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Prosperity Bancshares (PB)
NYSE:PB
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Prosperity Bancshares (PB) AI Stock Analysis

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PB

Prosperity Bancshares

(NYSE:PB)

Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
$74.00
â–²(9.31%Upside)
Prosperity Bancshares has a strong financial foundation with solid profitability and efficient management. The earnings call provided positive insights with growth in net income and strategic expansion plans through the merger. However, technical indicators suggest caution with current bearish trends. Valuation metrics appear reasonable, supported by a good dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Credit Quality
Credit remains pristine with 0 provisions and robust capital levels, providing management with flexibility for M&A or share repurchases.
Mergers and Acquisitions
The company has a high-quality loan portfolio and an improved backdrop for mergers and acquisitions, which are considered strengths in the current macroeconomic environment.
Net Interest Margin Expansion
Prosperity Bancshares is uniquely positioned to generate meaningful NIM expansion across any macro backdrop due to asset repricing.
Negative Factors
Loan Growth
Growth questions remain due to low-single digit loan growth guidance, limiting upside without a deal announcement.
Loan Portfolio
Loan growth remains a headwind with EOP balances down by another 1.0% Q/Q, but management was incrementally positive on the call that activity should begin to pick up.

Prosperity Bancshares (PB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Prosperity Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionProsperity Bancshares, Inc. is a financial holding company headquartered in Houston, Texas. It operates through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Prosperity Bank, providing a comprehensive range of financial products and services to individuals and businesses. The core offerings of Prosperity Bank include traditional banking services such as savings and checking accounts, commercial and consumer loans, mortgage services, wealth management, and treasury management services. The bank primarily serves the Texas and Oklahoma regions, focusing on community-oriented banking with an emphasis on customer service and local decision-making.
How the Company Makes MoneyProsperity Bancshares makes money primarily through the interest income generated from its loan portfolio, which includes commercial loans, consumer loans, and real estate lending. The bank earns interest by charging borrowers a higher rate than it pays depositors, creating a net interest margin. Additionally, the bank generates revenue through non-interest income sources, such as service charges on deposit accounts, gains from the sale of loans, wealth management and trust fees, and other banking-related fees. The bank's profitability is also supported by its strategic focus on maintaining a strong asset quality and efficient cost management, which helps optimize its operational efficiency.

Prosperity Bancshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -7.12%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook with strong net income growth and an improved net interest margin. The pending merger with American Bank is seen as a strategic move to enhance market presence. However, challenges such as a decrease in deposits and an increase in nonperforming assets were noted.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Income Growth
Net income for Q2 2025 was $135 million, an increase of $23 million or 21% compared to the same period in 2024. Earnings per share also increased by 21%.
Improved Net Interest Margin
The net interest margin on a tax-equivalent basis was 3.18% for Q2 2025, up from 2.94% for the same period in 2024.
Pending Merger with American Bank
Prosperity Bancshares entered into a definitive agreement to merge with American Bank Holding Company, enhancing presence in South and Central Texas.
Commercial Loan Growth
Core commercial loans increased by $73 million or 2.4% annualized in the second quarter.
Efficiency Ratio Improvement
The efficiency ratio improved to 44.8% for the quarter, down from 51.8% in the same period in 2024.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Deposits
Deposits decreased by $459 million or 1.6% year-over-year, and by $553 million or 2% from the previous quarter, primarily due to decreases in public fund deposits and business deposits.
Increase in Nonperforming Assets
Nonperforming assets increased to $110 million at June 30, 2025, compared to $89 million at the same time in 2024.
Loan Balance Decline
Total loans decreased by $123 million year-over-year, although there was a linked quarter increase of $219 million.
Company Guidance
During the Prosperity Bancshares Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several financial metrics and updates. Net income for the quarter ending June 30, 2025, was reported at $135 million, a 21% increase from $111 million in the same period in 2024. Earnings per diluted common share rose to $1.42 from $1.17, marking a 21% increase. Excluding one-time items, the adjusted net income was $116 million, with an adjusted earnings per share of $1.22, resulting in a 16% rise in net income and a 16.4% increase in EPS compared to 2024. The annualized return on average assets improved to 1.41%, and the return on average tangible common equity increased to 13.44%. The net interest margin on a tax-equivalent basis was 3.18%, showing a rise from 2.94% in 2024. Loans decreased by $123 million year-over-year but increased by $219 million from the previous quarter. Deposits fell by $459 million year-over-year, primarily due to seasonality and disciplined deposit pricing. Nonperforming assets rose to $110 million, with an allowance for credit losses at $346 million. The efficiency ratio improved to 44.8% from 51.8% in 2024. Additionally, the company announced a merger with American Bank Holding Company, enhancing its presence in South and Central Texas.

Prosperity Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability and efficient balance sheet management. Despite challenges in revenue growth and free cash flow generation, core operations remain robust, supported by low leverage and a strong equity position.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows a steady revenue base with a TTM gross profit margin of 67.7% and a net profit margin of 29.0%. The revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a decline from 2024 to TTM, but overall profitability remains strong due to solid EBIT and EBITDA margins.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a robust financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 and a strong equity ratio of 19.4% for TTM. The return on equity is commendable at 6.6%, indicating efficient use of shareholder funds. The company's ability to manage its liabilities is noteworthy.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals stable operating cash flow with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.94 for TTM. However, the free cash flow growth has been negative in recent periods, which could pose a future risk. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy, showing good cash generation.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.74B1.56B1.20B1.15B1.24B
Gross Profit1.14B1.05B1.11B1.10B1.10B
EBITDA647.39M565.42M694.47M689.30M676.43M
Net Income479.39M419.32M524.52M519.30M528.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets39.57B38.55B37.69B37.83B34.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.95B896.74M880.33M3.06B1.99B
Total Debt3.42B4.03B4.13B448.10M389.58M
Total Liabilities32.13B31.47B30.99B31.41B27.93B
Stockholders Equity7.44B7.08B6.70B6.43B6.13B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow451.55M612.20M464.11M675.71M560.18M
Operating Cash Flow472.69M646.36M506.53M694.73M582.32M
Investing Cash Flow1.98B1.09B-1.96B-2.72B-1.27B
Financing Cash Flow-940.22M-1.71B-666.75M3.23B1.46B

Prosperity Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price67.70
Price Trends
50DMA
70.71
Negative
100DMA
69.68
Negative
200DMA
72.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Positive
RSI
35.21
Neutral
STOCH
15.00
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 67.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 72.55, below the 50-day MA of 70.71, and below the 200-day MA of 72.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PB.

Prosperity Bancshares Risk Analysis

Prosperity Bancshares disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Prosperity Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Prosperity Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$8.89B12.8111.60%1.44%4.30%10.10%
78
Outperform
$6.82B12.799.57%2.15%-0.77%17.19%
77
Outperform
$8.14B10.3213.28%3.08%2.64%32.56%
72
Outperform
$8.20B13.588.33%1.47%20.70%5.69%
70
Neutral
$6.44B12.327.02%3.40%3.66%20.33%
68
Neutral
$8.08B14.189.32%1.00%10.19%48.39%
68
Neutral
$17.10B11.199.70%3.58%11.11%-4.55%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PB
Prosperity Bancshares
67.70
-1.86
-2.67%
BOKF
Bok Financial
105.33
3.36
3.30%
PNFP
Pinnacle Financial Partners
91.56
-3.68
-3.86%
UMBF
UMB Financial
108.12
11.53
11.94%
WTFC
Wintrust Financial
132.11
25.63
24.07%
ZION
Zions Bancorporation National Association
55.38
5.24
10.45%

Prosperity Bancshares Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Prosperity Bancshares Announces Merger with American Bank
Positive
Jul 18, 2025

On July 18, 2025, Prosperity Bancshares announced a definitive merger agreement to acquire American Bank Holding Corporation, a Texas-based bank holding company. The merger, expected to close in late 2025 or early 2026, will involve converting American’s stock into shares of Prosperity common stock, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals. This acquisition aims to enhance Prosperity’s footprint in key Texas markets, including Corpus Christi and San Antonio, and leverage American’s established wealth management business.

The most recent analyst rating on (PB) stock is a Buy with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prosperity Bancshares stock, see the PB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 25, 2025