tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Omnicom Group (OMC)
NYSE:OMC

Omnicom Group (OMC) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
975 Followers

Top Page

OMC

Omnicom Group

(NYSE:OMC)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$86.00
▲(3.29% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/21/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial fundamentals led by strong free cash flow and improving revenue momentum, and a constructive (though mixed) technical setup with the stock trading above key moving averages. These positives are meaningfully offset by a very high P/E and the 2025 GAAP net loss alongside acquisition-related charges and higher projected interest expense, which increase near-term earnings and execution risk.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Consistently positive operating cash flow and a sharp increase in free cash flow in 2025 indicate durable internal cash generation. This supports funding of integration costs, buybacks, dividends and deleveraging without relying solely on external financing, strengthening financial flexibility over the next 2–6 months.
Scale and Market Position
The completed Interpublic acquisition creates a scaled global marketing and sales leader with combined revenues north of $25B. Greater scale improves client access, cross‑sell opportunities, procurement leverage and competitive positioning, underpinning more stable revenue streams and client retention structurally.
Synergy and Integration Plan
A clearly articulated integration roadmap with doubled synergies to $1.5B (and ~$900M in 2026) signals structural cost savings across labor, real estate, and G&A/IT/procurement. If executed, these recurring savings should sustainably improve margins and cash flow conversion beyond one-time adjustments.
Negative Factors
Earnings Quality Volatility
Large one‑time integration and restructuring charges produced a GAAP net loss, creating noise in reported earnings and reducing visibility into core profitability. Persistent below‑the‑line volatility can complicate forecasting and capital allocation decisions during the multi‑quarter integration window.
Leverage and Refinancing Risk
While 2025 shows improved reported equity, debt remains large and a near‑term $1.4B note maturity plus assumed IPG debt raise refinancing and interest expense risk. Higher projected 2026 net interest (~$210M) will structurally press cash flow available for investment or returns if rates or credit conditions tighten.
Revenue Base Reduction Risk
Planned disposition of ~$2.5B in revenue reduces the retained portfolio and shifts near‑term revenue composition. Successful execution is necessary to realize strategic focus without impairing client relationships or organic growth, introducing execution and transitional revenue risk over the next several quarters.

Omnicom Group (OMC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Omnicom Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOmnicom Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides advertising, marketing, and corporate communications services. It provides a range of services in the areas of advertising, customer relationship management, public relations, and healthcare. The company's services include advertising, branding, content marketing, corporate social responsibility consulting, crisis communications, custom publishing, data analytics, database management, digital/direct marketing, digital transformation, entertainment marketing, experiential marketing, field marketing, financial/corporate business-to-business advertising, graphic arts/digital imaging, healthcare marketing and communications, and in-store design services. Its services also comprise interactive marketing, investor relations, marketing research, media planning and buying, merchandising and point of sale, mobile marketing, multi-cultural marketing, non-profit marketing, organizational communications, package design, product placement, promotional marketing, public affairs, retail marketing, sales support, search engine marketing, shopper marketing, social media marketing, and sports and event marketing services. It operates in the United States, Canada, Puerto Rico, South America, Mexico, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Australia, Greater China, India, Japan, Korea, New Zealand, Singapore, and other Asian countries. The company was incorporated in 1944 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyOmnicom generates revenue primarily through its extensive range of advertising and marketing services, which are billed on a project basis, retainer agreements, or performance-based contracts. Key revenue streams include traditional advertising (creative development and media buying), digital marketing services (including social media and search engine marketing), and public relations services. The company also earns revenue from consulting and data analytics, helping clients make informed marketing decisions. Significant partnerships with major global brands across various sectors enhance its earnings potential, as these relationships often lead to long-term contracts and repeat business. Additionally, Omnicom capitalizes on market trends by investing in technology and innovation, thus maintaining a competitive edge in the evolving marketing landscape.

Omnicom Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments to improve performance.
Chart InsightsOmnicom Group's Media and Advertising segment is experiencing robust growth, driven by a 9% revenue increase, aligning with strategic acquisitions and new business wins. However, challenges persist in Healthcare and Branding, with declines attributed to patent expirations and adverse market conditions. The pending acquisition of Interpublic and the launch of OmniPlus are expected to enhance operational capabilities and client outcomes, potentially offsetting current segment weaknesses. Despite these challenges, Omnicom's strong cash flow and strategic initiatives position it well for future growth and synergy realization.
Data provided by:The Fly

Omnicom Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a strongly constructive strategic picture — a transformational acquisition closed and management has a detailed integration plan that is already delivering defined actions: organizational consolidation (Connected Capabilities), platform unification, significant and increased synergy targets (doubled to $1.5B), robust liquidity, a sizable share repurchase authorization and early client wins. These positives are counterbalanced by large one-time restructuring and disposition charges in Q4, substantial near-term debt and interest expense increases tied to the acquisition, and underperforming pockets across some regions and disciplines. Overall, management frames the costs as necessary one-time items to enable a materially stronger, more efficient combined company and expects substantial synergy realization beginning in 2026 — thus the highlights outweigh the near-term lowlights.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Close of Interpublic Acquisition and Early Integration Momentum
Acquisition of Interpublic (IPG) closed Nov 26, 2025; 11 weeks of post-close integration produced rapid organizational moves (Connected Capabilities, Growth & Solutions, Client Success Leaders) and platform unification, positioning Omnicom as a leading global marketing and sales company.
Material Synergy Upside — Target Doubled to $1.5B
Management doubled expected annual run-rate synergies from $750 million to $1.5 billion over ~30 months (100% increase vs initial estimate), with $900 million of savings expected in 2026. Synergy breakdown: ~$1.0B labor cost reductions, $240M real estate, $260M G&A/IT/procurement.
Strong Retained Portfolio and Revenue Base
Retained portfolio generated $23.1 billion in revenue for the 12 months ended Sept 30, 2025, providing a sizable base to drive future growth after planned disposals.
Adjusted Operating Performance (Q4)
Excluding severance/repositioning, dispositions and acquisition-related items, Q4 adjusted operating income (EBIT) was $876M and adjusted EBITA was $929M, with an adjusted EBITA margin of 16.8% (up 10 basis points year-over-year).
Organic Growth Signal
If excluding planned dispositions, Omnicom's calculated organic growth for Q4 2025 was approximately 4%, indicating underlying demand in retained businesses.
Strong Liquidity and Cash Position
Cash equivalents and short-term investments totaled $6.9B at year-end, up $2.5B year-over-year; undrawn $3.5B revolver and $3B commercial paper program provide additional liquidity.
Aggressive Capital Return and Buyback Program
Board authorized $5.0B share repurchase program, launching a $2.5B accelerated share repurchase (ASR) immediately and planning an additional $500M–$1B in 2026. Expected reduction in shares outstanding of ~9%–11% by end-2026 (weighted average shares down ~7%–8%).
Notable Client Wins and Market Recognition
New business wins and contract extensions with major brands (American Express, Bayer, BBVA, BNY, Clarins, Mercedes, NatWest). Forrester named Omnicom a leader in its Commerce Services Wave, highlighting connected commerce capabilities.
Negative Updates
Large One-Time Integration and Restructuring Charges
In Q4 recorded $1.1B of severance and repositioning costs (severance, real estate impairment, contract exits), $543M loss on planned dispositions, and $187M of acquisition-related costs — sizable near-term charges impacting reported results.
Significant Portfolio Dispositions Planned
Management identified ~ $2.5B of annual revenue in nonstrategic/underperforming operations to sell or exit (have sold/exited >$800M so far); an additional ~$700M of smaller-market revenues moving from majority to minority ownership — these actions reduce near-term revenue scope and require execution over next 12 months.
Debt Increase and Higher Interest Expense Ahead
Book value of outstanding debt was $9.1B at year-end (including ~ $3B of assumed IPG debt). Net interest expense expected to rise by ~ $210M in 2026 versus 2025 (driven by added IPG debt, refinancing ~$1.4B notes and incremental commercial paper for buybacks).
Short-Term Maturity and Refinancing Risk
$1.4B April 2026 notes are now classified as current on the balance sheet and will require refinancing or repayment in the near term, adding short-term liquidity/market risk.
Regional and Discipline Weaknesses
Underperformance in specific markets and disciplines: France, the Netherlands and China struggled in Q4; PR business (excluding acquisition) had negative growth due to tough prior-year election comps; Branding and Execution & Support remain challenged.
Reported Results Distorted by Transaction Timing
Reported leverage ratios and year-end metrics are distorted because full inclusion of IPG's debt was assumed while only one month of IPG EBITA was included — complicates direct year-over-year comparisons.
Lower Near-Term Tax Benefit and Cash Tax Impacts
The reported effective tax rate on the operating loss was 12.7% in Q4 (vs prior-year 26.4%), reflecting lower tax benefit associated with non-deductible charges; management expects a normalized tax rate around ~26% for 2026, implying less benefit from the Q4 technical rate.
Modest Adjusted Margin Improvement
Adjusted EBITA margin improved only modestly (up 10 basis points to 16.8% year-over-year), indicating limited immediate margin expansion despite integration actions and synergy targets.
Company Guidance
Management issued clear financial and capital‑allocation guidance: they doubled expected annual run‑rate synergies to $1.5 billion (from $750M) to be realized over ~30 months, with ~$900M of savings expected in 2026 (breakdown: ~$1.0B labor, $240M real‑estate, $260M G&A/IT/procurement); the Board authorized a $5.0B repurchase program and launched a $2.5B accelerated share repurchase (plus an additional $500M–$1.0B planned in 2026) that they expect will reduce shares outstanding from 313.1M at 12/31/25 by ~9%–11% (weighted‑average shares down ~7%–8% for the year); they forecast a ~ $210M increase in net interest expense in 2026 (including ~$125M from assumed IPG long‑term debt — ~$14M non‑cash fair‑value interest — and ~$50M–$55M from refinancing the $1.4B April 2026 notes and incremental CP), expect a planning tax rate of ~26% for 2026, and said adjusted Q4 (ex‑items) operating income was $876M and adjusted EBITA $929M (16.8% margin, +10 bps y/y) after recording $1.1B severance/repositioning, $543M loss on planned dispositions and $187M acquisition costs; other key metrics used for 2026 planning included a Q4 pro‑forma organic growth of ~4% (excluding planned dispositions), retained‑portfolio revenue of $23.1B (LTM Sep‑30‑25), combined LTM revenue of $26.3B and adjusted EBITA $4.1B, cash & short‑term investments $6.9B, undrawn revolver $3.5B, book debt $9.1B (including ~ $3B IPG debt) and a pro‑forma total leverage of ~2.4x.

Omnicom Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and improving cash generation (consistently positive operating cash flow and sharply higher free cash flow in 2025) supports underlying earnings power. However, the 2025 net loss despite steady operating margins raises earnings-quality concerns, and while leverage appears to improve in 2025, the magnitude of balance sheet changes reduces comparability and adds uncertainty.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Revenue has grown steadily from 2023 to 2025 (with a strong step-up in 2025), and operating profitability has remained consistent, with EBIT margins holding around the mid-teens across the period. The key weakness is bottom-line volatility: after solid net profit margins near ~9–10% in 2021–2024, 2025 reported a small net loss, which materially weakens earnings quality and raises questions about one-time charges or other below-the-line pressure.
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Leverage has historically been elevated (debt running well above equity in 2020–2024), which can limit flexibility in a cyclical advertising environment. 2025 shows a sharp improvement in the reported debt-to-equity relationship (equity increased substantially), which is a positive de-risking signal, but the reported jump in assets, debt, and equity versus prior years also indicates a meaningful balance sheet shift that reduces comparability and adds uncertainty. Overall: improving trajectory, but leverage and the scale of year-to-year change temper the score.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: operating cash flow and free cash flow are consistently positive, and free cash flow increased sharply in 2025 versus 2024. Free cash flow has generally tracked net income closely in profitable years, and notably remains strong even in 2025 despite the net loss—supporting underlying cash earnings power. The main drawback is that cash flow relative to the debt load is only moderate, so sustained deleveraging would still require continued strong cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.07B17.27B15.69B14.69B14.29B14.29B
Gross Profit2.80B2.98B2.74B2.50B2.58B2.53B
EBITDA2.45B2.86B2.62B2.42B2.37B2.41B
Net Income1.33B-54.50M1.48B1.39B1.30B1.40B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.84B54.42B29.62B28.04B27.00B28.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.41B6.88B4.34B4.43B4.34B5.32B
Total Debt7.04B10.67B6.87B6.50B6.70B6.87B
Total Liabilities23.72B41.72B24.45B23.40B22.84B24.65B
Stockholders Equity4.61B12.05B4.19B3.62B3.25B3.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.67B2.79B1.59B1.34B848.30M1.28B
Operating Cash Flow1.83B2.94B1.73B1.42B926.50M1.95B
Investing Cash Flow-159.30M980.20M-1.06B79.10M-380.90M-709.20M
Financing Cash Flow-1.75B-1.59B-582.00M-1.39B-1.36B-1.39B

Omnicom Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price83.26
Price Trends
50DMA
76.99
Positive
100DMA
75.86
Positive
200DMA
74.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.46
Negative
RSI
64.72
Neutral
STOCH
82.85
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OMC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 83.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.60, above the 50-day MA of 76.99, and above the 200-day MA of 74.48, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.85 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OMC.

Omnicom Group Risk Analysis

Omnicom Group disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Omnicom Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Omnicom Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$896.69M6.6113.16%0.32%69.78%
66
Neutral
$1.72B32.397.56%6.27%226.16%
65
Neutral
$1.21B61.803.80%6.76%1841.46%
64
Neutral
$3.93B8.1111.24%9.15%-1.89%90.72%
62
Neutral
$22.07B163.09-0.67%3.68%4.13%-7.84%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OMC
Omnicom Group
83.26
2.56
3.17%
STGW
Stagwell
4.63
-2.03
-30.48%
WPP
WPP
18.84
-26.43
-58.38%
CRTO
Criteo SA
17.52
-22.93
-56.69%
MGNI
Magnite
12.23
-5.46
-30.86%

Omnicom Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Omnicom Reports Q4 2025 Results, Highlights Integration Progress
Positive
Feb 18, 2026

Omnicom on February 18, 2026 reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, highlighting revenue of $5.5 billion for the quarter and $17.3 billion for the year, alongside GAAP net losses driven by acquisition-related items but solid non-GAAP adjusted earnings and margins. Following the November 26, 2025 closing of its merger with Interpublic Group, the company outlined integration progress, doubled its total cost-synergy target to $1.5 billion, and announced a $5.0 billion share repurchase program including a $2.5 billion accelerated buyback, signaling an aggressive push to streamline operations, enhance profitability, and return substantial capital to shareholders.

The quarter showed a swing to a net loss of $0.9 billion and an operating loss of $1.0 billion under GAAP, contrasted with non-GAAP adjusted EBITA of $928.9 million and a 16.8% margin, while full-year figures reflected a modest GAAP net loss of $54.5 million against $1.8 billion in non-GAAP adjusted net income. Management emphasized portfolio simplification, leadership and brand changes, and the launch of a new generation of its Omni platform as key levers to integrate the larger combined organization, capture synergies quickly in 2026, and strengthen its competitive position in the global marketing and communications sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (OMC) stock is a Hold with a $82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Omnicom Group stock, see the OMC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Omnicom Group Shareholders Approve 2026 Incentive Award Plan
Positive
Jan 29, 2026

On January 28, 2026, Omnicom Group Inc. shareholders held a special meeting at which they approved the Omnicom 2026 Incentive Award Plan, designed to govern the company’s future incentive-based compensation programs. The plan received strong shareholder backing, with 257,022,432 votes in favor, 8,600,690 against and 223,223 abstentions, signaling broad investor support for Omnicom’s approach to aligning management and employee incentives with shareholder interests and potentially shaping its compensation structure in the coming years.

The most recent analyst rating on (OMC) stock is a Buy with a $88.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Omnicom Group stock, see the OMC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Omnicom Group Finalizes Exchange Offers After Merger
Neutral
Dec 2, 2025

Omnicom Group Inc. completed its merger with The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. on November 26, 2025, and subsequently finalized exchange offers and consent solicitations on December 2, 2025. This involved exchanging $2.95 billion of IPG’s existing notes for new Omnicom notes and cash, alongside amending certain covenants and provisions. The issuance of new notes is expected to impact Omnicom’s financial structure and market positioning, with implications for stakeholders regarding the company’s debt management and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (OMC) stock is a Hold with a $87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Omnicom Group stock, see the OMC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDividendsM&A Transactions
Omnicom Group Announces Leadership Changes Post-Acquisition
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Omnicom Group Inc. announced its strategic plans and executive leadership changes following the acquisition of The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. The company has engaged with its largest clients to ensure a smooth transition and plans to unveil its new strategy and capabilities at the CES 2026 in January. Omnicom will also provide updates on its integration and synergy expectations during its year-end earnings announcement in February 2026, followed by an investor day to discuss capital allocation strategies. The company has increased its dividend, reflecting confidence in its cash generation and synergy capture.

The most recent analyst rating on (OMC) stock is a Hold with a $87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Omnicom Group stock, see the OMC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Omnicom Completes Acquisition of Interpublic Group
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

On November 26, 2025, Omnicom announced the completion of its acquisition of The Interpublic Group of Companies, creating the world’s leading marketing and sales company. The merger, which involved an exchange of shares, positions Omnicom as a modern leader in marketing and sales, with a combined revenue exceeding $25 billion. The company aims to set a new standard in the industry by integrating data, creativity, and technology to drive sustainable growth. The merger also resulted in changes to the company’s leadership and board of directors, with Philippe Krakowsky appointed as Co-President and Co-Chief Operating Officer.

The most recent analyst rating on (OMC) stock is a Hold with a $87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Omnicom Group stock, see the OMC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Omnicom Group Nears Completion of IPG Merger
Neutral
Nov 26, 2025

On August 11, 2025, Omnicom Group Inc. initiated offers to exchange outstanding notes issued by The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. (IPG) for up to $2.95 billion in new senior notes. This move is part of Omnicom’s pending merger with IPG, which is expected to be completed by November 26, 2025, following regulatory approvals. The merger will see IPG become a wholly owned subsidiary of Omnicom, with IPG shareholders receiving Omnicom shares. The merger is anticipated to enhance Omnicom’s market position by integrating IPG’s assets and operations, although the final financial impacts remain subject to change as further analyses are conducted.

The most recent analyst rating on (OMC) stock is a Hold with a $87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Omnicom Group stock, see the OMC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 21, 2026