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Global Net Lease (GNL)
NYSE:GNL

Global Net Lease (GNL) AI Stock Analysis

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Global Net Lease

(NYSE:GNL)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(1.49%Upside)
Global Net Lease's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including high leverage and negative profitability. While strategic initiatives and a high dividend yield offer some positive aspects, bearish technical indicators and market volatility concerns weigh heavily on the stock's prospects.
Positive Factors
Debt Reduction
The company is in the process of selling its portfolio of 100 multi-tenant retail properties for approximately $1.8 billion as part of its strategy to reduce debt and simplify operations.
Share Buyback
The newly instituted $300M share buyback represents a compelling use of capital, offering an accretive use of capital.
Negative Factors
Earnings Outlook
The earnings outlook implies 30% downside, as GNL has ~$2B of dispositions in process, including the $1.78B portfolio trade.
Valuation Concerns
Though the valuation has continued to be depressed, with shares trading at mid-8x 2025E AFFO/share, a steep discount compared to net-lease REITs at mid-13x.

Global Net Lease (GNL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Global Net Lease Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGlobal Net Lease, Inc. (GNL) is a publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in acquiring and managing a diversified global portfolio of commercial properties. The company's primary focus is on single-tenant, net-leased properties across various sectors, including office, industrial, and retail. GNL's portfolio is strategically located across North America and Europe, providing stable and predictable income through long-term leases with high-quality tenants.
How the Company Makes MoneyGlobal Net Lease generates revenue primarily through the collection of rental income from its portfolio of properties. The company's business model is centered around acquiring properties that are leased to creditworthy tenants under long-term, net lease agreements. These leases often include provisions where tenants are responsible for property expenses such as taxes, insurance, and maintenance, which reduces operational costs and enhances profitability for GNL. Additionally, GNL seeks to grow its income by strategically acquiring new properties that align with its investment criteria. The company's earnings are also influenced by factors such as property appreciation, occupancy rates, and the overall health of the real estate market. Key partnerships with institutional investors and financial institutions may also play a role in supporting GNL's acquisition and growth strategies.

Global Net Lease Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.86%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted GNL's strategic initiatives to reduce leverage and streamline its portfolio through significant asset sales. Despite the positive progress in deleveraging and occupancy improvements, the company faced challenges with tenant vacancies and market volatility, resulting in a net loss for the quarter.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Sale of Multi-Tenant Portfolio
GNL completed the first phase of its multi-tenant portfolio sale to RCG Ventures, generating $1.1 billion in gross proceeds. The net proceeds were used to reduce leverage, paying down $850 million on GNL's revolving credit facility.
Significant Deleveraging Efforts
GNL reduced its net debt to adjusted EBITDA from 8.4 times in Q1 2024 to 6.7 times in Q1 2025, with further reductions expected through additional asset sales.
Strong Portfolio Performance
The portfolio achieved an occupancy rate of 95%, with a weighted average lease term of 6.3 years and an average annual rent increase of 1.5%.
Positive Leasing Activity
GNL achieved positive leasing spreads with new leases and renewals having weighted average lease terms of 5 and 6.6 years, respectively.
Share Repurchase Program
GNL repurchased 7.9 million shares at a weighted average price of $7.50, totaling $59 million, reflecting a strategic approach to capitalize on undervalued stock prices.
Negative Updates
Financial Impact from Contractor’s Steel Vacancy
Contractor’s Steel, which occupied nearly 1.4 million square feet, encountered financial difficulties and vacated in Q1 2025, impacting occupancy figures.
Net Loss Attributable to Common Stockholders
The company recorded a net loss of $200.3 million for Q1 2025, partly due to the costs associated with the multi-tenant portfolio sale.
Market Volatility Concerns
GNL expressed concerns over market volatility introduced by tariffs, which could impact asset disposition and pricing.
Challenges in Gas and Convenience Store Sector
GNL is reducing exposure to the gas and convenience store sector due to structural shifts in consumer behavior and transportation trends.
Company Guidance
During Global Net Lease Inc.'s first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance on its financial and operational strategies. The firm reported a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $200.3 million and an AFFO of $66.2 million, or $0.29 per share. The company outlined its strategic focus on deleveraging, having paid down $850 million on its revolving credit facility, which contributed to a reduction in its net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio from 8.4 times in the first quarter of 2024 to 6.7 times. GNL reiterated its goal of achieving an investment grade credit rating, with Fitch and S&P placing the company on credit watch positive. The firm's revenue stood at $132.4 million, with a portfolio occupancy of 95% and a weighted average lease term of 6.3 years. The company's debt structure is predominantly fixed at 91%, with a weighted average interest rate of 4.4%. GNL reaffirmed its 2025 AFFO per share guidance range of $0.90 to $0.96 and aims to further reduce its net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio to between 6.5 and 7.1 times. Additionally, the company announced a $300 million share repurchase program, having already repurchased 7.9 million shares at a weighted average price of $7.50.

Global Net Lease Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Global Net Lease faces significant financial challenges, particularly with profitability and high leverage. Despite strong gross margins, the company struggles with consistent revenue growth and net profitability. The high debt level poses a risk, though the company's cash flow generation provides some stability.
Income Statement
34
Negative
The company shows significant volatility in its income statement with a negative net income in the most recent TTM period. Gross profit margin remains relatively strong at 71.58% for TTM, yet net profit margins are negative due to substantial losses. Revenue growth rate over the past years shows inconsistency with recent declines, indicating challenges in revenue generation and cost management.
Balance Sheet
47
Neutral
The balance sheet depicts a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.72, highlighting substantial leverage that could pose financial risk. Stockholders' equity has been decreasing, and the equity ratio stands at 33.08% for TTM, indicating a moderate reliance on equity financing. Despite these challenges, the firm's asset base remains substantial.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a positive trend with the operating cash flow exceeding net income, suggesting effective cash management. The free cash flow growth rate is negative due to declining free cash flows, yet the operating cash flow to net income ratio of -0.90 indicates operational efficiency despite net losses.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
731.38M805.01M515.07M378.86M391.23M330.10M
Gross Profit
523.56M662.51M364.46M345.98M358.48M297.73M
EBIT
113.66M206.48M-15.38M100.54M111.91M99.24M
EBITDA
451.94M594.24M215.72M279.43M285.54M230.33M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-297.37M-131.57M-211.91M12.02M11.37M10.78M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
147.05M159.70M121.57M103.33M89.67M124.25M
Total Assets
5.79B6.96B8.10B3.96B4.18B3.97B
Total Debt
3.29B4.64B5.29B2.42B2.45B2.29B
Net Debt
3.15B4.48B5.17B2.31B2.36B2.17B
Total Liabilities
3.87B4.77B5.46B2.51B2.56B2.41B
Stockholders Equity
1.92B2.19B2.64B1.44B1.62B1.53B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
219.04M253.84M96.45M151.88M184.57M170.47M
Operating Cash Flow
266.45M299.47M143.74M181.82M192.49M176.85M
Investing Cash Flow
1.63B759.90M-551.90M-16.54M-436.57M-470.53M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.86B-995.36M469.01M-149.74M218.32M140.68M

Global Net Lease Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.39
Price Trends
50DMA
7.57
Negative
100DMA
7.48
Negative
200DMA
7.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
37.30
Neutral
STOCH
25.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GNL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.39 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.70, below the 50-day MA of 7.57, and above the 200-day MA of 7.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GNL.

Global Net Lease Risk Analysis

Global Net Lease disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Global Net Lease reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Global Net Lease Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GTGTY
76
Outperform
$1.63B23.987.23%6.40%7.80%4.15%
BNBNL
70
Outperform
$3.08B27.123.79%7.11%0.73%-37.65%
61
Neutral
$2.83B10.720.40%6.10%5.80%-21.26%
GNGNL
50
Neutral
$1.67B-13.01%10.28%16.69%39.04%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GNL
Global Net Lease
7.39
1.12
17.86%
GTY
Getty Realty
28.97
3.90
15.56%
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease
16.12
1.81
12.65%

Global Net Lease Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Global Net Lease Closes Phase Two of Portfolio Sale
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. successfully closed the second phase of its multi-tenant portfolio sale to RCG Ventures, LLC, generating approximately $400 million in gross proceeds. This transaction is part of GNL’s strategic plan to transform into a dedicated single-tenant portfolio, reduce leverage, and strengthen its capital structure. The company remains on track to complete the third and final phase of the sale by the end of the second quarter of 2025, with proceeds expected to be used to pay down the outstanding balance on GNL’s Revolving Credit Facility.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Global Net Lease Appoints New Board Chairperson
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. announced the appointment of Robert Kauffman as the Non-Executive Chairperson of its Board of Directors, effective May 30, 2025. Kauffman, who joined the GNL Board in March 2024, succeeds Sue Perrotty, who resigned from her position but will continue as an independent director. This leadership change comes at a transformative time for GNL, as the company is transitioning to a pure-play single-tenant net lease company. The appointment is expected to leverage Kauffman’s extensive real estate and capital markets experience to further enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Global Net Lease Increases Authorized Shares in May 2025
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Global Net Lease‘s Board approved a charter amendment to increase the company’s authorized shares to 440 million, with 400 million designated as common stock and 40 million as preferred stock. This amendment, effective May 23, 2025, was filed with Maryland’s State Department of Assessments and Taxation. Additionally, during the annual meeting on May 22, 2025, shareholders elected ten directors, ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor, approved executive compensation, and endorsed the 2025 Incentive Plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNL) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Net Lease stock, see the GNL Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Global Net Lease Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. discussed its first quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting significant progress in its strategic transformation. The company completed the first phase of selling its multi-tenant portfolio, generating $1.1 billion in gross proceeds, which was used to reduce leverage and strengthen its balance sheet. This transaction is part of GNL’s broader strategy to achieve an investment-grade credit rating, with rating agencies recognizing its efforts by placing the company on Credit Watch Positive. Additionally, GNL announced a $300 million share repurchase program, repurchasing 7.9 million shares by early May 2025. The company also reported a high occupancy rate of 95% and continued efforts to streamline its portfolio, aiming for nearly $3 billion in asset sales by the end of 2025.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Global Net Lease Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
May 7, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Global Net Lease announced its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting the successful closure of the first phase of its multi-tenant portfolio sale, generating $1.1 billion in gross proceeds. The company reduced its net debt by $833 million in the quarter and repurchased 7.9 million shares. Despite a decrease in revenue to $132.4 million and a net loss of $200.3 million, primarily due to asset dispositions, GNL remains on track to complete the remaining phases of the portfolio sale by the end of the second quarter of 2025. The company aims to enhance its financial flexibility and strengthen its balance sheet, positioning itself for future growth opportunities.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Global Net Lease Completes Phase I of Portfolio Sale
Positive
May 7, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. presented an investor presentation detailing their strategic progress, including the successful completion of Phase I of the Multi-Tenant Portfolio Sale in Q1 2025. This transaction is part of a transformative strategy to focus on single-tenant assets, simplifying operations, enhancing portfolio metrics, and positioning the company for long-term growth. The sale significantly reduces leverage and improves liquidity, aligning with the company’s core strategy and enhancing its market positioning.

Financial Disclosures
Global Net Lease to Announce Q1 2025 Results
Neutral
Apr 16, 2025

On April 16, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. announced it will release its first quarter financial results for 2025 on May 7, 2025, after the NYSE closes. The company will host a conference call and webcast on May 8, 2025, to discuss the results and business performance, indicating a proactive approach to engaging with stakeholders and providing transparency about its financial health.

Dividends
Global Net Lease Announces April 2025 Dividend
Positive
Apr 1, 2025

On April 1, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. announced a dividend of $0.190 per share for its common stock, payable on April 16, 2025, to stockholders of record as of April 11, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its investors and may influence its market positioning by demonstrating financial stability and shareholder value.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Global Net Lease Completes Major Portfolio Sale
Positive
Mar 28, 2025

On March 25, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. successfully closed the first phase of its multi-tenant portfolio sale to RCG Ventures, LLC, generating approximately $1.1 billion in gross proceeds. This transaction marks a significant step in GNL’s strategic plan to reduce leverage and enhance its financial flexibility, as the company aims to complete the sale of the remaining properties by the end of the second quarter of 2025.

Dividends
Global Net Lease Declares Quarterly Preferred Stock Dividends
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

On March 20, 2025, Global Net Lease, Inc. announced the declaration of quarterly dividends on its preferred stock, with payments scheduled for April 15, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders through dividends on its various series of preferred stocks, potentially impacting investor confidence and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.