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TPHD - ETF AI Analysis

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TPHD

Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF (TPHD)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
TPHD, the Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF, earns a solid overall rating driven by steady, income-focused utilities and financial names like Ameren and AFLAC, which show strong financial performance, growth initiatives, and supportive earnings call commentary. However, many of its top holdings, including WEC Energy, DTE Energy, and Southern Co, face bearish technical signals and cash flow or debt challenges, and the fund’s heavy tilt toward utility-style companies creates a key risk if that sector comes under pressure.
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has delivered strong gains so far this year and in recent months, showing solid momentum.
High-Dividend Utilities Focus
A large share of the fund is in utilities and other traditionally high-dividend sectors, which can provide steady income.
Broad Spread Across Many Stocks
The top holdings each make up only a small slice of the fund, helping reduce the impact if any single company runs into trouble.
Negative Factors
Heavy U.S. Concentration
Almost all of the fund’s assets are in U.S. stocks, offering little diversification across global markets.
Sector Concentration in Utilities
A large tilt toward utilities means the fund could be more sensitive to changes in interest rates and regulation affecting that sector.
Above-Average Expense Ratio
The fund’s fees are on the higher side for an ETF, which can slightly reduce long-term returns compared with lower-cost options.

TPHD vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TPHD Summary

The Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF (TPHD) is a fund that follows the Victory US Large Cap High Dividend Volatility Weighted BRI Index, focusing on large U.S. companies that pay relatively high dividends. It mainly holds utility, industrial, and energy companies, including well-known names like AFLAC and Southern Co, which are known for steady dividend payments. Someone might invest in TPHD to seek regular income from dividends while staying mostly invested in U.S. stocks and spreading money across many companies. A key risk is that dividend-paying stocks, especially utilities and energy, can still fall in value and move up and down with the overall stock market.
How much will it cost me?The Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF (TPHD) has an expense ratio of 0.52%, which means you’ll pay $5.20 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than average because it is actively managed to focus on high dividend-paying stocks while aligning with ethical investment principles.
What would affect this ETF?The ETF's focus on high-dividend-paying U.S. companies, particularly in sectors like utilities and energy, could benefit from stable demand and potential growth in renewable energy investments. However, rising interest rates or economic downturns might negatively impact dividend-paying stocks, especially in sectors sensitive to borrowing costs or consumer spending. Regulatory changes in energy or utilities could also influence the ETF's performance.

TPHD Top 10 Holdings

TPHD is powered by a heavy tilt toward U.S. utilities, with names like Evergy, Alliant Energy, and WEC Energy acting as the fund’s steady income engines, even if their recent price action has been a bit sluggish. Southern Co and CenterPoint Energy add to that defensive backbone, offering reliable dividends while share performance has been mixed. The real spark lately comes from Union Pacific, whose rising stock has been a key driver of gains. Overall, the ETF leans domestic, dividend-rich, and utility-heavy, trading growth fireworks for dependable cash flow.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
AFLAC1.59%$5.72M$64.89B29.96%
68
Neutral
Evergy1.58%$5.68M$19.13B16.02%
62
Neutral
Alliant Energy1.54%$5.55M$18.28B8.11%
70
Outperform
WEC Energy Group1.54%$5.53M$35.64B-0.74%
67
Neutral
Ameren1.53%$5.50M$30.33B7.34%
72
Outperform
Centerpoint Energy1.47%$5.30M$27.69B8.32%
63
Neutral
DTE Energy1.47%$5.29M$29.52B2.42%
65
Neutral
Southern Co1.46%$5.27M$108.76B-0.47%
68
Neutral
Atmos Energy1.46%$5.27M$28.84B10.89%
66
Neutral
NetApp1.44%$5.17M$35.03B76.56%
76
Outperform

TPHD Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
42.27
Positive
100DMA
41.79
Positive
200DMA
40.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
RSI
STOCH
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPHD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.05, equal to the 50-day MA of 42.27, and equal to the 200-day MA of 40.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of ― indicates undefined momentum. The RSI at ― is undefined, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of ― is undefined, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TPHD.

TPHD Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$359.85M0.52%
71
Outperform
$896.02M0.50%
72
Outperform
$787.35M0.45%
69
Neutral
$260.34M0.45%
69
Neutral
$251.47M0.49%
69
Neutral
$202.64M0.35%
72
Outperform
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TPHD
Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF
43.16
5.50
14.60%
FDV
Federated Hermes U.S. Strategic Dividend ETF
DIV
Global X SuperDividend US ETF
TBG
TBG Dividend Focus ETF
ELCV
Eventide High Dividend ETF
HIDV
AB US High Dividend ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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