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Bok Financial Corp. (BOKF)
NASDAQ:BOKF

Bok Financial (BOKF) AI Stock Analysis

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BOKF

Bok Financial

(NASDAQ:BOKF)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$129.00
â–²(7.52% Upside)
Bok Financial's overall stock score reflects its solid financial performance, positive technical indicators, and strategic corporate events. The company's strong profitability, cash flow generation, and strategic focus on diverse revenue streams are significant strengths. While the valuation is reasonable, the recent revenue decline and approaching overbought technical indicators warrant cautious optimism.
Positive Factors
Diversified Revenue Streams
BOK Financial's focus on diverse revenue streams, including fee income and a strong deposit franchise, supports long-term stability and adaptability to market changes.
Strong Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash flow growth enhances financial flexibility, allowing BOK Financial to invest in growth opportunities and manage economic downturns effectively.
Improved Leverage Management
Improved leverage management reduces financial risk, ensuring a stable balance sheet and supporting long-term operational sustainability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A notable revenue decline poses challenges for growth, potentially impacting long-term profitability and market competitiveness if not addressed.
Rising Operating Expenses
Increased operating expenses can pressure margins, potentially affecting profitability and limiting resources for strategic investments.
Subordinated Notes Offering
Issuing subordinated notes increases debt, which may elevate financial risk and interest obligations, impacting future cash flow and financial flexibility.

Bok Financial (BOKF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bok Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBOK Financial Corporation operates as the financial holding company for BOKF, NA that provides various financial products and services in Oklahoma, Texas, New Mexico, Northwest Arkansas, Colorado, Arizona, and Kansas/Missouri. It operates through three segments: Commercial Banking, Consumer Banking, and Wealth Management. The Commercial Banking segment offers lending, treasury, cash management, and customer commodity risk management products for small businesses, middle market, and larger commercial customers, as well as operates TransFund electronic funds transfer network. The Consumer Banking segment provides lending and deposit services to small business customers through consumer branch network; and engages in the mortgage loan origination and servicing activities. The Wealth Management segment offers fiduciary, private bank, insurance, and investment advisory services; and brokerage and trading services primarily related to providing liquidity to the mortgage markets through trading of U.S. government agency mortgage-backed securities and related derivative contracts, as well as underwrites state and municipal securities. The company also provides commercial loans, such as loans for working capital, facilities acquisition or expansion, purchases of equipment, and other needs of commercial customers; and service, healthcare, manufacturing, wholesale/retail, energy, and other sector loans. In addition, it offers commercial real estate loans for the construction of buildings or other enhancements to real estate and property held by borrowers for investment purposes; and residential mortgage and personal loans. Further, the company provides automated teller machine (ATM), call center, and Internet and mobile banking services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 2,593 TransFund ATM locations. The company was founded in 1910 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
How the Company Makes MoneyBOK Financial generates revenue through multiple key streams. The primary source of income comes from net interest income, which is earned from the difference between the interest charged on loans and the interest paid on deposits. Additionally, the company earns non-interest income through fees for services such as wealth management, investment advisory, and mortgage origination. BOKF also benefits from its strong commercial banking segment, which provides business loans and treasury management services to businesses. Strategic partnerships with technology providers enhance its digital banking services, contributing to customer retention and acquisition. Overall, the company's diversified portfolio allows it to adapt to market changes and maintain a steady revenue flow.

Bok Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 21, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook with significant achievements in loan growth, fee income, and net interest income growth. Although there were challenges such as a decrease in the specialty lending portfolio and increased expenses, the overall robust financial performance, excellent credit quality, and strategic initiatives like the new mortgage finance business indicate a strong future outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings and EPS
Reported earnings of $140 million or EPS of $2.19 per diluted share for the second quarter, indicating strong financial performance.
Loan Growth Momentum
Total outstanding loans grew 2.5% quarter-over-quarter, with expectations for continued growth in the future.
Fee Income Increase
Fee income increased by 7.2% sequentially, with broad-based growth across fee income businesses.
Net Interest Income Growth
Net interest income grew for the fifth consecutive quarter, with margin expansion continuing.
Robust Capital Levels
Strong capital levels with TCE reaching 9.6% and CET1 reaching 13.6%.
Record Revenue in Multiple Business Segments
Fiduciary and asset management, transaction card, and deposit service charges posted record revenues.
Positive Outlook for Mortgage Finance Business
Launch of new mortgage finance line with strong expected growth, supported by an experienced team and solid pipeline.
Excellent Credit Quality
Credit quality remains excellent with minimal net charge-offs and a well-reserved credit allowance.
Negative Updates
Decreased Specialty Lending Portfolio
The specialty lending portfolio decreased by 1.6%, with a contraction in the energy portfolio by 4.4%.
Increase in Non-Personnel Expenses
Total expenses increased by $7 million, primarily due to increased technology project costs and operational losses.
Spread Compression in C&I Loans
Some spread compression observed in core C&I loans due to increased competition.
Company Guidance
During BOK Financial Corporation's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, forward guidance emphasized continued momentum across various financial metrics. The firm reported earnings of $140 million with an EPS of $2.19 per diluted share, noting a reacceleration in loan growth, particularly within the commercial real estate (CRE) and core commercial and industrial (C&I) portfolios. Total outstanding loans grew by 2.5% for the quarter, and net interest income increased for the fifth consecutive quarter. Fee income also saw a sequential rise of 7.2%, driven by normalized trading activities and record results in several fee income lines, including fiduciary and asset management. The company's loan-to-deposit ratio stood at 64%, with capital levels remaining robust as TCE and CET1 reached 9.6% and 13.6%, respectively. Credit quality metrics were strong, with nonperforming assets reduced to $74 million and net charge-offs remaining minimal. The firm projected sustained loan growth throughout the remainder of 2025, supported by the launch of a new mortgage finance business and a continued focus on optimizing deposit pricing.

Bok Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bok Financial demonstrates a solid financial performance with strong profitability and cash flow generation. Despite recent revenue challenges, the company maintains healthy margins and a stable balance sheet with improved leverage. The significant growth in free cash flow is a positive indicator of financial health. However, the recent revenue decline warrants attention to ensure sustainable growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Bok Financial's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data reveals a significant revenue decline of 20.4%, indicating potential challenges in maintaining growth. However, the company maintains a healthy net profit margin of 16.5% and an EBIT margin of 21.2%, reflecting operational efficiency. The historical data shows fluctuating revenue growth rates, with a notable increase in 2023. Overall, while profitability remains strong, the recent revenue decline is a concern.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Bok Financial indicates a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.70 in the TTM, showing a decrease from previous years, which suggests improved leverage management. The return on equity (ROE) is consistent at around 9.2%, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's equity position appears solid relative to its assets. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a stable financial structure with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Bok Financial's cash flow statement shows a strong free cash flow growth of 74.8% in the TTM, highlighting improved cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.97, indicating effective conversion of income into cash. Historical data shows fluctuations in operating cash flow, but the recent improvement is a positive sign. Overall, the cash flow position is robust, with significant growth in free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.24B3.36B3.05B2.00B1.83B2.05B
Gross Profit1.99B1.92B1.93B1.79B1.87B1.67B
EBITDA797.13M771.95M793.14M767.72M898.57M662.88M
Net Income536.84M523.57M530.75M520.27M618.12M435.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets50.19B49.69B49.82B47.79B50.25B46.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.61B14.29B13.63B12.90B16.00B14.23B
Total Debt4.21B4.45B8.96B7.14B2.49B3.82B
Total Liabilities44.17B44.13B44.68B43.10B44.88B41.38B
Stockholders Equity6.02B5.55B5.14B4.68B5.36B5.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.49B1.26B66.18M5.12B-3.69B-416.26M
Operating Cash Flow1.52B1.43B66.18M5.12B-3.69B-416.26M
Investing Cash Flow-921.23M-477.23M-1.79B-4.60B2.60B-2.46B
Financing Cash Flow-647.28M-866.79M1.67B-1.95B2.75B2.80B

Bok Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price119.98
Price Trends
50DMA
110.44
Positive
100DMA
109.37
Positive
200DMA
102.81
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.83
Negative
RSI
67.81
Neutral
STOCH
69.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BOKF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 119.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 116.19, above the 50-day MA of 110.44, and above the 200-day MA of 102.81, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.83 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BOKF.

Bok Financial Risk Analysis

Bok Financial disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bok Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bok Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$6.78B12.767.09%3.28%0.55%19.13%
74
Outperform
$7.31B9.8314.32%2.96%8.90%142.83%
73
Outperform
$7.59B14.299.13%1.95%-2.81%14.96%
73
Outperform
$7.81B12.789.44%0.95%7.76%49.85%
72
Outperform
$7.98B15.779.10%2.52%14.58%-19.97%
70
Outperform
$5.36B7.6312.35%3.68%2.79%2.11%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BOKF
Bok Financial
119.98
12.69
11.83%
CADE
Cadence Bank
43.69
10.68
32.35%
OZK
Bank OZK
47.28
5.12
12.14%
PNFP
Pinnacle Financial Partners
100.64
-10.50
-9.45%
PB
Prosperity Bancshares
71.40
-1.07
-1.48%
SNV
Synovus
52.64
3.85
7.89%

Bok Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
BOK Financial Highlights Strategic Focus in Presentation
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, BOK Financial Corporation released an investor presentation on its website, highlighting its strategic focus on long-term value creation and diverse revenue streams. The presentation emphasized the company’s robust fee income businesses, strong core deposit franchise, and disciplined loan portfolio management, positioning it favorably in the financial services industry.

Private Placements and Financing
BOK Financial Prices $400M Subordinated Notes Offering
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, BOKF, NA, a subsidiary of BOK Financial Corporation, successfully priced $400 million in 6.108% Fixed-Rate Reset Subordinated Notes due 2040. The offering, exempt from registration under the Securities Act of 1933, is expected to settle on November 6, 2025, and the proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes, with the Notes expected to be treated as Tier II regulatory capital.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
BOK Financial Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Oct 20, 2025

BOK Financial Corporation reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with a net income of $141 million, or $2.22 per share. The company experienced growth in net interest income, fees, and commissions revenue, and saw a significant increase in loans and deposits. Operating expenses rose due to higher personnel costs, but credit quality improved with a decline in nonperforming assets. The company’s capital ratios remained robust, and it repurchased shares during the quarter. CEO Stacy Kymes highlighted the company’s solid loan growth, improved net interest margin, and momentum in fee-based businesses, positioning BOK Financial for continued success.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025