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Western Alliance (WAL)
NYSE:WAL
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Western Alliance (WAL) AI Stock Analysis

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WAL

Western Alliance

(NYSE:WAL)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$92.00
â–²(0.72% Upside)
Western Alliance's strong earnings performance and attractive valuation are key strengths, while challenges in cash flow management and leverage present risks. The positive technical indicators and strategic leadership changes further support a favorable outlook.
Positive Factors
Earnings
NII results came in ahead of estimates and guidance has been revised higher.
Growth Potential
Risk/reward is seen as positively skewed given capital positioning, superior growth/return potential, potential lift to valuation from a pick-up in bank M&A activity, and a strong management team.
Valuation
The discount valuation looks particularly attractive given the forecast which implies ~18% average annual EPS growth for 2025 and 2026, or nearly twice peer average.
Negative Factors
Expenses
Higher expense guidance has been issued, which offsets some of the positive impact of NII results.
Investor Sentiment
Persistent concerns tied to credit reserves, potential headwinds to management’s loan/deposit growth target, and fading hopes for a mortgage rebound could continue to weigh on investor sentiment.
Loan and Deposit Growth
Loan and deposit growth were slower than expected, missing the estimates.

Western Alliance (WAL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Western Alliance Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWestern Alliance Bancorporation operates as the bank holding company for Western Alliance Bank that provides various banking products and related services primarily in Arizona, California, and Nevada. It operates in Commercial, Consumer Related, and Corporate & Other segments. The company offers deposit products, including checking, savings, and money market accounts, as well as fixed-rate and fixed maturity certificates of deposit accounts; and treasury management and residential mortgage products and services. It also offers commercial and industrial loan products, such as working capital lines of credit, loans to technology companies, inventory and accounts receivable lines, mortgage warehouse lines, equipment loans and leases, and other commercial loans; commercial real estate loans, which are secured by multi-family residential properties, professional offices, industrial facilities, retail centers, hotels, and other commercial properties; construction and land development loans for single family and multi-family residential projects, industrial/warehouse properties, office buildings, retail centers, medical office facilities, and residential lot developments; and consumer loans. In addition, the company provides other financial services, such as internet banking, wire transfers, electronic bill payment and presentment, lock box services, courier, and cash management services. Further, it holds certain investment securities, municipal and non-profit loans, and leases; invests primarily in low-income housing tax credits and small business investment corporations; and holds certain real estate loans and related securities. The company operates 36 branch locations, as well as loan production offices. Western Alliance Bancorporation was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyWestern Alliance generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and fees associated with its banking services. The company’s key revenue streams include net interest income, which is earned from the interest differential between the loans it provides to customers and the interest it pays on deposits. Additionally, Western Alliance earns non-interest income from service charges on deposit accounts, transaction fees, and various ancillary services offered to clients. The bank also benefits from strategic partnerships with businesses and organizations that enhance its service offerings, enabling it to attract and retain a diverse customer base, further contributing to its earnings.

Western Alliance Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 17, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial quarter for Western Alliance Bancorporation, with significant loan and deposit growth, improved profitability metrics, and positive asset quality trends. Despite some increases in noninterest expenses and provisions, the overall performance and outlook updates are positive.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Loan and Deposit Growth
Western Alliance reported over $1 billion of sequential loan growth for the second straight quarter, funded by nearly $2 billion of quarterly deposit growth.
Net Interest Margin Improvement
Net interest margin rose 6 basis points sequentially, rebounding back above 3.5% due to robust average earning asset growth and CD repricing.
Increased Profitability Metrics
Return on average tangible common equity was 14.9% and return on average assets was 1.1%, both notably higher from the previous quarter.
Strong Financial Results
Net interest income grew 7.2% quarter-over-quarter, and noninterest income rose 16.4% quarter-over-quarter.
Positive Asset Quality Trends
Criticized loans declined by $118 million, and other real estate owned increased with a positive impact on financial results.
Updated Growth Projections
The company raised its net interest income outlook to 8% to 10% growth and noninterest income outlook to 8% to 10% growth.
Negative Updates
Higher Noninterest Expenses
Noninterest expense increased by $14 million from the prior quarter, mostly from seasonal rebound in deposits.
Increase in Other Real Estate Owned
Other real estate owned increased by $167 million, as the company elected to repossess office properties.
Provision Expense
Provision expense of $40 million was required, resulting from organic loan growth and a replenishment of approximately $30 million of net charge-offs.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Western Alliance Bancorporation exceeded expectations with robust financial performance driven by strong momentum across various metrics. The bank achieved over $1 billion in sequential loan growth for the second consecutive quarter, supported by nearly $2 billion in quarterly deposit growth. Net interest margin improved by 6 basis points to over 3.5%, benefiting from average earning asset growth and CD repricing. Asset quality showed resilience, with criticized loans decreasing by $118 million from Q1, while other real estate owned increased by $167 million due to strategic repossessions. The bank's liquidity and capital base remained strong, with a return on average tangible common equity of 14.9% and return on average assets of 1.1%. Looking ahead, Western Alliance reiterated its 2025 guidance, forecasting $5 billion in loan growth and $8 billion in deposit growth, alongside 8% to 10% growth in net interest income and noninterest income for the year.

Western Alliance Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Western Alliance shows strong revenue and profitability growth, yet faces challenges with cash flow management and high leverage. While profitability remains robust, improving cash flow and reducing leverage are crucial for sustained stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Western Alliance shows a steady increase in total revenue and gross profit over the years. The gross profit margin is consistently strong, and the EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate solid operational efficiency. However, a declining net profit margin suggests rising costs or other financial pressures.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, indicating a higher reliance on debt financing, which poses leverage risk. However, the return on equity is robust, demonstrating effective utilization of shareholders' capital. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The company faces challenges with negative free cash flow and operating cash flow, signaling potential liquidity issues. Despite this, the free cash flow to net income ratio reflects some resilience in cash management amidst fluctuating cash flows.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.12B5.08B4.32B3.02B2.06B1.33B
Gross Profit3.05B3.02B2.56B2.47B1.97B1.12B
EBITDA1.13B1.11B1.02B1.39B1.17B657.10M
Net Income809.40M787.70M722.40M1.06B899.20M506.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets83.04B80.93B70.86B67.73B55.98B36.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.01B8.53B12.74B8.13B6.71B7.38B
Total Debt5.20B6.63B8.30B7.38B2.54B649.60M
Total Liabilities75.83B74.23B64.78B62.38B51.02B33.05B
Stockholders Equity6.92B6.71B6.08B5.36B4.96B3.41B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.17B-2.83B-442.90M2.10B-2.72B643.40M
Operating Cash Flow-4.09B-2.74B-328.60M2.25B-2.65B670.20M
Investing Cash Flow-3.91B-5.97B-2.16B-13.13B-14.71B-7.54B
Financing Cash Flow7.73B11.23B3.02B11.41B15.21B9.10B

Western Alliance Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price91.34
Price Trends
50DMA
82.38
Positive
100DMA
77.06
Positive
200DMA
80.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.69
Negative
RSI
70.67
Negative
STOCH
93.44
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WAL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 91.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 84.74, above the 50-day MA of 82.38, and above the 200-day MA of 80.22, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.67 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.44 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WAL.

Western Alliance Risk Analysis

Western Alliance disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Western Alliance reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Western Alliance Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$9.16B12.9311.60%1.43%4.74%10.10%
79
Outperform
$10.46B12.549.34%2.54%4.73%7.12%
78
Outperform
$9.23B13.9510.05%1.29%30.40%12.40%
77
Outperform
$10.40B15.288.19%2.19%21.10%7.74%
77
Outperform
$9.07B13.4611.07%4.02%-8.62%15.37%
72
Outperform
$9.82B11.7012.58%1.66%7.14%14.94%
68
Neutral
$18.05B11.7310.24%3.73%9.66%1.70%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WAL
Western Alliance
91.34
14.01
18.12%
CMA
Comerica
70.60
18.32
35.04%
UMBF
UMB Financial
123.63
25.26
25.68%
WBS
Webster Financial
62.92
20.71
49.06%
WTFC
Wintrust Financial
139.81
38.05
37.39%
SSB
SouthState Corporation
103.55
12.31
13.49%

Western Alliance Corporate Events

Dividends
Western Alliance Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Western Alliance Bancorporation’s Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.38 per share of common stock, payable on August 29, 2025, to shareholders recorded by August 14, 2025. Additionally, a quarterly cash dividend of $106.25 per share on its 4.250% Fixed Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series A, was announced, payable on September 30, 2025, to shareholders recorded by September 15, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (WAL) stock is a Buy with a $106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Western Alliance stock, see the WAL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Western Alliance Announces New CFO Appointment
Positive
Jul 17, 2025

On July 14, 2025, Western Alliance Bancorporation announced a leadership transition, appointing Vishal Idnani as the new Chief Financial Officer effective January 2, 2026. Idnani, with extensive experience from J.P. Morgan, will replace Dale Gibbons, who will move to a new role focusing on deposit initiatives and innovation. This transition aims to enhance the company’s strategic initiatives and maintain its strong financial performance. Gibbons, having significantly contributed to the company’s growth and success, will continue to play a vital role in its future strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (WAL) stock is a Buy with a $100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Western Alliance stock, see the WAL Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Western Alliance Concludes Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 11, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Western Alliance held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where 91.9% of the company’s shares were voted. During the meeting, all thirteen director nominees were elected, executive compensation was approved on a non-binding basis, and RSM US LLP was ratified as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (WAL) stock is a Buy with a $100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Western Alliance stock, see the WAL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 13, 2025