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Armada Hoffler Properties (AHH)
NYSE:AHH

Armada Hoffler Properties (AHH) AI Stock Analysis

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Armada Hoffler Properties

(NYSE:AHH)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$8.00
▲(16.62%Upside)
Armada Hoffler Properties' strong financial performance and earnings call insights are key positives, offset by valuation concerns and recent corporate event challenges. The high dividend yield adds a positive aspect for income investors, despite the high P/E ratio.

Armada Hoffler Properties (AHH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Armada Hoffler Properties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArmada Hoffler Properties, Inc. (NYSE: AHH) is a vertically-integrated, self-managed real estate investment trust (REIT) with four decades of experience developing, building, acquiring, and managing high-quality, institutional-grade office, retail, and multifamily properties located primarily in the Mid-Atlantic and Southeastern United States. In addition to developing and building properties for its own account, the Company also provides development and general contracting construction services to third-party clients. Founded in 1979 by Daniel A. Hoffler, the Company has elected to be taxed as a REIT for U.S. federal income tax purposes.
How the Company Makes MoneyArmada Hoffler Properties generates revenue primarily through rental income from its diverse portfolio of commercial and residential properties. As a REIT, the company benefits from long-term lease agreements with tenants across office, retail, and multifamily sectors. Additionally, Armada Hoffler pursues growth through property development and acquisition, enhancing its portfolio value. The company also earns income from its third-party construction services, which involve constructing properties for other clients, providing a significant revenue stream alongside its leasing activities. Armada Hoffler's strategic partnerships and joint ventures further emphasize its ability to expand and optimize its investment opportunities, contributing to its overall earnings.

Armada Hoffler Properties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.44%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong occupancy rates, successful retail leasing, and positive financial performance, indicating robust portfolio management. However, challenges in construction projects and broader retail headwinds were noted. The strategic decision to reset the dividend reflects a focus on fiscal flexibility and long-term value creation.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Occupancy Rates
Portfolio occupancy held steady at a minimum of 95% over the past four quarters, with office assets nearly fully occupied at 97.5%.
Successful Retail Leasing
Retail leasing activity remains robust, with over 85% of spaces vacated by bankrupt tenants already under lease or LOI to higher credit quality tenants at 25% higher rents.
Positive Financial Performance
Normalized FFO attributable to common shareholders was $25.6 million, or $0.25 per diluted share, slightly above expectations for the period.
Dividend Repositioning
Quarterly dividend was reset to $0.14 per share, fully supported by operating property cash flow, providing fiscal flexibility.
Successful New Leases
Executed three new office leases totaling approximately 23,000 square feet and announced marquee new lease with F1 Arcade at The Interlock.
Negative Updates
Construction Challenges
A few construction projects have come out of guidance, reflecting a shift away from fee income reliance.
Retail Sector Headwinds
Broader retail headwinds include closures by tenants such as Party City, Conn's, and JOANN Fabrics, representing roughly 115,000 square feet of space.
Office Lease Expirations
Office Depot in Durham, 28,000 square feet, may not renew, requiring backfill solutions.
Interest Rate Environment
Proactive approach to interest rate volatility, with hedging transactions during the quarter for $150 million notional amounts.
Company Guidance
During Armada Hoffler's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance reaffirming its full-year expectations. The management highlighted robust portfolio occupancy, maintaining a minimum of 95% across all property types. The office segment was notably strong, with a 97.5% occupancy rate and no significant lease expirations until 2027. Retail assets achieved double-digit GAAP renewal spreads and a 2.6% growth rate in multifamily leases. Normalized FFO stood at $0.25 per diluted share, with the company setting a quarterly dividend of $0.14 per share. Armada Hoffler emphasized its strategic focus on high-quality property-level earnings and mentioned a 13% reduction in G&A expenses year-over-year. The company reported a net debt to total adjusted EBITDA ratio of 7.1 times and maintained strong liquidity with over $211 million. The management reaffirmed its full-year normalized FFO guidance of $1 to $1.10 per diluted share despite some anticipated softness in construction activities.

Armada Hoffler Properties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Armada Hoffler Properties shows strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and a healthy gross profit margin. The absence of debt in the TTM period enhances financial flexibility, although there is room for improvement in ROE.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Armada Hoffler Properties shows strong financial performance with significant revenue growth of 6.22% in the TTM period compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin and EBIT margin are healthy at 33.06% and 17.68%, respectively, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency. Net profit has also grown substantially, enhancing the net profit margin to 5.41%, compared to 1.24% last year, reflecting improved profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company demonstrates strong financial stability with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0, as it reports zero total debt in the TTM period, which is a significant improvement from the prior year. The equity ratio is solid at 35.39%, pointing to a robust capital structure. However, the return on equity has decreased to 4.31% from the previous year's 1.45%, indicating room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a stable situation with a free cash flow of $91.2 million in the TTM period. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is strong at 2.38, suggesting effective cash generation from operations relative to net income. Although the free cash flow growth rate is negative due to slight decreases in operating cash flow, the company's free cash flow remains ample, showcasing solid liquidity.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
629.63M708.47M667.16M454.15M284.08M383.63M
Gross Profit
201.23M203.45M187.85M154.20M127.63M117.07M
EBIT
100.37M106.54M73.59M81.15M62.70M48.74M
EBITDA
191.91M211.81M164.23M213.57M132.57M128.27M
Net Income Common Stockholders
18.77M35.65M8.29M74.75M21.89M29.15M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
45.72M70.64M27.92M48.14M35.25M41.00M
Total Assets
2.47B2.51B2.56B2.24B1.94B1.92B
Total Debt
0.001.42B1.52B1.21B995.36M1.02B
Net Debt
-45.72M1.35B1.49B1.17B960.12M982.46M
Total Liabilities
1.60B1.62B1.76B1.34B1.16B1.16B
Stockholders Equity
657.39M670.64M572.62M904.01M779.82M756.80M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
78.17M112.02M93.31M99.77M75.69M81.10M
Operating Cash Flow
66.62M112.02M93.31M116.86M91.18M91.18M
Investing Cash Flow
-7.24M-26.70M-237.27M-33.24M-57.63M-26.23M
Financing Cash Flow
-54.67M-43.26M122.25M-72.19M-43.54M-58.10M

Armada Hoffler Properties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.86
Price Trends
50DMA
6.92
Negative
100DMA
7.81
Negative
200DMA
9.19
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
41.82
Neutral
STOCH
38.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AHH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.04, below the 50-day MA of 6.92, and below the 200-day MA of 9.19, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AHH.

Armada Hoffler Properties Risk Analysis

Armada Hoffler Properties disclosed 77 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Armada Hoffler Properties reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Armada Hoffler Properties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
OLOLP
72
Outperform
$537.91M18.419.57%7.23%1.82%-1.03%
AHAHH
71
Outperform
$695.24M120.353.05%8.16%-12.13%-14.54%
64
Neutral
$674.68M50.077.51%8.29%3.01%
63
Neutral
$473.27M-6.09%6.99%-8.41%88.62%
61
Neutral
$2.83B10.720.40%6.10%5.80%-21.26%
CTCTO
60
Neutral
$592.82M36.87-1.05%8.44%17.48%-172.41%
56
Neutral
$682.32M-6.29%12.24%-14.92%-3.27%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AHH
Armada Hoffler Properties
6.86
-3.36
-32.88%
CTO
CTO Realty Growth
18.00
1.94
12.08%
GOOD
Gladstone Commercial
14.48
1.57
12.16%
OLP
One Liberty Properties
24.91
2.70
12.16%
BRSP
BrightSpire Capital
5.23
-0.06
-1.13%
PKST
Peakstone Realty Trust
12.87
2.55
24.71%

Armada Hoffler Properties Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Armada Hoffler Properties President Resigns Amid Leadership Changes
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Eric E. Apperson resigned as President of Construction at Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc. A Separation and General Release Agreement was reached, effective May 29, 2025, granting Mr. Apperson severance benefits and accelerated vesting of certain shares and units. The agreement includes non-disclosure and non-compete clauses, along with mutual non-disparagement terms, impacting the company’s leadership and operational continuity.

The most recent analyst rating on (AHH) stock is a Buy with a $12.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Armada Hoffler Properties stock, see the AHH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Armada Hoffler Reports Q1 2025 Net Loss Per Share
Negative
May 7, 2025

Armada Hoffler Properties reported a GAAP net loss of $0.07 per diluted share for the first quarter of 2025, compared to a net income of $0.17 per diluted share in the same period of 2024. The company maintained its full-year 2025 Normalized FFO guidance range of $1.00 to $1.10 per diluted share, despite a decrease in funds from operations and a decline in general contracting and real estate services gross profit. The company executed 31 commercial lease renewals and 11 new leases, totaling approximately 313,000 square feet, and reported positive renewal spreads across its retail and office segments. The company’s portfolio occupancy remained strong, with retail at 94.5%, office at 97.5%, and multifamily at 95.0%.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.