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Webster Financial (WBS)
NYSE:WBS

Webster Financial (WBS) AI Stock Analysis

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WBS

Webster Financial

(NYSE:WBS)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$74.00
â–²(17.09% Upside)
WBS scores well on core financial performance and a constructive technical trend, supported by reasonable valuation. The biggest constraints are cash-flow softness and banking headwinds noted on the earnings call (net interest margin compression, higher expenses, and a flat near-term NII outlook).
Positive Factors
Profitability
Sustained high net and EBIT margins demonstrate persistent operating efficiency and pricing power in core lending and fee businesses. This margin profile provides a durable earnings buffer through credit cycles and funds reinvestment, dividend capacity, and strategic initiatives.
Capital Generation & Returns
Strong returns on tangible equity and asset base, plus tangible book growth and executed share repurchases, indicate disciplined capital allocation. This enhances long-term shareholder value while preserving capacity to fund growth, investments, or buffer credit losses when needed.
Structural Deposit Tailwind (HSA)
Expected legislative expansion of the HSA addressable market is a multi-year, low-cost deposit growth opportunity for HSA Bank. Incremental core deposits strengthen funding stability, reduce wholesale funding reliance, and support sustainable loan growth and net interest income over time.
Negative Factors
Net Interest Margin Pressure
Ongoing NIM compression reflects tightening loan-deposit spreads and competitive funding pressures. With management signaling lower near-term NIM and flat NII, sustained margin pressure could constrain medium-term earnings power and limit the bank's ability to grow ROA and ROE.
Weak Free Cash Flow Momentum
A material decline in FCF growth reduces internal funding available for capital reinvestment, acquisitions, or shareholder distributions. Even with high FCF-to-net-income, deteriorating FCF momentum raises concern about funding flexibility and resilience under stress or rising capital needs.
Rising Noninterest Expenses
Rising operating costs, including higher incentive accruals, erode operating leverage and offset revenue gains. Combined with only limited improvement in nonperforming assets, higher expense trends can pressure margins and reduce the room to absorb future credit costs or invest in growth initiatives.

Webster Financial (WBS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Webster Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWebster Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Webster Bank, National Association that provides a range of banking, investment, and financial services to individuals, families, and businesses in the United States. It operates through three segments: Commercial Banking, HSA Bank, and Retail Banking. The Commercial Banking segment provides lending, deposit, and cash management services; commercial and industrial lending and leasing, commercial real estate lending, equipment financing, and asset-based lending, as well as treasury and payment services; wealth management solutions to business owners, operators, and consumers; and trust, asset management, financial planning, insurance, retirement, and investment products. The HSA Bank segment offers health savings accounts, health reimbursement arrangements, flexible spending accounts, and commuter services that are distributed directly to employers and individual consumers, as well as through national and regional insurance carriers, consultants, and financial advisors. The Retail Banking segment provides deposit and fee-based services, residential mortgages, home equity lines, secured and unsecured loans, and credit cards to consumers. The company also offers online and mobile banking services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 130 banking centers and 251 ATMs. The company was founded in 1935 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyWebster Financial generates revenue primarily through interest income and non-interest income. Interest income is derived from loans and leases, which include personal loans, commercial loans, and mortgages. The interest earned on these financial products constitutes a significant portion of the company's earnings. Additionally, Webster Financial earns non-interest income from service fees, asset management fees, and trading activities. The bank may also benefit from strategic partnerships and collaborations with other financial institutions or technology firms that enhance its service offerings and expand its customer base. Overall, the company’s diversified revenue streams and focus on core banking activities contribute to its financial performance.

Webster Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Webster Financial Corporation presented a strong financial performance with growth in key areas such as loans, deposits, and capital generation while facing challenges in maintaining net interest margins and managing expenses. The company is optimistic about future opportunities, especially in HSA Bank and the Marathon joint venture.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Webster Financial Corporation reported a return on tangible common equity of 18%, ROA of nearly 1.3%, and growth in both loans and deposits of over 2% linked quarter. Overall revenue grew 2.3% over the prior quarter.
Capital Generation and Share Repurchase
Webster repurchased 2.2 million shares, or 1.4% of the outstanding shares at the end of Q2. Tangible book value grew 3.7% over the prior quarter.
Positive Asset Quality Trends
Criticized loans were down over 7% with non-accrual loans essentially flat. Charge-offs of 28 basis points remain near the bottom of the normalized range.
Growth in HSA Bank Opportunities
New legislation is expected to increase the addressable market for HSA accounts, potentially driving $1 billion to $2.5 billion in incremental deposit growth over the next five years.
Successful Start to Marathon Joint Venture
The private credit joint venture with Marathon Asset Management is now fully operational with positive early returns and significant pipeline opportunities.
Negative Updates
Narrowing Net Interest Margin
Net interest margin was down four basis points from the prior quarter to 3.4%, reflecting organic spread compression.
Higher Noninterest Expenses
Reported noninterest expenses of $357 million, up $11 million linked quarter, primarily due to an $8 million increase in incentive accruals.
Outlook for Lower Q4 NII
Webster expects net interest income to be flat in Q4, with lower quarterly NIM and seasonal outflows affecting deposits.
Limited Improvement in Nonperforming Assets
While criticized loans decreased, nonperforming assets showed limited improvement, remaining a focus for resolution.
Company Guidance
During the Third Quarter 2025 earnings call, Webster Financial Corporation provided several key financial metrics and insights into their strategic positioning and future outlook. The company reported a return on tangible common equity of 18% and a return on assets (ROA) of nearly 1.3%. They achieved over 2% growth in both loans and deposits compared to the previous quarter, with overall revenue increasing by 2.3%. Webster also repurchased 2.2 million shares, representing 1.4% of outstanding shares, and saw tangible book value grow by 3.7%. The provision for credit losses was $44 million, which was a slight decrease from the previous quarter, even as they incorporated more conservative macroeconomic forecasts into their loan loss reserve modeling. Webster highlighted a diverse and robust loan growth across all portfolios and noted a reduction in criticized loans by over 7%, with non-accrual loans remaining stable. Looking ahead, the company anticipates benefiting from macroeconomic tailwinds in the banking industry, with loan growth opportunities expected to continue, particularly in segments like healthcare financial services and commercial lending.

Webster Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Webster Financial shows strong revenue growth and profitability, with a solid balance sheet and efficient operations. However, the decline in free cash flow growth and slight increase in leverage are concerns.
Income Statement
Webster Financial demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 1.58% and consistent profitability, as evidenced by a solid net profit margin of 21.32% and an EBIT margin of 27.58%. The company has maintained healthy gross and EBITDA margins, indicating efficient operations. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin over time suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13 in the TTM period, indicating prudent financial management. The return on equity is robust at 9.96%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio has slightly decreased, suggesting increased leverage compared to previous years.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 30.16% in the TTM period, which could be a concern for future liquidity. Despite this, the company maintains a high free cash flow to net income ratio of 96.63%, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential volatility in cash flow generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.34B4.17B3.94B2.72B1.26B1.29B
Gross Profit2.58B2.36B2.50B2.19B1.28B1.04B
EBITDA1.27B1.09B1.16B879.78M575.37M323.15M
Net Income924.75M768.71M867.84M644.28M408.86M220.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets83.19B79.03B74.95B71.28B34.92B32.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.06B2.08B10.68B8.73B4.70B3.59B
Total Debt3.91B3.36B3.87B7.69B1.39B1.88B
Total Liabilities73.73B69.89B66.26B63.22B31.48B29.36B
Stockholders Equity9.46B9.13B8.69B8.06B3.44B3.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.59B1.37B938.35M1.31B672.00M359.27M
Operating Cash Flow1.63B1.40B978.65M1.34B688.59M380.55M
Investing Cash Flow-4.22B-3.87B-2.60B-7.19B-2.41B-2.29B
Financing Cash Flow2.46B2.82B2.49B6.23B1.91B1.91B

Webster Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price63.20
Price Trends
50DMA
60.90
Positive
100DMA
60.00
Positive
200DMA
56.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.90
Positive
RSI
49.17
Neutral
STOCH
53.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WBS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 63.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 64.33, above the 50-day MA of 60.90, and above the 200-day MA of 56.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.90 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for WBS.

Webster Financial Risk Analysis

Webster Financial disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Webster Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Webster Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$9.82B13.419.32%2.38%33.87%12.26%
78
Outperform
$9.77B13.4111.69%1.40%3.58%13.93%
77
Outperform
$9.23B13.7511.06%1.37%38.81%10.38%
76
Outperform
$10.45B12.069.80%2.49%4.78%21.68%
71
Outperform
$9.92B11.1412.79%1.80%6.30%25.28%
69
Neutral
$11.69B17.519.64%3.21%-7.07%31.09%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WBS
Webster Financial
63.20
8.34
15.20%
CMA
Comerica
90.26
29.90
49.52%
UMBF
UMB Financial
118.98
3.77
3.27%
WTFC
Wintrust Financial
143.61
15.35
11.97%
WAL
Western Alliance
87.46
5.44
6.63%
SSB
SouthState Corporation
96.89
1.91
2.01%

Webster Financial Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Webster Financial Appoints New Chief Accounting Officer
Positive
Jan 9, 2026

On January 6, 2026, Webster Financial Corporation appointed Kristen Antonopoulos as Chief Accounting Officer, replacing Gregory S. Madar in that role while he continues as Senior Managing Director, Corporate Controller of Webster Bank. Antonopoulos brings more than 20 years of finance and accounting experience, including nearly two decades at American Express, and will join Webster’s executive compensation and benefits programs under standard corporate agreements that include change-in-control and non-competition provisions, underscoring the company’s focus on strengthening its senior financial leadership and governance framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (WBS) stock is a Buy with a $72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Webster Financial stock, see the WBS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Webster Financial Adjusts Compensation for CFO Neal Holland
Neutral
Oct 24, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Webster Financial Corporation’s Board of Directors approved compensation adjustments for Senior Executive Vice President and CFO Neal Holland. The adjustments include a $500,000 grant of restricted stock and revised salary and incentive targets, recognizing his contributions to the company’s strategic plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (WBS) stock is a Buy with a $68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Webster Financial stock, see the WBS Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Webster Financial Reports Record Q3 2025 Earnings
Positive
Oct 17, 2025

Webster Financial Corporation reported a significant increase in net income for the third quarter of 2025, with earnings per share rising to $1.54 from $1.10 in the same period in 2024. The company’s revenue reached $732.6 million, and it saw growth in both loans and deposits. Despite a slight decrease in net interest margin, Webster’s strategic positioning allowed it to achieve record quarterly earnings per share on its 90th anniversary. The company also maintained strong asset quality and capital ratios, reflecting its robust financial health and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (WBS) stock is a Buy with a $68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Webster Financial stock, see the WBS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 10, 2026