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VBR - ETF AI Analysis

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VBR

Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF (VBR)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
VBR, the Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF, has a solid overall rating driven by several strong holdings with healthy financial performance and growth prospects, such as United Therapeutics, Williams-Sonoma, and Flex, which benefit from robust profitability, positive earnings calls, and strategic initiatives. However, some holdings like NRG Energy and Smurfit Westrock face valuation concerns, bearish technical signals, or leverage and market challenges, and the fund’s focus on smaller value-oriented companies can add volatility and sector-specific risk. Overall, the mix of fundamentally strong but sometimes technically or valuation-challenged stocks leads to a balanced, but not top-tier, assessment.
Positive Factors
Broad Sector Diversification
The ETF spreads its investments across many sectors, which helps reduce the impact if any one industry struggles.
Low Expense Ratio
The fund charges a very low annual fee, so more of the returns stay in investors’ pockets over time.
Healthy Recent Performance
The ETF has shown steady gains over the past few months, suggesting its small-cap value approach has been working recently.
Negative Factors
Heavy U.S. Concentration
Almost all of the fund’s assets are in U.S. stocks, offering very little geographic diversification.
Mixed Top Holding Performance
Some of the largest positions have been weak or lagging, which can hold back overall returns if that continues.
Small-Cap and Value Style Risk
Because the ETF focuses on smaller, value-oriented companies, it can be more volatile and may underperform when investors favor large growth stocks.

VBR vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

VBR Summary

Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF (VBR) tracks the CRSP US Small Value Index, focusing on smaller U.S. companies that appear undervalued based on their stock prices. It owns a wide mix of businesses across many sectors, including names like NRG Energy and Williams-Sonoma, giving investors broad exposure to lesser-known but potentially growing firms. Someone might invest in VBR to diversify beyond large, famous companies and to seek long-term growth from small-cap value stocks. However, these smaller companies can be more volatile, so the ETF’s price can rise and fall more sharply than the overall market.
How much will it cost me?The Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF (VBR) has an expense ratio of 0.07%, meaning you’ll pay $0.70 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than average because it is passively managed, tracking an index rather than relying on active stock picking.
What would affect this ETF?The Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF (VBR) could benefit from a strong U.S. economy, as small-cap companies often thrive during periods of economic growth and increased consumer spending, particularly in sectors like financials and consumer cyclical, which make up a significant portion of the fund. However, rising interest rates or economic slowdowns could negatively impact small-cap stocks, as these companies typically have higher debt levels and are more sensitive to borrowing costs. Additionally, changes in regulations affecting key sectors like financials or real estate could influence the fund's performance.

VBR Top 10 Holdings

VBR’s story is less about one star and more about a deep bench of U.S. small-cap value names. On the positive side, industrial players like EMCOR Group and electronics manufacturers Jabil and Flex have been rising, helping to pull the fund forward, while Williams-Sonoma adds steady strength from the consumer side. On the flip side, NRG Energy has been losing steam and Omnicom has lagged, acting as small brakes on performance. Overall, the ETF leans into cyclical, economically sensitive sectors rather than flashy Big Tech giants.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
NRG Energy0.74%$447.17M$28.73B53.79%
69
Neutral
EMCOR Group0.67%$401.31M$31.64B64.39%
73
Outperform
Atmos Energy0.66%$397.16M$27.25B17.96%
66
Neutral
Tapestry0.64%$383.16M$25.82B74.02%
69
Neutral
Omnicom Group0.62%$376.25M$25.28B-9.03%
73
Outperform
Jabil0.56%$339.13M$25.53B51.58%
73
Outperform
Flex0.54%$327.40M$23.57B64.09%
74
Outperform
Williams-Sonoma0.52%$312.11M$24.43B-3.29%
75
Outperform
United Therapeutics0.51%$307.42M$20.38B28.09%
79
Outperform
Smurfit Westrock0.49%$295.61M$22.58B-20.19%
69
Neutral

VBR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
213.97
Positive
100DMA
210.50
Positive
200DMA
200.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.32
Negative
RSI
60.82
Neutral
STOCH
54.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VBR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 220.47, equal to the 50-day MA of 213.97, and equal to the 200-day MA of 200.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VBR.

VBR Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$33.91B0.07%
$95.96B0.06%
$78.41B0.19%
$73.86B0.05%
$22.22B0.25%
$12.96B0.24%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VBR
Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF
224.39
23.49
11.69%
IJR
iShares Core S&P Small Cap ETF
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
VB
Vanguard Small-Cap ETF
AVUV
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
IWN
iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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