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Magnite (MGNI)
NASDAQ:MGNI
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Magnite (MGNI) AI Stock Analysis

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MGNI

Magnite

(NASDAQ:MGNI)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$16.00
▲(9.89% Upside)
Magnite's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are significant strengths, driving the overall score. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the stock's high valuation presents risks. The absence of a dividend yield further impacts its attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Exceeding revenue expectations indicates strong demand and effective strategy execution, supporting long-term growth prospects.
CTV and DV+ Growth
Growth in CTV and DV+ segments reflects successful product adoption and positions Magnite well in the expanding digital ad market.
AI and Technology Advancements
AI advancements enhance competitive positioning by improving ad targeting and efficiency, driving future revenue opportunities.
Negative Factors
Moderate Leverage
Moderate leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, especially if cash flow volatility persists.
Tariff-Related Pressures
Tariff pressures could impact cost structures and margins, posing a risk to profitability if not managed effectively.
Uncertain Macro Environment
Macroeconomic uncertainties can lead to reduced ad spend, affecting revenue growth and financial performance.

Magnite (MGNI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Magnite Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMagnite (MGNI) is a leading independent sell-side advertising platform that specializes in programmatic advertising and digital media solutions. The company operates primarily in the ad tech sector, providing tools and services that enable publishers to monetize their digital inventory across various channels, including display, video, and audio. Magnite's core offerings include a comprehensive supply-side platform (SSP) that helps publishers maximize revenue from their advertising space through automated transactions with advertisers and agencies.
How the Company Makes MoneyMagnite generates revenue primarily through its supply-side platform, where it charges publishers a percentage of the advertising revenue generated through its system. This model, known as a revenue share, allows Magnite to earn a portion of the earnings from each ad transaction facilitated on its platform. Additionally, the company also benefits from fees associated with programmatic advertising solutions, including data management and analytics services. Key revenue streams include direct partnerships with publishers and demand-side platforms (DSPs), which enable Magnite to facilitate ad sales and optimize inventory in real-time. Significant partnerships with major publishers and advertisers enhance its market position, driving increased transaction volumes and revenue growth. The company also explores opportunities in emerging digital advertising formats and technologies, contributing to its long-term profitability.

Magnite Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Examines revenue from various business segments, providing insight into which areas are most profitable and where the company might focus future efforts.
Chart InsightsMagnite's revenue has shown a consistent upward trend, with notable growth in the Net Basis segment, particularly in Q4 2024. The latest earnings call highlights a robust performance in Connected TV and Display Video Plus, driven by strategic partnerships with industry giants. This aligns with the revenue growth trajectory, suggesting a strong rebound in ad spend. However, macroeconomic uncertainties and tariff impacts could pose risks to future growth. The upcoming launch of SpringServe and potential market share gains from the Google antitrust ruling present significant opportunities for Magnite.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Magnite Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook driven by strong performance in CTV growth, strategic partnerships, and technological advancements. However, certain challenges such as macroeconomic pressures and Trade Desk changes were acknowledged.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong CTV Growth
CTV contribution ex-TAC grew 18% year-over-year, or 25% excluding political contributions, exceeding top-end guidance.
Record Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was $57 million, representing a 34% margin and a 13% increase year-over-year.
Robust Partnerships Expansion
Magnite's partnerships with major players like Netflix, Roku, Warner Bros. Discovery, and others have expanded, contributing to growth.
AI and Technology Integration
Integration of AI through Streamer acquisition and ClearLine enhancements, aiming to streamline processes and increase efficiency.
Increased Cash Position
Cash balance increased to $482 million from $426 million at the end of the second quarter.
Negative Updates
Impact of Trade Desk Software Change
A software change by Trade Desk impacted DV+ performance, affecting all SSPs and leading to a softer DV+ guide.
Macroeconomic Pressures
Additional drop in vertical spend in automotive and weaknesses in technology and home and garden sectors noted.
CapEx Increase
Capital expenditures expected to increase to $80 million for the year, with significant investments in new data center build-outs.
Company Guidance
In the Magnite Q3 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong financial performance, exceeding total top-line expectations with a contribution ex-TAC growth of 18% in CTV, or 25% excluding political factors. Adjusted EBITDA reached $57 million, resulting in a 34% margin. Magnite's notable growth was driven by partnerships with major industry players like LG, NBCU, Netflix, Roku, Vizio, Walmart, and Warner Bros. Discovery. The company highlighted its strategic initiatives, such as the integration of AI technologies from their Streamer acquisition and enhancements to their ClearLine product. Guidance for Q4 2025 anticipates contribution ex-TAC between $191 million and $196 million, with CTV growth projected at 12% to 14% and DV+ growth at 2% to 5%, adjusted for political contributions. Magnite also discussed its ongoing focus on optimizing its hybrid infrastructure and managing its operational expenses efficiently. For 2026, the company expects at least 11% growth in contribution ex-TAC, with CapEx projected at $60 million, while also preparing for potential impacts from the Google Ad tech trial outcomes.

Magnite Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Magnite has demonstrated strong revenue and profit growth, with improved margins and cash flow generation. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, but historical fluctuations in profitability and cash flow pose potential risks. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Magnite has shown consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.55%. The gross profit margin has improved to 62.33% in the TTM, indicating strong cost management. Net profit margin has increased to 6.30%, reflecting improved profitability. However, past periods showed volatility with negative net margins, which poses a risk.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.81, which is reasonable but indicates a moderate level of leverage. Return on equity has improved to 5.74% in the TTM, showing better utilization of equity. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure. However, historical fluctuations in equity and debt levels could pose risks.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Magnite's free cash flow has grown significantly by 89.2% in the TTM, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.13, indicating efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.75, showing a healthy cash position. Past cash flow volatility remains a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue702.57M668.17M619.71M577.07M468.41M221.63M
Gross Profit437.67M409.33M209.80M269.90M266.75M143.88M
EBITDA150.66M112.03M115.64M109.72M71.75M12.57M
Net Income57.97M22.79M-159.18M-130.32M65.00K-53.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.92B2.85B2.69B2.71B2.71B938.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments482.13M483.22M326.22M326.25M230.40M117.68M
Total Debt625.22M608.81M606.65M813.86M809.25M42.09M
Total Liabilities2.11B2.09B1.99B1.92B1.83B557.35M
Stockholders Equity807.95M768.22M701.68M791.30M880.76M381.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow170.88M202.39M176.98M148.15M97.46M-34.02M
Operating Cash Flow222.41M235.20M214.37M192.55M126.59M-12.06M
Investing Cash Flow-70.57M-47.50M-37.38M-65.15M-691.00M32.64M
Financing Cash Flow83.17M-28.90M-177.84M-30.17M678.05M7.35M

Magnite Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.56
Price Trends
50DMA
20.62
Negative
100DMA
21.86
Negative
200DMA
18.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.37
Positive
RSI
27.65
Positive
STOCH
20.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MGNI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.92, below the 50-day MA of 20.62, and below the 200-day MA of 18.34, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.65 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MGNI.

Magnite Risk Analysis

Magnite disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Magnite reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Magnite Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.13B7.1915.37%0.32%69.78%
78
Outperform
$1.72B36.714.48%15.51%39.60%
68
Neutral
$2.17B40.047.56%6.27%226.16%
65
Neutral
$863.99M191.844.55%43.12%
63
Neutral
$1.34B13.196.26%5.70%97.88%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
59
Neutral
$1.22B62.843.80%6.76%1841.46%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MGNI
Magnite
14.56
-1.74
-10.67%
ZD
Ziff Davis
32.22
-25.17
-43.86%
STGW
Stagwell
4.77
-2.90
-37.81%
QNST
Quinstreet
14.42
-7.57
-34.42%
CRTO
Criteo SA
22.20
-14.68
-39.80%
IAS
Integral Ad Science
10.27
-2.35
-18.62%

Magnite Corporate Events

Magnite, Inc. Earnings Call Highlights Strong CTV Growth
Nov 7, 2025

The recent earnings call for Magnite, Inc. painted a largely positive picture, underscored by strong performance in connected TV (CTV) growth, strategic partnerships, and technological advancements. Despite these achievements, the company acknowledged challenges such as macroeconomic pressures and changes in Trade Desk software, which have impacted certain areas of their business.

Magnite, Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 6, 2025

Magnite, Inc. is the world’s largest independent sell-side advertising company, providing technology for publishers to monetize content across various formats including CTV, online video, display, and audio. The company operates globally with offices in key cities such as New York, Los Angeles, and London.

Legal Proceedings
Magnite Files Lawsuit Against Google for Antitrust Violations
Negative
Sep 16, 2025

On September 16, 2025, Magnite filed a lawsuit against Google in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia. The lawsuit seeks financial damages and other remedies following a court ruling in April 2025 that found Google engaged in anticompetitive practices in the ad tech markets. Magnite claims that Google’s dominance has hindered industry growth and innovation, impacting publishers, advertisers, and independent companies like Magnite. The lawsuit highlights Google’s exclusionary tactics that favored its own services, depriving competitors of fair opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (MGNI) stock is a Buy with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Magnite stock, see the MGNI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Magnite Expands Lease with Zillow for Growth
Positive
Sep 5, 2025

On August 31, 2025, Magnite, Inc., a Delaware corporation, entered into a First Amendment to its Sublease with Zillow Group, Inc. This amendment, effective November 1, 2025, expands the leased premises to include the entire 8th floor, in addition to the previously leased 9th floor. This expansion reflects Magnite’s growth and potential increased operational capacity.

The most recent analyst rating on (MGNI) stock is a Buy with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Magnite stock, see the MGNI Stock Forecast page.

Magnite, Inc. Shines in Q2 Earnings Call
Aug 8, 2025

Magnite, Inc. Reports Strong Quarter with Positive Growth and Strategic Advancements

Magnite, Inc. Reports Strong Q2 2025 Growth
Aug 7, 2025

Magnite, Inc. is the world’s largest independent sell-side advertising company, providing technology for publishers to monetize content across various formats, including CTV, online video, display, and audio, with a global presence in key markets like North America, EMEA, LATAM, and APAC.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025