Ford Motor (F) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $40.16B
• Dividend Yield: 7.42%
• Average Volume (3M): 99.19M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 8.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.91
• Revenue Growth: 3.03%
• EPS Growth: 28.54%
• Country: US
• Employees: 170,000
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 68
• Industry: Auto - Manufacturers
• EPS (TTM): 0.14
• Shares Outstanding: 3,905,696,800
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 107,418,768
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 99,190,363
• PEG Ratio: 0.11
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.93
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 6.04
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 4.45
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.25
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 11.46
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 3.82
• 1Y Price Target: $9.71
• Price Target Upside: -5.36% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 17

• Rating: 77 Outperform
• Price Target: $12.00 ▲(16.96%Upside)

Ford's overall stock score is 77, driven by strong technical momentum and attractive valuation metrics. Despite high leverage concerns, the company's robust cash flow and stabilization efforts provide a positive financial outlook. Mixed sentiment from the earnings call highlights both the potential for cost improvements and the risks from tariff impacts, warranting cautious optimism.

Positive Factors

Earnings

Q1 EBIT was better than expected due to favorable pricing, improved materials costs, and warranty benefits.

Market Position

Ford is well-positioned to capitalize on its large US manufacturing footprint, which should enable the automaker to gain market share.

Revenue

Auto Revenue of $37.4bn came in above consensus.

Negative Factors

Electric Vehicles Strategy

There is still no visibility on strategy and progress for electric vehicles and software development vehicles after cancellation of the FNV4 program.

Market Demand

Management seemed cautious about market demand risks, indicating concerns about weaker demand in the second half of the year.

Tariffs

A $200 million tariff incurred in Q1 had a negative impact on the company's performance.

Ford Motor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ford Motor Company develops, delivers, and services a range of Ford trucks, commercial cars and vans, sport utility vehicles, and Lincoln luxury vehicles worldwide. It operates through Ford Blue, Ford Model e, and Ford Pro; Ford Next; and Ford Credit segments. The company sells Ford and Lincoln vehicles, service parts, and accessories through distributors and dealers, as well as through dealerships to commercial fleet customers, daily rental car companies, and governments. It also engages in vehicle-related financing and leasing activities to and through automotive dealers. In addition, the company provides retail installment sale contracts for new and used vehicles; and direct financing leases for new vehicles to retail and commercial customers, such as leasing companies, government entities, daily rental companies, and fleet customers. Further, it offers wholesale loans to dealers to finance the purchase of vehicle inventory; and loans to dealers to finance working capital and enhance dealership facilities, purchase dealership real estate, and other dealer vehicle programs. The company was incorporated in 1903 and is based in Dearborn, Michigan.

How the Company Makes Money

Ford Motor Company generates revenue primarily through the sale of vehicles, parts, and accessories across its Ford and Lincoln brands. The company's revenue streams are segmented into Automotive and Financial Services. The Automotive segment encompasses the design, manufacture, distribution, and service of vehicles, which includes sales of light trucks, SUVs, and cars. The Financial Services segment, primarily through Ford Credit, provides vehicle-related financing, leasing, and insurance products to and through automotive dealers. Ford's earnings are also bolstered by strategic partnerships and investments, particularly in the areas of electric vehicles and autonomous vehicle technology, which position the company for future growth in these emerging markets.

Ford Motor Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Ford Motor Company presents strong revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. Despite substantial leverage, the company's profitability and equity levels remain moderate, suggesting a balanced approach to growth and risk.

Income Statement

Ford's income statement reflects solid revenue growth with a 5.0% increase from 2023 to 2024, following a significant rebound from 2022. The gross profit margin improved to 14.4% in 2024, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 3.2%, suggesting room for enhancing profitability. The company's EBIT margin of 2.8% and consistent EBITDA margins highlight operational efficiency, albeit with some volatility due to industry cycles.

Balance Sheet

Ford's balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.54, reflecting substantial leverage, which could be risky in economic downturns. The return on equity (ROE) is at a moderate 13.1%, indicating decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. With an equity ratio of 15.7%, Ford maintains a modest proportion of equity financing, which could affect financial flexibility.

Cash Flow

Ford's cash flow statement demonstrates strong free cash flow in 2024, showing a significant recovery from 2023. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.62 indicates robust cash generation from core operations. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 2.62 suggests effective cash management, supporting potential reinvestment and debt servicing.

Breakdown
Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
184.99B	176.19B	158.06B	136.34B	127.14B
	Gross Profit
26.56B	16.16B	23.66B	21.69B	14.39B
	EBIT
5.22B	5.46B	12.40B	17.38B	8.82B
	EBITDA
14.21B	11.82B	4.74B	25.54B	7.99B
	Net Income Common Stockholders
5.88B	4.35B	-2.15B	17.94B	-1.28B
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
38.35B	40.17B	44.07B	49.59B	49.96B
	Total Assets
285.20B	273.31B	255.88B	257.04B	267.26B
	Total Debt
160.86B	151.11B	140.47B	139.49B	163.00B
	Net Debt
137.93B	126.25B	115.34B	118.94B	137.75B
	Total Liabilities
240.34B	230.51B	212.72B	208.41B	236.45B
	Stockholders Equity
44.84B	42.77B	43.24B	48.52B	30.69B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
6.74B	6.68B	-13.00M	9.56B	18.53B
	Operating Cash Flow
15.42B	14.92B	6.85B	15.79B	24.27B
	Investing Cash Flow
-24.37B	-17.63B	-4.35B	2.75B	-18.61B
	Financing Cash Flow
7.49B	2.58B	2.51B	-23.50B	2.31B

Ford Motor Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 10.26
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For F, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.41, above the 50-day MA of 9.95, and above the 200-day MA of 9.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for F.

Ford Motor Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
LI	81 Outperform	$29.74B	27.73	12.22%	―	10.28%	-29.75%
F	77 Outperform	$40.16B	8.09	11.47%	7.42%	3.03%	28.54%
TM	75 Outperform	$238.78B	7.82	13.36%	3.13%	-0.59%	7.56%
GM	75 Outperform	$45.43B	6.81	8.88%	1.01%	7.76%	-14.17%
HMC	74 Outperform	$46.08B	8.18	6.54%	4.20%	4.37%	6.93%
TSLA	71 Outperform	$949.32B	162.31	9.16%	―	1.03%	-53.71%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$6.83B	11.28	2.95%	3.88%	2.70%	-24.56%

Ford Motor Corporate Events

Ford Motor Appoints New Chief Accounting Officer

On May 7, 2025, Ford Motor Company appointed Kyle Crockett as Chief Accounting Officer, effective after the filing of its Quarterly Report for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. Crockett, previously with Carrier Global Corporation, will oversee Ford’s accounting and financial reporting. The Board approved a comprehensive compensation package for Crockett, including a base salary, performance bonus, stock awards, and a sign-on bonus. Additionally, Ford held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 8, 2025, where several proposals were voted on, including the election of directors and the approval of executive compensation. Notably, a proposal on reporting supply chain emissions and net zero goals was rejected.

The most recent analyst rating on (F) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ford Motor stock, see the F Stock Forecast page.