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Gladstone Commercial (GOOD)
:GOOD
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Gladstone Commercial (GOOD) AI Stock Analysis

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GOOD

Gladstone Commercial

(NASDAQ:GOOD)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▲(6.46% Upside)
Gladstone Commercial's overall stock score reflects solid financial performance with stable revenue growth and improved cash flow. The high dividend yield enhances its attractiveness despite a high P/E ratio. Positive earnings call sentiment and strategic acquisitions further support the score, although operational inefficiencies and high valuation pose challenges.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
The company completed the acquisition of six properties comprising 355.8K sqft, fully occupied, for a total cost of $73.7 million, at a weighted average cap rate of 8.39%.
Earnings
The company successfully collected 100% of cash rents for the first quarter of 2025, with occupancy standing at 98.4%.
Negative Factors
Debt Levels
The company does have a slightly higher than average level of debt and preferred totaling approximately 53% to total capitalization.

Gladstone Commercial (GOOD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gladstone Commercial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGladstone Commercial Corporation is a real estate investment trust focused on acquiring, owning, and operating net leased industrial and office properties across the United States. Including payments through September 2020, Gladstone Commercial has paid 189 consecutive monthly cash distributions on its common stock. Prior to paying distributions on a monthly basis, Gladstone Commercial paid five consecutive quarterly cash distributions. The company has also paid 53 consecutive monthly cash distributions on its Series D Preferred Stock, 12 consecutive monthly cash distributions on its Series E Preferred Stock and three consecutive monthly cash distributions on its Series F Preferred Stock. Gladstone Commercial has never skipped, reduced or deferred a distribution since its inception in 2003.
How the Company Makes MoneyGladstone Commercial generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of net leased properties. These leases typically require tenants to cover property expenses such as taxes, insurance, and maintenance, which allows Gladstone to benefit from stable cash flows. The company also engages in property acquisitions, which can lead to capital appreciation and additional rental income. Furthermore, Gladstone may leverage financing options and partnerships to optimize its investment strategy and enhance its earnings potential. Their focus on long-term leases with creditworthy tenants also contributes to a reliable income stream.

Gladstone Commercial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.69%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in the industrial real estate sector, high occupancy and rent collection rates, and successful acquisitions and sales. However, there was a slight decline in FFO and core FFO along with increased leverage. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment is positive due to the strong operational metrics and strategic acquisitions.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Industrial Real Estate Performance
The industrial real estate sector remained steady with net absorption reaching 29.6 million square feet in Q2 2025, indicating moderate growth.
High Occupancy and Rent Collection
Gladstone Commercial maintained a high occupancy rate of 98.7% and collected 100% of cash-based rents during Q2 2025.
Successful Acquisitions and Sales
Acquired two industrial facilities for $78.95 million, increased industrial concentration to 67%, and sold one office property for a gain of $377,000.
Increased Weighted Average Lease Term
Increased the weighted average remaining lease term to 7.1 years, indicating longer-term stability in their leasing strategy.
Financial Growth and Stability
Total operating revenues rose to $39.5 million from $37.1 million in the previous year, with reduced operating expenses to $25.1 million from $26.0 million.
Negative Updates
Decline in FFO and Core FFO
FFO and core FFO per share for Q2 2025 were $0.33 and $0.35, respectively, down from $0.36 in the previous year.
Increased Leverage
Leverage increased slightly due to high acquisition activity, though efforts are being made to manage this through equity sales and refinancing.
Company Guidance
During the Gladstone Commercial Corporation's second quarter earnings call for fiscal year 2025, the company provided guidance on several key metrics. The industrial real estate sector remained steady despite broader economic uncertainties, with net absorption reaching 29.6 million square feet and a vacancy rate of 7.1%. The company maintained a high portfolio occupancy of 98.7% and increased its industrial concentration to 67% of annualized straight-line rents. Gladstone acquired two industrial facilities totaling 519,093 square feet for $78.95 million, while also achieving a weighted average remaining lease term of 7.1 years. Financially, the company reported FFO and core FFO of $0.33 and $0.35 per share, respectively, for the quarter. Operating revenues rose to $39.5 million, with operating expenses at $25.1 million. The company plans to continue focusing on high-quality, mission-critical industrial assets and expects to capitalize on long-term trends such as reshoring and onshoring.

Gladstone Commercial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gladstone Commercial demonstrates solid financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth. The company maintains strong operational efficiency and cash flow generation. However, its high leverage could pose a risk in volatile markets. Overall, the financials reflect a stable and growing business with good cash flow management, suitable for investors seeking growth in the REIT sector.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Gladstone Commercial shows a solid upward trajectory in revenue with a TTM increase to $151.17M from $149.39M the previous year. Gross Profit Margin remains robust at 78.4%, while Net Profit Margin improved significantly, reflecting a positive shift to 16.9% from the prior year's 16.1%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable at 34.8% and 78.3% respectively, indicating strong operational efficiency and cash flow generation.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows moderate leverage with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 4.08, reflecting substantial reliance on debt financing. However, Return on Equity increased to 14.0%, suggesting improved profitability. The Equity Ratio stands at 15.8%, indicating a relatively small equity base compared to total assets, which poses a risk if market conditions worsen.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is favorable at 2.33, indicating strong cash earnings. Free Cash Flow showed a steady increase, with no capital expenditures reported, but Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is high at 2.33, suggesting robust cash flow compared to net income. However, fluctuations in investing cash flows suggest some volatility in capital allocation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue153.64M149.39M147.58M148.98M137.69M133.15M
Gross Profit119.49M117.86M115.35M122.15M110.59M101.50M
EBITDA120.27M117.23M100.14M103.42M96.97M97.26M
Net Income28.63M24.00M4.99M-3.04M-4.59M14.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.21B1.09B1.13B1.20B1.14B1.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.66M10.96M11.98M11.65M7.96M11.02M
Total Debt338.78M697.45M743.95M754.51M713.03M674.38M
Total Liabilities862.63M923.05M809.16M996.94M940.79M881.87M
Stockholders Equity170.04M171.17M170.04M202.78M201.30M213.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow81.86M56.95M60.37M62.35M64.78M59.13M
Operating Cash Flow81.86M56.95M60.37M69.18M70.13M65.49M
Investing Cash Flow-163.36M-1.73M1.14M-82.51M-94.78M-100.26M
Financing Cash Flow82.98M-56.29M-61.36M16.15M21.75M39.35M

Gladstone Commercial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price13.15
Price Trends
50DMA
13.84
Negative
100DMA
13.85
Negative
200DMA
14.67
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.19
Negative
RSI
41.88
Neutral
STOCH
65.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GOOD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.33, below the 50-day MA of 13.84, and below the 200-day MA of 14.67, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GOOD.

Gladstone Commercial Risk Analysis

Gladstone Commercial disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gladstone Commercial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gladstone Commercial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$491.18M17.599.16%7.92%5.57%-14.50%
64
Neutral
$616.34M36.508.51%9.13%5.85%
63
Neutral
$543.50M36.87-5.66%9.21%22.26%-328.46%
63
Neutral
$713.51M76.523.55%9.80%-25.73%
55
Neutral
$720.17M-2.41%11.55%-14.73%79.63%
53
Neutral
$1.25B2.61-2.60%5.63%-2.14%-129.62%
48
Neutral
$450.32M-35.52%7.35%-6.69%-118.66%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GOOD
Gladstone Commercial
13.15
-0.42
-3.10%
CTO
CTO Realty Growth
16.50
-1.20
-6.78%
OLP
One Liberty Properties
22.74
-1.45
-5.99%
AHH
Armada Hoffler Properties
7.04
-3.89
-35.59%
BRSP
BrightSpire Capital
5.54
0.40
7.78%
PKST
Peakstone Realty Trust
12.24
0.37
3.12%

Gladstone Commercial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Gladstone Commercial Updates Equity Offering Sales Agreement
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Gladstone Commercial Corporation and its operating partnership amended their At-the-Market Equity Offering Sales Agreement, removing Robert W. Baird & Co. as a sales agent and adding Huntington Securities. This adjustment reflects a strategic shift in their sales agent lineup, with shares continuing to be sold under the existing registration statement, which has already generated $93.5 million in gross proceeds.

The most recent analyst rating on (GOOD) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gladstone Commercial stock, see the GOOD Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Gladstone Commercial Secures $20 Million Term Loan
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Gladstone Commercial Limited Partnership entered into a $20 million Term Loan Agreement with KeyBank and other lenders, scheduled to mature on May 30, 2027. The unsecured loan imposes customary financial covenants and restrictions, but does not alter the company’s existing Credit Facility, potentially impacting its financial strategy and operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (GOOD) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gladstone Commercial stock, see the GOOD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025