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Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX)
NYSE:ALEX
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Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX) AI Stock Analysis

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ALEX

Alexander & Baldwin

(NYSE:ALEX)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$21.50
▲(12.80% Upside)
Alexander & Baldwin's strong financial performance and positive technical indicators are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's valuation is attractive, and the earnings call provided a positive outlook despite some concerns. Overall, the stock shows a solid investment potential with a balanced risk-reward profile.
Positive Factors
Business Model
Alexander & Baldwin continues to benefit from a more streamlined business model, supporting its operations and growth potential.
Market Position
ALEX continues to leverage its dominant market position to source off-market deals that are complementary to the portfolio, supplementing its steady portfolio growth.
Negative Factors
NOI Growth
Same-store NOI growth came in at 2.9%, decelerating both from the prior quarter and the prior year.
Stock Catalyst
Shares lack an upside catalyst.

Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alexander & Baldwin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlexander & Baldwin, Inc. (A&B) is Hawai'i's premier commercial real estate company and the largest owner of grocery-anchored, neighborhood shopping centers in the state. A&B owns, operates and manages approximately 3.9 million square feet of commercial space in Hawai'i, including 22 retail centers, ten industrial assets and four office properties, as well as 154 acres of ground leases. These core assets comprise nearly 72% of A&B's total assets. A&B's non-core assets include renewable energy generation facilities, approximately 27,000 acres of agricultural and conservation land and a vertically integrated paving business. A&B is achieving its strategic objective of becoming a Hawai'i-focused commercial real estate company by expanding and strengthening its Hawai'i CRE portfolio and monetizing non-core assets. Over its 150-year history, A&B has evolved with the state's economy and played a leadership role in the development of the agricultural, transportation, tourism, construction, residential and commercial real estate industries.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlexander & Baldwin generates revenue through multiple key streams. The real estate segment earns income from leasing and selling commercial and residential properties, as well as from development projects that create new properties to be leased or sold. The agriculture segment generates revenue primarily from the cultivation and sale of sugarcane and other agricultural products, with a focus on sustainability and innovation in farming practices. Additionally, the company may benefit from significant partnerships and collaborations that enhance its operational efficiency and expand its market reach. Strategic land development and management initiatives also contribute to long-term revenue growth, supported by Hawaii's unique geographic and economic position.

Alexander & Baldwin Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance with significant growth in NOI and occupancy rates, new development projects, and improved financial outlook leading to a raised guidance. However, there were concerns about leasing spreads, classification of a large TI as nonrecurring, and potential deceleration in NOI growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Same-Store NOI Growth
Achieved same-store NOI growth of 5.3% for the quarter, driven by a 140 basis point improvement in same-store economic occupancy.
New Developments and Growth Prospects
Continued construction at the build-to-suit on Maui with anticipated completion in Q1 2026, expecting annual NOI uplift of $1 million. Executed a build-to-suit for a 91,000-square-foot building at Komohana Industrial Park, expecting $2.8 million annual NOI when stabilized.
Increased Leased Occupancy
Leased occupancy increased to 95.8%, up 40 basis points sequentially and 190 basis points year-over-year.
Improved Financial Performance
Generated $33.6 million of NOI, growing 6.3% over the same period last year. Reported Q2 CRE and Corporate-related FFO per share of $0.29, a 3.6% increase from the same quarter last year.
Raising 2025 Guidance
Raised 2025 guidance with expectations for same-store NOI growth to be within the range of 3.4% to 3.8% and total FFO of $1.35 to $1.40 per share.
Negative Updates
Lower Comparable Leasing Spreads
Comparable leasing spreads were at 6.8%, lower than previous quarters due to the absence of major outliers driving the spread.
Impact of Sam's Club TI on AFFO
Large $20 million TI related to the long-term extension of a Sam's Club lease, excluded from AFFO calculation, raising concerns about its classification as nonrecurring.
Potential Deceleration in Same-Store NOI Growth
Guidance suggests a lower same-store NOI growth rate in the third quarter due to strong Q3 results in 2024.
Company Guidance
During the Alexander & Baldwin second quarter 2025 earnings call, management provided an encouraging update on the company's performance and guidance. The company achieved a same-store net operating income (NOI) growth of 5.3% for the quarter, driven by a 140 basis point improvement in same-store economic occupancy. The company's leased occupancy increased to 95.8%, up 40 basis points sequentially and 190 basis points year-over-year, while economic occupancy rose to 94.8%, a 200 basis point improvement from the same period last year. The contribution from land operations added $0.19 to the funds from operations (FFO) per share, bringing the total FFO to $0.48 per share for the quarter, up $0.20 from the previous year. Alexander & Baldwin's total liquidity stood at over $300 million, with a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 3.3x. The company raised its 2025 guidance, now projecting a same-store NOI growth range of 3.4% to 3.8% and CRE and Corporate FFO to be between $1.12 to $1.16 per share, with total FFO expected to be between $1.35 to $1.40 per share.

Alexander & Baldwin Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alexander & Baldwin exhibits strong financial performance with impressive profitability, stable balance sheet metrics, and robust cash flow generation. The company has shown significant revenue and profit growth, although past revenue volatility should be monitored.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Alexander & Baldwin shows strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 51.62% and a net profit margin of 33.94%. The company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth of 28.6% in the TTM period, indicating a robust upward trajectory. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 38.06% and 54.42% respectively, reflecting efficient operational management. However, the company experienced a revenue decline in 2022, which could indicate potential volatility.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.46, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) has improved to 7.76% in the TTM period, showcasing enhanced profitability. The equity ratio stands at 61.68%, suggesting a solid equity base. Nonetheless, the company should monitor its debt levels to maintain financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong free cash flow growth rate of 462.7% in the TTM period, highlighting significant cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 6.06, indicating efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 58.12% further supports the company's ability to generate cash relative to its earnings. Continued focus on cash flow management will be crucial to sustain this performance.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue229.83M236.64M208.84M230.55M254.00M190.30M
Gross Profit105.55M107.65M102.31M97.63M119.10M64.10M
EBITDA139.44M126.01M100.60M78.83M141.20M91.60M
Net Income78.01M60.54M29.80M-50.66M35.40M5.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.64B1.67B1.65B1.79B1.88B2.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.10M33.44M13.50M33.30M65.40M57.20M
Total Debt470.79M474.84M473.00M477.10M537.30M705.50M
Total Liabilities629.34M666.89M643.20M743.60M806.30M933.40M
Stockholders Equity1.01B1.00B1.00B1.04B1.07B1.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow59.35M47.21M35.90M12.30M70.70M38.00M
Operating Cash Flow102.12M97.99M67.10M34.00M124.20M63.10M
Investing Cash Flow-28.65M-16.11M7.10M44.60M96.50M12.00M
Financing Cash Flow-93.13M-61.96M-94.90M-115.20M-207.10M-33.10M

Alexander & Baldwin Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.06
Price Trends
50DMA
18.33
Positive
100DMA
17.84
Positive
200DMA
17.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.27
Negative
RSI
56.27
Neutral
STOCH
63.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALEX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.85, above the 50-day MA of 18.33, and above the 200-day MA of 17.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALEX.

Alexander & Baldwin Risk Analysis

Alexander & Baldwin disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alexander & Baldwin reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alexander & Baldwin Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.41B18.157.79%4.62%5.60%93.88%
74
Outperform
$1.17B11.224.38%4.34%1.59%
67
Neutral
$739.86M79.353.55%9.43%-25.73%
66
Neutral
$1.35B33.324.36%1.76%1.77%-8.72%
63
Neutral
$7.09B13.58-0.36%6.87%4.08%-25.24%
62
Neutral
$1.28B17.186.26%6.53%11.68%37.31%
58
Neutral
$1.77B-11.87%11.31%-11.06%29.36%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALEX
Alexander & Baldwin
19.06
0.78
4.27%
SAFE
Safehold
16.39
-7.35
-30.96%
ESRT
Empire State Realty
7.78
-2.27
-22.59%
AHH
Armada Hoffler Properties
7.32
-3.61
-33.03%
AAT
American Assets
20.75
-3.26
-13.58%
GNL
Global Net Lease
8.22
0.54
7.03%

Alexander & Baldwin Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Alexander & Baldwin Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Alexander & Baldwin reported a net income of $25.1 million for the second quarter of 2025, with a commercial real estate operating profit of $22.2 million. The company saw a 5.3% growth in same-store net operating income and achieved a leased occupancy rate of 95.8%. The firm began pre-construction on two new buildings at Komohana Industrial Park, enhancing its industrial assets. The company’s strong performance led to an increase in guidance, reflecting successful execution of its internal growth strategy.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Alexander & Baldwin Ends Agreement with Mahi Pono
Negative
Jun 20, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. and its subsidiaries entered into a Termination Agreement with Mahi Pono Holdings, LLC, effectively ending their previous Purchase and Sale Agreement from December 2018. As part of this agreement, A&B will transfer its 50% ownership in East Maui Irrigation Company, LLC, forego $2.7 million in payments, and pay Mahi Pono $55.3 million over four years, impacting the company’s financial commitments and strategic positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025