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Global Net Lease (GNL)
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Global Net Lease (GNL) AI Stock Analysis

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GNL

Global Net Lease

(NYSE:GNL)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▲(4.30% Upside)
Global Net Lease's overall stock score reflects a balance of significant financial challenges and positive strategic initiatives. The company's high leverage and negative net income weigh heavily on its financial performance score. However, the positive sentiment from recent earnings calls, driven by strategic asset sales and debt reduction, provides a boost. The high dividend yield is attractive, but technical indicators suggest caution. Investors should be aware of the risks associated with high leverage and net losses.
Positive Factors
Credit Rating Upgrade
GNL received a corporate credit rating upgrade to investment grade from S&P Global, enhancing its financial standing.
Leasing Performance
Renewal leasing resulted in an 8.2% increase in rental rates across the entire portfolio, indicating strong asset performance.
Portfolio Simplification
GNL is successfully simplifying its business by selling multi-tenant retail properties, bringing in significant proceeds to reduce debt.
Negative Factors
Customer Concentration
Top 10 customer concentration increased, raising potential risks associated with dependency on a limited number of tenants.
Leverage Concerns
Leverage remains elevated compared to peers, although there has been a slight improvement in the debt to EBITDA ratio.
Share Valuation
GNL shares are trading at a steep discount compared to net-lease REITs, reflecting continued valuation depression.

Global Net Lease (GNL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Global Net Lease Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGlobal Net Lease (GNL) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in acquiring and managing a diversified portfolio of net lease properties located primarily in the United States and Europe. The company focuses on single-tenant, mission-critical properties leased to high-quality tenants across sectors such as industrial, retail, and office. GNL's core service involves providing investors with an opportunity to invest in a stable income-generating portfolio backed by long-term leases with creditworthy tenants.
How the Company Makes MoneyGlobal Net Lease generates revenue primarily through rental income from its properties. The company enters into long-term net lease agreements, where tenants are responsible for property expenses such as maintenance, taxes, and insurance, allowing GNL to maintain a steady cash flow with lower management costs. Key revenue streams include base rental payments and potential escalation clauses within the leases that provide for rent increases over time. Additionally, GNL may benefit from property appreciation and disposal of assets at a profit. Significant partnerships with reputable tenants in various sectors contribute to the stability and predictability of its earnings.

Global Net Lease Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 11.97%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment overall, driven by successful strategic initiatives such as the sale of the multi-tenant retail portfolio, significant debt reduction, and credit rating upgrades. However, concerns remain about the net loss, share price stagnation, and exposure to certain sectors.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Multi-Tenant Retail Portfolio Sale
Completed the $1.8 billion sale of the multi-tenant retail portfolio to RCG Ventures, reducing annual G&A by $6.5 million and generating $30 million in annual capital expenditure savings.
Occupancy and NOI Margin Improvement
Increased occupancy to 98% from 97% and expanded annualized NOI margin by 800 basis points.
S&P Credit Rating Upgrade
S&P Global upgraded GNL's corporate credit rating to BB+ from BB and raised the issuer level rating on unsecured notes to investment-grade BBB- from BB+.
Refinancing Success
Refinanced revolving credit facility, securing improved pricing, enhanced liquidity, and an extension of weighted average debt maturity to 3.7 years from 2.9 years.
Significant Debt Reduction
Reduced gross outstanding debt balance by $2 billion from the end of the second quarter of 2024, with net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio improving to 6.6x from 8.1x.
Share Repurchase Program
Repurchased 10.2 million shares at a weighted average price of $7.52, totaling $77 million, capitalizing on an AFFO yield of approximately 12%.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Attributable to Common Stockholders
Recorded a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $35.1 million for the second quarter of 2025.
Continued Disappointment in Share Price
Despite meaningful progress in improving the balance sheet and extending debt maturities, there has been a lack of improvement in the share price.
Exposure to Office Assets and Auto Manufacturing Industry
Concerns raised about the dilutionary impact of reducing exposure to office assets, which currently represent 27% of the portfolio, and the auto manufacturing industry, accounting for 10% of straight-line rent.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. (GNL) provided guidance highlighting key metrics and strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing shareholder value and financial stability. The company completed a $1.8 billion sale of its multi-tenant retail portfolio, resulting in an increased occupancy rate of 98%, an annualized NOI margin expansion of 800 basis points, and an increase in leases with rent escalators to 88%. These actions improved GNL’s liquidity to $1 billion and facilitated a $1.1 billion reduction in revolving credit facility leverage. The sale also contributed to an upgrade in GNL’s corporate credit rating by S&P to BB+ and an issuer-level rating on unsecured notes to BBB-. GNL's strategic focus on deleveraging and refinancing helped lower borrowing costs by 70 basis points, extend the weighted average debt maturity to 3.7 years, and maintain a net debt to adjusted EBITDA range of 6.5x to 7.1x. The company raised the lower end of its AFFO per share guidance to $0.92-$0.96, reflecting confidence in its ongoing operational and financial strategies.

Global Net Lease Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Global Net Lease faces significant financial challenges, particularly with profitability and high leverage. Despite strong gross margins, the company struggles with consistent revenue growth and net profitability. The high debt level poses a risk, though the company's cash flow generation provides some stability.
Income Statement
34
Negative
The company shows significant volatility in its income statement with a negative net income in the most recent TTM period. Gross profit margin remains relatively strong at 71.58% for TTM, yet net profit margins are negative due to substantial losses. Revenue growth rate over the past years shows inconsistency with recent declines, indicating challenges in revenue generation and cost management.
Balance Sheet
47
Neutral
The balance sheet depicts a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.72, highlighting substantial leverage that could pose financial risk. Stockholders' equity has been decreasing, and the equity ratio stands at 33.08% for TTM, indicating a moderate reliance on equity financing. Despite these challenges, the firm's asset base remains substantial.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a positive trend with the operating cash flow exceeding net income, suggesting effective cash management. The free cash flow growth rate is negative due to declining free cash flows, yet the operating cash flow to net income ratio of -0.90 indicates operational efficiency despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue653.00M805.01M515.07M378.86M391.23M330.10M
Gross Profit693.13M662.51M364.46M345.98M358.48M297.73M
EBITDA437.96M594.24M215.72M279.43M285.54M230.33M
Net Income-285.68M-131.57M-211.91M12.02M11.37M10.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.98B6.96B8.10B3.96B4.18B3.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments144.81M159.70M121.57M103.33M89.67M124.25M
Total Debt0.004.64B5.29B2.42B2.45B2.29B
Total Liabilities3.15B4.77B5.46B2.51B2.56B2.41B
Stockholders Equity1.83B2.19B2.64B1.44B1.62B1.53B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow159.19M253.84M96.45M151.88M184.57M170.47M
Operating Cash Flow196.09M299.47M143.74M181.82M192.49M176.85M
Investing Cash Flow1.38B759.90M-551.90M-16.54M-436.57M-470.53M
Financing Cash Flow-1.52B-995.36M469.01M-149.74M218.32M140.68M

Global Net Lease Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.67
Price Trends
50DMA
7.28
Positive
100DMA
7.34
Positive
200DMA
7.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
58.72
Neutral
STOCH
83.16
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GNL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.18, above the 50-day MA of 7.28, and above the 200-day MA of 7.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.16 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GNL.

Global Net Lease Risk Analysis

Global Net Lease disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Global Net Lease reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Global Net Lease Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$3.16B32.593.32%6.94%2.74%-37.41%
72
Outperform
$14.27B42.833.99%5.44%0.23%-41.66%
68
Neutral
$1.19B16.026.26%6.92%11.68%37.31%
66
Neutral
$1.25B30.814.36%1.89%1.77%-8.72%
63
Neutral
$726.68M77.933.55%9.62%-25.73%
63
Neutral
$6.82B13.32-1.02%7.20%3.67%-27.43%
56
Neutral
$1.66B-11.87%12.13%-11.06%29.36%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GNL
Global Net Lease
7.56
0.31
4.28%
WPC
W. P. Carey Inc.
65.18
11.23
20.82%
ESRT
Empire State Realty
7.40
-2.72
-26.88%
AHH
Armada Hoffler Properties
7.17
-3.53
-32.99%
AAT
American Assets
19.50
-4.48
-18.68%
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease
16.71
0.33
2.01%

Global Net Lease Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Global Net Lease Completes $1.8 Billion Portfolio Sale
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. discussed its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting the completion of a $1.8 billion sale of its multi-tenant retail portfolio to RCG Ventures. This strategic move positions the company as a pure-play single-tenant net lease entity, enhancing its operational efficiency and financial metrics, such as occupancy and liquidity. The sale has led to a credit rating upgrade by S&P Global, reflecting improved leverage and liquidity. Additionally, the company has been actively reducing its exposure to office and gas station assets, aligning with its long-term growth strategy and focusing on higher-growth sectors. These efforts have contributed to a robust pipeline of asset dispositions, totaling over $3 billion since 2024, and have strengthened the company’s capital structure and reduced risk.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Global Net Lease Completes $1.8 Billion Portfolio Sale
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. presented an investor presentation detailing its strategic accomplishments in the second quarter of 2025. The company successfully completed the final phases of a $1.8 billion Multi-Tenant Portfolio Sale, transforming into a pure-play net-lease REIT and reducing its net debt by $748 million. Additionally, GNL refinanced its revolving credit facility, lowering its cost of capital and extending debt maturity, which contributed to an upgrade in its corporate credit rating by S&P to BB+. The company also reported robust leasing activity, increasing occupancy to 98% and achieving a 6.0% renewal spread, reflecting strong asset management capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Global Net Lease Announces Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Global Net Lease announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting significant strategic progress. The company completed the sale of its multi-tenant retail portfolio, enhancing its operational efficiency and portfolio quality. This move, alongside a $1.8 billion refinancing of its Revolving Credit Facility and a substantial reduction in net debt by $748 million, resulted in an upgrade of its credit rating by S&P Global. Despite a decrease in revenue and net loss compared to the previous year, GNL’s strategic initiatives, including asset sales and share repurchases, have strengthened its financial position, with increased liquidity and improved debt metrics, positioning the company for continued momentum in the latter half of the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Global Net Lease Secures $1.8 Billion Credit Refinancing
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. (GNL) refinanced its Revolving Credit Facility with a new $1.8 billion agreement, extending the maturity date to August 2030 and reducing the interest rate spread by 35 basis points. This strategic move is expected to save GNL approximately $2 million annually in interest and reflects the company’s efforts to strengthen its balance sheet and create long-term value for shareholders, with no significant debt maturities until 2027.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Global Net Lease to Release Q2 2025 Results
Neutral
Jul 16, 2025

On July 16, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. announced that it will release its financial results for the second quarter of 2025 on August 6, 2025, after the close of trading on the New York Stock Exchange. The company will host a conference call and audio webcast on August 7, 2025, to discuss the results and provide commentary on business performance, which may impact stakeholder perceptions and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Global Net Lease Declares July 2025 Dividend
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. announced a dividend of $0.190 per share of common stock, payable on July 16, 2025, to shareholders of record as of July 11, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its investors and may influence its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Global Net Lease Upgraded by S&P to BB+
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

On June 30, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. announced that S&P Global upgraded its corporate credit rating to BB+ from BB, following the successful $1.8 billion sale of its multi-tenant portfolio, which allowed for a significant reduction in debt. This upgrade also raised the company’s issue-level rating on its unsecured notes to an investment-grade BBB- from BB+. The sale has resulted in a streamlined portfolio with diversified, long-term triple-net leases, minimal near-term lease expirations, high occupancy, and improved operating metrics. CEO Michael Weil stated that the credit rating upgrade validates the company’s efforts to strengthen its balance sheet and enhance shareholder value, with plans to continue reducing leverage and lowering the cost of capital.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Global Net Lease Completes Major Portfolio Sale
Positive
Jun 23, 2025

On June 18, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. completed the final phase of its multi-tenant portfolio sale to RCG Ventures, LLC, generating approximately $313 million in gross proceeds. This sale, part of a broader strategy to transform into a single-tenant net lease REIT, is expected to simplify operations and reduce costs, supporting the company’s goal of achieving an investment-grade credit rating and enhancing shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Global Net Lease Declares Quarterly Preferred Dividends
Neutral
Jun 18, 2025

On June 18, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. announced the declaration of quarterly dividends on its preferred stocks, payable on July 15, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s commitment to providing returns to its shareholders and may impact its financial positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Global Net Lease Closes Phase Two of Portfolio Sale
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. successfully closed the second phase of its multi-tenant portfolio sale to RCG Ventures, LLC, generating approximately $400 million in gross proceeds. This transaction is part of GNL’s strategic plan to transform into a dedicated single-tenant portfolio, reduce leverage, and strengthen its capital structure. The company remains on track to complete the third and final phase of the sale by the end of the second quarter of 2025, with proceeds expected to be used to pay down the outstanding balance on GNL’s Revolving Credit Facility.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Global Net Lease Appoints New Board Chairperson
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. announced the appointment of Robert Kauffman as the Non-Executive Chairperson of its Board of Directors, effective May 30, 2025. Kauffman, who joined the GNL Board in March 2024, succeeds Sue Perrotty, who resigned from her position but will continue as an independent director. This leadership change comes at a transformative time for GNL, as the company is transitioning to a pure-play single-tenant net lease company. The appointment is expected to leverage Kauffman’s extensive real estate and capital markets experience to further enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Global Net Lease Increases Authorized Shares in May 2025
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Global Net Lease‘s Board approved a charter amendment to increase the company’s authorized shares to 440 million, with 400 million designated as common stock and 40 million as preferred stock. This amendment, effective May 23, 2025, was filed with Maryland’s State Department of Assessments and Taxation. Additionally, during the annual meeting on May 22, 2025, shareholders elected ten directors, ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor, approved executive compensation, and endorsed the 2025 Incentive Plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 12, 2025