USVM - ETF AI Analysis

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VictoryShares USAA MSCI USA Small Cap Value Momentum ETF (USVM)

Rating:67Neutral

Price Target:

$98.00

The ETF USVM has a solid overall rating, reflecting a balanced mix of strong and weaker holdings. Black Hills Corporation (BKH) stands out as a key contributor due to its strong technical momentum and positive corporate events, such as a merger, which enhance its prospects. However, MDU Resources Group (MDU) has held back the rating due to declining revenue and earnings, along with bearish technical indicators. The fund's concentration in small-cap value stocks may pose risks related to volatility and sector-specific challenges.

Positive Factors

Strong Top Holdings

Several of the ETF's largest positions, such as National Fuel Gas Company and ONE Gas, have delivered strong year-to-date performance, supporting the fund's overall returns.

Sector Diversification

The ETF is spread across multiple sectors, including Health Care, Financials, and Consumer Cyclical, which helps reduce the risk of a downturn in any single industry.

Reasonable Expense Ratio

With an expense ratio of 0.3%, the ETF is relatively affordable compared to many actively managed funds, allowing investors to keep more of their returns.

Negative Factors

Geographic Concentration

The ETF is heavily focused on U.S. companies, with over 99% exposure, limiting diversification across international markets.

Mixed Recent Performance

While the fund has shown positive performance year-to-date, its one-month returns have been slightly negative, indicating short-term volatility.

Small Cap Risk

As a small-cap-focused ETF, it may be more sensitive to market downturns and economic uncertainty compared to large-cap funds.

USVM vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AUM1.11B

RegionNorth America

Expense Ratio0.30%

Beta0.96

IssuerVictoryShares

Inception DateOct 24, 2017

Dividend Yield1.81%

Asset ClassEquity

Index TrackedNasdaq Victory US Small Mid Cap Value Momentum Index - Benchmark TR Gross

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)N/A

Shares OutstandingN/A

10 Day Avg. Volume30,556

30 Day Avg. Volume30,098

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG RatioN/A

Price to Book (P/B)N/A

Price to Sales (P/S)N/A

P/FCF RatioN/A

Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A

Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A

Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A

Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A

Forecast

1Y Price Target

105.07

Price Target Upside― Downside

Rating ConsensusModerate Buy

Number of Analyst Covering294

EPS Forecast (FY)N/A

Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A

USVM Summary

The VictoryShares USAA MSCI USA Small Cap Value Momentum ETF (USVM) is an investment fund that focuses on small U.S. companies with strong value and upward price momentum. It tracks the MSCI USA Small Cap Value Momentum Index, offering exposure to a diverse range of sectors like healthcare, financials, and technology. Some of its top holdings include Pinnacle West Capital and OGE Energy. Investors might consider USVM for growth opportunities and diversification beyond large-cap stocks. However, it’s important to note that small-cap stocks can be more volatile, meaning their prices may rise and fall more dramatically than larger companies.

How much will it cost me?The VictoryShares USAA MSCI USA Small Cap Value Momentum ETF (USVM) has an expense ratio of 0.3%, which means you’ll pay $3 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than average for ETFs because it is actively managed, focusing on selecting small-cap stocks with both value and momentum characteristics to potentially enhance returns.

What would affect this ETF?The USVM ETF, which focuses on U.S. small-cap stocks with strong value and momentum, could benefit from economic growth and increased investor interest in smaller companies, especially in sectors like health care and technology. However, it may face challenges from rising interest rates, which can impact small-cap companies more significantly, and sector-specific risks such as regulatory changes in health care or real estate. Its U.S.-centric exposure also makes it sensitive to domestic economic conditions and policy changes.

USVM Top 10 Holdings

The USVM ETF is leaning heavily into utilities and real estate, with names like Spire and W.P. Carey driving recent gains thanks to strong earnings growth and strategic moves. Spire, in particular, is rising fast, buoyed by acquisitions and a positive outlook. On the flip side, National Fuel Gas is lagging, weighed down by bearish technical signals despite solid financials. The fund’s focus on small-cap U.S. stocks gives it a niche appeal, but its sector concentration in defensive plays like utilities suggests a cautious stance amid broader market uncertainty.

Name	Company Name	Weight %	Market Value	Market Cap	Yearly Gain	Overall Rating
BKH	Black Hills	0.80%	$8.90M	$5.28B	10.45%	76 Outperform
AVA	Avista	0.74%	$8.27M	$3.35B	5.93%	68 Neutral
PNW	Pinnacle West Capital	0.74%	$8.24M	$10.58B	-2.64%	67 Neutral
SR	Spire	0.73%	$8.09M	$5.14B	24.39%	68 Neutral
OGE	OGE Energy	0.72%	$8.03M	$9.02B	3.53%	67 Neutral
ADC	Agree Realty	0.71%	$7.96M	$8.48B	-3.82%	79 Outperform
INVA	Innoviva	0.71%	$7.86M	$1.66B	15.94%	61 Neutral
MDU	Mdu Resources Group	0.68%	$7.62M	$4.21B	9.89%	62 Neutral
OGS	ONE Gas	0.67%	$7.51M	$4.86B	5.00%	72 Outperform
ORI	Old Republic International	0.65%	$7.18M	$10.97B	15.51%	77 Outperform

USVM Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Neutral

Last Price―

Price Trends

50DMA

89.71

Negative

100DMA

87.44

Positive

200DMA

83.31

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

-0.22

Positive

RSI

39.34

Neutral

STOCH

25.08

Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For USVM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 89.44, equal to the 50-day MA of 89.71, and equal to the 200-day MA of 83.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for USVM.

USVM Peer Comparison

Comparison Results

Name	Price	Price Target	AUM	Expense Ratio	Overall Rating
USVM	―	―	$1.11B	0.30%	67 Neutral
SDVY	―	―	$9.12B	0.59%	73 Outperform
PRFZ	―	―	$2.51B	0.34%	64 Neutral
JMEE	―	―	$2.03B	0.24%	67 Neutral
FSMD	―	―	$1.81B	0.16%	70 Neutral
SMIG	―	―	$1.12B	0.60%	72 Outperform

Performance Comparison

USVM

VictoryShares USAA MSCI USA Small Cap Value Momentum ETF

87.55

1.00

1.16%

SDVY

First Trust SMID Cap Rising Dividend Achievers ETF

―

PRFZ

Invesco FTSE RAFI US 1500 Small-Mid ETF

―

JMEE

JPMorgan Market Expansion Enhanced Equity ETF

―

FSMD

Fidelity Small-Mid Multifactor ETF

―

SMIG

AAM Bahl & Gaynor Small/Mid Cap Income Growth ETF

―

Glossary

BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―

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