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VBR - ETF AI Analysis

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VBR

Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF (VBR)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
The Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF (VBR) has a solid overall rating, reflecting a balanced mix of strong and weaker holdings. United Therapeutics (UTHR) and nVent Electric (NVT) stand out as key contributors due to their robust financial performance, strategic growth initiatives, and positive earnings call sentiment. However, holdings like SanDisk (SNDK) and Tapestry (TPR) weigh on the rating due to concerns over profitability, valuation, and bearish technical trends. A potential risk for the ETF is its exposure to valuation challenges across several holdings, which could limit future upside.
Positive Factors
Strong Top Holdings
Several of the ETF's largest positions, such as NRG Energy and Tapestry, have delivered strong year-to-date performance, supporting overall returns.
Low Expense Ratio
The ETF has a very low expense ratio, making it cost-effective compared to similar funds and maximizing investor returns.
Broad Sector Diversification
The ETF is spread across multiple sectors, including Financials, Industrials, and Consumer Cyclical, reducing the risk of sector-specific downturns.
Negative Factors
High Geographic Concentration
With over 98% of its holdings in U.S. companies, the ETF lacks exposure to international markets, limiting diversification.
Mixed Performance in Top Holdings
While some top holdings have performed well, others like Smurfit Westrock have underperformed, potentially dragging on overall returns.
Sensitivity to Economic Cycles
Heavy exposure to cyclical sectors like Financials and Consumer Cyclical makes the ETF vulnerable to economic downturns.

VBR vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

VBR Summary

The Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF (VBR) is an investment fund that focuses on small companies in the U.S. that are considered undervalued, meaning their stock prices are lower compared to their financial health and potential. It follows the CRSP US Small Value Index and includes companies like NRG Energy and EMCOR Group. Investors might consider VBR for its potential to grow over time, as small-cap stocks have historically offered higher returns than larger companies. However, small-cap stocks can be more volatile, meaning their prices may go up and down more dramatically than larger, more established companies.
How much will it cost me?The Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF (VBR) has an expense ratio of 0.07%, meaning you’ll pay $0.70 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than average because it is passively managed, tracking an index rather than relying on active stock picking.
What would affect this ETF?The Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF (VBR) could benefit from a strong U.S. economy, as small-cap companies often thrive during periods of economic growth and increased consumer spending, particularly in sectors like financials and consumer cyclical, which make up a significant portion of the fund. However, rising interest rates or economic slowdowns could negatively impact small-cap stocks, as these companies typically have higher debt levels and are more sensitive to borrowing costs. Additionally, changes in regulations affecting key sectors like financials or real estate could influence the fund's performance.

VBR Top 10 Holdings

The Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF (VBR) is leaning heavily on the industrials and financial sectors, which together make up over a third of the fund’s portfolio. While stocks like SanDisk and nVent Electric are rising stars, delivering strong momentum and benefiting from strategic growth in tech and infrastructure, others like Smurfit Westrock and Williams-Sonoma are dragging performance with bearish trends and valuation concerns. The fund’s U.S.-centric focus and emphasis on undervalued small-cap names provide a unique opportunity for long-term growth, though recent mixed results highlight the inherent volatility of this niche.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
NRG Energy0.86%$503.85M$32.30B70.43%
67
Neutral
EMCOR Group0.78%$458.50M$27.34B20.23%
73
Outperform
SanDisk Corp0.71%$418.47M$31.51B
55
Neutral
Atmos Energy0.67%$395.98M$28.42B16.05%
71
Outperform
Williams-Sonoma0.62%$362.29M$21.62B5.68%
75
Outperform
Tapestry0.59%$346.42M$22.65B81.71%
58
Neutral
Jabil0.58%$341.33M$22.14B55.43%
61
Neutral
United Therapeutics0.52%$305.33M$21.03B29.17%
79
Outperform
Smurfit Westrock0.50%$292.17M$18.63B-34.66%
65
Neutral
nVent Electric0.47%$278.95M$17.19B37.09%
76
Outperform

VBR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
207.20
Positive
100DMA
205.16
Positive
200DMA
195.81
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Negative
RSI
59.76
Neutral
STOCH
81.12
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VBR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 205.52, equal to the 50-day MA of 207.20, and equal to the 200-day MA of 195.81, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.12 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VBR.

VBR Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$31.66B0.07%
$85.31B0.06%
$66.92B0.05%
$66.20B0.19%
$18.72B0.25%
$11.27B0.24%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VBR
Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF
210.98
-0.70
-0.33%
IJR
iShares Core S&P Small Cap ETF
VB
Vanguard Small-Cap ETF
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
AVUV
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
IWN
iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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