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Broadstone Net Lease (BNL)
NYSE:BNL

Broadstone Net Lease (BNL) AI Stock Analysis

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BNL

Broadstone Net Lease

(NYSE:BNL)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$18.50
▲(4.70% Upside)
Broadstone Net Lease's overall stock score reflects a mix of stable financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, tempered by bearish technical indicators and valuation concerns. The company's strong dividend yield and strategic growth initiatives provide a positive outlook, but investors should be cautious of potential downside risks indicated by technical analysis.
Positive Factors
Strategic Growth Plans
BNL's strategic focus on growth through its portfolio and acquisitions emphasizes sustainable growth and strong stakeholder relationships, positioning it well for long-term success.
Successful Investment Strategy
BNL's investment in accretive acquisitions with favorable capitalization rates supports long-term revenue growth and enhances its property portfolio.
Strong Capital Market Activity
The successful bond offering strengthens BNL's capital structure, providing financial flexibility for future growth and stability.
Negative Factors
Declining Profitability
Decreasing profitability could hinder BNL's ability to reinvest in growth and maintain dividend payouts, affecting long-term financial health.
Limited Product Supply
Limited supply and competition in property acquisitions may restrict BNL's growth opportunities and impact its ability to expand its portfolio.
Decline in Free Cash Flow Growth
Reduced free cash flow growth could limit BNL's capacity for future investments and affect its ability to sustain dividend payments.

Broadstone Net Lease (BNL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Broadstone Net Lease Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBNL is an internally-managed REIT that acquires, owns, and manages primarily single-tenant commercial real estate properties that are net leased on a long-term basis to a diversified group of tenants. The Company utilizes an investment strategy underpinned by strong fundamental credit analysis and prudent real estate underwriting. As of September 30, 2020, BNL's diversified portfolio consisted of 627 properties in 41 U.S. states and one property in Canada across the industrial, healthcare, restaurant, office, and retail property types, with an aggregate gross asset value of approximately $4.0 billion.
How the Company Makes MoneyBroadstone Net Lease generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of commercial properties. The company enters into long-term net lease agreements with tenants, where the tenants are responsible for most property expenses, including taxes, insurance, and maintenance. This structure allows BNL to maintain a relatively low operating cost while benefiting from stable cash flow. Additionally, BNL may earn income through property appreciation and potential lease escalations over time. The company may also engage in strategic acquisitions to expand its portfolio, which can enhance revenue growth. Key partnerships with reputable tenants in various sectors contribute to its earnings stability, as these tenants often have strong financial profiles.

Broadstone Net Lease Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Broadstone Net Lease's strong financial performance, successful investment strategy, and positive tenant relations, indicating resilience and growth potential. However, challenges such as competitive market conditions, limited product supply, and potential need for capital recycling were noted, balancing the overall positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Quarterly Performance
BNL reported a 5.7% increase in quarterly AFFO per share compared to Q3 2024 and raised full-year 2025 guidance to $1.49 to $1.50 of AFFO per share, representing 4.2% to 4.9% growth.
Successful Investment Strategy
Invested $204 million in accretive acquisitions and development projects, achieving a weighted average initial cash capitalization rate of 7.1% and a straight-line yield of 8.2% for new property acquisitions.
High Tenant Collection and Lease Assumption
Collected 100% of rents and resolved At Home and Claire’s situations with all leases assumed, leading to no bad debt incurred.
Robust Build-to-Suit Pipeline
Started 7 new build-to-suit developments in 2025 with a budgeted deployment of $256.7 million, contributing to long-term growth and yielding high returns.
Strong Capital Market Activity
Successfully returned to the investment-grade bond market with a public offering of $350 million of 5% senior unsecured notes, nearly 7x oversubscribed.
Significant Shareholder Returns
Delivered total shareholder return of more than 30% since the beginning of 2023 and nearly 20% year-to-date.
Negative Updates
Limited Product Supply and Competitive Environment
Faced challenges in acquiring new properties due to a competitive environment and limited product supply, impacting regular way acquisitions.
Slowing Decision-Making for Build-to-Suits
Some slowing in decision-making for build-to-suit projects due to macroeconomic factors, impacting the timing of new developments.
Potential Need for Capital Recycling
Considering capital recycling through asset sales due to current cost of equity and market conditions, which is not the preferred strategy.
Company Guidance
During Broadstone Net Lease's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance, raising its full-year 2025 adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) per share to between $1.49 and $1.50, representing a 4.2% to 4.9% growth for the year. In the third quarter, Broadstone invested $204 million in accretive acquisitions and development projects, achieving a 1.2% sequential quarterly growth in contractual rental obligations and a 5.7% increase in quarterly AFFO per share compared to the same period last year. The company reported 100% rent collection and resolved tenant issues without incurring bad debt. Year-to-date investments total $552.6 million, including $353.4 million in new property acquisitions and $150.2 million in build-to-suit developments. The weighted average initial cash capitalization rate for new property acquisitions was 7.1%, with a straight-line yield of 8.2%. For build-to-suit projects, these rates stood at 7.5% and 8.9%, respectively. The company emphasized its industrial-focused strategy and build-to-suit program, anticipating substantial growth due to favorable market dynamics such as e-commerce and reshoring trends. Broadstone also highlighted a successful return to the investment-grade bond market with a $350 million offering of 5% senior unsecured notes due in 2032.

Broadstone Net Lease Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Broadstone Net Lease exhibits strong financial health with high profitability and efficient cash flow management. While there are some concerns regarding the declining net profit margin and return on equity, the company's stable balance sheet and positive cash flow trends provide a solid foundation for future growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Broadstone Net Lease shows strong profitability with consistently high gross profit margins around 94-95% and solid EBIT margins. However, the net profit margin has decreased in the TTM period compared to the previous year, indicating some pressure on net income. Revenue growth has been modest, with a slight decline in the most recent annual report but a positive trend in the TTM period.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio remains manageable, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the return on equity has seen a decline in the TTM period, suggesting reduced efficiency in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Broadstone Net Lease demonstrates strong cash flow management with a high free cash flow to net income ratio, indicating efficient conversion of income into cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, although it has decreased in the TTM period. Free cash flow growth is positive, showing improvement in cash generation capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue447.97M431.80M442.89M407.51M382.88M321.64M
Gross Profit424.52M407.06M420.31M385.74M364.42M304.16M
EBITDA362.26M400.42M380.89M364.21M328.01M266.04M
Net Income89.76M162.44M155.48M122.11M102.43M51.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.52B5.22B5.27B5.46B4.62B4.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments81.97M14.85M19.49M21.79M21.67M100.49M
Total Debt2.38B1.91B1.91B2.02B1.69B1.62B
Total Liabilities2.51B2.07B2.07B2.20B1.88B1.78B
Stockholders Equity2.88B3.00B3.05B3.09B2.58B2.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow249.28M259.46M224.82M224.54M243.34M168.22M
Operating Cash Flow278.84M276.25M271.07M255.91M244.94M179.03M
Investing Cash Flow-362.25M-59.70M24.34M-859.64M-582.30M-60.24M
Financing Cash Flow155.51M-221.19M-334.82M636.00M254.41M-28.38M

Broadstone Net Lease Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price17.67
Price Trends
50DMA
18.11
Negative
100DMA
17.74
Negative
200DMA
16.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Negative
RSI
46.84
Neutral
STOCH
71.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BNL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 17.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.76, below the 50-day MA of 18.11, and above the 200-day MA of 16.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BNL.

Broadstone Net Lease Risk Analysis

Broadstone Net Lease disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Broadstone Net Lease reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Broadstone Net Lease Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Neutral
$14.25B39.334.36%5.51%5.59%-34.75%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
$2.61B22.428.71%3.87%5.29%-60.36%
61
Neutral
$3.34B38.163.05%6.56%3.87%-37.59%
61
Neutral
$556.26M51.334.09%9.01%-39.94%
61
Neutral
$1.82B-12.53%10.21%-28.94%-28.24%
60
Neutral
$769.32M-3.58%10.79%-12.57%70.50%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease
17.67
1.91
12.12%
WPC
W. P. Carey Inc.
65.01
11.51
21.51%
AHH
Armada Hoffler Properties
6.94
-3.23
-31.76%
UE
Urban Edge Properties
19.66
-2.35
-10.68%
GNL
Global Net Lease
8.28
1.94
30.60%
BRSP
BrightSpire Capital
5.93
0.33
5.89%

Broadstone Net Lease Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Broadstone Net Lease Issues 2026 Guidance Update
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Broadstone Net Lease, Inc. announced a business update and issued guidance for 2026. The company reported significant investment activities in 2025, including $696.7 million in investments and the sale of shares for $11.4 million, with plans to continue this momentum into 2026. The company maintains its 2025 AFFO guidance and expects a 4.0% growth in AFFO for 2026. These updates reflect Broadstone’s strategic focus on disciplined execution and long-term value creation, positioning it well for future growth.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Broadstone Net Lease Unveils Strategic Growth Plans
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Broadstone Net Lease, Inc. released its December 2025 investor presentation, highlighting its strategic focus on growth through its in-place portfolio and acquisitions. The presentation, part of their Investor Day event, outlined the company’s plans and financial guidance for 2025 and 2026, emphasizing their commitment to sustainable growth and strong stakeholder relationships.

Business Operations and Strategy
Broadstone Net Lease Completes MRO Facility at Dayton
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Broadstone Net Lease announced the substantial completion of the first maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) facility at Dayton International Airport, which is part of a project supporting the U.S. Air Force. This development is significant as it marks a key milestone in Broadstone’s build-to-suit pipeline, with rent for the facility having commenced on November 1, 2025. Additionally, the company has expanded its pipeline by $21 million with new projects for Hobby Lobby and Academy Sports, expected to be completed in late 2026. These developments reflect Broadstone’s strategic growth in the real estate sector, enhancing its position in the market and potentially benefiting stakeholders through increased rental income and diversified property holdings.

Financial Disclosures
Broadstone Net Lease to Announce Q3 2025 Results
Neutral
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Broadstone Net Lease announced it will release its financial and operating results for the third quarter of 2025 on October 29, 2025. The company will hold an earnings conference call and webcast on October 30, 2025, to discuss these results, providing stakeholders with insights into its financial performance and operational strategies.

Private Placements and Financing
Broadstone Net Lease Closes $350M Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Sep 26, 2025

On September 26, 2025, Broadstone Net Lease, LLC successfully closed a $350 million public offering of 5.000% Senior Notes due 2032, guaranteed by Broadstone Net Lease, Inc. This strategic financial move is expected to strengthen the company’s capital structure and enhance its ability to manage existing and future unsecured indebtedness, potentially impacting its market position and stakeholder confidence positively.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025