honda's cash flow management is satisfactory but requires attention to maintain stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.52T21.69T20.43T16.91T14.55T13.17T
Gross Profit4.47T4.66T4.41T3.33T2.98T2.73T
EBITDA2.02T2.12T2.50T1.64T2.36T2.08T
Net Income652.98B835.84B1.11T651.42B707.07B657.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets31.49T30.78T29.77T24.67T23.97T21.92T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.84T4.74T5.18T4.07T3.89T3.05T
Total Debt0.004.42T10.08T7.62T8.05T6.74T
Total Liabilities19.25T18.15T16.77T13.17T13.20T12.55T
Stockholders Equity11.96T12.33T12.70T11.18T10.47T9.08T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-258.13B-555.28B138.61B1.50T1.23T521.24B
Operating Cash Flow589.32B292.15B747.28B2.13T1.68T1.07T
Investing Cash Flow-779.58B-941.97B-867.27B-678.06B-376.06B-796.88B
Financing Cash Flow62.29B280.48B918.65B-1.47T-615.72B-283.98B

Honda Motor Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price30.30
Price Trends
50DMA
30.63
Negative
100DMA
31.52
Negative
200DMA
29.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.31
Negative
RSI
42.64
Neutral
STOCH
57.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HMC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 30.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.72, below the 50-day MA of 30.63, and above the 200-day MA of 29.93, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HMC.

Honda Motor Company Risk Analysis

Honda Motor Company disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Honda Motor Company reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
3. Laws and Regulations Concerning Human Rights Q1, 2023
2.
1. Economic Security Q1, 2023
3.
Geopolitical Risk Q1, 2023

Honda Motor Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$258.13B8.4212.51%2.86%7.30%12.42%
75
Outperform
$68.71B14.804.44%0.93%2.58%-46.27%
74
Outperform
$52.44B11.2810.26%5.73%3.75%33.37%
73
Outperform
$39.75B9.765.23%4.29%0.34%-25.49%
73
Outperform
$1.43T286.817.03%-1.56%-59.09%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
55
Neutral
$18.22B31.226.28%-12.18%-56.78%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HMC
Honda Motor Company
29.36
4.61
18.63%
F
Ford Motor
13.09
3.09
30.90%
GM
General Motors
74.69
21.89
41.46%
TSLA
Tesla
446.74
88.81
24.81%
TM
Toyota Motor
195.44
20.66
11.82%
LI
Li Auto
17.44
-4.98
-22.21%

Honda Motor Company Corporate Events

Honda Motors’ Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiments and Challenges
Aug 12, 2025

Honda Motors’ recent earnings call presented a mixed sentiment, with notable achievements in the motorcycle segment and revised profit forecasts being overshadowed by significant declines in operating profit, tariff impacts, and losses in the automobile segment. The challenges faced in China and other regions further contributed to a negative outlook for the company.

Honda Motors Reports Decline in Quarterly Earnings
Aug 7, 2025

Honda Motor Co., Ltd. is a leading global manufacturer in the automotive and motorcycle industries, known for its innovative engineering and diverse product lineup, including automobiles, motorcycles, and power equipment.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025