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TPHD - ETF AI Analysis

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TPHD

Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF (TPHD)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
TPHD, the Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF, earns a solid overall rating thanks to several financially strong, dividend-focused holdings like Ameren and Alliant Energy, which show good earnings performance, growth prospects, and reasonable valuations. However, many of its top positions, including names like Evergy and CenterPoint Energy, face cash flow, debt, or bearish technical pressures that limit the fund’s upside. The main risk is its heavy tilt toward utilities and similar income-oriented stocks, which can be sensitive to interest rates and sector-specific challenges.
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has shown solid gains so far this year and in recent months, indicating positive momentum.
Resilient Top Holdings
Most of the largest positions, especially in utilities, have delivered steady to strong performance, supporting the fund’s returns.
Income-Focused Sector Mix
Heavy exposure to utilities, energy, and financials aligns with a high-dividend strategy that can appeal to income-seeking investors.
Negative Factors
Above-Average Expense Ratio
The fund’s fee is on the higher side for an ETF, which can gradually reduce net returns over time.
Sector Concentration in Utilities
A large allocation to utilities means the fund is more exposed to risks specific to that sector, such as regulatory changes or interest rate moves.
Limited Geographic Diversification
With almost all assets in U.S. stocks, the ETF offers little protection from downturns in the U.S. market.

TPHD vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TPHD Summary

TPHD, the Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF, follows the Victory US Large Cap High Dividend Volatility Weighted BRI Index and focuses on U.S. companies that pay relatively high and steady dividends. It holds many large, established businesses, especially in utilities, energy, and financials, including well-known names like AFLAC and Southern Company. Someone might consider this ETF if they want regular income from dividends and broad exposure to many dividend-paying stocks in one fund, with an added ethical screening approach. A key risk is that these stocks can still fall in value and may underperform the overall market at times.
How much will it cost me?The Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF (TPHD) has an expense ratio of 0.52%, which means you’ll pay $5.20 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than average because it is actively managed to focus on high dividend-paying stocks while aligning with ethical investment principles.
What would affect this ETF?The ETF's focus on high-dividend-paying U.S. companies, particularly in sectors like utilities and energy, could benefit from stable demand and potential growth in renewable energy investments. However, rising interest rates or economic downturns might negatively impact dividend-paying stocks, especially in sectors sensitive to borrowing costs or consumer spending. Regulatory changes in energy or utilities could also influence the ETF's performance.

TPHD Top 10 Holdings

TPHD is leaning heavily on U.S. utilities, with names like Evergy and Alliant Energy quietly powering the fund as their shares have been rising this year. Southern Co and CenterPoint Energy are also helping, though their momentum has been a bit more mixed lately. On the flip side, WEC Energy and CMS Energy have been lagging, acting like a mild headwind rather than a full-on drag. With most of its top holdings in domestic utilities and a sprinkling of financials like AFLAC, this ETF is very much a U.S. income workhorse, not a global high-flyer.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Evergy1.65%$5.62M$19.35B27.57%
62
Neutral
WEC Energy Group1.65%$5.62M$36.94B6.21%
67
Neutral
Alliant Energy1.65%$5.61M$19.10B19.82%
70
Outperform
Atmos Energy1.61%$5.47M$29.68B13.05%
66
Neutral
Ameren1.59%$5.42M$30.80B15.56%
72
Outperform
DTE Energy1.54%$5.24M$30.23B6.59%
65
Neutral
Centerpoint Energy1.54%$5.24M$28.02B14.00%
63
Neutral
AFLAC1.51%$5.14M$59.99B14.95%
68
Neutral
Southern Co1.51%$5.14M$106.59B5.48%
68
Neutral
CMS Energy1.51%$5.13M$23.02B7.01%
67
Neutral

TPHD Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
41.48
Positive
100DMA
41.18
Positive
200DMA
39.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Negative
RSI
54.95
Neutral
STOCH
86.28
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPHD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.64, equal to the 50-day MA of 41.48, and equal to the 200-day MA of 39.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.28 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TPHD.

TPHD Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$343.93M0.52%
71
Outperform
$761.74M0.45%
70
Neutral
$751.41M0.50%
72
Outperform
$236.27M0.59%
68
Neutral
$230.55M0.49%
69
Neutral
$184.43M0.35%
71
Outperform
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TPHD
Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF
41.83
5.35
14.67%
DIV
Global X SuperDividend US ETF
FDV
Federated Hermes U.S. Strategic Dividend ETF
TBG
TBG Dividend Focus ETF
ELCV
Eventide High Dividend ETF
HIDV
AB US High Dividend ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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