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SanDisk Corp (SNDK)
NASDAQ:SNDK
US Market

SanDisk Corp (SNDK) AI Stock Analysis

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SNDK

SanDisk Corp

(NASDAQ:SNDK)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$424.00
▲(2.51% Upside)
The score reflects a pull between weak reported financial performance (losses and challenged cash flow) and a very strong, upbeat earnings call with improving margins, strong adjusted free cash flow, and higher near-term guidance. Technicals are supportive but overbought, and valuation is pressured by a negative P/E with no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth & Diversified End Markets
Sustained double-digit revenue growth across quarters indicates expanding market share and healthy demand across consumer, client and enterprise segments. Durable multi-end-market exposure reduces single-market risk and supports scale benefits that can improve long-term margins and negotiating leverage.
Data Center Momentum & Hyperscale Relationships
Growing data center sales and direct engagement with multiple hyperscalers signal durable, high-volume demand for enterprise flash. These customer relationships typically yield multi-year contracts, predictable demand and higher ASPs, strengthening revenue visibility and margin sustainability over several quarters.
Technology Advantage — BiCS8 Adoption
Adoption of BiCS8—offering higher capacity, I/O and energy efficiency—provides a structural cost-per-bit and performance advantage as production scales. Leading-edge process momentum can drive durable mix improvement, enable premium product positioning and support sustained gross margin expansion.
Negative Factors
Negative Profitability & Weak ROE
Despite revenue gains, ongoing negative margins and a deeply negative ROE indicate the company is not converting sales into shareholder returns. Persistently unprofitable operations constrain reinvestment capacity, limit strategic flexibility and increase sensitivity to cost or pricing shocks over the medium term.
Weak Operating Cash Conversion
Very low operating cash conversion means reported earnings do not translate into durable cash generation. This limits internal funding for capex, R&D and inventory needs, increasing reliance on financing and raising vulnerability to cyclical downturns or capital-intensive technology transitions.
Exposure to NAND Cyclicality
The business is structurally exposed to NAND supply/demand swings and consumer seasonality, which cause volatile pricing and margin pressure. This cyclicality can lead to earnings volatility, inventory re-pricing risk and planning challenges that persist across multiple quarters.

SanDisk Corp (SNDK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SanDisk Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSanDisk Corp. engages in the development, manufacture, and provision of storage devices and solutions on NAND flash technology. Its products include solid state drives. embedded products, removable cards, universal series bus, and wafers and components. The company was founded on June 1, 1988 and is headquartered in Milipitas, CA.
How the Company Makes MoneySanDisk generates revenue primarily through the sale of its flash memory products, including SSDs, memory cards, and USB drives. The company operates on a business-to-business (B2B) and business-to-consumer (B2C) model, selling directly to consumers through retail channels and to businesses through partnerships with OEMs (original equipment manufacturers) and system integrators. Key revenue streams include consumer products, enterprise storage solutions, and licensing of its technology. Additionally, SanDisk benefits from strategic partnerships with major technology firms, enhancing its distribution network and increasing market penetration. The demand for high-capacity and high-speed storage solutions in emerging technologies such as cloud computing, IoT (Internet of Things), and mobile devices further contributes to its earnings.

SanDisk Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Sandisk reported strong financial results with significant revenue growth and an improved gross margin driven by robust demand across data center and consumer markets. The company also generated substantial free cash flow and has a positive outlook for the next quarter. However, it faced start-up and underutilization costs and warned of seasonal impacts in the consumer segment. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Sandisk delivered a strong quarter with revenue of $2.3 billion, up 21% sequentially and 23% year-over-year, surpassing guidance of $2.1 billion to $2.2 billion.
Data Center Business Momentum
The data center business revenue increased by 26% sequentially, reflecting strong demand from hyperscale and OEM customers.
Gross Margin Improvement
Non-GAAP gross margin for the first quarter was 29.9%, up 350 basis points quarter-over-quarter. Excluding start-up and underutilization costs, it would have been 33.1%.
Strong Free Cash Flow
The company generated $448 million in adjusted free cash flow, representing a 19.4% free cash flow margin.
Record Sales in Consumer Segment
Strong performance in the consumer segment with $652 million in revenue, up 11% quarter-over-quarter, driven by strong retail presence and partnerships like Nintendo.
Positive Outlook for Next Quarter
Guidance for the second quarter includes revenue between $2,550 million and $2,650 million, with expected non-GAAP gross margin between 41% and 43%.
Negative Updates
Start-up and Underutilization Costs
The company incurred $61 million in start-up costs and $11 million in underutilization charges in the first quarter.
Seasonality Impact Warning
The company warned of seasonally lower volume in the consumer business following the holidays, which could impact future performance.
Company Guidance
During Sandisk's First Quarter Fiscal 2026 earnings call, the company reported strong financial performance with revenue reaching $2.3 billion, marking a 21% sequential increase. Non-GAAP earnings per share were reported at $1.22, and adjusted free cash flow was $448 million, with the company ending the quarter in a net cash position of $91 million. The demand for NAND products exceeded supply, a trend expected to persist through the end of 2026. Sandisk's BiCS8 technology, known for its capacity, I/O performance, and energy efficiency, contributed to 15% of total bits shipped and is anticipated to dominate bit production by the end of fiscal 2026. The data center business showed robust growth with a 26% sequential increase in revenue, and the company is working with five major hyperscale customers. The edge segment benefited from a PC refresh cycle, supported by Windows 11 adoption, while smartphones are expected to see high single-digit growth in capacity per device through 2026. The company also highlighted strategic engagements with customers to support AI inference storage needs and emphasized strong seasonal demand expectations, particularly in gaming storage. Looking ahead, Sandisk's guidance for the second quarter includes revenue between $2.55 billion and $2.65 billion, with non-GAAP gross margin projected between 41% and 43% and EPS between $3 and $3.40.

SanDisk Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SanDisk Corp shows mixed financial performance. Strong revenue growth is overshadowed by negative profitability and cash flow metrics. The balance sheet remains stable with low leverage, but operational inefficiencies need addressing.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
SanDisk Corp has experienced significant revenue growth over the past year, with a 333.92% increase. However, profitability metrics are concerning, with negative net profit and EBIT margins indicating ongoing operational challenges. The gross profit margin improved to 30.07%, but the company still faces substantial losses.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio remains low at 0.22, suggesting a conservative leverage position. However, the negative return on equity of -17.81% indicates that the company is not generating positive returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
SanDisk's cash flow situation is challenging, with negative free cash flow and a low operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.06. Although there was a significant improvement in free cash flow growth, the company is still struggling to generate positive cash flow from operations.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.36B6.66B6.09B9.75B9.75B
Gross Profit2.21B1.07B430.00M3.24B3.24B
EBITDA-1.25B-220.00M-847.00M1.74B1.74B
Net Income-1.64B-672.00M-2.14B1.06B1.06B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.98B13.51B13.82B15.76B15.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.48B328.00M292.00M335.00M335.00M
Total Debt2.04B996.00M1.02B950.00M950.00M
Total Liabilities3.77B2.42B2.38B2.78B2.78B
Stockholders Equity9.22B11.08B11.44B12.98B12.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-120.00M-475.00M-932.00M741.00M741.00M
Operating Cash Flow84.00M-309.00M-713.00M1.15B1.15B
Investing Cash Flow556.00M210.00M-189.00M-472.00M-472.00M
Financing Cash Flow518.00M136.00M860.00M-650.00M-650.00M

SanDisk Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price413.62
Price Trends
50DMA
173.74
Positive
100DMA
113.20
Positive
200DMA
Market Momentum
MACD
13.02
Positive
RSI
53.49
Neutral
STOCH
36.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SNDK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 413.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 231.19, above the 50-day MA of 173.74, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 13.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SNDK.

SanDisk Corp Risk Analysis

SanDisk Corp disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SanDisk Corp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SanDisk Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$70.74B39.1214.78%1.21%8.94%-39.90%
74
Outperform
$23.97B28.6117.45%0.77%0.51%
73
Outperform
$26.54B39.0947.87%0.14%13.18%-38.37%
72
Outperform
$17.46B31.387.79%0.43%-8.96%-30.29%
66
Neutral
$30.02B275.313.08%20.80%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
55
Neutral
$60.62B10.94%-3155.05%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SNDK
SanDisk Corp
413.62
376.97
1028.57%
FLEX
Flex
64.83
20.56
46.44%
COHR
Coherent Corp
191.04
87.84
85.12%
JBL
Jabil
251.29
83.93
50.15%
TEL
TE Connectivity
241.01
94.98
65.04%
FTV
Fortive
54.96
-4.22
-7.13%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026