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Honda Motor Company (HMC)
NYSE:HMC
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Honda Motor Company (HMC) AI Stock Analysis

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Honda Motor Company

(NYSE:HMC)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$33.00
▲(8.52%Upside)
Honda's overall stock score of 72 reflects robust financial performance and attractive valuation, though technical indicators are mixed. The earnings call highlights significant strengths in the motorcycle segment and hybrid EV sales, but challenges persist in the automobile sector, exacerbated by tariff impacts and electrification strategy hurdles, warranting a cautious outlook.

Honda Motor Company (HMC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Honda Motor Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHonda Motor Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and distributes motorcycles, automobiles, power products, and other products in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Motorcycle Business, Automobile Business, Financial Services Business, and Life Creation and Other Businesses. The Motorcycle Business segment produces motorcycles, including sports, business, and commuter models; and various off-road vehicles, such as all-terrain vehicles and side-by-sides. The Automobile Business segment offers passenger cars, light trucks, and mini vehicles. The Financial Services Business segment provides various financial services, including retail lending and leasing services to customers, as well as wholesale financing services to dealers. The Life Creation and Other Businesses segment manufactures and sells power products, such as general purpose engines, generators, water pumps, lawn mowers, riding mowers, robotic mowers, brush cutters, tillers, snow blowers, outboard marine engines, walking assist devices, and portable battery inverter power sources. This segment also offers HondaJet aircraft. The company also sells spare parts; and provides after-sale services through retail dealers directly, as well as through independent distributors and licensees. Honda Motor Co., Ltd. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyHonda Motor Company generates revenue through various streams, with the automotive segment being the primary contributor to its earnings. This includes the sale of cars, trucks, and SUVs, with popular models such as the Honda Accord, Civic, and CR-V. The motorcycle sector is another significant source of revenue, where Honda leads the market with a diverse lineup catering to different regions and consumer preferences. Additionally, Honda's power products division, which includes engines, generators, and lawn equipment, contributes to its revenue. The company also engages in financial services, providing loans and leases to support vehicle sales. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures, particularly in the areas of research and development for next-generation technologies such as electric vehicles and autonomous driving, also play a role in Honda's revenue model.

Honda Motor Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows revenue contributions from each business area, indicating which segments are growing, stable, or declining, and providing insight into the company's strategic focus and market positioning.
Chart InsightsHonda's motorcycle segment is experiencing robust growth, achieving record highs in unit sales and operating profit margins, driven by strong demand and strategic positioning. In contrast, the automobile segment faces challenges, particularly in China and ASEAN, with declining unit sales and tariff impacts. However, hybrid EV sales are expanding, suggesting a strategic pivot towards electrification. Financial services and power products show steady performance, but the overall outlook is cautious due to tariff policies and electrification strategy challenges, impacting profitability and necessitating strategic adjustments.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Honda Motor Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.68%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call depicted a mixed performance for Honda, with notable achievements in the motorcycle segment and hybrid EV sales being overshadowed by challenges in the automobile sector, significant tariff impacts, and reduced profitability. Despite the company's efforts to enhance shareholder returns and adjust strategies, the challenges ahead, particularly in the electrification strategy and tariff impacts, create a cautious outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Highs in Motorcycle Segment
The motorcycle business achieved record highs in unit sales, operating profit, and operating profit margin, with plans to sell 21.3 million units in the next fiscal year, indicating a positive year-on-year increase.
Strong Operating Cash Flow
Operating cash flow post R&D adjustments remained high at JPY 2.800 trillion, comparable to the previous fiscal year.
Introduction of Dividend on Equity (DOE) Policy
Honda announced a change in dividend policy to improve capital efficiency, with an annual dividend increase from JPY 68 to JPY 70 per share.
Hybrid EV Sales Growth
Hybrid EV sales expanded, with improved profitability in North America and plans to introduce next-generation HEV models to enhance performance and cost efficiency.
Negative Updates
Decline in Automobile Sales
Automobile business saw a decline in unit sales, especially in China and ASEAN, with a significant impact from increased North American incentives for EVs.
Impact of Tariff Policies
The impact of tariff policies is expected to be significant, with an estimated JPY 650 billion impact, affecting the financial outlook and investment plans.
Reduced Profitability
Operating profit was JPY 1.213.4 trillion, down JPY 168.4 billion from the previous period. The net profit attributable to the owner of the parent decreased by JPY 271.3 billion.
Challenges in Electrification Strategy
Due to the slowing growth of the EV market in North America, Honda postponed large-scale investments in Canada for at least two years.
Company Guidance
During Honda's financial results press conference for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, the company reported an operating profit of JPY 1.213.4 trillion, despite a one-time accounting change impacting automobile product warranty provisions. Excluding this expense, the operating profit was JPY 1.341 trillion. The motorcycle business achieved record highs in unit sales and operating profit margin, while the automobile business faced a decline in unit sales primarily in China and ASEAN, although hybrid EV sales expanded. Operating cash flow post-R&D adjustments was JPY 2.800 trillion. Looking forward to FYE March 2026, Honda anticipates a minimum operating profit of JPY 500 billion and net profit of JPY 250 billion, with the motorcycle business aiming to sell 21.3 million units. The company plans to increase its annual dividend to JPY 70 per share and has repurchased JPY 1.1 trillion of its shares. Honda also acknowledged the impact of tariff policies and is implementing recovery measures, including optimizing production allocation and enhancing cooperation with stakeholders. The company remains committed to maintaining a resilient business portfolio despite uncertainties in the business environment.

Honda Motor Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Honda Motor Company exhibits strong financial health with consistent income growth and solid balance sheet metrics. While profitability remains high, and leverage is managed well, cash flow volatility and rising liabilities present areas for improvement. The company is well-positioned in the auto manufacturing industry, but it must address cash flow management to sustain long-term growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Honda Motor Company has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from 2021 to 2025. The gross profit margin and net profit margin remained stable, showcasing efficient cost management. Despite a slight decline in EBIT margin in 2025, the EBITDA margin indicates strong operational performance. Overall, the company demonstrates robust income-generating capability with healthy profitability.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Honda's balance sheet reflects a strong equity position, with the equity ratio showing a solid percentage of total assets funded by shareholders' equity. The debt-to-equity ratio has decreased over time, indicating improved leverage management. Return on equity is steady, reflecting efficient utilization of shareholder funds. However, there is a potential risk from total liabilities, which have increased alongside assets, suggesting a need for cautious financial management.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow analysis shows volatility in free cash flow, with a significant decline in 2025 due to increased capital expenditures. Operating cash flow remains positive but has decreased compared to previous years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates effective cash generation relative to net income, though the decreasing trend suggests potential cash flow challenges. Overall, Honda's cash flow management is satisfactory but requires attention to maintain stability.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.69T20.43T16.91T14.55T13.17T
Gross Profit4.66T4.26T3.33T2.98T2.73T
EBITDA2.12T3.17T2.40T2.36T2.08T
Net Income835.84B1.11T651.42B707.07B657.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets30.78T29.77T24.67T23.97T21.92T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.74T5.18T4.07T3.89T3.05T
Total Debt4.42T10.08T7.67T8.05T7.72T
Total Liabilities18.15T16.77T13.12T13.20T12.55T
Stockholders Equity12.33T12.70T11.23T10.47T9.08T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-555.28B138.61B1.50T1.23T521.24B
Operating Cash Flow292.15B747.28B2.13T1.68T1.07T
Investing Cash Flow-941.97B-867.27B-678.06B-376.06B-796.88B
Financing Cash Flow280.48B918.65B-1.47T-615.72B-283.98B

Honda Motor Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price30.41
Price Trends
50DMA
29.71
Positive
100DMA
29.13
Positive
200DMA
28.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.28
Negative
RSI
54.39
Neutral
STOCH
37.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HMC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.92, above the 50-day MA of 29.71, and above the 200-day MA of 28.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HMC.

Honda Motor Company Risk Analysis

Honda Motor Company disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Honda Motor Company reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
3. Laws and Regulations Concerning Human Rights Q1, 2023
2.
1. Economic Security Q1, 2023
3.
Geopolitical Risk Q1, 2023

Honda Motor Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
FF
77
Outperform
$44.38B8.9411.47%6.70%3.03%28.54%
LILI
74
Outperform
$31.80B28.8912.22%10.28%-29.75%
HMHMC
72
Outperform
$48.59B8.526.54%0.13%0.83%-26.70%
TMTM
70
Outperform
$222.46B7.1513.36%0.02%1.06%-7.05%
GMGM
64
Neutral
$51.17B7.677.07%1.29%5.34%-28.29%
63
Neutral
$17.14B11.30-7.23%3.13%1.68%-25.24%
51
Neutral
$17.45B-15.52%50.45%49.81%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HMC
Honda Motor Company
30.41
-0.53
-1.71%
F
Ford Motor
11.19
-1.63
-12.71%
GM
General Motors
48.89
2.99
6.51%
TM
Toyota Motor
169.99
-30.80
-15.34%
LI
Li Auto
30.84
11.09
56.15%
XPEV
XPeng, Inc. ADR
18.87
10.47
124.64%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 09, 2025