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Floor & Decor Holdings (FND)
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Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) AI Stock Analysis

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FND

Floor & Decor Holdings

(NYSE:FND)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$68.00
▲(5.15% Upside)
Floor & Decor Holdings' overall stock score is driven by solid financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including strong EPS growth and store expansion. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and the stock's high P/E ratio indicates overvaluation. Challenges in profitability margins and cash flow generation also weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 7.1% increase in sales indicates strong demand and effective market strategies, supporting long-term revenue growth and market presence.
Store Expansion
Expanding store count enhances market penetration and accessibility, driving future sales growth and strengthening competitive positioning.
Gross Margin Improvement
Improved gross margins reflect effective cost management and pricing strategies, contributing to sustainable profitability and financial health.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Concerns
Declining free cash flow growth indicates challenges in cash generation, potentially limiting investment capacity and financial flexibility.
Tariff Challenges
Ongoing tariff issues could increase costs and pressure margins, necessitating strategic adjustments to maintain profitability.
Existing Home Sales Impact
Decline in existing home sales may reduce demand for flooring products, impacting sales growth and market dynamics in the home improvement sector.

Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Floor & Decor Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFloor & Decor Holdings, Inc. operates as a multi-channel specialty retailer and commercial flooring distributor of hard surface flooring and related accessories. The company's stores offer tile, wood, laminate, vinyl, and natural stone flooring products, as well as decorative and installation accessories. It serves professional installers, commercial businesses, and do it yourself customers. As of May 5, 2022, the company operated 166 warehouse-format stores and five design studios in 34 states. It also sells products through its Website, FloorandDecor.com. The company was formerly known as FDO Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. in April 2017. Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyFloor & Decor generates revenue primarily through the sale of hard surface flooring materials and related accessories. The company's key revenue streams include in-store sales, e-commerce sales, and installation services. In-store sales are bolstered by a large inventory that caters to both residential and commercial customers, while their online platform allows customers to browse and purchase products conveniently. Additionally, Floor & Decor offers installation services, which provide an additional revenue stream by leveraging partnerships with contractors and installers. The company's focus on providing value and a superior shopping experience, combined with a growing network of stores, contributes significantly to its earnings.

Floor & Decor Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Comparable Average Ticket
Comparable Average Ticket
Tracks the average transaction value in comparable stores, providing insights into customer spending habits and the effectiveness of upselling strategies.
Chart InsightsFloor & Decor's Comparable Average Ticket has been volatile, with a notable decline since 2023, reflecting challenges in consumer demand and economic pressures. However, the recent earnings call highlights a strategic pivot with improved gross margins and pro sales growth, suggesting resilience. Despite flat comparable store sales and tariff impacts, the company is expanding its store footprint and leveraging global sourcing to maintain profitability. This strategic focus, alongside a cautious outlook, indicates potential stabilization and growth opportunities in the near term.
Data provided by:The Fly

Floor & Decor Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong earnings per share growth, successful store expansion, and product margin improvements, indicating operational strength. However, challenges such as declining comparable store sales, lower new store sales performance, and regional sales pressure reflect significant industry headwinds.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Double-Digit EPS Growth
Fiscal 2025 third quarter diluted earnings per share increased by 10.4% to $0.53, exceeding the high end of guidance.
Total Sales Growth
Total sales grew by 5.5% to $1.180 billion, despite a challenging market environment.
Store Expansion
Opened 5 new stores in Q3, including reentering the Charlotte market and establishing presence in Myrtle Beach, SC. Year-to-date, 12 new locations opened, ending the period with a 9% increase in store count from last year.
Highest Net Promoter Scores
Achieved highest Net Promoter Scores ever in September, reflecting exceptional service delivery.
Spartan Surfaces Growth
Spartan Surfaces delivered 13.3% year-over-year sales growth in the third quarter.
Product Margin Improvement
Fiscal 2025 third quarter product margin improved by 80 basis points year-over-year, despite external pressures.
Negative Updates
Comparable Store Sales Decline
Comparable store sales declined by 1.2% in Q3 and 2% in early Q4, reflecting ongoing pressure from high mortgage rates and weak housing market.
Lower New Store Sales Performance
New store classes of 2023, 2024, and 2025 have first-year sales below long-term target, averaging $11 million, indicating industry headwinds.
Gross Margin Pressure
Gross margin rate decreased by approximately 10 basis points due to increased distribution center costs.
Regional Sales Challenges
Existing home sales pressure in high-concentration markets like Texas and Florida impacting overall performance.
Company Guidance
During the Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. third quarter 2025 conference call, the company reported a fiscal 2025 third-quarter diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.53, representing a 10.4% increase from the previous year's $0.48, exceeding the high end of their guidance range. Total sales increased by 5.5% to $1.180 billion, while comparable store sales declined by 1.2%, approaching the low end of their expectations. The gross margin rate slightly decreased by 10 basis points to 43.4%, primarily due to increased distribution center costs. Floor & Decor also opened five new stores in the third quarter, contributing to a 9% year-over-year increase in store count, ending the period with 262 stores. The company plans to open 20 new stores in fiscal 2025 and maintains this pace for fiscal 2026. They reported a third-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $138.8 million, a 4.4% increase from the previous year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin rate of 11.8%. Floor & Decor provided guidance for fiscal 2025, expecting total sales to range between $4.660 billion and $4.710 billion, with comparable store sales estimated to decline by 1% to 2%. The company anticipates a gross margin rate of approximately 43.6% to 43.7% and plans fiscal 2025 capital expenditures between $280 million and $300 million.

Floor & Decor Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Floor & Decor Holdings shows strong revenue growth and stable gross margins, reflecting effective cost management. However, cash flow generation is a concern with significant declines in free cash flow growth, and net profit margins have slightly decreased, indicating pressure on profitability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Floor & Decor Holdings has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, albeit at a slowing rate, with a TTM revenue growth of 1.79%. The gross profit margin has remained stable around 43-44%, indicating strong pricing power and cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 4.59% in the TTM, reflecting some pressure on profitability. Overall, the company shows solid revenue growth and stable margins, but there is room for improvement in net profitability.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.85 in the TTM, indicating a better balance between debt and equity financing. Return on equity is stable at around 9.6%, showing consistent returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at approximately 42.4%, suggesting a healthy capital structure. While the company has managed its leverage well, the return on equity could be enhanced further.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow has decreased in the TTM, with a significant drop in free cash flow growth (-72.06%). The operating cash flow to net income ratio is at 0.43, indicating moderate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.24, highlighting challenges in converting earnings into free cash flow. The company needs to focus on improving cash flow generation to support future growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.66B4.46B4.41B4.26B3.43B2.43B
Gross Profit1.97B1.93B1.86B1.73B1.42B1.03B
EBITDA518.97M488.65M523.30M551.78M457.19M306.22M
Net Income216.80M205.87M245.98M298.19M283.23M194.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.52B5.05B4.66B4.35B3.73B2.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments204.48M187.67M34.38M9.79M139.44M307.77M
Total Debt1.99B1.69B1.63B1.74B1.42B1.24B
Total Liabilities3.16B2.88B2.73B2.69B2.41B1.88B
Stockholders Equity2.36B2.17B1.93B1.66B1.32B997.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow22.85M156.33M255.98M-344.15M-106.33M193.72M
Operating Cash Flow359.15M603.15M803.59M112.45M301.34M406.16M
Investing Cash Flow-336.31M-446.83M-564.97M-455.64M-471.24M-212.45M
Financing Cash Flow863.00K-3.04M-214.03M213.54M1.57M87.02M

Floor & Decor Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price64.67
Price Trends
50DMA
67.99
Negative
100DMA
75.24
Negative
200DMA
77.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.69
Negative
RSI
50.17
Neutral
STOCH
88.73
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FND, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 64.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 60.56, below the 50-day MA of 67.99, and below the 200-day MA of 77.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.73 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FND.

Floor & Decor Holdings Risk Analysis

Floor & Decor Holdings disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Floor & Decor Holdings reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Floor & Decor Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$387.57M20.406.32%5.42%-1.05%-24.24%
71
Outperform
$1.46B19.8620.38%7.36%-6.85%
63
Neutral
$136.02B20.102.09%0.64%0.58%
62
Neutral
$393.49M21.166.32%5.38%-1.05%-24.24%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$6.86B31.819.69%6.04%10.26%
50
Neutral
$285.73M-1.37%-3.77%-146.47%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FND
Floor & Decor Holdings
64.67
-46.65
-41.91%
HVT.A
Haverty Furn Cl A SC
24.30
2.20
9.95%
HVT
Haverty
24.28
2.29
10.41%
LOW
Lowe's
246.39
-22.61
-8.41%
TTSH
Tile Shop
6.42
-0.19
-2.87%
ARHS
Arhaus
10.43
-0.32
-2.98%

Floor & Decor Holdings Corporate Events

Floor & Decor’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 1, 2025

Floor & Decor Holdings recently held its earnings call, revealing a mixed sentiment in its financial performance. While the company showcased strong earnings per share growth and successful store expansion, it also faced challenges such as declining comparable store sales and regional sales pressures, highlighting significant industry headwinds.

Floor & Decor Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 31, 2025

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. is a specialty retailer in the hard surface flooring industry, offering a wide range of flooring products and related accessories through its warehouse-format stores and design studios across the United States. The company is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Floor & Decor Announces New CEO Appointment
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Floor & Decor Holdings announced a leadership transition effective December 26, 2025, with Bradley S. Paulsen appointed as CEO and Thomas V. Taylor transitioning to Executive Chair of the Board. This strategic move aims to ensure continuity in leadership and support the company’s expansion goals, including reaching 500 warehouse stores. The transition is expected to leverage Taylor’s strategic vision and Paulsen’s expertise in home improvement and retail operations, positioning the company for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (FND) stock is a Hold with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Floor & Decor Holdings stock, see the FND Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 26, 2025