Toyota Motor Corp Ltd Ord (TM)
:TM
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Toyota Motor (TM) AI Stock Analysis

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TM

Toyota Motor

(NYSE:TM)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$235.00
▲(16.37% Upside)
Toyota Motor's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and attractive valuation. The company's consistent revenue growth, solid profitability margins, and strategic focus on electrified vehicles and value chain expansion contribute positively. Technical analysis supports a positive trend, while the earnings call provides reassurance despite external challenges.

Toyota Motor (TM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Toyota Motor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionToyota Motor Corporation (TM) is a multinational automotive manufacturer headquartered in Toyota City, Japan. Founded in 1937, the company is one of the largest automobile manufacturers in the world, producing a wide range of vehicles including sedans, SUVs, trucks, and hybrids under brands such as Toyota and Lexus. Toyota is also involved in the development of advanced automotive technologies, including fuel cell vehicles and autonomous driving systems, and operates in various sectors including mobility services and financial services.
How the Company Makes MoneyToyota generates revenue primarily through the sale of vehicles, which include passenger cars, trucks, and hybrids. The company also earns money from its financial services division, which provides financing options for vehicle purchases and leases. Additional revenue streams include sales of spare parts and accessories, as well as revenues from its mobility services, such as car-sharing and ride-hailing platforms. Strategic partnerships with other technology and automotive firms enhance its capabilities in areas like electric and autonomous vehicles, contributing to ongoing innovation and revenue growth. Furthermore, Toyota benefits from global market presence and diversified manufacturing operations, allowing it to optimize production costs and respond to market demands effectively.

Toyota Motor Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Toyota Motor is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsToyota's revenue growth in North America and Europe is robust, driven by strong demand and strategic market positioning. North America shows a consistent upward trend, while Europe has seen significant gains, particularly in recent quarters. Japan and Asia exhibit moderate growth, with occasional fluctuations. The 'Other' category maintains a steady increase, indicating diversified revenue streams. Despite global economic uncertainties, Toyota's geographical diversification and market adaptability are key strengths, positioning the company for continued growth across multiple regions.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Toyota Motor Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong operating income and sales growth, dividend increases, and significant progress in electrified vehicle sales and value chain business expansion. However, challenges such as the impact of U.S. tariffs and exchange rate fluctuations in Japan were noted. Overall, the positive aspects of the call seem to outweigh the negatives.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operating Income and Sales Growth
Operating income for the first half of FY '26 reached JPY 2 trillion. Consolidated vehicle sales increased to 4,783,000 units, representing 105% of the same period last year. Toyota and Lexus vehicle sales totaled 5,267,000 units, or 104.7% compared to the previous fiscal year.
Dividend Increase for Shareholders
Interim dividend raised to JPY 45 per share, with a full-year forecast of JPY 95 per share, rewarding long-term shareholders.
Electrified Vehicle Sales Surge
The ratio of electrified vehicles rose to 46.9%, driven by strong hybrid electric vehicle (HEV) sales in North America and China.
Introduction of New Century Brand
Toyota launched a new Century brand, expanding its product line and customer choices.
Value Chain Business Expansion
Value chain business expanded to JPY 2 trillion in operating income, supported by 150 million units owned worldwide and strong residual values.
Negative Updates
Impact of U.S. Tariffs
U.S. tariffs had a negative impact of JPY 1.45 trillion on operating income, though the company is working on improvement efforts to mitigate this.
Exchange Rate Fluctuations Affect Japan
Operating income in Japan decreased due to exchange rate fluctuations and increased expenses.
Company Guidance
During Toyota's fiscal year 2026 Q2 financial results briefing, CFO Kenta Kon provided detailed guidance on several key metrics. The company reported an operating income of JPY 2 trillion for the first half of the year, with a full-year forecast of JPY 3.4 trillion, despite facing challenges from U.S. tariffs. Toyota achieved consolidated vehicle sales of 4.783 million units, marking a 105% increase compared to the same period last year, with a notable rise in electrified vehicles, which accounted for 46.9% of sales. Financial results showed sales revenues of JPY 24,630.7 billion, operating income of JPY 2,005.6 billion, income before taxes of JPY 2,478.1 billion, and net income of JPY 1,773.4 billion. Toyota also announced an interim dividend of JPY 45 per share and a full-year dividend forecast of JPY 95 per share. The company plans to maintain a production capacity of 3 million units in Japan, while also increasing local production in North America to mitigate the impact of tariffs. Additionally, Toyota aims to enhance its value chain, which has contributed significantly to operating income, reaching JPY 2 trillion. Looking forward, Toyota has revised its Toyota and Lexus vehicle sales forecast upward by 100,000 units to 10.5 million units, underpinned by strong demand and product competitiveness, particularly in North America.

Toyota Motor Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Toyota Motor demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by a stable balance sheet. However, cash flow challenges, particularly in free cash flow generation, pose potential risks. The company should focus on improving cash conversion to sustain its growth trajectory and maintain financial flexibility.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Toyota Motor's income statement shows strong revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue growth rate of 86.5%, indicating robust sales performance. The gross profit margin of 19.29% and net profit margin of 8.82% reflect solid profitability, although slightly lower than the previous annual report. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 11.45% and 16.05%, respectively, suggesting efficient operational management. However, the slight decline in margins compared to the previous year indicates potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.07, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is 12.02%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 38.55%, reflecting a balanced capital structure. While the leverage is manageable, the slight increase in debt levels warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows challenges with free cash flow, which has experienced significant negative growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.17 indicates adequate cash generation relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.036, highlighting potential issues in converting earnings to free cash flow. This could impact future investment capabilities if not addressed.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue49.39T48.04T45.10T37.15T31.38T27.21T
Gross Profit8.88T9.58T9.37T6.31T5.97T4.83T
EBITDA8.47T8.75T9.12T5.76T5.84T4.62T
Net Income4.63T4.77T4.94T2.45T2.85T2.25T
Balance Sheet
Total Assets97.57T93.60T90.11T74.30T67.69T62.27T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.92T15.92T14.11T9.23T8.62T9.32T
Total Debt39.86T38.79T36.56T29.38T26.50T25.66T
Total Liabilities59.12T56.72T54.87T45.04T40.53T37.98T
Stockholders Equity37.49T35.92T34.22T28.34T26.25T23.40T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow147.79B-1.56T-842.02B-750.76B-107.63B-1.04T
Operating Cash Flow4.82T3.70T4.21T2.96T3.72T2.73T
Investing Cash Flow-4.62T-4.19T-5.00T-1.60T-577.50B-4.68T
Financing Cash Flow124.92B197.24B2.50T-56.18B-2.47T2.74T

Toyota Motor Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price201.95
Price Trends
50DMA
199.70
Positive
100DMA
191.94
Positive
200DMA
187.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.62
Positive
RSI
52.93
Neutral
STOCH
66.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 201.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 204.61, above the 50-day MA of 199.70, and above the 200-day MA of 187.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TM.

Toyota Motor Risk Analysis

Toyota Motor disclosed 11 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Toyota Motor reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Regulatory, Legal, Political and Other Risks Q1, 2023
2.
Toyota's operations are dependent on securing, retaining and developing talented, diverse employees. Q1, 2023
3.
Financial Market and Economic Risks Q1, 2023

Toyota Motor Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$268.56B9.4012.51%2.98%7.30%12.42%
75
Outperform
$65.79B14.174.44%0.93%2.58%-46.27%
74
Outperform
$52.56B11.3110.26%5.69%3.75%33.37%
73
Outperform
$41.13B9.965.23%4.62%0.34%-25.49%
73
Outperform
$1.34T270.187.03%-1.56%-59.09%
65
Neutral
$20.08B18.7711.91%7.49%-21.06%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TM
Toyota Motor
204.08
29.30
16.76%
F
Ford Motor
13.19
2.75
26.34%
GM
General Motors
70.52
14.86
26.70%
HMC
Honda Motor Company
30.07
4.61
18.11%
TSLA
Tesla
404.35
65.61
19.37%
LI
Li Auto
19.77
-3.21
-13.97%

Toyota Motor Corporate Events

Toyota Motor Corp Reports Mixed FY2026 First Half Results
Nov 7, 2025

Toyota Motor Corporation, a leading global automotive manufacturer, is known for its extensive range of vehicles, including sedans, SUVs, and trucks, as well as its financial services division. In its latest semi-annual earnings report for the first half of FY2026, Toyota reported a mixed financial performance with increased sales revenues but a decline in operating income. Sales revenues rose by 5.8% to 24.63 trillion yen, driven by a 5% increase in vehicle unit sales. However, operating income fell by 18.6% to 2 trillion yen, primarily due to increased expenses and adverse exchange rate effects.

Toyota’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 6, 2025

The recent earnings call for Toyota Motor Corp Ltd Ord painted a generally positive picture, with strong operating income and sales growth taking center stage. The company celebrated significant achievements in electrified vehicle sales and value chain business expansion, alongside a notable increase in dividends for shareholders. While challenges such as U.S. tariffs and exchange rate fluctuations in Japan were acknowledged, the overall sentiment leaned towards optimism, with the positives outweighing the negatives.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025