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Toyota Motor Corp Ltd Ord (TM)
NYSE:TM
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Toyota Motor
(NYSE:TM)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:―
Toyota Motor (TM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$238.78B
Dividend Yield3.12%
Average Volume (3M)386.34K
Price to Earnings (P/E)7.8
Beta (1Y)0.91
Revenue Growth-0.59%
EPS Growth7.56%
CountryUS
Employees383,853
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength63
IndustryAuto - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)3.56
Shares Outstanding1,579,498,800
10 Day Avg. Volume406,589
30 Day Avg. Volume386,337
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.33
Price to Book (P/B)1.00
Price to Sales (P/S)0.00
P/FCF Ratio-22.28
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering1
Toyota Motor Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionToyota Motor Corporation (TM) is a globally recognized automotive manufacturer headquartered in Toyota City, Japan. The company operates in the automotive industry, primarily focusing on the design, production, and sale of a wide range of vehicles, including passenger cars, trucks, and SUVs. Toyota is renowned for its commitment to quality, innovation, and environmental sustainability, with a diverse lineup that includes hybrid and fuel-efficient vehicles. In addition to its automotive operations, Toyota also engages in financial services and other business sectors, enhancing its integrated approach to the mobility industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyToyota makes money through a combination of automotive sales, financial services, and other business operations. The primary revenue stream comes from the sale of vehicles, including both new and used cars, with a significant presence in markets across the globe. Toyota also generates income through its financial services division, which offers loans, leases, and insurance products to support vehicle sales. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures that expand its reach and capabilities in emerging technologies such as electric vehicles and autonomous driving. Factors like a strong global brand, extensive dealership network, and commitment to innovation contribute significantly to Toyota's earnings.
Toyota Motor Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Retail Vehicle Sales
Monitors the number of vehicles sold directly to consumers, indicating market demand, brand popularity, and competitive positioning in the automotive industry.
Monitors the number of vehicles sold directly to consumers, indicating market demand, brand popularity, and competitive positioning in the automotive industry.
Data provided by:
Main Street Data
Main Street DataToyota Motor Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: -1.99%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with strong achievements in electrified vehicle sales and value chain profits, but challenges remain in terms of declining operating income forecasts, U.S. tariffs, and regional production issues. While the company has made strides in several areas, the forecasted decline and external challenges weigh heavily on future prospects.Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operating Income
Operating income for the fiscal year ended March 2025 was JPY4.8 trillion, supported by price revisions and expansion of value chain profits.
Electrified Vehicle Sales Increase
The proportion of electrified vehicles reached 46.2%, a significant increase from the previous fiscal year, with HEVs increasing by 850,000 units.
Dividend Increase
The full-year dividend for the fiscal year ended March 2025 increased by JPY15 to JPY90, with a forecast increase to JPY95 for fiscal year 2026.
Expansion of Value Chain Profits
Value chain profits, including parts and finance, have been steadily expanding at a pace of JPY150 billion annually, with a full-year forecast of over JPY2 trillion.
Recovery in Production Volume
Consolidated vehicle sales are expected to increase to 9.8 million units, a 104.7% increase over the previous fiscal year.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Operating Income Forecast
The operating income forecast for the fiscal year ending March 2026 is JPY3.8 trillion, down from JPY4.8 trillion in FY 2025.
Challenges from U.S. Tariffs
The impact of U.S. tariffs is estimated at JPY180 billion for April and May 2025, with ongoing uncertainty affecting future forecasts.
Production Challenges in North America
Operating income in North America decreased due to lower production volume caused by a 4-month shutdown of Toyota Motor manufacturing in Indiana.
Sales Expenses Increase in China
Operating income in China decreased mainly due to an increase in sales expenses.
Company Guidance
In the financial results meeting for the fiscal year ending March 2025, Toyota provided comprehensive guidance on their performance metrics and future projections. The company reported an operating income of JPY4.8 trillion, supported by price revisions and value chain profit expansion, despite supply constraints and production suspension in the U.S. Looking ahead, they forecast an operating income of JPY3.8 trillion for fiscal 2026, reflecting a focus on strengthening their management foundation and investing in future profit pillars. Vehicle sales projections include 9.8 million consolidated units, with Toyota and Lexus sales expected to reach 10.4 million units, driven by a recovery in production volume. Electrified vehicles are anticipated to comprise 49.8% of total sales. The full-year dividend for fiscal 2025 was JPY90, with an increase to JPY95 forecasted for fiscal 2026. Toyota's efforts to bolster their operational base, reduce costs, and adapt to changing market demands underscore their commitment to sustainable growth and transformation into a mobility company.Toyota Motor Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Toyota Motor demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and profitability. The income statement shows robust gross and net profit margins, while the balance sheet indicates a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio and solid equity base. However, negative free cash flow due to high capital expenditures is a concern, despite strong operational cash flows.Income Statement
Toyota Motor exhibits strong financial performance with a solid Gross Profit Margin of 20.3% and a notable Net Profit Margin of 10.9% for the TTM period. Revenue growth is evident with a 13.7% increase compared to the previous annual period, showcasing resilience and growth potential in a competitive industry. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating efficient operations and profitability.85
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 1.10, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging debt while maintaining shareholder equity. The Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 14.2%, reflecting efficient management of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio of 37.9% signifies a solid equity base supporting the company's asset structure.78
Positive
Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow is robust, yet Free Cash Flow is negative, indicating high capital expenditures which may impact liquidity. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.83 suggests effective conversion of profits into cash. However, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is negative, pointing to challenges in generating free cash flow amidst significant investments.70
Positive
| Breakdown | |||||
| TTM | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income Statement | Total Revenue | ||||
| 46.75T | 45.10T | 37.15T | 31.38T | 27.21T | 29.93T | Gross Profit |
| 9.50T | 9.37T | 6.31T | 5.97T | 4.83T | 5.41T | EBIT |
| 4.79T | 5.35T | 3.67T | 3.00T | 2.96T | 2.44T | EBITDA |
| 8.62T | 8.39T | 5.19T | 4.82T | 4.61T | 4.13T | Net Income Common Stockholders |
| 5.10T | 4.94T | 2.45T | 2.85T | 2.25T | 2.04T |
| Balance Sheet | Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | ||||
| 13.88T | 14.11T | 9.23T | 8.62T | 9.32T | 5.70T | Total Assets |
| 94.67T | 90.11T | 74.30T | 67.69T | 62.27T | 52.68T | Total Debt |
| 39.58T | 36.56T | 29.38T | 26.50T | 25.66T | 20.55T | Net Debt |
| 31.29T | 27.15T | 21.86T | 20.38T | 20.56T | 16.36T | Total Liabilities |
| 57.82T | 54.87T | 45.04T | 40.53T | 37.98T | 31.94T | Stockholders Equity |
| 35.91T | 34.22T | 28.34T | 26.25T | 23.40T | 20.06T |
| Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | ||||
| -1.60T | -842.02B | -750.76B | -107.63B | -1.04T | -4.49B | Operating Cash Flow |
| 4.24T | 4.21T | 2.96T | 3.72T | 2.73T | 3.59T | Investing Cash Flow |
| -4.29T | -5.00T | -1.60T | -577.50B | -4.68T | -3.15T | Financing Cash Flow |
| 391.01B | 2.50T | -56.18B | -2.47T | 2.74T | 397.14B |
Toyota Motor Technical Analysis
Positive
185.14
Price Trends
182.26
Positive
184.08
Positive
181.33
Positive
Market Momentum
0.52
Positive
48.54
Neutral
40.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 185.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 186.65, above the 50-day MA of 182.26, and above the 200-day MA of 181.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TM.
Toyota Motor Risk Analysis
Toyota Motor disclosed 11 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Toyota Motor reported the most risks in the “Ability to Sell” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Regulatory, Legal, Political and Other Risks Q1, 2023
2.
Toyota's operations are dependent on securing, retaining and developing talented, diverse employees. Q1, 2023
3.
Financial Market and Economic Risks Q1, 2023
Toyota Motor Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
81 Outperform | $29.84B | 27.96 | 12.22% | ― | 10.28% | -29.75% | |
77 Outperform | $40.16B | 8.09 | 11.47% | 7.31% | 3.03% | 28.54% | |
75 Outperform | $238.78B | 7.82 | 13.36% | 3.12% | -0.59% | 7.56% | |
75 Outperform | $45.43B | 6.81 | 8.88% | 1.01% | 7.76% | -14.17% | |
74 Outperform | $46.67B | 8.30 | 6.54% | 4.13% | 4.37% | 6.93% | |
71 Outperform | $949.32B | 162.31 | 9.16% | ― | 1.03% | -53.71% | |
62 Neutral | $6.88B | 11.32 | 2.95% | 3.87% | 2.70% | -24.57% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
TM
Toyota Motor
185.14
-22.88
-11.00%
F
Ford Motor
10.26
-1.22
-10.63%
GM
General Motors
47.47
0.40
0.85%
HMC
Honda Motor Company
29.24
-2.24
-7.12%
TSLA
Tesla
295.14
121.35
69.83%
LI
Li Auto
29.52
10.06
51.70%
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.