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Webster Financial (WBS)
NYSE:WBS

Webster Financial (WBS) AI Stock Analysis

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Webster Financial

(NYSE:WBS)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$65.00
â–²(12.53%Upside)
Webster Financial's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. The company is well-valued with promising growth prospects, but faces challenges from increased credit loss provisions and economic uncertainties. Technical momentum is robust, although caution is advised due to nearing overbought conditions.
Positive Factors
Earnings
4Q24 was a high quality earnings beat versus expectations, with operating EPS beating consensus on higher net interest income and fees.
Net Interest Income
Webster reported a solid quarter highlighted by strong NII results and an encouraging 4Q NII guide.
Securities Repositioning
Webster completed a $665 million securities repositioning during the quarter, generating a 300 basis point yield improvement.
Negative Factors
Asset Quality
Asset quality metrics deteriorated further in 4Q24, with nonperforming and commercial classified loans increasing.
Deposit Growth
Deposit growth for 4Q24 was guided to decline 1% sequentially, below prior estimates of a 1% increase.
Nonperforming Loans
Nonperforming and classified loans increased further in 3Q24.

Webster Financial (WBS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Webster Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWebster Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Webster Bank, National Association that provides a range of banking, investment, and financial services to individuals, families, and businesses in the United States. It operates through three segments: Commercial Banking, HSA Bank, and Retail Banking. The Commercial Banking segment provides lending, deposit, and cash management services; commercial and industrial lending and leasing, commercial real estate lending, equipment financing, and asset-based lending, as well as treasury and payment services; wealth management solutions to business owners, operators, and consumers; and trust, asset management, financial planning, insurance, retirement, and investment products. The HSA Bank segment offers health savings accounts, health reimbursement arrangements, flexible spending accounts, and commuter services that are distributed directly to employers and individual consumers, as well as through national and regional insurance carriers, consultants, and financial advisors. The Retail Banking segment provides deposit and fee-based services, residential mortgages, home equity lines, secured and unsecured loans, and credit cards to consumers. The company also offers online and mobile banking services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 130 banking centers and 251 ATMs. The company was founded in 1935 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyWebster Financial makes money primarily through the interest income generated from its lending activities, including personal loans, commercial loans, and mortgages. The bank earns interest on the loans and mortgages it provides to individuals and businesses, which constitutes a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, Webster Financial generates non-interest income through fees and service charges associated with its banking services, including account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and wealth management advisory fees. The company also benefits from investments made with customer deposits, further contributing to its earnings. Strategic partnerships and community banking initiatives enhance its market presence and customer acquisition, supporting its overall revenue model.

Webster Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 23.47%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Webster Financial Corporation demonstrated solid operational performance with growth in deposits and loans, and improvements in net interest margin. However, economic uncertainty and increased provisions for credit losses present significant challenges. Overall, the highlights are balanced with the lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Loan and Deposit Growth
Deposit growth was consistent at 1.3% with significant contributions from core deposits. Loan growth was 1%, outpacing the market with notable contributions across business lines and loan categories.
Net Interest Margin Improvement
Net interest margin (NIM) increased by four basis points to 3.48%, despite a challenging interest rate environment, and the efficiency ratio was maintained at 45.8%.
Share Repurchases Highlight Capital Strength
Webster repurchased 3,600,000 shares during the quarter, reflecting confidence in the company's capital position.
Strong Capital and Liquidity Position
The tangible book value per common share increased over 3% from the last quarter to $33.97, and the loan-to-deposit ratio remained favorable at 81%.
Negative Updates
Increased Provision for Credit Losses
Provision for credit losses increased notably by $78 million due to a higher recession case probability, impacting net income which was down $24 million from the prior quarter.
Rising Nonperforming Assets
Nonperforming assets rose by 22%, largely attributed to healthcare and office portfolios, indicating potential challenges in these sectors.
Decline in Noninterest Income
Noninterest income fell by $7 million compared to the previous quarter, due in part to the absence of a unique transaction that contributed to the previous quarter's income.
Market Volatility and Economic Uncertainty
The macroeconomic environment remains uncertain, with potential impacts from tariffs and a cautious outlook on economic activity, delaying client investments.
Company Guidance
During Webster Financial Corporation's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance and performance metrics. Key highlights included a 1.3% growth in deposits, robust core deposit growth, and a loan-to-deposit ratio of 81%, which offers significant flexibility. The net interest margin (NIM) expanded by four basis points to 3.48%, while the efficiency ratio stood at a strong 45.8%, indicating high profitability. Reported earnings per share (EPS) were $1.30, with a return on assets (ROA) of 1.15% and a return on tangible common equity (ROATC) just below 16%. Webster repurchased 3.6 million shares during the quarter, reflecting confidence in its financial position. The company's allowance for credit losses increased due to a higher recession probability, resulting in a $20 million addition to provisions, which they deemed prudent amidst economic uncertainties. Despite market volatility, the company maintained its full-year 2025 outlook, assuming a stable operating environment.

Webster Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Webster Financial shows solid profitability with a net profit margin of 18.6% and a stable gross profit margin of 56.6%. Revenue growth is positive at 5.68%, but operational costs have increased as indicated by a declining EBIT margin. The balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42, and cash flow management is robust with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.61.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Webster Financial shows a stable performance with a Gross Profit Margin of 56.6% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating efficient cost management. The Net Profit Margin is healthy at 18.6%, reflecting strong profitability. Revenue has grown by 5.68% compared to the previous year, showcasing positive growth. However, the EBIT Margin has slightly declined to 24.2%, which may indicate rising operational costs.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio stands at 0.42, which is relatively low, suggesting prudent leverage management. Return on Equity is solid at 8.47%, indicating effective use of equity to generate income. The Equity Ratio of 11.46% showcases a balanced approach to asset financing, though there is room for strengthening the equity base to enhance financial stability.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
Webster Financial demonstrates robust cash flow management, with Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio at 1.61, indicating strong cash generation relative to profits. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is commendable at 1.56, reflecting effective capital expenditure management. While Free Cash Flow growth is slightly negative at -11.10%, the overall cash flow position remains healthy.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.19B4.17B3.94B2.72B1.26B1.29B
Gross Profit2.37B2.36B2.50B2.19B1.28B1.04B
EBITDA1.09B1.09B1.16B879.78M575.37M323.15M
Net Income779.30M768.71M867.84M644.28M408.86M220.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets80.28B79.03B74.95B71.28B34.92B32.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.52B2.08B10.68B8.73B4.70B3.59B
Total Debt3.90B3.36B3.87B7.69B1.39B1.88B
Total Liabilities71.08B69.89B66.26B63.22B31.48B29.36B
Stockholders Equity9.20B9.13B8.69B8.06B3.44B3.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.22B1.37B938.35M1.31B672.00M359.27M
Operating Cash Flow1.26B1.40B978.65M1.34B688.59M380.55M
Investing Cash Flow-3.26B-3.87B-2.60B-7.19B-2.41B-2.29B
Financing Cash Flow2.97B2.82B2.49B6.23B1.91B1.91B

Webster Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price57.76
Price Trends
50DMA
51.50
Positive
100DMA
51.23
Positive
200DMA
52.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.24
Negative
RSI
71.27
Negative
STOCH
91.72
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WBS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 57.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.50, above the 50-day MA of 51.50, and above the 200-day MA of 52.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.27 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.72 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WBS.

Webster Financial Risk Analysis

Webster Financial disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Webster Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Webster Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
WBWBS
79
Outperform
$9.56B12.798.59%2.81%2.69%-9.07%
CFCFR
78
Outperform
$8.52B14.5515.26%3.02%5.99%7.75%
75
Outperform
$8.86B18.477.77%0.84%8.08%-11.31%
74
Outperform
$8.50B15.8116.82%1.73%-4.27%17.70%
WAWAL
74
Outperform
$8.95B11.1312.36%1.88%11.01%6.63%
CMCMA
72
Outperform
$8.01B11.5511.11%4.66%-9.81%5.22%
67
Neutral
$16.86B11.649.71%3.83%11.61%-9.60%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WBS
Webster Financial
57.76
16.01
38.35%
CMA
Comerica
62.35
14.77
31.04%
CBSH
Commerce Bancshares
63.98
12.46
24.18%
CFR
Cullen/Frost Bankers
134.47
39.61
41.76%
PNFP
Pinnacle Financial Partners
117.00
40.52
52.98%
WAL
Western Alliance
84.18
22.35
36.15%

Webster Financial Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Webster Financial Appoints New Board Member and CRO
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

On June 25, 2025, Webster Financial Corporation announced the appointment of Frederick J. Crawford to its Board of Directors, effective July 1, 2025, expanding the board from 12 to 13 members. Crawford, recognized as an independent director and financial expert, will serve on the Audit and Risk Committees. Additionally, Jason E. Schugel was appointed as Chief Risk Officer and Executive Vice President, effective July 14, 2025, succeeding Daniel Bley, who will retire but remain temporarily in an advisory role. Schugel brings extensive experience in risk management from his previous role at Ally Bank. These appointments are expected to enhance Webster’s strategic capabilities and governance as it continues to grow and navigate the regulatory landscape.

The most recent analyst rating on (WBS) stock is a Buy with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Webster Financial stock, see the WBS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Webster Financial Concludes Successful Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Webster Financial Corporation held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where 89.7% of shares were represented. During the meeting, stockholders elected twelve directors for one-year terms, approved executive compensation on a non-binding basis, and ratified KPMG LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (WBS) stock is a Buy with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Webster Financial stock, see the WBS Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Webster Financial Reports Strong Q1 2025 Earnings
Positive
Apr 24, 2025

Webster Financial Corporation reported a net income of $220.4 million, or $1.30 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2025, reflecting an increase from the previous year’s first quarter. The company experienced growth in loans and deposits, with a revenue of $704.8 million and a net interest margin of 3.48 percent. Despite market volatility, Webster increased its allowance for credit losses to prepare for potential economic uncertainties. The company’s commercial banking segment reported $40.8 billion in loans and leases, highlighting its strong position in the financial services industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 02, 2025