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Pinnacle Financial Partners (PNFP)
NASDAQ:PNFP
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Pinnacle Financial Partners (PNFP) AI Stock Analysis

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PNFP

Pinnacle Financial Partners

(NASDAQ:PNFP)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$100.00
â–²(9.22%Upside)
Pinnacle Financial Partners shows strong financial health and a positive outlook from recent corporate developments, such as the merger with Synovus. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, which weighs down the overall score. The earnings call reflects growth potential, but macroeconomic risks remain a concern. Valuation is fair, with modest income returns.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
EPS of $1.86 topped estimates by 18 cents and consensus by 9 cents reflecting better revenues.
Loan Growth
The next 2-3 year outlook of above peer lender additions is expected to continue supporting notably above peer loan growth trend.
Negative Factors
Expense Growth
Expenses growth is likely to stay elevated, with the incentive compensation accrual up to 90% and likely more upcoming RM hires.
Revenue Guidance
The bottom line shows a revenue beat largely mitigated by weaker guidance and full valuation.

Pinnacle Financial Partners (PNFP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pinnacle Financial Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPinnacle Financial Partners, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as the bank holding company for Pinnacle Bank that provides various banking products and services in the United States. The company accepts various deposits, including savings, checking, noninterest-bearing and interest-bearing checking, money market, and certificate of deposit accounts. Its loan products include commercial loans, such as equipment and working capital loans; commercial real estate loans comprising investment properties and business loans secured by real estate; and loans to individuals consisting of secured and unsecured installment and term loans, lines of credit, residential first mortgage loans, and home equity loans and lines of credit, as well as provides credit cards for consumers and businesses. The company also offers various securities and other financial products; investment products; brokerage and investment advisory programs; and fiduciary and investment management services, such as personal trust, endowments, foundations, individual retirement accounts, pensions, and custody. In addition, it provides insurance agency services primarily in the property and casualty area; merger and acquisition advisory services; and private debt, equity and mezzanine, and other middle-market advisory services. Further, the company offers treasury management, telephone and online banking, mobile banking, debit cards, direct deposit and remote deposit capture, mobile deposit option, automated teller machine, and cash management services. It serves individuals, small to medium-sized businesses, and professional entities. As of December 31, 2020, the company operated 114 offices, including 48 in Tennessee, 36 in North Carolina, 20 in South Carolina, 9 in Virginia, and 1 in Georgia. Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyPinnacle Financial Partners generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and investment securities, as well as non-interest income from fees and service charges. The company offers a variety of lending products, including commercial and industrial loans, real estate loans, and consumer loans, which contribute significantly to its interest income. Non-interest income is derived from services such as wealth management, mortgage banking, and treasury management. Pinnacle also benefits from strategic partnerships and a robust network of financial advisors, which enhance its ability to cross-sell products and deepen client relationships, thereby boosting its overall earnings.

Pinnacle Financial Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 15, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -20.30%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong overall performance with significant growth in revenue, EPS, and strategic hiring. However, some challenges were noted, including lower than expected deposit growth and increased charge-offs. The company remains optimistic about future prospects despite macroeconomic uncertainties.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and EPS Growth
Revenue increased by 15.1% year-over-year, adjusted EPS rose by 22.7%, and tangible book value per share grew by 10.9% compared to the same quarter last year.
Loan and Deposit Growth
End-of-period loans increased by 10.7% on a linked quarter annualized basis, with core deposits growing by 13% year-over-year, significantly outpacing peers.
BHG Earnings Growth
BHG's earnings estimate for 2025 has been raised from 20% to 40% growth over 2024, driven by lower operating costs, better credit performance, and stronger production lead flow.
Strong Relationship Management
Pinnacle hired 71 revenue producers year-to-date with outstanding experience, leading to significant asset growth potential.
Negative Updates
Deposit Growth Below Expectations
Deposit growth came in at a 4.7% linked quarter annualized growth rate, which was less than anticipated.
Increased Charge-Offs
Net charge-offs increased to 20 basis points in the second quarter from 16 basis points in the first quarter.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty Impact
Clients are cautious due to macroeconomic uncertainty, impacting loan growth potential from existing customers.
Company Guidance
During the Pinnacle Financial Partners Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, CEO Terry Turner highlighted key performance metrics that illustrate the company's robust growth strategy. The firm reported a revenue increase of 15.1%, adjusted EPS growth of 22.7%, and a tangible book value per share growth of 10.9% compared to the same quarter last year. Turner emphasized the importance of these metrics, asserting they are highly correlated with share price performance. Pinnacle achieved a 7% growth in net interest income, despite challenging economic conditions and an inverted yield curve. Additionally, the company experienced a 10% earning asset growth and a remarkable 13% growth in core deposits, outperforming peers. Pinnacle's strategy focuses on a market share takeaway approach, targeting top market share leaders and capitalizing on their weaknesses. This approach has led to a 12% CAGR in hiring highly experienced revenue producers, contributing to significant balance sheet and fee income growth. Turner also noted that the average experience of newly hired associates is 18 years, enabling them to move their business quickly to Pinnacle and maintain high asset quality.

Pinnacle Financial Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pinnacle Financial Partners demonstrates strong financial health with solid profitability and efficient cash flow management. The conservative leverage and stable equity position reduce financial risk, although slight declines in some ratios indicate areas for improvement.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Pinnacle Financial Partners shows a solid financial performance with a healthy Gross Profit Margin of 50.83% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The Net Profit Margin stands at 17.17%, indicating good profitability. Revenue growth has been steady, with a 15.61% increase from 2022 to 2023 and a modest 0.27% growth in TTM. The EBIT and EBITDA margins of 20.98% and 24.57% respectively in TTM indicate strong operational efficiency, although EBIT has slightly decreased compared to previous years.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust with an improving Equity Ratio of 12.06% in TTM, showing a stable financial structure. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.39 indicates a conservative leverage position, reducing financial risk. Return on Equity is strong at 7.51%, showcasing effective equity utilization. While the overall leverage is low, the slight decrease in Stockholders' Equity from prior periods requires monitoring.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow generation is healthy, with Free Cash Flow of $584 million in TTM. However, Free Cash Flow has decreased compared to the prior period, suggesting potential fluctuations in cash generation. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is favorable at 1.39, indicating efficient conversion of income to cash. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.19 reflects good cash profitability, though it has declined slightly from previous years.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.85B2.47B1.55B1.22B1.20B
Gross Profit1.40B1.29B1.24B1.10B796.05M
EBITDA679.79M792.70M759.79M705.16M416.56M
Net Income475.06M562.15M560.74M527.32M312.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets52.59B47.96B41.97B38.47B34.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.92B6.46B4.70B8.93B7.31B
Total Debt2.53B2.77B1.08B1.46B1.89B
Total Liabilities46.16B41.92B36.45B33.16B30.03B
Stockholders Equity6.43B6.04B5.52B5.31B4.90B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow807.29M400.15M540.58M634.27M386.99M
Operating Cash Flow904.31M478.40M604.92M657.44M426.75M
Investing Cash Flow-3.67B-4.60B-6.68B-3.61B-3.57B
Financing Cash Flow3.97B5.18B3.16B3.10B6.58B

Pinnacle Financial Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price91.56
Price Trends
50DMA
109.79
Negative
100DMA
105.62
Negative
200DMA
110.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.38
Positive
RSI
23.42
Positive
STOCH
6.33
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PNFP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 91.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 113.93, below the 50-day MA of 109.79, and below the 200-day MA of 110.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.42 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.33 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PNFP.

Pinnacle Financial Partners Risk Analysis

Pinnacle Financial Partners disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pinnacle Financial Partners reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pinnacle Financial Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$8.84B12.4911.60%1.44%4.30%10.10%
78
Outperform
$8.67B14.8215.26%2.85%5.99%7.75%
76
Outperform
$8.93B13.0711.07%4.18%-7.80%15.43%
72
Outperform
$8.21B13.598.33%1.47%20.70%5.69%
72
Outperform
$9.07B10.8112.58%1.84%7.06%14.94%
68
Neutral
$7.10B12.149.32%1.00%10.19%48.39%
68
Neutral
$17.21B11.209.71%3.57%11.12%-4.52%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PNFP
Pinnacle Financial Partners
91.56
-3.68
-3.86%
CMA
Comerica
67.99
17.30
34.13%
CFR
Cullen/Frost Bankers
134.93
20.43
17.84%
UMBF
UMB Financial
108.12
11.53
11.94%
WTFC
Wintrust Financial
132.11
25.63
24.07%
WAL
Western Alliance
82.18
3.50
4.45%

Pinnacle Financial Partners Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Pinnacle Financial Partners Announces Merger with Synovus
Neutral
Jul 25, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Pinnacle Financial Partners entered into a merger agreement with Synovus Financial Corp. and Steel Newco Inc., a newly formed corporation jointly owned by both companies. This merger will result in Pinnacle and Synovus merging into Newco, with Newco continuing as the surviving entity. The merger aims to enhance the companies’ market positioning and operational capabilities, with Pinnacle Bank becoming a member of the Federal Reserve System and subsequently merging with Synovus Bank. The merger agreement includes detailed provisions for stock conversion, board composition, and executive roles, with significant implications for the leadership structure and strategic direction of the newly formed entity.

The most recent analyst rating on (PNFP) stock is a Buy with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pinnacle Financial Partners stock, see the PNFP Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Pinnacle Financial Partners Announces Merger with Synovus
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Pinnacle Financial Partners and Synovus Financial Corp. announced a merger agreement to create a new entity, Steel Newco Inc., which will become the largest bank holding company in Georgia and the largest bank in Tennessee. The merger, valued at $8.6 billion, is expected to enhance market positioning and shareholder value, with a focus on growth in the Southeast’s high-growth markets. The combined company will operate under the Pinnacle brand, with leadership from both firms, and is projected to significantly increase earnings per share by 2027. The merger is designed to maintain strong community ties and continue philanthropic efforts in the region.

The most recent analyst rating on (PNFP) stock is a Buy with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pinnacle Financial Partners stock, see the PNFP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 26, 2025