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SMCF - ETF AI Analysis

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SMCF

Themes US Small Cap Cash Flow Champions ETF (SMCF)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
SMCF, the Themes US Small Cap Cash Flow Champions ETF, earns a solid overall rating driven mainly by strong, cash-generative financial and insurance names like East West Bancorp, Renaissancere Holdings, Mueller Industries, and UMB Financial, which show healthy profitability, reasonable valuations, and generally positive outlooks. However, holdings such as Builders Firstsource and Sterling Infrastructure introduce some drag due to weaker recent sales trends, short-term technical pressure, and valuation concerns, and the fund’s heavy tilt toward financial and related sectors is a key risk if that part of the market faces a downturn.
Positive Factors
Solid Recent Performance
The ETF has shown steady gains over the past month, three months, and year-to-date, indicating positive recent momentum.
Strong Contributors Among Top Holdings
Several of the largest positions, such as Mueller Industries, Builders Firstsource, and Sterling Infrastructure, have delivered strong year-to-date performance that supports the fund’s returns.
Moderate Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is relatively moderate for a specialized small-cap strategy, helping investors keep more of their returns compared with higher-cost niche funds.
Negative Factors
Heavy Concentration in Financials
More than half of the portfolio is invested in financial companies, which increases the fund’s sensitivity to problems in that single sector.
Mixed Performance Among Top Holdings
Some major positions, including East West Bancorp, Fidelity National Financial, Reinsurance Group, and Renaissancere Holdings, have shown weak year-to-date performance that can drag on overall results.
Limited Size and Scale
The ETF has a relatively small asset base, which can lead to lower trading volume and potentially wider bid-ask spreads for investors.

SMCF vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SMCF Summary

SMCF is the Themes US Small Cap Cash Flow Champions ETF, which tracks the Solactive US Small Cap Cash Flow Champions Index. It invests in smaller U.S. companies that generate strong, steady cash flow, mainly in financials, industrials, and energy. Well-known holdings include Fidelity National Financial and East West Bancorp. Someone might invest in this ETF to seek long-term growth from small companies while spreading risk across many stocks and sectors. A key risk is that small-cap stocks can be more volatile than large companies, so the ETF’s value can rise and fall sharply with the market.
How much will it cost me?The Themes US Small Cap Cash Flow Champions ETF (SMCF) has an expense ratio of 0.29%, which means you’ll pay $2.90 per year for every $1,000 invested. This cost is slightly higher than average for ETFs because it is actively managed, focusing on selecting small-cap companies with strong cash flow performance. Active management typically involves more research and decision-making, which can lead to higher fees.
What would affect this ETF?The SMCF ETF, focused on U.S. small-cap companies with strong cash flow, could benefit from economic growth and increased demand in sectors like financials and industrials, which make up a significant portion of its holdings. However, rising interest rates or economic slowdowns could negatively impact small-cap stocks and sectors like consumer cyclical and energy, which are sensitive to market conditions. Regulatory changes or shifts in industry dynamics could also influence the performance of its top holdings.

SMCF Top 10 Holdings

SMCF is leaning hard into U.S. financials, with names like East West Bancorp, Reinsurance Group of America, and RenaissanceRe setting the pace as they’ve been steadily rising and giving the fund a solid backbone. Sterling Infrastructure has been a real bright spot, sprinting ahead and adding some industrial muscle. On the flip side, Fidelity National Financial and Builders FirstSource have been lagging lately, acting like a bit of a headwind. Overall, this is a U.S.-only, small-cap play with a clear tilt toward cash-generating financial and industrial workhorses.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
East West Bancorp4.77%$130.56K$14.73B26.79%
79
Outperform
Renaissancere Holdings4.62%$126.68K$12.90B22.86%
78
Outperform
Reinsurance Group4.62%$126.58K$13.53B10.92%
74
Outperform
Fidelity National Financial4.38%$119.99K$13.41B-19.68%
74
Outperform
Mueller Industries4.00%$109.69K$12.70B41.56%
78
Outperform
Sterling Infrastructure3.88%$106.28K$12.61B270.34%
71
Outperform
APA3.85%$105.36K$11.51B71.34%
73
Outperform
Builders Firstsource3.42%$93.59K$10.50B-29.97%
63
Neutral
HF Sinclair Corporation2.88%$78.78K$9.52B67.16%
68
Neutral
UMB Financial2.73%$74.90K$8.68B15.37%
77
Outperform

SMCF Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
34.60
Negative
100DMA
33.32
Positive
200DMA
31.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Positive
RSI
40.53
Neutral
STOCH
7.14
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SMCF, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.15, equal to the 50-day MA of 34.60, and equal to the 200-day MA of 31.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.14 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SMCF.

SMCF Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$2.74M0.29%
73
Outperform
$86.40M0.75%
70
Neutral
$73.04M0.18%
66
Neutral
$72.40M0.04%
66
Neutral
$58.91M0.74%
66
Neutral
$50.94M0.34%
70
Outperform
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SMCF
Themes US Small Cap Cash Flow Champions ETF
34.14
7.08
26.16%
AFSM
First Trust Active Factor Small Cap ETF
STXK
Strive 2000 ETF
BKSE
BNY Mellon US Small Cap Core Equity ETF
SYZ
Lazard US Systematic Small Cap Equity ETF
ROSC
Hartford Multifactor Small Cap ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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