tiprankstipranks
Floor & Decor Holdings (FND)
NYSE:FND
Want to see FND full AI Analyst Report?

Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) AI Stock Analysis

546 Followers

Top Page

FND

Floor & Decor Holdings

(NYSE:FND)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$60.00
▲(10.97% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/26/26
The score is primarily held back by weaker recent financial performance (sharp TTM revenue decline, compressed margins, and subpar cash conversion). Offsetting factors include improving technical momentum (price above key short/intermediate averages), supportive liquidity/capital actions (buyback authorization and extended credit facilities), and guidance that implies stabilization rather than a strong near-term demand rebound. Valuation remains a meaningful constraint given the elevated P/E versus current operating pressure.
Positive Factors
Liquidity & Capital Structure
Extending the term loan and ABL maturities materially reduces near‑term refinancing risk and preserves borrowing capacity. That structural liquidity supports planned store growth, ERP rollout and the $400M authorization, improving financial flexibility across 2–6 months and beyond.
Negative Factors
Sales Contraction
A sustained revenue decline reduces operating leverage and undermines the economics of a large‑format, scale‑driven retail model. Persistently lower top line pressures absorption of fixed costs, weakens unit economics on new stores and constrains investment returns over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Liquidity & Capital Structure
Extending the term loan and ABL maturities materially reduces near‑term refinancing risk and preserves borrowing capacity. That structural liquidity supports planned store growth, ERP rollout and the $400M authorization, improving financial flexibility across 2–6 months and beyond.
Read all positive factors

Floor & Decor Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Comparable Store Sales Growth
Comparable Store Sales Growth
Measures the sales performance of existing stores over a specific period, indicating the company's ability to grow sales without expanding its store base. A key indicator of consumer demand and operational effectiveness.
Chart InsightsFloor & Decor Holdings is experiencing a challenging period with comparable store sales growth declining since 2023, reflecting broader industry headwinds such as high mortgage rates and a weak housing market. Despite these challenges, the company has shown resilience through strategic store expansion and improved product margins. The recent earnings call highlighted a 10.4% increase in EPS and a 5.5% rise in total sales, suggesting operational strength and potential for recovery. However, ongoing pressures on new store sales and regional sales challenges remain key risks to monitor.
Data provided by:The Fly

Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Floor & Decor Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. functions as a leading multi-channel business, acting as both a specialized retailer and a commercial distributor of hard surface flooring and its related accessories. The company provides a wide array of flooring opti...
How the Company Makes Money
Floor & Decor primarily makes money by selling hard-surface flooring and complementary installation and finishing products to retail and professional customers through its warehouse-format stores and online channel. Its core revenue stream is merc...

Floor & Decor Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: the company showed clear financial strength (healthy liquidity, authorized $400M buyback, improved gross margin, strong operating cash flow), strategic progress (digital/connected customer growth, new store expansion with lower per-store cost, ERP progress, Pro initiatives) and tactical wins (pricing tests in vinyl). However, near-term operating performance is challenged by weaker comparable-store sales, declines in EPS and operating income, pressure in laminate/vinyl and a softer commercial segment (Spartan). Management emphasized disciplined cost management, continued investment in higher-return initiatives and provided a wider guidance range to reflect uncertainty.
Positive Updates
Share Repurchase Authorization and Strong Liquidity
Board authorized a share repurchase program up to $400 million; ended the quarter with $1,007.2 million in unrestricted liquidity ( $293.6M cash and $713.6M available under ABL ), providing flexibility to fund growth and return capital without incremental debt.
Negative Updates
Earnings and Sales Decline
Diluted EPS declined to $0.37 from $0.45 a year ago (≈ -17.8%); total sales decreased 0.7% to $1.152 billion from $1.161 billion year-over-year.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Share Repurchase Authorization and Strong Liquidity
Board authorized a share repurchase program up to $400 million; ended the quarter with $1,007.2 million in unrestricted liquidity ( $293.6M cash and $713.6M available under ABL ), providing flexibility to fund growth and return capital without incremental debt.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
For fiscal 2026 Floor & Decor guided sales of $4.770–$4.990 billion (up 1.8%–6.5% vs. FY25) with the 53rd week expected to add ≈$65 million, comparable‑store sales flat to down 4% (comp transactions down low‑ to mid‑single digits, comp average ticket flat to up low single digits), gross margin ~43.6%–43.8% (Q1 was a high point at 44.0% with slight‑to‑modest sequential pressure and ~25 bps incremental DC/wraparound impact), SG&A about 38.0% of sales (Q1 was 39.5%), adjusted EBITDA $545–580 million (53rd week ≈$11M), diluted EPS $1.83–$2.08 (53rd week ≈$0.08; implied 52‑week EPS ≈$1.75–$2.00) on ~109 million diluted shares, net interest ≈$4M, tax rate ~22.5%–23.0%, depreciation & amortization ≈$250M, capex $250–300M, while management reiterated a 20‑store expansion (class of 2026 avg ≈55,000 sq ft, ~50% openings in H1) and announced a discretionary $400M share repurchase authorization (not funded with incremental debt).

Floor & Decor Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Stable but pressured fundamentals: TTM revenue is down ~18% with compressed profitability (net margin ~4.3%) versus prior-cycle levels. Balance sheet is reasonably supported (debt-to-equity ~0.82) with improved flexibility after debt reduction, but cash conversion is weaker than preferred (FCF ~$105M vs. ~$420M operating cash flow; FCF only ~25% of net income), limiting financial momentum.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
54
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.68B4.68B4.46B4.41B4.26B3.43B
Gross Profit1.93B1.93B1.93B1.86B1.73B1.42B
EBITDA503.80M510.97M488.65M523.30M551.78M457.19M
Net Income199.48M208.65M205.87M245.98M298.19M283.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.58B5.47B5.05B4.66B4.35B3.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments293.63M249.30M187.67M34.38M9.79M139.44M
Total Debt2.01B3.63B1.69B1.63B1.74B1.42B
Total Liabilities3.12B3.06B2.88B2.73B2.69B2.41B
Stockholders Equity2.46B2.41B2.17B1.93B1.66B1.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow105.45M64.07M156.33M255.98M-344.15M-106.33M
Operating Cash Flow419.92M381.84M603.15M803.59M112.45M301.34M
Investing Cash Flow-314.47M-317.76M-446.83M-564.97M-455.64M-471.24M
Financing Cash Flow1.25M-2.44M-3.04M-214.03M213.54M1.57M

Floor & Decor Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price54.07
Price Trends
50DMA
50.73
Positive
100DMA
54.65
Positive
200DMA
61.33
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.53
Negative
RSI
64.47
Neutral
STOCH
90.92
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FND, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 54.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.51, above the 50-day MA of 50.73, and below the 200-day MA of 61.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.92 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FND.

Floor & Decor Holdings Risk Analysis

Floor & Decor Holdings disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Floor & Decor Holdings reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Floor & Decor Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$6.38B31.918.38%3.46%-3.01%
56
Neutral
$127.56B19.21-64.84%1.94%6.24%-2.12%
54
Neutral
$407.93M43.052.95%5.44%6.39%-1.48%
53
Neutral
$1.22B18.5116.39%7.36%10.24%
52
Neutral
$407.93M43.052.95%5.36%6.39%-1.48%
40
Underperform
$112.70M-28.68-3.93%-2.32%-680.98%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FND
Floor & Decor Holdings
59.04
-23.03
-28.06%
HVT.A
Haverty Furn Cl A SC
29.95
11.01
58.13%
HVT
Haverty
24.97
3.82
18.07%
LOW
Lowe's
227.50
3.59
1.61%
TTSH
Tile Shop
2.83
-4.16
-59.51%
ARHS
Arhaus
8.62
-0.33
-3.67%

Floor & Decor Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Floor & Decor Strengthens Liquidity with New Credit Facilities
Positive
Jun 25, 2026
On June 24, 2026, Floor and Decor Outlets of America refinanced its senior secured term loan with a new $200 million facility maturing June 24, 2033, led by Goldman Sachs Bank USA as administrative and collateral agent. The new term loan, secured ...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Floor & Decor Shareholders Approve Directors and Incentive Plan
Positive
May 7, 2026
On May 6, 2026, Floor Decor Holdings held its virtual annual meeting of stockholders, where shareholders elected eleven directors to one-year terms expiring at the 2027 annual meeting, reflecting broad support for the company’s current boar...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Floor & Decor Q1 Earnings Decline Amid Macroeconomic Headwinds
Negative
Apr 30, 2026
Floor Decor reported first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on April 30, 2026, showing that net sales slipped 0.7% year over year to $1.15 billion and comparable store sales fell 3.7%, as higher mortgage rates, Middle East geopolitical tensions, and w...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 26, 2026