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Prosperity Bancshares (PB)
NYSE:PB

Prosperity Bancshares (PB) AI Stock Analysis

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PB

Prosperity Bancshares

(NYSE:PB)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$81.00
â–²(13.48% Upside)
Prosperity Bancshares exhibits strong technical momentum and a solid valuation, supported by strategic growth initiatives such as the merger with Southwest Bancshares. Financial performance is robust, though challenges in revenue growth and cash flow need addressing. The positive earnings call sentiment and attractive dividend yield further bolster the stock's appeal.
Positive Factors
Strategic Expansion
The merger with Southwest Bancshares expands Prosperity Bancshares' operations in Texas, enhancing market presence and long-term growth prospects.
Net Income Growth
Consistent net income growth reflects strong financial performance and operational efficiency, supporting long-term profitability.
Improved Net Interest Margin
Improved net interest margins indicate effective asset-liability management, enhancing revenue generation and financial stability.
Negative Factors
Decrease in Loan Balances
A decrease in loan balances may impact interest income and reflects challenges in maintaining lending growth amidst a competitive environment.
Increase in Nonperforming Assets
Rising nonperforming assets can strain financial resources and indicate potential credit quality issues, affecting long-term asset quality.
Competitive Lending Environment
A competitive lending environment may pressure margins and limit loan growth, challenging the company's ability to expand its loan portfolio.

Prosperity Bancshares (PB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Prosperity Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionProsperity Bancshares, Inc. operates as bank holding company for the Prosperity Bank that provides financial products and services to businesses and consumers. It accepts various deposit products, such as demand, savings, money market, and time accounts, as well as and certificates of deposit. The company also offers 1-4 family residential mortgage, commercial real estate and multifamily residential, commercial and industrial, agricultural, and non-real estate agricultural loans, as well as construction, land development, and other land loans; consumer loans, including automobile, recreational vehicle, boat, home improvement, personal, and deposit account collateralized loans; and consumer durables and home equity loans, as well as loans for working capital, business expansion, and purchase of equipment and machinery. In addition, it provides internet banking, mobile banking, trust and wealth management, retail brokerage, mortgage services, and treasury management, as well as debit and credit cards. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 273 full-service banking locations comprising 65 in the Houston area, including The Woodlands; 30 in the South Texas area including Corpus Christi and Victoria; 63 in the Dallas/Fort Worth, Texas area; 22 in the East Texas area; 29 in the Central Texas area, including Austin and San Antonio; 34 in the West Texas area, including Lubbock, Midland-Odessa and Abilene; 16 in the Bryan/College Station area; 6 in the Central Oklahoma area; and 8 in the Tulsa, Oklahoma area doing business as LegacyTexas Bank. Prosperity Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is based in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyProsperity Bancshares generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and interest-earning assets, which is the largest component of its revenue model. The bank provides various types of loans, including commercial, real estate, and consumer loans, earning interest from borrowers over the life of these loans. Additionally, the company earns non-interest income through service charges on deposit accounts, fees from wealth management services, and transaction fees from its treasury management services. Significant partnerships with local businesses and a focus on community banking also contribute to its growth and earnings, enhancing customer loyalty and expanding its deposit base.

Prosperity Bancshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive outcomes with strong net income growth, improved net interest margins, and strategic expansions through mergers. However, challenges such as a decrease in loan balances, an increase in nonperforming assets, and a competitive lending environment were also highlighted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Merger Agreements and Expansion
Signed a definitive merger agreement with Southwest Bancshares Inc. and pending merger with American Bank Holding Corporation, significantly expanding operations in Texas.
Increased Dividend
Board approved increasing the fourth quarter 2025 dividend to $0.60 per share, reflecting a compound annual growth rate in dividends declared from 2003 to 2025 of 10.7%.
Net Income Growth
Reported net income of $137.6 million for Q3 2025, up from $127.3 million in Q3 2024, an increase of 8.2% in net income per diluted common share.
Improved Net Interest Margin
Net interest margin on a tax-equivalent basis rose to 3.24% for Q3 2025 from 2.95% in Q3 2024, with expectations for continued improvement over the next 24 to 36 months.
Core Deposit Growth
Deposits increased by $308 million or 1.14% annualized from Q2 2025, with no broker deposits.
Strong Operating Metrics
Annualized return on tangible equity was 13.43% and return on assets was 1.44%.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Loan Balances
Loans excluding warehouse purchase program loans decreased by $160 million or 77 basis points from Q2 2025 to Q3 2025.
Increase in Nonperforming Assets
Nonperforming assets totaled $119 million or 36 basis points of quarterly average earning assets, up from $110 million or 33 basis points in Q2 2025.
Competitive Lending Environment
Noted an extremely competitive lending environment with aggressive terms and conditions, leading to a cautious approach in participating.
Noninterest Income and Expense
Noninterest income was $41.2 million, slightly lower than $43 million in Q2 2025. Noninterest expense was $138.6 million, expected to rise slightly in Q4 2025.
Concerns with Loan Growth
Expectation for flat loan growth in Q4 2025 due to competition and elevated payoffs, with hopes for low single-digit growth in 2026.
Company Guidance
During the Prosperity Bancshares Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics and strategic initiatives were highlighted. The company reported a net income of $137.6 million for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, reflecting an increase from $127.3 million in the same period in 2024. The net income per diluted common share was $1.45, up from $1.34, representing an 8.2% increase. The net interest margin on a tax-equivalent basis improved to 3.24% from 2.95% in 2024. Prosperity Bancshares also announced a dividend increase to $0.60 per share and highlighted strong operating metrics, including a return on tangible equity of 13.43% and a return on assets of 1.44%. The company continued to focus on strategic growth through acquisitions, including the pending mergers with Southwest Bancshares Inc. and American Bank Holding Corporation. Additionally, deposits grew to $27.7 billion, and the company emphasized its commitment to maintaining strong capital and shareholder value through dividends and stock repurchases.

Prosperity Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Prosperity Bancshares demonstrates solid profitability and a strong capital structure, but faces challenges in revenue growth and cash flow conversion. The company is well-positioned in terms of leverage and equity, but needs to address declining revenue and cash flow trends to sustain long-term growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Prosperity Bancshares shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin above 65% and a net profit margin around 30% in the TTM. However, revenue growth has been negative recently, indicating potential challenges in expanding revenue streams. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41 in the TTM, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is stable but slightly declining, suggesting moderate profitability from equity investments. The equity ratio is strong, showing a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating potential issues in converting income to cash. Free cash flow growth has been negative, which could impact future investments. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains high, suggesting good cash generation relative to profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.72B1.74B1.56B1.20B1.15B1.24B
Gross Profit1.20B1.14B1.05B1.11B1.10B1.10B
EBITDA839.96M647.39M565.42M694.47M689.30M676.43M
Net Income533.01M479.39M419.32M524.52M519.30M528.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets38.33B39.57B38.55B37.69B37.83B34.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.10B12.95B896.74M880.33M3.06B1.99B
Total Debt2.59B3.42B4.03B4.13B448.10M389.58M
Total Liabilities30.67B32.13B31.47B30.99B31.41B27.93B
Stockholders Equity7.66B7.44B7.08B6.70B6.43B6.13B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow260.50M451.55M612.20M464.11M675.71M560.18M
Operating Cash Flow265.33M472.69M646.36M506.53M694.73M582.32M
Investing Cash Flow1.38B1.98B1.09B-1.96B-2.72B-1.27B
Financing Cash Flow-2.09B-940.22M-1.71B-666.75M3.23B1.46B

Prosperity Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price71.38
Price Trends
50DMA
66.53
Positive
100DMA
66.33
Positive
200DMA
67.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.61
Negative
RSI
65.80
Neutral
STOCH
50.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 71.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.54, above the 50-day MA of 66.53, and above the 200-day MA of 67.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PB.

Prosperity Bancshares Risk Analysis

Prosperity Bancshares disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Prosperity Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Prosperity Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$6.83B12.857.09%3.25%0.55%19.13%
77
Outperform
$5.64B12.5011.20%2.79%1.43%19.58%
74
Outperform
$7.32B9.8414.32%2.99%8.90%142.83%
73
Outperform
$7.54B14.209.13%1.96%-2.81%14.96%
72
Outperform
$7.95B15.709.10%2.53%14.58%-19.97%
70
Outperform
$5.48B7.8012.35%3.60%2.79%2.11%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PB
Prosperity Bancshares
71.38
-0.28
-0.39%
CADE
Cadence Bank
43.41
10.70
32.71%
OZK
Bank OZK
48.01
6.24
14.94%
BOKF
Bok Financial
119.32
13.51
12.77%
HOMB
Home Bancshares
28.70
1.36
4.97%
SNV
Synovus
52.25
4.11
8.54%

Prosperity Bancshares Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Prosperity Bancshares Announces Merger with Southwest Bancshares
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Prosperity Bancshares announced a definitive merger agreement with Southwest Bancshares, Inc., a Texas bank holding company. Under the agreement, Southwest will merge into Prosperity, with its stock converted into Prosperity shares or cash. The merger, expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, aims to expand Prosperity’s footprint in Central Texas, particularly in the San Antonio metro area, and enhance its market presence with additional branches and an experienced lending team.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025