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Broadstone Net Lease (BNL)
NYSE:BNL
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Broadstone Net Lease (BNL) AI Stock Analysis

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BNL

Broadstone Net Lease

(NYSE:BNL)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
▲(7.32%Upside)
Broadstone Net Lease shows a stable financial position and strategic growth initiatives, but profitability challenges and macroeconomic uncertainties pose risks. Strong cash flow and dividend yield support the stock's attractiveness, though high valuation and tenant risks require caution.
Positive Factors
Development Strategy
BNL offers a unique development strategy that if well-executed, will close its valuation gap.
Leverage and Liquidity
BNL's low leverage profile and strong liquidity position should provide considerable runway for the company to capitalize on acquisitions.
Portfolio Rationalization
Broadstone Net Lease has made significant progress on portfolio rationalization efforts, which has put the company in a highly favorable spot with improved growth prospects.
Negative Factors
Acquisition Timing
BNL acquired $59.0M of assets, which is below its previously-disclosed acquisitions under control, although this may be timing-related.
Credit Loss Guidance
BNL's 2025 guidance includes a 125 bps credit loss, largely due to specific tenants like Zips Car Wash and Stanislaus Surgical.
Valuation Discount
BNL trades at a -14.0% discount on 2025 AFFOx compared to peers, despite having higher AFFOps growth expectations.

Broadstone Net Lease (BNL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Broadstone Net Lease Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBroadstone Net Lease, Inc. (BNL) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in acquiring, owning, and managing a diversified portfolio of primarily single-tenant commercial real estate properties across the United States. BNL focuses on properties that are subject to long-term net leases, which typically require tenants to cover property operating expenses such as taxes, insurance, and maintenance. The company's portfolio spans various sectors, including industrial, healthcare, retail, and office properties.
How the Company Makes MoneyBroadstone Net Lease makes money primarily through the acquisition and management of single-tenant commercial properties that are leased on a long-term basis. The company generates revenue by collecting rent from its tenants, who are responsible for most property-related expenses under net lease agreements. This structure allows BNL to maintain a stable and predictable income stream with reduced operational costs. Additionally, the company focuses on properties in diverse sectors to mitigate risk and ensure a steady flow of income. BNL may also engage in strategic partnerships and financing arrangements that enhance its capacity to acquire and manage additional properties, further contributing to its revenue.

Broadstone Net Lease Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.31%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call demonstrates a robust growth strategy with a strong build-to-suit pipeline and high occupancy rates, balanced by caution due to macroeconomic uncertainties and tenant credit risks. While significant investments and stable financial guidance are positive, tenant-related challenges and broader economic concerns temper the outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong First Quarter Results
Broadstone Net Lease reported strong first quarter results with disciplined execution, focusing on long-term shareholder value. There was a 5.6% growth in current ABR from committed build-to-suit developments.
Build-to-Suit Pipeline Growth
Year-to-date investments totaled $103.9 million, with a committed pipeline of $305.9 million in build-to-suit developments. Notably, a new $78.2 million project was added with Prologis.
High Occupancy and Rent Collection
The company maintained a 99.1% occupancy rate and 99.1% rent collection for the first quarter.
Stable Financial Outlook
Broadstone maintained its 2025 AFFO guidance range of $1.45 to $1.49 per share, with approximately 3% growth at the midpoint.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
The company is cautious due to macroeconomic uncertainty, including potential tariffs and economic conditions impacting consumer spending.
Tenant Credit Risks
There are concerns about tenant credit risks, particularly in consumer-centric industries and clinically oriented healthcare properties, including exposure to Claire's and Stanislaus Surgical.
Zips Car Wash Bankruptcy
Zips Car Wash, accounting for 62 basis points of ABR, filed for bankruptcy, though a resolution is expected with rent recovery.
Company Guidance
During Broadstone Net Lease's first-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company maintained its guidance for adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) at $1.45 to $1.49 per share, projecting approximately 3% growth at the midpoint. The company reported investments of $103.9 million in new property acquisitions, build-to-suit developments, and revenue-generating capital expenditures. Furthermore, they have a committed pipeline of $305.9 million in build-to-suit developments, with an estimated $255.8 million remaining to be funded through the third quarter of 2026. Initial cash cap rates for these projects range from 7% to straight-line yields in the mid-8s to mid-9s. Additionally, Broadstone has secured $132.9 million in acquisitions under control and $4.5 million in commitments for revenue-generating capital expenditures. They also highlighted a new $78.2 million project in partnership with Prologis, contributing to their growth strategy. Despite considering raising the lower end of their guidance range due to positive developments, they decided to maintain it due to macroeconomic uncertainties and will reassess as the year progresses.

Broadstone Net Lease Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Broadstone Net Lease exhibits a stable financial position with strong cash flow generation and an improved balance sheet in terms of leverage. However, the recent net loss is a significant concern and highlights potential profitability issues. While operational efficiency remains strong, the company needs to address its revenue growth and profitability challenges to ensure long-term success.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Broadstone Net Lease shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The Gross Profit Margin remains strong, indicating efficiency in managing costs relative to revenue. However, the Net Profit Margin has declined significantly, with the company experiencing a net loss in the most recent year, which is concerning. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a decline in the most recent period. The EBIT and EBITDA margins demonstrate effective operational management, but the net loss is a critical weakness.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Broadstone Net Lease is relatively robust with a strong equity base and no total debt in the most recent period, which reduces financial risk. The Debt-to-Equity ratio has improved significantly, reflecting a healthier leverage position. Return on Equity has turned negative due to the net loss, which is a concern. The Equity Ratio is strong, indicating a solid capital structure and financial stability.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive outlook for Broadstone Net Lease. The company has maintained strong Free Cash Flow and Operating Cash Flow, which supports sustainability. However, the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate has shown some volatility. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is high due to the net loss, indicating reliance on cash flow generation rather than profitability.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue431.80M442.89M407.51M382.88M321.64M
Gross Profit407.06M420.31M385.74M364.42M304.16M
EBITDA369.07M380.89M354.10M328.01M272.45M
Net Income162.44M155.48M122.11M102.43M51.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.22B5.27B5.46B4.62B4.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.85M19.49M21.79M21.67M100.49M
Total Debt1.91B1.91B2.02B1.69B1.54B
Total Liabilities2.07B2.07B2.20B1.88B1.78B
Stockholders Equity3.00B3.05B3.09B2.58B2.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow259.46M224.82M224.54M243.34M168.22M
Operating Cash Flow276.25M271.07M255.91M244.94M179.03M
Investing Cash Flow-59.70M24.34M-859.64M-582.30M-60.24M
Financing Cash Flow-221.19M-334.82M636.00M254.41M-28.38M

Broadstone Net Lease Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.84
Price Trends
50DMA
15.85
Negative
100DMA
15.92
Negative
200DMA
15.96
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
47.83
Neutral
STOCH
41.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BNL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.97, below the 50-day MA of 15.85, and below the 200-day MA of 15.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BNL.

Broadstone Net Lease Risk Analysis

Broadstone Net Lease disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Broadstone Net Lease reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Broadstone Net Lease Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$6.06B26.356.33%3.86%25.79%2.46%
74
Outperform
$506.17M17.339.57%7.68%1.82%-1.03%
74
Outperform
$13.89B32.715.02%5.50%-5.89%-26.36%
66
Neutral
$3.00B26.703.79%7.31%0.73%-37.65%
66
Neutral
£957.08M13.962.04%185.02%11.04%38.13%
64
Neutral
$580.31M36.87-1.05%8.63%17.48%-172.41%
57
Neutral
$1.59B-13.01%12.99%16.69%39.04%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease
15.84
-0.97
-5.77%
CTO
CTO Realty Growth
17.62
-0.48
-2.65%
OLP
One Liberty Properties
23.15
-1.90
-7.58%
WPC
W. P. Carey Inc.
64.44
7.28
12.74%
GNL
Global Net Lease
7.16
-0.74
-9.37%
EPRT
Essential Properties Realty
30.55
1.25
4.27%

Broadstone Net Lease Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Broadstone Net Lease Announces New Development Projects
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Broadstone Net Lease announced the addition of three new build-to-suit development projects with a total investment of approximately $61.4 million. These projects, expected to be completed in the third quarter of 2026, include a new industrial distribution warehouse in Dallas for Palmer Distribution Services, a state-of-the-art facility in California for AGCO Corporation, and a new grocery store in Dallas for Sprouts Farmers Market. This expansion highlights Broadstone’s strategic growth in its build-to-suit strategy and strengthens its network of developer relationships.

The most recent analyst rating on (BNL) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Broadstone Net Lease stock, see the BNL Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Broadstone Net Lease to Announce Q2 2025 Results
Neutral
Jul 2, 2025

On July 2, 2025, Broadstone Net Lease announced it will release its financial and operating results for the quarter ended June 30, 2025, after the market closes on July 30, 2025. The company will also host an earnings conference call and audio webcast on July 31, 2025. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and operational performance, potentially impacting its market position and investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (BNL) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Broadstone Net Lease stock, see the BNL Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Broadstone Net Lease Expands Investments and Financial Strategy
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Broadstone Net Lease announced its recent business activities, highlighting investments of $171.7 million year-to-date in property acquisitions and developments, with a focus on industrial properties. The company also reported successful property dispositions, reducing its healthcare asset exposure, and increased its unsecured term loan to $500 million to optimize financial operations. Additionally, Broadstone’s CEO and CFO will participate in the Nareit REITweek 2025 Annual Conference, reflecting the company’s active engagement in industry events.

The most recent analyst rating on (BNL) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Broadstone Net Lease stock, see the BNL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Broadstone Net Lease Expands with Prologis Partnership
Positive
Apr 25, 2025

On April 24, 2025, Broadstone Net Lease announced a significant addition to its build-to-suit development pipeline with a $78.2 million project in partnership with Prologis, Inc. This collaboration marks a strategic expansion of BNL’s network of development partners and aligns with its industrial-focused investment strategy. The new development includes a state-of-the-art distribution warehouse for FCA US, LLC, expected to be completed in the third quarter of 2026. This partnership with Prologis, a leader in high-barrier, high-growth markets, is expected to enhance BNL’s market positioning and long-term value creation.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 25, 2025