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W. P. Carey Inc. (WPC)
NYSE:WPC

W. P. Carey Inc. (WPC) AI Stock Analysis

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WPC

W. P. Carey Inc.

(NYSE:WPC)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$71.00
â–²(5.25% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong margins and cash generation with stable leverage) and a constructive earnings outlook (raised AFFO guidance and robust investment activity). Offsetting factors are weaker near-term technical momentum and a relatively high P/E despite the supportive dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
FCF consistently exceeding reported net income signals durable cash-generation capacity. That strengthens the company’s ability to sustain dividends, service debt, fund accretive acquisitions, and absorb tenant losses without relying on frequent equity issuance.
Robust Investment Activity
Sizable, disciplined deployment at mid-7% initial cap rates and higher estimated yields shows capacity to recycle capital into higher-return net-lease industrial assets. Coupled with $1.5bn dispositions, this supports sustainable AFFO growth and portfolio quality improvement.
Balance Sheet Liquidity
Multi-billion dollar liquidity and a stable, moderate leverage profile provide durable financial flexibility to pursue acquisitions, weather tenant credit events, and meet maturities, reducing refinancing and operational risks over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Modest Return on Equity
A low ROE indicates limited efficiency in converting equity into earnings, meaning organic capital reinvestment may deliver modest shareholder returns. Over time this can constrain total return unless offset by higher-yield acquisitions or capital structure changes.
Occupancy and Tenant Turnaround Risk
A dip in occupancy and a material tenant undergoing turnaround risk can persistently pressure rental income and increase leasing downtime or concessions. Concentrated single-tenant exposures make recovery timelines and credit outcomes key to AFFO stability.
Retail Rent-Recapture Pressure
Concessions that reduce rent recapture signal structural stress in some retail assets; ongoing retail weakness can compress cash yields and require higher cap-rate redeployments or disposals, limiting long-run portfolio cash flow resilience.

W. P. Carey Inc. (WPC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

W. P. Carey Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionW. P. Carey ranks among the largest net lease REITs with an enterprise value of approximately $18 billion and a diversified portfolio of operationally-critical commercial real estate that includes 1,215 net lease properties covering approximately 142 million square feet as of September 30, 2020. For nearly five decades, the company has invested in high-quality single-tenant industrial, warehouse, office, retail and self-storage properties subject to long-term net leases with built-in rent escalators. Its portfolio is located primarily in the U.S. and Northern and Western Europe and is well-diversified by tenant, property type, geographic location and tenant industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyW. P. Carey generates revenue primarily through rental income from its extensive portfolio of properties leased to tenants under long-term net lease agreements. These leases typically require tenants to cover property expenses such as maintenance, taxes, and insurance, allowing W. P. Carey to maintain a steady stream of income with reduced operational costs. The company also benefits from a diverse tenant base across various industries, which helps mitigate risks associated with tenant defaults. Additionally, W. P. Carey engages in property acquisitions and dispositions, which can contribute to revenue through capital gains. The company has established strategic partnerships with various businesses and has a robust track record of managing properties, further enhancing its earning potential.

W. P. Carey Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with raised guidance, robust investment activity, and a strong balance sheet. However, challenges such as a temporary decline in occupancy and issues with the Hellweg tenant were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Raised 2025 AFFO Guidance
The company raised its full-year AFFO guidance, expecting mid-5% year-over-year growth, supported by positive business trends.
Strong Investment Activity
Year-to-date investments reached $1.65 billion at attractive initial cap rates averaging in the mid-7s, with expectations to increase this to $1.8 billion to $2.1 billion by year-end.
Increased Dividend
The quarterly dividend was increased by 4% year-over-year to $0.91 per share, with an annualized dividend yield of 5.4%.
Improved Portfolio Performance
Contractual same-store rent growth was 2.4% year-over-year for the quarter, with the full year expected to average around 2.5%.
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
The company ended the third quarter with liquidity totaling about $2.1 billion, with key leverage metrics within target ranges.
Negative Updates
Decline in Portfolio Occupancy
Portfolio occupancy declined to 97% at the end of the third quarter, attributed to temporary factors.
Hellweg Tenant Challenges
Hellweg was reduced to the 14th largest tenant, down from 6th, with ongoing caution due to a challenging turnaround.
Lower Rent Recapture on Retail Leases
Rent recapture on retail leases was lower due to concessions made to keep AMC theaters open.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, W. P. Carey reported strong financial performance and upwardly revised their full-year guidance. The company raised its full-year AFFO guidance, anticipating mid-5% year-over-year growth, thanks to robust investment activity and lower-than-expected rent loss. Year-to-date investments totaled $1.65 billion at a weighted average initial cap rate of 7.6%, with expectations of increasing the full-year investment volume to between $1.8 billion and $2.1 billion. The company also highlighted sector-leading same-store rent growth in the mid-2% range. W. P. Carey maintained a solid balance sheet with over $2 billion in liquidity, including recent forward equity sales, and achieved a quarterly AFFO per share of $1.25, marking a 5.9% increase from the previous year. As a result of these positive trends, the company adjusted its AFFO guidance for the full year to between $4.93 and $4.99 per share, reflecting a 5.5% year-over-year growth at the midpoint.

W. P. Carey Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
W. P. Carey Inc. presents a strong financial profile with high profitability and efficient cash flow management. The income statement reflects solid margins and revenue growth, although there is some volatility in revenue trends. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, but there is potential to enhance shareholder returns. Overall, the company is well-positioned financially, with strengths in profitability and cash flow, though it should focus on improving ROE and maintaining consistent revenue growth.
Income Statement
W. P. Carey Inc. shows strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of over 91% in TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin is also robust at approximately 29.3%, reflecting solid bottom-line performance. Revenue growth has been positive, with a 2.23% increase in TTM, although it has fluctuated in previous years. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, suggesting effective operational management. However, the slight decline in revenue in 2024 indicates potential volatility.
Balance Sheet
The company's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, which has been stable around 0.9, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity is modest at 4.4% in TTM, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is healthy, showing a solid equity base relative to total assets. Overall, the balance sheet is stable but could benefit from improved ROE.
Cash Flow
W. P. Carey Inc. demonstrates strong cash flow management, with a free cash flow to net income ratio exceeding 1 in TTM, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow growth rate is positive at 3.65%, showing an upward trend in cash generation. Operating cash flow is robust, supporting the company's ability to cover its net income. The cash flow position is strong, providing a solid foundation for future investments and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.90B1.58B1.74B1.47B1.26B1.17B
Gross Profit1.59B1.46B1.60B1.40B1.21B1.12B
EBITDA1.29B1.31B1.44B1.29B1.16B1.04B
Net Income365.06M460.84M708.33M599.14M409.99M455.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.99B17.54B17.98B18.10B15.48B14.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments249.03M640.62M634.86M168.00M165.43M248.66M
Total Debt8.68B8.18B8.28B7.88B6.94B6.85B
Total Liabilities9.81B9.10B9.27B9.09B7.90B7.83B
Stockholders Equity8.16B8.43B8.70B8.99B7.58B6.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.27B1.70B1.07B1.00B926.48M801.54M
Operating Cash Flow1.27B1.83B1.07B1.00B926.48M801.54M
Investing Cash Flow-1.45B-1.13B-905.88M-1.05B-1.57B-539.93M
Financing Cash Flow-359.17M-688.47M292.56M57.89M557.05M-210.71M

W. P. Carey Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price67.46
Price Trends
50DMA
66.00
Positive
100DMA
66.44
Positive
200DMA
63.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Negative
RSI
62.76
Neutral
STOCH
82.04
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WPC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 67.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 65.05, above the 50-day MA of 66.00, and above the 200-day MA of 63.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.04 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WPC.

W. P. Carey Inc. Risk Analysis

W. P. Carey Inc. disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. W. P. Carey Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

W. P. Carey Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$5.94B24.126.84%3.88%24.60%8.05%
70
Outperform
$14.53B40.814.36%5.51%5.59%-34.75%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$1.09B31.823.80%2.16%0.45%-24.85%
64
Neutral
$2.54B22.078.71%3.99%5.29%-60.36%
61
Neutral
$3.42B39.323.05%6.72%3.87%-37.59%
59
Neutral
$1.95B-7.33-12.53%10.29%-28.94%-28.24%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WPC
W. P. Carey Inc.
67.46
15.80
30.58%
ESRT
Empire State Realty
6.53
-2.84
-30.31%
UE
Urban Edge Properties
19.35
0.46
2.44%
GNL
Global Net Lease
8.89
2.56
40.44%
EPRT
Essential Properties Realty
29.93
0.22
0.74%
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease
18.21
3.78
26.20%

W. P. Carey Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
W. P. Carey Reports Record 2025 Investment Activity
Positive
Jan 7, 2026

On January 7, 2026, W. P. Carey reported a record $2.1 billion of investment volume for full-year 2025 at a weighted-average initial cash cap rate of about 7.6% and an estimated average yield of 9.2%, driven largely by single-tenant warehouse and industrial assets (68% of volume) and supplemented by retail properties (22%), with roughly two-thirds of capital deployed in the U.S. and just over a quarter in Europe. In the fourth quarter alone, the REIT invested about $625 million, including a $322 million acquisition of 10 Life Time Fitness facilities that helped make the operator its third-largest tenant by annualized base rent, while simultaneously disposing of $500 million of assets and reaching $1.5 billion of dispositions for 2025—most notably the sale of 63 self-storage operating properties for $785 million, effectively exiting that operating niche and sharpening its net lease focus. The company’s disposition program, centered on non-core assets sold at yields roughly 150 basis points lower than the cap rates on reinvested capital, enabled accretive funding of new deals, supplemented by the sale of 6.3 million shares under its ATM program via forward equity agreements for $423 million in gross proceeds that remain available for settlement. Operationally, W. P. Carey reported lower-than-anticipated rent loss from tenant credit events at about $6 million for 2025 and confirmed that former top tenant Hellweg stayed current on rent and ended the year as its 17th-largest tenant, underscoring portfolio resilience and supporting management’s positioning of the company for continued adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (WPC) stock is a Hold with a $71.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on W. P. Carey Inc. stock, see the WPC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
W. P. Carey Inc. Board Member Resigns for Health Reasons
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

Mark A. Alexander, a board member of W. P. Carey Inc., announced his resignation effective December 12, 2025, due to personal health reasons. His departure is not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations, policies, or practices, ensuring stability in the company’s governance and operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (WPC) stock is a Buy with a $74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on W. P. Carey Inc. stock, see the WPC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
W. P. Carey Announces Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, W. P. Carey Inc. announced its financial results for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025, highlighting a net income of $141 million, a 26.2% increase from the previous year. The company reported an AFFO of $1.25 per diluted share, reflecting a 5.9% rise, and raised its 2025 AFFO guidance due to strong investment activity and a lower anticipated rent loss. The company also completed $1.6 billion in investments and $1.0 billion in property dispositions year-to-date, with a focus on funding investments through asset sales. Additionally, W. P. Carey increased its quarterly cash dividend by 4.0% compared to the previous year, demonstrating its robust financial performance and strategic growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (WPC) stock is a Sell with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on W. P. Carey Inc. stock, see the WPC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026