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Lowe's Companies (LOW)
NYSE:LOW
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Lowe's (LOW) AI Stock Analysis

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LOW

Lowe's

(NYSE:LOW)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$243.00
▼(-0.07% Downside)
Lowe's overall stock score reflects a balance of strong profitability and strategic growth initiatives against financial risks and bearish technical indicators. The earnings call provided a positive outlook with strategic investments and growth in key segments, but high leverage and declining cash flow growth remain concerns. The valuation is fair, offering a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Online Sales Growth
The growth in online sales indicates successful digital transformation and enhances Lowe's competitive edge in e-commerce, crucial for long-term market presence.
Total Home Strategy
The Total Home strategy's success reflects strategic alignment with market demands, ensuring sustained revenue growth and market position enhancement.
Pro Segment Expansion
Strong Pro segment engagement boosts Lowe's market share among professional contractors, supporting durable revenue streams and competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage and negative equity indicate financial risk, potentially limiting strategic flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.
Declining Free Cash Flow
Declining free cash flow growth can constrain investment in growth initiatives and limit the ability to weather financial challenges, impacting long-term stability.
Macroeconomic Challenges
Macroeconomic challenges could dampen consumer spending on home improvement, affecting sales growth and profitability in the medium term.

Lowe's (LOW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lowe's Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLowe's Companies, Inc. is a leading home improvement retailer in the United States, specializing in selling a wide range of products for home improvement, repair, and maintenance. The company operates a chain of retail stores that offer a variety of merchandise, including building materials, home appliances, lawn and garden supplies, and home décor items. With a strong focus on customer service, Lowe's serves both DIY (do-it-yourself) consumers and professional contractors through its extensive network of locations and online platforms.
How the Company Makes MoneyLowe's generates revenue primarily through the sale of home improvement products and services. The company's revenue model is based on retail sales from its brick-and-mortar stores as well as its e-commerce platform. Key revenue streams include sales of building materials, appliances, tools, and seasonal items like garden products. Additionally, Lowe's offers installation services for various products, which also contributes to its earnings. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers, ensuring a diverse product offering. Loyalty programs and credit services further enhance customer retention and drive sales, contributing to Lowe's overall profitability.

Lowe's Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Customer Transactions
Customer Transactions
Tracks the number of purchases made by customers, indicating consumer demand, shopping frequency, and overall sales performance.
Chart InsightsLowe's customer transactions have shown a declining trend since their pandemic peak, reflecting challenges in the DIY segment and macroeconomic pressures. However, the latest earnings call highlights resilience in Pro sales and online growth, driven by strategic initiatives like the Artisan Design Group acquisition and AI-powered tools. This suggests a strategic pivot towards strengthening Pro market presence and enhancing digital capabilities, which could offset declining DIY transactions and support long-term growth despite current headwinds.
Data provided by:The Fly

Lowe's Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 19, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects positive growth in revenue, online sales, and strategic initiatives, but is tempered by macroeconomic challenges and the impact of recent hurricanes on sales. The acquisition of FBM is seen as a positive long-term investment despite current financing costs.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Earnings Growth
Third quarter sales were $20.8 billion, with comparable sales increasing 0.4% year-over-year. Adjusted diluted earnings per share increased by 6%, reaching $3.06.
Online Sales and AI Integration
Online sales grew by 11.4%, and AI tools like Milo and Milo Companion are enhancing customer satisfaction and productivity, with AI adoption earning Lowe's a $100 billion token Milestone Award from OpenAI.
Total Home Strategy Success
All five key initiatives of the 2025 Total Home strategy are showing strength, including enhanced Pro offerings and double-digit growth in Home Services.
Acquisition of Foundation Building Materials (FBM)
The acquisition expands Lowe's product portfolio and revenue streams, with FBM's commercial sales showing momentum.
Positive Customer and Pro Engagement
Improved customer satisfaction scores and growing enrollments in the MyLowe's Pro Rewards program indicate strong customer and pro engagement.
Negative Updates
Macro Environment Challenges
Ongoing uncertainties in the macro environment, with consumer affordability and confidence issues affecting larger discretionary purchases.
Impact of Hurricanes on Sales
Sales were impacted by a roughly 100 basis point headwind related to Hurricanes Helene and Milton, affecting comparable sales.
Debt and Financing Costs
Acquisition of FBM incurred $105 million in pretax transaction costs and required $7 billion in borrowing, affecting debt-to-EBITDAR ratios.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025 earnings call, Lowe's provided several key metrics and insights into their performance and future expectations. The company's sales for the quarter reached $20.8 billion, with comparable sales increasing by 0.4% year-over-year despite a 100 basis point headwind from Hurricanes Helene and Milton. The adjusted operating margin expanded by approximately 10 basis points, resulting in adjusted diluted earnings per share of $3.06, marking a 6% increase from the previous year. Online sales grew by 11.4%, driven by increased traffic and conversion rates. In terms of their Total Home strategy, they reported growth in their Pro segment and double-digit comps in Home Services. Additionally, Lowe's acquisition of Foundation Building Materials (FBM) was completed in October, with FBM expected to contribute approximately $1.3 billion in sales in the fourth quarter. Despite a cautious macro environment, Lowe's remains optimistic about the long-term health of the home improvement sector, with expectations for flat comp sales for the year and adjusted diluted earnings per share of approximately $12.25, representing 2% growth over the prior year.

Lowe's Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lowe's financial performance shows strong profitability with efficient operations, as indicated by healthy gross and net profit margins. However, the high leverage and negative equity on the balance sheet pose significant financial risks. Additionally, declining revenue growth and free cash flow are concerns that need addressing to improve financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Lowe's demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 32% and a net profit margin of approximately 8%. However, revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a slight decline in the most recent TTM period. The EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate efficient operations, though they have slightly decreased over time.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high level of leverage with a negative stockholders' equity, resulting in a negative debt-to-equity ratio. This indicates potential financial risk. Return on equity is also negative, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is concerning, suggesting a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth, though the company maintains a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio. Operating cash flow coverage is moderate, indicating some ability to cover net income with operating cash flow. However, the negative growth in free cash flow is a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue84.25B83.67B86.38B97.06B96.25B89.60B
Gross Profit26.48B26.15B27.13B30.49B30.39B28.17B
EBITDA12.38B12.59B13.57B12.69B14.47B10.68B
Net Income6.78B6.96B7.73B6.44B8.44B5.83B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets53.45B44.57B43.36B45.27B46.33B48.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.03B2.13B1.23B1.73B1.40B5.20B
Total Debt44.70B39.68B40.15B37.99B29.38B26.21B
Total Liabilities63.84B58.80B58.41B59.53B51.15B46.85B
Stockholders Equity-10.38B-14.23B-15.05B-14.25B-4.82B1.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.05B7.70B6.18B6.76B8.26B9.26B
Operating Cash Flow9.21B9.63B8.14B8.59B10.11B11.05B
Investing Cash Flow-12.11B-1.74B-1.90B-1.31B-1.65B-1.89B
Financing Cash Flow247.00M-7.05B-6.67B-7.05B-12.02B-5.19B

Lowe's Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price243.17
Price Trends
50DMA
239.48
Positive
100DMA
242.85
Positive
200DMA
233.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.55
Negative
RSI
57.01
Neutral
STOCH
87.60
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LOW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 243.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 233.76, above the 50-day MA of 239.48, and above the 200-day MA of 233.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.60 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LOW.

Lowe's Risk Analysis

Lowe's disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lowe's reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lowe's Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$21.26B19.5856.92%1.43%5.10%7.59%
71
Outperform
$28.35B25.9045.46%1.73%4.26%0.73%
66
Neutral
$355.73B24.36162.91%2.67%7.50%-0.38%
64
Neutral
$16.23B25.5022.49%4.76%-0.95%-48.28%
63
Neutral
$136.41B20.162.09%0.64%0.58%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$6.94B32.229.69%6.04%10.26%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LOW
Lowe's
243.17
-23.75
-8.90%
BBY
Best Buy Co
74.89
-11.19
-13.00%
HD
Home Depot
354.03
-66.18
-15.75%
TSCO
Tractor Supply
53.22
-3.00
-5.34%
WSM
Williams-Sonoma
178.06
-6.13
-3.33%
FND
Floor & Decor Holdings
64.43
-43.78
-40.46%

Lowe's Corporate Events

Lowe’s Reports Steady Q3 2025 Performance Amid Growth
Nov 20, 2025

Lowe’s Companies, Inc. is a leading home improvement retailer operating over 1,700 stores across North America, providing a wide range of products and services to both individual consumers and professional contractors. The company is known for its commitment to community support and sustainable business practices.

Lowe’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 20, 2025

The recent earnings call for Lowe’s Companies highlighted a generally positive sentiment, underscoring growth in revenue, online sales, and strategic initiatives. However, this optimism was somewhat tempered by macroeconomic challenges and the adverse impact of recent hurricanes on sales. The acquisition of Foundation Building Materials (FBM) was noted as a promising long-term investment, despite the current financing costs associated with it.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Lowe’s Completes Acquisition of Foundation Building Materials
Positive
Oct 9, 2025

On October 9, 2025, Lowe’s Companies, Inc. completed its acquisition of Foundation Building Materials, Inc. for $8.8 billion in cash. This acquisition is expected to enhance Lowe’s offerings to professional customers by expanding its product range and improving fulfillment, digital tools, and trade credit platforms. The acquisition aligns with Lowe’s Total Home strategy, aiming to serve large professional customers in a $250 billion market, and positions the company for growth in key geographies and the anticipated recovery in the housing market.

The most recent analyst rating on (LOW) stock is a Buy with a $270.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lowe’s stock, see the LOW Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Lowe’s Issues $5 Billion in Unsecured Notes
Neutral
Sep 30, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Lowe’s Companies, Inc. issued $5.0 billion in unsecured notes with varying maturity dates and interest rates, resulting in net proceeds of approximately $4.97 billion. This strategic move aims to strengthen the company’s financial position, although the notes do not have an established trading market and are not intended for listing on any securities exchange. The issuance is not contingent on the completion of Lowe’s acquisition of Foundation Building Materials, Inc., but a special mandatory redemption will occur if the acquisition is not completed by August 19, 2027.

The most recent analyst rating on (LOW) stock is a Buy with a $320.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lowe’s stock, see the LOW Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Lowe’s Secures Credit Agreements for Major Acquisition
Positive
Sep 19, 2025

On September 16, 2025, Lowe’s Companies, Inc. entered into several credit agreements to finance its acquisition of ASP Flag Parent Holdings, Inc. for approximately $8.8 billion. These agreements include a $2 billion 5-Year Revolving Credit Agreement and a $2 billion Term Loan Credit Agreement, replacing previous commitments and supporting the company’s commercial paper program. Additionally, a $1 billion 364-Day Revolving Credit Agreement was established for general corporate purposes. The company plans to replace remaining bridge facility commitments through capital markets transactions before the acquisition’s closing.

The most recent analyst rating on (LOW) stock is a Buy with a $308.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lowe’s stock, see the LOW Stock Forecast page.

Lowe’s Earnings Call Highlights Strategic Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

Lowe’s Companies recently held its earnings call, which was marked by a positive sentiment overall. The company highlighted its strategic acquisition of Foundation Building Materials (FBM) and reported strong sales and earnings growth. These achievements were supported by a boost in online sales and the opening of new stores. However, the call also addressed challenges such as weather impacts, rising labor costs for professional customers, and a pause in share repurchases. Despite these hurdles, the sentiment remained optimistic due to Lowe’s strategic initiatives and a favorable industry outlook.

Lowe’s Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings and Strategic Acquisitions
Aug 21, 2025

Lowe’s Companies, Inc. is a leading home improvement retailer based in Mooresville, North Carolina, operating over 1,700 stores across the United States and serving approximately 16 million customer transactions weekly. The company is known for its extensive range of home improvement products and services, catering to both DIY enthusiasts and professional contractors.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Lowe’s Announces Acquisition of Foundation Building Materials
Positive
Aug 20, 2025

On August 19, 2025, Lowe’s Companies, Inc. announced an agreement to acquire Foundation Building Materials (FBM) for $8.8 billion. FBM is a major North American distributor of interior building products, and this acquisition is expected to enhance Lowe’s offerings for professional customers, aligning with its Total Home strategy. The transaction, anticipated to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, is expected to be accretive to adjusted diluted earnings per share in the first full year post-closing. Lowe’s plans to finance the acquisition through a combination of short-term and long-term debt, maintaining its current credit ratings. This strategic move positions Lowe’s for long-term sustainable sales growth and profit expansion, significantly enhancing its Pro customer offerings.

The most recent analyst rating on (LOW) stock is a Sell with a $245.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lowe’s stock, see the LOW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 20, 2025