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VBR - ETF AI Analysis

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VBR

Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF (VBR)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
VBR (Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF) earns a solid overall rating, mainly because several of its key holdings show strong financial performance and growth prospects. Standouts like United Therapeutics, Flex, Jabil, and Williams-Sonoma contribute positively through robust earnings, strategic initiatives, and generally supportive technical trends, while some holdings such as Smurfit Westrock and Omnicom face bearish or cautious technical signals and valuation concerns that slightly weigh on the fund. The main risk factor is that many top holdings share issues like high leverage, valuation pressures, or bearish technical trends, which could increase volatility if market conditions worsen.
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has shown solid gains so far this year and over the past month, indicating positive recent momentum.
Broad Sector Diversification
Holdings are spread across many sectors such as financials, industrials, consumer cyclical, real estate, technology, and health care, which helps reduce the impact if any one sector struggles.
Low Expense Ratio
The fund charges a very low fee, so investors keep more of the returns generated by the portfolio.
Negative Factors
Heavy U.S. Concentration
Almost all of the ETF’s assets are invested in U.S. companies, offering very little geographic diversification.
Mixed Performance Among Top Holdings
While several top positions have delivered strong gains, a few key holdings have shown weak or negative performance, which can drag on overall returns.
Sector Tilts Toward Cyclical Areas
Significant exposure to sectors like financials, industrials, and consumer cyclical means the fund may be more sensitive to economic slowdowns.

VBR vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

VBR Summary

Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF (VBR) tracks the CRSP US Small Value Index, focusing on smaller U.S. companies that appear relatively cheap based on their fundamentals. It owns hundreds of stocks across many sectors, including names like NRG Energy and Williams-Sonoma, so you’re not betting on just one industry. Investors might consider VBR if they want long-term growth potential and diversification away from large, well-known companies, at a relatively low cost. A key risk is that small-company stocks can be more volatile and may fall more sharply than the overall market, especially during economic downturns.
How much will it cost me?The Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF (VBR) has an expense ratio of 0.07%, meaning you’ll pay $0.70 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than average because it is passively managed, tracking an index rather than relying on active stock picking.
What would affect this ETF?The Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF (VBR) could benefit from a strong U.S. economy, as small-cap companies often thrive during periods of economic growth and increased consumer spending, particularly in sectors like financials and consumer cyclical, which make up a significant portion of the fund. However, rising interest rates or economic slowdowns could negatively impact small-cap stocks, as these companies typically have higher debt levels and are more sensitive to borrowing costs. Additionally, changes in regulations affecting key sectors like financials or real estate could influence the fund's performance.

VBR Top 10 Holdings

VBR’s story is all about U.S. small-cap value names, with a clear tilt toward economically sensitive areas like financials, industrials, and consumer stocks. On the upside, Flex and Jabil have been the fund’s workhorses, rising steadily on strong earnings and upbeat outlooks, while United Therapeutics adds a healthy dose of growth from the biotech side. Offsetting that strength, NRG Energy, Smurfit Westrock, and Omnicom have been losing steam, acting as a bit of a drag on returns. Overall, performance is driven more by broad sector exposure than any single star name.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
NRG Energy0.75%$456.00M$28.29B-18.31%
69
Neutral
Atmos Energy0.74%$449.00M$28.23B8.09%
66
Neutral
Tapestry0.69%$419.75M$29.39B76.69%
69
Neutral
Jabil0.64%$391.50M$38.46B114.24%
73
Outperform
United Therapeutics0.63%$381.84M$23.64B67.33%
79
Outperform
Flex0.58%$353.61M$55.24B249.24%
74
Outperform
Omnicom Group0.56%$343.38M$20.72B7.77%
73
Outperform
Williams-Sonoma0.53%$319.80M$23.97B27.76%
75
Outperform
Smurfit Westrock0.50%$305.81M$21.51B-3.21%
69
Neutral
US Foods Holding0.49%$298.78M$18.03B2.97%
74
Outperform

VBR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
227.32
Positive
100DMA
225.61
Positive
200DMA
216.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.64
Negative
RSI
57.32
Neutral
STOCH
81.93
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VBR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 231.86, equal to the 50-day MA of 227.32, and equal to the 200-day MA of 216.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.64 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.93 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VBR.

VBR Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$35.71B0.05%
68
Neutral
$104.27B0.06%
66
Neutral
$81.40B0.19%
64
Neutral
$78.97B0.03%
67
Neutral
$27.31B0.25%
68
Neutral
$14.11B0.24%
64
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VBR
Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF
236.07
50.05
26.91%
IJR
iShares Core S&P Small Cap ETF
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
VB
Vanguard Small-Cap ETF
AVUV
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
IWN
iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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