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Urban Edge Properties (UE)
NYSE:UE

Urban Edge Properties (UE) AI Stock Analysis

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UE

Urban Edge Properties

(NYSE:UE)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$23.50
▲(11.90% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/12/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance and a constructive earnings outlook with clear 2026 guidance, strong leasing trends, and ample liquidity. Technicals support the uptrend but are somewhat overextended, while valuation is moderate due to a higher P/E despite an appealing dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Leasing strength & pricing power
Sustained high lease volumes and a 32% cash rent spread indicate durable tenant demand and pricing power across the portfolio. That improves recurring rental income, supports same‑property NOI and gives multi‑period visibility into revenue growth and lease-up economics.
High-yield redevelopment pipeline
A demonstrated track record of high unlevered redevelopment returns plus a sizable $166M pipeline provides internally generated, accretive growth. Redevelopment that converts underperforming assets into higher-yield uses sustainably boosts NOI, FFO and lowers reliance on market M&A spreads.
Strong liquidity and extended credit
Robust liquidity and extended unsecured facilities materially reduce refinancing risk and fund development pipeline execution. Conservative net leverage versus targets preserves financial flexibility to execute redevelopments and weather tenant or cyclical stresses over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Near-term mortgage maturities
Concentrated near‑term maturities create execution and refinancing risk, especially if capital markets tighten. Even with ample liquidity, rolling or refinancing these balances at higher rates or under tighter terms could pressure interest expense and constrain cash available for redevelopments and distributions.
Tenant credit & fallout exposure
Concentration risk from weaker national tenants and recent takebacks can depress occupancy and collections. Persistent tenant credit weakness would raise bad-debt expense and lower FFO visibility, complicating leasing cadence and the timing of redevelopment stabilization returns.
Timing & entitlement risk on redevelopments
Material upside is tied to complex redevelopments that require approvals and anchor repositioning. Delays or entitlement setbacks can push out projected NOI/FFO benefits, lengthen payback periods and reduce the near‑term accretion from the $166M pipeline despite attractive long‑run returns.

Urban Edge Properties (UE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Urban Edge Properties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUrban Edge Properties is a NYSE listed real estate investment trust focused on managing, acquiring, developing, and redeveloping retail real estate in urban communities, primarily in the New York metropolitan region. Urban Edge owns 78 properties totaling 15.1 million square feet of gross leasable area.
How the Company Makes MoneyUrban Edge Properties generates revenue primarily through leasing retail spaces to tenants within its properties. The company's key revenue streams include rental income from long-term leases with various retail businesses, which range from national brands to local shops. Additionally, UE may earn income from property management services and redevelopment projects that increase the value of its holdings. The company also engages in partnerships with local businesses and municipalities, which can enhance its market presence and drive tenant demand. Factors contributing to its earnings include favorable market conditions in urban areas, effective property management, and the ability to attract and retain high-quality tenants.

Urban Edge Properties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 11, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple strong operational and financial positives: 6% FFO growth to $1.43, 5% same property NOI for the year, record leasing spreads and shop occupancy, a $166M redevelopment pipeline with attractive unlevered yields, robust liquidity ($849M) and conservative leverage (5.8x EBITDA). Management provided concrete near-term guidance (2026 FFO $1.47–$1.52) and growth visibility into 2027 driven largely by executed leases and anchor repositionings. Offsetting items include localized tenant fallout (SACS/At Home), weather-related cost pressure (110 bps snow impact in Q4 and January), cap-rate compression making acquisition spreads smaller, and timing/entitlement risks on large redevelopments (e.g., Sunrise Mall, Gateway). On balance, the operational momentum, visible earnings pipeline, strong balance sheet, and dividend increase outweigh the manageable near-term headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
FFO as Adjusted Growth
FFO as adjusted of $1.43 per share for FY2025, representing 6% growth year-over-year and a 3-year CAGR of ~6%, exceeding the 2023 Investor Day target of $1.35 per share.
Same Property NOI Performance
Full-year same property NOI increased 5.0% (Q4 same property NOI including redevelopment +2.9%), driven by rents commencing from the signed-but-not-open pipeline and higher net recovery income.
Record Leasing Metrics and Rent Spreads
Executed 58 new leases for >360,000 sqft with a record same-space cash rent spread of 32% for the year (new lease spreads >20% for four consecutive years). Fourth quarter: 47 leases (>200,000 sqft) including 14 new leases at an 11% spread and 33 renewals at a 17% spread.
Shop Occupancy at Record High
Shop occupancy reached a record 92.6%, up 170 basis points year-over-year; year-end overall same property lease occupancy was 96.7% and anchor occupancy ended at 97.5%.
Signed-but-Not-Open Pipeline Driving Near-Term Growth
Commenced over $16 million of new annualized gross rent in 2025 (openings from Trader Joe's, Burlington, Ross, Nordstrom Rack, Tesla, and top shop tenants). Remaining pipeline expected to generate an additional $22 million of annual gross rent (≈8% of current NOI).
High-Yield Redevelopment Execution
Completed 14 projects totaling $55 million in 2025 generating unlevered yields of 19%. Active redevelopment pipeline of $166 million underway, expected to produce a 14% unlevered return; three Q4 stabilizations produced ~26% yields.
Accretive Capital Recycling and M&A Activity
Acquired nearly $600 million of shopping centers at an average ~7% cap rate and disposed of ~ $500 million of non-core assets at ~5% cap rate. One property under contract for ~$54 million (expected to close by end of Q1) and management remains actively underwriting additional deals.
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Total liquidity of $849 million with no draws on the line of credit; ended 2025 with net debt to annualized EBITDA of 5.8x (below 6.5x target). Subsequent amendments: $700 million line maturing June 2030 plus two $125 million 12‑month delayed draw term loans to provide flexibility.
Dividend Increase and Capital Allocation
Board approved an 11% dividend increase to an annualized $0.84 per share, reflecting a payout ratio of ~56% and signaling confidence in taxable income and cash flow growth for 2026.
2026 and Longer-Term Guidance
Initial 2026 FFO as adjusted guidance of $1.47–$1.52 per share (midpoint ≈ +4.5% growth). Same property NOI guidance of +2.75% to +3.75% (including redevelopment). Company expects to grow FFO by at least 4% annually through 2027+ and projects 2027 NOI growth of ~5% with >80% of that growth tied to executed leases/LOIs/contractual rent increases.
Negative Updates
Anchor Occupancy Decline and Specific Takebacks
Anchor occupancy declined by 50 basis points year-over-year due to taking back one space (At Home at Ledgewood Commons). Management expects to re-tenant accretively but noted the anchor decline as a near-term drag.
SACS / Tenant Fallout and NOI Headwind
Two SACS OFF 5TH locations at year-end 2025: East Hanover (~$800,000/year gross rent) closed in January; Bergen Town Center remains a full-rent location. Combined tenant fallout (including At Home and SACS) contributed to just under ~$2 million of NOI headwind from 2025 to 2026.
Seasonal Weather Costs Impacting Q4 NOI
Higher snow removal expenses negatively impacted Q4 same property NOI by ~110 basis points; January storms also pressured results and the 2026 guidance includes an estimate for January snow costs.
Credit Loss / Bad Debt Risk
Management assumes credit losses of 50–75 basis points in 2026. While this is an improvement from prior-year assumptions (75–100 bps), tenant credit remains a monitored risk (previously elevated exposure to names like Party City, Michaels, Joanne's, At Home).
Quarterly Choppiness in New Lease Spreads
Q4 new lease spread was modest at ~11% but on only ~37,000 sqft of new leases (outlier quarter). Management emphasized evaluating spreads on a rolling basis but noted quarter-to-quarter volatility.
Cap Rate Compression and More Competitive Acquisition Market
Cap rate spreads from capital recycling have compressed versus prior years, reducing the magnitude of accretive spreads on buy/sell transactions (examples cited: sold assets at ~5% cap, recent buy at >7% cap — spread narrowed). Management expects lower historical spread opportunities going forward as competition increases.
Timing / Entitlement Risk on Large Redevelopments
Large redevelopment projects (e.g., Sunrise Mall — Dickinson/Dick's termination enabling Amazon DC entitlement; Gateway — long-term leases and limited immediate re-tenanting options) carry timing and approval risk. Sunrise requires Amazon approvals to advance quickly; Gateway upside limited until anchor/junior anchors return space.
Near-Term Mortgage Maturities
Three mortgages aggregating ~$114 million are due in December 2026 (blended ~4% rate). Management expects to refinance or repay, but maturities represent a near-term financing item to manage despite healthy liquidity.
Company Guidance
The company guided 2026 FFO as adjusted per share to $1.47–$1.52 (midpoint ~4.5% growth) with same‑property NOI (including redevelopment) of 2.75%–3.75% (management also says “above 3%”), and a goal to return leased occupancy toward its historical ~98%; guidance assumes full‑year fallout from SACS at East Hanover, credit losses of 50–75 bps, and $6 million of gross rent recognized in 2026 from the signed‑but‑not‑open pipeline (≈75% of that coming in H2). The company plans $70–$80 million of redevelopment spend in 2026 (from a $166 million active pipeline with $86 million remaining to fund) plus $20 million of maintenance CapEx, expects recurring G&A of $34.5–$36.5 million, and approved an 11% dividend increase to an annualized $0.84/share (≈56% FFO payout). Balance sheet metrics: total liquidity of $849 million, net debt/annualized EBITDA of 5.8x (below a 6.5x target), a $54 million acquisition under contract, and longer‑term expectations of at least 4% annual FFO growth from 2027 and roughly 5% NOI growth in 2027.

Urban Edge Properties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth (notably 2025) with solid margins and consistently positive operating/free cash flow. Offsets include volatility in profitability/cash flow trends and leverage comparability concerns (sharp reported shift in 2025 vs prior years).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Revenue has expanded steadily from 2022–2024 and accelerated sharply in 2025 (annual revenue up ~68%). Profitability is solid with consistently strong gross margins (~65%+ most years) and improving net margin into 2024–2025. The main weakness is volatility in the earnings profile—2023 shows unusually high net margin and very elevated EBITDA margin, and 2025 shows an apparent drop in EBITDA versus 2024 despite higher EBIT—suggesting less stable underlying profitability year-to-year.
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
The balance sheet showed meaningful leverage through 2020–2024 (debt-to-equity generally ~1.3–1.8), which is a common but still material risk factor for a REIT if conditions tighten. Equity and total assets have been relatively stable to modestly higher over time, supporting balance sheet durability. A notable positive is 2025 reporting zero debt and a very low debt-to-equity reading, which—if accurate—would be a major de-risking, but it also creates comparability risk versus prior years where debt was substantial.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating cash flow has been consistently positive and generally growing (from ~$113M in 2020 to ~$183M in 2025). Free cash flow is also positive each year, and in 2023–2025 it matches operating cash flow, indicating strong cash conversion in those periods. The key weakness is variability in free cash flow growth (large swings, including sharp declines in 2022 and 2025), pointing to less predictable cash generation from year to year.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue471.94M444.97M416.92M397.94M425.08M
Gross Profit319.07M297.54M283.47M261.74M292.71M
EBITDA312.59M305.48M457.48M204.23M256.23M
Net Income93.53M72.56M248.50M46.17M102.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.31B3.31B3.28B2.98B2.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments48.88M41.37M101.12M85.52M164.48M
Total Debt1.67B1.69B1.79B1.75B1.75B
Total Liabilities1.94B1.95B2.06B1.95B1.94B
Stockholders Equity1.29B1.28B1.15B976.99M995.33M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow182.72M153.18M163.01M23.57M39.90M
Operating Cash Flow182.72M153.18M163.01M139.62M135.27M
Investing Cash Flow-75.61M-234.70M-117.70M-151.91M-311.16M
Financing Cash Flow-118.89M-2.09M161.00K-78.77M-23.53M

Urban Edge Properties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.00
Price Trends
50DMA
19.70
Positive
100DMA
19.45
Positive
200DMA
19.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.40
Positive
RSI
62.18
Neutral
STOCH
37.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.47, above the 50-day MA of 19.70, and above the 200-day MA of 19.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UE.

Urban Edge Properties Risk Analysis

Urban Edge Properties disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Urban Edge Properties reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Urban Edge Properties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$2.74B27.838.71%3.99%5.29%-60.36%
70
Outperform
$1.14B9.974.82%5.13%1.30%-6.14%
69
Neutral
$1.51B20.667.32%4.97%-3.94%64.29%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$1.01B23.072.16%0.45%-24.85%
63
Neutral
$3.69B38.303.14%6.72%3.87%-37.59%
62
Neutral
$2.12B-8.06-12.53%10.29%-28.94%-28.24%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UE
Urban Edge Properties
21.00
1.46
7.49%
ALEX
Alexander & Baldwin
20.80
3.75
21.99%
SAFE
Safehold
16.34
-1.10
-6.30%
ESRT
Empire State Realty
6.08
-2.88
-32.14%
GNL
Global Net Lease
9.78
2.96
43.42%
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease
19.40
3.44
21.54%

Urban Edge Properties Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Urban Edge Posts Strong Q4 2025 Results, Raises Dividend
Positive
Feb 11, 2026

Urban Edge Properties reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results on February 11, 2026, highlighting record leasing activity, strong rent spreads and high retail shop occupancy of 92.6%. The company achieved a 6% year-over-year increase in FFO as Adjusted per share, supported by higher rental revenues, same-property NOI growth of up to 5.0% including redevelopments, and an 11% increase in its quarterly cash dividend, signaling confidence in earnings power.

Operating metrics were bolstered by 1.5 million square feet of leasing in 2025 and a robust pipeline of signed leases expected to add roughly 8% of 2025 NOI, while acquisitions and dispositions, including the Brighton Mills purchase and $66.2 million of non-core asset sales, reflected a disciplined capital recycling strategy. The company also refinanced and expanded its debt facilities—securing $950 million of unsecured credit capacity and modifying key mortgages—to lower interest costs, extend maturities and enhance financial flexibility as it enters 2026 positioned for continued growth driven by leading retail tenants and selective shopping center acquisitions.

The most recent analyst rating on (UE) stock is a Buy with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Urban Edge Properties stock, see the UE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Urban Edge Expands and Extends Unsecured Credit Facilities
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

On January 22, 2026, Urban Edge Properties’ operating partnership entered into amended and expanded unsecured credit facilities totaling $950 million, increasing its aggregate borrowing capacity by $150 million and significantly extending debt maturities. The package includes a resized $700 million unsecured revolving credit facility, which reduced the prior $800 million line but pushed its maturity from February 2027 to June 2030 with two additional six‑month extension options, as well as $250 million of delayed‑draw term loans split into a new $125 million five‑year term facility maturing in June 2031 and a $125 million seven‑year term facility maturing in January 2033. The facilities, which are currently undrawn, are priced off SOFR with margins tied to the company’s leverage ratio and feature accordion options that could lift total availability across the structures to as much as $1.275 billion, while embedding customary financial covenants and, in the main facility, modest ESG‑linked pricing adjustments. The move enhances Urban Edge’s financial flexibility to fund pre‑development, development, acquisitions, capital expenditures and general corporate needs as it pursues growth, while locking in long‑dated, unsecured funding that may strengthen its balance sheet profile and competitive position in the urban retail REIT sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (UE) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Urban Edge Properties stock, see the UE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 12, 2026