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Arhaus (ARHS)
NASDAQ:ARHS
US Market

Arhaus (ARHS) AI Stock Analysis

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Arhaus

(NASDAQ:ARHS)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▲(8.70%Upside)
The overall score reflects solid financial performance and strategic growth plans but is tempered by concerns over declining margins and valuation. Technical indicators suggest cautious market sentiment, while the earnings call provides mixed guidance amid external challenges.
Positive Factors
Financial Stability
The company’s healthy cash flow and strong balance sheet should provide some flexibility amid all the uncertainty around tariffs, where the company is already well positioned with only 13% of goods sourced from China.
Leadership and Management
The recent executive appointments should help stabilize leadership, ease concerns over potential disruptions amid heavy investments in IT and operations, and help restore momentum.
Market Positioning
ARHS is well positioned in the high-end segment of the furniture market with a differentiated and high quality product offering which could lead to continued share growth.
Negative Factors
Demand Volatility
Management expects first-quarter comps between a 6% decline and 1% growth, where the abnormally wide range underscores the exceedingly choppy demand environment.
Leadership Departures
Arhaus lost its CFO, COO, and SVP of IR in 2.5 months, which adds execution risk and impacts communication with the Street.
Profitability Challenges
The margin guide came in below expectations, suggesting potential challenges for the company's profitability.

Arhaus (ARHS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arhaus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArhaus, Inc. operates as a lifestyle brand and premium retailer in the home furnishings market. It provides merchandise assortments across various categories, including furniture, lighting, textiles, décor, and outdoor. The company's furniture products comprise bedroom, dining room, living room, and home office furnishings, which includes sofas, dining tables and chairs, accent chairs, console and coffee tables, beds, headboards, dressers, desks, bookcases and modular storage, etc.; and outdoor products include outdoor dining tables, chairs, chaises and other furniture, lighting, textiles, décor, umbrellas, and fire pits. It also offers lighting products, such as various distinct and artistic lighting fixtures, including chandeliers, pendants, table and floor lamps, and sconces; textile products comprising handcrafted indoor and outdoor rugs, bed linens, and pillows and throws; and décor products, including various wall art to mirrors, vases to candles, and other decorative accessories. The company distributes its products through an omni-channel model comprising showrooms, e-commerce platform, catalog, and in-home designer services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated through a network of 71 traditional showrooms, 5 Design Studios, and 3 Outlets, as well as 58 showrooms with in-home interior designers. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Boston Heights, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyArhaus generates revenue primarily through the sale of its home furnishings and decor products. The company's key revenue streams include in-store sales from its network of retail locations and online sales through its website. Arhaus focuses on providing a differentiated shopping experience by offering exclusive, high-quality products that appeal to consumers seeking unique and sustainable home furnishings. Additionally, the company may engage in partnerships with global artisans, enhancing its product offerings and market appeal. Arhaus's focus on craftsmanship and sustainability helps differentiate its brand in the competitive retail market, driving customer loyalty and repeat business.

Arhaus Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.55%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While Arhaus has shown strong financial standing and strategic growth initiatives, challenges such as April's demand softness, gross margin pressure, and tariff impacts have led to a more cautious outlook for the rest of the year.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Position
Arhaus ended the quarter with $214 million in cash and cash equivalents, remaining debt-free, providing flexibility for strategic growth investments.
Net Revenue Growth
Net revenue grew by 5.5% year-over-year, supported by increased demand across retail and e-commerce channels.
Demand Comparable Growth
Demand comparable growth was up 4.1%, driven by healthy client response to products and strong engagement.
Showroom Expansion
In 2024, Arhaus opened 11 new showrooms. For 2025, they plan to complete 12 to 15 total showroom projects, reflecting confidence in long-term growth.
Strategic Sourcing Agility
The company has diversified its sourcing footprint across North America, Europe, and South Asia, reducing reliance on China, with China receipts expected to drop to 1% by Q4 2025.
Negative Updates
April Demand Softness
April saw a demand comparable growth decline of 10%, affected by market volatility and tariff news.
Gross Margin Pressure
Gross margin decreased by 190 basis points to 37.1% of net revenue due to increased product costs, showroom occupancy costs, and delivery expenses.
SG&A Expenses Increase
Selling, general, and administrative expenses rose 13.9% year-over-year, driven by increased warehouse and marketing expenses.
Tariff Impact
The company anticipates a $10 million impact from tariffs, primarily in the latter half of the year, which could potentially affect profitability.
Revised Guidance
Due to increased volatility and softening consumer sentiment, Arhaus has revised its full year 2025 outlook, reflecting a more cautious stance with a wider guidance range.
Company Guidance
During the Arhaus First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics were highlighted that provide insights into the company's performance and strategic direction. Arhaus reported a 5.5% increase in net revenue, while demand comparable growth rose by 4.1%. The company ended the quarter with $214 million in cash and no debt, underscoring its strong financial position. Arhaus plans to complete 12 to 15 total showroom projects in 2025, reflecting its commitment to strategic growth. Additionally, the company is responding to external challenges by reducing its China sourcing to approximately 5% in the third quarter and ultimately to about 1% by the fourth quarter. The company also adjusted its full-year guidance, forecasting net revenue between $1.29 billion and $1.38 billion, with a revised comparable growth range from negative 5% to up 1.5%. Despite the volatile environment, Arhaus remains focused on executing its long-term strategy, leveraging its strong brand and financial foundation to drive sustainable growth.

Arhaus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Arhaus demonstrates solid revenue growth and strong cash flow generation. However, declining profit margins and high reliance on debt present risks. Focus on improving profitability and managing debt levels is essential for long-term stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Arhaus has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a solid revenue increase from 2021 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, there has been a decline in EBIT margin and net profit margin in the TTM, which suggests rising operational costs or pricing pressures. The gross profit margin remains strong, indicating effective cost management in production.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a stable equity base with an improving debt-to-equity ratio, indicating balanced leverage. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting that the company relies significantly on debt for financing. Return on equity has seen a decline in recent periods, which could impact investor confidence if not addressed.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Arhaus displays robust operating cash flow, consistently covering its capital expenditures. The free cash flow has shown positive growth, although the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates some volatility in cash generation relative to profits. Overall, cash flow health remains strong, supporting ongoing operations and growth initiatives.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.29B1.27B1.29B1.23B796.92M507.43M
Gross Profit
501.76M501.23M540.42M525.06M329.93M199.50M
EBIT
74.06M87.00M164.31M184.67M33.35M31.16M
EBITDA
136.79M161.83M227.06M238.62M57.74M48.12M
Net Income Common Stockholders
58.33M68.55M125.24M136.63M36.93M17.84M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
214.39M197.51M223.10M145.18M123.78M50.74M
Total Assets
1.26B1.21B1.11B931.79M586.55M315.94M
Total Debt
524.91M499.50M462.93M381.98M50.52M47.60M
Net Debt
310.52M301.99M239.83M236.80M-73.25M-3.14M
Total Liabilities
916.11M862.57M773.86M722.10M516.78M352.04M
Stockholders Equity
348.83M343.75M340.24M209.69M69.77M-36.09M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
47.74M39.74M75.24M21.80M98.37M137.42M
Operating Cash Flow
156.80M147.11M172.30M74.45M146.24M150.44M
Investing Cash Flow
-101.22M-99.53M-96.72M-52.66M-47.87M-13.01M
Financing Cash Flow
-74.10M-72.95M-1.80M-177.00K-31.47M-98.33M

Arhaus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.74
Price Trends
50DMA
8.37
Positive
100DMA
9.33
Negative
200DMA
9.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
47.87
Neutral
STOCH
38.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARHS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.69, above the 50-day MA of 8.37, and below the 200-day MA of 9.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ARHS.

Arhaus Risk Analysis

Arhaus disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arhaus reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arhaus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
LZLZB
72
Outperform
$1.56B16.289.84%2.30%1.81%8.09%
71
Outperform
$327.16M15.876.97%5.91%-12.29%-55.73%
HVHVT
70
Outperform
$327.16M15.836.97%6.32%-12.29%-55.73%
68
Neutral
$1.23B20.5418.39%0.71%-45.31%
62
Neutral
$6.76B11.072.80%6.34%2.68%-24.87%
60
Neutral
$276.88M337.500.66%-6.41%-91.36%
58
Neutral
$1.15B39.822.28%4.43%-2.68%-56.16%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARHS
Arhaus
8.51
-8.58
-50.20%
HVT.A
Haverty Furn Cl A SC
20.12
-4.19
-17.24%
HVT
Haverty
20.26
-3.42
-14.44%
MLKN
MillerKnoll
16.91
-7.84
-31.68%
LZB
La-Z-Boy Incorporated
38.13
0.99
2.67%
TTSH
Tile Shop
6.21
-0.73
-10.52%

Arhaus Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Arhaus Announces Departure of Chief Merchandising Officer
Neutral
May 20, 2025

On May 16, 2025, Arhaus, Inc. announced the separation of Lisa Chi, who previously served as the Chief Merchandising Officer. During the Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on May 15, 2025, Albert Adams, Stuart Burgdoerfer, John Kyees, and John Roth were elected as Directors, and the compensation for named executive officers and the selection of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as independent accountants were approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARHS) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arhaus stock, see the ARHS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Arhaus Reports Q1 2025 Revenue Increase Amid Challenges
Neutral
May 8, 2025

Arhaus reported a 5.5% increase in net revenue to $311 million for the first quarter of 2025, despite a 67.6% drop in net income to $5 million. The company plans to expand its showroom projects and reduce China sourcing, reflecting a cautious outlook due to macroeconomic volatility and tariff-related challenges.

Executive/Board Changes
Arhaus Appoints Michael Lee as New CFO
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

On April 22, 2025, Arhaus, Inc. announced the appointment of Michael Lee as Chief Financial Officer, effective May 12, 2025. Michael Lee brings extensive experience from his previous roles at Ste. Michelle Wine Estates and Canopy Growth Corporation. His compensation package includes a base salary of $550,000, a sign-on bonus, and eligibility for incentive awards and stock units. This strategic appointment is expected to enhance Arhaus’s financial leadership and operational efficiency.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Arhaus Appoints New CIO Amid Leadership Changes
Neutral
Apr 10, 2025

On April 7, 2025, Arhaus, Inc. announced the appointment of Allison Sutley as Chief Information Officer, effective April 14, 2025. Ms. Sutley brings extensive experience from her previous roles at Express, Inc., Cardinal Health, Inc., and Designer Brands Inc. This strategic appointment is expected to enhance Arhaus’s technological capabilities and operational efficiency. In connection with her new role, Ms. Sutley will receive a comprehensive compensation package, including a base salary, cash incentive awards, and stock units. The transition also involves the separation of Mr. Venkat Nachiappan from the company, who will receive severance and support for transitioning responsibilities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.