tiprankstipranks
Webster Financial (WBS)
NYSE:WBS

Webster Financial (WBS) AI Stock Analysis

323 Followers

Top Page

WBS

Webster Financial

(NYSE:WBS)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$81.00
â–²(12.41% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong revenue/profitability and improved leverage) and supportive technical momentum. Valuation is reasonable with a modest dividend, while the earnings call reinforced steady growth, capital return, and improving credit. The pending Santander acquisition adds a positive catalyst, though cash-flow volatility and competitive deposit/expense pressures remain key watch items.
Positive Factors
Strong profitability and returns
Sustained high ROTCE and improving ROA reflect efficient use of capital and underlying earnings power. This level of profitability supports ongoing share repurchases, dividend capacity and internal investment, giving the bank durable capacity to fund growth and absorb shocks over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile cash generation
A sharp FCF decline and low operating cash conversion make funding and reinvestment less predictable. This volatility constrains discretionary actions, increases sensitivity to one-off items and reduces the margin for error when credit stress or higher funding costs materialize over coming quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong profitability and returns
Sustained high ROTCE and improving ROA reflect efficient use of capital and underlying earnings power. This level of profitability supports ongoing share repurchases, dividend capacity and internal investment, giving the bank durable capacity to fund growth and absorb shocks over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Webster Financial (WBS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Webster Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Webster Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Webster Bank, National Association that provides a range of banking, investment, and financial services to individuals, families, and businesses in the United States. It operat...
How the Company Makes Money
Webster Financial generates revenue primarily through interest income and non-interest income. Interest income is derived from loans and leases, which include personal loans, commercial loans, and mortgages. The interest earned on these financial ...

Webster Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 23, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall the call conveyed a positive operational and financial performance profile: solid full-year profitability and capital generation, diversified loan growth, improving credit metrics, and strategic investments in growth verticals. Headwinds include elevated deposit competition, some near-term expense pressure from investments, GAAP adjustments in the quarter, and two remaining concentrated problem loan pools (office and health care) that are being actively managed. Management provided conservative but constructive guidance for 2026 with capital return optionality intact.
Positive Updates
Strong Profitability and Returns
Full-year 2025 ROTCE of 17% and ROA of 1.2%; EPS increased 10% year-over-year, indicating improved profitability and shareholder value.
Negative Updates
Quarterly GAAP Adjustments Reduced Reported Earnings
Q4 had adjustments that reduced pretax income by $8M and after-tax income by $6M; excluding adjustments, adjusted PPNR was down $4.9M QoQ, highlighting some volatility between GAAP and adjusted results.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Profitability and Returns
Full-year 2025 ROTCE of 17% and ROA of 1.2%; EPS increased 10% year-over-year, indicating improved profitability and shareholder value.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided to 2026 loan growth of 5%–7% and deposit growth of 4%–6%, with midpoint revenue of $3.0 billion and GAAP net interest income of $2.57–2.63 billion (assuming two 25 bp Fed cuts), fees of $390–410 million and expenses of $1.46–1.48 billion (a few percentage points above Q4 adjusted levels); management expects a roughly flat full‑year NIM in the mid‑3.30% range (exit/December NIM 3.35%) and modeled a ~30% deposit beta. They reaffirmed a strong capital posture (CET1 ~11.2% today, near‑term target ~11%, long‑term target 10.5%), continued share repurchases (10.9 million shares repurchased in 2025, 3.6 million in Q4), and projected HSA Bank could add $1.0–2.5 billion of deposits over five years (including $50–100 million in 2026); recent operating metrics cited included Q4 assets up $880 million (1%), loans up $1.5 billion (2.8%) and +7.8% year, deposits +0.9% Q/Q (+6% year), ROTCE 17%, ROA 1.2%, EPS +10% YoY, tangible book value +13% YoY ($37.20 vs. $36.42), charge‑offs ~35 bps, allowance down $9 million Q/Q, NPAs down 8% and commercial classified loans down 7%.

Webster Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue expansion and solid profitability (2025 net margin ~23%) with improved leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.45) and better returns (ROE ~10.6%). The main offset is cash-flow volatility, including a sharp free-cash-flow decline in 2025 and low operating cash flow relative to revenue.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.42B4.17B3.94B2.72B1.26B
Gross Profit2.69B2.36B2.50B2.19B1.28B
EBITDA1.26B1.09B1.16B879.78M575.37M
Net Income1.00B768.71M867.84M644.28M408.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets84.07B79.03B74.95B71.28B34.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.35B2.08B10.68B8.73B4.70B
Total Debt4.32B3.36B3.87B7.69B1.39B
Total Liabilities74.58B69.89B66.26B63.22B31.48B
Stockholders Equity9.49B9.13B8.69B8.06B3.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.01B1.37B938.35M1.31B672.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.06B1.40B978.65M1.34B688.59M
Investing Cash Flow-4.75B-3.87B-2.60B-7.19B-2.41B
Financing Cash Flow4.06B2.82B2.49B6.23B1.91B

Webster Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price72.06
Price Trends
50DMA
70.28
Positive
100DMA
66.35
Positive
200DMA
62.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.63
Negative
RSI
62.70
Neutral
STOCH
94.41
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WBS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 72.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.51, above the 50-day MA of 70.28, and above the 200-day MA of 62.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.41 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WBS.

Webster Financial Risk Analysis

Webster Financial disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Webster Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Webster Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$9.58B9.509.00%2.38%33.87%12.26%
74
Outperform
$11.57B10.0610.70%2.49%4.78%21.68%
74
Outperform
$9.82B11.3711.71%1.40%3.58%13.93%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$9.15B12.439.63%1.37%38.81%10.38%
62
Neutral
$8.37B7.9613.33%1.80%6.30%25.28%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WBS
Webster Financial
72.06
28.91
67.01%
UMBF
UMB Financial
120.46
31.31
35.13%
WTFC
Wintrust Financial
147.23
45.87
45.25%
WAL
Western Alliance
77.12
12.30
18.98%
SSB
SouthState Corporation
97.80
15.97
19.52%

Webster Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Webster Financial to Be Acquired by Banco Santander
Positive
Feb 6, 2026
On February 3, 2026, Webster Financial Corporation entered into a transaction agreement under which Banco Santander will acquire Webster through a two-step structure: Webster will first merge into a Virginia-incorporated wholly owned Webster subsi...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Webster Financial to be acquired by Banco Santander
Positive
Feb 3, 2026
On February 3, 2026, Webster Financial Corporation announced it has entered into a definitive merger agreement under which Spain-based Banco Santander will acquire Webster in a cash-and-stock deal valued at approximately $12.3 billion, based on Sa...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Webster Financial Posts Strong Fourth-Quarter 2025 Results
Positive
Jan 23, 2026
On January 23, 2026, Webster Financial reported strong fourth-quarter 2025 results, posting net income applicable to common stockholders of $248.7 million, or $1.55 per diluted share, up from $171.8 million, or $1.01 per share, a year earlier, wit...
Executive/Board Changes
Webster Financial Appoints New Chief Accounting Officer
Positive
Jan 9, 2026
On January 6, 2026, Webster Financial Corporation appointed Kristen Antonopoulos as Chief Accounting Officer, replacing Gregory S. Madar in that role while he continues as Senior Managing Director, Corporate Controller of Webster Bank. Antonopoulo...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026