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F.N.B. Corp (FNB)
NYSE:FNB

F.N.B. (FNB) AI Stock Analysis

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FNB

F.N.B.

(NYSE:FNB)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$19.00
â–²(8.26% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong growth and profitability with some margin/cash-conversion and rising-debt cautions) and attractive valuation (low P/E with a supportive dividend yield). Earnings-call tone and guidance were positive but tempered by rate-sensitivity and near-term loan/expense pressures, while technicals are broadly neutral.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Profitability Growth
Sustained top-line and operating earnings growth indicate durable demand across FNB’s diversified banking, wealth and fee businesses. Consistent revenue expansion supports reinvestment in tech, margin resilience, and capital returns, underpinning multi-quarter strategic execution.
Net Interest Income and Margin
A structurally strong NII and expanding NIM demonstrate the bank’s ability to manage asset-liability spread and deposit pricing over cycles. Durable NII is the core earnings engine for regional banks, supporting profitability even as fee streams fluctuate and enabling funding for growth and capital.
Capital Base and Asset Quality
Healthy capital ratios combined with very low NPLs and high coverage indicate strong loss-absorbing capacity and conservative underwriting. This structural strength supports regulatory flexibility, disciplined lending, and the ability to sustain dividends or buybacks through moderate stress periods.
Negative Factors
Rising Debt Levels
Although current debt-to-equity is manageable, an upward trend in leverage reduces financial flexibility and raises interest expense sensitivity. Over several quarters this can constrain capital allocation, limit buybacks/dividends and amplify downside if earnings or margins weaken.
Weak Cash Conversion
Low conversion of reported earnings into operating cash suggests earnings quality or timing differences and creates structural risk to liquidity. Over months this can limit internally generated funding for loan growth, tech investments, or shareholder returns without increasing external financing.
Rate and Loan-Volume Sensitivity
Business guidance closely tied to assumed Fed moves and noted loan payoffs/secondary market exits create structural earnings and margin risk. If rate or loan trends diverge, NII, provisions and loan growth could underperform, requiring sustained origination to offset attrition.

F.N.B. (FNB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

F.N.B. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionF.N.B. Corporation, a financial holding company, provides a range of financial services primarily to consumers, corporations, governments, and small- to medium-sized businesses. The company operates through three segments: Community Banking, Wealth Management, and Insurance. It offers commercial banking solutions, including corporate and small business banking, investment real estate financing, business credit, capital market, and lease financing services. The company also provides consumer banking products and services, such as deposit products, mortgage and consumer lending services, and mobile and online banking services; and wealth management services comprising personal and corporate fiduciary services comprising administration of decedent and trust estates; securities brokerage and investment advisory services, mutual funds, and annuities; and commercial and personal insurance, and reinsurance products, as well as mezzanine financing options for small- to medium-sized businesses. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 334 banking offices in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Maryland, West Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Washington, D.C., and Virginia. F.N.B. Corporation was founded in 1864 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyF.N.B. generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income is net interest income, which comes from the difference between the interest earned on loans and the interest paid on deposits. Additionally, the company earns non-interest income from fees associated with its banking services, such as account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and wealth management services. FNB also engages in mortgage banking activities, which contribute to its earnings through origination and servicing fees. Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and businesses enhance its service offerings and expand its customer base, further driving revenue growth.

F.N.B. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 20, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong positive momentum: record annual revenue, earnings, net interest income, margin expansion, improved capital metrics, robust deposit growth, and solid asset quality with high coverage ratios. Management highlighted digital and AI investments, expected cost savings and positive guidance for 2026 (mid-single-digit loan/deposit growth, modest margin improvement, and targeted efficiency improvement to low 50s). Lowlights were largely tactical or one-time (mortgage portfolio transfer, discrete charitable and impairment items), sensitivity to assumed Fed rate cuts, and near-term loan balance pressure from payoffs and secondary market exits. Overall, the highlights materially outweigh the lowlights, leaving a constructive outlook but with execution and macro risks to monitor.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Annual Revenue and Earnings
Full year 2025 operating revenue of $1.8 billion, operating net income available to common shareholders of $577 million, and operating EPS of $1.59 (full-year operating EPS grew 14% year-over-year).
Strong Q4 Operating Results
Fourth quarter operating net income available to common shareholders of $181.8 million ($0.50 per diluted share) and record total revenues for the quarter of nearly $458 million, up 12.4% on an operating basis year-over-year.
Record Net Interest Income and Margin Expansion
Q4 net interest income of $365.4 million (record), up 1.7% linked quarter and 13.4% year-over-year; net interest margin of 3.28%, up 3 basis points linked quarter and up 24 basis points year-over-year.
Improved Capital and Book Value
Total assets exceeded $50 billion for the first time; CET1 ratio of 11.4%, tangible common equity ratio of 8.9%, and tangible book value per share of $11.87, an increase of 13.2% year-over-year.
Strong Asset Quality Metrics and Coverage
Total delinquency 71 bps (up 6 bps sequentially), NPLs and OREO at a multiyear low of 31 bps (down 6 bps), net charge-offs 19 bps for Q4 and 20 bps for the year; ending fund reserve $440 million (1.26%, 1 bp up sequentially) and NPL coverage at 438% inclusive of discounts.
Fee Income and Wealth Momentum
Operating noninterest income of $92.3 million, up 8.8% year-over-year; Wealth Management revenues grew 15% from 2024 levels and seven fee-based businesses reached all-time highs for the full year.
Deposit Growth and Improved Loan-to-Deposit Ratio
Q4 average deposits $38.6 billion, up $740 million (7.7% linked-quarter annualized); average noninterest-bearing deposits exceeded $10 billion (up 4.5% linked-quarter annualized); loan-to-deposit ratio improved to 89.7% (sub-90%).
Efficiency and Cost Management Progress
Fourth quarter efficiency ratio improved to 53.8%, 307 basis points better than Q4 2024; ongoing disciplined expense management has delivered $10–$20 million annual cost savings since 2019 and management expects higher run-rate savings in 2026 through automation and AI.
Negative Updates
Mortgage Portfolio Actions and MSR Headwinds
Transferred approximately $200 million of performing residential mortgage loans to held-for-sale in Q4 (sale expected Q1 2026) and mortgage banking income declined due to higher MSR amortization and a net MSR fair value recovery in Q4 2024, tempering mortgage-related fee income.
Earnings Impact from Discrete Items
Q4 included a discretionary $20 million charitable contribution that reduced operating net income, plus a $4.4 million pre-tax noncredit impairment on a renewable energy financing receivable (offset in part by $37.2 million of investment tax credits).
Sequential Pressure on Earning Asset Yield
Yield on earning assets declined 11 basis points sequentially as variable-rate loans were impacted by 75 basis points of Fed cuts since September 2025; deposit beta since cuts is 25%, requiring ongoing management to protect margin.
CRE and Secondary Market Exits Reduced Loan Balances
Average commercial real estate loans declined $158 million sequentially due to payoffs and secondary market exits; while this reduced concentration (now 197% of capital), it also created near-term headwinds to commercial loan balances.
Rising Operating Expenses in Specific Categories
Operating noninterest expense rose 3.4% year-over-year (to $256.5 million); salaries and employee benefits up 4.5%, output services up 15.3% (higher tech/third-party costs), and occupancy/equipment up 7.3%—offsetting some operating leverage gains.
Guidance Sensitive to Rate-Cut Assumptions
2026 guidance assumes two 225-basis-point Fed rate cuts (April and October). Results (NII, margin, and provision expectations) are sensitive to timing/size of actual rate moves and to loan growth/charge-off variability.
Loan Payoffs and Line Utilization Pressure
Linked-quarter decreases from payoff activity and lower line utilization limited average commercial loan growth (average commercial loans and leases slightly decreased $54 million sequentially) and required strong production to offset attrition.
Company Guidance
FNB guided to period‑end loans and deposits growing mid‑single digits in 2026, with full‑year net interest income of $1.495–$1.535 billion and first‑quarter NII of $355–$365 million (guidance assumes 225 bps of Fed cuts in April and October); full‑year noninterest income $370–$390 million (Q1 $90–$95 million) and full‑year noninterest expense $1.00–$1.02 billion (Q1 $255–$260 million), with provision expense expected $85–$105 million (dependent on net loan growth and charge‑offs) and an effective tax rate of 21–22% (excludes potential ITC). Management expects a relatively stable NIM in Q1 with modest quarter‑by‑quarter margin improvement into year‑end, total spot deposit beta falling toward ~30% by year‑end (mid‑30s terminal), continued cost‑savings (above the historical $10–20 million run‑rate), an efficiency ratio moving into the low‑50s by H2, continued capital flexibility (CET1 11.4%, tangible common equity 8.9%), and the potential for sustained buyback activity at least at 2025 levels.

F.N.B. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements indicate solid overall health: strong TTM revenue growth and a healthy net profit margin support earnings strength, while a manageable debt-to-equity ratio suggests balance-sheet flexibility. Offsetting factors include a declining gross margin, rising debt over time, and a low operating cash flow to net income ratio that points to weaker earnings-to-cash conversion.
Income Statement
75
Positive
F.N.B. has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 84.2%, indicating robust expansion. The gross profit margin has decreased over time, but the net profit margin remains healthy at 19.97% TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, reflecting efficient operations. However, the declining gross profit margin suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60 TTM is manageable, showing a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is moderate at 7.83%, indicating decent profitability. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the increasing debt levels over the years could pose future risks.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
F.N.B. has shown impressive free cash flow growth of 54.17% TTM, highlighting strong cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating potential issues in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 72.14%, suggesting efficient cash management despite some volatility in operating cash flows.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.69B2.57B2.23B1.61B1.33B
Gross Profit1.68B1.52B1.50B1.38B1.24B
EBITDA669.36M622.00M662.00M626.00M513.00M
Net Income565.39M465.00M485.00M439.00M405.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets50.23B48.63B46.16B43.73B39.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.22B5.39B4.83B4.95B6.92B
Total Debt3.92B4.27B4.48B2.46B2.22B
Total Liabilities43.47B42.32B40.11B38.07B34.36B
Stockholders Equity6.76B6.30B6.05B5.65B5.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00503.00M335.00M1.12B472.00M
Operating Cash Flow0.00642.00M423.00M1.22B530.00M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.70B-2.26B-3.06B-153.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.001.90B1.74B18.00M1.73B

F.N.B. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.55
Price Trends
50DMA
17.16
Positive
100DMA
16.48
Positive
200DMA
15.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Positive
RSI
53.32
Neutral
STOCH
33.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FNB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.44, above the 50-day MA of 17.16, and above the 200-day MA of 15.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FNB.

F.N.B. Risk Analysis

F.N.B. disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. F.N.B. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

F.N.B. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$5.94B12.948.84%3.77%8.83%15.49%
74
Outperform
$6.59B25.476.92%2.89%8.73%26.19%
72
Outperform
$6.29B11.258.66%2.73%4.54%27.56%
71
Outperform
$5.67B12.0111.20%2.85%1.43%19.58%
70
Outperform
$5.39B7.7012.09%3.68%2.79%2.11%
69
Neutral
$6.95B12.347.85%3.69%-1.94%41.35%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FNB
F.N.B.
17.55
2.72
18.34%
OZK
Bank OZK
47.56
-0.20
-0.42%
GBCI
Glacier Bancorp
50.68
3.51
7.44%
HOMB
Home Bancshares
28.90
-0.20
-0.69%
UBSI
United Bankshares
42.33
6.24
17.28%
VLY
Valley National Bancorp
12.46
2.85
29.67%

F.N.B. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
F.N.B. Schedules Investor Meetings for November 2025
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

F.N.B. Corporation announced plans to hold one-on-one meetings with institutional investors and analysts on November 6, 2025, during its Investor Conference. The discussions will focus on the company’s strategies and recent financial performance, with key management members presenting. The investor presentation is available on the company’s website, emphasizing the importance of reviewing material information communicated through their Investor Relations section.

The most recent analyst rating on (FNB) stock is a Buy with a $17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on F.N.B. stock, see the FNB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 26, 2026