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Criteo SA (CRTO)
NASDAQ:CRTO
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Criteo SA (CRTO) AI Stock Analysis

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CRTO

Criteo SA

(NASDAQ:CRTO)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$25.00
▲(11.11% Upside)
Criteo's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the stock score. The company's robust growth in key segments and strategic partnerships are promising. However, technical indicators suggest caution, and valuation metrics indicate potential undervaluation. Addressing challenges in specific segments will be crucial for sustained growth.
Positive Factors
Retail Media Growth
The significant growth in Retail Media indicates strong demand and effective market penetration, enhancing Criteo's competitive position in the digital advertising space.
Strategic Partnerships
These partnerships are likely to expand Criteo's market reach and enhance its service offerings, supporting long-term growth and innovation in its advertising solutions.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow growth underscores Criteo's ability to fund operations and strategic initiatives, providing financial flexibility and stability for future expansion.
Negative Factors
Challenges in Retail Media
Scope changes with key clients could impact revenue stability in Retail Media, posing a risk to maintaining consistent growth in this segment.
Decline in Fashion Segment
The decline in the fashion segment highlights potential vulnerabilities in specific verticals, which could affect overall revenue diversification and growth.
Slower Ramp-Up with New Clients
A slower ramp-up with new clients may delay expected revenue contributions, impacting short-term growth projections and requiring adjustments in client acquisition strategies.

Criteo SA (CRTO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Criteo SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCriteo SA (CRTO) is a global technology company specializing in digital advertising and marketing solutions. Founded in 2005 and headquartered in Paris, France, Criteo operates primarily in the online advertising sector, focusing on performance-based ads through its proprietary technology platform. The company provides a range of services including retargeting, audience targeting, and personalized ad solutions aimed at driving online sales and customer engagement for its clients, which include e-commerce businesses and advertisers across various industries.
How the Company Makes MoneyCriteo generates revenue primarily through its performance marketing services, where it charges advertisers based on the number of clicks or conversions generated by its ads. The key revenue streams include cost-per-click (CPC) and cost-per-acquisition (CPA) models, allowing clients to pay only when users engage with their ads or complete desired actions, such as making a purchase. Additionally, Criteo collaborates with various publishers and online platforms to expand its advertising reach, which enhances its inventory and effectiveness. Significant partnerships with major e-commerce platforms and data providers also contribute to its earnings by enhancing targeting capabilities and improving ad performance.

Criteo SA Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Number of Clients
Number of Clients
Indicates the scale of Criteo's customer base, highlighting market penetration and the potential for revenue growth through client retention and expansion.
Chart InsightsCriteo's client base has been declining since 2022, reflecting challenges in the retail sector and decreased ad tech services spending. Despite this, the latest earnings call highlights strong growth in Retail Media and successful product launches, suggesting a strategic pivot towards high-growth areas. The company is optimistic about Performance Media and AI innovation, aiming for a 3-4% growth in contribution ex-TAC. However, macroeconomic uncertainties and lower ad budgets could continue to pressure client numbers.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Criteo SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Criteo reported strong financial results with key growth areas in Retail Media and Performance Media, driven by new product offerings and strategic partnerships. However, challenges in certain segments like fashion and Retail Media scope changes with specific clients presented headwinds.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q3 Financial Performance
Revenue was $470 million, with contribution ex-TAC increasing to $288 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin was up 500 basis points year-over-year to 36%.
Retail Media Growth
Retail Media drove over $450 million in media spend, up 26% year-over-year, with more than 4,100 brands worldwide.
Introduction of Commerce GO
The GO solution is gaining traction, with 1 in 4 campaigns from small clients now run through GO, up from just 10% last quarter.
New Strategic Partnerships
Announced new partnerships with Google, Microsoft, and DoorDash, expected to enhance Retail Media offerings and expand addressable spend.
Agentic AI Developments
Criteo is partnering on a proof of concept with a major AI-powered assistant to integrate product recommendation capabilities.
Negative Updates
Decline in Fashion Segment
Retail media spending in the fashion segment declined by 11%.
Challenges in Retail Media
Facing scope changes with two specific clients and lapping onetime tiered fees, impacting revenue expectations for Retail Media.
Slower Ramp-Up with New Clients
Certain new clients in Retail Media experienced a slower ramp-up, contributing to a softer growth outlook.
Company Guidance
During Criteo's Third Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and strategic insights. Criteo reported media spend growth of 4%, a 400 basis point improvement from the prior quarter, and a 6% year-on-year increase in contribution ex-TAC, with adjusted EBITDA margin exceeding guidance. The company's Retail Media segment drove over $450 million in media spend, marking a 26% year-over-year growth with more than 4,100 brands. Criteo highlighted its shift towards a self-service AI-first platform, with the Commerce GO solution now accounting for 1 in 4 campaigns from small clients, up from 10% last quarter. The company also noted significant progress in agentic AI and announced a proof of concept with a major AI-powered assistant. For the full year, Criteo reaffirmed its contribution ex-TAC growth guidance of 3% to 4% at constant currency, while raising its adjusted EBITDA margin guidance to the high end of its range.

Criteo SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Criteo SA exhibits strong financial performance with solid profitability, effective cost management, and robust cash flow generation. The company's low leverage and high equity ratio provide financial stability. While revenue growth is moderate, the consistent improvement in margins and cash flows positions Criteo favorably within the advertising industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Criteo SA demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent improvement in gross profit margin, reaching approximately 52.9% in TTM. The net profit margin has also improved to around 7.1% in TTM, indicating effective cost management. Revenue growth is moderate, and EBITDA margin shows a healthy level of operational efficiency at about 13.0% in TTM. The stability in EBIT margin suggests steady income performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity position with an equity ratio of about 51.5%. The debt-to-equity ratio is manageable at approximately 0.11, reflecting low financial leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) has improved to around 12.7%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profit. Strong liquidity is evidenced by substantial cash reserves, although total assets have slightly declined recently.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Operating cash flow is robust with a positive trajectory, leading to a favorable operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.08 in TTM. Free cash flow has seen significant growth, reflecting efficient capital expenditure management, resulting in a free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.66 in TTM. Consistent positive free cash flow generation underscores strong cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.96B1.93B1.95B2.02B2.25B2.07B
Gross Profit1.05B982.97M863.04M795.20M781.94M688.02M
EBITDA250.62M256.97M154.60M199.05M247.02M182.16M
Net Income170.35M111.37M53.26M8.95M134.46M71.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.06B2.27B2.43B2.35B1.98B1.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments255.01M316.94M342.31M373.30M565.83M488.01M
Total Debt109.31M107.02M121.92M108.54M127.96M131.40M
Total Liabilities891.35M1.19B1.32B1.27B785.27M700.72M
Stockholders Equity1.13B1.05B1.08B1.05B1.16B1.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow333.50M180.05M131.75M171.19M165.93M118.07M
Operating Cash Flow319.58M257.70M224.25M255.99M220.91M185.36M
Investing Cash Flow-108.06M-97.90M-108.71M-166.12M-76.37M-101.09M
Financing Cash Flow-230.53M-270.50M-147.25M-113.04M-80.12M-57.75M

Criteo SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price22.50
Price Trends
50DMA
21.80
Negative
100DMA
22.81
Negative
200DMA
28.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Negative
RSI
48.58
Neutral
STOCH
52.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRTO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 22.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.11, above the 50-day MA of 21.80, and below the 200-day MA of 28.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CRTO.

Criteo SA Risk Analysis

Criteo SA disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Criteo SA reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Criteo SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.17B7.5515.37%0.32%69.78%
78
Outperform
$1.72B36.684.48%15.51%39.60%
68
Neutral
$2.44B39.437.56%6.27%226.16%
64
Neutral
$863.99M191.844.55%43.12%
63
Neutral
$1.37B22.483.56%5.94%-8.89%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
59
Neutral
$1.24B506.313.80%6.76%1841.46%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRTO
Criteo SA
21.42
-14.06
-39.63%
ZD
Ziff Davis
32.59
-24.06
-42.47%
STGW
Stagwell
4.82
-3.03
-38.60%
QNST
Quinstreet
13.78
-8.72
-38.76%
MGNI
Magnite
15.10
1.49
10.95%
IAS
Integral Ad Science
10.25
-2.24
-17.93%

Criteo SA Corporate Events

Criteo S.A. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 30, 2025

Criteo S.A. is a global platform that connects the commerce ecosystem for brands, agencies, retailers, and media owners, leveraging its AI-powered advertising platform to drive performance and growth in the digital commerce sector.

Criteo’s Earnings Call: Robust Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 30, 2025

Criteo’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health, underscored by strong growth in key areas such as Retail Media and Performance Media. The sentiment during the call was largely positive, driven by new product offerings and strategic partnerships. However, the company acknowledged challenges in specific segments, particularly in fashion and due to changes in Retail Media scope with certain clients.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDelistings and Listing ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Criteo SA Announces New Chief Customer Officer
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Criteo S.A. announced the appointment of Edouard Dinichert as Chief Customer Officer, effective December 1, 2025, and reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025. The company also revealed plans to transfer its legal domicile from France to Luxembourg and list its ordinary shares on Nasdaq, aiming to complete this transition by the third quarter of 2026, pending shareholder approval. These strategic moves, including a 2% increase in revenue and a significant rise in net income, underscore Criteo’s commitment to innovation and expanding its market influence, potentially enhancing shareholder value and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRTO) stock is a Buy with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Criteo SA stock, see the CRTO Stock Forecast page.

Criteo S.A. Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Jul 31, 2025

Criteo S.A. is a global platform that connects the commerce ecosystem, providing AI-powered advertising solutions for brands, agencies, retailers, and media owners. The company operates in the digital advertising industry, known for its unique access to over $1 trillion in annual commerce sales.

Criteo’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Challenges
Jul 31, 2025

Criteo’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust growth and innovation, particularly in Retail Media and product launches, while also acknowledging challenges in the retail sector and broader macroeconomic uncertainties. The sentiment during the call was optimistic about the company’s strategic direction, despite some hurdles in the ad tech services and retail sectors.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025