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Bank Ozk (OZK)
NASDAQ:OZK
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Bank OZK (OZK) AI Stock Analysis

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OZK

Bank OZK

(NASDAQ:OZK)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$58.00
â–²(19.02% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/14/26
The score is driven mainly by solid financial quality (conservative balance sheet and steady ROE) and attractive valuation (low P/E with a ~3.9% yield). Offsetting factors include weaker recent revenue/cash-flow momentum, only modest technical strength, and earnings-call risks around RESG credit concentrations and elevated near-term expenses despite constructive NII/CIB growth drivers.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet & steady ROE
Bank OZK's low leverage and a consistently healthy ROE provide a durable capital buffer that supports lending, securities deployment and loss absorption. This conservative structure underpins earnings quality and reduces refinancing and solvency risk over the next several quarters, enabling disciplined growth.
Negative Factors
RESG concentration and OREO exposure
Credit stress concentrated in a few RESG credits and a substantial OREO stock create idiosyncratic loss and disposal risk. Resolution timing and valuation uncertainty for land, office and life‑science assets could pressure reserves, capital and earnings if workouts or market outcomes extend beyond current expectations.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet & steady ROE
Bank OZK's low leverage and a consistently healthy ROE provide a durable capital buffer that supports lending, securities deployment and loss absorption. This conservative structure underpins earnings quality and reduces refinancing and solvency risk over the next several quarters, enabling disciplined growth.
Read all positive factors

Bank OZK (OZK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bank OZK Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Bank OZK is a financial institution offering a comprehensive range of banking services to both retail and commercial clients. Its deposit offerings encompass a wide array of account types, such as demand deposit accounts (both interest and non-int...
How the Company Makes Money
Bank OZK primarily makes money through net interest income and, to a lesser extent, noninterest income. Net interest income is earned from the spread between (1) interest and fee income generated on interest-earning assets—principally loans (inclu...

Bank OZK Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 21, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a constructive growth story led by a fast-expanding and increasingly diversified CIB franchise, supportive security purchases that should lift NII, disciplined deposit management and generally resilient credit in core portfolios. Counterbalancing that optimism are concentrated RESG stresses (notably five loans and ~$150M of OREO), modest increases in criticized/NPA balances, pricing pressure in specific loan sublines, and near-term expense build from the CIB ramp. On balance the company highlighted multiple concrete growth drivers and several manageable credit/operational challenges.
Positive Updates
CIB Strong Growth and Diversification
Corporate & Institutional Banking (CIB) produced robust growth this quarter with nearly two dozen new relationships and upsized nearly a dozen legacy relationships; the franchise is diversified across ~42 industry niches, and CIB headcount expanded materially (discussed as rising from 18 to 97), positioning CIB as the primary growth engine into 2027.
Negative Updates
RESG Concentration of Stress
RESG continues to show headwinds in specific property types—land, office and life science—with five RESG loans accounting for the vast majority of past-due and nonaccrual balances; some additional classified asset inflows are expected as sponsors work through these credits.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
CIB Strong Growth and Diversification
Corporate & Institutional Banking (CIB) produced robust growth this quarter with nearly two dozen new relationships and upsized nearly a dozen legacy relationships; the franchise is diversified across ~42 industry niches, and CIB headcount expanded materially (discussed as rising from 18 to 97), positioning CIB as the primary growth engine into 2027.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management gave targeted, metric‑driven guidance: they deployed excess liquidity into investments (≈40% muni housing bonds, 60% agency MBS) with muni tax‑equivalent yields ≈6% and agency MBS yields ≈4.6%, and guided a securities balance of roughly $460–$470 million for next quarter to help NII; reported NIM of about 4.20% and said the securities purchases should lift NII in Q1–Q2. Full‑year net charge‑off guidance is around 50 basis points, the efficiency ratio is expected to remain in the high‑30s (roughly 39% this year), average deposit balances are about $52,000 (supporting just under $2 billion of deposit growth over the last year), and CIB metrics include a 14–15% pull‑through on more mature businesses while management passes on ~80–85% of deals, with >97% of CIB relationships being direct/single‑lender and >95% of syndications having the bank in a leading role; indirect lending is ~13% of the portfolio (up from ~12%), and portfolio monitoring remains active (50% of RESG commitments appraised in the last 4 quarters, 92% in the last 8), with five RESG credits accounting for the bulk of past‑due/nonaccruals and management expecting a few additional but limited inflows to criticized/substandard categories as they work toward resolutions.

Bank OZK Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are solid, led by a strong balance sheet (low leverage and steady ~11%–13% ROE) and healthy profitability, but the recent TTM revenue decline and weakening/volatile free-cash-flow momentum temper the outlook.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
64
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.80B2.81B2.77B2.25B1.38B1.19B
Gross Profit1.56B1.56B1.48B1.40B1.17B1.18B
EBITDA1.02B1.06B1.02B930.80M777.05M796.05M
Net Income706.88M715.48M716.46M690.78M564.14M579.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets41.66B40.79B38.26B34.24B27.66B26.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.70B0.003.35B5.39B4.53B5.97B
Total Debt813.88M463.58M883.04M1.27B1.08B1.23B
Total Liabilities35.51B34.66B32.55B29.10B22.97B21.69B
Stockholders Equity6.16B6.13B5.71B5.14B4.69B4.84B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow701.44M731.73M738.85M852.41M735.09M494.28M
Operating Cash Flow807.92M837.73M834.47M881.55M764.95M528.20M
Investing Cash Flow-2.95B-2.34B-3.25B-5.53B-2.43B140.21M
Financing Cash Flow1.46B1.56B3.05B5.77B644.92M-1.01B

Bank OZK Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price48.73
Price Trends
50DMA
48.33
Positive
100DMA
47.40
Positive
200DMA
47.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.98
Negative
RSI
63.12
Neutral
STOCH
86.55
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OZK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 48.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 49.08, above the 50-day MA of 48.33, and above the 200-day MA of 47.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.55 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OZK.

Bank OZK Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$6.64B11.268.77%2.73%3.99%27.92%
73
Outperform
$5.91B8.0011.63%3.68%0.67%0.52%
72
Outperform
$5.69B11.4611.29%2.85%0.57%15.88%
71
Outperform
$6.50B24.066.83%2.89%18.22%14.79%
69
Neutral
$6.29B12.419.26%3.77%10.93%32.14%
69
Neutral
$8.11B12.118.49%3.69%-0.22%62.53%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OZK
Bank OZK
51.13
7.90
18.28%
FNB
F.N.B.
18.29
4.94
37.03%
GBCI
Glacier Bancorp
49.33
9.46
23.73%
HOMB
Home Bancshares
27.83
1.02
3.80%
UBSI
United Bankshares
44.86
11.19
33.24%
VLY
Valley National Bancorp
14.29
5.97
71.73%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 14, 2026