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Ford Motor (F)
NYSE:F

Ford Motor (F) AI Stock Analysis

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Ford Motor

(NYSE:F)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$14.50
▲(9.10% Upside)
Ford's overall stock score reflects a balance of strengths and challenges. The company's strong cash flow and attractive valuation are significant positives, while high leverage and recent operational challenges, such as the Novelis fire, present risks. Technical indicators suggest a positive market sentiment, supporting the stock's outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow
Ford's robust cash flow generation enhances its financial flexibility, supporting investments in growth areas and debt management.
Cost Improvements
Significant cost improvements bolster Ford's profitability and competitiveness, enabling reinvestment in strategic initiatives.
Strategic Realignment
Ford's strategic shift towards profitable segments like Ford Pro and energy storage positions it for sustainable growth.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Ford's significant leverage could constrain financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to economic downturns.
Model e Losses
Ongoing losses in the Model e division highlight challenges in achieving profitability in the EV segment, impacting overall margins.
Novelis Fire Impact
The Novelis fire disrupts supply chains, potentially affecting production and financial performance in the near term.

Ford Motor (F) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ford Motor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFord Motor Company develops, delivers, and services a range of Ford trucks, commercial cars and vans, sport utility vehicles, and Lincoln luxury vehicles worldwide. It operates through Ford Blue, Ford Model e, and Ford Pro; Ford Next; and Ford Credit segments. The company sells Ford and Lincoln vehicles, service parts, and accessories through distributors and dealers, as well as through dealerships to commercial fleet customers, daily rental car companies, and governments. It also engages in vehicle-related financing and leasing activities to and through automotive dealers. In addition, the company provides retail installment sale contracts for new and used vehicles; and direct financing leases for new vehicles to retail and commercial customers, such as leasing companies, government entities, daily rental companies, and fleet customers. Further, it offers wholesale loans to dealers to finance the purchase of vehicle inventory; and loans to dealers to finance working capital and enhance dealership facilities, purchase dealership real estate, and other dealer vehicle programs. The company was incorporated in 1903 and is based in Dearborn, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyFord generates revenue primarily through the sale of vehicles and related services. Its key revenue streams include the sale of new vehicles, financing solutions through Ford Credit, and parts and services provided to customers. The company earns a significant portion of its income from retail and fleet vehicle sales, along with financing and leasing options that enhance customer accessibility. Additionally, Ford has formed strategic partnerships and collaborations, especially in the electric vehicle sector, to enhance its market position and drive innovation. These relationships, along with the growing demand for electric and hybrid vehicles, are pivotal as the company transitions towards a more sustainable future.

Ford Motor Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Wholesale Vehicles Sales
Wholesale Vehicles Sales
Tracks the number of vehicles sold to dealerships, indicating production levels and demand from retailers.
Chart InsightsFord's wholesale vehicle sales have experienced a significant shift, with North America, South America, Europe, and China showing no sales since early 2022, likely due to strategic restructuring. Meanwhile, Ford Blue and Ford Pro segments have shown resilience, with Ford Pro achieving strong revenue growth and a robust EBIT margin. The earnings call highlights Ford's strategic focus on improving cost efficiency and expanding market share, particularly in the U.S. However, challenges such as tariff headwinds and quality issues pose risks to sustained profitability.
Data provided by:The Fly

Ford Motor Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Ford reported a strong financial performance with record revenue, significant cost improvements, and robust growth in Ford Pro and software subscriptions. However, challenges remain with the Novelis fire affecting Q4 earnings and ongoing losses in the Model e division. The recent positive development in tariff offsets provides some relief.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Achieved
Ford reported a record $50.5 billion in revenue for the third quarter of 2025.
Strong Ford Pro Performance
Ford Pro delivered revenue growth of 11% and EBIT of $2 billion with a robust double-digit margin.
Significant Cost Improvements
Achieved $1 billion in cost improvements this year, excluding tariff impacts.
Increase in Software Subscribers
Ford Pro's paid subscriptions grew 8% to 818,000 subscribers.
Positive Tariff Developments
Recent policy changes allow Ford to offset $1 billion in tariffs, reducing the tariff headwind from $2 billion to $1 billion for 2025.
Strong Cash Flow
Adjusted free cash flow was $4.3 billion in the third quarter, with $5.7 billion year-to-date.
Negative Updates
Novelis Fire Impact
The Novelis fire in Oswego, New York, is expected to result in a $1.5 billion to $2 billion EBIT headwind and a $2 billion to $3 billion free cash flow headwind in Q4 2025.
Model e Losses
Model e reported a year-to-date loss of $3.6 billion, driven by $3 billion losses from first-generation products and investments in next-gen vehicles.
Ongoing Tariff Costs
Despite recent improvements, tariff impacts remain a $1 billion net headwind for 2025.
Potential Chip Supply Disruption
Concerns about potential production losses in Q4 due to the Nexperia chip impact, which is an industry-wide issue.
Company Guidance
During Ford Motor Company's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, several key metrics and guidance updates were highlighted. Ford reported a record $50.5 billion in revenue and an adjusted EBIT of $2.6 billion. The company also noted a strong total company adjusted free cash flow of $4.3 billion for the quarter, with $5.7 billion year-to-date. Despite facing a significant challenge from the Novelis fire, which is expected to impact fourth-quarter EBIT by $1.5 to $2 billion, Ford remains optimistic about its overall performance. The company plans to add up to 1,000 new jobs to boost F-Series production, aiming to recover the lost volume. Looking ahead, Ford revised its full-year adjusted EBIT guidance to between $6 billion and $6.5 billion, reflecting adjustments for the Novelis fire and a $1 billion net headwind from tariffs. The company also expects adjusted free cash flow to be between $2 billion and $3 billion for 2025. Overall, Ford emphasized its commitment to cost improvements, with plans for a $1 billion cost reduction in 2025, excluding tariffs, and further improvements anticipated in 2026.

Ford Motor Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ford Motor's financial performance is moderate with stable revenue growth and operational efficiency. However, high leverage poses a financial risk, despite strong cash flow generation.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Ford Motor's income statement shows a moderate performance with a stable revenue growth rate of 2.34% in the TTM period. The gross profit margin has decreased to 7.53% from previous years, indicating pressure on production costs or pricing. The net profit margin is relatively low at 2.48%, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. However, the company has maintained a positive EBIT margin of 3.43% and EBITDA margin of 5.68%, suggesting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.47, indicating significant leverage which could pose financial risk. Return on equity is moderate at 10.35%, showing decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 15.74%, suggesting a reliance on debt financing over equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Ford's cash flow statement indicates a strong free cash flow growth rate of 17.44% in the TTM period, highlighting improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 4.34, suggesting robust cash flow relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.58, indicating a healthy conversion of net income into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue189.59B184.99B176.19B158.06B136.34B127.14B
Gross Profit14.27B15.51B16.16B17.16B16.44B5.79B
EBITDA12.30B14.24B11.81B4.76B25.54B7.99B
Net Income4.71B5.88B4.35B-1.98B17.94B-1.28B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets300.99B285.20B273.31B255.88B257.04B267.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments42.19B38.35B40.17B44.07B49.59B49.96B
Total Debt164.28B160.86B151.11B140.47B139.49B163.00B
Total Liabilities253.57B240.34B230.51B212.72B208.41B236.45B
Stockholders Equity47.39B44.84B42.77B43.24B48.52B30.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.90B6.74B6.68B-13.00M9.56B18.53B
Operating Cash Flow20.43B15.42B14.92B6.85B15.79B24.27B
Investing Cash Flow-17.25B-24.37B-17.63B-4.35B2.75B-18.61B
Financing Cash Flow232.00M7.49B2.58B2.51B-23.50B2.31B

Ford Motor Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.29
Price Trends
50DMA
12.97
Positive
100DMA
12.24
Positive
200DMA
11.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Positive
RSI
51.67
Neutral
STOCH
30.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For F, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.31, above the 50-day MA of 12.97, and above the 200-day MA of 11.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for F.

Ford Motor Risk Analysis

Ford Motor disclosed 9 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ford Motor reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ford Motor Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$285.30B9.2712.51%2.57%7.30%12.42%
73
Outperform
$77.19B16.634.44%0.69%2.58%-46.27%
73
Outperform
$1.61T324.447.03%-1.56%-59.09%
71
Outperform
$52.96B11.4010.26%5.64%3.75%33.37%
69
Neutral
$40.96B9.985.23%4.19%0.34%-25.49%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
55
Neutral
$16.91B27.946.53%-10.00%-54.75%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
F
Ford Motor
13.29
3.91
41.68%
GM
General Motors
82.88
29.26
54.57%
HMC
Honda Motor Company
30.11
2.87
10.54%
TSLA
Tesla
485.40
31.27
6.89%
TM
Toyota Motor
216.73
19.37
9.81%
LI
Li Auto
16.69
-8.63
-34.08%

Ford Motor Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ford Restructures EV Joint Venture Amid Market Challenges
Negative
Dec 15, 2025

Ford Motor Company is adjusting its electric vehicle strategy due to challenging market conditions, which include lower-than-expected EV adoption rates and changes in regulatory and competitive dynamics. On December 9, 2025, Ford entered into a Joint Venture Disposition Agreement with SK On and SK Battery America to restructure its involvement in the BlueOval SK joint venture, leading to a $3 billion pre-tax charge. Additionally, Ford announced the cancellation of several planned EV models and the end of the current generation F-150 Lightning EV production, resulting in an $8.5 billion pre-tax write-down. These strategic moves reflect Ford’s efforts to align its operations with the evolving EV market and address the underutilization of EV production capacity.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ford Motor Updates Bylaws for Enhanced Governance
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Ford Motor Company’s Board of Directors approved amendments to the Benefit Equalization Plan and Select Retirement Plan, effective January 1, 2026, with the SRP closing to new retirees on January 2, 2026. The Board also updated the company’s By-Laws to modernize meeting protocols, streamline board committee provisions, and align with new SEC rules and Delaware case law, reflecting a strategic move to enhance corporate governance.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Ford Motor Issues Statement on Regulation FD Disclosure
Neutral
Nov 21, 2025

Ford Motor Company issued a statement on November 21, 2025, which was included as Exhibit 99 in their report. The statement’s content and implications for Ford’s operations, industry positioning, or stakeholders were not detailed in the provided text.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ford Motor Reports Q3 2025 U.S. Sales Figures
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

Ford Motor Company reported its U.S. sales figures for the third quarter of 2025 on October 1, 2025. This announcement provides insights into the company’s performance in the U.S. market, which is crucial for its overall business strategy and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025