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Global Net Lease (GNL)
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Global Net Lease (GNL) AI Stock Analysis

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GNL

Global Net Lease

(NYSE:GNL)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▼(-1.19% Downside)
Global Net Lease's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and high leverage, which weigh heavily on the score. However, strategic achievements such as an investment-grade credit rating and successful refinancing provide some positive momentum. The high dividend yield offers potential appeal to income investors, but the technical indicators suggest a cautious approach due to bearish trends.
Positive Factors
Investment-Grade Credit Rating
Achieving an investment-grade credit rating enhances GNL's credibility and reduces borrowing costs, supporting long-term financial stability and growth potential.
Successful Disposition Program
The successful asset disposition program significantly reduces debt, improving financial flexibility and allowing GNL to focus on core assets and strategic growth.
Strong Leasing Performance
Strong leasing performance and favorable renewal spreads enhance revenue stability and indicate robust demand for GNL's properties, supporting long-term income growth.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
Declining revenue growth indicates challenges in maintaining market position and could pressure profitability if not addressed through strategic initiatives.
High Leverage
High leverage limits financial flexibility and increases risk, potentially impacting GNL's ability to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic downturns.
Net Losses
Ongoing net losses reflect operational challenges and could hinder GNL's ability to fund dividends and reinvest in the business, impacting long-term shareholder value.

Global Net Lease (GNL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Global Net Lease Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGlobal Net Lease (GNL) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in acquiring and managing a diversified portfolio of net lease properties located primarily in the United States and Europe. The company focuses on single-tenant, mission-critical properties leased to high-quality tenants across sectors such as industrial, retail, and office. GNL's core service involves providing investors with an opportunity to invest in a stable income-generating portfolio backed by long-term leases with creditworthy tenants.
How the Company Makes MoneyGlobal Net Lease generates revenue primarily through rental income from its properties. The company enters into long-term net lease agreements, where tenants are responsible for property expenses such as maintenance, taxes, and insurance, allowing GNL to maintain a steady cash flow with lower management costs. Key revenue streams include base rental payments and potential escalation clauses within the leases that provide for rent increases over time. Additionally, GNL may benefit from property appreciation and disposal of assets at a profit. Significant partnerships with reputable tenants in various sectors contribute to the stability and predictability of its earnings.

Global Net Lease Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted several strategic achievements, including an investment-grade rating, successful refinancing, and a robust share repurchase program, which were counterbalanced by a reported net loss and concerns over leverage ratios. Overall, the positive strategic accomplishments are slightly tempered by financial challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Investment-Grade Credit Rating Achievement
Global Net Lease earned an investment-grade corporate credit rating from Fitch Ratings, upgraded to BBB- from BB+.
Successful Disposition Program
Approximately $3 billion in dispositions completed, including a $1.8 billion sale of a multi-tenant retail portfolio, reducing net debt by approximately $2 billion since Q3 2024.
Refinancing Success
Refinanced revolving credit facility, reducing interest rate spread by 35 basis points and extending maturity to 2030.
Share Repurchase Program
Repurchased 12.1 million shares at a weighted average price of $7.59, totaling $91.7 million, with an AFFO yield of approximately 12%.
Strong Leasing Performance
Leased over 1 million square feet in Q3 2025 with renewal spreads 26% higher than expiring rents.
Revenue and Portfolio Performance
Recorded revenue of $121 million with a portfolio occupancy of 97%.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Reported
Net loss attributable to common stockholders was $71.1 million for Q3 2025.
Leverage Concerns
Net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio was 7.2x, at the high end of the guidance range.
Occupancy Decline
Slight occupancy decline due to tenant expiration in the U.K. portfolio.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025 earnings call for Global Net Lease, Inc. (GNL), the company provided several key metrics and guidance. GNL successfully continued its strategic disposition program, achieving approximately $3 billion in asset sales, including a significant $1.8 billion sale of its multi-tenant retail portfolio, which aided in reducing net debt by $2 billion since Q3 2024. The company reported an occupancy rate of 97%, with a weighted average remaining lease term of 6.2 years, and achieved a 26% renewal spread on leases. GNL's portfolio consists of over 850 properties with nearly 43 million rentable square feet. The company improved its financial flexibility by refinancing its revolving credit facility, reducing the interest rate spread by 35 basis points, and extending the maturity to 2030. As a result of these strategic actions, Fitch Ratings upgraded GNL's corporate credit rating to investment-grade BBB-. AFFO was reported at $53.2 million, or $0.24 per share, for the quarter, and the company raised its full-year 2025 AFFO per share guidance to a range of $0.95 to $0.97. Additionally, GNL repurchased 12.1 million shares at an AFFO yield of approximately 12%, indicating a preference for share repurchases over acquisitions in the current market environment.

Global Net Lease Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Global Net Lease faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and substantial net losses impacting profitability. The high leverage poses potential risks, although the company maintains a moderate equity ratio. Cash flow generation is under pressure, but the company still manages to produce some free cash flow. Overall, the financial health is concerning, with a need for strategic improvements to stabilize and grow the business.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement reveals a challenging period for Global Net Lease, with a significant decline in revenue growth rate of -10.72% TTM, indicating a contraction in business activity. The gross profit margin is unusually high at 113.13% TTM, suggesting potential accounting anomalies or reclassifications. The net profit margin is negative at -43.75% TTM, reflecting substantial losses. While the EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively healthy at 24.94% and 67.07% TTM respectively, the overall profitability is hindered by high net losses.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.65 TTM, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks if not managed properly. The return on equity is negative at -13.92% TTM, reflecting the company's inability to generate profits from shareholders' equity. However, the equity ratio stands at 36.77% TTM, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement highlights a decline in free cash flow growth of -8.06% TTM, indicating reduced cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.29 TTM, suggesting limited cash flow relative to net losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.81 TTM, indicating that despite net losses, the company is still generating some free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue456.44M805.01M515.07M378.86M391.23M330.10M
Gross Profit382.18M662.51M364.46M345.98M358.48M297.73M
EBITDA260.44M594.24M215.72M279.43M285.54M230.33M
Net Income-291.10M-131.57M-211.91M12.02M11.37M10.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.77B6.96B8.10B3.96B4.18B3.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments165.09M159.70M121.57M103.33M89.67M124.25M
Total Debt0.004.64B5.29B2.42B2.45B2.29B
Total Liabilities3.06B4.77B5.46B2.51B2.56B2.41B
Stockholders Equity1.70B2.19B2.64B1.44B1.62B1.53B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow202.98M253.84M96.45M151.88M184.57M170.47M
Operating Cash Flow242.03M299.47M143.74M181.82M192.49M176.85M
Investing Cash Flow1.63B759.90M-551.90M-16.54M-436.57M-470.53M
Financing Cash Flow-1.85B-995.36M469.01M-149.74M218.32M140.68M

Global Net Lease Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.59
Price Trends
50DMA
7.79
Positive
100DMA
7.48
Positive
200DMA
7.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
60.03
Neutral
STOCH
45.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GNL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.59 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.68, below the 50-day MA of 7.79, and above the 200-day MA of 7.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GNL.

Global Net Lease Risk Analysis

Global Net Lease disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Global Net Lease reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Global Net Lease Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$14.57B40.234.36%5.40%5.59%-34.75%
72
Outperform
$3.41B38.933.05%6.54%3.87%-37.59%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$1.24B35.043.80%1.92%0.45%-24.85%
59
Neutral
$1.16B18.685.29%6.75%5.95%5.06%
56
Neutral
$514.62M47.494.09%9.65%-39.94%
52
Neutral
$1.67B-12.54%11.19%-28.94%-27.78%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GNL
Global Net Lease
7.94
0.92
13.11%
WPC
W. P. Carey Inc.
66.26
12.75
23.83%
ESRT
Empire State Realty
7.29
-3.41
-31.87%
AHH
Armada Hoffler Properties
6.22
-4.14
-39.96%
AAT
American Assets
18.89
-7.40
-28.15%
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease
17.78
1.34
8.15%

Global Net Lease Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Global Net Lease Discusses Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. held a conference call to discuss its financial results for the third quarter of 2025. The company highlighted its strategic achievements over the past two years, including a successful disposition program that reduced leverage and improved portfolio quality. A significant milestone was the $1.8 billion sale of a multi-tenant retail portfolio in June 2025, which helped position GNL as a pure-play single-tenant net lease REIT. Additionally, the refinancing of its Revolving Credit Facility in August 2025 extended maturity and reduced interest rates, contributing to an upgrade of its corporate credit rating to investment-grade by Fitch Ratings. The company also reported strong leasing activity and a stable tenant base, with a high percentage of investment-grade tenants, reflecting its strategic focus on maintaining a high-quality portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Global Net Lease Achieves Investment-Grade Rating Upgrade
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Global Net Lease announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting significant achievements such as an upgrade in its corporate credit rating to investment-grade BBB- by Fitch Ratings. The company successfully reduced its net debt by $2 billion since the third quarter of 2024 and increased its liquidity to $1.1 billion. Despite a decrease in revenue from $138.7 million in Q3 2024 to $121.0 million in Q3 2025 due to asset dispositions, GNL improved its financial position by executing a $1.8 billion refinancing of its revolving credit facility, lowering its cost of capital, and extending its weighted average debt maturity. The company also repurchased 12.1 million shares, totaling $92 million, and raised its full-year AFFO per share guidance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Global Net Lease Highlights Q3 Achievements and Credit Upgrade
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. presented an investor presentation highlighting its strategic achievements in the third quarter of 2025. The company successfully reduced its net debt by $2.0 billion through strategic dispositions, including a $1.8 billion multi-tenant retail portfolio sale, and refinanced its revolving credit facility. These actions led to an upgrade of its corporate credit rating to BBB- by Fitch, reflecting a strengthened balance sheet and enhanced financial flexibility. GNL also reported strong leasing activity with a 26.4% renewal leasing spread, supporting an increase in full-year 2025 AFFO per share guidance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Global Net Lease Upgraded to Investment-Grade by Fitch
Positive
Oct 17, 2025

On October 17, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. announced that Fitch Ratings has upgraded its corporate credit rating to investment-grade BBB- from BB+. This upgrade reflects the company’s strategic achievements over the past two years, including approximately $3 billion in asset dispositions, refinancing of its Revolving Credit Facility, and the establishment of a high-quality asset portfolio with a strong tenant base. These efforts have strengthened GNL’s balance sheet, enhanced liquidity, and positioned the company for long-term success, thereby creating sustained value for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Global Net Lease Q3 2025 Financial Results Announcement
Neutral
Oct 16, 2025

On October 16, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. announced that it will release its financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 5, 2025, after the close of trading on the NYSE. The company will host a conference call and webcast on November 6, 2025, to discuss the results and provide business performance commentary, indicating an opportunity for stakeholders to gain insights into the company’s recent operations and strategic positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Global Net Lease Announces October Dividend Payout
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. announced a dividend of $0.190 per share of common stock, payable on October 16, 2025, to shareholders of record as of October 13, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its investors, potentially impacting its market positioning by reinforcing shareholder value and confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Global Net Lease Declares Quarterly Dividends on Preferred Stock
Positive
Sep 18, 2025

On September 18, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. announced the declaration of quarterly dividends on its preferred stock, with payments scheduled for October 15, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders and may influence investor sentiment positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

Global Net Lease’s Strategic Moves Highlighted in Earnings Call
Aug 13, 2025

Global Net Lease’s recent earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, fueled by successful strategic initiatives such as the sale of its multi-tenant retail portfolio, significant debt reduction, and credit rating upgrades. However, the company faces challenges with a net loss, stagnant share price, and exposure to certain sectors.

Global Net Lease Reports Strategic Progress and Financial Updates
Aug 8, 2025

Global Net Lease, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust that focuses on acquiring and managing a global portfolio of income-producing net lease assets across the United States, United Kingdom, and Western and Northern Europe.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Global Net Lease Completes $1.8 Billion Portfolio Sale
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. discussed its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting the completion of a $1.8 billion sale of its multi-tenant retail portfolio to RCG Ventures. This strategic move positions the company as a pure-play single-tenant net lease entity, enhancing its operational efficiency and financial metrics, such as occupancy and liquidity. The sale has led to a credit rating upgrade by S&P Global, reflecting improved leverage and liquidity. Additionally, the company has been actively reducing its exposure to office and gas station assets, aligning with its long-term growth strategy and focusing on higher-growth sectors. These efforts have contributed to a robust pipeline of asset dispositions, totaling over $3 billion since 2024, and have strengthened the company’s capital structure and reduced risk.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025