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VICI Properties (VICI)
NYSE:VICI
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VICI Properties (VICI) AI Stock Analysis

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VICI

VICI Properties

(NYSE:VICI)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$37.00
▲(10.38% Upside)
VICI Properties exhibits strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, driving the stock's appeal. The technical analysis suggests cautious optimism, and the valuation remains attractive. The company's strategic investments and raised guidance highlight its growth potential, though rising debt levels and market challenges require monitoring.
Positive Factors
Debt Management
VICI Properties' recent credit rating upgrade supported more favorable pricing on two recently issued tranches of debt to address its impending 2025 debt maturities.
Earnings Growth
The expanding partnerships and capital deployment continue to drive earnings growth and pave a path to future opportunities.
Liquidity
VICI now has no debt maturities scheduled until September 2026 and has a substantial liquidity on hand, including $3.3B at year-end.
Negative Factors
Market Competition
Shares trade at just 13.4x 2025E AFFO/share, slightly ahead of the net-lease sector, though when you couple earnings growth potential with a highly transparent management team and iconic portfolio, there is potential for multiple expansion.
Market Conditions
VICI Properties continues to use its vast war chest to source unique investments with positive bottom-line impact while the traditional casino sale-leaseback market remains dry.

VICI Properties (VICI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

VICI Properties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVICI Properties Inc. is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the ownership and management of gaming, hospitality, and entertainment destinations. The company primarily focuses on acquiring and leasing large-scale casino properties across the United States, partnering with well-established operators in the gaming industry. VICI Properties' portfolio includes iconic casinos, hotels, and other entertainment venues, positioning it as a significant player in the leisure and hospitality sector.
How the Company Makes MoneyVICI Properties makes money primarily through leasing its properties to casino and hotel operators under long-term, triple-net lease agreements. These agreements ensure a stable and predictable income stream as tenants are responsible for paying property taxes, insurance, and maintenance costs. The company's key revenue streams include rental income from its extensive portfolio of gaming and hospitality properties. Additionally, VICI Properties benefits from strategic partnerships with major casino operators such as Caesars Entertainment and MGM Resorts International, which contribute significantly to its earnings. The company's growth strategy includes acquiring additional properties and entering into new lease agreements, further enhancing its revenue potential.

VICI Properties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.04%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Despite challenges in the Las Vegas market and significant transaction costs, VICI Properties demonstrated strong financial performance with raised AFFO guidance and strategic investments, indicating overall positive momentum.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Raised AFFO Guidance for 2025
VICI Properties raised its AFFO guidance for 2025, expecting to deliver year-over-year AFFO per share growth of 4.4%. This represents an increase at both ends of the range by $0.02 on the bottom and $0.01 on the top end.
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
VICI Properties has approximately $2.9 billion in total liquidity, with a total debt of $17.1 billion and a net debt to annualized second quarter adjusted EBITDA of approximately 5.1x.
Successful Bond Offering
In April, VICI Properties closed a bond offering, issuing $400 million of 3-year notes at a coupon of 4.75% and $900 million of 10-year notes at a coupon of 5.625%.
Continued Growth in AFFO Per Share
The midpoint of VICI's revised 2025 guidance calls for 4.4% growth in AFFO per share versus 2024, positioning the company among the leaders in AFFO per share growth for 2025.
Strategic Investments and Partnerships
VICI made strategic investments, including increasing its investment in the mezzanine loan related to the One Beverly Hills development by $150 million, and partnering with Red Rock Resorts for the North Fork Mono Casino Resort development.
Negative Updates
Las Vegas Market Challenges
Recent headlines have focused on slowing visitation, dips in gross gaming revenue, and a decrease in Canadian travel to Las Vegas, though VICI remains confident in the city's long-term trajectory.
Significant Transaction Costs
VICI Properties incurred approximately $7 million in transaction costs during the quarter, attributed to pursuit costs from prior quarters that were no longer pursued.
Technical Difficulties During Earnings Call
The earnings call experienced technical difficulties with audio cutting in and out, which may have impacted the clarity of communication with investors.
Company Guidance
During the VICI Properties Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance reflecting a positive outlook for the fiscal year. The midpoint of the revised 2025 guidance indicates a 4.4% growth in Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) per share compared to 2024, forecasting AFFO per share to range between $2.35 and $2.37. This growth is attributed to a blend of same-store earnings growth and new store external growth, with VICI's same-store Net Operating Income (NOI) growth rate being over five times higher than the average for net lease REITs, according to Green Street's latest research. VICI has been using internally generated cash flow to fund growth, maintaining a stable share count and net debt level. The company highlighted its strong dividend return, efficient conversion of revenue growth to earnings growth, and disciplined cost management, all of which contribute to a compelling total return strategy.

VICI Properties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
VICI Properties shows strong financial performance with significant revenue and profit growth, high profitability margins, and robust cash flow generation. While the balance sheet is stable, the rising debt levels require careful management to sustain financial health.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
VICI Properties demonstrates strong revenue growth with a significant increase from $1.22 billion in 2020 to $3.88 billion in TTM 2025. The gross profit margin remains exceptionally high at over 99%, indicating effective cost management. Net profit margin also improved significantly, showcasing strong profitability. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, reflecting efficient operations and profitability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid equity base with an equity ratio of approximately 58.4% in TTM 2025, reflecting financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively moderate at 0.67, indicating a manageable level of leverage. Return on equity is healthy, driven by the company's strong net income performance. However, the increase in total debt over the years requires monitoring.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
The cash flow statement reveals strong cash generation, with free cash flow increasing steadily. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient conversion of net income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy, supporting strong financial liquidity. However, fluctuations in investing and financing cash flows warrant a careful watch on future cash management strategies.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.93B3.85B3.61B2.60B1.51B1.23B
Gross Profit3.90B3.82B3.58B2.52B1.46B1.19B
EBITDA3.64B3.54B3.37B1.70B1.45B1.26B
Net Income2.76B2.68B2.51B1.12B1.01B891.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets46.05B45.37B44.06B37.58B17.60B17.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments232.98M524.62M522.57M426.27M739.61M335.97M
Total Debt17.84B17.65B17.63B14.57B4.99B7.07B
Total Liabilities18.61B18.42B18.40B15.29B5.41B7.57B
Stockholders Equity27.02B26.54B25.26B21.93B12.11B9.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.45B2.37B2.18B1.94B893.85M880.87M
Operating Cash Flow2.45B2.38B2.18B1.94B896.35M883.64M
Investing Cash Flow-1.22B-922.78M-2.90B-9.30B41.45M-4.55B
Financing Cash Flow-1.29B-1.46B1.03B6.83B-514.18M2.88B

VICI Properties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.52
Price Trends
50DMA
32.46
Positive
100DMA
31.88
Positive
200DMA
30.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.19
Negative
RSI
56.66
Neutral
STOCH
74.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VICI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.15, above the 50-day MA of 32.46, and above the 200-day MA of 30.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VICI.

VICI Properties Risk Analysis

VICI Properties disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. VICI Properties reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

VICI Properties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$35.31B12.6710.45%5.16%4.85%2.71%
80
Outperform
$6.07B25.746.33%3.86%25.79%2.46%
78
Outperform
$2.52B22.888.46%3.78%6.09%-65.94%
76
Outperform
$3.07B31.663.32%7.15%2.74%-37.41%
72
Outperform
$14.23B42.703.99%5.46%0.23%-41.66%
66
Neutral
5.12B9.134.20%2.83%3.84%-4.65%
57
Neutral
$1.54B-13.01%13.52%16.69%39.04%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VICI
VICI Properties
33.52
3.77
12.67%
WPC
W. P. Carey Inc.
66.12
12.27
22.79%
UE
Urban Edge Properties
19.84
0.83
4.37%
GNL
Global Net Lease
6.87
-0.43
-5.89%
EPRT
Essential Properties Realty
30.75
2.95
10.61%
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease
16.72
0.67
4.17%

VICI Properties Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
VICI Properties Reports Revenue and Income Growth in Q2 2025
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

In the second quarter of 2025, VICI Properties reported a 4.6% increase in total revenues to $1.0 billion and a 16.7% rise in net income attributable to common stockholders to $865.1 million. The company also raised its AFFO guidance for the full year 2025 and announced significant investments, including a $510 million commitment for the North Fork Mono Casino & Resort development and an increased investment in the One Beverly Hills project. These strategic moves underscore VICI’s focus on expanding its portfolio and enhancing earnings growth through partnerships and refinancing activities.

The most recent analyst rating on (VICI) stock is a Buy with a $33.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VICI Properties stock, see the VICI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025