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Pinnacle Financial Partners (PNFP)
NYSE:PNFP

Pinnacle Financial Partners (PNFP) AI Stock Analysis

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PNFP

Pinnacle Financial Partners

(NYSE:PNFP)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$108.00
▲(10.06% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial performance (especially cash flow strength and healthy operating margins) despite weakening net margin and negative revenue growth. Corporate events add a positive tilt due to the completed Synovus merger and strategic scale benefits, while technical indicators are neutral and valuation is reasonable but supported by only a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strategic Merger
The merger with Synovus Financial Corp. enhances Pinnacle's market positioning and operational capabilities, creating a larger, more competitive entity.
Cash Flow Management
Robust cash flow management indicates strong cash generation capabilities, supporting long-term financial stability and investment capacity.
Balanced Leverage
A moderate debt-to-equity ratio suggests a stable capital structure, providing financial flexibility and reducing risk.
Negative Factors
Decline in Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth can impact long-term profitability and market competitiveness, necessitating strategic adjustments.
Decreased Profit Margins
Decreased profit margins may indicate rising costs or pricing pressures, affecting the company's ability to sustain profitability.
Legal Challenges in Merger
Legal challenges can delay the merger process and increase costs, potentially impacting the strategic benefits of the merger.

Pinnacle Financial Partners (PNFP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pinnacle Financial Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPinnacle Financial Partners, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as the bank holding company for Pinnacle Bank that provides various banking products and services in the United States. The company accepts various deposits, including savings, checking, noninterest-bearing and interest-bearing checking, money market, and certificate of deposit accounts. Its loan products include commercial loans, such as equipment and working capital loans; commercial real estate loans comprising investment properties and business loans secured by real estate; and loans to individuals consisting of secured and unsecured installment and term loans, lines of credit, residential first mortgage loans, and home equity loans and lines of credit, as well as provides credit cards for consumers and businesses. The company also offers various securities and other financial products; investment products; brokerage and investment advisory programs; and fiduciary and investment management services, such as personal trust, endowments, foundations, individual retirement accounts, pensions, and custody. In addition, it provides insurance agency services primarily in the property and casualty area; merger and acquisition advisory services; and private debt, equity and mezzanine, and other middle-market advisory services. Further, the company offers treasury management, telephone and online banking, mobile banking, debit cards, direct deposit and remote deposit capture, mobile deposit option, automated teller machine, and cash management services. It serves individuals, small to medium-sized businesses, and professional entities. As of December 31, 2020, the company operated 114 offices, including 48 in Tennessee, 36 in North Carolina, 20 in South Carolina, 9 in Virginia, and 1 in Georgia. Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyPinnacle Financial Partners generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns interest income from loans provided to consumers and businesses, which constitutes a significant portion of its overall revenue. Additionally, it generates non-interest income through fees associated with banking services, wealth management, and investment products. The company also benefits from service charges on deposit accounts and transaction fees. Partnerships with other financial institutions and businesses enhance its service offerings and market reach, contributing to its earnings. Overall, Pinnacle's diversified revenue model, combining interest and non-interest income, supports its financial performance.

Pinnacle Financial Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 21, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple clear strengths: double-digit EPS and revenue growth at legacy firms, healthy loan and deposit growth, successful and rapid merger close with immediate integration activities, securities repositioning that improved liquidity and reduced PAA, and an articulated path to revenue and cost synergies. Near-term headwinds were also prominent: significant merger-related and nonrecurring expenses in 2026, an expected CET1 dip to ~10% in Q1, delayed year-one cost-synergy recognition (40% vs 50%), some concentrated credit charge-offs, and margin sensitivity to rate cuts and liquidity. On balance, management provided confidence in sustainable, people-driven growth (hiring engine, revenue synergies) and concrete actions to stabilize capital and liquidity, making the positives appear to outweigh the near-term challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong EPS Growth in 2025 (Legacy Firms)
Legacy Pinnacle: adjusted diluted EPS grew 22% in 2025; Legacy Synovus: adjusted diluted EPS grew 28% in 2025. Q4 standalone: Pinnacle adjusted EPS $2.24 (stable QoQ, +18% YoY); Synovus adjusted EPS $1.45 (stable QoQ, +16% YoY).
Robust Loan and Deposit Growth
Legacy Pinnacle period-end loans +3% QoQ and +10% YoY; core deposits +3% QoQ and +10% YoY. Synovus period-end loans +2% QoQ ($872M) and +5% YoY; core deposits +2% QoQ (+$895M). Combined 2026 guidance: period-end loans $91B–$93B (+9% to +11%) and total deposits $106.5B–$108.5B (+8% to +10%).
Net Interest Income and Margin Momentum
Pinnacle NII +3% QoQ and +12% YoY; Synovus NII +2% QoQ and +7% YoY. Q4 NIMs: Pinnacle 3.27% (up 1 bp), Synovus 3.45% (up 4 bps). Combined 2026 NIM guidance 3.45%–3.55% (reflecting purchase accounting accretion and asset repricing).
Successful, Rapid Merger Close and Early Integration Progress
Merger closed Jan 1 — 160 days post-announcement. Early integration milestones achieved (shared operating rhythms, combined sales/service meetings) and immediate efforts to capture revenue synergies; management expects $100M–$130M of revenue synergies over 2–3 years and believes some benefits begin in 2026.
Securities Repositioning and Liquidity Improvements
Sold ~$4.4B and purchased ~$4.4B of securities with avg yield ~4.7% and duration ~4.25 years, supporting HQLA, reducing RWA, and eliminating ~98% of the PAA associated with the securities portfolio.
Capital Actions and Shareholder Returns Framework
Board authorized $400M common share repurchase program; quarterly common equity dividend set at $0.50 per share starting Q1 2026. CET1 targets set at 10.25%–10.75% for the combined company (acknowledging near-term CET1 impacts).
Recurring Revenue Strength and BHG Contribution
Combined adjusted noninterest revenue showing growth drivers: treasury, capital markets, wealth. BHG contributed ~$31M in fee revenue to Pinnacle in Q4; BHG expected to deliver $125M–$135M in investment income in 2026 and management expects 25%–35% growth for BHG in 2026.
Hiring Engine and Salesforce Growth
Both firms hired 41 new revenue producers in Q4, totaling ~217 revenue producers in 2025. Management targets 250 total revenue producers in 2026 and plans continued accelerated hiring to drive sustained loan/deposit growth.
Negative Updates
Near-Term Capital Pressure from Merger Marks and Expenses
Management estimates CET1 will be approximately 10% at end of Q1 2026 after valuation marks and expects $225M–$250M of first-quarter merger-related expenses, with an elevated portion of nonrecurring merger/LFI expenses (~$450M–$500M of $720M) incurred in 2026.
Delayed Cost-Synergy Recognition
Year-one cost savings recognition reduced from 50% to 40% due to accelerated deal close / systems timing; timing delay (not a reduction in total synergies) may compress near-term expense improvement.
Significant One-Time and Elevated 2026 Nonrecurring Costs
Management expects $450M–$500M of nonrecurring merger-related and LFI expense in 2026 (of a $720M total), which will weigh on near-term earnings and capital build.
Q4 Credit & Charge-Off Concentration
Pinnacle Q4 net charge-offs $27M (28 bps), with ~63% attributable to a single non-owner occupied CRE loan; Synovus Q4 net charge-offs $24M (22 bps). Management expects net charge-offs ~20–25 bps for 2026 but noted some first-quarter cleanup charge-offs may occur.
Pinnacle Adjusted Noninterest Revenue Sequential Weakness
Pinnacle adjusted noninterest revenue declined 6% QoQ in Q4, though it was +25% YoY; sequential decline highlights near-term variability in fee businesses.
Margin Headwinds from Rate Cuts and Additional Liquidity
NIM guidance (3.45%–3.55%) assumes purchase accounting benefits and asset repricing but is partially offset by increased balance sheet liquidity and potential 25 bps of Fed cuts implied by markets — creating margin uncertainty.
Spread and Pricing Pressure on New Production
Observed ~10 bps decline in production spreads vs internal transfer pricing in Q4; management noted mix and up‑market production contributed, but spread compression remains a monitoring item.
Share Repurchase Timing Uncertain
Although a $400M buyback program was authorized, management stated buybacks are unlikely in Q1 and probably not in Q2 as capital ratios rebuild (combined CET1 near 10% after marks); repurchases will be reassessed later in 2026.
Company Guidance
Management's 2026 guidance calls for period‑end loans of $91.0–$93.0 billion (up 9–11% vs pro forma YE2025) and total deposits of $106.5–$108.5 billion (up 8–10%), with adjusted revenue targeted at about $5.0 billion and a net interest margin of 3.45%–3.55%; adjusted noninterest revenue is expected to be ≈$1.1 billion (including $125–$135 million of BHG income) and adjusted noninterest expense $2.7–$2.8 billion (with ~40% or ~$100 million of annualized merger savings realized in 2026 and $450–$500 million of the $720 million nonrecurring merger/LFI expense expected this year); credit assumptions call for net charge‑offs of 20–25 bps, capital targets are a CET1 ratio of 10.25%–10.75% (with Q1 pro forma CET1 ~10% after $225–$250 million of Q1 merger expense), a quarterly common dividend of $0.50/share and a $400 million share‑repurchase authorization, a tax rate of ~20%–21%, and a recruiting goal of 250 total revenue producers in 2026 — all while executing securities repositioning (~$4.4 billion sold/$4.4 billion bought, avg yield ~4.7%, duration ~4.25 years) to reduce RWA and PAA.

Pinnacle Financial Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid overall fundamentals led by strong cash-flow metrics (FCF growth 45.06% TTM; high operating cash flow to net income at 17.77) and healthy operating profitability (EBIT margin 26.87% TTM). Offsetting factors include negative revenue growth (-6.82% TTM) and a notable drop in net margin (22.10% TTM vs 40.05% in 2022). Leverage appears moderate (debt-to-equity 0.37) with reasonable ROE (9.42% TTM).
Income Statement
75
Positive
Pinnacle Financial Partners shows a strong gross profit margin of 63.06% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 22.10% TTM from 40.05% in 2022, reflecting potential challenges in maintaining profitability. The revenue growth rate is negative at -6.82% TTM, suggesting a decline in sales compared to the previous period. Despite these challenges, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy at 26.87% and 29.79% TTM, respectively.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.37 TTM, which is moderate and indicates a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is 9.42% TTM, showing a reasonable return for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 12.25% TTM, suggesting a stable capital structure, although there is room for improvement in asset management.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Pinnacle Financial Partners demonstrates strong cash flow management with a free cash flow growth rate of 45.06% TTM, indicating robust cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 17.77 TTM, reflecting efficient conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.89 TTM, showing a solid ability to generate cash relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.82B2.85B2.47B1.55B1.22B1.20B
Gross Profit1.78B1.40B1.29B1.24B1.10B796.05M
EBITDA840.66M679.79M792.70M759.79M705.16M416.56M
Net Income623.57M475.06M562.15M560.74M527.32M312.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets55.96B52.59B47.96B41.97B38.47B34.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.68B8.92B6.46B4.70B8.93B7.31B
Total Debt2.53B2.53B2.77B1.08B1.46B1.89B
Total Liabilities49.11B46.16B41.92B36.45B33.16B30.03B
Stockholders Equity6.86B6.43B6.04B5.52B5.31B4.90B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.12B807.29M400.15M540.58M634.27M386.99M
Operating Cash Flow1.14B904.31M478.40M604.92M657.44M426.75M
Investing Cash Flow-5.12B-3.67B-4.60B-6.68B-3.61B-3.57B
Financing Cash Flow4.41B3.97B5.18B3.16B3.10B6.58B

Pinnacle Financial Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price98.13
Price Trends
50DMA
96.54
Positive
100DMA
93.37
Positive
200DMA
98.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.21
Positive
RSI
53.90
Neutral
STOCH
19.79
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PNFP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 98.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 96.77, above the 50-day MA of 96.54, and above the 200-day MA of 98.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.79 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PNFP.

Pinnacle Financial Partners Risk Analysis

Pinnacle Financial Partners disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pinnacle Financial Partners reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pinnacle Financial Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$14.38B12.089.44%0.95%7.76%49.85%
73
Outperform
$7.84B13.0315.83%1.97%12.63%14.25%
73
Outperform
$8.81B13.8914.68%3.05%2.85%20.57%
72
Outperform
$8.22B14.089.13%1.93%-2.81%14.96%
71
Outperform
$7.69B14.879.22%2.52%14.58%-19.97%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PNFP
Pinnacle Financial Partners
98.13
-24.38
-19.90%
CADE
Cadence Bank
42.11
8.23
24.29%
BOKF
Bok Financial
130.30
23.26
21.73%
CBSH
Commerce Bancshares
53.23
-9.84
-15.60%
CFR
Cullen/Frost Bankers
139.06
4.60
3.42%

Pinnacle Financial Partners Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Pinnacle Financial Partners Reports Strong Pre‑Merger Synovus Results
Positive
Jan 21, 2026

On January 21, 2026, Pinnacle Financial Partners released Synovus Financial Corp.’s fourth‑quarter and full‑year 2025 results, highlighting strong performance by both legacy institutions ahead of their merger, which closed on January 1, 2026 to create a larger regional bank with enhanced scale and capabilities. For Synovus, fourth‑quarter 2025 diluted EPS was $1.22, down slightly year over year, while adjusted diluted EPS rose to $1.45, supported by higher net interest income, loan and core deposit growth, and double‑digit increases in non‑interest revenue, though reported EPS was reduced by the surrender of $220 million in lower‑yielding bank‑owned life insurance policies. Synovus’ full‑year 2025 net income available to common shareholders climbed to $746.7 million, or $5.33 per share, with adjusted EPS of $5.69, driven by higher pre‑provision net revenue, expanding net interest margin and improved credit costs, while credit quality and capital ratios, including a Common Equity Tier 1 ratio of 11.28%, remained solid as the balance sheet was readied for integration into Pinnacle’s platform.

The most recent analyst rating on (PNFP) stock is a Buy with a $116.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pinnacle Financial Partners stock, see the PNFP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Pinnacle Financial Partners Updates Executive Pay and Noncompete Terms
Neutral
Jan 15, 2026

On January 14, 2026, Pinnacle Financial Partners amended a prior letter agreement with Chief Banking Officer Robert A. McCabe Jr. following the merger of Legacy Pinnacle into the company, keeping his total target compensation at $5,890,000 while altering its mix to a base salary of $3,465,000 and a target annual bonus of $2,426,000. On the same date, the bank entered into a restrictive covenant agreement with Harold R. Carpenter, under which he agreed not to compete with or solicit customers or employees of Pinnacle or its affiliates and to cooperate with the company from January 1, 2026, to January 1, 2027, in exchange for a $2,000,000 cash payment in two installments, subject to repayment or forfeiture if he breaches the noncompetition terms, signaling the firm’s efforts to retain key expertise and protect its franchise during a post-merger integration period.

The most recent analyst rating on (PNFP) stock is a Buy with a $109.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pinnacle Financial Partners stock, see the PNFP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDelistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
Pinnacle Financial Partners completes transformative Synovus merger
Positive
Jan 2, 2026

On January 1–2, 2026, Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc. of Tennessee and Synovus Financial Corp. of Georgia completed a merger into a new Georgia-based holding company, which adopted the Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc. name and now controls a combined bank with approximately $117.2 billion in assets, $95.7 billion in deposits and $80.4 billion in loans as of Sept. 30, 2025. The transaction created a larger regional banking platform with its holding company headquartered in Atlanta and its bank headquartered in Nashville, with more than 400 branches across nine states, dual-brand operations under the Pinnacle and Synovus names until a planned consolidation to the Pinnacle brand in early 2027, new NYSE listings for common and preferred shares under PNFP tickers, delisting and deregistration of legacy Pinnacle and Synovus securities, and a reconstituted 15-member board and leadership team drawn from both institutions, alongside detailed equity, incentive and severance arrangements for key executives and directors as the firm positions itself as a high-growth regional competitor.

The most recent analyst rating on (PNFP) stock is a Buy with a $135.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pinnacle Financial Partners stock, see the PNFP Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Pinnacle Financial Partners Announces Post-Merger Board
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Pinnacle Financial Partners and Synovus Financial Corp. announced the anticipated board of directors for their merged entity, Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc., following their merger agreement on July 24, 2025. The merger, expected to close on January 1, 2026, will see the new board composed of eight directors from Pinnacle and seven from Synovus, with M. Terry Turner serving as non-executive chair and Tim E. Bentsen as lead independent director. This strategic merger aims to leverage the combined expertise of both firms to create a high-growth regional bank, enhancing their industry positioning and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (PNFP) stock is a Buy with a $125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pinnacle Financial Partners stock, see the PNFP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Pinnacle Financial Partners Merger Receives Regulatory Approval
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Pinnacle Financial Partners and Synovus Financial Corp. entered into a merger agreement to form a new entity, Steel Newco Inc., which will operate as Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc. The merger, which includes the integration of Pinnacle Bank and Synovus Bank, received necessary regulatory approvals by November 26, 2025, with the transaction expected to close on January 1, 2026. This merger is significant for Pinnacle’s operations and market positioning, as it expands its banking capabilities and presence in the southeastern U.S., potentially impacting stakeholders positively by creating a larger, more competitive financial entity.

The most recent analyst rating on (PNFP) stock is a Buy with a $125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pinnacle Financial Partners stock, see the PNFP Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Pinnacle Financial Partners Merger with Synovus Approved
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Pinnacle Financial Partners and Synovus Financial Corp. shareholders approved the proposed merger of the two firms into Steel Newco Inc., a newly formed Georgia corporation. The merger aims to create a leading regional bank with significant growth potential in revenue and earnings per share. The merger is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, pending regulatory approvals and other customary closing conditions. The integration management teams from both firms are working on combining organizational structures and systems to ensure a smooth transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (PNFP) stock is a Hold with a $90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pinnacle Financial Partners stock, see the PNFP Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsM&A Transactions
Pinnacle Financial Faces Legal Challenges in Merger
Negative
Oct 28, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc. entered into a merger agreement with Synovus Financial Corp. and Steel Newco Inc., aiming to merge into a single entity named Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc. The merger, approved by the boards of all involved companies, will result in Pinnacle Bank becoming a member of the Federal Reserve System and merging with Synovus Bank. However, the merger faces legal challenges, with lawsuits filed alleging disclosure deficiencies in the joint proxy statement/prospectus. Despite these challenges, Pinnacle and Synovus are supplementing disclosures to avoid delays and minimize litigation risks.

The most recent analyst rating on (PNFP) stock is a Buy with a $118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pinnacle Financial Partners stock, see the PNFP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 22, 2026