Floor & Decor Holdings (FND)
NYSE:FND
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Floor & Decor Holdings
(NYSE:FND)
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Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$49.00
▲(3.22% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/04/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening earnings quality and cash conversion, plus a clearly bearish technical setup with the stock well below major moving averages. Valuation also looks demanding at ~43x earnings with no dividend support. Offsetting factors include strong long-term revenue growth, improving leverage, and balanced FY26 guidance with strategic progress (store expansion efficiency, Pro/Spartan momentum) and solid liquidity.
Positive Factors
Revenue and margin resilience
Sustained multi-year revenue expansion with recent gross-margin improvement signals structural demand for hard-surface flooring and ability to maintain pricing/sourcing advantages. This supports scale economics, inventory leverage and long-run gross-profitability even if near-term operating margin is pressured.
Negative Factors
Comparable-store sales weakness
Persistent comp weakness and declining transactions indicate softer underlying demand and smaller project sizes, which reduces store productivity and operating leverage. If comps remain depressed, the economics of new-store growth and margin recovery are at risk over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and margin resilience
Sustained multi-year revenue expansion with recent gross-margin improvement signals structural demand for hard-surface flooring and ability to maintain pricing/sourcing advantages. This supports scale economics, inventory leverage and long-run gross-profitability even if near-term operating margin is pressured.
Read all positive factors
Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$5.12B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)2.66M
Price to Earnings (P/E)43.3
Beta (1Y)1.21
Revenue Growth6.04%
EPS Growth10.26%
CountryUS
Employees10,413
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryHome Improvement
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.36
Shares Outstanding107,875,310
10 Day Avg. Volume3,121,311
30 Day Avg. Volume2,663,422
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio62.68
Price to Book (P/B)2.83
Price to Sales (P/S)1.45
P/FCF Ratio106.31
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.70
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.86
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.52
Enterprise Value/Ebitda17.04
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$76.71Price Target Upside61.60% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering17
EPS Forecast (FY)2.07
Revenue Forecast (FY)$4.99B
Floor & Decor Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. operates as a multi-channel specialty retailer and commercial flooring distributor of hard surface flooring and related accessories. The company's stores offer tile, wood, laminate, vinyl, and natural stone flooring pr...
How the Company Makes Money
Floor & Decor primarily makes money by selling merchandise to customers through its warehouse-format retail stores and online platform. Its core revenue stream is product sales of hard-surface flooring (e.g., tile, wood, laminate, vinyl, and natur...
Floor & Decor Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Comparable Store Sales Growth
Measures the sales performance of existing stores over a specific period, indicating the company's ability to grow sales without expanding its store base. A key indicator of consumer demand and operational effectiveness.
Measures the sales performance of existing stores over a specific period, indicating the company's ability to grow sales without expanding its store base. A key indicator of consumer demand and operational effectiveness.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyFloor & Decor Holdings Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Balanced/Neutral: The company delivered modest earnings growth, full-year revenue growth (+5.1%), gross margin expansion, record customer satisfaction and continued strategic investments (store expansion, Pro initiatives, Spartan growth, improved liquidity). However, meaningful comparable-store sales weakness, transaction declines, weather-related disruption, distribution center and tariff headwinds, SG&A deleverage and a pullback in operating cash flow temper the near-term outlook. Management provided prudent FY26 guidance that anticipates these headwinds while retaining flexibility to manage costs and invest in strategic priorities.Positive Updates
Earnings Per Share In Line and FY EPS Growth
Q4 diluted EPS of $0.36 was in line with guidance midpoint; full fiscal year diluted EPS of $1.92 vs $1.90 prior year (prior year included a $0.05 benefit). Fiscal 2026 EPS guidance is $1.98 to $2.18.
Negative Updates
Comparable Store Sales Weakness
Q4 comparable store sales declined 4.8% and full-year comps declined 1.8% (at the low end of guidance). Monthly Q4 comps were -1.5% (Oct), -6.1% (Nov) and -6.7% (Dec).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Earnings Per Share In Line and FY EPS Growth
Q4 diluted EPS of $0.36 was in line with guidance midpoint; full fiscal year diluted EPS of $1.92 vs $1.90 prior year (prior year included a $0.05 benefit). Fiscal 2026 EPS guidance is $1.98 to $2.18.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Floor & Decor’s fiscal 2026 guidance targets sales of $4.88–$5.03 billion (up ~4%–7% YoY, including a ~53rd‑week contribution of ~$65M), comps down 2% to up 1% (comp average ticket +low single digits; comp transactions down mid‑single digits to low single digits), gross margin ~43.5%–43.8%, SG&A ~37.7%–37.8% of sales (Q1 and Q4 most pressured), adjusted EBITDA $560–$590M (53rd week ~$11M), diluted EPS $1.98–$2.18 (53rd week ~$0.08) on ~109M diluted shares, net interest expense ~ $5M, tax rate ~21.5%–22.0%, depreciation & amortization ~ $245M, and planned CapEx $250–$300M (including $160–$190M for ~20 new warehouse-format stores at ~$7–$8M new‑store CapEx, ~$60–$70M for existing stores/DCs and ~$30–$40M for IT/e‑commerce); management expects second‑half comps to be stronger with Q3 as the year’s high point.Floor & Decor Holdings Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
71
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
54
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 4.68B | 4.46B | 4.41B | 4.26B | 3.43B |
| Gross Profit | 1.93B | 1.93B | 1.86B | 1.73B | 1.42B |
| EBITDA | 510.97M | 488.65M | 523.30M | 551.78M | 457.19M |
| Net Income | 208.65M | 205.87M | 245.98M | 298.19M | 283.23M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 5.47B | 5.05B | 4.66B | 4.35B | 3.73B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 249.30M | 187.67M | 34.38M | 9.79M | 139.44M |
| Total Debt | 3.63B | 1.69B | 1.63B | 1.74B | 1.42B |
| Total Liabilities | 3.06B | 2.88B | 2.73B | 2.69B | 2.41B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.41B | 2.17B | 1.93B | 1.66B | 1.32B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 64.07M | 156.33M | 255.98M | -344.15M | -106.33M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 381.84M | 603.15M | 803.59M | 112.45M | 301.34M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -317.76M | -446.83M | -564.97M | -455.64M | -471.24M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -2.44M | -3.04M | -214.03M | 213.54M | 1.57M |
Floor & Decor Holdings Technical Analysis
Negative
47.47
Price Trends
62.84
Negative
63.50
Negative
70.69
Negative
Market Momentum
-4.12
Positive
28.39
Positive
16.72
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FND, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 47.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.92, below the 50-day MA of 62.84, and below the 200-day MA of 70.69, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.39 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FND.
Floor & Decor Holdings Risk Analysis
Floor & Decor Holdings disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Floor & Decor Holdings reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Floor & Decor Holdings Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
61 Neutral | $337.45M | 18.64 | 2.79% | 5.36% | -1.05% | -24.24% | |
58 Neutral | $337.45M | 18.64 | 2.79% | 5.44% | -1.05% | -24.24% | |
58 Neutral | $129.39B | 22.44 | -59.21% | 1.94% | 0.64% | 0.58% | |
56 Neutral | $5.12B | 43.30 | 8.99% | ― | 6.04% | 10.26% | |
56 Neutral | $900.36M | 23.45 | 20.38% | ― | 7.36% | -6.85% | |
40 Underperform | $123.85M | -34.23 | -3.93% | ― | -3.77% | -146.47% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
FND
Floor & Decor Holdings
47.47
-25.49
-34.94%
HVT.A
Haverty Furn Cl A SC
21.80
4.53
26.20%
HVT
Haverty
20.83
3.60
20.88%
LOW
Lowe's
231.03
18.38
8.64%
TTSH
Tile Shop
3.11
-2.77
-47.11%
ARHS
Arhaus
6.38
-1.07
-14.39%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.