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UMB Financial Corp (UMBF)
NASDAQ:UMBF

UMB Financial (UMBF) AI Stock Analysis

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UMBF

UMB Financial

(NASDAQ:UMBF)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$130.00
â–²(14.09% Upside)
UMB Financial's strong cash flow, positive technical indicators, and successful strategic initiatives drive a solid stock score. Challenges with revenue growth and acquisition expenses are offset by robust loan production and market positioning.
Positive Factors
Strong Loan Production
Record loan production indicates robust demand and effective lending strategies, supporting long-term revenue growth and market expansion.
Successful Acquisition Integration
Smooth integration of Heartland Financial enhances operational efficiency and expands market presence, providing a platform for future growth.
Fee Income Growth
Strong fee income growth reflects diversified revenue streams and effective service offerings, contributing to financial stability and profitability.
Negative Factors
Increased Acquisition Expenses
Rising acquisition expenses can strain profitability and cash flow, potentially impacting financial flexibility and future investment capacity.
Declining Revenue Growth
Negative revenue growth suggests challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could affect long-term profitability and market competitiveness.
Decreased Gross Profit Margin
A declining gross profit margin may indicate rising costs or pricing pressures, which could erode profitability if not addressed.

UMB Financial (UMBF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

UMB Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUMB Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for the UMB Bank that provides various banking and other financial services. The Commercial Banking segment provides commercial loans and credit card; commercial real estate financing; letters of credit; loan syndication, and consultative service; various business solutions including asset-based lending, accounts receivable financing, mezzanine debt, and minority equity investment; and treasury management service, such as depository service, account reconciliation, cash management tool, accounts payable and receivable solution, electronic fund transfer and automated payment, controlled disbursement, lockbox service, and remote deposit capture service. The Institutional Banking segment offers asset management and healthcare service provided to institutional client; and fund administration and accounting, investor service and transfer agency, marketing and distribution, custody, alternative investment service, fixed income sale, trading and underwriting, and corporate trust and escrow service, as well as institutional custody service. This segment also provides healthcare payment solution includes custodial service for health saving accounts and private label, multipurpose debit cards to insurance carriers, third-party administrator, software companies, employers, and financial institutions. The Personal Banking segment offers deposit account, retail credit card, private banking, installment loan, home equity line of credit, residential mortgage, and small business loan, as well as internet banking, ATM network, private banking, brokerage and insurance service, and advisory and trust service. It operates through a network of branches and offices in the states of Missouri, Kansas, Colorado, Illinois, Oklahoma, Texas, Arizona, Nebraska, Iowa, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, Indiana, Utah, Minnesota, California, and Wisconsin. The company was founded in 1913 and is headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri.
How the Company Makes MoneyUMB Financial generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns income from net interest, which is derived from the interest earned on loans and investments minus the interest paid on deposits and borrowings. Additionally, UMB generates non-interest income through service fees, asset management fees, and investment banking activities. The company also benefits from its wealth management services, where it charges fees for investment advisory services and portfolio management. Strategic partnerships with various businesses and organizations enhance UMB's service offerings and customer base, contributing to its overall earnings. Economic factors such as interest rates and market conditions also play a significant role in shaping its revenue performance.

UMB Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong quarter for UMB Financial, with significant achievements in loan production, fee income, and successful integration of Heartland Financial. Despite some challenges like increased acquisition expenses and market valuation impacts, the positive aspects and strategic growth initiatives outweighed the negatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Acquisition and Integration of Heartland Financial
Successfully completed the full systems and brand conversion of all HTLF locations. This milestone was reached early in October, which marked a smooth transition for clients and associates.
Record Loan Production and Income Growth
Quarterly top-line loan production surpassed $2 billion for the first time, with 8% linked-quarter annualized growth in both average loans and deposits.
Strong Fee Income and Trust Services Performance
Fee income increased by 12.4% on a linked-quarter basis. Trust and securities processing income saw solid contributions, with a 49% increase in new business year-to-date in the Specialty Trust and Agency Solutions team.
Positive Credit Quality Metrics
Net charge-offs on legacy UMB loans decreased to 8 basis points of average loans, down from 13 basis points in the prior quarter. Total net charge-offs were 20 basis points, remaining near or below historical averages.
Dividend Increase
Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.43 per share, representing a 7.5% increase from the prior quarter and marking the 23rd dividend increase in the past 20 years.
Negative Updates
Increased Acquisition Expenses
Third-quarter acquisition expenses increased to $35.6 million compared to $13.5 million in the second quarter.
Negative Impact from Market Valuation Changes
Fee income was negatively impacted by market valuation changes on equity positions, resulting in a negative $38 million swing in fee income sequentially due to Voyager stock price changes.
Slight Increase in Non-Performing Loans
Total non-performing loans were $132 million or 35 basis points of loans, driven by two legacy HTLF loans.
Company Guidance
In the UMB Financial Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, significant guidance was provided, highlighting several key metrics. UMB Financial reported a new record for gross loan production, surpassing $2 billion, and maintained consistent credit quality with an allowance of 1.07% of total loans. The net income available to common shareholders stood at $180.4 million, including $35.6 million in acquisition expenses. Excluding nonrecurring items, the net operating income was reported at $206.5 million or $2.70 per share. The net interest income totaled $475 million, marking a 1.7% increase from the previous quarter, driven by organic growth in average loans and earning assets. Fee income showed a strong 12.4% increase on a linked-quarter basis. Additionally, UMB Financial achieved an increase in common equity Tier 1 ratio to 10.70%, and a quarterly dividend of $0.43 per share was declared, marking a 7.5% increase from the prior quarter. The company expressed confidence in maintaining charge-off levels near or below historical averages for the remainder of the year, with total nonperforming loans at $132 million. Looking ahead, UMB Financial expects continued strong loan activity and pipeline growth in both legacy and HTLF markets.

UMB Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
UMB Financial demonstrates strong cash flow and efficient operations, with a high free cash flow to net income ratio. However, challenges include a decline in revenue growth and gross profit margin, which could impact future profitability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
UMB Financial shows a strong EBIT and EBITDA margin in the TTM, indicating efficient operations. However, the recent revenue growth rate is negative, suggesting a decline in sales. The gross profit margin has decreased significantly from previous years, which could impact profitability if not addressed.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved in the TTM, indicating better leverage management. Return on equity has decreased slightly, reflecting a potential decline in profitability. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Free cash flow has shown significant growth in the TTM, indicating strong cash generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high, demonstrating efficient cash conversion. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, which could indicate potential issues in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.04B2.64B2.24B1.58B1.24B1.30B
Gross Profit2.07B1.41B1.28B1.32B1.18B1.09B
EBITDA896.91M594.04M480.32M586.03M484.81M401.69M
Net Income607.04M441.24M350.02M431.68M353.02M286.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets71.88B50.41B44.01B38.51B42.69B33.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.37B16.33B12.68B8.69B21.23B12.84B
Total Debt3.09B3.00B3.50B2.60B3.51B2.59B
Total Liabilities64.44B46.94B40.91B35.85B39.55B30.11B
Stockholders Equity7.44B3.47B3.10B2.67B3.15B3.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow805.74M201.08M445.69M717.84M500.39M313.38M
Operating Cash Flow853.75M225.29M472.60M769.55M534.08M373.60M
Investing Cash Flow-5.20B-3.26B-1.27B-3.85B-4.24B-4.49B
Financing Cash Flow5.91B5.96B4.77B-4.58B9.42B5.95B

UMB Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price113.95
Price Trends
50DMA
111.81
Positive
100DMA
114.09
Negative
200DMA
107.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.11
Negative
RSI
57.34
Neutral
STOCH
71.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UMBF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 113.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 110.22, above the 50-day MA of 111.81, and above the 200-day MA of 107.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UMBF.

UMB Financial Risk Analysis

UMB Financial disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. UMB Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

UMB Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$8.77B13.198.26%2.52%20.72%3.63%
78
Outperform
$9.21B12.6411.69%1.47%3.58%13.93%
77
Outperform
$8.68B12.9311.06%1.43%38.81%10.38%
77
Outperform
$7.75B10.3013.05%2.49%5.87%53.36%
74
Outperform
$8.19B9.9212.71%3.14%0.12%27.30%
71
Outperform
$10.72B16.069.64%3.39%-7.07%31.09%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UMBF
UMB Financial
113.95
-9.66
-7.81%
CMA
Comerica
83.75
20.03
31.43%
ONB
Old National Bancorp Capital
22.20
-0.31
-1.38%
BPOP
Popular
116.59
22.23
23.56%
WTFC
Wintrust Financial
136.16
4.18
3.17%
ZION
Zions Bancorporation National Association
56.10
-0.77
-1.35%

UMB Financial Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
UMB Financial Announces Quarterly Dividend Amid Strong Q3 Results
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, UMB Financial Corporation announced a quarterly dividend of $0.43 per share for common stock and $193.75 per share for Series B preferred stock, payable in January 2026. The company reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with a significant increase in net income and operating income compared to the previous year, driven by record loan production and successful integration of Heartland Financial USA, Inc. The results highlight UMB’s strong market positioning and operational efficiency, benefiting stakeholders through improved financial performance and strategic growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025