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Lowe's Companies (LOW)
NYSE:LOW

Lowe's (LOW) AI Stock Analysis

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LOW

Lowe's

(NYSE:LOW)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$246.00
▲(4.59% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/27/26
The score is anchored by solid operating performance and strong free cash flow, but is pulled down by balance-sheet risk (negative equity) and weak technical momentum (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is reasonable with a modest dividend yield, but not compelling enough to fully offset the risks.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Consistently strong operating cash flow and robust free cash flow provide durable internal funding for capital expenditure, store investments, dividends and debt reduction. This cash-generation ability supports financial flexibility and long-term shareholder returns even through business cycle swings.
Negative Factors
Negative Equity / Capital Structure
Persistently negative shareholders' equity signals aggressive buybacks or accumulated deficits and reduces balance-sheet resilience. It limits traditional leverage metrics, can constrain borrowing capacity, and raises long-term financial flexibility and credibility risks with creditors.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Consistently strong operating cash flow and robust free cash flow provide durable internal funding for capital expenditure, store investments, dividends and debt reduction. This cash-generation ability supports financial flexibility and long-term shareholder returns even through business cycle swings.
Read all positive factors

Lowe's (LOW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lowe's Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Lowe's Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a home improvement retailer in the United States and internationally. The company offers a line of products for construction, maintenance, repair, remodeling, and decorating. It p...
How the Company Makes Money
Lowe's primarily makes money by selling home improvement and maintenance products to consumers and Pro customers through its retail stores and e-commerce platforms, generating revenue from merchandise sales across major categories (e.g., appliance...

Lowe's Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Customer Transactions
Customer Transactions
Tracks the number of purchases made by customers, indicating consumer demand, shopping frequency, and overall sales performance.
Chart InsightsLowe's customer transactions have been declining since 2021, reflecting macroeconomic pressures and consumer confidence issues, as highlighted in the latest earnings call. Despite this, Lowe's remains optimistic, with strategic initiatives like the Total Home strategy and the acquisition of Foundation Building Materials expected to bolster long-term growth. The company is also benefiting from strong online sales and Pro segment growth. However, recent hurricanes and financing costs from acquisitions pose short-term challenges. Investors should watch for how these factors balance out in future quarters.
Data provided by:The Fly

Lowe's Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 19, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects positive growth in revenue, online sales, and strategic initiatives, but is tempered by macroeconomic challenges and the impact of recent hurricanes on sales. The acquisition of FBM is seen as a positive long-term investment despite current financing costs.
Positive Updates
Revenue and Earnings Growth
Third quarter sales were $20.8 billion, with comparable sales increasing 0.4% year-over-year. Adjusted diluted earnings per share increased by 6%, reaching $3.06.
Negative Updates
Macro Environment Challenges
Ongoing uncertainties in the macro environment, with consumer affordability and confidence issues affecting larger discretionary purchases.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Revenue and Earnings Growth
Third quarter sales were $20.8 billion, with comparable sales increasing 0.4% year-over-year. Adjusted diluted earnings per share increased by 6%, reaching $3.06.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025 earnings call, Lowe's provided several key metrics and insights into their performance and future expectations. The company's sales for the quarter reached $20.8 billion, with comparable sales increasing by 0.4% year-over-year despite a 100 basis point headwind from Hurricanes Helene and Milton. The adjusted operating margin expanded by approximately 10 basis points, resulting in adjusted diluted earnings per share of $3.06, marking a 6% increase from the previous year. Online sales grew by 11.4%, driven by increased traffic and conversion rates. In terms of their Total Home strategy, they reported growth in their Pro segment and double-digit comps in Home Services. Additionally, Lowe's acquisition of Foundation Building Materials (FBM) was completed in October, with FBM expected to contribute approximately $1.3 billion in sales in the fourth quarter. Despite a cautious macro environment, Lowe's remains optimistic about the long-term health of the home improvement sector, with expectations for flat comp sales for the year and adjusted diluted earnings per share of approximately $12.25, representing 2% growth over the prior year.

Lowe's Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash generation (solid margins; robust operating cash flow and free cash flow) support the business, but the balance sheet is a material weakness due to persistently negative equity and historically elevated debt (even with improvement in 2026), which reduces financial flexibility.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
80
Positive
BreakdownJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue86.29B83.67B86.38B97.06B96.25B
Gross Profit28.89B26.15B27.13B30.49B30.39B
EBITDA10.69B12.59B13.57B12.69B14.47B
Net Income6.65B6.96B7.73B6.44B8.44B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets54.14B44.57B43.36B45.27B46.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.35B2.13B1.23B1.73B1.40B
Total Debt7.19B39.68B40.15B37.99B29.38B
Total Liabilities64.06B58.80B58.41B59.53B51.15B
Stockholders Equity-9.92B-14.23B-15.05B-14.25B-4.82B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.65B7.70B6.18B6.76B8.26B
Operating Cash Flow9.86B9.63B8.14B8.59B10.11B
Investing Cash Flow-12.26B-1.74B-1.90B-1.31B-1.65B
Financing Cash Flow1.62B-7.05B-6.67B-7.05B-12.02B

Lowe's Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price235.20
Price Trends
50DMA
258.95
Negative
100DMA
251.96
Negative
200DMA
245.67
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-7.24
Negative
RSI
36.46
Neutral
STOCH
63.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LOW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 235.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 237.57, below the 50-day MA of 258.95, and below the 200-day MA of 245.67, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -7.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LOW.

Lowe's Risk Analysis

Lowe's disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lowe's reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lowe's Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$23.89B24.8544.36%1.80%4.26%0.73%
67
Neutral
$21.73B23.8851.45%1.37%5.10%7.59%
65
Neutral
$325.35B26.52130.02%2.67%7.50%-0.38%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
$131.73B22.44-59.21%1.94%0.64%0.58%
56
Neutral
$5.33B43.308.99%6.04%10.26%
51
Neutral
$13.43B12.8538.54%5.46%-0.95%-48.28%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LOW
Lowe's
235.20
22.55
10.60%
BBY
Best Buy Co
64.20
6.24
10.76%
HD
Home Depot
326.65
-6.44
-1.93%
TSCO
Tractor Supply
45.39
-3.12
-6.43%
WSM
Williams-Sonoma
182.62
39.74
27.82%
FND
Floor & Decor Holdings
49.38
-23.58
-32.32%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 27, 2026