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TPHD - AI Analysis

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TPHD

Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF (TPHD)

Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
$43.00
The Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF (TPHD) demonstrates solid performance, supported by strong holdings like Atmos Energy (ATO) and WEC Energy Group (WEC). Atmos Energy contributes positively with robust financial metrics and strategic moves, while WEC Energy benefits from investments in renewable energy and infrastructure, enhancing stability and growth potential. However, weaker holdings such as Southern Co (SO), with high leverage and negative free cash flow, slightly temper the fund's overall rating. A key risk factor is the ETF's concentration in utility companies, which may limit diversification and expose it to sector-specific challenges.
Positive Factors
Strong Top Holdings
Several of the largest positions, particularly in the utilities sector, have delivered strong year-to-date gains, supporting the ETF’s overall performance.
Sector Diversification
The ETF is spread across multiple sectors, including utilities, industrials, and energy, which helps balance risks from sector-specific downturns.
Healthy Asset Growth
The fund has over $315 million in assets under management, indicating steady investor interest and confidence.
Negative Factors
High Geographic Concentration
With nearly 99% exposure to U.S. companies, the ETF lacks diversification across global markets, increasing sensitivity to domestic economic conditions.
Moderate Expense Ratio
The ETF’s expense ratio of 0.52% is higher than some low-cost alternatives, which could slightly reduce net returns over time.
Underperforming Holdings
Some top holdings, such as Waste Management and CMS Energy, have shown weaker year-to-date performance, which may drag on overall returns.

TPHD vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TPHD Summary

The Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF (TPHD) is designed for investors who want steady income from high-dividend-paying companies. It follows the Victory US Large Cap High Dividend Volatility Weighted BRI Index, focusing on financially strong companies that reward shareholders with consistent dividends. Some of its top holdings include well-known names like Southern Co and Waste Management. This ETF is a good option for those seeking income and diversification, especially with its focus on ethical investing. However, new investors should be aware that its performance can fluctuate with the overall market, and it is heavily weighted toward sectors like utilities and energy, which may face industry-specific risks.
How much will it cost me?The Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF (TPHD) has an expense ratio of 0.52%, which means you’ll pay $5.20 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than average because it is actively managed to focus on high dividend-paying stocks while aligning with ethical investment principles.
What would affect this ETF?The ETF's focus on high-dividend-paying U.S. companies, particularly in sectors like utilities and energy, could benefit from stable demand and potential growth in renewable energy investments. However, rising interest rates or economic downturns might negatively impact dividend-paying stocks, especially in sectors sensitive to borrowing costs or consumer spending. Regulatory changes in energy or utilities could also influence the ETF's performance.

TPHD Top 10 Holdings

The Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF (TPHD) leans heavily into utilities, with names like CenterPoint Energy, Evergy, and WEC Energy Group driving steady performance thanks to their reliable dividends and strategic investments in infrastructure and renewables. Atmos Energy has also been rising, buoyed by strong financials and positive earnings sentiment. However, Waste Management has been lagging, with bearish technical signals and valuation concerns holding it back. With a clear U.S.-focused portfolio and a tilt toward defensive sectors like utilities and energy, this fund prioritizes stability and income over high-growth opportunities.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Centerpoint Energy1.61%$5.05M$25.43B34.28%
70
Neutral
Evergy1.59%$4.99M$17.71B29.66%
68
Neutral
WEC Energy Group1.55%$4.87M$36.88B19.98%
76
Outperform
Atmos Energy1.54%$4.84M$27.56B24.24%
79
Outperform
CMS Energy1.53%$4.80M$21.64B5.64%
69
Neutral
Ameren1.52%$4.78M$27.66B20.12%
75
Outperform
DTE Energy1.51%$4.74M$28.83B12.68%
70
Neutral
Alliant Energy1.48%$4.64M$17.43B13.87%
71
Outperform
Southern Co1.48%$4.63M$102.87B4.64%
66
Neutral
CME Group1.44%$4.51M$94.31B17.28%
76
Outperform

TPHD Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
38.85
Negative
100DMA
38.45
Negative
200DMA
37.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
38.15
Neutral
STOCH
41.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPHD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.79, equal to the 50-day MA of 38.85, and equal to the 200-day MA of 37.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TPHD.

TPHD Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$314.00M0.52%
70
Neutral
$852.64M0.39%
68
Neutral
$634.82M0.45%
65
Neutral
$482.64M0.50%
73
Outperform
$172.42M0.59%
70
Outperform
$151.88M0.49%
69
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TPHD
Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF
38.08
1.51
4.13%
RDIV
Invesco S&P Ultra Dividend Revenue ETF
DIV
Global X SuperDividend US ETF
FDV
Federated Hermes U.S. Strategic Dividend ETF
TBG
TBG Dividend Focus ETF
ELCV
Eventide High Dividend ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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