Ford Motor (F)
NYSE:F
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Ford Motor
(NYSE:F)
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Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▲(4.17% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/14/26
The score is held down primarily by weaker financial quality (high leverage and volatile profitability despite strong cash flow) and bearish technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Partially offsetting these are a high dividend yield and earnings-call guidance that points to improving 2026 EBIT/FCF, though meaningful EV losses, restructuring charges, and back-half execution risks remain.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for capex, EV transition and working capital. Strong cash generation reduces near-term refinancing pressure, supports discretionary investments and gives management flexibility to absorb restructuring cash needs over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
High leverage
Elevated leverage limits financial flexibility and raises vulnerability to earnings volatility or higher interest costs. With a relatively thin equity base versus large assets, shocks to profitability or cash flow could constrain capital allocation and elevate refinancing or covenant risks over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for capex, EV transition and working capital. Strong cash generation reduces near-term refinancing pressure, supports discretionary investments and gives management flexibility to absorb restructuring cash needs over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors
Ford Motor (F) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$45.96B
Dividend Yield5.64%
Average Volume (3M)58.94M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.94
Revenue Growth3.75%
EPS Growth33.37%
CountryUS
Employees170,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.13
Shares Outstanding3,918,623,000
10 Day Avg. Volume46,775,182
30 Day Avg. Volume58,939,403
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.03
Price to Book (P/B)1.45
Price to Sales (P/S)0.28
P/FCF Ratio4.19
Enterprise Value/Market Cap4.18
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.03
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit15.72
Enterprise Value/Ebitda26.20
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$13.88Price Target Upside20.49% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering15
EPS Forecast (FY)1.52
Revenue Forecast (FY)$189.28B
Ford Motor Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Ford Motor Company develops, delivers, and services a range of Ford trucks, commercial cars and vans, sport utility vehicles, and Lincoln luxury vehicles worldwide. It operates through Ford Blue, Ford Model e, and Ford Pro; Ford Next; and Ford Cre...
How the Company Makes Money
Ford primarily makes money through (1) selling vehicles and related products and (2) providing financing and other financial services tied to vehicle sales.
1) Vehicle and parts revenue (Automotive)
- Wholesale and retail vehicle sales: Ford gene...
Ford Motor Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Wholesale Vehicles Sales
Tracks the number of vehicles sold to dealerships, indicating production levels and demand from retailers.
Tracks the number of vehicles sold to dealerships, indicating production levels and demand from retailers.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyFord Motor Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 10, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a balanced picture: clear operational improvements, strong cash/liquidity, durable Ford Pro and truck strength, and an increased 2026 EBIT and free cash flow outlook are meaningful positives. Offsetting these are material near‑term headwinds from Novelis, tariff timing, sizable Model e losses and restructuring charges, higher commodity and capex requirements, and regulatory uncertainty in Europe. Management emphasizes capital discipline, cost reductions and a refocused EV/product strategy, but several one‑time costs and execution/timing risks remain.Positive Updates
Full-Year Revenue and Profitability
Reported full-year revenue of $187 billion and generated $6.8 billion of adjusted EBIT for 2025 (company). Management said underlying earnings power is accelerating and guided 2026 company adjusted EBIT of $8.0–$10.0 billion.
Negative Updates
Novelis Fires and Aluminum Supply Disruption
Novelis plant fires produced a ~$2.0 billion headwind in 2025 (production losses and tariffs). 2026 will include 1.5–$2.0 billion of temporary costs (tariffs, premium freight) to ensure supply continuity; net YoY Novelis improvement expected ~ $1.0 billion, but recovery is back‑half weighted. Lost ~100k units in 2025 with planned recovery of ~50–60k units in 2026.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Full-Year Revenue and Profitability
Reported full-year revenue of $187 billion and generated $6.8 billion of adjusted EBIT for 2025 (company). Management said underlying earnings power is accelerating and guided 2026 company adjusted EBIT of $8.0–$10.0 billion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Ford’s 2026 guidance calls for company adjusted EBIT of $8.0–$10.0 billion, adjusted free cash flow of $5.0–$6.0 billion, and capital expenditures of $9.5–$10.5 billion (including roughly $1.5 billion for Ford Energy); the company assumes a U.S. SAAR of 16.0–16.5 million with flat industry pricing. Segment outlooks: Ford Pro EBIT $6.5–$7.5 billion; Ford Model e losses $4.0–$4.5 billion (including ~ $1.6B Gen‑1 improvement, ~ $600M higher Gen‑2 costs and ~ $400M Ford Energy startup costs); Ford Blue EBIT $4.0–$4.5 billion; Ford Credit EBT ~ $2.5 billion. Ford expects ~ $7 billion of charges in 2026–2027 related to the EV portfolio/BOSC disposition (cash spend up to ~$5.5B, mostly in 2026), tariff costs to be ~ $1 billion lower year‑over‑year, Novelis to drive about a $1 billion YoY improvement but with $1.5–$2.0 billion of temporary Novelis‑related costs while mill capacity is restored (mill restart targeted May–Sept; ~50–60k unit recovery), Q1 EBIT roughly flat sequentially with normalization in Q2 and underlying run‑rate in H2, and high‑margin software and physical services profit growth of ~6.5%.Ford Motor Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
63
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 187.27B | 184.99B | 176.19B | 158.06B | 136.34B |
| Gross Profit | 22.81B | 23.41B | 24.31B | 25.10B | 24.55B |
| EBITDA | 8.53B | 10.96B | 11.90B | 12.90B | 10.99B |
| Net Income | -8.18B | 5.88B | 4.35B | -1.98B | 17.94B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 289.16B | 285.20B | 273.31B | 255.88B | 257.04B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 38.49B | 38.35B | 40.17B | 44.07B | 49.59B |
| Total Debt | 167.57B | 160.86B | 151.11B | 140.47B | 139.49B |
| Total Liabilities | 253.18B | 240.34B | 230.51B | 212.72B | 208.41B |
| Stockholders Equity | 35.95B | 44.84B | 42.77B | 43.24B | 48.52B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 12.47B | 6.74B | 6.68B | -13.00M | 9.56B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 21.28B | 15.42B | 14.92B | 6.85B | 15.79B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -18.05B | -24.37B | -17.63B | -4.35B | 2.75B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -3.21B | 7.49B | 2.58B | 2.51B | -23.50B |
Ford Motor Technical Analysis
Negative
11.52
Price Trends
12.82
Negative
13.03
Negative
12.24
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.37
Negative
38.09
Neutral
51.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For F, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.70, below the 50-day MA of 12.82, and below the 200-day MA of 12.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for F.
Ford Motor Risk Analysis
Ford Motor disclosed 9 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ford Motor reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Ford Motor Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
66 Neutral | $267.70B | 8.55 | 9.96% | 2.57% | 7.28% | 12.41% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
60 Neutral | $1.30T | 432.45 | 4.83% | ― | -2.93% | -47.22% | |
59 Neutral | $30.78B | 9.64 | 4.09% | 4.19% | 0.32% | -25.51% | |
55 Neutral | $18.72B | 109.05 | 1.55% | ― | -9.99% | -54.75% | |
51 Neutral | $65.77B | -6.93 | 5.13% | 0.69% | -1.29% | -49.96% | |
48 Neutral | $45.96B | -6.38 | -18.91% | 5.64% | 3.75% | 33.37% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
F
Ford Motor
11.52
2.48
27.50%
GM
General Motors
72.76
27.48
60.69%
HMC
Honda Motor Company
23.49
-3.57
-13.18%
TSLA
Tesla
346.65
74.45
27.35%
TM
Toyota Motor
203.66
29.52
16.95%
LI
Li Auto
18.42
-2.72
-12.87%
Ford Motor Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Ford Launches Anti-Dilutive Share Repurchase Authorization
Positive
Mar 13, 2026
Ford Motor Company has launched an anti-dilutive share repurchase program authorizing the buyback of up to 31.7 million shares of its common stock, aiming to offset dilution from share-based compensation expected to be granted in 2026 and from sha...
Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ford projects 2025 pension remeasurement loss, funding stable
Negative
Jan 29, 2026
Ford Motor Company disclosed that, under its mark-to-market accounting for pension and other postretirement employee benefits, it expects to recognize a pre-tax remeasurement loss of about $0.6 billion in its fourth-quarter 2025 results, split eve...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ford Motor Reports Fourth-Quarter 2025 U.S. Vehicle Sales
Neutral
Jan 6, 2026
On January 6, 2026, Ford Motor Company reported its U.S. vehicle sales performance for the fourth quarter of 2025, detailing how the automaker’s domestic business fared at the end of the year. The disclosure, made via a news release formally...
Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Ford Restructures EV Joint Venture Amid Market Challenges
Negative
Dec 15, 2025
Ford Motor Company is adjusting its electric vehicle strategy due to challenging market conditions, which include lower-than-expected EV adoption rates and changes in regulatory and competitive dynamics. On December 9, 2025, Ford entered into a Jo...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.