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Magnite (MGNI)
NASDAQ:MGNI
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Magnite (MGNI) AI Stock Analysis

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MGNI

Magnite

(NASDAQ:MGNI)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$27.00
▲(19.89% Upside)
Magnite's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings performance and positive technical indicators, reflecting robust growth and market positioning. However, the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, which tempers the overall score. The company's financial performance is solid, but improvements in cash flow management are necessary to sustain long-term growth.
Positive Factors
Earnings
MGNI reported strong 2Q25 results with net revenues and adjusted EBITDA significantly above estimates.
Partnerships
Magnite has announced deals with major companies like Pinterest, Redfin, Amazon, and others, strengthening its market position.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Concerns include higher capital expenditure spending which could impact MGNI's financial performance.
Legal Challenges
Suing Google is seen as a potential distraction from MGNI's strong performance.

Magnite (MGNI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Magnite Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMagnite (MGNI) is a leading independent sell-side advertising platform that specializes in programmatic advertising and digital media solutions. The company operates primarily in the ad tech sector, providing tools and services that enable publishers to monetize their digital inventory across various channels, including display, video, and audio. Magnite's core offerings include a comprehensive supply-side platform (SSP) that helps publishers maximize revenue from their advertising space through automated transactions with advertisers and agencies.
How the Company Makes MoneyMagnite generates revenue primarily through its supply-side platform, where it charges publishers a percentage of the advertising revenue generated through its system. This model, known as a revenue share, allows Magnite to earn a portion of the earnings from each ad transaction facilitated on its platform. Additionally, the company also benefits from fees associated with programmatic advertising solutions, including data management and analytics services. Key revenue streams include direct partnerships with publishers and demand-side platforms (DSPs), which enable Magnite to facilitate ad sales and optimize inventory in real-time. Significant partnerships with major publishers and advertisers enhance its market position, driving increased transaction volumes and revenue growth. The company also explores opportunities in emerging digital advertising formats and technologies, contributing to its long-term profitability.

Magnite Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Examines revenue from various business segments, providing insight into which areas are most profitable and where the company might focus future efforts.
Chart InsightsMagnite's revenue has shown a consistent upward trend, with notable growth in the Net Basis segment, particularly in Q4 2024. The latest earnings call highlights a robust performance in Connected TV and Display Video Plus, driven by strategic partnerships with industry giants. This aligns with the revenue growth trajectory, suggesting a strong rebound in ad spend. However, macroeconomic uncertainties and tariff impacts could pose risks to future growth. The upcoming launch of SpringServe and potential market share gains from the Google antitrust ruling present significant opportunities for Magnite.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Magnite Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.18%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a robust performance for Q2 2025, with significant growth in revenue, EBITDA, and key segments like CTV and DV+. The introduction of new partnerships and technology advancements further bolstered Magnite's market position. However, challenges such as tariff pressures and macroeconomic uncertainties were acknowledged. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, pointing to a positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Q2 total revenue was $173 million, up 6% from Q2 2024. Contribution ex-TAC was $162 million, up 10%, exceeding the high end of guidance. Adjusted EBITDA grew 22% to $54 million, with a margin of 34%.
CTV and DV+ Growth
CTV contribution ex-TAC grew 14% year-over-year, reaching $72 million. DV+ contribution ex-TAC increased 8%, driven by new product functionality and early contributions from new partners.
New Partnerships and Expansions
Magnite deepened relationships with major streamers like Roku, Netflix, and Warner Bros. Discovery. New SMB-focused DSP partnerships and a growing relationship with Amazon were highlighted.
AI and Technology Advancements
Expanded AI capabilities, including AI-powered audience discovery and LLM for contextual segmentation. Enhanced CTV platform and continued cost efficiencies in cloud and on-premises infrastructure.
Positive Antitrust Ruling Against Google
Court ruling against Google's monopolistic practices expected to drive a fairer market, potentially increasing DV+ market share for Magnite.
Negative Updates
Tariff-Related Pressures
Ongoing tariff-related pressures were acknowledged, although the overall ad spend environment appeared more stable than feared.
Uncertain Macro Environment
Despite a stable Q2, there remains uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment affecting ad spend.
Company Guidance
In the Magnite Q2 2025 earnings call, the company reported exceeding its total top-line guidance with CTV contribution ex-TAC growing by 14% and DV+ by 8%. Adjusted EBITDA was $54 million, marking a 22% increase with a margin of 34%, up from 30% in the same quarter last year. Total revenue reached $173 million, up 6% from the previous year, with contribution ex-TAC at $162 million, a 10% increase. CTV contribution ex-TAC was $72 million, while DV+ was $90 million. Magnite's operating expenses decreased slightly to $151 million, contributing to net income of $11 million, compared to a net loss of $1 million in Q2 2024. They also reported strong cash reserves of $426 million, with net leverage stable at 0.6x. The company anticipates continued growth, especially in CTV and DV+ segments, and is optimistic about the potential market share shift resulting from the antitrust ruling against Google.

Magnite Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Magnite exhibits solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and improving profitability metrics. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, and the company generates strong cash flows, providing a solid foundation for future growth. While profitability margins have improved, there remains potential for further enhancement.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Magnite demonstrates strong revenue growth, with Total Revenue increasing from $221.6M in 2020 to $674.6M TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The company has improved its profitability metrics, transitioning from negative EBIT to a positive EBIT margin of 9.4% TTM. Gross Profit Margin is robust at 61.7% TTM. However, the Net Profit Margin remains modest at 4.6% TTM, indicating room for improvement in cost management.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Magnite has a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.83, which indicates a moderate level of leverage. The Equity Ratio stands at 27.7%, suggesting a stable capital structure. Return on Equity (ROE) has turned positive at 4.2% TTM, reflecting improved profitability. While the balance sheet shows signs of strengthening, the company should continue to focus on increasing its equity base to further enhance financial stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow metrics are strong, with Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio at 9.6x TTM, highlighting efficient cash generation relative to net income. Free Cash Flow has grown significantly, with a robust Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 7.9x TTM. This indicates healthy cash flow generation that supports further growth and investment opportunities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue685.07M668.17M619.71M577.07M468.41M221.63M
Gross Profit426.99M409.33M209.80M269.90M266.75M143.88M
EBITDA137.13M112.03M115.64M109.72M71.40M12.57M
Net Income43.13M22.79M-159.18M-130.32M65.00K-53.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.93B2.85B2.69B2.71B2.71B938.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments426.00M483.22M326.22M326.25M230.40M117.68M
Total Debt619.21M608.81M606.65M813.86M809.25M42.09M
Total Liabilities2.16B2.09B1.99B1.92B1.83B557.35M
Stockholders Equity768.47M768.22M701.68M791.30M880.76M381.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow169.37M202.39M176.98M148.15M97.46M-34.02M
Operating Cash Flow227.13M235.20M214.37M192.55M126.59M-12.06M
Investing Cash Flow-58.20M-47.50M-37.38M-65.15M-691.00M32.64M
Financing Cash Flow-70.64M-28.90M-177.84M-30.17M678.05M7.35M

Magnite Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price22.52
Price Trends
50DMA
22.20
Positive
100DMA
17.82
Positive
200DMA
16.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Positive
RSI
49.73
Neutral
STOCH
32.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MGNI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 22.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.71, above the 50-day MA of 22.20, and above the 200-day MA of 16.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MGNI.

Magnite Risk Analysis

Magnite disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Magnite reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Magnite Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.49B25.995.52%14.39%1946.11%
74
Outperform
$1.53B24.703.56%5.94%-8.89%
74
Outperform
$1.35B10.1112.79%-0.40%36.44%
74
Outperform
$3.11B77.695.82%5.52%
73
Outperform
$1.48B492.79-0.32%9.56%
64
Neutral
$846.88M192.982.04%78.27%
56
Neutral
HK$68.37B0.28-4.91%5.02%-0.86%-12.88%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MGNI
Magnite
22.52
8.36
59.04%
ZD
Ziff Davis
36.25
-10.20
-21.96%
STGW
Stagwell
5.53
-1.65
-22.98%
QNST
Quinstreet
15.07
-2.89
-16.09%
CRTO
Criteo SA
23.91
-25.39
-51.50%
IAS
Integral Ad Science
8.91
-2.77
-23.72%

Magnite Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Magnite Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Positive
Jun 10, 2025

At the 2025 annual meeting of stockholders held on June 5, 2025, Magnite‘s stockholders voted on three proposals. The election of three Class II directors, the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent accounting firm, and the approval of executive compensation were all passed, indicating continued support for the company’s leadership and financial strategies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025