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American Assets (AAT) AI Stock Analysis

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AAT

American Assets

(NYSE:AAT)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$21.50
▲(10.31% Upside)
American Assets Trust's overall stock score reflects a balanced financial performance with strong profitability and cash flow management, offset by high leverage risks. The valuation is attractive due to a reasonable P/E ratio and high dividend yield. Technical indicators suggest neutral momentum, while the earnings call indicates steady performance with some sector-specific challenges.
Positive Factors
Debt repayment
Repayment of $325 million of debt indicates efforts to strengthen the company's financial position.
Lease agreements
Signing of 18 comparable retail leases with a +6.5% cash spread marks an improvement over previous quarters.
Retail performance
Strong retail performance with a growth of +11.4% in SSNOI supports the company's financial outlook.
Negative Factors
Dilution from asset sale
Surprise retail asset sale resulted in 9c of dilution in the 2025 forecast, impacting financial projections.
Guidance and expectations
Newly issued 2025 guidance range missed expectations significantly, raising questions about future growth.
Office occupancy
Decrease in office total occupancy to 85.0% reflects a decline in space utilization.

American Assets (AAT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

American Assets Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmerican Assets Trust, Inc. is a full service, vertically integrated and self-administered real estate investment trust, or REIT, headquartered in San Diego, California. The company has over 50 years of experience in acquiring, improving, developing and managing premier office, retail, and residential properties throughout the United States in some of the nation's most dynamic, high-barrier-to-entry markets primarily in Southern California, Northern California, Oregon, Washington, Texas and Hawaii. The company's office portfolio comprises approximately 3.4 million rentable square feet, and its retail portfolio comprises approximately 3.1 million square feet. In addition, the company owns one mixed-use property (including approximately 97,000 rentable square feet of retail space and a 369-room all-suite hotel) and 2,112 multifamily units. In 2011, the company was formed to succeed to the real estate business of American Assets, Inc., a privately held corporation founded in 1967 and, as such, has significant experience, long-standing relationships and extensive knowledge of its core markets, submarkets and asset classes.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmerican Assets generates revenue primarily through leasing its properties to tenants, which includes retail stores, office tenants, and residential renters. The company earns rental income from long-term leases and short-term leases, depending on the property type. Additionally, American Assets may generate income from property management services offered to third-party owners. The company's revenue model also includes potential gains from property sales and development projects, enhancing its overall profitability. Key partnerships with tenants, local governments, and investment firms can also contribute to its earnings by providing opportunities for new developments and joint ventures.

American Assets Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.23%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted steady performance in a challenging environment, with strong leasing activity in office and retail sectors and positive rent growth in multifamily. However, challenges in the multifamily and mixed-use portfolios, particularly in Portland and Oahu, along with flat overall same-store cash NOI, balance out the positive aspects.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Office Leasing Activity
Completed approximately 102,000 square feet of leasing during the quarter with comparable rent spreads decreasing 2% on a cash basis and increasing 10% on a straight-line basis. Entered Q3 with 17,000 square feet of executed leases and an additional 111,000 square feet in active lease documentation.
Retail Portfolio Performance
Retail portfolio ended the quarter 98% leased with same-store cash NOI growth of 4.5%. Executed over 220,000 square feet of new and renewal leases in Q2, with spreads increasing over 7% on a cash basis and 22% on a straight-line basis.
Multifamily Rent Growth
Achieved rent increases of 7% on renewals and 4% on new leases for a blended rent increase of 6%.
Dividend Declaration
Board approved a quarterly dividend of $0.34 per share for Q3, reflecting confidence in the long-term stability and cash flows of the portfolio.
Liquidity and Financial Position
Total liquidity of approximately $544 million, consisting of roughly $144 million in cash and cash equivalents and $400 million of availability under revolving line of credit.
2025 Guidance Increase
Increased full year 2025 guidance range to $1.89 to $2.01 per FFO share with a midpoint of $1.95 per FFO share.
Negative Updates
Flat Same-Store Cash NOI
Same-store cash NOI for all sectors combined was approximately flat year-over-year in the second quarter of '25 compared with the same period in '24.
Multifamily Portfolio Challenges
Same-store multifamily portfolio's NOI declined by 3.9%, primarily due to lower rental income at Hassalo on Eighth property in Portland and higher operating expenses at Pacific Ridge property in San Diego.
Mixed-Use Portfolio Decline
Same-store mixed-use portfolio's NOI declined by approximately 5%, primarily driven by lower-than-anticipated ADR at Embassy Suites Waikiki.
Hotel Performance in Oahu
NOI declined 5% compared to Q2 last year, driven by softer performance at Embassy Suites with lower paid occupancy and RevPAR amid ongoing softness in domestic leisure demand.
Office Leasing Challenges
Office portfolio's same-store cash NOI was approximately flat for the quarter.
Company Guidance
During American Assets Trust's second quarter 2025 earnings call, several key metrics and guidance updates were provided. The company reported a Funds from Operations (FFO) per diluted share of $0.52, with same-store cash Net Operating Income (NOI) approximately flat for the quarter and up 1.4% year-to-date compared to the previous year. The office portfolio ended the quarter 82% leased, with same-store office cash NOI up over 2% year-to-date. In the retail sector, the portfolio was 98% leased, with same-store cash NOI growth of 4.5%. The multifamily portfolio demonstrated strong stability with a 94% lease rate, achieving a blended rent increase of 6%. The mixed-use Waikiki Beach Walk saw a 5% NOI decline due to softer hotel performance. The company increased its full-year 2025 guidance range to $1.89 to $2.01 per FFO share, reflecting steady momentum across its core sectors. Additionally, the company maintained a strong liquidity position with approximately $544 million available.

American Assets Financial Statement Overview

Summary
American Assets demonstrates consistent revenue and profit growth, strong operational efficiency, and robust cash flow generation. However, rising debt levels pose potential risks, and net income growth is modest compared to revenue growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
American Assets has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase in total revenue from $344.6 million in 2020 to $457.9 million in 2024. The gross profit margin remains strong, hovering around 63%, indicating efficient cost management. Net profit margin has improved from 8% in 2020 to 12.4% in 2024, reflecting enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also shown positive trends, supporting operational efficiency. However, the net income growth, while positive, is modest compared to revenue growth, suggesting room for improvement in cost control or operational leverage.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet of American Assets reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 1.73 in 2024, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is around 35.9%, showing a reasonable level of equity financing. Return on Equity (ROE) has improved from 2.2% in 2020 to 4.8% in 2024, suggesting better utilization of equity. However, the high level of total debt, which has increased over the years, poses a potential risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
American Assets has demonstrated strong cash flow generation with operating cash flow increasing from $126.9 million in 2020 to $207.1 million in 2024. Free cash flow has also grown, indicating effective capital expenditure management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, highlighting efficient cash conversion. However, fluctuations in investing and financing cash flows suggest variability in capital allocation strategies, which could impact future cash flow stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue455.77M457.85M441.16M422.65M375.83M344.57M
Gross Profit256.81M290.13M277.21M270.21M246.05M223.45M
EBITDA251.88M254.66M249.94M238.07M216.18M196.87M
Net Income82.68M56.80M50.38M43.51M28.38M27.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.97B3.27B2.98B2.99B3.02B2.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments143.91M425.66M82.89M49.57M139.52M137.33M
Total Debt1.71B2.03B1.71B1.65B1.65B1.41B
Total Liabilities1.82B2.15B1.83B1.80B1.81B1.56B
Stockholders Equity1.20B1.18B1.20B1.22B1.24B1.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow113.49M136.90M105.77M65.29M63.74M63.50M
Operating Cash Flow189.20M207.11M188.75M179.07M168.33M126.98M
Investing Cash Flow-31.44M-77.41M-89.89M-166.32M-312.28M-69.08M
Financing Cash Flow-112.39M213.07M-65.55M-102.70M144.42M-28.31M

American Assets Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price19.49
Price Trends
50DMA
19.96
Negative
100DMA
19.47
Positive
200DMA
21.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Negative
RSI
48.73
Neutral
STOCH
86.17
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AAT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 19.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.49, below the 50-day MA of 19.96, and below the 200-day MA of 21.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.17 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AAT.

American Assets Risk Analysis

American Assets disclosed 71 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. American Assets reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Potential losses from earthquakes, fires, floods or other natural disasters may not be fully covered by insurance. Q4, 2024

American Assets Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$1.34B17.267.79%4.86%5.60%93.88%
75
Outperform
$2.58B23.448.46%3.69%6.09%-65.94%
72
Outperform
$1.09B10.494.38%4.64%1.59%
68
Neutral
$1.19B16.016.26%6.93%11.68%37.31%
66
Neutral
$1.26B31.064.36%1.88%1.77%-8.72%
63
Neutral
$713.51M76.523.55%9.80%-25.73%
63
Neutral
$6.87B13.26-1.02%7.28%3.62%-23.52%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AAT
American Assets
19.49
-4.99
-20.38%
ALEX
Alexander & Baldwin
18.48
0.32
1.76%
SAFE
Safehold
15.25
-7.75
-33.70%
ESRT
Empire State Realty
7.43
-2.66
-26.36%
AHH
Armada Hoffler Properties
7.04
-3.89
-35.59%
UE
Urban Edge Properties
19.49
0.35
1.83%

American Assets Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
American Assets Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Jul 29, 2025

American Assets Trust, Inc. reported its financial results for the second quarter ending June 30, 2025, with a net income of $5.5 million for the quarter and $48.0 million for the first half of the year. The company experienced a decrease in Funds from Operations (FFO) compared to the previous year, primarily due to the absence of litigation income received in 2024 and increased interest expenses. Despite these challenges, the company increased its FFO guidance for 2025, reflecting a positive outlook. Leasing activity remained robust, with significant office and retail space leased during the quarter, although office occupancy rates saw a decline compared to the previous year.

The most recent analyst rating on (AAT) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on American Assets stock, see the AAT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
American Assets Engages Investors at NAREIT Conference
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

American Assets Trust, Inc. announced that its senior management team will meet with investors and analysts on June 4, 2025, during the NAREIT REITweek Conference. The presentation materials for this event are available on the company’s website, indicating a proactive approach to investor relations and transparency.

The most recent analyst rating on (AAT) stock is a Hold with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on American Assets stock, see the AAT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
American Assets Concludes 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On June 2, 2025, American Assets Trust, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key proposals were voted on. The stockholders elected five directors to serve until the next annual meeting in 2026, ratified the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, and approved an advisory resolution on executive compensation for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024.

The most recent analyst rating on (AAT) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on American Assets stock, see the AAT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025