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Prosperity Bancshares (PB)
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Prosperity Bancshares (PB) AI Stock Analysis

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PB

Prosperity Bancshares

(NYSE:PB)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$75.00
â–²(13.04% Upside)
Prosperity Bancshares' strong earnings call performance and reasonable valuation are the most significant factors driving the score. Financial performance is solid but challenged by declining revenue and cash flow trends. Technical analysis suggests limited momentum, which slightly offsets the positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Strategic Merger
The merger with American Bank Holding Company enhances market presence in Texas, potentially increasing customer base and revenue streams.
Net Interest Margin Growth
Improved net interest margin indicates better profitability from core banking operations, supporting long-term financial health.
Efficiency Ratio Improvement
A lower efficiency ratio reflects improved operational efficiency, enhancing profitability and competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
Decrease in Deposits
Declining deposits can limit the bank's ability to fund new loans and investments, potentially impacting growth and liquidity.
Increase in Nonperforming Assets
Rising nonperforming assets indicate potential credit quality issues, which could lead to higher loan loss provisions and impact profitability.
Loan Portfolio Decline
A decline in the loan portfolio suggests challenges in loan origination, which may hinder revenue growth from interest income.

Prosperity Bancshares (PB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Prosperity Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionProsperity Bancshares, Inc. operates as bank holding company for the Prosperity Bank that provides financial products and services to businesses and consumers. It accepts various deposit products, such as demand, savings, money market, and time accounts, as well as and certificates of deposit. The company also offers 1-4 family residential mortgage, commercial real estate and multifamily residential, commercial and industrial, agricultural, and non-real estate agricultural loans, as well as construction, land development, and other land loans; consumer loans, including automobile, recreational vehicle, boat, home improvement, personal, and deposit account collateralized loans; and consumer durables and home equity loans, as well as loans for working capital, business expansion, and purchase of equipment and machinery. In addition, it provides internet banking, mobile banking, trust and wealth management, retail brokerage, mortgage services, and treasury management, as well as debit and credit cards. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 273 full-service banking locations comprising 65 in the Houston area, including The Woodlands; 30 in the South Texas area including Corpus Christi and Victoria; 63 in the Dallas/Fort Worth, Texas area; 22 in the East Texas area; 29 in the Central Texas area, including Austin and San Antonio; 34 in the West Texas area, including Lubbock, Midland-Odessa and Abilene; 16 in the Bryan/College Station area; 6 in the Central Oklahoma area; and 8 in the Tulsa, Oklahoma area doing business as LegacyTexas Bank. Prosperity Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is based in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyProsperity Bancshares generates revenue primarily through net interest income, which is earned from the difference between the interest income generated by loans and the interest paid on deposits. Key revenue streams include commercial and residential loans, consumer loans, and the bank’s investment portfolio. Additionally, the company earns non-interest income through various fees associated with services such as account maintenance, transaction processing, and wealth management. Significant partnerships with local businesses and community organizations help drive customer acquisition and retention, further contributing to the bank's overall earnings.

Prosperity Bancshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment with strong financial growth, a strategic merger, and operational improvements. However, challenges include decreased deposits, increased nonperforming assets, and a decline in the loan portfolio.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Income Growth
Net income was $135 million for Q2 2025, up 21% from $111 million in Q2 2024.
Successful Merger Agreement
Prosperity Bancshares entered a definitive agreement to merge with American Bank Holding Company, enhancing its presence in South Texas and Central Texas.
Improved Return on Assets and Equity
Annualized return on average assets was 1.41% and on average tangible common equity was 13.44% for Q2 2025, compared with 1.17% and 12.34% respectively in Q2 2024.
Net Interest Margin Growth
Net interest margin on a tax equivalent basis increased to 3.18% from 2.94% in Q2 2024.
Efficiency Ratio Improvement
The efficiency ratio improved to 44.8% in Q2 2025 from 51.8% in Q2 2024.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Deposits
Deposits decreased by $459 million or 1.6% compared to Q2 2024, primarily due to decreases in public fund deposits and higher-cost deposits from recent acquisitions.
Increase in Nonperforming Assets
Nonperforming assets totaled $110 million in Q2 2025, up from $89 million in Q2 2024, with a significant portion from acquired loans.
Loan Portfolio Decline
Total loans decreased by $123 million compared to Q2 2024.
Company Guidance
During the Prosperity Bancshares second quarter 2025 earnings call, significant guidance was provided, emphasizing the company's financial performance and strategic initiatives. Net income for the quarter was reported at $135 million, a 21% increase from the previous year, with earnings per diluted common share rising to $1.42 from $1.17. The annualized return on average assets was 1.41%, and the return on average tangible common equity was 13.44%. The net interest margin, on a tax-equivalent basis, improved to 3.18% from 2.94% in the prior year. Loan growth was primarily driven by commercial loans, with a notable $220 million increase over the quarter. Deposits were down 1.6% year-over-year, reflecting typical seasonal declines. Nonperforming assets rose to $110 million, yet the allowance for credit losses remained substantial at $346 million. Guidance indicated a positive outlook for net interest margin and loan growth, with expectations for continued expansion through strategic mergers, such as the recent agreement to merge with American Bank Holding Company. The company remains open to further M&A opportunities and is focused on building core customer relationships and maintaining sound asset quality.

Prosperity Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Prosperity Bancshares demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability and efficient balance sheet management. Despite some challenges in revenue growth and free cash flow generation, the company's core operations remain robust, supported by a low leverage and strong equity position.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows a steady revenue base with a TTM gross profit margin of 67.7% and a net profit margin of 29.0%. The revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a decline from 2024 to TTM, but overall profitability remains strong due to solid EBIT and EBITDA margins.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a robust financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 and a strong equity ratio of 19.4% for TTM. The return on equity is commendable at 6.6%, indicating efficient use of shareholder funds. The company's ability to manage its liabilities is noteworthy.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals stable operating cash flow with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.94 for TTM. However, the free cash flow growth has been negative in recent periods, which could pose a future risk. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy, showing good cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.74B1.74B1.56B1.20B1.15B1.24B
Gross Profit1.19B1.14B1.05B1.11B1.10B1.10B
EBITDA826.69M647.39M565.42M694.47M689.30M676.43M
Net Income522.74M479.39M419.32M524.52M519.30M528.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets38.42B39.57B38.55B37.69B37.83B34.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.31B12.95B896.74M880.33M3.06B1.99B
Total Debt3.08B3.42B4.03B4.13B448.10M389.58M
Total Liabilities30.82B32.13B31.47B30.99B31.41B27.93B
Stockholders Equity7.60B7.44B7.08B6.70B6.43B6.13B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow322.41M451.55M612.20M464.11M675.71M560.18M
Operating Cash Flow345.15M472.69M646.36M506.53M694.73M582.32M
Investing Cash Flow1.18B1.98B1.09B-1.96B-2.72B-1.27B
Financing Cash Flow-1.73B-940.22M-1.71B-666.75M3.23B1.46B

Prosperity Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price66.35
Price Trends
50DMA
66.92
Negative
100DMA
68.56
Negative
200DMA
70.29
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.44
Negative
RSI
47.94
Neutral
STOCH
57.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 66.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 66.48, below the 50-day MA of 66.92, and below the 200-day MA of 70.29, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PB.

Prosperity Bancshares Risk Analysis

Prosperity Bancshares disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Prosperity Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Prosperity Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$5.81B8.3112.12%3.33%7.12%2.47%
77
Outperform
$5.60B12.9910.63%2.79%4.40%14.01%
75
Outperform
$6.91B13.429.08%2.86%18.01%-12.51%
75
Outperform
$7.09B13.339.10%2.05%-0.54%16.85%
72
Outperform
$6.27B12.027.02%3.50%3.65%20.33%
69
Neutral
$6.84B9.4613.97%3.16%11.52%220.78%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PB
Prosperity Bancshares
66.35
-1.57
-2.31%
CADE
Cadence Bank
37.54
7.94
26.82%
OZK
Bank OZK
50.98
11.10
27.83%
BOKF
Bok Financial
111.44
12.31
12.42%
HOMB
Home Bancshares
28.30
2.91
11.46%
SNV
Synovus
49.08
7.88
19.13%

Prosperity Bancshares Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Prosperity Bancshares Announces Merger with American Bank
Positive
Jul 18, 2025

On July 18, 2025, Prosperity Bancshares announced a definitive merger agreement to acquire American Bank Holding Corporation, a Texas-based bank holding company. The merger, expected to close in late 2025 or early 2026, will involve converting American’s stock into shares of Prosperity common stock, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals. This acquisition aims to enhance Prosperity’s footprint in key Texas markets, including Corpus Christi and San Antonio, and leverage American’s established wealth management business.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 09, 2025