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Vici Properties (VICI)
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VICI Properties (VICI) AI Stock Analysis

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VICI

VICI Properties

(NYSE:VICI)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$33.00
▲(13.21% Upside)
VICI Properties' strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are significant strengths, supporting a stable outlook. However, bearish technical indicators and market challenges in the REIT and gaming sectors present risks. The attractive valuation and dividend yield provide additional support for the stock.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue and AFFO growth indicate a robust business model and effective capital allocation, supporting long-term financial health.
Tenant Diversification
Adding new tenants like Clairvest enhances revenue stability and reduces dependency on a single tenant, strengthening long-term resilience.
Dividend Growth
Consistent dividend growth reflects strong cash flow and commitment to shareholder returns, enhancing investor confidence and long-term appeal.
Negative Factors
Las Vegas Market Concerns
Market challenges in Las Vegas could impact revenue from key properties, posing a risk to growth and profitability in the near term.
MGM's Withdrawal from NYC License
MGM's withdrawal from NYC license process could affect VICI's strategic expansion plans and potential revenue from the Yonkers asset.
Increasing Debt Levels
Rising debt levels may strain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting future investment capacity and operational stability.

VICI Properties (VICI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

VICI Properties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVICI Properties Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in the ownership, acquisition, and development of gaming, hospitality, and entertainment destinations. Headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada, VICI primarily focuses on properties associated with gaming operators, offering a diverse portfolio that includes casinos, hotels, and other entertainment venues. The company aims to provide stable cash flows and long-term value creation for its shareholders through strategic investments in high-quality, income-generating real estate.
How the Company Makes MoneyVICI Properties generates revenue primarily through long-term leases with gaming and entertainment operators. The company typically acquires properties and then leases them back to the operators, allowing them to maintain operational control while providing VICI with consistent rental income. The leases are structured to include fixed annual rent increases, providing a hedge against inflation and ensuring predictable revenue streams. Additionally, VICI benefits from the strategic partnerships and relationships it has established with prominent gaming operators, which enhances its ability to secure favorable lease terms and increases occupancy rates. The company's revenue model is further bolstered by its focus on high-traffic locations and its efforts to diversify its property holdings across various markets and types of entertainment facilities.

VICI Properties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in AFFO per share, a consistent increase in dividends, and strategic tenant diversification. However, there were concerns about the Las Vegas market and MGM's withdrawal from the New York City license process. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment leans towards optimism due to strong financial performance and strategic positioning.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
AFFO Per Share Growth
AFFO per share increased by 5.3% in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024, demonstrating the efficiency of VICI's triple net model.
Dividend Increase
A dividend of $0.45 per share was declared, representing a 4% increase from the previous amount and marking the eighth consecutive annual increase.
New Tenant Addition
VICI announced its 14th tenant, Clairvest, in connection with an MGM agreement, diversifying its tenant roster.
Strong Performance of The Venetian
The Venetian reported record hotel revenues and gaming volumes this summer, indicating strong performance despite market challenges.
Improved 2025 AFFO Guidance
Updated AFFO guidance for 2025 is expected to be between $2.51 billion and $2.52 billion, or between $2.36 and $2.37 per diluted common share, representing a 4.6% year-over-year growth.
Negative Updates
Las Vegas Market Concerns
Recent noise around Las Vegas due to decreased Canadian travel and reduced capacity from Spirit Airlines, although operators expect trends to improve.
MGM's Withdrawal from New York City License
MGM's decision to withdraw from the New York City license bidding process might impact the Yonkers asset.
REIT Market and Gaming Sector Challenges
A tough week for REITs and gaming operators, with market volatility impacting VICI's stock performance.
Company Guidance
During VICI Properties' third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance, projecting adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) for the year ending December 31, 2025, to be between $2.51 billion and $2.52 billion, equating to $2.36 to $2.37 per diluted common share. This update represents a raise in the lower end of the previous guidance by $0.01, signifying a year-over-year AFFO per share growth of 4.6%. The company reported an increase in AFFO per share by 5.3% for Q3 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, with AFFO per share at $0.60. VICI highlighted its strategic approach to capital allocation, maintaining a net debt to annualized adjusted EBITDA ratio of approximately 5x, at the low end of its target range of 5x to 5.5x. The company emphasized its disciplined growth strategy, focusing on high-quality investments and potential new opportunities, such as expanding its tenant base and exploring non-gaming sectors like university sports infrastructure.

VICI Properties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
VICI Properties demonstrates strong profitability with a high net profit margin and efficient cash flow management. The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a balanced capital structure, although increasing debt levels should be monitored.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
VICI Properties demonstrates strong profitability with a high net profit margin of 70.18% in TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The revenue growth rate of 1.29% in TTM shows moderate growth, but the consistent EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect operational efficiency. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin from previous years suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.67, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity of 10.33% in TTM is robust, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio of 59.47% suggests a strong equity base, although the increasing total debt warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
VICI Properties exhibits strong cash flow management with a free cash flow to net income ratio close to 1, indicating efficient conversion of income to cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 13.48 in TTM highlights strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow growth rate of 38.5% in TTM is impressive, supporting future investments and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.98B3.85B3.61B2.60B1.51B1.23B
Gross Profit3.95B3.82B3.58B2.58B1.49B1.19B
EBITDA3.68B3.56B3.37B1.68B1.42B1.21B
Net Income2.79B2.68B2.51B1.12B1.01B891.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets46.54B45.37B44.06B37.58B17.60B17.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments507.50M524.62M522.57M426.27M739.61M335.97M
Total Debt17.68B17.65B17.63B14.57B4.99B7.07B
Total Liabilities18.44B18.42B18.40B15.29B5.41B7.57B
Stockholders Equity27.67B26.54B25.26B21.93B12.11B9.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.46B2.37B2.18B1.94B893.85M880.87M
Operating Cash Flow2.46B2.38B2.18B1.94B896.35M883.64M
Investing Cash Flow-1.03B-922.78M-2.90B-9.30B41.45M-4.55B
Financing Cash Flow-1.29B-1.46B1.03B6.83B-514.18M2.88B

VICI Properties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price29.15
Price Trends
50DMA
31.22
Negative
100DMA
31.95
Negative
200DMA
31.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.40
Positive
RSI
30.26
Neutral
STOCH
17.64
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VICI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 29.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.25, below the 50-day MA of 31.22, and below the 200-day MA of 31.37, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.64 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VICI.

VICI Properties Risk Analysis

VICI Properties disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. VICI Properties reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

VICI Properties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$6.11B24.786.84%3.85%24.60%8.05%
73
Outperform
$31.16B11.2510.36%5.99%4.31%-2.52%
72
Outperform
$14.68B40.534.36%5.41%5.59%-34.75%
72
Outperform
$3.45B39.323.05%6.54%3.87%-37.59%
72
Outperform
$2.46B21.198.71%3.96%5.29%-60.36%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
59
Neutral
$1.72B-12.53%10.78%-28.94%-28.24%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VICI
VICI Properties
29.15
-1.25
-4.11%
WPC
W. P. Carey Inc.
66.15
12.77
23.92%
UE
Urban Edge Properties
18.50
-3.65
-16.48%
GNL
Global Net Lease
7.84
1.36
20.99%
EPRT
Essential Properties Realty
30.71
-1.59
-4.92%
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease
18.07
2.18
13.72%

VICI Properties Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
VICI Properties Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

VICI Properties Inc. reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, showing a 4.4% increase in total revenues to $1.0 billion and a 4.0% rise in net income attributable to common stockholders to $762.0 million. The company also announced its 8th consecutive annual dividend increase and updated its AFFO guidance for the full year 2025. Additionally, VICI entered into a lease agreement with Clairvest for the real property of MGM Northfield Park, further diversifying its tenant roster. The company’s strategic capital allocation and business model efficiency were highlighted by a 7.4% growth in AFFO while only increasing its share count by 2.1%.

The most recent analyst rating on (VICI) stock is a Buy with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VICI Properties stock, see the VICI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 03, 2025