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Vici Properties (VICI)
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VICI Properties (VICI) AI Stock Analysis

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VICI

VICI Properties

(NYSE:VICI)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$37.00
▲(9.63% Upside)
VICI Properties' overall stock score of 77 reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, supported by strategic investments and a solid dividend yield. However, bearish technical indicators and temporary market challenges in Las Vegas slightly offset the positive aspects.
Positive Factors
Debt Management
VICI Properties' recent credit rating upgrade supported more favorable pricing on two recently issued tranches of debt to address its impending 2025 debt maturities.
Financial Performance
The company has seen full rent collection since before the pandemic, further validating a positive stance.
Investment Strategy
The expanding partnerships and capital deployment continue to drive earnings growth and pave a path to future opportunities.
Negative Factors
Market Competition
Management’s track record suggests superior yields from new investments, as it leverages relationships to source deals without having to participate in a bake-off with other potential buyers, indicating competitive pressures.
Valuation Concerns
Shares trade at just 13.4x 2025E AFFO/share, slightly ahead of the net-lease sector, presenting a potential concern for valuation.

VICI Properties (VICI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

VICI Properties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVICI Properties is an experiential real estate investment trust that owns one of the largest portfolios of market-leading gaming, hospitality and entertainment destinations, including the world-renowned Caesars Palace. VICI Properties' national, geographically diverse portfolio consists of 29 gaming facilities comprising over 48 million square feet and features approximately 19,200 hotel rooms and more than 200 restaurants, bars and nightclubs. Its properties are leased to industry leading gaming and hospitality operators, including Caesars Entertainment, Inc., Century Casinos Inc., Hard Rock International, JACK Entertainment and Penn National Gaming, Inc. VICI Properties also owns four championship golf courses and 34 acres of undeveloped land adjacent to the Las Vegas Strip. VICI Properties' strategy is to create the nation's highest quality and most productive experiential real estate portfolio.
How the Company Makes MoneyVICI Properties generates revenue primarily through long-term leases with gaming and entertainment operators. The company typically acquires properties and then leases them back to the operators, allowing them to maintain operational control while providing VICI with consistent rental income. The leases are structured to include fixed annual rent increases, providing a hedge against inflation and ensuring predictable revenue streams. Additionally, VICI benefits from the strategic partnerships and relationships it has established with prominent gaming operators, which enhances its ability to secure favorable lease terms and increases occupancy rates. The company's revenue model is further bolstered by its focus on high-traffic locations and its efforts to diversify its property holdings across various markets and types of entertainment facilities.

VICI Properties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted VICI's strong financial performance, strategic investments, and resilient portfolio, particularly in Las Vegas. While there are temporary challenges in the Las Vegas market and transaction costs, the overall outlook remains positive with growth in AFFO and strategic partnerships.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
AFFO Growth Guidance
VICI raised its AFFO guidance for 2025, expecting a year-over-year AFFO per share growth of 4.4%, with the new range being $2.35 to $2.37 per diluted common share.
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
VICI has approximately $2.9 billion in total liquidity with a net debt to annualized second quarter adjusted EBITDA of approximately 5.1x.
Strategic Investments and Partnerships
VICI announced investments with Red Rock Resorts and Cain International, including $510 million for North Fork Mono Casino Resort and an increased investment in One Beverly Hills to $450 million.
Las Vegas Portfolio Resilience
Despite short-term challenges, VICI highlighted the resilience and long-term potential of its Las Vegas portfolio, supported by strong occupancy rates and future developments.
Negative Updates
Temporary Las Vegas Market Slowdown
Las Vegas is experiencing a temporary moderation in visitation and gross gaming revenue, attributed to economic uncertainty and a normalization following record growth years.
Transaction Costs Impacting Results
The quarter included $7 million of transaction costs due to pursuit costs from prior quarters that did not result in completed transactions.
Challenges with iGaming Integration
There are ongoing discussions and uncertainty around the impact of iGaming on traditional gaming revenues, requiring careful monitoring and strategic adjustments.
Company Guidance
During the VICI Properties Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided an updated earnings guidance for 2025, highlighting a projected 4.4% growth in AFFO per share compared to 2024. The revised 2025 guidance now anticipates AFFO per share to be between $2.35 and $2.37, up from the prior guidance of $2.33 to $2.36. The company attributed this growth to a combination of same-store and new store external growth, emphasizing the importance of dividend returns in delivering superior total return alongside the capitalization of earnings growth. VICI also highlighted its capacity to generate earnings growth internally, utilizing over $600 million in retained cash flow annually without significantly increasing share count or net debt. This strategy is aimed at defending the dividend and striving for compelling total returns, regardless of external funding conditions.

VICI Properties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
VICI Properties shows strong financial performance with significant revenue and profit growth, high profitability margins, and robust cash flow generation. While the balance sheet is stable, the rising debt levels require careful management to sustain financial health.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
VICI Properties demonstrates strong revenue growth with a significant increase from $1.22 billion in 2020 to $3.88 billion in TTM 2025. The gross profit margin remains exceptionally high at over 99%, indicating effective cost management. Net profit margin also improved significantly, showcasing strong profitability. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, reflecting efficient operations and profitability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid equity base with an equity ratio of approximately 58.4% in TTM 2025, reflecting financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively moderate at 0.67, indicating a manageable level of leverage. Return on equity is healthy, driven by the company's strong net income performance. However, the increase in total debt over the years requires monitoring.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
The cash flow statement reveals strong cash generation, with free cash flow increasing steadily. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient conversion of net income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy, supporting strong financial liquidity. However, fluctuations in investing and financing cash flows warrant a careful watch on future cash management strategies.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.93B3.85B3.61B2.60B1.51B1.23B
Gross Profit3.90B3.82B3.58B2.52B1.46B1.19B
EBITDA3.64B3.54B3.37B1.70B1.45B1.26B
Net Income2.76B2.68B2.51B1.12B1.01B891.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets46.05B45.37B44.06B37.58B17.60B17.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments232.98M524.62M522.57M426.27M739.61M335.97M
Total Debt17.84B17.65B17.63B14.57B4.99B7.07B
Total Liabilities18.61B18.42B18.40B15.29B5.41B7.57B
Stockholders Equity27.02B26.54B25.26B21.93B12.11B9.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.45B2.37B2.18B1.94B893.85M880.87M
Operating Cash Flow2.45B2.38B2.18B1.94B896.35M883.64M
Investing Cash Flow-1.22B-922.78M-2.90B-9.30B41.45M-4.55B
Financing Cash Flow-1.29B-1.46B1.03B6.83B-514.18M2.88B

VICI Properties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.75
Price Trends
50DMA
32.95
Positive
100DMA
32.11
Positive
200DMA
31.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Negative
RSI
61.37
Neutral
STOCH
90.18
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VICI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.03, above the 50-day MA of 32.95, and above the 200-day MA of 31.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.18 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VICI.

VICI Properties Risk Analysis

VICI Properties disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. VICI Properties reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

VICI Properties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$6.18B26.226.33%3.80%25.79%2.46%
77
Outperform
$35.67B12.8210.45%5.13%4.85%2.71%
77
Outperform
$14.44B43.273.99%5.38%0.23%-41.66%
75
Outperform
$2.74B25.018.46%3.56%6.09%-65.94%
71
Outperform
$3.46B35.543.32%6.31%2.74%-37.41%
63
Neutral
$7.00B13.45-0.52%6.98%3.61%-22.78%
56
Neutral
$1.70B-11.87%12.08%-11.06%29.36%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VICI
VICI Properties
33.75
2.43
7.76%
WPC
W. P. Carey Inc.
66.84
11.00
19.70%
UE
Urban Edge Properties
20.71
0.56
2.78%
GNL
Global Net Lease
7.77
0.22
2.91%
EPRT
Essential Properties Realty
31.26
0.85
2.80%
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease
18.38
1.48
8.76%

VICI Properties Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
VICI Properties Reports Revenue and Income Growth in Q2 2025
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

In the second quarter of 2025, VICI Properties reported a 4.6% increase in total revenues to $1.0 billion and a 16.7% rise in net income attributable to common stockholders to $865.1 million. The company also raised its AFFO guidance for the full year 2025 and announced significant investments, including a $510 million commitment for the North Fork Mono Casino & Resort development and an increased investment in the One Beverly Hills project. These strategic moves underscore VICI’s focus on expanding its portfolio and enhancing earnings growth through partnerships and refinancing activities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025