tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX)
:ALEX
Advertisement

Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
150 Followers

Top Page

ALEX

Alexander & Baldwin

(NYSE:ALEX)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$19.00
▲(11.63% Upside)
Alexander & Baldwin's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and a positive earnings call outlook, with raised FFO guidance and robust CRE portfolio metrics. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation Ability
Significant cash generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing for reinvestment in growth opportunities and debt reduction.
Real Estate Portfolio Performance
Stable performance in the real estate segment supports long-term revenue stability and growth, driven by strong leasing and occupancy rates.
Revenue Growth
Robust revenue growth indicates effective business strategies and market demand, contributing to sustainable financial performance.
Negative Factors
Revenue Volatility
Past revenue volatility suggests potential challenges in maintaining consistent growth, impacting long-term financial predictability.
Tenant Move-Outs
Tenant move-outs can lead to reduced occupancy and revenue, affecting the stability of the real estate segment's income stream.
Higher Bad Debt Expense
Increased bad debt expenses can strain profitability and cash flow, highlighting potential risks in tenant credit quality.

Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alexander & Baldwin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX) is a diversified real estate and agriculture company based in Hawaii. It operates primarily in two segments: real estate and agriculture. The real estate segment focuses on the development and management of commercial and residential properties, while the agriculture segment primarily involves the cultivation and distribution of sugar and other agricultural products. A&B is known for its strategic land holdings and sustainable practices, making it a significant player in Hawaii's economy.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlexander & Baldwin generates revenue through several key streams. The real estate segment earns income from leasing and sales of commercial properties, residential developments, and land sales. This includes retail spaces, office buildings, and residential communities that cater to both local and tourist populations. The agriculture segment contributes revenue through the production and sale of sugar, as well as diversified crops, leveraging its extensive land holdings. Additionally, A&B may engage in partnerships and joint ventures with other developers or agricultural firms, enhancing its market reach and operational capacity. Factors such as tourism trends, real estate market conditions, and agricultural commodity prices significantly impact the company’s earnings.

Alexander & Baldwin Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a mostly positive outlook with raised FFO guidance and strong CRE portfolio performance. However, some challenges such as tenant move-outs and higher bad debt expenses were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
FFO Guidance Raised
Alexander & Baldwin raised their Funds From Operations (FFO) guidance for the full year, reflecting increased confidence in their financial outlook.
CRE Portfolio Performance
The Commercial Real Estate (CRE) portfolio experienced a same-store NOI growth of 0.6% for the quarter. The portfolio executed 49 leases representing approximately 164,000 square feet of GLA.
New Developments and Leasing Strength
Groundbreaking at Komohana Industrial Park for two new buildings, including a 91,000 square foot warehouse pre-leased to Lowe’s. A strategic backfill at Kaka’ako Commerce Center brought occupancy to 96.3%.
Improved Financial Metrics
Portfolio NOI for the third quarter was $32.8 million, a 1.2% increase over the same period last year. CRE and Corporate-related FFO per share grew by 7.1% from the same quarter last year.
Strong Leasing and Occupancy Rates
Leased occupancy was 95.6%, and economic occupancy was 94.3% at quarter end, indicating strong market demand.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tenant Move-Outs
Tenant move-outs earlier in the year have tempered growth, impacting same-store NOI figures.
Higher Bad Debt Expense
Higher bad debt expense related to a few isolated tenants affected financial performance during the quarter.
Land Operations Operating Loss
An operating loss of $298,000 was recorded from Land Operations due to no land parcel sales in the quarter.
Company Guidance
During the Alexander & Baldwin Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance and discussed several key performance metrics. The company raised its full-year Funds From Operations (FFO) guidance due to better-than-expected performance, with CRE and Corporate-related FFO per share increasing by 7.1% year-over-year to $0.30. Total company FFO for the quarter was $0.29 per share. The company's commercial real estate (CRE) portfolio showed a same-store Net Operating Income (NOI) growth of 0.6% for the quarter, and leased occupancy was at 95.6%. The company executed 49 leases, representing approximately 164,000 square feet of Gross Leasable Area (GLA) and $3.3 million of Annual Base Rent (ABR). The company also highlighted its internal growth efforts, such as the Komohana Industrial Park development, expected to generate $2.8 million in annual NOI by the first quarter of 2027. Additionally, the company reaffirmed its guidance for full-year same-store NOI growth in the range of 3.4% to 3.8%, and raised its total FFO guidance to $1.36 to $1.41 per share, reflecting increased confidence in its portfolio performance and growth strategy.

Alexander & Baldwin Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alexander & Baldwin exhibits strong financial performance with impressive profitability, stable balance sheet metrics, and robust cash flow generation. The company has shown significant revenue and profit growth, although past revenue volatility should be monitored.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Alexander & Baldwin shows strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 51.62% and a net profit margin of 33.94%. The company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth of 28.6% in the TTM period, indicating a robust upward trajectory. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 38.06% and 54.42% respectively, reflecting efficient operational management. However, the company experienced a revenue decline in 2022, which could indicate potential volatility.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.46, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) has improved to 7.76% in the TTM period, showcasing enhanced profitability. The equity ratio stands at 61.68%, suggesting a solid equity base. Nonetheless, the company should monitor its debt levels to maintain financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong free cash flow growth rate of 462.7% in the TTM period, highlighting significant cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 6.06, indicating efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 58.12% further supports the company's ability to generate cash relative to its earnings. Continued focus on cash flow management will be crucial to sustain this performance.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue218.14M236.64M208.84M230.55M254.00M190.30M
Gross Profit76.05M107.65M102.31M97.63M119.10M64.10M
EBITDA129.47M126.01M100.60M78.83M141.20M91.60M
Net Income73.34M60.54M29.80M-50.66M35.40M5.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.66B1.67B1.65B1.79B1.88B2.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.29M33.44M13.50M33.30M65.40M57.20M
Total Debt0.00474.84M473.00M477.10M537.30M705.50M
Total Liabilities645.66M666.89M643.20M743.60M806.30M933.40M
Stockholders Equity1.01B1.00B1.00B1.04B1.07B1.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow57.74M47.21M35.90M12.30M70.70M38.00M
Operating Cash Flow66.81M97.99M67.10M34.00M124.20M63.10M
Investing Cash Flow4.10M-16.11M7.10M44.60M96.50M12.00M
Financing Cash Flow-78.97M-61.96M-94.90M-115.20M-207.10M-33.10M

Alexander & Baldwin Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.02
Price Trends
50DMA
17.37
Negative
100DMA
17.69
Negative
200DMA
17.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.49
Positive
RSI
35.68
Neutral
STOCH
17.60
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALEX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.35, below the 50-day MA of 17.37, and below the 200-day MA of 17.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.60 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ALEX.

Alexander & Baldwin Risk Analysis

Alexander & Baldwin disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alexander & Baldwin reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alexander & Baldwin Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.13B15.427.32%5.68%-3.94%64.29%
69
Neutral
$955.79M8.374.82%5.15%1.30%-6.14%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$1.25B35.673.80%1.88%0.45%-24.85%
59
Neutral
$1.18B19.025.29%6.75%5.95%5.06%
56
Neutral
$510.58M47.124.09%9.72%-39.94%
52
Neutral
$1.72B-12.53%10.66%-28.94%-28.24%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALEX
Alexander & Baldwin
15.84
-2.73
-14.70%
SAFE
Safehold
13.75
-5.91
-30.06%
ESRT
Empire State Realty
7.46
-2.98
-28.54%
AHH
Armada Hoffler Properties
6.43
-3.75
-36.84%
AAT
American Assets
19.55
-6.25
-24.22%
GNL
Global Net Lease
7.93
1.30
19.61%

Alexander & Baldwin Corporate Events

Alexander & Baldwin Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 31, 2025

Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. is a premier commercial real estate company primarily operating in Hawaii, focusing on property development, leasing, and management. The company is known for its strategic investments and development projects in the Hawaiian market.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Alexander & Baldwin Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a net income of $14.3 million and a commercial real estate operating profit of $22.7 million. The company saw a slight increase in same-store net operating income and maintained a high leased occupancy rate of 95.6%. Key developments included the advancement of industrial projects and a significant lease renewal in Kailua Town, which supports the company’s growth strategy and strengthens its market position in Hawai‘i.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALEX) stock is a Buy with a $19.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alexander & Baldwin stock, see the ALEX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Alexander & Baldwin EVP Retirement Announcement
Neutral
Oct 3, 2025

On September 29, 2025, Meredith J. Ching, Executive Vice President of External Affairs at Alexander & Baldwin, Inc., announced her decision to retire by the end of the year, effective December 31, 2025. This retirement marks a significant change in the company’s leadership, potentially impacting its external affairs operations and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALEX) stock is a Buy with a $19.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alexander & Baldwin stock, see the ALEX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025