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Essential Properties Realty Trust (EPRT)
:EPRT

Essential Properties Realty (EPRT) AI Stock Analysis

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Essential Properties Realty

(NYSE:EPRT)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$36.00
▲( 13.53% Upside)
Essential Properties Realty's strong financial health, supported by high profitability and no debt, along with positive earnings call sentiment, positions the company favorably. However, caution is advised due to potential liquidity management challenges from declining free cash flow and high valuation metrics. Technical indicators also suggest potential short-term market pressures, necessitating a balanced outlook on the stock's performance.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
Quarterly acquisitions increased +23.7% y/y to $307.7M with cash/GAAP cap rates at 7.8%/9.4%.
Earnings
EPRT raised its FY25e AFFO/sh guidance, implying +7.5% year-over-year growth.
Portfolio Management
The price target for EPRT has been raised due to increases in reNAV/sh and AFFO/sh estimates and continued portfolio management success.
Negative Factors
Interest Rate Sensitivity
EPRT’s per-share growth outlook is highly correlated to interest rate and capital market conditions, adding uncertainty.
Tenant Credit Risk
The portfolio has reached an age where tenant credit risk is more likely, impacting overall risk assessment.
Valuation Concerns
The REIT's valuation is considered high, and its operations are trending closer to average, making further outperformance unlikely.

Essential Properties Realty (EPRT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Essential Properties Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEssential Properties Realty Trust, Inc., a real estate company, acquires, owns, and manages single-tenant properties in the United States. The company leases its properties to middle-market companies, such as restaurants, car washes, automotive services, medical and dental services, convenience stores, equipment rental, entertainment, early childhood education, grocery, and health and fitness on a long-term basis. As of December 31, 2021, it had a portfolio of 1, 451 properties. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Princeton, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyEPRT generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of single-tenant properties, which are leased on a long-term basis under triple-net leases. This lease structure ensures a steady and predictable income stream, as tenants are responsible for most property-related expenses, reducing EPRT's operational costs. The company's focus on essential service sectors helps maintain occupancy rates and rental growth, even during economic downturns. Additionally, EPRT may engage in strategic property acquisitions and dispositions to optimize its portfolio and enhance shareholder value, further contributing to its earnings.

Essential Properties Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Essential Properties Realty exhibits strong financial performance with robust revenue growth, high profitability, and a solid balance sheet with no debt. The decline in free cash flow due to capital expenditures suggests potential liquidity management challenges, which slightly moderates the score.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Essential Properties Realty has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 6.0% increase in TTM revenue compared to the previous year. The company maintains robust profitability with a gross profit margin of 92.4% and a commendable net profit margin of 44.6% in the TTM period. This indicates efficient operations and cost management. However, the EBITDA margin slightly declined from 90.1% in 2024 to 84.3% in the TTM, suggesting potential increases in operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The company's balance sheet is strong with zero total debt in the TTM period, improving its financial stability and risk profile significantly. The equity ratio stands at 63.0%, indicating a high level of financial independence and low leverage. Return on equity is solid at 5.6%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profit.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Essential Properties Realty shows a positive trend in operating cash flow, with a 3.4% year-over-year increase in the TTM. However, free cash flow declined by 65.5% due to significant capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.50, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income, but the decrease in free cash flow signals potential challenges in liquidity management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
475.89M449.61M359.60M286.51M230.23M164.01M
Gross Profit
439.66M444.61M351.38M283.05M224.47M160.13M
EBIT
305.14M278.19M242.75M175.42M134.42M72.83M
EBITDA
453.55M438.52M352.05M279.50M199.95M135.34M
Net Income Common Stockholders
212.14M203.00M190.71M134.13M95.72M42.27M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
47.00M40.71M39.81M62.34M59.76M26.60M
Total Assets
6.06B5.80B4.77B4.00B3.30B2.49B
Total Debt
2.13B2.13B1.69B1.42B1.17B815.28M
Net Debt
2.08B2.09B1.65B1.36B1.11B788.68M
Total Liabilities
2.23B2.23B1.78B1.50B1.25B906.85M
Stockholders Equity
3.81B3.56B2.98B2.49B2.04B1.57B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
106.57M308.48M254.57M-517.71M167.39M99.39M
Operating Cash Flow
318.89M308.48M254.57M211.02M167.39M99.39M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.18B-1.12B-857.13M-706.08M-829.68M-545.51M
Financing Cash Flow
825.50M810.70M580.01M506.80M689.06M457.79M

Essential Properties Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price31.71
Price Trends
50DMA
31.69
Positive
100DMA
31.51
Positive
200DMA
31.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Positive
RSI
50.69
Neutral
STOCH
53.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EPRT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 31.71 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.91, above the 50-day MA of 31.69, and above the 200-day MA of 31.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EPRT.

Essential Properties Realty Risk Analysis

Essential Properties Realty disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Essential Properties Realty reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
We depend on key personnel. Q4, 2024
2.
Our business is subject to risks associated with climate change and our sustainability strategies. Q4, 2024
3.
An epidemic or pandemic (such as the outbreak and worldwide spread of a novel strain of coronavirus, and its variants ("COVID-19")), and the measures that international, federal, state and local governments, agencies, law enforcement and/or health authorities implement to address it, may precipitate or materially exacerbate one or more of the other risks, and may significantly disrupt our tenants' ability to operate their businesses and/or pay rent to us or prevent us from operating its business in the ordinary course for an extended period. Q4, 2024

Essential Properties Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$6.31B27.476.01%3.69%25.47%-4.35%
UEUE
73
Outperform
$2.34B28.126.48%3.95%6.18%-72.21%
OLOLP
70
Neutral
$526.47M18.029.57%7.59%1.82%-1.03%
WPWPC
68
Neutral
$13.19B31.065.02%5.82%-5.89%-26.36%
BNBNL
67
Neutral
$2.92B25.963.79%7.45%0.73%-37.65%
60
Neutral
$2.76B10.330.49%8508.28%5.95%-17.56%
GNGNL
60
Neutral
$1.69B-13.01%13.43%16.69%39.04%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EPRT
Essential Properties Realty
31.88
5.94
22.90%
OLP
One Liberty Properties
23.51
1.93
8.94%
WPC
W. P. Carey Inc.
61.37
7.92
14.82%
UE
Urban Edge Properties
17.64
1.27
7.76%
GNL
Global Net Lease
7.73
1.25
19.29%
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease
15.46
1.38
9.80%

Essential Properties Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.21%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong first quarter with significant investments, healthy portfolio performance, and strong liquidity position. Despite certain challenges like the Zipcar wash bankruptcy and increased G&A expenses, the company remains optimistic about its growth potential and has reaffirmed its guidance. The sentiment leans towards positive given the strong financial metrics and strategic positioning.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Investment Activity
Invested $308 million in 21 transactions at a weighted average cash yield of 7.8%. Investments had a weighted average initial lease term of 17.5 years and a weighted average annual rent escalation of 2.2%.
Healthy Portfolio Performance
Tenant credit trends remained healthy with 99.7% occupancy and nearly 100% rent collection. Same-store rent growth was 1.5%, up slightly from last quarter.
Significant Liquidity Position
Pro forma leverage of 3.4 times and liquidity of $1.5 billion, including $313 million raised in equity during the quarter.
AFFO Growth
AFFO per share increased by 7% year-over-year to $0.45. Total AFFO was up 21% compared to the same period in 2024.
Reaffirmed Guidance
Reaffirmed 2025 AFFO per share guidance range of $1.85 to $1.89, representing over 7% growth at the midpoint.
Negative Updates
Zipcar Wash Bankruptcy Impact
Ongoing Zipcar wash bankruptcy affecting three properties, impacting approximately 20 basis points of ABR. However, the tenant remains current on rental obligations.
Increased G&A Expenses
Total G&A expenses increased to $11.5 million compared to $9.4 million in the same period in 2024, attributed mainly to increased compensation expenses.
Potential Market Volatility
Noted ongoing volatility in capital markets affecting competition and investment dynamics, with expectations of cap rate compression as markets normalize.
Company Guidance
During the Essential Properties Realty Trust First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reaffirmed its 2025 AFFO per share guidance range of $1.85 to $1.89, reflecting over 7% growth at the midpoint. The firm reported an investment of $308 million across 21 transactions with a weighted average cash yield of 7.8% and a strong average gap yield of 9.4%. The company's pro forma leverage stood at 3.4 times, with liquidity of $1.5 billion. Essential Properties maintained a high occupancy rate of 99.7% and experienced an increase in AFFO per share by 7% compared to Q1 2024, totaling $85.7 million. With a weighted average lease term of 14 years and a tenant credit health coverage ratio of 3.5 times, the company remains well-positioned to continue its growth trajectory without needing to raise additional capital to meet its investment guidance of $900 million to $1.1 billion for 2025.

Essential Properties Realty Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Essential Properties Realty Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 13, 2025

On May 12, 2025, Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where shareholders voted on several key proposals. All seven director nominees were elected, the compensation of the company’s named executive officers was approved on an advisory basis, and the appointment of Grant Thornton LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 was ratified. The meeting saw a high participation rate, with 83.2% of eligible shares voted, indicating strong shareholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (EPRT) stock is a Buy with a $31.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Essential Properties Realty stock, see the EPRT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Essential Properties Realty Highlights Strong Financial Position
Positive
May 5, 2025

On May 5, 2025, Essential Properties Realty Trust released an investor presentation highlighting its strong financial position and strategic growth initiatives. The company reported a stable and healthy net lease portfolio with a 99.7% occupancy rate and a well-positioned balance sheet, including significant liquidity and low leverage. The presentation emphasized the company’s disciplined investment strategy, focusing on high-growth, low-risk opportunities in the middle market, and its commitment to maintaining a conservative financial approach with no debt maturities until 2027.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Essential Properties Realty Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results
Positive
Apr 23, 2025

Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a net income per share of $0.29 and an AFFO per share of $0.45, both showing an increase from the previous year. The company closed investments totaling $307.7 million at a 7.8% weighted average cash cap rate and reiterated its 2025 AFFO guidance. The CEO noted strong investment execution and resilient portfolio trends, despite a challenging macroeconomic environment.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Essential Properties Realty Releases Financial Presentation
Positive
Apr 8, 2025

On April 8, 2025, Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. released an investor presentation detailing its financial and operational performance. The company reported a stable and diversified portfolio with a high occupancy rate and strong lease coverage. In the first quarter of 2025, the company raised approximately $309 million in common equity and expanded its revolving credit facility to $1 billion. The company continues to focus on disciplined external growth and capital recycling, with significant investments and dispositions completed in 2025. The presentation highlights Essential Properties’ strategic focus on maintaining a low leverage ratio, robust liquidity, and a conservative payout ratio, ensuring sustainable growth and financial stability.

Executive/Board Changes
Essential Properties Realty Appoints New Executive Vice Presidents
Neutral
Mar 28, 2025

On March 24, 2025, Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. entered into employment agreements with R. Max Jenkins and A Joseph Peil, both serving as Executive Vice Presidents, effective immediately. The agreements, lasting initially until 2028, include provisions for base salaries, performance bonuses, and long-term incentives. They also outline conditions for termination benefits, including compensation and healthcare coverage, and impose restrictive covenants post-termination.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Essential Properties Realty Highlights Strong Financial Position
Positive
Mar 3, 2025

On March 3, 2025, Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. released an investor presentation detailing its financial and operational performance as of the end of 2024 and early 2025. The company reported a stable portfolio with a 99.7% lease rate and highlighted its strong balance sheet, including a $1.0 billion revolving credit facility. Essential Properties has maintained low leverage and excellent liquidity, with significant investments and capital recycling activities in early 2025. The company’s strategic focus on disciplined growth and risk management positions it well in the real estate market, with a continued emphasis on e-commerce resilient sectors.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.