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Ford Motor
(NYSE:F)
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Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▲(8.78% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/31/26
The score is held back primarily by weak and volatile profitability and high leverage despite solid current cash generation. Technicals are constructive but overbought, and valuation is mixed (attractive dividend yield but negative earnings). The latest earnings call improves the outlook via raised EBIT guidance, but notable commodity/Novelis costs and ongoing EV losses keep risk elevated.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Sustained operating and free cash flow over the TTM provides durable internal funding for capex, EV and battery investments, and dividends. Strong cash generation improves ability to service debt and fund transformation even when accounting profits fluctuate, supporting multi‑year plans.
Negative Factors
High leverage
Very high absolute debt and an elevated debt/equity ratio materially constrain financial flexibility. In an economic downturn or with rising rates, interest and covenant pressures could crowd out discretionary investments, limit M&A/return of capital options and elevate refinancing risk.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Sustained operating and free cash flow over the TTM provides durable internal funding for capex, EV and battery investments, and dividends. Strong cash generation improves ability to service debt and fund transformation even when accounting profits fluctuate, supporting multi‑year plans.
Read all positive factors
Ford Motor Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Ford Motor (F) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$54.35B
Dividend Yield5.64%
Average Volume (3M)74.85M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.07
Revenue Growth3.82%
EPS Growth-209.77%
CountryUS
Employees170,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-1.54
Shares Outstanding3,913,840,600
10 Day Avg. Volume51,774,579
30 Day Avg. Volume74,853,262
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.03
Price to Book (P/B)1.45
Price to Sales (P/S)0.28
P/FCF Ratio4.19
Enterprise Value/Market Cap3.57
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.02
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit11.14
Enterprise Value/Ebitda267.06
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$14.69Price Target Upside14.16% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering13
EPS Forecast (FY)1.67
Revenue Forecast (FY)$183.60B
Ford Motor Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Ford Motor Company is a global automotive giant, engaged in the design, production, and servicing of a broad spectrum of vehicles. Its product line encompasses Ford trucks, commercial cars and vans, and sport utility vehicles, in addition to luxur...
How the Company Makes Money
Ford makes money primarily by selling vehicles and vehicle-related products and services, and by earning financing-related income through its captive finance operations.
1) Vehicle sales (wholesale/retail economics): Ford generates automotive rev...
Ford Motor Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated a cautiously positive tone: strong Q1 revenue and adjusted EBIT, a raised full-year adjusted EBIT outlook, solid segment results (notably Ford Pro and Ford Blue), robust liquidity, and clear multi-year growth plans driven by software, services and the UEV/energy investments. However, material near-term headwinds remain — notably commodity cost increases (especially aluminum), substantial one-time Novelis-related expenses, ongoing Model e losses and Q1 free cash flow usage — and several favorable Q1 items were timing or one-offs. Management emphasized operational fixes, contingency plans for Novelis, and durable service/software revenue growth, which underpin the guidance raise but leave sensitivity to commodity and geopolitical volatility.Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line and Adjusted EBIT
Q1 revenue of $43.3 billion (company-wide) with adjusted EBIT of $3.5 billion (or $2.2 billion excluding a $1.3 billion one-time IEEPA tariff benefit). Global revenue grew over 6% year-over-year despite a nearly 4% decline in volume.
Negative Updates
Commodity Headwinds and Higher Aluminum Costs
Company now expects commodity headwinds of just above $2 billion for the year (about $1 billion higher than prior estimate), largely due to higher aluminum pricing from global supply constraints; guidance assumes current forward curves remain in place.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Top-Line and Adjusted EBIT
Q1 revenue of $43.3 billion (company-wide) with adjusted EBIT of $3.5 billion (or $2.2 billion excluding a $1.3 billion one-time IEEPA tariff benefit). Global revenue grew over 6% year-over-year despite a nearly 4% decline in volume.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Ford raised full‑year company adjusted EBIT guidance to $8.5–$10.5 billion, and expects adjusted free cash flow of $5–$6 billion with capital expenditures of $9.5–$10.5 billion (including $1.5 billion for Ford Energy); segment outlooks are Ford Pro EBIT $6.5–$7.5 billion, Ford Blue $4.5–$5.0 billion (up $0.5B), Model e losses $4.0–$4.5 billion, and Ford Credit EBT about $2.5 billion. Assumptions include a U.S. SAAR of 16.0–16.5 million and flat industry pricing; Q1 results included $3.5 billion adjusted EBIT ($2.2B ex a $1.3B IEEPA tariff benefit), Ford Pro Q1 EBIT $1.7B, Ford Blue $1.9B, Model e loss $777M (Gen‑1 losses improved ~35%), Ford Credit EBT $783M (up $200M), and 879,000 paid software subscriptions (up 30% YoY). Management expects a $1.0B Novelis‑related EBIT improvement (weighted to H2) net of $1.5–$2.0B of one‑time alternative aluminum costs, is targeting another >$1.0B of material and warranty cost improvements this year, but now assumes commodity headwinds of just above $2.0B (about $1.0B higher than prior) and ongoing tariffs of ~ $1.0B run‑rate; balance sheet: $22B cash and >$43B liquidity; Q2 dividend $0.15/share; guidance excludes the potential impact of a sustained Middle East conflict or a significant U.S. downturn.Ford Motor Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
63
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 189.86B | 187.27B | 184.99B | 176.19B | 158.06B | 136.34B |
| Gross Profit | 17.42B | 22.81B | 23.41B | 24.31B | 25.10B | 24.55B |
| EBITDA | 727.00M | -4.58B | 14.21B | 11.79B | 4.74B | 25.54B |
| Net Income | -6.11B | -8.18B | 5.88B | 4.35B | -1.98B | 17.94B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 282.43B | 289.16B | 285.20B | 273.31B | 255.88B | 257.04B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 30.49B | 38.49B | 38.35B | 40.17B | 44.07B | 49.59B |
| Total Debt | 157.13B | 167.57B | 160.86B | 151.11B | 140.47B | 139.49B |
| Total Liabilities | 244.95B | 253.18B | 240.34B | 230.51B | 212.72B | 208.41B |
| Stockholders Equity | 37.45B | 35.95B | 44.84B | 42.77B | 43.24B | 48.52B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 9.55B | 12.47B | 6.74B | 6.68B | -13.00M | 9.56B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 18.92B | 21.28B | 15.42B | 14.92B | 6.85B | 15.79B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -19.03B | -18.05B | -24.37B | -17.63B | -4.35B | 2.75B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -3.26B | -3.21B | 7.49B | 2.58B | 2.51B | -23.50B |
Ford Motor Technical Analysis
Neutral
12.87
Price Trends
13.78
Negative
13.12
Positive
12.87
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.10
Positive
41.95
Neutral
19.64
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For F, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 12.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.43, below the 50-day MA of 13.78, and above the 200-day MA of 12.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.64 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for F.
Ford Motor Risk Analysis
Ford Motor disclosed 9 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ford Motor reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Ford Motor Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 Neutral | $178.35B | 9.44 | 10.10% | 2.57% | 6.73% | -16.97% | |
62 Neutral | $1.50T | 334.15 | 4.79% | ― | 2.25% | -39.81% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
58 Neutral | $68.09B | 29.62 | 3.96% | 0.69% | -2.03% | -63.41% | |
55 Neutral | $54.35B | -8.87 | -14.72% | 5.64% | 3.82% | -209.77% | |
55 Neutral | $35.26B | -13.88 | -3.53% | 4.19% | 1.63% | -158.78% | |
50 Neutral | $11.84B | -45.03 | -2.49% | ― | -23.38% | -123.25% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
F
Ford Motor
13.64
2.42
21.61%
GM
General Motors
75.52
23.32
44.67%
HMC
Honda Motor Company
27.26
-1.81
-6.24%
TSLA
Tesla
425.30
109.65
34.74%
TM
Toyota Motor
169.66
-2.35
-1.37%
LI
Li Auto
12.23
-13.91
-53.21%
Ford Motor Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Ford exits BlueOval SK, assumes DOE-backed battery loan
Neutral
May 21, 2026
On May 20, 2026, Ford completed the previously announced disposition of its interest in BlueOval SK, the EV battery joint venture formed with SK On and SK Battery America to build plants in Tennessee and Kentucky, resulting in the redemption of Fo...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Ford Shareholders Back Leadership, Maintain Governance Structure
Positive
May 19, 2026
At its May 14, 2026 annual meeting, Ford Motor shareholders re-elected the full slate of director nominees, including Executive Chair William Clay Ford Jr., CEO James D. Farley Jr., and several members of the Ford family and independent directors....
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Ford Motor Announces Departure of Chief EV and Digital Officer
Negative
Apr 15, 2026
Ford Motor Co. said on April 15, 2026, that J. Douglas Field, its Chief EV, Digital, and Design Officer, has elected to leave the company next month following a transition period. His departure removes a senior executive overseeing electric vehicl...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Ford Extends Major Revolving Credit Facilities and Liquidity
Positive
Apr 15, 2026
On April 15, 2026, Ford Motor Company amended four major syndicated credit facilities, extending maturities on a total of $13.5 billion in core revolving commitments from 2028 to 2029 and from 2030 to 2031, while keeping the facilities unsecured a...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ford Motor Reports First-Quarter 2026 U.S. Vehicle Sales
Neutral
Apr 2, 2026
On April 2, 2026, Ford Motor Co. issued a news release detailing its U.S. vehicle sales performance for the first quarter of 2026, providing an update on how its models and brands fared in the domestic market. The filing of this sales release as p...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.