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Magnite (MGNI)
NASDAQ:MGNI

Magnite (MGNI) AI Stock Analysis

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MG

Magnite

(NASDAQ:MGNI)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$20.00
▲(6.27%Upside)
Magnite's strong earnings performance and technical indicators contribute significantly to its favorable stock score. However, high valuation metrics and macroeconomic uncertainties pose potential risks. Strong corporate governance and strategic opportunities partially mitigate these risks.
Positive Factors
Market Expansion
Magnite is seeing a broadening of the addressable market by being invited into ad platforms that were previously viewed to be walled gardens.
Partnerships and Collaborations
MGNI's growing traction with Amazon & NBC not only testifies to its status as the go-to sell-side platform for CTV.
Strategic Deals
The recent deal with Amazon could lead to further opening of Amazon inventory to the programmatic industry.
Negative Factors
Inventory Limitations
Deal with Fire TV covers a small percentage of inventory but could be a stepping stone toward a larger unlock.
Legal Risks
Checks with legal experts suggest a meaningful civil judgement for MGNI is likely if DOJ wins the Google ad-tech case.
Revenue Challenges
Managed service CTV revenues are down to 3-5% of total CTV revenues and on their way to 0%, with very high take rates.

Magnite (MGNI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Magnite Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMagnite, Inc. (MGNI) is a leading independent sell-side advertising platform that specializes in providing technology solutions for publishers to monetize their content across various channels, including desktop, mobile, audio, and connected television (CTV). The company operates in the digital advertising industry, offering a comprehensive platform that enables publishers to optimize their advertising inventory and reach a wide array of advertisers through programmatic advertising.
How the Company Makes MoneyMagnite generates revenue primarily through fees and commissions associated with facilitating the buying and selling of digital advertising inventory on its platform. The company's key revenue streams include take rates from transactions executed on its marketplace, which involve matching publishers' ad inventory with advertisers. Additionally, Magnite benefits from partnerships with major media companies and advertisers, which enhance its platform's reach and capabilities. The company also focuses on optimizing its technology to improve ad performance and efficiency, attracting more publishers and advertisers to its ecosystem.

Magnite Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Examines revenue from various business segments, providing insight into which areas are most profitable and where the company might focus future efforts.
Chart InsightsMagnite's revenue has shown a consistent upward trend, with notable growth in the Net Basis segment, particularly in Q4 2024. The latest earnings call highlights a robust performance in Connected TV and Display Video Plus, driven by strategic partnerships with industry giants. This aligns with the revenue growth trajectory, suggesting a strong rebound in ad spend. However, macroeconomic uncertainties and tariff impacts could pose risks to future growth. The upcoming launch of SpringServe and potential market share gains from the Google antitrust ruling present significant opportunities for Magnite.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Magnite Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 51.41%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong financial performance and growth in CTV and DV+ segments, as well as significant opportunities from the Google antitrust ruling. However, there are concerns about macroeconomic uncertainty and potential impacts from tariffs on future growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
CTV Growth and Partnerships
CTV contribution ex-TAC grew 15% year-over-year, driven by partnerships with major players like Netflix, Roku, and Warner Bros. Discovery.
Adjusted EBITDA Performance
Adjusted EBITDA came in at $37 million, growing 47% year-over-year, with a margin of 25% compared to 19% in Q1 last year.
DV+ Business Rebound
DV+ contribution ex-TAC increased by 9%, showing a strong recovery after previous slowdowns.
Google Antitrust Ruling Opportunity
Magnite is well-positioned to gain market share from Google due to the recent antitrust ruling, which could significantly benefit its DV+ business.
Technology and AI Investments
Magnite continues to invest in AI and technology to drive operational efficiencies and product enhancements.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
There is a potential dampening of growth rates due to tariff-related economic uncertainty, particularly affecting higher-risk verticals like auto, retail, and travel.
Potential Impact of Tariffs
Magnite has widened its guidance range for Q2 due to concerns over tariffs, which could affect ad spend in the coming months.
Company Guidance
During the Magnite Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided robust financial guidance and detailed performance metrics. Magnite exceeded its guidance for Q1, with Connected TV (CTV) growing by 15% and Display Video Plus (DV+) by 9%, showcasing a significant rebound in ad spend. Adjusted EBITDA was notably higher than expected, reaching $37 million, representing a 47% increase and a margin of 25%, compared to 19% in Q1 of the previous year. The company's CTV business excelled, driven by strong partnerships with major industry players like Roku, Netflix, and Disney. Additionally, Magnite's new generation of SpringServe, which integrates ad server capabilities with the Magnite Streaming SSP, is set to launch in July, enhancing efficiency and transparency for buyers and media owners. The company is also optimistic about its role in the potential market shift following the antitrust ruling against Google, which could level the playing field and increase Magnite's market share in the digital video space.

Magnite Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Magnite demonstrates strong revenue growth and improving profitability metrics, with robust cash flow generation. However, modest net profit margins and a moderate level of leverage indicate room for improvement in cost management and equity base enhancement.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Magnite demonstrates strong revenue growth, with Total Revenue increasing from $221.6M in 2020 to $674.6M TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The company has improved its profitability metrics, transitioning from negative EBIT to a positive EBIT margin of 9.4% TTM. Gross Profit Margin is robust at 61.7% TTM. However, the Net Profit Margin remains modest at 4.6% TTM, indicating room for improvement in cost management.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Magnite has a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.83, which indicates a moderate level of leverage. The Equity Ratio stands at 27.7%, suggesting a stable capital structure. Return on Equity (ROE) has turned positive at 4.2% TTM, reflecting improved profitability. While the balance sheet shows signs of strengthening, the company should continue to focus on increasing its equity base to further enhance financial stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow metrics are strong, with Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio at 9.6x TTM, highlighting efficient cash generation relative to net income. Free Cash Flow has grown significantly, with a robust Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 7.9x TTM. This indicates healthy cash flow generation that supports further growth and investment opportunities.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
196.31M668.17M619.71M577.07M468.41M221.63M
Gross Profit
152.88M409.33M209.80M269.90M266.75M143.88M
EBIT
-23.54M51.09M-155.01M-100.00M-6.20M-16.91M
EBITDA
3.19M51.09M115.64M109.72M71.40M12.57M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-18.55M22.79M-159.18M-130.32M65.00K-53.43M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
468.55M483.22M326.22M326.25M230.40M117.68M
Total Assets
1.21B2.85B2.69B2.71B2.71B938.96M
Total Debt
428.51M608.81M606.65M813.86M809.25M42.09M
Net Debt
-40.04M125.59M280.43M487.61M578.85M-75.58M
Total Liabilities
872.36M2.09B1.99B1.92B1.83B557.35M
Stockholders Equity
342.36M768.22M701.68M791.30M880.76M381.61M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
4.46M202.39M176.98M148.15M97.46M-34.02M
Operating Cash Flow
22.58M235.20M214.37M192.55M126.59M-12.06M
Investing Cash Flow
-57.69M-47.50M-37.38M-65.15M-691.00M32.64M
Financing Cash Flow
11.26M-28.90M-177.84M-30.17M678.05M7.35M

Magnite Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.82
Price Trends
50DMA
14.36
Positive
100DMA
14.82
Positive
200DMA
14.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.03
Negative
RSI
71.14
Negative
STOCH
88.03
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MGNI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.98, above the 50-day MA of 14.36, and above the 200-day MA of 14.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.14 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.03 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MGNI.

Magnite Risk Analysis

Magnite disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Magnite reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Magnite Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$2.62B94.914.30%5.59%
IAIAS
76
Outperform
$1.35B28.914.80%13.84%1494.51%
ZDZD
72
Outperform
$1.33B19.834.12%3.24%36.80%
71
Outperform
$1.28B9.7513.46%-1.18%100.33%
66
Neutral
$1.15B843.140.19%9.86%
62
Neutral
$861.11M-0.29%88.81%99.16%
61
Neutral
$14.57B5.94-3.83%7.78%2.79%-33.24%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MGNI
Magnite
18.82
5.75
43.99%
ZD
Ziff Davis
31.72
-21.86
-40.80%
STGW
Stagwell
4.30
-2.14
-33.23%
QNST
Quinstreet
15.12
-0.86
-5.38%
CRTO
Criteo SA
23.91
-12.10
-33.60%
IAS
Integral Ad Science
8.21
-1.38
-14.39%

Magnite Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Magnite Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Positive
Jun 10, 2025

At the 2025 annual meeting of stockholders held on June 5, 2025, Magnite‘s stockholders voted on three proposals. The election of three Class II directors, the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent accounting firm, and the approval of executive compensation were all passed, indicating continued support for the company’s leadership and financial strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (MGNI) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Magnite stock, see the MGNI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.