Ford Motor Company (F)
NYSE:F
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Ford Motor
(NYSE:F)
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Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(4.90% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/20/26
The score is held back primarily by weak recent profitability, very thin margins, and high leverage despite solid cash generation. Offsetting factors include a raised full-year outlook and supportive valuation (low P/E and strong dividend), alongside moderately positive technical momentum.
Positive Factors
Operating cash generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow (TTM ~$18.9B OCF, ~$11.9B FCF) provides durable internal funding for capex, dividends and strategic investments. This cash cushion supports execution on EV/energy builds and buybacks despite accounting losses, improving long‑term optionality.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Very high absolute debt (~$157B TTM) and a debt/equity ratio near 4.7x constrain financial flexibility and amplify cyclicality. In a downturn higher interest and principal servicing needs can crowd out investment, limit strategic optionality and increase refinancing and rating sensitivity over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Operating cash generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow (TTM ~$18.9B OCF, ~$11.9B FCF) provides durable internal funding for capex, dividends and strategic investments. This cash cushion supports execution on EV/energy builds and buybacks despite accounting losses, improving long‑term optionality.
Read all positive factors
Ford Motor Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Wholesale Vehicles Sales
Tracks the number of vehicles sold to dealerships, indicating production levels and demand from retailers.
Tracks the number of vehicles sold to dealerships, indicating production levels and demand from retailers.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyFord Motor (F) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$53.39B
Dividend Yield5.64%
Average Volume (3M)54.21M
Price to Earnings (P/E)4.5
Beta (1Y)0.95
Revenue Growth3.82%
EPS Growth-209.77%
CountryUS
Employees170,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-1.54
Shares Outstanding3,913,840,600
10 Day Avg. Volume82,539,967
30 Day Avg. Volume54,213,583
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.03
Price to Book (P/B)1.45
Price to Sales (P/S)0.28
P/FCF Ratio4.19
Enterprise Value/Market Cap3.57
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.00
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit10.94
Enterprise Value/Ebitda19.07
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$13.50Price Target Upside4.90% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering12
EPS Forecast (FY)1.64
Revenue Forecast (FY)$193.55B
Ford Motor Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Ford Motor Company develops, delivers, and services a range of Ford trucks, commercial cars and vans, sport utility vehicles, and Lincoln luxury vehicles worldwide. It operates through Ford Blue, Ford Model e, and Ford Pro; Ford Next; and Ford Cre...
How the Company Makes Money
Ford primarily makes money through (1) selling vehicles and related products and (2) providing financing and other financial services tied to vehicle sales.
1) Vehicle and parts revenue (Automotive)
- Wholesale and retail vehicle sales: Ford gene...
Ford Motor Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated a cautiously positive tone: strong Q1 revenue and adjusted EBIT, a raised full-year adjusted EBIT outlook, solid segment results (notably Ford Pro and Ford Blue), robust liquidity, and clear multi-year growth plans driven by software, services and the UEV/energy investments. However, material near-term headwinds remain — notably commodity cost increases (especially aluminum), substantial one-time Novelis-related expenses, ongoing Model e losses and Q1 free cash flow usage — and several favorable Q1 items were timing or one-offs. Management emphasized operational fixes, contingency plans for Novelis, and durable service/software revenue growth, which underpin the guidance raise but leave sensitivity to commodity and geopolitical volatility.Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line and Adjusted EBIT
Q1 revenue of $43.3 billion (company-wide) with adjusted EBIT of $3.5 billion (or $2.2 billion excluding a $1.3 billion one-time IEEPA tariff benefit). Global revenue grew over 6% year-over-year despite a nearly 4% decline in volume.
Negative Updates
Commodity Headwinds and Higher Aluminum Costs
Company now expects commodity headwinds of just above $2 billion for the year (about $1 billion higher than prior estimate), largely due to higher aluminum pricing from global supply constraints; guidance assumes current forward curves remain in place.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Top-Line and Adjusted EBIT
Q1 revenue of $43.3 billion (company-wide) with adjusted EBIT of $3.5 billion (or $2.2 billion excluding a $1.3 billion one-time IEEPA tariff benefit). Global revenue grew over 6% year-over-year despite a nearly 4% decline in volume.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Ford raised full‑year company adjusted EBIT guidance to $8.5–$10.5 billion, and expects adjusted free cash flow of $5–$6 billion with capital expenditures of $9.5–$10.5 billion (including $1.5 billion for Ford Energy); segment outlooks are Ford Pro EBIT $6.5–$7.5 billion, Ford Blue $4.5–$5.0 billion (up $0.5B), Model e losses $4.0–$4.5 billion, and Ford Credit EBT about $2.5 billion. Assumptions include a U.S. SAAR of 16.0–16.5 million and flat industry pricing; Q1 results included $3.5 billion adjusted EBIT ($2.2B ex a $1.3B IEEPA tariff benefit), Ford Pro Q1 EBIT $1.7B, Ford Blue $1.9B, Model e loss $777M (Gen‑1 losses improved ~35%), Ford Credit EBT $783M (up $200M), and 879,000 paid software subscriptions (up 30% YoY). Management expects a $1.0B Novelis‑related EBIT improvement (weighted to H2) net of $1.5–$2.0B of one‑time alternative aluminum costs, is targeting another >$1.0B of material and warranty cost improvements this year, but now assumes commodity headwinds of just above $2.0B (about $1.0B higher than prior) and ongoing tariffs of ~ $1.0B run‑rate; balance sheet: $22B cash and >$43B liquidity; Q2 dividend $0.15/share; guidance excludes the potential impact of a sustained Middle East conflict or a significant U.S. downturn.Ford Motor Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
63
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 189.86B | 187.27B | 184.99B | 176.19B | 158.06B | 136.34B |
| Gross Profit | 17.42B | 22.81B | 23.41B | 24.31B | 25.10B | 24.55B |
| EBITDA | 9.99B | 8.53B | 10.96B | 11.90B | 12.90B | 10.99B |
| Net Income | -6.11B | -8.18B | 5.88B | 4.35B | -1.98B | 17.94B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 282.43B | 289.16B | 285.20B | 273.31B | 255.88B | 257.04B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 30.49B | 38.49B | 38.35B | 40.17B | 44.07B | 49.59B |
| Total Debt | 157.13B | 167.57B | 160.86B | 151.11B | 140.47B | 139.49B |
| Total Liabilities | 244.95B | 253.18B | 240.34B | 230.51B | 212.72B | 208.41B |
| Stockholders Equity | 37.45B | 35.95B | 44.84B | 42.77B | 43.24B | 48.52B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 11.92B | 12.47B | 6.74B | 6.68B | -13.00M | 9.56B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 18.92B | 21.28B | 15.42B | 14.92B | 6.85B | 15.79B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -19.03B | -18.05B | -24.37B | -17.63B | -4.35B | 2.75B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -3.26B | -3.21B | 7.49B | 2.58B | 2.51B | -23.50B |
Ford Motor Technical Analysis
Positive
12.87
Price Trends
12.05
Positive
12.71
Positive
12.33
Positive
Market Momentum
0.31
Negative
56.24
Neutral
44.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For F, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.87 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.39, above the 50-day MA of 12.05, and above the 200-day MA of 12.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for F.
Ford Motor Risk Analysis
Ford Motor disclosed 9 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ford Motor reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Ford Motor Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 Neutral | $242.17B | 10.45 | 10.10% | 2.57% | 6.73% | -16.97% | |
62 Neutral | $1.54T | 612.14 | 4.79% | ― | 2.25% | -39.81% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
58 Neutral | $53.39B | 4.52 | -14.72% | 5.64% | 3.82% | -209.77% | |
58 Neutral | $67.50B | 6.52 | 3.96% | 0.69% | -2.03% | -63.41% | |
58 Neutral | $32.86B | -1.42 | -3.53% | 4.19% | 1.63% | -154.96% | |
52 Neutral | $19.71B | 4,652.09 | 1.55% | ― | -22.18% | -86.28% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
F
Ford Motor
13.06
2.84
27.84%
GM
General Motors
72.63
22.93
46.13%
HMC
Honda Motor Company
25.32
-3.68
-12.67%
TSLA
Tesla
404.11
60.29
17.54%
TM
Toyota Motor
185.47
-0.89
-0.48%
LI
Li Auto
16.18
-12.07
-42.73%
Ford Motor Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Ford Shareholders Back Leadership, Maintain Governance Structure
Positive
May 19, 2026
At its May 14, 2026 annual meeting, Ford Motor shareholders re-elected the full slate of director nominees, including Executive Chair William Clay Ford Jr., CEO James D. Farley Jr., and several members of the Ford family and independent directors....
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Ford Motor Announces Departure of Chief EV and Digital Officer
Negative
Apr 15, 2026
Ford Motor Co. said on April 15, 2026, that J. Douglas Field, its Chief EV, Digital, and Design Officer, has elected to leave the company next month following a transition period. His departure removes a senior executive overseeing electric vehicl...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Ford Extends Major Revolving Credit Facilities and Liquidity
Positive
Apr 15, 2026
On April 15, 2026, Ford Motor Company amended four major syndicated credit facilities, extending maturities on a total of $13.5 billion in core revolving commitments from 2028 to 2029 and from 2030 to 2031, while keeping the facilities unsecured a...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ford Motor Reports First-Quarter 2026 U.S. Vehicle Sales
Neutral
Apr 2, 2026
On April 2, 2026, Ford Motor Co. issued a news release detailing its U.S. vehicle sales performance for the first quarter of 2026, providing an update on how its models and brands fared in the domestic market. The filing of this sales release as p...
Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Ford Launches Anti-Dilutive Share Repurchase Authorization
Positive
Mar 13, 2026
Ford Motor Company has launched an anti-dilutive share repurchase program authorizing the buyback of up to 31.7 million shares of its common stock, aiming to offset dilution from share-based compensation expected to be granted in 2026 and from sha...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.