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Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX)
:ALEX

Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX) AI Stock Analysis

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Alexander & Baldwin

(NYSE:ALEX)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$19.50
▲(9.12%Upside)
Alexander & Baldwin's overall score is anchored by strong financial performance and a positive earnings call, though tempered by technical analysis and sector-specific challenges. The company's strategic positioning and dividend yield provide a balanced outlook, despite macroeconomic uncertainties and recent corporate events.
Positive Factors
Business Model
Alexander & Baldwin continues to benefit from a more streamlined business model, supporting its growth trajectory.
Market Position
Alexander & Baldwin leverages its dominant market position in Hawaii to source off-market deals that complement its portfolio and bolster growth.
Negative Factors
NOI Growth
Same-store NOI growth decelerated to 2.9%, showing a slowdown compared to the previous periods.
Upside Catalyst
Shares lack an upside catalyst, presenting a challenge for significant stock appreciation.

Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alexander & Baldwin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlexander & Baldwin, Inc. (A&B) is Hawai'i's premier commercial real estate company and the largest owner of grocery-anchored, neighborhood shopping centers in the state. A&B owns, operates and manages approximately 3.9 million square feet of commercial space in Hawai'i, including 22 retail centers, ten industrial assets and four office properties, as well as 154 acres of ground leases. These core assets comprise nearly 72% of A&B's total assets. A&B's non-core assets include renewable energy generation facilities, approximately 27,000 acres of agricultural and conservation land and a vertically integrated paving business. A&B is achieving its strategic objective of becoming a Hawai'i-focused commercial real estate company by expanding and strengthening its Hawai'i CRE portfolio and monetizing non-core assets. Over its 150-year history, A&B has evolved with the state's economy and played a leadership role in the development of the agricultural, transportation, tourism, construction, residential and commercial real estate industries.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlexander & Baldwin generates revenue through several key streams primarily centered around its real estate operations. The company's primary revenue source is its commercial real estate sector, where it earns income from leasing retail, industrial, and office properties. Additionally, Alexander & Baldwin capitalizes on its land operations by selling parcels of land and engaging in development projects. Its materials and construction management segment contributes to revenue through the sale of construction materials such as aggregates, as well as providing paving and other construction-related services. Significant partnerships with local businesses and government entities further enhance its earnings potential by facilitating development projects and ensuring steady demand for its services.

Alexander & Baldwin Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 8.30%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was generally positive, with strong financial performance, improvements in leasing metrics, and strategic asset management activities. However, the company remains cautious due to macroeconomic uncertainty and potential impacts from tariffs and lease contingencies.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
CRE Portfolio Performance Improvement
Same-store NOI grew by 4.2% for the quarter, with leased occupancy at Kakaako Commerce Center up to 95.6% from 83.2% last quarter.
Successful Ground Lease and Strategic Investment
Transferred a five-acre lot at Maui Business Park into the ground lease portfolio, signing a seventy-five-year lease with a self-storage developer, contributing nearly a penny to 2025 FFO.
Increase in Total FFO Guidance
Raised total company FFO guidance to a range of $1.17 to $1.23 per share, reflecting better-than-expected first-quarter land operations results.
Strong Financial Performance
First-quarter CRE and corporate FFO per share was 30¢, reflecting an 11.1% increase when normalized for the prior year's adjustments.
Robust Leasing Activity
Executed 42 leases representing approximately 237,000 square feet of GLA and $5.6 million of ABR, with strong blended leasing spreads at 10.2%.
Negative Updates
Macro Economic Uncertainty
Maintained guidance for same-store NOI and CRE-related FFO due to macroeconomic uncertainty affecting the market.
Potential Contingency Risks
Leased 75% of the exposed industrial vacancy, but the tenant has a contingency in the lease which could affect occupancy if unresolved.
Tariff and Construction Cost Concerns
Concerns about tariff impacts on construction costs, with steel prices already seeing an 8% increase.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. reported strong financial performance, surpassing expectations and achieving several key priorities. The company's commercial real estate (CRE) portfolio showed impressive growth, with same-store net operating income (NOI) increasing by 4.2%, and leased occupancy rising to 95.4%, an 80 basis point improvement sequentially. Economic occupancy also improved to 93.9%, marking a 100 basis point increase from the previous quarter. The company executed 42 leases, covering approximately 237,000 square feet of gross leasable area (GLA) and generating $5.6 million in annualized base rent (ABR). Financially, the CRE portfolio generated $33.2 million in NOI, reflecting a 4.6% increase from the previous year, while funds from operations (FFO) per share from CRE and corporate activities grew by 11.1% to $0.30 when adjusted for prior-year adjustments. Total FFO for the quarter was $0.36 per share, driven by $0.06 from land operations, including $2.2 million from agricultural land sales. The company raised its total FFO guidance to $1.17-$1.23 per share, though it maintained its CRE and corporate-related FFO guidance, citing macroeconomic uncertainties. Overall, Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. demonstrated solid operational performance and prudent financial management in the face of market challenges.

Alexander & Baldwin Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alexander & Baldwin shows strong financial health with solid profitability, a zero-debt position enhancing flexibility, and improving cash flow metrics. While revenue trends show past fluctuations, the company's operational efficiency and strong equity backing support stable growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Alexander & Baldwin's income statement reveals solid profitability, with a consistent gross profit margin around 60% and improved net profit margin, reaching 27.04% in TTM. The company shows positive revenue growth over several years, although recent fluctuations indicate variability. Strong EBIT and EBITDA margins underscore operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet indicates financial stability with no debt in the TTM period, enhancing the debt-to-equity ratio. A robust equity ratio of 60.97% in TTM signifies strong shareholder backing, although previous periods showed significant leverage. Return on Equity is healthy at 6.17% in TTM, reflecting effective utilization of equity.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis highlights a positive trend in free cash flow, with significant growth in recent periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is stable, indicating effective cash generation relative to income. Free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, though slightly volatile, reflecting good cash conversion but with room for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue229.18M236.64M208.90M230.50M379.30M305.30M
Gross Profit112.27M107.65M102.30M131.80M125.20M71.80M
EBITDA119.38M126.01M100.60M100.70M137.00M79.70M
Net Income61.99M60.54M29.80M-49.50M17.20M5.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.65B1.67B1.65B1.79B1.88B2.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.86M33.44M13.50M33.30M70.00M57.20M
Total Debt452.84M474.84M465.10M477.10M552.10M705.50M
Total Liabilities643.47M666.89M643.20M743.60M806.30M939.90M
Stockholders Equity1.01B1.00B1.00B1.04B1.07B1.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow56.73M47.21M35.90M12.30M70.70M38.00M
Operating Cash Flow107.93M97.99M67.10M34.00M124.20M63.10M
Investing Cash Flow-28.23M-16.11M7.10M44.60M96.50M12.00M
Financing Cash Flow-78.06M-61.96M-94.90M-115.20M-207.10M-33.10M

Alexander & Baldwin Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.87
Price Trends
50DMA
17.36
Positive
100DMA
17.26
Positive
200DMA
17.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Positive
RSI
53.95
Neutral
STOCH
27.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALEX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.88, above the 50-day MA of 17.36, and above the 200-day MA of 17.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALEX.

Alexander & Baldwin Risk Analysis

Alexander & Baldwin disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alexander & Baldwin reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alexander & Baldwin Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AAAAT
74
Outperform
$1.18B14.606.74%7.03%12.64%49.11%
69
Neutral
$1.30B20.696.47%5.11%4.31%39.56%
69
Neutral
$1.09B10.234.51%4.68%1.54%
AHAHH
67
Neutral
$695.24M120.353.05%8.16%-12.13%-14.54%
67
Neutral
$1.28B24.965.44%1.75%1.41%3.11%
59
Neutral
C$1.22B0.72-8.20%5.66%9.89%-25.14%
GNGNL
52
Neutral
$1.64B-13.01%10.37%16.69%39.04%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALEX
Alexander & Baldwin
17.86
1.72
10.66%
SAFE
Safehold
16.06
-2.73
-14.53%
ESRT
Empire State Realty
7.99
-1.25
-13.53%
AHH
Armada Hoffler Properties
6.96
-3.54
-33.71%
AAT
American Assets
19.85
-1.29
-6.10%
GNL
Global Net Lease
7.51
1.11
17.34%

Alexander & Baldwin Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Alexander & Baldwin Ends Agreement with Mahi Pono
Negative
Jun 20, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. and its subsidiaries entered into a Termination Agreement with Mahi Pono Holdings, LLC, effectively ending their previous Purchase and Sale Agreement from December 2018. As part of this agreement, A&B will transfer its 50% ownership in East Maui Irrigation Company, LLC, forego $2.7 million in payments, and pay Mahi Pono $55.3 million over four years, impacting the company’s financial commitments and strategic positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALEX) stock is a Buy with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alexander & Baldwin stock, see the ALEX Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Alexander & Baldwin Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results
Positive
Apr 24, 2025

On April 22, 2025, Alexander & Baldwin held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where six directors were elected, executive compensation was approved, and Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the independent accounting firm. The company decided to hold annual advisory votes on executive compensation. On April 24, 2025, Alexander & Baldwin reported its first quarter 2025 results, showing a net income of $21.4 million and a CRE operating profit of $23.4 million. The company achieved a 4.2% growth in CRE Same-Store NOI and executed a 75-year ground lease at Maui Business Park, contributing to its strategic growth efforts.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 21, 2025