Raised Investment Volume Guidance
Full-year investment volume guidance increased from an initial $250 million to a new range of $1.5 billion to $2.0 billion, driven by ~ $680 million of investments completed year-to-date and a pipeline of over $5 billion with clear visibility into well over $1 billion.
Strong AFFO Growth and Upgraded AFFO Guidance
AFFO per share for Q1 was $1.30, up $0.13 or 11.1% year-over-year. Full-year AFFO per share guidance raised to $5.16–$5.26, implying ~4.8% growth at the midpoint and a $0.03 increase to the midpoint of guidance.
Robust Capital Markets Execution and Liquidity
Accessed close to $2.0 billion of capital during the quarter including a €1.0 billion Eurobond (two €500M tranches at 3.25% and 3.75%) and forward equity sales (~6.9M shares gross $497M). Ending liquidity of approximately $2.8 billion (including credit availability, cash, and unsettled forward equity).
Attractive Investment Yields and Cap Rate Profile
Closed transactions year-to-date averaged a 7.2% cap rate (blended toward bottom of target range) and the company expects an average full-year cap rate around 7.5%. New investments continue to achieve average yields of ~9% over long lease terms.
Portfolio Performance and Occupancy
Portfolio occupancy of 98.1% at quarter end (up slightly from Q4). Contractual same-store rent growth of 2.4% year-over-year in Q1, with contractual and CPI-linked escalations averaging 2.4%.
Accretive Dispositions and Reinvestment
Q1 dispositions generated gross proceeds of $163 million, including sale of 11 remaining operating self-storage properties for $75 million. Exit from operating self-storage produced aggregate proceeds of ~ $860 million at an average cap rate just below 6%, with proceeds recycled into higher-yielding investments.
High-Quality Deal Flow by Property Type and Geography
YTD investment mix weighted ~60% warehouse/industrial and ~40% retail (notably a Go Auto sale-leaseback in Canada). Geographic mix of closed deals YTD: ~50% Europe, ~30% Canada, remainder U.S.; pipeline roughly two-thirds U.S. and one-third Europe overall.
Dividend Increase and Conservative Payout
Quarterly dividend increased 4.5% year-over-year to $0.93 per share, maintaining a payout ratio of 72% and an annualized dividend yield of over 5% based on current stock price.
Capital Projects and Proprietary Deal Flow
Completed four capital projects in Q1 totaling $68 million and have 11 projects totaling approximately $280 million delivering over the next 12 months. These projects are generating cap rates incrementally higher than YTD investments and are a growing proprietary source of deal flow through the Carey Tenant Solutions initiative.